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When I asked Grey to change formats for this year, he had one condition: crippling flatuence. He also had one stipulation: “Crank up the drama, mama!” With that in mind, it’s time to save your team and bait your clicks with my Hall of Fame takes. 

Here’s my thinking. For the past three years, I’ve been telling you who the “Top 100 Starters” are/were/would be/could be. Given that only like 35 starters actually produce positive fantasy value and the rest are just Win fillers, knowing who not to draft is critical. This year, I’m handing off the Top 100 Starters to Marmos, who I suspect is related to Oli Marmol. 

Marmos starts the Top 100 Starters soon — next week, I think? ENYWHEY. To welcome him to his new role, I’m introducing y’all to the WORST starters to draft for 2024. 

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You know how it goes by now. Open Chrome. See AMP articles. Scroll past the ideology telling you that Lisa Frank’s unicorns have turned Cleveland into socialist rocketeers. Arrive at the fantasy baseball hype articles. Titles like, “Best 2024 Starter” and “Hot Starters for 2024” fill your feed. Your breath hastens. Your parasympathetic system engages. You think of Suzie or Stacy or Bill or Jamie from high school prom, and how great they looked under the disco ball. You’re set adrift on memory bliss of top pitchers of the past: Max Scherzer, Justin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw…and R.A. Dickey. Who could it be this year? you think to yourself.

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ADP is the dumbest way to draft a fantasy sports team. But EWB, you shout through a nougat-filled mouth, what if I miss value? Drafting by ADP (average draft position) is like going holiday shopping and choosing the presents nobody wants. Kids, gather round the Festivus Pole and look at this snow blower I got for 50% off! Doesn’t matter that we live by the equator and it hasn’t snowed in a decade — nobody else wanted it and it was a value! 

ADP is a social construct. ADP is the draft price that people expect to pay for a player; it’s not an objective rating. Maybe you’ve seen my previous Bible-length essay about ADP. I wrote it while contemplating the holographic principle. Is a baseball even a ball? I digress. 

The best use of ADP is to know where the rest of your league is heading. When you see them take the lure, you cut away from the pack and draft the league winner. The easiest way to deploy this tactic is to realize the worst ADP values on the board when you’re drafting. If there are players you know that you’re avoiding, it makes it easier to identify your desired targets and compose a superior team. 

Here are the top Starting Pitchers to avoid at current ADP values. ADP values are taken from National Fantasy Baseball Championship drafts that have completed in January — 61 drafts at the time of writing. 

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It’s that time of year folx — I just turned another year older, the “feels like” temp is -30 outside, and everybody in my creche (a word I learned from Baldur’s Gate 3) is sick. Our minds turn to happier thoughts, of a world where green grass proliferates and a cool breeze caresses my cheeks (use your imagination to choose which cheeks!). It is the time where EverywhereBlair emerges from hibernation to bring you his delicious and spicy takes on fantasy baseball. 

Welcome to Fantasy Baseball 2024. 

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Last week, we spent time going over pitcher analytics and how we can use them to prepare for both drafts and in-season management.  Today, I’ll be focusing on the former, draft prep, and build on what we discussed last week.  As player projections become more widely available and drafts start kicking off in earnest, early […]

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Welcome back to baseball!  Did you know the end of the NFL regular season officially kicks off the fantasy baseball preseason?  Well, it does!  Take my word for it.  We’re about a month away from the four most anticipated words in a baseball fan’s lingo, “Pitchers and Catchers report.”  Soon thereafter, fantasy baseball drafts will […]

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What’s up, everybody? It’s Sunday and I’m pitching for Itch today, so I wanted to do a quick look at pitchers who are currently wonky on the Player Rater thanks to high or low Win values. Because pitcher wins are so difficult to predict and oftentimes arbitrary. Let’s keep in mind Rays’ reliever Pete Fairbanks was in the Top 10 for wins last year (6) and there are 5 relievers in the top 50 in wins over the past two years. Did you know that Antonio Senzatela and Lucas Giolito both sport a cumulative 6-7 record from 2020-2021? Pretty wild, eh? And you thought Rockies pitchers were useless. Almost all fantasy baseball formats require Wins, it’s helpful to think about pitchers who are winning more often than they should (the Charlie Sheens), or the wingmen who just can’t get a win (the Goose). Catch me after the jump to see my Buy, Holds, and Sells! 

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The New York Yankees signed two-time Cy Young award winner Corey Kluber to a one-year contract worth $11 million dollars this weekend. Immediately the fantasy sports sphere on Twitter — which is really more of a rounded mound of a shape — well, analysts went Klu-razy with the news. A big-time player on a big-time team! Hooray! Stonks up and let care fly to the wind! I’m looking through rankings from various sites on Kluber, and people are absolutely Ku-losing it (let’s see if I can get one more pun in before the jump!). Even Razzball’s 2021 Steamer Projections have Kluber as SP22 at this point in the pre-season. With some big time sites considering Kluber in the 30s for SP — in other words, your 3rd starter in a 12-team league — it’s absolutely worthwhile to see if the stats are Klean or Kluttered. Ha! Four of ’em!

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“I released it, he’s swinging, and as he’s making contact, I’m like, “Oh boy, this is gonna hit me, and so I turn… and it hit me, and it actually ricocheted off my head…my ears were ringing, so loud that it was hurting my eyes.

“When I hit the ground, I just went straight for my hat, and ripped my hat off, and I was bleeding. From the time I hit the ground, it was really…kinda crazy. I just had this, like, amazing peace about me. It was like God was saying ‘Hey, you’re OK.’ It’s like, ‘I got you.'”

Robbie Ray, Interview with YMI, published March 12, 2019

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Welcome, friends! Come, sit down, and let me tell you a tale of baseball. Indeed, baseball is truly America’s game, where the owners swim Scrooge McDuck-style in a vat of gold coins while shaking their canes vigorously at those thieves pounding at the door asking for some gruel. But you–yes, you!–fantasy lothario, with your fantasy baseball app at the ready and a sweaty finger hovering over the “draft” button, you can roster these needy players and give them the virtual coins they so deserve. Today, I’m offering a pitcher profile of Jake Odorizzi, and why you should consider him for a place on your team for the next 50, 70, or how ever many games MLB owners decide to let happen before they move their money vaults into the Norwegian tundra.

Because this is my first article with Razzball, I consulted Grey’s Secret Dictionary to see his definition of ‘pitcher,’ and here’s what it said: “1) a tool for mixing margaritas on Wednesday mornings, 2) players you don’t take early in a draft.” And that’s me quoting Grey! Wednesday Grey must have been deep into his routine of margs and Frasier reruns when he wrote the following on Odorizzi: “Odorizzi’s being drafted like a number three or four, but I see a strong number two.” Whoa, Grey, TMI! Let’s get down to business and see why you want this number two to work for you.

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This should be old hat by now. If a prospect is called up, I’m going to profile him. It’s what I do. When my two worlds collide into one, everything suddenly stops, and I become one with the ball. Feeling each twist and turn, as I tumble out of Walker Buehler’s hand and into Yasmani Grandal’s mitt. That was supposed to be more poetic than homo-erotic thriller, but I’m not sure I achieved that. Oh well, any-fracking-way, Dodgers super-prospect, former first round pick, and Vanderbilt ace made the start on Monday… Wait for it, before being sent back down on Tuesday. It’s a rough life for these prospects. One minute you’re sipping champagne from between Charlotte McKinney’s dirty pillows, and the next you’re back in Omaha eating at Denny’s. (They actually sent Buehler down to Hi-A Rancho, with the intent of adding an arm to the pen for the remainder of the week, before recalling him for Saturday’s double-header against the Giants.) My guess is Buehler will be back in Hollyweird, canoodling with Charlotte once again. Here’s what I saw on Monday.

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Strong takes are my thing. Whether it be needling Baseball Prospectus over their Jorge Alfaro ranking, clashing with consensus over Rhys Hoskins, or why Shohei Ohtani wasn’t a bust before he ever threw his first regular season pitch. My opinions are strong, and I’m not one to back down if I truly believe something based on first hand looks and research. I mean, don’t even get me started on the “newly-promoted” Tyler O’Neill takes. It’s almost as if I’m the head of my very own agency, lobbying for my players value like Scott Boras with a briefcase of binders.  Yet another player who’s represented by my pretend “on-line defense agency” is Padres rookie phenom Joey Lucchesi. I ranked him 161st in my mid-season 2017 Top 200 prospects, and even predicted a 2018 MLB debut. I’m not alone on this site in my love for Lucchesi, my best friend since forever, Lance, wrote about him as a deep sleeper in late March. There’s also this tweet I tossed out there in December. Needless to say, without further chest thumping, I’m a fan of Lucchesi. There’s been a bit of misinformation out there regarding his repertoire, pedigree, etc. Today I hope to set some of that straight after watching his most recent turn against the San Francisco retirement home.

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