I’m sure many of you have spent countless hours pouring over Grey’s 2021 fantasy baseball rankings to see who he’s got way higher than anyone else. Grey’s rankings are great but they’re focused on categories so they don’t tell the whole picture for points leagues. For example, average isn’t important for points. Yes a higher average means more hits but you also get points for walks as well. What we’re really looking for is total bases. I still highly recommend that you check out Grey’s thoughts because he knows what he’s doing, but mostly he’s pretty entertaining. 

Now onto points leagues. I crunched some numbers behind the scenes to see who should get shifted in the ranks. Basically made my own simplified version of malamoney’s spreadsheet using the Razzball/Steamer projections and what seems to be the standard scoring system. The result is some cold hard data on who’s going to do what this season. 

 

Hitters:

Single-1

Double-2

Triple-3

Home Run-4

RBI-1

Run-1

Walk-1

Steal-1

Strikeout-(-1)

Caught Stealing-(-1)

 

Pitchers:

Inning pitched-3

Win-5

Loss-(-5)

Earned run-(-1)

Hit-1

Strikeout-1

Walk-(-1)

 

Here are some of my thoughts and I have included the new top 100 below. 

 

So what does this actually tell us? It tells us who you absolutely should draft at every pick. Just kidding, this is merely a guide. These numbers are for the scoring format listed above. Your league may have different settings so make sure you check those out. But this list does show who to target. The gap between players can be as small as a tenth of a point. In other words, nothing. Take the guy you want, it’s your team and fantasy is tons more fun if you draft the guys you like.

 

There is about a 60/40 split in favor of hitters in the top 100 and the highest ranked reliever (Josh Hader) doesn’t make the cut, checking in at 136. Again, fill your RP spots if you have them, and go for starters the rest of the way. The same goes for the other position not appearing in the top 100, catcher. Don’t fall into the positional scarcity trap. 

 

The keystone is shallow relative to other positions but does offer some strong options. I’d like to come out of drafts with one of the top guys if possible.

 

Fernando Tatis Jr falls out of the top 10 and Juan Soto takes over the top spot for batters. Pitchers take the top three spots but I stand by passing over them in favor of the top bats. The top arms may outscore the top bats but I’d rather take the consistency and daily production of a hitter to anchor my roster. 

 

Cory Seager is the top option at short. I was surprised to see how low Trevor Story came in with his projections putting him similarly to Jose Altuve. Bo Bichette is another popular name who takes a big tumble. 

 

Adalberto Mondesi drops all the way out of the top 100. This really highlights the differences between 5×5 and points. I told you last time that he wasn’t worth a second round pick but I’ll admit that I was shocked he fell this low. He goes from an absolute guy must-have to no way you’re taking him. And it makes sense. Mondesi is a guy who can single handedly keep you competitive in steals, but steals don’t matter in points leagues until the scoring rewards them more. Also outside the top 100 is Luis Robert. As much as I want to take him everywhere and think he could be in line to beat his projections, there are probably safer picks for where you would need to take him.

 

Take a long look at Anthony Rendon as he gets a big boost in this format. Josh Bell also climbs here as well. Jesse Winker, Michael Brantley, and Carlos Santana also fall into this category.

 

My pitcher targets would be guys like Yu Darvish, Brandon Woodruff, and Jack Flaherty. The projections put them in the second tier which is still ace territory. I’d feel great about having one of them as my number one starter, ideally after picking up a couple impact bats. There’s more value to be found further down the list as well. 

 

So there you have it, the top 100 for points leagues. Peruse away and then dominate your drafts. As always hit me up here or on Twitter @deltaxi1842.

 

Rank Name Team Position Points
1 Jacob deGrom NYM SP 555.1
2 Gerrit Cole NYY SP 550
3 Shane Bieber CLE SP 548.8
4 Juan Soto WSH OF 545.3
5 Mookie Betts LAD OF 517.9
6 Trevor Bauer LAD SP 503.7
7 Cody Bellinger LAD 1B/OF 500.2
8 Mike Trout LAA OF 498.3
9 Alex Bregman HOU 3B 497.8
10 Walker Buehler LAD SP 485.6
11 Freddie Freeman ATL 1B 484.6
12 Jose Ramirez CLE 3B 483.4
13 Corey Seager LAD SS 482.8
14 Yu Darvish SD SP 479.7
15 Ronald Acuna Jr. ATL OF 475
16 Max Scherzer WSH SP 473.8
17 Luis Castillo CIN SP 467
18 Aaron Nola PHI SP 465.9
19 Lucas Giolito CHW SP 457.8
20 Manny Machado SD 3B 457.4
21 Anthony Rendon LAA 3B 455.9
22 Brandon Woodruff MIL SP 451.1
23 Jack Flaherty STL SP 451.1
24 Francisco Lindor NYM SS 446.6
25 Bryce Harper PHI OF 442.6
26 Rafael Devers BOS 3B 440.1
27 Fernando Tatis Jr. SD SS 439.7
28 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR 1B 433.3
29 Eloy Jimenez CHW OF 433.3
30 Anthony Rizzo CHC 1B 431.1
31 Christian Yelich MIL OF 430.5
32 Lance Lynn CHW SP 427.5
33 Xander Bogaerts BOS SS 425.6
34 Jose Berrios MIN SP 423.9
35 Blake Snell SD SP 421.6
36 George Springer TOR OF 421.2
37 Carlos Carrasco NYM SP 419.1
38 Trea Turner WSH SS 418.2
39 DJ LeMahieu NYY 1B/2B/ 3B 417
40 Gleyber Torres NYY SS 416.3
41 Marcell Ozuna ATL OF 412.6
42 Clayton Kershaw LAD SP 412.5
43 Ozzie Albies ATL 2B 411.6
44 J.D. Martinez BOS DH 409
45 Charlie Morton ATL SP 407.5
46 Zack Wheeler PHI SP 406.8
47 Mike Moustakas CIN 1B/2B 404
48 Nolan Arenado STL 3B 403.3
49 German Marquez COL SP 401.4
50 Patrick Corbin WSH SP 400
51 Jeff McNeil NYM 2B/3B/ OF 399.3
52 Kevin Gausman SF SP 398.5
53 Zack Greinke HOU SP 398.3
54 Sonny Gray CIN SP 397.6
55 Pete Alonso NYM 1B 395.8
56 Jose Altuve HOU 2B 395.4
57 Trevor Story COL SS 393.2
58 Jose Abreu CHW 1B 391.8
59 Ketel Marte ARI 2B 391.5
60 Kyle Hendricks CHC SP 389.1
61 Hyun-Jin Ryu TOR SP 388.9
62 Kenta Maeda MIN SP 388.4
63 Eddie Rosario CLE OF 387.7
64 Justin Turner LAD 3B 386.6
65 Yordan Alvarez HOU DH 385.5
66 Tyler Glasnow TB SP 383.9
67 Max Kepler MIN OF 380.4
68 Dinelson Lamet SD SP 377.9
69 Corbin Burnes MIL SP 377.2
70 Max Fried ATL SP 376.6
71 Marcus Semien TOR SS 376.2
72 Alec Bohm PHI 1B/3B 374.5
73 Bo Bichette TOR SS 373.9
74 Michael Conforto NYM OF 373.2
75 Chris Paddack SD SP 372.2
76 Dylan Bundy LAA SP 369.5
77 Zac Gallen ARI SP 368.5
78 Lance McCullers Jr. HOU SP 367.8
79 Aaron Judge NYY OF 367.5
80 Nick Castellanos CIN OF 366.8
81 Andrew Heaney LAA SP 366.5
82 Eugenio Suarez CIN 3B 366.4
83 Carlos Correa HOU SS 365.9
84 Didi Gregorius PHI SS 364.8
85 Stephen Strasburg WSH SP 364.7
86 Kyle Tucker HOU OF 364.3
87 Alex Verdugo BOS OF 364.3
88 Josh Bell WSH 1B 363.7
89 Max Muncy LAD 1B/2B/ 3B 362.5
90 Joey Votto CIN 1B 361.1
91 Robbie Ray TOR SP 361.1
92 Jesse Winker CIN OF 358.8
93 Carlos Santana KC 1B 357.3
94 Michael Brantley HOU OF 357.1
95 Rhys Hoskins PHI 1B 355.9
96 Charlie Blackmon COL OF 354.9
97 Matt Olson OAK 1B 354.7
98 Franmil Reyes CLE DH 354.1
99 Luke Voit NYY 1B 350.6
100 Paul Goldschmidt STL 1B 348.2
101 Yuli Gurriel HOU 1B 347.7
102 Whit Merrifield KC 2B/OF 346.7
 
  1. Deltron3030 says:
    (link)

    Thank you for sharing! Love the points league content since it’s hard to find among fantasy baseball media.

    I realize the rankings are a product of a model but I have some feedback because why not. Jose Ramirez is usually a star in this format, he’s worth bumping up a few spots. I assume Corey Seager and Yu Darvish are ranked as if they’ll play a full season, seems a bit bullish. Xander Bogaerts is another star in this format that seems way low, like maybe 10+ spots too low. For instance, I would definitely take Bogaerts over Seager in this format. Surprised to see J.D. Martinez and Corbin so high, given the probability of decline. Greinke is another who excels in this format, surprised to see Gausman ranked ahead of him. Robbie Ray and Joey Votto? I wouldn’t draft either unless roster size is large. Thank you again for giving me something to think about.

    • Butters

      Butters says:
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      I was surprised to see some of those guys ranked so highly as well. I think it’s also important to note that in many cases the difference between a few guys is only a couple of points, if that. With such a small gap there’s nothing wrong taking the guy you like better. Votto is a good example of the boring older guy who isn’t flashy but can really help your team. I would lean Seager over Bogaerts because of the lineup but if you feel there’s too much injury risk Xander is certainly not a bad option.

      Thanks for reading, feedback is always welcome.

  2. David Crews says:
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    Being in a points league. I really appreciate this content. It gives me a template to work with. It also enforces a conclusion I came up with a while ago: that pitchers dominate the points, especially with the scoring system in the league I’m in which also rewards quality starts. It’s also the position with the most players starting, and the tiers are significant.

    • Butters

      Butters says:
      (link)

      Pitchers do tend to score the most but I’m still prioritizing top bats over top arms.

Comments are closed.