[Chapter 1 of my upcoming novel, FML Grey]

Grey Albright, Fantasy Master Lothario, wakes in a haze. Last night was hard, but not in the way Cougs would have preferred it. After watching Chris Paddack get shelled by the Dodgers, Grey collapsed on the couch, crumpled boba containers at his feet. “Draft pitchers late,” he muttered, falling into a fitful sleep with images of Stephen Strasburg and Justin Verlander haunting him.

Now awake, Grey runs to the bathroom and grabs the Barbasol. “5.54 FIP!” he spits into the sink. “Paddack has a negative value fastball!” Grey lathers his lip sweater, and grabs his razor. The man in the mirror is manic. “You’re no lothario!” Grey shouts at himself, his Schick stick in hand. “You don’t deserve this anymore!” With short, rapid strokes, Grey shaves off his mustache. The commotion wakes Cougs, who enters the bathroom. Grey looks up,  wiping his now-naked philtrum, “Dylan Bundy’s the top pitcher on the player rater,” he says. “I need a boba.”

Grey orders an Uber to take him to his favorite boba place and quickly receives the notification text: “FML Grey, your driver Randall has arrived.” Grey runs outside, enters the ride, and says his destination. Randall puts the destination into the GPS. Before pulling into traffic, Randall looks back, revealing the most marvelous mouth-warmer of a beard. “You can call me Randy,” he says, the last words coming out like a 90MPH sinker. Awestruck, Grey whips through his mental encyclopedia of beard styles. A modified hulihee beard, Grey thinks. I know this man!

The drive finished, Randy pulls to the curb to let Grey out of the car. “Sorry I won’t be able to wait for the drive back,” Randy says, adjusting his thick Smith-and-Wesson style protective glasses, “I’ve got to get to the ballpark to pitch tonight.”  I know, Grey thinks, you’re Randy Dobnak of the Minnesota Twins, number ten on the player rater right now. Grey snaps to attention and steps out of the Uber. Pulling out his phone, he confirms payment for the trip. In the ‘Tip’ section, Fantasy Master Lothario Grey writes, “I’m going to stream you so hard Randy. I’ll stream you twice some weeks.”

The day was bright. The boba, beautiful. “Gimme one of them protein bars, too,” Grey told the cashier. “I’ve got some facial hair to grow.”

[orders for the book, FML Grey, will be taken in the comments]

August 17-23, 2020

If you went through the intro or have been following this series this year, I think you get the point: there are a ton of pitchers who are still on waiver wires that are performing so well, you’d go up and hug them if it wasn’t breaking the bubble. Wait. Players are doing that anyway! You’d imagine if you were making at least a few hundred thousand bucks for 60 days of work, and that your colleagues were making the same amount if not millions more, you could stay away from the club or the casino for a bit. Nope! At the time of writing, the Cardinals were hitting the field again, but the Reds now had a case of coronavirus, so keep an eye on how those teams progress.

News and Notes

Zach Plesac and Mike ClevingerI’m nearing 40 now and I have three kids to socialize into this wild world, so I’ve taught them a very useful phrase: “I’m sorry, I made a mistake. How can I help fix the problem I made?” Recap: Last week, Zach Plesac had a solid start and then went outside of the “bubble” to celebrate, inviting his teammate Clevinger along for the party, violating the terms of the MLBPA collective bargaining agreement for 2020. When Cleveland execs found out, they asked the players to quarantine. Plesac instead hopped into his car, drove around without a seatbelt on, and made a video while driving. Can’t imagine his insurance policy is valid anymore. The bleach in Plesac’s hair seemed to be seeping into his veins. Cleveland execs responded by sending Plesac and Clevinger to the alternate training site. There’s a chance that Plesac’s service time will be affected by this move, thus giving Cleveland extended control over his arbitration schedule. That dinner out could cost Plesac half a million dollars, and it certainly angered his teammates, the MLBPA, and some random insurance underwriter. Although Cleveland pitching has been elite this year, but the hitting has been dismal. Cleveland has an 11-9 record right now, so there’s no reason to keep Plesac down for extended punishment, and he’ll likely be back before the end of August. Clevinger will likely miss a start.

Stephen Strasburg — Well, he made it 2/3 of an inning before heading to the IL with carpal tunnel neuritis. To quote Strasburg, “This season is kind of a mess to begin with, so I got to think big picture here, and it’s my career.” In theory, Strasburg is coming back in two weeks. According to some preliminary research, carpal tunnel generally needs surgery to resolve in a long-term positive manner. Given that Strasburg has been dealing with the nerve pain for most of the summer, I project he’s probably going to throw another poor inning in 2 weeks before finding a surgeon and starting prep for 2021. If you own him in redraft, try to trade him to an unwitting manager. If that fails, drop him.

Mitch Keller — He’s made it two starts into the year but an oblique injury sidelined him a bit ago, and he’s still not throwing. He’s a top-50 prospect, although for those 50IP dynasty rookie limits, well, he just passed that. He’s looked awful this year, so a definite drop in redraft and probably a sell-low in dynasty unless you have room to roster him until 2021.

Kwang-hyun Kim — Kim joins the Cardinals’ starting rotation in their marathon stretch of baseball for the rest of the season. Kim was supposed to be in the rotation to begin with and began the year as #100 on the list, so, back he goes!

Freddy Peralta — Not currently a starter but probably will be soon. The Brewers are a mess and in his role as a long-reliever, Peralta has already racked up more innings than several starters that you’re probably hoarding (looking at you, Spencer Howard). Peralta is ranked 60th on the rest-of-season ranker, and he’s owned in a scant 32% of leagues, so go grab him and stash him before he becomes an official starter.

Alec Mills — Who has an 8% swinging strike rate, a .163 BABIP, and is still in the top 25 on the player rater? That’s right! Alec Mills. OK, I really don’t want to put him on the top 100, but Mills pitches so soft, batters have not been able to make solid contact. The Cubs finish the year playing several series against the Indians, the Brewers, and the Pirates, so, Mills might be that sleeper that you stream to fantasy glory. The Cubs’ offense is great, so a soft-tossing, ground-ball inducing innings eater will get those wins. Don’t say I didn’t warn you though. Seriously, you’d pass this curveball driving down the highway:

Alec Mills’ slow curveball

Spencer Howard Howard’s got some blisters and has been absolutely shelled in his first two starts. I’ve said it before and I’ve said it again: I don’t know why MLB teams are bringing up their prized prospects right now. Injuries are through the roof, covid has produced massive delays, and Average Joes like Randy Dobnak are leading the Cy Young race. Whole buncha Reddit savants are dropping everyday players so they can be the first person to roster Casey Mize or Mackenzie Gore. I won’t say to give up your dreams of rostering an elite prospect for your fantasy playoff run, but I will say that you can get Zach Davies, Brandon Bielak, and David Peterson in just about every league right now, and that’s three pitchers in the top 50 of player rater.

Jack Flaherty — Cardinals are back in action…hopefully…and they’re playing an average of 11 innings per day for the rest of the season. This means it’s Cardinals starter SZN. Except a whole bunch of the starters are injured. So, you better expect Jack Flaherty to get mega innings. Or, he pulls a Strasburg and gets hurt, leaving Adam Wainwright to throw 120IP in 30 days. Take note in the small sample size on the pitcher table below: he’s the only pitcher in the top 10% of all categories. Flaherty SZN is here!

Jose Berrios — Berrios was my writer’s choice for AL Cy Young. I knew the Twins were going to hit and win a lot of games, and Berrios was going to be the workhorse for that team. What’s interesting is that Berrios is one of the examples where an increase in pitch velocity doesn’t necessarily equate to better performance. Berrios has gained 1MPH on his fastball–up to 94MPH–and he’s missing more bats than ever before in his career. However! He’s throwing out of the zone more often, and batters just aren’t swinging at that. They’re waiting for his pitches *in* the zone, and when they make contact, they are cranking the ball. Berrios has both the track record and the peripherals for a positive regression, and maybe we’ll see some strong performances from Berrios against the White Sox and Indians.

Bunch of dart throws to keep your team alive: Brandon Bielak (62% owned, 3.90FIP), Touki Toussaint (29% owned, 14.2% swinging strike rate, 4.10FIP), Ryan Castellani (3.70 FIP) Joe Musgrove (good track record, maybe recovers?), Elieser Hernandez (9% owned, 3.64FIP), Jake Arrieta (64% owned, 3.37 FIP), Patrick Sandoval (4.66FIP), Logan Webb (17% owned, 3.81 FIP)

Rankings

OK! A quick primer. Followers of the Top 100 pitching rankings will notice…everything’s different now. That’s right. Ya boi Blair has been learning. Which is really ridiculous because as a Doctorb (the B is for Blair!), you’d think I would be rolling in cash and hanging out with the creator of R. Actually, Creator of R is my death metal side project, thank you very much. ENYWHEY. What you’re seeing below is the new and improved rankings system, which is basically your all-in-one stop for pitcher rankings.

On the left, my rank. Second column, pitcher name. We good? Now let’s level up. FIP is “fielding independent pitching,” which is a metric that normalizes pitcher performance if they have league-average results on balls in play. It’s a good short hand to estimate how much a pitcher is responsible for their own ERA, rather than great defense or lucky batters. The center column is swinging strike percentage, which is how often a batter swings and whiffs on a pitchers’ pitch. This metric helps us understand how much a pitcher is missing bats entirely; batters can’t get a hit if they can’t make contact. Exit Velocity is the average velocity a ball leaves a batter’s bat after making contact with a pitch. Harder hit balls tend to lead to more line drives and home runs. Lastly, in the right column, you’ve got the Razzball Rest-of-Season rater from the Player Rater. This column will show you how Rudy’s algorithms project the pitcher over the rest of the year. It lets you know how aggressive or defensive I’m being in my ranking (or, conversely, Rudy’s aggressiveness/defensiveness). All data are based on 2020 year-to-date stats, and the data are current as of writing on Saturday night; late Saturday games and Sunday games are not included in the data (particularly, Odorizzi and Buehler are highly affected by this). Lastly, green numbers mean the player is in the top 10% of performances among the Top 100 pitchers, and the red numbers indicate the bottom 10% of performances among the Top 100 pitchers.

Whew. Most of you know a lot of that terminology, but I wanted to make sure we’re all on the same page. In short, you can glance at the table and it will tell you just about everything you need to know for making decisions about pitchers.

Rank Name FIP SwingStrike% ExitVel Rest of SZN
1 Shane Bieber 2.49 0.19 89.7 5
2 Gerrit Cole 3.87 0.13 90.3 1
3 Jacob deGrom 2.38 0.185 90.3 4
4 Max Scherzer 2.3 0.155 88.1 2
5 Sonny Gray 2.48 0.123 87.3 37
6 Patrick Corbin 2.79 0.129 88.9 8
7 Aaron Nola 2.39 0.156 88.7 11
8 Luis Castillo 1.98 0.169 85.3 23
9 Yu Darvish 2.11 0.16 87.5 13
10 Lance Lynn 3.15 0.119 85.6 10
11 Trevor Bauer 1.87 0.147 85.1 18
12 Jack Flaherty 1.35 0.169 80.1 3
13 Zack Greinke 2.08 0.107 86.3 16
14 Carlos Carrasco 4.32 0.132 91.8 12
15 Brandon Woodruff 3.3 0.12 86 35
16 Dylan Bundy 2.16 0.151 85.7 33
17 Dinelson Lamet 2.62 0.15 90.3 28
18 Tyler Glasnow 4.04 0.133 91.6 22
19 Clayton Kershaw 4.86 0.136 89.7 17
20 Lucas Giolito 4.12 0.151 91.1 24
21 Kyle Hendricks 2.27 0.126 83.9 39
22 Walker Buehler 6.9 0.117 89.1 9
23 Zac Gallen 3.93 0.121 89.7 43
24 Hyun-Jin Ryu 4.11 0.134 88.3 29
25 Jose Berrios 4.78 0.112 89.9 30
26 Aaron Civale 2.33 0.11 88.1 55
27 German Marquez 2.68 0.141 88.8 32
28 Kenta Maeda 2.89 0.145 86.6 46
29 Chris Paddack 5.48 0.101 90.2 34
30 Adrian Houser 4.48 0.103 85.1 98
31 Max Fried 2.27 0.121 84.2 38
32 Zack Wheeler 3.71 0.116 85.1 19
33 Blake Snell 2.91 0.162 92.4 14
34 Mike Clevinger 6.18 0.121 88.8 7
35 Julio Urias 3.91 0.118 86 91
36 Jesus Luzardo 3.06 0.135 89.6 45
37 Spencer Turnbull 2.4 0.105 88 76
38 Frankie Montas 2.45 0.114 84.6 31
39 Andrew Heaney 2.54 0.129 89.9 20
40 Chris Bassitt 3.2 0.094 88.5 51
41 Zach Plesac 2.3 0.135 85.6 116
42 Jake Odorizzi 9.06 0.155 95.2 36
43 Mike Minor 3.67 0.101 86.1 27
44 Rich Hill 2.86 0.029 84.8 112
45 James Paxton 4.61 0.121 92.8 15
46 Ross Stripling 5.09 0.079 91.5 62
47 Masahiro Tanaka 3.06 0.142 88.1 42
48 Kyle Freeland 4.89 0.081 85 141
49 Merrill Kelly 4.33 0.088 88.5 114
50 Ryan Yarbrough 5.25 0.14 83.9 75
51 Randy Dobnak 2.71 0.088 89 166
52 Marco Gonzales 4.52 0.073 86.3 58
53 Charlie Morton 4.44 0.119 90.8 83
54 Anthony DeSclafani 5.37 0.113 89.8 74
55 Griffin Canning 5.57 0.103 89.4 47
56 Jon Lester 3.83 0.039 84.4 73
57 Dallas Keuchel 3.4 0.11 86 56
58 Dustin May 3.57 0.08 85.7 97
59 Nathan Eovaldi 3.34 0.119 90.7 50
60 Pablo Lopez 2.06 0.17 84.9 52
61 Kevin Gausman 2.36 0.136 88.5 77
62 Yusei Kikuchi 2.15 0.122 88.7 81
63 Jon Gray 4.23 0.089 89 48
64 Corbin Burnes 3.31 0.144 89.8 124
65 Nate Pearson 5.58 0.119 87.2 60
66 Kyle Gibson 4.82 0.077 88.1 40
67 Lance McCullers Jr. 4.71 0.1 88.9 26
68 Josh Lindblom 5.43 0.148 83.9 69
69 Zach Davies 3.02 0.09 87.1 174
70 Alec Mills 4.14 0.082 81.2 138
71 Tommy Milone 2.56 0.122 90.1 163
72 Zach Eflin 3.26 0.119 83 105
73 Framber Valdez 2.16 0.099 93.3 96
74 Garrett Richards 3.48 0.121 90 90
75 Christian Javier 5.11 0.083 86 137
76 Antonio Senzatela 3.28 0.105 88.2 216
77 Johnny Cueto 5.46 0.074 88.2 94
78 Dylan Cease 6.22 0.089 88.9 49
79 Yonny Chirinos 4.68 0.136 86 64
80 Tyler Chatwood 2.53 0.148 90 96
81 Freddy Peralta 1.46 0.161 91.6 59
82 Sandy Alcantara 3.81 0.161 84.8 154
83 Matt Shoemaker 6.42 0.116 88 87
84 Brady Singer 4.66 0.106 89.3 149
85 Sean Manaea 4.73 0.074 87.7 53
86 Justus Sheffield 2.33 0.119 89.4 140
87 Robbie Ray 8.18 0.114 91.4 41
88 Adam Wainwright 2.4 0.084 84.3 61
89 Kolby Allard 2.06 0.089 89.2 133
90 Taijuan Walker 4.16 0.064 89 165
91 Mike Fiers 7.08 0.054 88.4 89
92 Spencer Howard 7.56 0.113 89.5 72
93 Steven Matz 7.19 0.112 90.5 66
94 Tony Gonsolin 1.68 0.117 85.8 190
95 David Peterson 3.94 0.102 88.7 169
96 Tyler Mahle 3.44 0.122 87.6 93
97 Luke Weaver #N/A #N/A 91.2 65
98 Rick Porcello 3.12 0.061 87.1 78
99 Brad Keller 2.88 0.097 85 92
100 Kim Kwang-Hyun #N/A #N/A #N/A 44

 

  1. scoboticus says:
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    Impressive work, Blair!

    I need 3 starts out of these matchups this week (HTH Cats):

    Bassitt @ ARI
    Minor v SD
    Kelly @ OAK
    Bassitt v LAA
    Minor @ SEA

    What do you think?

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
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      Bassit vs ARI and Minor v SEA are the odds-on favorites.

      OAK is the top hitting team in the league right now, and the Padres haven’t been banging as much as they like (hehe) but they’re still top-5 in ISO, which means huge HR threat. Kelly isn’t a great option there.

      In terms of advanced metrics, Bassit and Minor are basically equal. Thing is, Rangers aren’t hitting at all. Even if Minor throws a good game vs SD, he could still get 0 run support.

      So, edge to Bassitt vs LAA in last start.

  2. Coolwhip says:
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    Oooooooo *stares up at wall of fresh sparkling pitcher rankings with advanced data*

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
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      I can’t believe I got my graphing calculator to do all of that!

  3. Grey

    Grey says:
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    Remember, nothing is free, not even bottled water in the backseat of Randy Dobnak’s Uber.

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
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      True fact:

      The back of Randy Dobnak’s Uber is filled with discarded peanut shells from the bleachers at Target Stadium.

      “I like the ballpark atmosphere,” he says.

      Premium riders can sit up front with the spitoon!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        “Randy, I see you have a lot of dents on the side of your sedan.”

        “Yeah, my BABIP hasn’t been very good.”

    • Foxman says:
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      Ladies night: Randy offers a 4 star Uber ride but a 5 star mustache ride.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Randy drives a dreamboat — literally, in mirror tint he’s written ‘dreamboat’ on his Celica

  4. Dong Show says:
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    Sold my dynasty share of Strasburg this morning: Luis Patino and what is likely a top 1-3 overall pick in our free agent draft pick. I’m impressed I even got that much for him considering his condition. I’m waaayyy out on him in dynasty now after that news. I’m the first place team right now, but it’s not like Stras has helped at all this year anyway.

    Great work on this list! Feels pretty accurate

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
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      Thanks!

      Fun fact: Strasburg is older than Jake Odorizzi, Zack Wheeler, Nathan Eovaldi, Madison Bumgarner, Julio Teheran, etc.

      Especially in dynasty, especially with that kind of injury…you’re strutting around showing off your trade value! Great work!

  5. Alex says:
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    Do we really believe Sonny is top 5? I’m being offered berrios and Jose Ram for Sonny and Franco

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
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      I’m obviously aggressive on him compared to Rudy. The peripherals are all there. In fact, Sonny’s pitches are actually less effective than his career averages, so if he regresses to the mean, he’ll be even more effective. That said, Berrios isn’t looking all that good this year.

      It’s your team, but I’m not entirely thrilled by that offer.

      • Alex says:
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        Why is Sonny ranked 5 but then rest of season is 37? They’re just so far apart. Maybe I’m reading the table wrong. Thanks in advance.

        • everywhereblair

          everywhereblair says:
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          Rudy’s algorithms take into account strength of schedule, past performance, usage, current performance, and bunch of other things that have enabled him and Grey to win hyper-competitive championships.

          I’m taking that info and comparing it to his current pitch values, which are below his career averages. If Sonny maintains his current level of performance, that’s still good. If he returns to his career average, he’s gonna be great this year.

          That said, keep in mind there’s at most 8 starts left in the year. An extremely lucky pitcher will get 4 wins. Another chunk will get three wins. The field will get two wins. So, keep that in mind for fantasy trades. And pitchers have been hit hard with injuries across the board.

  6. Foxman says:
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    Blair
    Here comes the cavalry. Skubal and Mize for sure, and Padres just moved back Paddack and Lamet a day. So there is an opening in that rotation for Gore, but I am not here to start rumors.
    Where would you slot these gents in to your rankings rest of the way?
    Also, does Boba tea really help in digesting Chris Paddack mediocre start?
    Keep up the great work, cracking me up with that Dobnak story.

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
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      So much happened since I submitted! Even more Clevinger and Plesac news.

      Yup, here come the rookies.

      Grey and Rudy are certainly superior to me in ranking, and even they have all of those guys at 4.30 or greater ERAs. So, streaming time. Traditionally I’ve kept those streamers down in the 80s. Howard and Pearson are a great example of why to be cautious with rookie pitchers. That said, the Tigers and Padres have been hitting well, so, when facing weak hitting teams like ARI or CLE, they’re as good an option as anybody else. Dynasty is a different story of course.

      From what I understand, boba tea is second only to handfuls of cookie dough in helping one stomach a bad start!

      Thanks for reading!

  7. Tigersharkz says:
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    Excellent work. Hard to believe this is the same site that has the hitter’s “list” LOL. Bold prediction -Giolito’s performance last year was the pendulum swinging in the other direction, and *this* year will be his “norm”. My .02
    Also, different sport, but as Bill Parcells said, we are what our record says we are… #JoseBerrios, aka rich man’s Nick Pivetta.

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
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      I’m basically agreeing with you on that Giolito take. He and Berrios are the farthest healthy “fallers” since the initial Top 100. It’s hard to say anything with certainty in the messed up year that is 2020, but Giolito is getting hit hard. He’s missing bats, still, but lining up against the Twins and the surprisingly effective Tigers and Royals this year, it’s just not a recipe for consistent success. I’m not out on him next year, but he’ll definitely wind up in that “off-year bargain!” category.

  8. Tigersharkz says:
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    Also, imho, using the xERA from Statcast is “better” than FIP, since xERA theoretically takes into account the quality of contact, whereas FIP (I think) assumes all balls in play as being equal?

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
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      I’m short on time for an answer, but, yes! Part of it is an ease of data scraping issue, and part of it is just audience familiarity. I don’t want to get too weedy with the metrics. Next week, I might add that in. Thanks for the suggestion!

  9. MarvPesos

    Marv says:
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    Blair,
    Great revision to the list, loving it.

    I’m in a 12-tm H2H cat keeper league (keep 10), 20 moves per year

    what do you think of this trade:

    I get: T. Glasnow, G. Marquez, A. Bradley
    I give: J. Verlander, D. Carlson, K. Yates

    Thanks,
    Marv

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
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      Phew! It’s a doozy. I make the trade. Verlander is a massive question mark and you’re not keeping him beyond next year anyway. Yates looks like he’s heading for elbow surgery and that means the Padres get to look at other closers.

      Glasgow and Marquez are actually buy low options now. Each of them have extremely positive trends but questionable circumstances. Rays were a disaster in summer training due to covid, and Marquez pitches in low gravity. That said, can’t hit a homer if you can’t make contact. For me, I make the trade because you’re getting two keepers for the price of one.

  10. JD Hassett

    JD Hassett says:
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    Would you trade Dobnak for Berrios

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
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      Oh man! I can’t leave my Cy Young vote hanging.

      Actually I wouldn’t. Dobnak can’t strike anybody out. The AL central has seen him a lot, and that’s going to start catching up to him soon. Berrios is missing bats well enough, so I stick with him for now.

  11. TarmanGotHim says:
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    Why doesn’t Sandy Alcantara get more love? Just curious.

    No love
    For Elisear Hernandez? He misses plenty of bats. Potential.

    And what do you think about Pablo Lopez’ future? Looks bright huh? He came out of nowhere with how exciting the Marlins’ pitching in the Majors/Minors is, he’s Seth felt a guy who came out of nowhere in the David Phelps trade.

    Can you tell I’m a Marlins fan? Still don’t understand how they took Max Myer over Austin Martin With their bright future of arms but I still Myer, but I feel like Martin is going to be a 5 tool star.

    Can you tell I’m a Marlins fan? Lol. Grey and the guys, stop hating on them, they’re not that bad anymore, they turning things around slowly but surely!!! Haha.

    Thanks!

    One finals question, I picked up Skubal in 2 leagues and Mize in 1, where do they fit in? Obviously you’re next write up will discuss that I’m sure.

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
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      What’s up TGH?!

      Yeah, the rookie news came after I wrote and submitted this. Grey’s gonna have some hot taeks on them for sure, but I’m keeping most elite prospect pitchers down in the streaming/dart throws section. Think of all the people that broke the bank getting Howard and Pearson and May…right now May is the highest rated of that group at #61 on the player rater. So, it’s great and in the spirit of fantasy sports to dream of rostering those players, but, truth is, the track record isn’t on their side right now. As I noted in an above comment though, absolutely fine to stream them against weak hitting teams like CLE, where the players can’t seem to hit a barn with their bats right now.

      Hernandez was up in the extended dart throws section. He was knocked around pretty hard last year but is doing well this year. Still, a 90mph exit velocity against him isn’t ideal. Definite streamer-worthy material!

      I’ve been in on Pablo Lopez for over two years. Can’t wait to see what he brings to the table. He’s been super-active in explaining his process as well, which helps all of us fans understand better the pitching landscape. Cheers!

      • TarmanGotHim says:
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        Amazing! Thanks for the knowledgeable response and material. Keep it coming and thanks again!

      • TarmanGotHim says:
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        Amazing! Thanks for the knowledgeable response and material. Keep it coming and thanks again!

  12. Mike says:
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    Why would you eliminate a pitcher’s team’s defense from ERA when figuring out whether to own him in a fantasy league? I can see a manager wanting to see this stat for purposes of isolating performance, but a pitcher’s defense is his defense. It’s what you can expect going forward. So in deciding whether to own a pitcher, you want that part figured in when comparing that pitcher to a pitcher on another team.

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
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      I agree. Team defense is an essential component of a pitcher’s performance. However, especially in today’s multi-position baseball environment, defenses can shift dramatically between every game. There are several metrics that can incorporate defense, stadium effects, and other factors, but at a certain point, I contend that FIP is a common ground that’s usable by many audiences and an effective shorthand for helping people understand a pitcher’s individual performance.

Comments are closed.