The following details are from secret documents released by RazzAnon in a major investigation, sponsored by Manscaped.
In 2020, New Line Sports apparel — sick of only selling Fernando Tatis Jr. shirseys — met in secret with one Mr. Robert Manfred in a Dennys somewhere outside of Taos, New Mexico. The topic of conversation? Ridding the world of hits. “We want people to love Wade Miley, and buy several of his sweatbands,” one employee was caught saying on tape recorder. What followed was a year-long effort to rid the world of hits, bat flips, dingers, and dongers. “A no-hitter every game was our ideal, maybe one or two bunts at most,” said Carleton Evers, the social media marketing manager. “We just wanted to change the game of baseball into pitching highlights with ball trails on every pitch.”
Manfred, no stranger to messing with the game he oversaw, put low-T District of Columbia senator Miles Miller in charge of ending the hit parade. “When we went to Nationals games, we didn’t want to see Sexy Dr. Pepper,” Miles said to YouTube reporter BurningFastball, “we just wanted to see Erick Fedde whiffing batter after batter after batter. Perfect innings, every inning. That was the plan. Change pitchers every 6 batters or so. The optimal time to stand up, buy a beer and a hot dog, and get an Austin Voth shirsey.”
RazzAnon will conduct a meet-up at the baseball Hall of Fame in Canton, Ohio, on June 31st to release more details about what we’ve found, connecting Manfred to Richard Branson, Carrot Top, and a secret underground cabal of Cuban cigar manufacturers stealing humidor technology from the United States. Stay frosty, friends!
News and Notes
Spencer Turnbull:
- Is anybody old enough to remember when VH1 had “Best Week Ever”? How about anybody old enough to remember when VH1 played Pink Floyd? Me, I don’t remember anything anymore, especially the rules of baseball. Might as well just manage the White Sox. So SpenceBull (which is the name of my crypto platform, bee-tee-dubs) threw a no-hitter this week and had the BEST WEEK EVER. MLB is well on its way to breaking the no-hitter record by the end of the month because BadMum definitely threw a 7-inning no-no. I mean, if we’re putting in catchers to pitch and getting angry at people hitting home runs off of them, we might as well end the game in the 7th inning. ENYWHEY. I had Turnbull in my C-Tier and I’m really not seeing all that much difference in his repertoire compared to previous games. In his no-hitter, his pitches were spinning like crazy but his velocity was down a little bit. He’s generally struggled with whiffs throughout the year and relied a lot on called strikes, but over his past two games, batters have been missing a ton (14% and 16% swinging strike rates). So, we could be seeing some warm weather improvement for Turnbull, who definitely has the skills to be on 12-team and shallower rosters. However, the data still shows a pitcher who — on the whole — struggles to get whiffs and allows contact on 85% of his pitches in the zone. That said, he looks better than last year and could be a fair pitcher to bring into tournaments or DFS conversations, but I wouldn’t chase him too hard in standard formats.
Corey Kluber:
- BEST WEEK EVER! Klubert tossed a no-hitter one day after Spencer Turnbull, and was rewarded with public insouciance. MLB didn’t even send me the alert on my app until he was one out away from the no-hitter. People on Twitter weren’t chatting about it. I found out about it because Grey joked about it on the Tweeter. I’ve been pretty open about the fact that Kluber doesn’t have a great chance at long-term success, because the number of people who’ve come back from his length of absence at his age is, well, Bartolo Colon and Rich Hill. But even Bartolo could smack a homer. Celebrate Kluber, yes, but remember that his previous two games came with a 1.54 combined WHIP, a 4.63 ERA, and 5 home runs in 11 innings. He’ll be hot and cold throughout the year but it’s undeniable that he could pull a Verlander and get better with age.
Noah Syndergaard:
- Thor is coming back to life in his rehab starts and will be returning to MLB soon. Can’t wait for that famous Mets run support! But Thor is only 28 and should be able to pull off a 9+ K/9 and rack up some counting stats for teams in all formats. Go grab him right now if he’s on the wire and enjoy a top 40-quality starter for your ROS needs.
James Kaprielian:
- A feel-good story for the Athletics. Kaprielian started on Friday for the Athletics in a fill-in role for Jesus Luzardo / Mike Fiers, who are each on the IL. Kaprielian, who missed the 2017 and 2018 seasons recovering from Tommy John surgery, had been between AAA and MLB since 2019, yet had thrown only 7 innings of professional ball in the past two years prior to his call-up last week. Kaprielian rewarded the A’s with a 9K, 1BB performance on Friday, and he’s been pitching well so far. He’s absolutely worth a shot in deeper leagues, although the stamina concern will be ever-present.
Kevin Gausman:
- Past 5 starts: 44K, 5BB, 1.06 ERA, 34 innings. Do I need to say anything else? He’ll be a top 10 starter next year, so dynasty him to the moon.
Kyle Hendricks:
- Yeah, he’s coming back. He’s a thing. He’s still not striking out batters (7K/9 over the last 3 games) but at least he’s not walking them. On the other hand, he’s allowing over a hit per inning and a nearly 40% hard-hit rate over that period. Hendricks is best deployed in points leagues where he can get that win, but his 1.32 WHIP over the recent games isn’t going to help any leagues where ratios matter.
Triston McKenzie:
- Sticks was great last year but last year was miserable so does that mean he was just OK? Probably. McKenzie will be 24 by year’s end and his control was waning so the Clevelanders sent him to AAA. Hopefully, he’ll regain his control and you can snag him for a playoff run later in the year.
Adrian Houser:
- After a solid end to April he’s messing with his pitch mix again and cut his fastball usage by 20% in his latest outing. He’s been walking a ton of batters and with such fluctuation in his pitch mix, he’ll probably be a volatile asset in the near future. Down to the streamers he goes!
Luis Castillo:
- [starts playing Thin Lizzy and driving around town with Dairy Queen Dilly Bars in my hand] The boys are back in town! Castillo threw a gem this last week, K’ing 11 over 5 innings on his way to [checks notes] another loss. Can you believe his xFIP is 3.99 on the year? 40K to 15BB, .391 BABIP, and only 1 barrel allowed in his past 3 starts. This ain’t all Castillo’s fault, cha’know. Can you imagine how bad MLB batters would be if Castillo had some actual defenders behind him?
Merrill Kelly:
- OK, who had “Merrill Kelly strikes out 12 Dodgers while walking none of them and still loses” on their 2021 bingo card? Over the last month he’s quietly put up a 3.50ish ERA, a K/9 above 10, and a 91% zone contract rate. Well, well. He’s cheap but risky, like gas station whiskey.
Alex Cobb:
- Started out the season really strong but then hit the IL to start May and everybody forgot about him. Came back this week to allow 1 ER over 5 IP to the Twins, K’ing 4 and walking none. Worth a shot in deeper leagues if you’re looking for help.
Tucker Davidson:
- Getting his second cup of coffee in Atlanta and had a swinging strike rate of nearly 20%. Wow! It was also against the Mets, who have 16 players on the IL. The Itch has had some praise for Davidson, but notes that he’s got some command issues that can fall apart. But when Itch says “long career” and “bright light” in his 2019 Atlanta Braves Minor League Profiles and 2020 Atlanta Braves Minor League Profiles, I tend to listen. Davidson got optioned back to the minors after his start, but Atlanta will be needing a 5th starter and the current role player for that spot is Bryse Wilson, who has less than 6 K/9 and an ERA near 6.00.
Kenta Maeda:
- Groin issues, man. Don’t we all have them? No? Just you? OK, well, now Kenta Maeda’s got them too. He’s off to the IL for a stint, and it seems like he’s been bothered by them for a few starts. Pitchers generate a lot of their velocity with a strong groin thrust, so maybe a break will help him get back on track. Buy low candidate for all formats.
Michael Fulmer:
- Well, after a month in the bullpen with success, I suppose it’s time to retire Fulmer from the starting pitcher rankings. Doesn’t look like he’s going to come back to the rotation, although those of you who were rostering him got a cheap closer out of the deal, so, process wins out? Maybe? I dunno what to call that.
J.A. Happ:
- Speaking of process, Happ went and destroyed my faith in that process by K’ing 10 Clevelanders on Sunday. This was as many strikeouts as he had in his previous 4 games combined. Two of those games he didn’t even make it past the 4th inning. So, don’t get too wild on the Happ train. He remains a matchup streamer only.
Dylan Bundy:
- Process, process, process. OMG. I swear, for every Joe Musgrove and Kevin Gausman we get right, we’re sitting here waiting for Bundy to turn around. He made it 2.1 innings on Sunday, yet he had more strikes (swinging/called) as a percentage of total pitches thrown as Yu Darvish did the same day. Yet, Bundy got the .375 BABIP and the early trip to the showers. His expected ERA on the year before Sunday was 3.55. His SIERA was 3.81. His hard hit rate on the season is a ridiculously low 24.6%. Like, every single metric we look at says that Bundy is going to get fluffed by the regression faeries soon. He is pitching, as the scouts say, “pretty OK.”
Does Regression Matter?
So, this whole Bundy thing…does regression matter? Well, yes and no. Indeed, some of the stats I’m using are descriptive instead of predictive. However, we can infer where some players are getting very unlucky right now and are more likely to see a great showing later in the year. Although data from 2020 doesn’t really work for this, we can look back and find examples from 2019 to illustrate why we should pay attention to “true skill” stats like the ones I use. Also, I’m kind of “fudging” the “half” stat to be more accurate; I’m actually looking — more or less — for the point where numbers started to “regress” to the mean.
- Jack Flaherty, 2019: We can see his advanced metrics (xFIP / SIERA) were each nearly a run below his actual ERA, and his swinging strike % was a nice 12.2% that went upwards to 15.4%.
| IP | ERA | xFIP | SIERA | Swinging Strike% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Half | 90 | 4.90 | 4.08 | 4.17 | 12.2% |
| 2nd Half | 106 | 0.93 | 3.27 | 3.23 | 15.4% |
- Gerrit Cole, 2019: Again, we see the advanced metrics nearly a run below his observed ERA in the first half. In the second half, the advanced metrics were nearly identical, with a drop of 2 points in ERA.
| IP | ERA | xFIP | SIERA | Swinging Strike% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Half | 90.2 | 3.67 | 2.57 | 2.74 | 16.2% |
| 2nd Half | 121.2 | 1.63 | 2.41 | 2.53 | 17.3% |
- Luis Castillo, 2019: Here’s where we flip the script and notice how the advanced metrics pointed to a worse incoming ERA, as Castillo’s “true skill” factors were well above his observed ERA. In the second half, we witnessed an improvement of advanced metrics but the expected implosion of ERA. Now, that’s a pretty massive ERA increase that’s not justified by the data, but I’m just illustrating the point: if we want to see likely candidates for better or worse performance in the future of fantasy teams, we get a good idea of who will perform well by looking at the discrepancies in these data sets.
| IP | ERA | xFIP | SIERA | Swinging Strike% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Half | 118 | 2.36 | 3.75 | 4.21 | 15.5% |
| 2nd Half | 72.2 | 5.08 | 3.04 | 3.55 | 16.6% |
2021 Regression Candidates
Something new every week, eh? Here are the pitchers that are most likely to regress in a “positive” direction and have a good second half of the season. The quick way to tell this is when the ERA – FIP category is positive, and I included my usual focus stats to give you a perspective on how many degrees of certainty we have on regression
| Name | IP | K-BB% | SIERA | ERA – FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Lucchesi | 12.2 | 25.9% | 3.00 | 5.06 |
| Jose Quintana | 30.2 | 15.3% | 4.29 | 3.44 |
| Luis Castillo | 42.1 | 12.4% | 4.22 | 2.83 |
| Alex Cobb | 26.1 | 20.8% | 3.20 | 2.43 |
| Dylan Bundy | 43.1 | 18.3% | 3.81 | 1.93 |
And, let’s do the opposite, for the players who are more likely to tank sooner than later:
| Name | IP | K-BB% | SIERA | ERA – FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gant | 39.2 | 2.3% | 5.64 | -2.09 |
| Josh Fleming | 21.1 | 8.8% | 4.22 | -1.88 |
| Drew Smyly | 37 | 12.6% | 4.59 | -1.26 |
| Casey Mize | 46.1 | 7.9% | 4.76 | -1.23 |
| Kyle Gibson | 60.1 | 12.1% | 4.27 | -1.01 |
So, what’s the difference between Drew Smyly and Luis Castillo? Perception. People believe Castillo is broken, and that Smyly is fixed. In terms of real skills, they’re about the same. But the mentality of draft capital — where Castillo went in round 2/3 and Smyly was probably a waiver wire guy — makes players think that Castillo is less useful than Smyly. So, which line would you rather invest in at this point?
| IP | FIP | K/9 | HR/9 | K:BB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player 1 | 37 | 6.37 | 8 | 2.7 | 33:13 |
| Player 2 | 42 | 4.61 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 40:15 |
Player 2 has the edge in every category so far, right? And Player 2 is Luis Castillo; Player 1 is Drew Smyly. So if you’re the kind of manager that wants to be prepared for the next big move, you want to back Castillo compared to Smyly, as Castillo is much more likely to perform better rest of season than Smyly.
Space:X Rankings
Adjust the rankings again! We’re getting to a point in the season where the competition for the top pitcher is pretty heated, and many of the pitchers who have the stats most often seen among top finishers are, well, really close. So, let’s expand the top tier!
| # | Name | IP | K-BB% | SIERA | CSW% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-Tier | |||||
| 1 | Corbin Burnes | 40.1 | 43.30% | 1.47 | 36.90% |
| Jacob deGrom | 40 | 41.10% | 1.7 | 34.40% | |
| Gerrit Cole | 64.2 | 35.10% | 2.16 | 34.90% | |
| Carlos Rodon | 42.2 | 30.10% | 2.64 | 30.20% | |
| Max Scherzer | 56.1 | 30.00% | 2.74 | 32.40% | |
| Joe Musgrove | 51 | 29.20% | 2.61 | 34.20% | |
| Trevor Bauer | 63.2 | 28.80% | 2.8 | 30.90% | |
| Freddy Peralta | 43 | 28.50% | 2.89 | 32.80% | |
| Tyler Glasnow | 62 | 27.30% | 2.93 | 33.30% | |
| 10 | Shane Bieber | 65 | 27.20% | 2.93 | 34.10% |
| Yu Darvish | 54.2 | 26.20% | 3.09 | 32.50% | |
| Clayton Kershaw | 56.2 | 24.60% | 3.12 | 33.50% | |
| Aaron Nola | 59.1 | 24.40% | 3.18 | 30.90% | |
| Julio Urias | 56.1 | 24.40% | 3.18 | 33.50% | |
| Brandon Woodruff | 57 | 23.90% | 3.16 | 31.00% | |
| Kevin Gausman | 59.2 | 23.50% | 3.25 | 31.40% | |
| Jack Flaherty | 53.1 | 17.80% | 3.9 | 28.30% | |
| A-Tier | |||||
| 19 | Andrew Heaney | 39 | 23.20% | 3.33 | 29.90% |
| Walker Buehler | 58.1 | 23.00% | 3.32 | 31.00% | |
| Trevor Rogers | 51.2 | 22.80% | 3.38 | 31.00% | |
| Robbie Ray | 47.1 | 22.80% | 3.29 | 30.90% | |
| Adbert Alzolay | 44 | 22.60% | 3.25 | 30.70% | |
| Jameson Taillon | 37.2 | 22.50% | 3.43 | 29.70% | |
| Zack Wheeler | 60.2 | 22.50% | 3.25 | 27.70% | |
| Zach Eflin | 57.1 | 22.40% | 3.36 | 29.30% | |
| John Means | 58.1 | 22.30% | 3.53 | 30.50% | |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 46.2 | 21.70% | 3.3 | 30.60% | |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 44 | 21.60% | 3.44 | 29.00% | |
| Danny Duffy | 41.2 | 21.20% | 3.61 | 29.40% | |
| Jordan Montgomery | 48.2 | 20.90% | 3.54 | 31.10% | |
| Shane McClanahan | 22.1 | 20.90% | 3.48 | 33.70% | |
| Lance Lynn | 40.2 | 20.50% | 3.7 | 26.10% | |
| Jose Berrios | 50.2 | 20.30% | 3.55 | 29.70% | |
| Chris Bassitt | 61 | 19.80% | 3.56 | 28.30% | |
| Tyler Mahle | 45 | 19.40% | 3.73 | 30.30% | |
| Blake Snell | 40.1 | 19.20% | 3.83 | 29.90% | |
| Lucas Giolito | 49.2 | 19.20% | 3.76 | 28.90% | |
| Sean Manaea | 49 | 18.80% | 3.81 | 28.80% | |
| 40 | Madison Bumgarner | 53.2 | 18.80% | 3.9 | 28.60% |
| Charlie Morton | 45 | 18.70% | 3.66 | 31.60% | |
| Luis Garcia | 34 | 18.60% | 3.9 | 30.40% | |
| Dylan Bundy | 43.1 | 18.30% | 3.81 | 32.00% | |
| Yusei Kikuchi | 50 | 17.90% | 3.73 | 31.50% | |
| Sonny Gray | 36.1 | 17.90% | 3.85 | 32.70% | |
| Sandy Alcantara | 57 | 17.60% | 3.78 | 29.90% | |
| JT Brubaker | 44 | 16.90% | 3.75 | 28.30% | |
| Anthony DeSclafani | 53.1 | 16.90% | 3.87 | 27.20% | |
| Steven Matz | 48 | 16.80% | 3.84 | 30.00% | |
| Dylan Cease | 45.1 | 16.60% | 4.12 | 29.30% | |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 55.1 | 16.40% | 3.87 | 28.60% | |
| Pablo Lopez | 56 | 16.20% | 3.93 | 26.90% | |
| Rich Hill | 44 | 15.80% | 4.11 | 31.90% | |
| Logan Webb | 43 | 15.70% | 3.62 | 29.90% | |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | 51.2 | 15.40% | 4.08 | 31.50% | |
| Ian Anderson | 51 | 15.20% | 3.87 | 28.30% | |
| Marcus Stroman | 52.2 | 15.10% | 3.81 | 26.20% | |
| Taijuan Walker | 44 | 13.30% | 4.41 | 29.00% | |
| Kyle Gibson | 60.1 | 12.10% | 4.27 | 29.30% | |
| B-Tier | |||||
| 61 | Joey Lucchesi | 12.2 | 25.90% | 3 | 30.30% |
| Cristian Javier | 44 | 21.80% | 3.58 | 27.70% | |
| Alex Cobb | 26.1 | 20.80% | 3.2 | 30.20% | |
| David Peterson | 38 | 20.10% | 3.43 | 30.70% | |
| Domingo German | 44.1 | 19.00% | 3.71 | 30.70% | |
| Alex Wood | 42 | 18.80% | 3.25 | 33.00% | |
| Michael Pineda | 38.2 | 18.80% | 3.8 | 31.30% | |
| Dane Dunning | 43.1 | 18.50% | 3.45 | 30.40% | |
| Luis Patino | 10 | 18.20% | 3.94 | 26.50% | |
| Shohei Ohtani | 30.1 | 17.80% | 4.16 | 31.80% | |
| Tyler Anderson | 51.1 | 16.40% | 4.06 | 27.70% | |
| Max Fried | 28 | 16.30% | 4.03 | 29.90% | |
| Spencer Turnbull | 34.1 | 16.30% | 3.79 | 25.70% | |
| Vince Velasquez | 25.1 | 16.00% | 4.08 | 27.70% | |
| Zack Greinke | 59.2 | 15.40% | 4.09 | 27.00% | |
| Frankie Montas | 47 | 15.20% | 4.21 | 25.70% | |
| Luke Weaver | 40 | 15.00% | 4.21 | 27.80% | |
| Chris Paddack | 36.1 | 14.80% | 4.12 | 29.50% | |
| Kenta Maeda | 42.2 | 14.70% | 4.13 | 27.30% | |
| Corey Kluber | 50.1 | 14.60% | 4.2 | 30.60% | |
| Adam Wainwright | 46.2 | 14.40% | 4.22 | 30.80% | |
| Griffin Canning | 31.2 | 14.20% | 4.35 | 28.40% | |
| Kyle Hendricks | 49.1 | 13.90% | 4.23 | 28.80% | |
| Cole Irvin | 52.2 | 13.70% | 4.48 | 26.10% | |
| Martin Perez | 45.2 | 13.60% | 4.3 | 28.10% | |
| Jose Urquidy | 44.2 | 13.60% | 4.64 | 26.50% | |
| Merrill Kelly | 51.2 | 13.50% | 4.31 | 26.00% | |
| Matthew Boyd | 52.2 | 13.40% | 4.44 | 28.80% | |
| Nick Pivetta | 47.2 | 13.20% | 4.48 | 26.60% | |
| 90 | Aaron Civale | 60 | 13.20% | 4.25 | 25.00% |
| Mike Foltynewicz | 48.2 | 13.00% | 4.5 | 25.20% | |
| Tarik Skubal | 32.1 | 13.00% | 4.8 | 26.00% | |
| Austin Gomber | 45.1 | 12.80% | 4.46 | 29.50% | |
| Wade Miley | 43.2 | 12.80% | 3.75 | 24.80% | |
| Luis Castillo | 42.1 | 12.40% | 4.22 | 26.90% | |
| Trevor Williams | 37.2 | 12.40% | 4.43 | 26.80% | |
| Zach Plesac | 55 | 12.00% | 4.32 | 28.70% | |
| Jordan Lyles | 50 | 11.70% | 4.63 | 27.00% | |
| Jon Gray | 51.2 | 11.40% | 4.4 | 29.30% | |
| Garrett Richards | 48.1 | 10.10% | 4.64 | 26.80% | |
| Adrian Houser | 43.2 | 9.70% | 4.31 | 22.10% | |
| Patrick Corbin | 41.1 | 9.50% | 4.67 | 27.10% | |
| C-Tier | |||||
| 104 | Michael Kopech | 12 | 35.60% | 2.16 | 31.60% |
| James Kaprielian | 10.2 | 24.40% | 3.65 | 28.40% | |
| Huascar Ynoa | 43.2 | 22.30% | 3.3 | 32.10% | |
| Jakob Junis | 22.2 | 19.10% | 3.7 | 28.30% | |
| Cody Poteet | 10 | 17.90% | 4.02 | 30.20% | |
| Ross Stripling | 25 | 17.80% | 4 | 27.90% | |
| Tucker Davidson | 6 | 17.40% | 3.84 | 31.90% | |
| Mike Minor | 49 | 16.90% | 4.02 | 28.40% | |
| Kwang-hyun Kim | 26.1 | 16.70% | 3.96 | 27.90% | |
| Matt Peacock | 10.1 | 16.70% | 3.36 | 24.80% | |
| Zac Gallen | 26.2 | 15.70% | 4.18 | 29.00% | |
| Logan Gilbert | 6.2 | 15.60% | 4.75 | 22.80% | |
| Johnny Cueto | 32.1 | 15.40% | 4.15 | 25.80% | |
| Scott Kazmir | 4 | 15.40% | 4 | 21.80% | |
| Jose Quintana | 30.2 | 15.30% | 4.29 | 27.40% | |
| Michael Wacha | 21.2 | 15.10% | 4.29 | 27.10% | |
| Jorge Lopez | 39 | 14.80% | 4.08 | 28.40% | |
| Brady Singer | 45 | 14.70% | 4.05 | 30.70% | |
| Miguel Yajure | 9.1 | 14.70% | 4.29 | 29.10% | |
| Hyeon-jong Yang | 8.2 | 14.30% | 4.27 | 27.90% | |
| Jesus Luzardo | 28 | 14.20% | 4.33 | 29.40% | |
| Anthony Kay | 15.1 | 13.00% | 4.29 | 24.20% | |
| Taylor Widener | 22.1 | 12.90% | 4.59 | 28.00% | |
| Drew Smyly | 37 | 12.60% | 4.59 | 27.90% | |
| Randy Dobnak | 6 | 12.50% | 2.85 | 26.90% | |
| Dean Kremer | 34 | 12.40% | 4.64 | 24.90% | |
| Aaron Sanchez | 28.1 | 11.50% | 4.23 | 25.80% | |
| Trevor Cahill | 35.2 | 11.30% | 4.2 | 26.20% | |
| German Marquez | 52.1 | 11.10% | 4.49 | 28.10% | |
| Erick Fedde | 39.1 | 10.80% | 4.61 | 24.70% | |
| Mitch Keller | 37.2 | 10.60% | 4.8 | 24.00% | |
| Triston McKenzie | 27.2 | 10.20% | 5.34 | 27.50% | |
| Joe Ross | 39.1 | 10.20% | 4.75 | 28.70% | |
| Wil Crowe | 25 | 10.20% | 4.72 | 24.20% | |
| Ryan Yarbrough | 28.2 | 10.00% | 4.69 | 26.50% | |
| Kris Bubic | 6 | 10.00% | 4.45 | 24.70% | |
| Marco Gonzales | 28.1 | 9.90% | 4.89 | 25.10% | |
| Matt Harvey | 41 | 9.60% | 4.81 | 23.00% | |
| Jeff Hoffman | 39.2 | 9.60% | 4.88 | 27.20% | |
| Jake Arrieta | 42.1 | 8.90% | 5.01 | 27.00% | |
| Josh Fleming | 21.1 | 8.80% | 4.22 | 28.00% | |
| Brad Keller | 38.2 | 8.50% | 4.72 | 24.60% | |
| Bruce Zimmermann | 33 | 8.50% | 5.02 | 25.50% | |
| Chris Flexen | 40.2 | 8.40% | 4.87 | 20.30% | |
| Justus Sheffield | 44 | 8.00% | 4.84 | 25.60% | |
| Casey Mize | 46.1 | 7.90% | 4.76 | 26.50% | |
| Bryse Wilson | 24.2 | 7.70% | 4.99 | 27.10% | |
| Jon Lester | 25.1 | 7.50% | 5.13 | 26.30% | |
| Justin Dunn | 34.2 | 7.30% | 5.38 | 25.40% | |
| Antonio Senzatela | 46.2 | 7.20% | 4.76 | 23.70% | |
| Brett Anderson | 29 | 7.20% | 4.71 | 22.70% | |
| Ryan Weathers | 18.1 | 6.80% | 5.21 | 25.70% | |
| Logan Allen | 15.2 | 6.70% | 5.05 | 24.30% | |
| Jose Urena | 48.2 | 6.60% | 4.67 | 23.90% | |
| Chase Anderson | 32.1 | 6.60% | 5.28 | 26.60% | |
| Chi Chi Gonzalez | 36.2 | 6.60% | 5.16 | 25.00% | |
| Stephen Strasburg | 15.1 | 6.10% | 5.46 | 29.40% | |
| Matt Moore | 11 | 5.10% | 5.56 | 21.80% | |
| Matt Shoemaker | 40 | 5.00% | 5.4 | 25.40% | |
| J.A. Happ | 35.1 | 4.70% | 5.6 | 21.20% | |
| Carlos Martinez | 47.1 | 4.50% | 5.25 | 24.20% | |
| Dallas Keuchel | 50.2 | 4.30% | 4.73 | 25.40% | |
| Johan Oviedo | 11 | 3.90% | 5.61 | 26.20% | |
| Kohei Arihara | 28.2 | 3.90% | 5.57 | 24.30% | |
| Daniel Castano | 17.1 | 3.80% | 5.53 | 22.10% | |
| John Gant | 39.2 | 2.30% | 5.64 | 26.60% | |
| Riley Smith | 22 | 1.00% | 5.73 | 23.40% | |
| Zach Davies | 40.1 | 0.50% | 5.84 | 23.60% | |
| 172 | Lewis Thorpe | 13 | 0.00% | 5.78 | 26.10% |
Aye, you made it this far, didn’t ya. EverywhereBlair is, well, located at home right now. He’s a historian and lover of prog-metal. He enjoys a good sipping rum. When he’s not churning data and making fan fiction about Grey and Donkey Teeth, you can find him dreaming of shirtless pictures of Lance Lynn on Twitter @Everywhereblair.
