Happy Monday, Razzball faithful!
It’s the most wonderful time of the year.
If you think drafting a league against a bunch of Fantasy Baseball ‘experts’ with a 4-hour pick clock is stressful…well, what would you say if I told you it’s even more stressful to do three of those drafts at once?
We began our TGFBI draft on Monday, March 3rd. Then, our favorite Points-league baby, RazzSlam 6, started on March 5th. And, because I’m a glutton for punishment, insanity, and spreadsheet tracking madness, I was part of the Fantasy Six Pack draft that started on that same Wednesday morning as the RazzSlam.
Yes, Fred. It’s a little bit insane.
Next week, I’ll discuss the RazzSlam results when the draft finishes, but today I’ll share a different set of notes alongside my Top 100 Starting Pitchers list.
For those who might not be aware, TGFBI is Justin Mason’s creation and is filled with baseball writers and podcasters from around the world. It’s a 5X5 league that uses Rotisserie style scoring, $1000 FAAB for free agent pickups, and NO TRADES (to eliminate that nasty threat of collusion between teams).
Many of us Razzball writers play in this league every year, and this year was no exception. I was happy to see my colleague and compadre The Lineup Builder (Derek) in my TGFI draft. The only problem with this was that it meant it would be a lot tougher to hit on certain targets from my draft notes. Derek is a great player and having him in my draft room meant there would be no sneaky bargains to be had.
After the draft finished, I thought about a different way to incorporate our TGFBI information into the Top 100 Starting Pitchers list this week.
I replaced the Average ADP column from previous weeks with a new column titled, “TGFBI LEAGUE SP ORDER”. This is where I input our league’s draft spot for each starter on my Top 100 list. For example, my 7th ranked SP, Dylan Cease, was the 12th SP off the board in this draft.
I’ll add Derek’s TLB image to show which players were his picks.
And, of course, I’ll add in the Marmo image to indicate which arms I selected.
Then, at the bottom of the list, I’ll write up each player that Derek and I took throughout the draft.
Another piece of information that might be of interest, Derek picked right in the middle of our draft board at 8th overall while I figuratively sat at the back of the room with the 14th pick.
I updated the “WHEE” and “OOF” sections because of the injuries rolling out over the past couple of weeks. I also missed some names last week that were too good to leave off the list, so I wiped the bottom of the board and re-sorted a bit.
BUT before we get into it, we have a bit of business to take care of first. If you haven’t signed up for it, The Razzball Fantasy Baseball Subscription should be your go-to reference for the entire season. It will save you a lot of time researching and often includes solutions to those “Oh, I never thought about that” questions that arise throughout the year. The Streamonator is also a helpful resource when making lineup decisions. If you subscribe early enough, you’ll also get access to the War Room. Rudy’s tools are well worth the price of admission. If you’re serious about improving throughout the season, check the link, yo.
Also! Don’t forget to sign up for a Razzball Commenter League. The RCLs are some of the toughest competition in the business. So if you’re looking for a challenge, click that link and join us for a league or two.
Editor’s Note: There’s THIS FREE LEAGUE drafting at 9PM ET tomorrow (Tuesday) night and there’s still TWO SPOTS in one of our more competitive money leagues, DFSers Anonymous. If you tried to enter last week, there was a glitch that was keeping people out, try again! We had a few dropouts this season who couldn’t handle the competition, we’re drafting Thursday night (3/20) at 9 PM ET. $25 to get in, we pay the top three 150/100/50. Come join the fun!
One final caveat before we get to the list. Remember that each manager often employs a different strategy or build, so some picks might be different than they will be in your league. It’s worth noting that TGBI is not a keeper league, so mining the deep names for rookie upside or taking too many minor league players will often seal your fate early. You need counting stats right from day one if you want to compete with these players!
The Top 100 Starting Pitchers for 2025
SP RANK | NAME | TEAM | TGFBI LEAGUE
SP ORDER |
GREY’s
RANKINGS |
NOTES |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Paul Skenes | PIT | 1 | 1 | |
2 | Tarik Skubal | DET | 2 | 2 | |
3 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | 3 | 3 | |
4 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | 4 | 4 | |
5 | Cole Ragans | KC | 11 | 7 | ![]() My SP1 |
6 | Garrett Crochet | BOS | 6 | 12 | |
7 | Dylan Cease | SD | 12 | 6 | |
8 | Corbin Burnes | ARI | 7 | 20 | |
9 | Michael King | SD | 15 | 11 | |
10 | Framber Valdez | HOU | 17 | 8 | |
11 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | 16 | 15 | ![]() My SP2 |
12 | Chris Sale | ATL | 9 | 19 | |
13 | Tyler Glasnow | LAD | 25 | 34 | I had a feeling I should have jumped earlier for Glasnow. He went right after I took Bregman (7th RD) and Bichette (8th RD). |
14 | Shota Imanaga | CHC | 18 | 13 | |
15 | Blake Snell | LAD | 5 | 10 | |
16 | George Kirby | SEA | 8 | 5 | I moved him out of the Top 10 last week, then read that the injury may not be as serious as they thought. Talk about yelling FIRE in a crowded draft room. Overreaction soon to correct itself. |
17 | Pablo Lopez | MIN | 13 | 22 | |
18 | Jacob deGrom | TEX | 10 | 18 | |
19 | Roki Sasaki | LAD | 28 | 17 | ![]() TLB’s SP2 |
20 | Bailey Ober | MIN | 23 | 23 | |
21 | Bryce Miller | SEA | 29 | 14 | 10 out of 15 picks in RD 8 were SPs. I had to wait for the draft to come back down to me in the 9th RD. |
22 | Spencer Schwellenbach | ATL | 26 | 16 | |
23 | Joe Ryan | MIN | 22 | 41 | |
24 | Sonny Gray | STL | 34 | 28 | |
25 | Freddy Peralta | MLW | 37 | 32 | |
26 | Zac Gallen | ARI | 33 | 25 | He’s still not going as high as I assumed he would. You may be able to sneak in and grab a solid arm here around SP30. |
27 | Hunter Greene | CIN | 19 | 40 | Spring Training noise pushed him up in our TGFBI draft. |
28 | Max Fried | NYY | 24 | 39 | |
29 | Luis Castillo | SEA | 30 | 38 | |
30 | Logan Webb | SF | 39 | 24 | |
31 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | 20 | 29 | |
32 | Aaron Nola | PHI | 21 | 42 | ![]() TLB’s SP1 |
33 | Bryan Woo | SEA | 38 | 26 | ![]() My SP3. What a surprise. |
34 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | 46 | 57 | Splits the difference between me and Grey here. |
35 | Spencer Strider | ATL | 27 | 59 | Beat writers are whispering he might be back as early as late April. |
36 | Jack Flaherty | DET | 48 | 31 | |
37 | Shohei Ohtani | LAD | N/A | 9 | |
38 | Shane McClanahan | TB | 40 | 60 | |
39 | Hunter Brown | HOU | 31 | 30 | I’m likely too low on him here. |
40 | Jared Jones | PIT | 36 | 33 | He went 3 picks before my 9th RD selection. I’m pretty sure you can guess woo I took. |
41 | Kodai Senga | NYM | 46 | 58 | Some are scared by the injury risk. Some are pumped about a perceived discount. There will be more than one owner in each of those camps in every draft room this Spring. |
42 | Yusei Kikuchi | LAA | 44 | 63 | Down a bit from last week. |
43 | Carlos Rodon | NYY | 47 | 35 | ![]() TLB’s SP3 |
44 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | 50 | 61 | |
45 | Cristopher Sanchez | PHI | 51 | 49 | |
46 | Justin Steele | CHC | 35 | 36 | I won’t own him anywhere but I’m ok with missing out on what will likely be a strong season. |
47 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI | 41 | 37 | |
48 | Robbie Ray | SFG | 45 | 48 | |
49 | Reynaldo Lopez | ATL | 49 | 44 | |
50 | Seth Lugo | KC | 52 | 43 | |
51 | Shane Baz | TB | 42 | 54 | |
52 | Taj Bradley | TB | 55 | 55 | |
53 | Gavin Williams | CLE | 57 | 83 | I’m officially buying into the hype. |
54 | Nick Pivetta | S.D. | 54 | 50 | |
55 | Zach Eflin | BAL | 53 | 45 | If you’re looking to shore up the WHIP category with a lower ranked arm, this is your guy. |
56 | Ranger Suarez | PHI | 73 | 47 | ![]() TLB’s SP5 |
57 | Bowden Francis | TOR | 61 | 56 | ![]() My SP4 |
58 | Jose Berrios | TOR | 69 | 71 | ![]() My SP5 |
59 | MacKenzie Gore | SD | 67 | 66 | |
60 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | 59 | 46 | ![]() TLB’s SP4 |
61 | Tanner Houck | BOS | 70 | 68 | |
62 | Jesus Luzardo | PHI | 71 | 65 | |
63 | Ronel Blanco | HOU | 56 | 64 | |
64 | Reese Olson | DET | 77 | 67 | This feels like a really good price on Olson. He’s looked great this Spring. |
65 | Spencer Arrighetti | HOU | 60 | 53 | I like him a lot but the BB/9 issue needs to be corrected before I jump in at this price. |
66 | Nick Lodolo | CIN | 74 | 75 | |
67 | Mitch Keller | PIT | 75 | 79 | |
68 | Ryan Pepiot | TB | 43 | 52 | Too rich for my blood. |
69 | Jackson Jobe | DET | 68 | 73 | This felt like a “get your guy” kind of reach based on the ADP, but it wasn’t that far off of his ranking in here. |
70 | Jeffrey Springs | ATH | 76 | 105 | Injury history and an offense boosting home park = no thank you. |
71 | Dustin May | LAD | 105 | 88 | It looks like he’s won the LAD 5th starter spot. If he shows he’s healthy, he’ll move up the list quickly. The TGFBI pick was before Gonsolin went down to injury. |
72 | Max Scherzer | TOR | 88 | 122 | He’s been throwing well this Spring. If you temper your expectations to 90-100 IP, you should be happy with the results. |
73 | Yu Darvish | SD | 72 | 72 | |
74 | Chris Bassitt | TOR | 109 | 90 | |
75 | Ryan Weathers | MIA | 94 | N/R | More below. |
76 | Clay Holmes | NYM | 78 | 96 | More below. |
77 | Nestor Cortes | MLW | 79 | 107 | |
78 | Merrill Kelly | ARI | 93 | 103 | A yawner, but a good arm to help fill out your fantasy staff. |
79 | Brandon Woodruff | MLW | 64 | 106 | Some guys I’m willing to accept the injury risk. Some of them I’m not. Guess which side of that line Woodruff falls on. |
80 | Brady Singer | CIN | 102 | 91 | ![]() TLB’s SP6 |
81 | Brayan Bello | BOS | 92 | 78 | Injury news affects this one. He’s been ruled out for Opening Day. |
82 | Clarke Schmidt | NYY | 58 | 85 | I don’t know how much I trust taking him in the 50s with reports of back problems. |
83 | Michael Wacha | KC | 83 | 69 | |
84 | Walker Buehler | BOS | 66 | 104 | |
85 | Matthew Boyd | CHC | 95 | 76 | |
86 | David Peterson | NYM | 99 | 85 | Didn’t make it back to me in the 23rd RD. |
87 | Jose Soriano | LAA | 91 | 101 | I guess someone else likes the strikeout upside too. |
88 | Drew Rasmussen | TB | 65 | 87 | See Woodruff, Brandon. |
89 | Tobias Myers | MLW | 97 | 80 | It was between him and Uceta in RD 22. I went with the upside reliever. |
90 | Jameson Taillon | CHC | 103 | 91 | |
91 | Luis Gil | NYY | 86 | 62 | Out for 3 months. This one was a timed-out auto-pick for someone. Oof. Still a fine pick if you’re in a keeper league. |
92 | Chris Bassitt | TOR | 109 | 90 | ![]() My SP7 |
93 | Cody Bradford | TEX | 85 | 74 | Will start the year on the IL. |
94 | Tomoyuki Sugano | BAL | 100 | 77 | ![]() My SP6 |
95 | Luis Severino | ATH | 81 | 97 | I likely have him too low here, but that Sacramento park scares me a bit for ATH pitchers. |
96 | Grant Holmes | ATL | 82 | 111 | I wrote last week that he’s been in more “sleeper” talks than I can count. Then he was picked about 5 selections after I finished typing it up last Sunday afternoon. |
97 | Grayson Rodriguez | BAL | 32 | 27 | This shows how optimistic I am that the elbow irritation is a minor concern. |
98 | Michael Soroka | WSH | 90 | N/R | |
99 | Max Meyer | MIA | 96 | N/R | |
100 | Bubba Chandler | PIT | 80 | N/R | He’ll be drafted in your redraft league. And if he’s not already gone in your keeper league, get on it. |
Unranked pitchers taken in the draft – Erick Fedde (84), David Festa (87), Sean Manaea (89), Nick Martinez (98), Reid Detmers (104)
Some notes on our draft choices (with the SP spot from the draft in parentheses)
Our “Aces” – aka SP1 and SP2
Cole Ragans (SP11) – I needed an ace and I wanted one who can give me a bunch of strikeouts. Taking a guy who is projected by all of the systems to have a 10+ K/9 is a good enough start for me at this price. Ragans was my Round 4 choice on the way back up to the top after I chose Yordan Alvarez, Jackson Chourio, and Pete Alonso with my first 3 picks.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (SP16) – Right after I took Cole Ragans in the 4th round, the closer run started. NINE closers went off the board before the draft came back to me so I chose Robert Suarez with my 5th round pick and Yoshi on the way back up in Round 6. I had set the maximum pick on Yamamoto for a while at 77th overall until he went a bit later in a few other leagues (81st, 82nd and 83rd). I’ll take that as my SP2.
Aaron Nola (SP21) – Don’t worry. The Lineup Builder did take some starters after all. In chatting with Derek, he let me know that he was going to try to load up on hitters and wait as long as he could to start to draft pitching. We agreed that the starting pitching pool is SO deep this year, that it’s not a bad decision to make, especially in a league like this. I’m not a big Aaron Nola fan, but you can’t argue with the track record. Derek secured his SP1 on the way down in round 7.
Roki Sasaki (SP28) – Taking three pitchers in rounds 4, 5, 6 was enough to scare me into drafting hitting for the next two rounds. I was so tempted to jump in and take Sasaki in round 7 and 8, but ultimately went wth Alex Bregman and Bo Bichette to shore up more of my infield. Glasnow, Schwellenbach, and Spencer Strider went after my pick and Derek landed a pretty sweet SP2 in the 8th round.
Our Mid-Rotation Arms – aka SP3 and SP4
Bryan Woo (SP38) – This one is like playing a game of hide and seek, but without the hiding part. Anyone who has been following along this year, (or last summer, to be honest), knows about my burgeoning mancrush for all that is Woo. Did I reach for him? Possibly. But I wasn’t very stressed about missing out on Shane McClanahan, Ryan Pepiot, or Brandon Pfaadt – the three SPs that went after I took Woo. For what it’s Werth, fellow Marm-obsession Jared Jones went three picks before this as the SP36. This was the end of RD 9.
Carlos Rodon (SP47) – I took a hiatus from the pitching picks for a while after Woo, and we didn’t have another starter drafted by one of our teams until Derek took Carlos Rodon as his SP3 in round 12. Rodon was sandwiched right in the middle of Kevin Gausman, Kodai Senga, Jack Flaherty, and Reynaldo Lopez. Again, TLB might have been drafting from my list of fades, but this is very similar to the Nola pick. Choosing Rodon here is great value for a pitcher who has shown he can dominate. I might not be a believer in Rodon but the Yankees will be leaning on him now more than ever with the Gerrit Cole injury. A solid 12th RD pick.
Nathan Eovaldi (SP59) – Round 15 was where both Derek and I added our SP4s. Derek plucked Eovaldi out of a pocket of arms that I really like. Round 15 SPs went Taj Bradley, Ronel Blanco, Gavin Williams (ooh!), Clarke Schmidt, then Eovaldi. Spencer Arrighetti was selected right after Derek’s pick so that left me with…
Bowden Francis (SP61) – Taking Bowden Francis as my SP4 felt good. I tried to address other roster spots between my SP3 and SP4 picks and it was past the time to pick up another solid arm. Late summer success and Blue Jays homerism put Francis smack dab in the middle of my radar, but it was nice to get some confirmation bias when I listened to Eno Sarris this winter on a podcast.
To paraphrase, Bowden Francis has the ‘biggest movement’ of anyone in major league baseball. The big curveball is complemented by a running fastball. It’s not dominating stuff, but he throws strikes. That’s a good enough endorsement for me…even if there was an admission that Bowden tends to give up too many homers. The good news is if you’re in the nerdiest fraternity in the world, you can likely make a drinking game out of how many times you see Bowden Francis on every ‘sleeper list’ this Spring.
Our Back-End – aka SP5
Jose Berrios (SP69) – After round 15, I took Christian Encarnacion Strand as my CM. Then, on the way back down in the 17th round, I took Jose Berrios as my SP5. I saw Francis and Berris as interchangeable, so it felt more like SP4A and SP4B with these two. The Spring Training narrative goes both ways, so I don’t put too much stock into the small sample size, but it was reassuring to see Berrios with this line against some lesser known Atlanta Braves yesterday. 6 IP, 4H, 0ER, 0BB, 7Ks. Hey, it’s better than putting up a stinker and making me question if I should have taken Tanner Houck or Jesus Luzardo instead! If Spring stats are your thing, Berrios ranks 9th in K/BB among starting pitchers.
Ranger Suarez (SP73) – Derek’s SP5 was his 18th round selection. You can’t go wrong picking a Phillies starter this late. I was a bit concerned about the back injury last year, but Suarez came back in late August and pitched in the playoffs, so hopefully the back issues are behind him (no pun intended…kind of). When we get this deep, there are tiny warts or risks in every pick. Heck, even Jose Berrios could revert to his 2022 self (please, God, no). But taking Ranger Suarez before Nick Lodolo, Mitch Keller, and Jeffrey Springs is a shrewd selection that I would have gambled on as well.
Our Rotation Depth – aka Reserve SPs
Tomoyuki Sugano (SP100) – We’re into the end game now, folks! It was CoolWhip who first shared Sugano news with us this winter in our writers’ Discord, and as soon as he said that this guy was nicknamed “Japan’s Greg Maddux”, I took notes. Itch just listed Sugano in his bold predictions post as a possible 15-game winner wth a 3.15 ERA and I swooned so hard I nearly hurt my back. I’ll gladly join ‘The Century Club’ with my SP6! Give me some Sugar, baby!
Brady Singer (SP102) – The Reds’ newest starter went right after I took Sugano and another manager took Lucas Giolito. At this point, we’re drafting volume and Singer should provide just that. The Reds’ home park might be a bit scary for a starting pitcher, but Singer’s GB% (nearly 50%) will play there. If anything, he’ll be a good streamer away from Great American Ballpark for innings and strikeouts.
Chris Bassitt (SP109) – Honestly, I didn’t come into this draft thinking I would come out of it with 60% of the Blue Jays starting rotation, but here we are. I was not planning on taking Bassitt, but he sat there for three full rounds before I finally decided it was worth the risk to take him as a backup pitcher for my reserve list. Not bad for an SP7.
Will Warren (SP124) – The news about Gerrit Cole had just broken when we reached round 27, so Will Warren was a worthwhile gamble at this point in the draft. When the alternatives (and next three arms taken) were Charlie Morton, Landon Roupp, and Ryne Nelson, I think it was a decent reserve pick.
That’s it for our Starting Pitchers from our TGFBI draft! There were some pretty solid choices in some bargain sections, and I’m looking forward to the season. Hopefully, The Lineup Builder doesn’t build too much of a lead early and I can keep pace throughout the summer!
If you liked this format, let me know in the comments and I can do up the RazzSlam draft the same way next week (if it’s done by then!).
Here are some notes about the changes to the list today too.
WHEE! – These players launched on to the Top 100 list this week.
Clay Holmes – I should have had him in the list earlier than this so here he is today. I’m concerned about Holmes’ transition back to the rotation after never throwing more than 70 innings in a season. As far as talent is concerned, Holmes’ strikeout potential is great and his ability to suppress home runs is excellent. I just can’t see him throwing more than 100-120 innings. Steamer has him projected at 155 IP, but I’d take the under on that one.
Nestor Cortes – I’m not a fan and I was not surprised when the Yankees banished him to the bullpen last year. That said, he should be a source of innings on a good Milwaukee team without much competition for a rotation spot. I’m not sold on Woodruff staying healthy either, and an injury there means yet another open rotation spot if/when it happens. Jacob Misiorowski is a good growth stock, but I don’t think he’s ready to push Cortes to the pen just yet.
Michael Soroka – Whoa! Look at who is back with something to prove this preseason! The last time he threw significant innings was 6 years ago (174 IP in 2019) but Spring training numbers are encouraging. 11.57 K/9 and 1.29 BB/9 in a small sample size from the Calgary, Alberta native looks great, but this is more about him locking down a rotation spot over DJ Herz and Cade Cavalli.
Ryan Weathers – Oh boy. There’s a theme with these “WHEE!” guys this week and there might be no bigger “WHEE!” than Ryan Weathers. We could use the same argument about limited innings as we used with Clay Holmes above, but the fact that Weathers has touched 102 MPH this Spring is enough for me to add him to the list, and roll the dice on him late in drafts. Itch had a bold prediction of 200Ks and a 2.75 ERA for Weathers, but my favorite graphic that sums up the Ryan Weathers love comes from CoolWhip.
Max Meyer – I had David Festa in here, but with Chris Paddack throwing well and Zebby Matthews coming back strong after a hip scare, I went with Max Meyer instead. Meyer looks like the favorite to break camp in the rotation and these kinds of kids with pedigree, (3rd overall in 2020 draft), often get multiple chances to show what they can do.
Almost Lucas Giolito – I was all ready to add him to the list. Then his hamstring started barking and Alex Cora announced that Giolito will start the season on the 15-day IL. Woof.
OOF! – These players fell off the Top 100 list this last week.
Gerrit Cole – TJS and finished until mid-summer…2026.
Kutter Crawford – The optimistic part of me says at least it’s his knee and not a shoulder or elbow injury. The realistic part of me says I don’t want any part of this until or unless he proves he’s 100% healthy and ready to return.
Eduardo Rodriguez – Steady Eddy loses out on a spot to younger and more exciting arms.
Justin Verlander – If we had a list of 105, he’d still be in there.
Charlie Morton – He hasn’t done anything wrong AND his Spring numbers are strong, but there are too many younger arms making noise this month. I’d rather go with upside late in the draft than old and somewhat reliable.
Jose Quintana – Both he and Heaney were added more so to point out they signed with a team. He’ll be serviceable, but…see EdRod above.
Andrew Heaney – A lot of the bottom 10-ish guys are even more fluid from week-to-week than the rest of the list. This won’t be the last time we see guys like Heaney and Quintana in 2025.
That’s all for this week! I hope you enjoyed it! Next week, I’ll likely include the Top 100 list again with a few updates in the notes section like I did this week, along with the RazzSlam results from my draft room too!
Drop some comments in the chat if you’re feeling extra fired up about some of the names I do (or don’t) have here. Have a great week!
Follow me @marmosdad on Twitter/X and Bluesky @marmosdad.bsky.social
Helpful stuff, MD. Thank you.
Some deep tinkering here, but was likely too impressed with myself with a final round drafting of Dustin May. Since then, the Scherzer owner got spooked and dropped him. Checked your ranks & they’re one damn spot apart. In the 70s, so what am I really stressing over! Buuut, with a roster of other sort of consistent but maybe meh arms (Bryce Miller, Eovaldi, Gray, Steele) & a couple fun ones (Schwellenbach & Jobe), might Scherzer fit in better than the Dodger’s 5th starter at best? Thanks again!
Hey zombie,
I don’t mind your current rotation at all. Love Miller and Schwellenbach. Jobe is a great upside play. Steele is really good too (even if I’m not a big fan). Sonny Gray is always underrated but equally good. Eovaldi should be serviceable too.
It boils down to what you think is your best bet for production there. Scherzer looks good (as long as his thumb issue doesn’t linger) but if Dustin May is healthy then I’d go with May. That LAD offense is going to push him to a lot of wins if he can consistently throw 6 innings a game.
I said earlier that anything above 90-100 IP for Max is likely gravy. If May’s arm is strong, I would imagine he pitches considerably more than 100 innings. The torn esophagus was a brutal injury last year but certainly shouldn’t affect his arm rehab.
Thanks again. Much appreciated, MD!
Hello. I just lost Ryan Weathers on a few teams. Out 4-6 weeks due to a left forearm strain. What are your thoughts on AJ Smith-Shawver?
Yep next man up for real life and for fantasy too I guess. I’m going to have to wait a bit to replace him in RazzSlam. Talk about going from a sneaky snipe pick to a face plant in less than a week. Oof.
Shawver is a fine add, especially if he locks down that final rotation spot. I haven’t had a chance to look at any news yet today though.
Everybody got a plan ‘til they get hit.
Anyway, got roped into a draft last night, 12th pick. Got Tucker and Tatis on the first turn then much, much later Weathers and Teodo at the very end 276/277. Teodo is just too darn good to be sent down, amiright?
No more drafts for me. All done. I’ve appreciated your assistance and all your work. Your rankings and commentary are quite valuable. Thanks!
Those are two solid picks in that spot. TGFBI I picked 14th out of 15 and took Yordan/Chourio.
Funny you mention Teodo. In our AL-only keep up to two $0 “franchise players” who haven’t appeared in the bigs yet. One for sure is Nick Kurtz, but my second is either Teodo or Jaison Chourio. I’d love to see them give Teodo the keys to the closer-mobile there.
Thanks for the kind words too. I really do appreciate it.
Hi MamosDad,
I just saw Justin Verlander is on the wire. Would you pick him
up or Birdsong or pass?
I would cut Lane Thomas or pass.
Another option is to cut Thomas and pick up the Phillies’ RP Kerkering.
Thanks!!
I can’t thank you enough!!
I’d hold what you’ve got there, Martin.
Great drafting with you MarmosDad. Unfortunately we can’t make trades in TGFBI because I really wanted Sugano as part of my patchwork staff.
Love all the names you cover here. Great work!
Thanks D!
Same! It was awesome to have you in the same draft room.
I like Sugano quite a bit. I was pretty stoked to be able to grab him when I could. Had him queued up in RazzSlam too but I tried a different strategy this year and loaded up on hitting (only three arms in my first 20 rounds) so he went before I was ready to reach for him.
My final 10 rounds are going to be pitchers if I can resist the temptation to grab a rookie hitter. Building the yellow brick road!
Hi Mamosdad,
How would you rate Nola, Sanchez, Ryan and Woo?
always enjoy your weekly column!
Thanks so much!!!
Hi Martin,
I acknowledge the bias here first and foremost, and some will disagree for sure but…
Ryan, Woo, Nola, Sanchez
I know I have Nola and Woo ranked 32/33 here but I would take Woo if both were on the board just because I like the potential upside from Woo.
The smart play is likely to take Nola over all of them with Ryan and Woo as a close second.
Thanks!!!
Pick 2 please: QS keeper.
Bubic, McGreevy, Megill, Fitts, Sproat, Sugano, Festa, Roupp and Zebby
If you’re leaning more towards the keeper potential than using these guys in 2025, I’d go with Sproat for sure then one of the Twins kids – your choice of Festa or Zebby.
If it’s for this year, Bubic and Sugano are the way to go from that list. I think Sugar ends up with a good share of QS.
Hey MarmosDad,
Looking for guidance on choosing my 6th keeper.
12-team 5×5 Roto
No round penalties.
2 C
1 each position
1 MI
1 CR
5 OF
1 U
9 P
Keeping:
SS Witt
MI- Elly
3b- Jazz
OF- Tucker
P- Crochet
I’m obviously happy with those 5 and love speed/power start
Options for 6th:
1b Naylor
3b Bregman
3b Caminero
OF Santander
P Strider
RP Clase
Each has its own rationale or value
Thanks… tough call!
I think in a 12 team / 6 keepers at the base of it all you just need to think of who is most likely to be ranked in the top 72 and go from there.
Even if Strider had a setback, (which I hope he does not), I think you have to go with him.
When you look at keeping only one pitcher and four hitters, I think it’s even more of a no-brainer.
how much faab for Eury out of $500? thanks!
Perez? Have to think he’d go cheap because he’s nowhere near returning.
Let’s say $6 just to be safe if anyone throws out a fin. Ha.
I always love these posts – but especially right now, as my main league’s draft has entered the “Reserve Draft” portion. It’s a 14-teamer where we auction draft our starting lineups and then do a 10-round slow (unlimited time per pick) draft for the bench.
Curious about your thoughts on some guys who don’t make your list, as I’m targeting some deep pitching options later on…
JP Sears
Griffin Canning
Kris Bubic
Paddack & Woods-Richardson
Painter
McGreevy
Any thoughts would be appreciated.
If it’s a redraft I’d look at Bubic first then maybe Canning – he’s been throwing really well. Paddack has had a good spring too.
If it’s a keeper, it’s Painter by a long shot. The only reason I wouldn’t say him in redraft is because I don’t think we see him before June/July.
Happy Monday MarmosDad!
We had our H2H points draft last night, and I think you might see some of your influence in my picks:
Framber (6), Bryce Miller (7), Gallen (10), Sonny Gray (11), Woo (lucky 13!), Jared Jones (15), Bowden Francis (16), Arrighetti (17), Pivetta (18), Gavin Williams (19), Tomoyuki Sugano (20), Grant Holmes (21)
It’s a shallow league, and in this points league I punt Catcher and bench bats, usually ignore relievers, and stock up on SP’s.
Question #1: The fact that Holmes (along with Francis) is an SP/RP in Y! escaped my attention, and so I used my last pick to draft Griffin Jax to fill an RP slot that didn’t need filling. I’m not rushing to drop him, but if I did who do you like best:
David Peterson, Drew Rasmussen, or Mike Soroka? I would consider Bubba too but would prefer to see him on the roster.
Question #2: Would you IL-stash any of the following:
Bello, Tobias Myers, Cody Bradford, Manaea? Keeping in mind that I would have to drop an SP (or Jax) to activate them once healthy.
Thanks!
PS – three Blue Jays pitchers?? I’m rootin’ for ya!
Haha! That’s a MarmosDad draft sheet for pitchers right there for sure!
1. Peterson is probably tops there but Soroka has pitched well and looks like a man on a mission.
2. I’d be tempted to stash any of the three – I like them all – but if you want a tiebreaker, go with whoever is due to come back first. I usually look at that and what the nature of the injury is – if it’s an arm injury I will hesitate a bit more than. If it’s a knee or foot kind of thing.
Thanks MarmosDad!
Based on Rudy’s Steamer data, Peterson is a clear winner in this league.
That makes sense. I know Grey likes him at his draft price this year too.
Bassit, Berrios and Francis…sheesh. Go Jays, go! How many Toronto hitters did you nab?
Question: I’ve drafted 5 teams so far and I’ve been waiting, waiting, waiting on pitching this season. My first three SPs in four of five leagues have been Bryce Miller, Hunter Brown and Bryan Woo. Also have Clay Holmes, Christopher Sanchez and Casey Mize on all 5 teams. Two more drafts remain and I’m wondering if I should diversify my SPs a bit? Whadayasay?
Alec! I swear I probably would’ve taken Romano too if he fell to me. In my defense, I’d blame that one on the eldest Marmo-let. It’s his favorite pitcher. Needless to say, he was none too happy about the DFA.
Honestly, the SP pool this year is SO deep it’s kind of silly. It’s also funny you mention diversifying the rotations too. I had that same wonder last night in the $20 RCL (#18 if anyone cares!). I had Woo all queued up to nab in Round 10 and was kind of weighing whether I should take another share or not. Luckily, Kirby fell to me so it wasn’t much of a decision to stress over after that.
It’s a tough one to answer. Part of me wants to say “Load up on your guys, especially if you’ve done the research. They’re your guys for a reason so go get them everywhere.” The more rational side says to be careful and that one bad injury will affect every team you have.
It’s tough, but I think that’s why I identify so many arms I like this year just so I can do a bit of both. I have Woo almost everywhere and have more than a couple of shares of Yoshi too.
Where do you see the Jays finishing this season? Can they avoid the cellar?
The only real, tangible concern I have about Miller and Woo is that their start times are usually past my bedtime. I am setting a 6am alarm for tomorrow to watch the Tokyo game. Can’t pass-up an opportunity to root against the Dodgers. And I have way too many shares of Kyle Tucker.
I really hope they don’t finish in the cellar but the other teams in that division are so strong it wouldn’t surprise me. It also would surprise me if they finished last in their division with more wins than whoever wins the AL Central.
West coast players always go for cheap in our AL only auction. Lots of guys want to watch their players and no one wants to stay up late. Haha!
I know he didnt make the cut but any eyes on Megill? He is my E. Cabrera. I buy in every year thinking his filthy stuff will work and he flashes and fizzles.
Im nervous about Francis as everyone is touting him.
I am optimistic about Gausman. He looks better. Maybe he fixed something?
Why down a bit on Kikuchi? Wasnt his last start an 8K outing?
Looking forward to next update.
I like Megill too but I just think there’s too much competition for the back end of that rotation even with the injuries to Manaea and Montas. Griffin Canning SZN is upon us too. (I feel gross just typing that).
Francis seems like everyone’s darling. I know he won’t wow anyone with the strikeout totals, but those gems he pitched in the last couple of months last year were pretty unbelievable.
Gausman has always been solid. If the splitter is splitting and he isn’t leaving pitches up, I can see a bounceback. Father Time isn’t on his side, though.
The Kikuchi thing wasn’t so much a punishment drop as it was a market correction. I was likely too high on him from the start, so I moved a couple of other names ahead of him that I’m a bit more bullish on. He’s a sneaky value arm for sure, though. I think he’ll have a great year in LAA.
Critique my 12 team Points h2h redraft pitching staff please. Went bat heavy and didn’t grab a #1 or even a top ranked #2.
DeGrom, Woo, Sanchez, Strider, Luzardo, Bibee, Ray and Schellenbach. Need 5 SP
Martin and Estevez in the bullpen, need two.
And thanks
I love Woo, Bibee, and Schwellenbach. All of those guys could/should break out in a big way this year.
Sanchez is a good arm who feels undervalued in drafts too.
Ray is a Razzball darling for a few of the writers. If he’s healthy, he’ll post some great numbers too.
deGrom and Strider are scary because of the injury potential, and to a lesser degree Luzardo, but if you’re going to roll the dice on injury risks there aren’t many other names I’d go with. Maybe Sandy Alcantara too, but those three are good gambles.
It looks good!
Thanks for the post! Looking for feedback on my fantasy team last night. It’s a 5 player keeper league. 10 team standard 5X5. I kept ohtani. Tatis. Crochet. Degrom. Strider. It’s rutschman burelson altuve Chisholm O Cruz. Tatis yelich Robert. Ohtani Chapman.(2 utility). Neto I have to il Crochet degrom strider I have to il. Schwellenbach. Greene. Woo. Gore. G Williams. Buehler. Helsley megill c Martin for saves. I know I went heavy with the amount of pitchers. I just liked gore Williams and buehler this year and wanted to feel out how they did to start the year.
That’s a great list of names no matter the size of the league. In a 10-team mixed league, you’ll have quite a bit of waiver wire help available too if anyone goes down to injury. That makes those IL stashes a lot less painful even if they’re out long-term.
Make sure to check out JKJ’s reliever posts. I had his list open all week for the one SVHD league (That Fantasy six-pack series) and the RCL from last night too.
Thanks for the tip and yeah I feel like the team is constructed unintentionally as a injury prone team so hopefully i get some good waiver help throughout the year.
If you can slot players on an IL and pick up free replacements without having to drop a player, sometimes that’s enough incentive to gamble on guys with a spotty injury history.
Always appreciate your work, MD! Maybe it’s because I’ve got a couple of the Blue Jays that you scooped up, but I like the staff. Good luck this year!
I’m working my way through a 50-round, slow draft and hold and wanted to get your take on building a staff in this format. Relievers were pushed way up the board, mostly at the expense of starters, so I may have been too aggressive in the earlier rounds when I started scooping up arms. Through 28 rounds, I’ve got:
Framber (5), Imanaga (6), Robert Suarez (7), Peralta (9), Finnegan (13), Lugo (15), May (17), Jax (19), Peterson (23), Bassitt (25), and Abreu (26).
How many SPs and RPs should I be aiming to carry in this kind of format?
Of the starters in the queue, are there any that are especially interesting to you:
Lowder, Woods-Richardson, Kremer, Stroman, E Cabrera, Detmers, Sears, Boyle, Lively, Mize, Parker, Heaney, Hicks, Gonsolin, Bradford (he’s got to be coming up soon, the injury discount will hold only so long), Ben Brown, Hancock, Sproat, Painter, Festa, Priester, Povich…
Now that we’re into the 400s, I feel like ADP really doesn’t matter much. If you’re seeing a must-have arm, I’ll pounce.
Hey Hooper!
Ya like I said above, I didn’t really plan on grabbing any Jays pitchers other than Bowden but the price just kept dropping so I ended up with three. At least it’ll give me another reason to watch the games on TV. Ha.
I assume the league is a redraft (not keeper) and uses Roto scoring categories?
The only reason I ask is that Points leagues seem to devalue pitching in favor of hitting – at least that’s what the RazzSlam does. Also, if it’s a redraft then there’s less of a focus on potential vs ‘win now’ production.
Assuming it’s 5X5 roto and redraft, I don’t mind that balance at all. Framber is a good arm that should provide you with volume. I LOVE Imanaga (but somehow haven’t gotten any shares at all yet). Freddy KBB is a great source for Ks too.
Your closer selections should be solid. I have Suarez in TGFBI and I know JKJ is a big fan of Finnegan and your setup guys there because of ratio and K upside.
We’re into the late 300s in RazzSlam and I’m heading into 9 straight pitcher picks so I know exactly where you’re at. The pickings…they’re pretty slim.
Keep an eye on the news each day just in case someone jumps out. There was chatter about Grifin Canning today, and I’d like Rhett Lowder if his health bounces back. Other names you have there that I’d feel comfortable filling out the rest of the list with would be Mize, Detmers (I can’t believe it either), Bradford, Brown, Sproat, and Festa.
Painter is a big one too but I don’t know how comfortable you would be with rostering more than one arm in the minors. If Kirby is out longer than expected, Hancock could get some run in Seattle if he impresses early too.
You’re correct about 5×5 roto, redraft. I should have made that clearer, my bad.
JKJ’s take on relievers and EWB’s “roleless robs” are factoring into my thinking quite a bit as I’m putting this together. I guess I’ll aim for 10-12 SPs? Canning is in the queue now, Rudy’s War Room loves Detmers’ ratios. But yeah, the waters are pretty murky in the deep end of the pool.
Appreciate your thoughts! Having taken a stroll through the full length of SPs I’m feeling much more confident about my 12 team strategies. There are so many arms!
And there are hidden gems packed in the depths of the war room. “Gems” might be too kind of a term, but I’ve tried to highlight a few the past few weeks.
When in doubt you can do what I do. Scour the news sites and double check position battles. If anyone has a good spring game or sneaks ahead in a rotation battle, their stock jumps pretty quickly!
Hi Mamosdad,
Really enjoy your view points!! I am glad that I have the first question.
Below is my staff. Only 10 days left till MLB starts
SP: Framber Valdez
SP: Max Fried
SP: Seth Lugo
SP: Bowden Francis
SP: Shane McClanahan
SP: Carlos Rodon
SP: Ryan Weathers
SP: Clarke Schmitt
SP: Will Warren
RP: Peter Fairbanks
RP; Jordan Romano
1. Go with this staff and be patient
2. Pick up either Reese Olson, Casey Mize, Jack Leiter, Kris Bubic or Birdsong?
3. One option is move one of my SPs and then pick up one of those on waiver wire
4. Another option is to Cut Lane thomas to pick up one of those pitchers on the wire.
note: In RF, I have Santander with Thomas and Cowser as backup
5.,Try and make a trade with Yelich. etc. FYI. There was only two completed trades in my league in 2024.
Thanks as always for your patience and assistance!
Martin
Martin!
Great to see you. I’m getting pretty excited for the regular season as well.
1 & 2. You’ve got a solid group there. I have a Will Warren Share too, but I’d be tempted to flip him out for Reese Olson or Kris Bubic.
3.If your league churns the rosters often, maybe take a shot on one of those two, but I fully understand wanting to wait for at least one big league start from Warren this Spring before you make that call.
4.I think you’re in good shape with Cowser backing up Santander. Try to float a trade offer out there if you see a team that could use an upgrade in RF. Otherwise, lose Thomas for an arm. Your league sounds like our home hockey one. Two trades in the last 5 years in that one. Oy boy. Haha.
Be well!