We took a look at hitters last week which means its time for pitchers. Below you will find the scoring formula that I used to arrive at these numbers based on the Razzball/Steamer projections
Innings Pitched (IP) 3
Hits Allowed (H) -1
Earned Runs (ER) -2
Walks Issued (BB) -1
Strikeouts 1
Wins (W) 5
Losses (L) -5
Saves (SV) 5
I’m sure the first question on everyone’s mind is where does first half superstar Shohei Ohtani land on this list and in the overall projections. He comes in quite a bit lower than I was expecting, barely making the list at all with only 100.9 points projected from his time on the mound. Combined with his batting numbers his overall projection is 285 which would make him the number one player over the season’s second half. He is only projected to throw 42 innings which seems like a total he can surpass. It will be interesting to see how the Angels choose to deploy him in the second half, but if he continues to make regular starts on the mound his point total could shoot up.
This may come as a shock, but Jacob deGrom is the top pitcher. Not much more to say, I’m sure you are all aware of the type of season he’s having.
Gerrit Cole hit a bit of a rough patch after the sticky stuff crackdown. He rebounded nicely and remains at the top of the list for pitchers in the second half.
Cristian Javier has bounced between the rotation and the pen but he’s still racked up innings. Look for that trend to continue although I was surprised to see him all the way up at 12. He’s still out there in about half of leagues and making him a priority add. Even if you don’t buy the projections you’ll want his production on your roster.
Kevin Gausman will keep on doing what he’s been doing. He doesn’t project to be a top 5 guy, but he’s still in the top 15 and was a great draft day value.
Robbie Ray and his tight pants (clearly the source of his powers) will keep racking up the Ks which will balance out the lack of innings compared to the top starters.
Luis Castillo is back baby! It took him a while but he’s finally starting to show why there’s been hype around him. He’s a hold at this point if you’ve been riding with him this long.
Liam Hendriks is the first closer on our second half list. Number 18 isn’t a bad spot but unless your league has RP spots the top closers just aren’t worth it.
Max Fried is set to be a second half star. We chase innings and Ks in points leagues and Max should give you both. Projections say he”ll limit the damage a bit more and that makes him a guy you want.
Jack Flaherty will be out until August at the earliest so I think these projections are generous. The talent is there, but it does nothing for you if he’s not on the mound.
Alex Reyes is set to be money if you need an RP. He throws a thousand miles an hour and the Ks will be there.
Stephen Strasburg is a big name to be this low on the list. Unfortunately, his name seems to be bigger than his production. He just doesn’t put up the innings to score big points.
Dylan Cease I wanted him to be the best. He has the raw stuff to do it, but he just can’t find the consistency. If he ever puts it all together he could win a Cy Young. But as it stands, he’s more of a mid tier starter, valuable but nothing special.
Alek Manoah is the type of young gun who can take your team to the top. He’s out there so take a peek. I do love the new kid on the block, and sometimes I chase the upside more than I should but the hype with Manoah is real.
Jameson Taillon has always been a favorite of mine. Sadly he never broke out and turned into an ace, but he’s still a solid guy to fill out your rotation.
Rank | Name | Team | ESPN | Y! | Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jacob deGrom | NYM | SP | SP | 259.2 |
2 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | SP | SP | 232.4 |
3 | Max Scherzer | WSH | SP | SP | 193.5 |
4 | Lucas Giolito | CHW | SP | SP | 183.6 |
5 | Brandon Woodruff | MIL | SP | SP | 182.3 |
6 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | SP | SP | 182.2 |
7 | Shane Bieber | CLE | SP | SP | 179.1 |
8 | Jose Berrios | MIN | SP | SP | 173.7 |
9 | Corbin Burnes | MIL | SP | SP | 171.8 |
10 | Yu Darvish | SD | SP | SP | 171.8 |
11 | Lance Lynn | CHW | SP | SP | 171.6 |
12 | Cristian Javier | HOU | SP | SP | 168.2 |
13 | Walker Buehler | LAD | SP | SP | 167.5 |
14 | Kevin Gausman | SF | SP | SP | 166.5 |
15 | Robbie Ray | TOR | SP | SP | 166.4 |
16 | Charlie Morton | ATL | SP | SP | 162.9 |
17 | Luis Castillo | CIN | SP | SP | 161.1 |
18 | Liam Hendriks | CHW | RP | RP | 152.9 |
19 | Patrick Corbin | WSH | SP | SP | 151.7 |
20 | Blake Snell | SD | SP | SP | 150.6 |
21 | Andrew Heaney | LAA | SP | SP | 150.2 |
22 | Joe Musgrove | SD | SP | SP | 148.9 |
23 | Hyun-Jin Ryu | TOR | SP | SP | 148.9 |
24 | Aroldis Chapman | NYY | RP | RP | 146.9 |
25 | Max Fried | ATL | SP | SP | 142.9 |
26 | Lance McCullers Jr. | HOU | SP | SP | 142.2 |
27 | Edwin Diaz | NYM | RP | RP | 142.2 |
28 | Pablo Lopez | MIA | SP | SP | 142 |
29 | Carlos Rodon | CHW | SP | SP | 141.5 |
30 | Zack Greinke | HOU | SP | SP | 141.4 |
31 | Kenta Maeda | MIN | SP | SP | 140.9 |
32 | Carlos Carrasco | NYM | SP | SP | 140.1 |
33 | Josh Hader | MIL | RP | RP | 137.9 |
34 | German Marquez | COL | SP | SP | 137.3 |
35 | Jack Flaherty | STL | SP | SP | 134.8 |
36 | Aaron Nola | PHI | SP | SP | 132.5 |
37 | Tyler Mahle | CIN | SP | SP | 131.8 |
38 | Mike Minor | KC | SP | SP | 131.5 |
39 | Freddy Peralta | MIL | SP | SP | 131.3 |
40 | Jake Odorizzi | HOU | SP | SP | 130.3 |
41 | Kyle Hendricks | CHC | SP | SP | 129.9 |
42 | Zach Eflin | PHI | SP | SP | 128.2 |
43 | Chris Paddack | SD | SP | SP | 127.4 |
44 | Raisel Iglesias | LAA | RP | RP | 126 |
45 | Danny Duffy | KC | SP | SP | 125.7 |
46 | Alex Cobb | LAA | SP | SP | 125.7 |
47 | Framber Valdez | HOU | SP | SP | 125.3 |
48 | Chris Bassitt | OAK | SP | SP | 125 |
49 | Julio Urias | LAD | SP | SP | 124.6 |
50 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | SP | SP | 124.5 |
51 | Frankie Montas | OAK | SP | SP | 124.2 |
52 | Trevor Rogers | MIA | SP | SP | 123.5 |
53 | Sean Manaea | OAK | SP | SP | 123.4 |
54 | Alex Reyes | STL | RP | RP | 123.1 |
55 | Clayton Kershaw | LAD | SP | SP | 122.7 |
56 | Will Smith | ATL | RP | RP | 122.6 |
57 | Jordan Montgomery | NYY | SP | SP | 121.6 |
58 | Drew Rasmussen | TB | RP | RP | 120.6 |
59 | Chris Sale | BOS | SP | SP | 120.5 |
60 | Alex Wood | SF | SP | SP | 119.6 |
61 | Eduardo Rodriguez | BOS | SP | SP | 118.2 |
62 | Yusei Kikuchi | SEA | SP | SP | 118 |
63 | Ian Anderson | ATL | SP | SP | 117.7 |
64 | Nathan Eovaldi | BOS | SP | SP | 117.2 |
65 | Taijuan Walker | NYM | SP | SP | 116.8 |
66 | Sonny Gray | CIN | SP | SP | 116.4 |
67 | Zach Plesac | CLE | SP | SP | 114.6 |
68 | Craig Kimbrel | CHC | RP | RP | 114.5 |
69 | Ryan Pressly | HOU | RP | RP | 114.1 |
70 | Marcus Stroman | NYM | SP | SP | 114 |
71 | Stephen Strasburg | WSH | SP | SP | 110.9 |
72 | Griffin Canning | LAA | SP | SP | 110.5 |
73 | Kyle Gibson | TEX | SP | SP | 109.1 |
74 | Dylan Cease | CHW | SP | SP | 108.7 |
75 | James Karinchak | CLE | RP | RP | 108.2 |
76 | Brady Singer | KC | SP | SP | 107.6 |
77 | Dallas Keuchel | CHW | SP | SP | 107.6 |
78 | Domingo German | NYY | SP | SP | 107.1 |
79 | Matt Barnes | BOS | RP | RP | 106.8 |
80 | Jhoulys Chacin | COL | RP | RP | 106.1 |
81 | Kenley Jansen | LAD | RP | RP | 106.1 |
82 | Jesus Luzardo | OAK | SP | SP | 105.6 |
83 | Marco Gonzales | SEA | SP | SP | 105 |
84 | Rich Hill | TB | SP | SP | 104.8 |
85 | Michael Pineda | MIN | SP | SP | 104.6 |
86 | Adam Wainwright | STL | SP | SP | 104 |
87 | Luis Garcia | HOU | SP | SP | 104 |
88 | Alek Manoah | TOR | SP | SP | 103.9 |
89 | Anthony DeSclafani | SF | SP | SP | 103.7 |
90 | Johnny Cueto | SF | SP | SP | 103.1 |
91 | Tarik Skubal | DET | SP | SP | 101.4 |
92 | Brad Keller | KC | SP | SP | 101 |
93 | Shohei Ohtani | LAA | SP | SP | 100.9 |
94 | Steven Matz | TOR | SP | SP | 100.6 |
95 | Jameson Taillon | NYY | SP | SP | 100.5 |
96 | Merrill Kelly | ARI | SP | SP | 100.5 |
97 | Zac Gallen | ARI | SP | SP | 100.3 |
98 | Nick Pivetta | BOS | SP | SP | 100.3 |
99 | Taylor Rogers | MIN | RP | RP | 99 |
100 | Brad Hand | WSH | RP | RP | 97.9 |
Hit me up here or on Twitter @deltaxi1842 to tell me just how wrong I am. And try Zapps chips, they’re great.