It’s Peacock week here at Razzball, and I for one, have been trying my damnedest to use some of the lessons taught to me by my mentor, the sometimes debonair, but mostly creepy, world-renowned pickup artist Mystery. You might remember this sexual predator from MTV at some point in the last 10 years. MTV, ruining everything since 1981! You might not recall this, particularly if you’ve never been under the spell of a man dressed as the lead singer of Jamiroquai, but Mystery has long preached the word of “Peacocking”. I can’t be sure, but I’m almost certain that this is the act of pretending you’re Brad Peacock to pickup women. I mean how could this not work have you seen “The P-Cock” in all his glory? Gorgeous just like a horse is, to say the least. The 29 year old Peacock has spent parts of 5 seasons in the majors, mostly as a shuttle arm, between AAA and the majors. In 2017 however, the righty has been a bit of a revelation for the Astros, first in the bullpen, and now in the rotation. Grey wrote him up on Friday, and he’s been one of the more interesting streams over the last few weeks. If only due to that heavenly 15 K/9 over his first three starts. So let’s dig into Peacock and see what he’s doing on the mound, when not going into liquor store rages.
Scouting Report: Peacock’s 11 year professional career has been spent mostly in the minors, but he’s seen a solid amount of time in the majors with Houston over the past 4 seasons. After missing nearly all of 2015 as he recovered from labrum surgery, Peacock returned last year and was just mediocre in AAA Fresno, and Houston across a combined 148.2 innings. 2017 Peacock emerged a new bird, first in the bullpen using his slider and fastball to generate a high number of swings and misses. Which in turn fueled his spike in strikeouts. So how is Peacock doing this? Has anything really changed? Certainly the results have, as entering the start he had one of the lowest LD% against in the entire league, and an insane 33.6% strikeout rate. Looking at his usage not a ton has changed this year from that perspective, he’s throwing his curveball a little less, his slider a little more, but no drastic change in repertoire, or a new pitch, is behind this. There has been an uptick in fastball velocity, but I’m not sure if that jump is the product of the new technique for measuring pitch speed that MLB has employed.
As for Peacock’s arsenal, he throws a couple variations of his fastball, one a four-seamer that sits 92-94, with slight armside run, and a sinker that sits 89-92 with slight armside run. When his control is off, it’s not the easiest pair of fastball’s to differentiate. His slider is his best secondary, getting sweeping break and sitting in the low 80’s. The pitch generates a fair number of whiffs, somewhere in the vicinity of a 22% rate. He also mixes in a curve with a sharp downward break, and some armside run. His hook generates a strong amount of groundballs, somewhere in the range of 65%+. He also mixes in a change, though rarely, and it has the lowest whiff rate, and highest batting average of any of his offerings.
Brad Peacock vs. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, Friday June 9th 2017, Minute Maid Park Houston, TX
First Inning
Cameron Maybin
Starts Maybin off with a slider in the dirt, ball 1, fastball up and in at 93 fouled back, strike 1, 93 MPH low and outside, ball 2, fastball at 93 on the heart of the plate, and Maybin takes for strike 2, a slider catches the outside part of the plate and Maybin hits it the other way to Marwin Gonzalez at first, but it’s misplayed and Maybin’s aboard.
Kole Calhoun
89 MPH fastball middle middle is crushed to right field but there’s not enough to take it over the fence and it’s caught by Josh Reddick for the first out.
Albert Pujols
First pitch to Pujols is a curveball on the outside of the plate, ball 1, meanwhile Maybin takes second base without a throw, another curveball on the outside of the plate, ball 2, a high slider at 79 misses, ball 3, a fastball at 93 off the plate ball 4, four pitch walk to Albert.
Yunel Escobar
91 MPH fastball low and outside, ball 1, slider at 80 MPH off the plate for ball 2, another fast off the plate at 91, and Maybin takes third, this time McCann throws over to third but it’s too late, another 93 MPH fastball off the plate and it’s Peacock’s second consecutive four pitch walk.
Luis Valbuena
94 MPH fastball inside to Valbuena, ball 1, 93 MPH middle in is taken for strike 1, another fastball on the outside part of the plate is taken strike 2, another 93 MPH fastball is fouled back, 81 MPH slider fouled down the first base line, 94 MPH fastball on the outside fouled off, 94 MPH low and outside ball 2, 74 MPH curveball low, and Valbuena hold up to even the count, 94 MPH fastball in the dirt for ball 4, and Peacock walks in a run.
Andrelton Simmons
92 MPH fastball down Main St., Strike 1, 84 MPH slider over the plate is grounded to third, Bregman goes home for the force at the plate, 2 outs.
Martin Maldonado
Slider on the outer side of the plate to the gloves side, strike 1, another slider on the inside, swung on and missed, strike 2, a fastball on the outside at 92, 82 MPH slider over the middle of the plate is popped up.
Peacock’s fastball control was all over the place in that inning, throwing 10 consecutive balls at one point. He managed to settle down and only allow one run despite a base loaded no out situation.
Second Inning
Eric Young Jr.
Fastball at 92 in the dirt, ball 1, curveball is a mile out of the zone, ball 2, 92 MPH on the outside part of the plate, strike 1, a fastball at 93 middle in is hit to right for a base hit.
Danny Espinosa
92 MPH low and inside, ball 1, 93 MPH high and inside swing and miss, strike 1, 87 MPH pitch out to keep Young honest, ball 2, fastball at 92 is fouled back, strike 2, slider in the dirt at 77, ball 3, 92 MPH on the outside fouled off, full count, fastball low, and another walk four walks to three outs so far.
Cameron Maybin
An 80 MPH slider is swung on and missed, strike 1, 91 MPH fastball taken on the inside for ball 1, Peacock picks off Eric Young Jr. At second, good break for Peacock, fastball at 93 is crushed over Reddick’s head in right, ground rule double. Runners on second and third.
Kole Calhoun
Slider low at 81 for ball 1, 82 MPH slider in the inside, ball 2, 92 MPH fastball on the inside is struck down the first base line for a two run RBI single.
Albert Pujols
82 MPH slider is hit for groundball to Correa and it’s an inning ending double play.
Another garbage inning from Peacock, he got some lucky breaks in picking off Eric Young, and Pujols swinging on the first pitch. A two run inning is always bad but it could’ve been worse.
Third Inning
Yunel Escobar
Slider at 80 MPH brushes back Escobar, ball 1, 80 MPH slider in the inside is hit down the third baseline for a double.
Luis Valbuena
Slider on the outside is fouled back, strike 1, 91 MPH slider on the outside, strike 2, 94 MPH on inside and low, ball 1, 76 MPH curveball fouled back, 80 MPH slider over the plate is hit for an RBI single to center.
Andrelton Simmons
92 MPH fastball taken for ball 1, 91 MPH fastball in the outside fouled off, strike 1, 91 MPH fastball too low, ball 2, fastball hit in the air to left for the first out.
Martin Maldonado
Fastball low and outside, ball 1, 83 MPH slider on the outside, ball 2, slider at 79 taken for strike 2, another slider on the inside is struck foul, 92 MPH fastball is grounded for a base hit between third and short.
Eric Young Jr.
Pitch outside for another first pitch ball, Slider on the outside part of the plate strike 1, fastball struck foul, a curveball is struck into the ground at 77, 1-2 count, 82 MPH slider is hit for a lazy flyball to left.
Danny Espinosa
Fastball at 93 MPH taken for ball 1, 93 MPH fastball over the heart of the plate swung on and missed for strike 1, another fastball this time at 92 gets another swing and miss, strike 2, another fastball is fouled back, 1-2 count, 77 MPH slider in the dirt for ball 2, another fastball at 94 and another foul ball, 93 MPH fastball in the dirt, ball 3, 93 MPH fastball on the inside is a called theirs strike.
3 IP, 7 Hits, 4 Walks, 4 Earned Runs, 1 K, 76 Pitches, 42 Strikes. Game Score 25
Summary: An truly awful outing for Peacock, who actually threw nearly as many balls (34) as he did strikes (42). This was the theme of this start for Peacock, as he consistently struggled to find the zone with his fastball and slider. You can see the stuff is there between those two pitches, and even the curveball, when he used it. Too bad he was always a few inches away from hitting his spots, and the Angels took pitch after pitch, and walk after walk as Peacock punched himself out. I don’t want to draw too many conclusions about B-Rad from this start, but he certainly didn’t look like a breakout guy today.
Updated Top 100 SP
(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto)
Disabled List (Ranking When Active): Madison Bumgarner, SF (3) , Noah Syndergaard, NYM (8), Dallas Keuchel, HOU (13), Danny Duffy (19), KC, Jon Gray, COL (26), Kyle Hendricks, CHC (33), Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS (31), Aaron Sanchez, TOR (34), Charlie Morton, HOU (46), Carlos Rodon, CHW (49), Andrew Triggs, OAK (61), Felix Hernandez, SEA (62), Trevor Cahill, SD (66), Matt Andriese, TB (68),Vincent Velasquez, PHI (73), Kendall Graveman, OAK (76), Tyson Ross (90)
On The Fringes: Alec Asher, BAL, Jeff Hoffman, COL
Coming Up: Jacob Faria, TB, Brandon Woodruff, MIL, Chance Adams, NYY, Jose De Leon, TB, Josh Hader, MIL, Brent Honeywell, TB
Dropped off: Kenta Maeda, LAD, Erasmo Ramirez, TB, Danny Salazar, CLE, Julio Urias, LAD, Patrick Corbin, ARI, Chad Kuhl, PIT, Amir Garrett, CIN, Matt Garza, MIL, Tyler Anderson, COL, Jesse Chavez, LAA, Jeremy Hellickson, PHI, Ricky Nolasco, LAA, J.C. Ramirez, LAA
- Over the last month C.C. Sabathia has the second lowest ERA in baseball at 1.11. Pair that with a 8.6 K/9, a 1.67 Bb/9, and a 49% GB rate and you have a starter that should be universally owned.
- Over his last 6 starts Braves righty Mike Foltynewicz has a 2.57 ERA, 7.2 K/9, 2.0 Bb/9, and a 4-1 record. He goes twice for the Braves this week, first against the Nationals tonight, and the Marlins on Saturday. Tonight’s start will say a lot about whether this is a real improvement, or just a good run.
- The Jacob deGrom implosion, might get worse this week. He’s facing the Nationals and Cubs, and coming off two starts where he’s allowed a combined 15 earned runs. Yikes! This week will determine whether this is a hiccup, or something more devious.
- There’s a lot of struggling vets at the moment, chief amongst them are John Lackey, Justin Verlander, Rick Porcello, Gerrit Cole, and Jose Quintana. It’s tough to write off any of these guys with their track records, but they’ve been bad. I have to imagine that all of them right the ship somewhat over the next month. No data, just a gut feeling.
- And then there’s Masahiro Tanaka. I’ve dropped the struggling Yankees starter down to 63, and maybe it should be even lower, but I’m just not ready to write him off as a 6 ERA starter. He’s unstartable at the moment.
- Marcus Stroman is never going to be a fantasy ace, but he’s been as steady as they come this year, going 7-2 with a 3.09 ERA. Problem is he’s never great with WHIP (1.27), and his K numbers are yawnspitating. Good in all formats, but he has less value in an RCL.
- There’s a lot of doubters of Jimmy Nelson, and I get it, he’s been mediocre for the early part of his career. Here’s the thing, he’s only 28, has always had pedigree, as well as 3 pitches he throws for strikes. Two of which are plus in the fastball, and curveball. He’s also seen an uptick in velocity, and subsequently swinging strikes. Over the last month Nelson has been ace-like, going 3-1 over 6 starts, with a 2.33 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 to a 1.6 Bb/9. Granted 5 of those 6 starts have been home games, but he pitches in Miller a notorious hitter’s paradise, and has faced the Dodgers, Diamondbacks, and Red Sox over that time.
- I know how good Sean Newcomb looked in his first MLB start, but that new found ability to throw strikes is a mirage. I’m not sure he had the sort of control he flashed on Saturday in high school. Seriously, he was a different guy. That said, if he stays in the rotation he offers more upside than any other arm presently on the Braves.
- Kenta Maeda is out of the rotation, for now, Alex Wood is back, and I’m sure at some point in the next 7 days Hyun-Jin Ryu, Brandon McCarthy, or Rich Hill hits the DL.
Follow me on Twitter @Ralphlifshitzbb, and check out my weekly Live Baseball Show on Fantrax YouTube channel Tuesday’s at 9 PM EST
Trade Severino for Bellinger? CI spot hasnt been great for me. Severino is a stud though. Thoughts?
10TM Keep 5 forever Roto 6×6 QS/OPS 1500 inn Limit League Bold for current keepers.
C Grandal
1B Myers
2B Gordon
3B Sano
SS Baez
CI Bregman
MI Owings
4OF Harper, Springer, Benintendi, Conforto
2UTiL M.Smith/Polanco BN Pirela, Buxton
DL Thor/Villar NA Rosario
SP McCullers, Bundy, Severino, Wood, Berrios, Manaea, Nelson
RP Holland, Brach, J.Wilson, Knebel, Albers
McCullers just hit the DL. Hopefully theyre just abusing the 10 day like the Dodgers.
@TTRA1N: I’d hold on Severino
Hi Ralph
Would you rather have Newcomb or Faria for rest of season in redraft league? Where would Faria rank in your top 100 now that he is seemingly up longer term?
@KarlJ: I could see him slotting in initially in the 60’s.
With the news that McCullers is hitting the DL, need to replace him for the week in NFBC. Options are Nova (Cubs), Nola (DBacks), Montgomery (at As), or Folty (at Nats + Fish at home). Want Folty for the 2 starts, but terrified of Nats.
Thank you sir.
Curtis
@Curtis Jones: None of those are guarantees, I’d roll with Folty and hope this runs continues.
Rowdy Tellez just became available in my 12 team forever keeper … keep 10 + 10 farm…
I have:
Meadows
Tapia
Albies
Maitan
K Lewis
Adames
Buehler
Morejon
Martes
De Leon
Worth grabbing for any of the above? Thank you as always!
@Landisimo3: I’d hold with what you got.
With Chapman coming back off of DL, is Maeda the easy drop? (scherzer, darvish, archer, cueto, ray, pineda, wood, Paxton)
@dtbran: Hell to the yes! Nice squad.
https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/originals/9a/26/00/9a2600f1ae64a4b0b30003e6c5e408e9.gif
@Dr. Kenneth Noisewater: Hahaha! Thanks Noise!
Why did I read the game? I wish I read the Great Game by George Constanta impersonating Murphy
@Zeus: I just wanted to see Michael Jordon in the flesh.
Any idea when we can expect Barreto?
I’m hoping to replace Villar, with Barreto. Think he can perform as much or more as Villar is under performing?
@My Seven Rizzos: Might not be for a while like a month plus.
Sale
Scherzer
WOOD
GET IT RIGHT. Alex Wood is the best pitcher on the dodgers, straight up. You’re such an industry stooge. get a life
@PM_me_alexwood_woodies: I’m a slave to Alex Wood and his handsome release point. He’s gunning for the top spot!
King Felix at 63 when he comes back, what would you rank him over all? 160-170? I’m catching grief in my dynasty for moving him for Moniak when I’m clearly in a rebuild. I don’t want any part of him, but I will wait on Moniak.
Also, Asher worth a stream against the White Sox and what can you tell us about Woodruff?
Thank you!
@Sport: Sounds like you have a league full of uncles, no way you turn down a prospect like Moniak while in rebuild for an old beatup Felix. I view him the way I viewed CC a few years back. He’s just a name. F those dudes…
I think he could be, he looks good in spells. He has my attention.
Good mid-rotation type. Safe, good control not going to miss tons of bats. Might be underrated by the prospect community. I like him.
@Ralph Lifshitz: thank you. Your work this year has taken Razzball to another level!!!!!
Winker get a full time role when he gets called up?
@Sport: Winker needs an injury more than likely.
Which SP should I sit this week? Lineups lock
SP staff:
Degrom
Manaea
Berrios
Kluber
Jimmy Nelson
Robbie Ray
@GoFish: I’d probably sit Nelson. degrom’s matchups are scary, though.
@GoFish: It’s between Manaea and Nelson, and Manaea is facing the Yanks and Severino, I’m leaning sitting him. Tough call both have been hot.
I have been holding D. Salazar, but should I be holding him with Taillon, Guerra and Wheeler available?
@Robert: No, go grab Taillon.
Surprised to see Harvey behind Gausman. Granted, at that level it’s a bit of a crapshoot, but Gausman has been actual crap. Harvey has actually started to look decent 3 of his last four outings. Gausman’s level of bad has been special this year.
@Curious George Springer: I don’t disagree, my issue is this list is ranked before the Sunday starts for most of these guys, and in the previous 4 starts he Harvey were similar, with Gausman walking less batters. So next week as long as Harvey keeps trending in a positive direction he should jump up a few spots. Good call though!
Is Phil Maton the future closer in San Diego? He was brought up against the Royals and was 13/13 in saves opps at AAA with 11/9 K and 2.8/9 BB.
Is that the general philosophy in building a closer or is it a complete shot in the dark and go with who dominates?
@Sport: I think he’s got a shot. Never sure with these MiLB closers, but Maton has long been mentioned as the next guy. Carter Capps not withstanding
You are higher than most on guerra. Can you rank guerra, jc ramirez, farmer, musgrove. Points league. 15 for wins.
@Chris: Yeah, I’ve liked what I’ve seen from Guerra since returning. The peripherals are crap, but he was excellent for much of that game with the D-Backs on Saturday. Got in some trouble in the 5th and 6th. The first run was bad defense, and then he allowed the Jack to Drury.
I’d go Guerra, Farmer, Musgrove, and Ramirez. Farmer will be ranked next week, when I know he’s sticking in the rotation. He’s looked great though.
Howdy H2h pts weekly lock league
I was looking for a SP who’s Eligible at RP who I can plug at RP for two starts:
Buck Farmer ( vs Dbacks & grienke. Start 2 is vs rays & odorizzi.)
JC Ramirez (vs Yankees & CC sabathia. Start 2 is vs royals & Vargas.)
Adalbarto Mejia ( vs Mariners & gallardo. 2nd start is vs Indians )
What about joe musgrove? Trust him this week ? I know he’s not RP but I can still start him
@Green machine: Roll Farmer!
Worried about Vargas two road matchups? @SF and LAA. Am I nuts for sitting Manea v Yanks? Am I getting carried away with Hoffman at Coors v SF? Over the likes of Junior? Nola? Godley ( love the match @ Phil) and Wacha?
@Chucky: San Fran is the best park for lefties in the league, so I live that start. The Angels don’t scare me either, even if that patchwork lineup beat up Peacock.
I’m sitting Manaea.
I’d roll Godley over Hoffman. Not a Hoffman believer.
I’m wth ya so far….Nola, Wacha, Jr over Hoffman?
@Chucky: Yes just as ranked above.
H2H points/ weekly
Just need one to start, Tyler chatwood has 2 starts, joe musgrove who also has 2 starts.
Musgrove tonight vs darvish & rangers. Then Sunday night prime time he gets Red Sox in Houston vs price.
Chatwood at pitt & Cole then in Colorado vs Giants & Blach
Then Foltynewic
@Bob: Is roll Folty then Chatwood.
H2H points/ weekly
Just need one to start, Tyler chatwood has 2 starts, joe musgrove who also has 2 starts.lastly mike Folty & his 2 starts
Musgrove tonight vs darvish & rangers. Then Sunday night prime time he gets Red Sox in Houston vs price.
Chatwood at pitt & Cole then in Colorado vs Giants & Blach
Then Foltynewicz gets nats in Washington tonight vs Strasberg. Then Sunday vs Marlins & urena
@Bob:
Sorry for some reason it posted twice
@Bob: no worries
16 team Dynasty OF is Harper, Domingo Santana, Beninitendi, Mazara,Avisail Garcia and Dahl on the dl, been offered Eric Thames & Ryon Healy, Healy would slot in util since i already have Alonso and Machado at 1B & 3B, with Thames going to the OF, pull the trigger?
@tvera: Who are you trading?
@Ralph Lifshitz:
Sorry, missed it, id be trading Benintendi.
Which do you prefer as a streamers
Biagini vs CHS
Farmer vs AZ
Newcomb vs Marlins
Feldman @ SD
Thank you
@lwomack58: I’m going with Biagini. This is a test for Farmer. AZ is good
Do you think Corbin is droppable in keeper leagues, too? Starting to think April was a mirage.
@Nick: Yeah I’m backing away slowly into a Bush away from him.
Syndergaard got dropped in my Leauge.
Is it worth stashing him over Salazar/ Carlos Rodon.
I could also drop Miranda and have one less spot in my rotation for a few weeks.
My gut is saying get Thor asap!
@Utah Green Sox: Yes totally worth stashing over Salazar. Rodon should be back this week.
My preseason rotation when i thought i was going to dominate my league:
Scherzer (Keeper, as advertised)
Duffy (dead)
Salazar (dead)
Maeda (dead)
Cole (traded for Desmond post-draft… because I was so deep with SP!)
Nola (dead)
Walker (dead)
I’m treading water with Scherzer and high-K streamers and hoping my 5 closers win me Saves, ERA, and WHIP every week in H2H.
No questions for you, just a cool story, bro. FMFBBL!
@Stumanji!: Don’t kill Walker and Nola just yet. Hahaha
Rough go of it so far, but things can change over the next 3 months
@Ralph Lifshitz: I had to cut bait with both since my entire team was decimated by injuries.
Current staff is Max, Wacha, Chase Anderson, and 2 streamer spots.
SPs I’ve owned and regret dropping include aforementioned Walker, Nola, Manaea, Wood, Berrios, and Nelson. A lot of guys in your 40-60 range are available in my shallow league, just a matter of plucking the right ones at the right time. I also traded Severino a few months back.
Wow you’ve got Archer as top 6 ROS? What’s the rationale behind ranking him higher than Kluber? I was offered either one for Jake Lamb. Thanks!
@AlternativeStats: Better performance to date, better park, and he could be traded out of Tampa in the next month or so. I’m a big Archer fan, so it’s a bit of personal bias but the numbers back it up. Both are close.
I can grab Faria and Farmer. My current staff is:
Bundy
Gausman
Gsellman
C. Martinez
JC Ramirez
Taillon
Corbin
Lively
Meyer
What move should I make? Thanks for your help!
@Kevin Dorsey: Add both and drop Meyer and Corbin
Would you go with either of these
Marquez @ Pitt
Newcomb vs MIA
@lwomack58: Marquez at Pitt
Prospect question for the prospector.
Our league has a 5 man reserve bench. Currently have:
Meadows
O’neill
Luis Robert
Eloy Jimenez
Rhys Hoskins
Thinking of maybe replacing O’Neill with one of the following. Hold or replace?
Carson Kelly
Anthony Alford
Kyle Lewis
Derek Fisher
@Cyler: I’d go Lewis or Fisher for O’Neill. Depends on what your need is.
Ralph,
Would you trade Altuve to Get Carrassco + Trout?
@Chris: In dynasty if I wasn’t winning.
@Ralph Lifshitz: can’t imagine somebody sent that offer if dynasty though from the trout owner
Hey Ralph, how would you rank Isan Diaz, Harrison Bader, and Delvin Perez on a prospect list right now? I lean upside, if that makes a difference.
dynasty 20 team h2h where i’m TEX and need 9 minimum TEX guys. trying to land odor
C avila (about to be a streamer if he’s benched 4th game in a row)
1B desmond (LF/CF)
2B happ (CF)
SS andrus
3B beltre
LF mazouza (RF)
CF blackman
RF stanton
util brinson (CF)
BN forsythe (2B/3B), choo (RF), gallo (1B/3B)
DL dahl (LF/CF)
NA mejia/z.collins/w.calhoun/adames (TB)/e.jimenez
SP (6 max) farmer/darvish/archer/cobb/hahn/edinson
RP (7 slots) phelps/leclerc/law/giles/fields/kela/hoover
DL morton/andriese/diekman
NA y.mendez (TEX)/urias/barrett (ARI)
odor owner is interested in happ but not straight up. other than draft picks (which due to all these prospects i doubt i use any of them) is happ + calhoun fair or too much?
Hey man, how would you rank Karns and McHugh as DL stashes? Gotta drop one in a 20-teamer…
Thanks!
My Aaron Hicks for his Carlos Carrasco?
What up bro! Any idea what is going on with Luke Weaver?
Would you trade Cody Allen for Lance Lynn straight up? I’d be left with Giles and Melancon at CL, but am looking to add quality starters.