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I use a number of different tools, sites, and metrics every week to adjust my rankings and to determine exactly who I should focus on each week. I usually try to focus on players owned in less than 60% leagues, players who are rising or falling and who you should probably buy low or sell high on, or players who are new to the Top 100 or on the cusp of joining the ranks. It has only been a few weeks since I took over these rankings for the legendary [email protected], so I am still working on creating the most efficient system (I spend wayyyyyy too much time agonizing over these rankings every Sunday).

I start by going over my notes and spreadsheets from the previous week, then take a peek at Razzball’s Player Rater and look at the current rankings and the Rest of Season Projections. Once I jot down some notes from those, I take a look at ESPN’s PR15 Player Ratings for the last 15 days. Lastly, I check FanGraphs with a focus on the best wOBA for the last 14 days and the last 30 days. Usually, once I am finished with that process, I have an idea of who I am going to write about and a starting point for adjusting the rankings.

Still awake? I know it’s a riveting process, and you were probably on the edge of your seat. Anyway, the point I am trying to make here is that I usually have an idea for a focus point. This week, the focus points pretty much slapped me in the face and forced me to talk about them.

Enter Ryon Healy and Domingo Santana. Both players are still somehow owned in less than 50% of ESPN leagues and ranked in the Top 5 of ESPN’s PR15 list and Top 15 for wOBA over the last week in all of baseball. That’s pretty absurd production for anyone, but these two are available in a ton of leagues right now.

Son focused on Healy in his One Man’s Trash post this week, so you can head over there for his take and a breakdown of the numbers (spoiler alert: treasure). The Cliffs Notes (does anyone still know what those are?) are: he is hitting for power, he is driving in runs, he is chasing too many pitches, and he plays in Oakland. I actually picked up Healy in my H2H league just before writing this post last week, and I reaped the benefits.

Santana is a guy who I almost included in the rankings last week but decided I wanted to wait a bit longer. I took some heat for that in the comments (I see you, westcoastpete!), which seems to be a trend for my when it comes to guys just outside my Top 100. After a .456 wOBA and five home runs over the last two weeks, I’m ready to add him.

Now, Santana is still just 24 years old, but he has been in the minors since he was signed by the Phillies out of the Dominican Republic when he was just 16. He is already in his ninth year of professional baseball. Between team changes, fall leagues, promotions to different levels, and Dominican winter leagues, his Baseball Reference page has 30 different rows to look at. Throughout those years, he has displayed a few things, such as plus-power, decent speed (though he doesn’t seem to run all that often), an ability to hit the ball to all fields, and strikeouts. The hardest thing about evaluating Santana is that he has been moved around so often, making you wonder about the effects those have had on his development. For all we know, his ceiling is even higher than what we might think just because he has never been able to really get comfortable anywhere.

Anyway, that is just speculation. My main concern so far for Santana is his ability to consistently hit major league pitching. He has been up and down between MLB and AAA and has struggled at times at the MLB level, and his .349 BABIP might suggest his .281 batting average is due to come down a bit. Another concern is the amount of talent around him in that Brewers outfield. In addition to Ryan Braun on the disabled list, they also have Hernan Perez, Keon Broxton, and prospects Brett Phillips and Lewis Brinson. If he struggles for any kind of extended period of time at all, he could lose playing time. That being said, there is still a lot to like.

Let’s look at his spray chart from last season, when he appeared in 77 games for the Brewers:

Source: FanGraphs

Here, you can see the home runs to left, center and right and line drives all over the field. The abundance of ground balls to the pull side are often due to rolling over the ball.

Now, let’s look at 2017:

Source: FanGraphs

2017 looks even better. Four home runs to right-center/right, five to left-center/center, and one to left. Line drives are still all over. I still have some concern about his value ROS in redraft leagues, but I do like his high ceiling.

Note: These rankings are considered ROS Trade Value

Mike Maher’s Top 100 Hitters

(Rankings based on 12-team Roto. GREEN = player rising. RED = player dropping. BLUE = new to the 100.)

Rank Name Team Pos
1 Paul Goldschmidt ARI 1B
2 Bryce Harper WSH OF
3 Mookie Betts BOS OF
4 Nolan Arenado COL 3B
5 Jose Altuve HOU 2B
6 Charlie Blackmon COL OF
7 Kris Bryant CHC 3B/OF
8 Joey Votto CIN 1B
9 Daniel Murphy WSH 1B/2B
10 Trea Turner WSH SS/2B/OF
11 Nelson Cruz SEA OF
12 Corey Seager LAD SS
13 Francisco Lindor CLE SS
14 Anthony Rizzo CHC 1B
15 Manny Machado BAL 3B/SS
16 Wil Myers SD 1B/OF
17 Josh Donaldson TOR 3B
18 Giancarlo Stanton MIA OF
19 Miguel Cabrera DET 1B
20 Robinson Cano SEA 2B
21 Carlos Correa HOU SS
22 J.D. Martinez DET OF
23 Mike Trout LAA OF
24 Aaron Judge NYY OF
25 George Springer HOU OF
26 Matt Kemp ATL OF
27 Brian Dozier MIN 2B
28 Ryan Braun MIL OF
29 Jose Ramirez CLE 3B/OF
30 Miguel Sano MIN 3B/OF
31 Yoenis Cespedes NYM OF
32 Jake Lamb ARI 3B
33 Marcell Ozuna MIA OF
34 Michael Conforto NYM OF
35 Edwin Encarnacion CLE 1B
36 Xander Bogaerts BOS SS
37 Christian Yelich MIA OF
38 Ian Desmond COL OF
39 Khris Davis OAK OF
40 Kyle Seager SEA 3B
41 Eric Thames MIL 1B/OF
42 Andrew Benintendi BOS OF
43 Justin Upton DET OF
44 Buster Posey SF C/1B
45 Mark Trumbo BAL OF
46 Michael Brantley CLE OF
47 Jose Abreu CWS 1B
48 Anthony Rendon WSH 3B
49 A.J. Pollock ARI OF
50 Corey Dickerson TB OF
51 Ryan Zimmerman WAS 1B
52 Adam Duvall CIN OF
53 Freddie Freeman ATL 1B
54 Carlos Gonzalez COL OF
55 Matt Carpenter STL 1B/2B/3B
56 Jedd Gyorko STL 2B/3B/SS
57 Dee Gordon MIA 2B
58 Cody Bellinger LAD 1B
59 Gary Sanchez NYY C
60 Hanley Ramirez BOS 1B
61 Jay Bruce NYM OF
62 Adam Jones BAL OF
63 Rougned Odor TEX 2B
64 Evan Longoria TB 3B
65 Albert Pujols LAA 1B
66 Chris Davis BAL 1B
67 Eugenio Suarez CIN 3B
68 Billy Hamilton CIN OF
69 Gregory Polanco PIT OF
70 DJ LeMahieu COL 2B
71 Jean Segura SEA 2B/SS
72 Ian Kinsler DET 2B
73 Lorenzo Cain KC OF
74 Mitch Haniger SEA OF
75 Chris Owings ARI 2B/SS
76 Justin Turner LAD 3B
77 Jonathan Villar MIL 2B/3B/SS
78 Eric Hosmer KC 1B
79 Scott Schebler CIN OF
80 Elvis Andrus TEX SS
82 Salvador Perez KC C
83 Yonder Alonso OAK 1B
81 Carlos Santana CLE 1B
84 Starlin Castro NYY 2B
85 Brett Gardner NYY OF
86 Aledmys Diaz STL SS
87 Trevor Story COL SS
88 Andrew McCutchen PIT OF
89 Jose Bautista TOR OF
90 Adrian Beltre TEX 3B
91 Mark Reynolds COL 1B
92 Alex Bregman HOU 3B
93 Odubel Herrera PHI OF
94 Justin Bour MIA 1B
95 Ryon Healy OAK 1B/3B
96 Eduardo Nunez SF 3B/SS/OF
97 Justin Smoak TOR 1B
98 Domingo Santana MIL OF
99 Ender Inciarte ATL OF
100 Jonathan Schoop BAL 2B

The Honorable Mentions (Next Five In…)

Rank Name Pos Team
101 Aaron Hicks NYY OF
102 Travis Shaw MIL 1B/3B
103 Nomar Mazara TEX OF
104 Joey Gallo TEX 3B
105 Avisail Garcia CHW OF

Dropped from the rankings: Kevin Kiermaier, Ian Happ, Yasmani Grandal, Keon Broxton

 

As always, disagree with anything here? Have any questions or comments? Want to tell Mike how great he is or how much you agree with him? Want relationship or investment advice?

 

DROP THOSE COMMENTS!

If you want to talk fantasy baseball or football or have players you want Mike to feature, hit him up on Twitter at @mikeMaher or post a comment below!

   
  1. whitekenyan says:
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    Starling Marte’s suspension is over in about a month. When you do you think he’ll make his way back on to the list? Where do you see him slotted once he’s back playing?

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @whitekenyan:

      Good question. The bottom 25 of this list is kinda mehhhh in my opinion right now. Lots of question marks. I think I would throw him up around 55-60ish to start just based on potential alone and then see how it looks.

    • The Biz says:
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      @whitekenyan: I was going to ask the same. Do you think the last week of June will be too long to wait to pick him up? I know he’s allowed a minor league rehab starting early July and he’ll be jumped on for sure then.

      • mikeMaher

        mikeMaher says:
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        @The Biz:

        If you can afford to roster him then sure, go for it. Better to be too early and get through it for a few weeks than be too late.

        • The Biz says:
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          @mikeMaher: I’d grab him next waiver run if I didn’t also have Trout and Freeman..

  2. whitekenyan says:
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    Michael Brantley also seems particularly high. Understand that he’s in the middle of a potent lineup but he’s been a very empty hitter, especially as of late, and his numbers seem very replaceable in many leagues.

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @whitekenyan:

      So far, that is pretty true. This ROS ranking is based a bit on the 20/20 potential with a high average that he offers. But he definitely has a downward arrow right now unless the production starts to increase soon.

      • whitekenyan says:
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        @mikeMaher:
        Thanks for the reply. I love combing through these each Monday. Great work!

        • mikeMaher

          mikeMaher says:
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          @whitekenyan:

          Thanks! Appreciate that.

  3. Michael A says:
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    What does Aaron Judge have to do to crack the Top-20? Lol

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Michael A:

      Haha! Well he is certainly on his way. Just has to keep hitting and avoid a regression. We keep thinking he can’t keep up this pace, but he keeps on mashing. If he keeps this up he’ll be up near the top.

  4. Daniel Moran says:
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    Any concern on Will Myers? He’s had a rough last month, notably since I traded Springer for him haha

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Daniel Moran:

      A little bit. He is striking out too much (over 30%). .264 wOBA over the last 14 days isn’t ideal, either. Overall I think he ends up with around the same numbers as last season, though.

  5. Don says:
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    I hate Rougned Odor.

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Don:

      Imagine being Grey and owning him in like 12 leagues.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Like the league you’re in with me and I’m beating you by 80 points

        • mikeMaher

          mikeMaher says:
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          @Grey:

          Oof! Burn! I can’t catch a break in that league. I was actually going to include (though he is doing just fine despite having Odor everywhere) but I thought that would be too nice.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Haha, just busting your chops

  6. RICE says:
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    Building on the above Will Myers question a bit… he’s been bad and the numbers don’t seem to be getting any better.

    It looks like I have a shot to trade for either Cespedes or Myers for the same value. I’m wondering if the only reason Cespedes is ranked so much lower than Myers is due to the fact that he’s just back from injury?

    If Cespedes proves to be healthy over the course of the next week will he be moving up into a Myers range-ish or better?

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @RICE:

      If he is healthy and producing, sure. The thing with Myers is that he offers that rare power/speed combo that is hard to find. But yeah, if Cespedes comes back and gets (and stays) healthy, he’ll rise. Legit power.

  7. ctrengove says:
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    Great list! 3 hot takes: Wil Myers should probably be lower, Yonder Alonso (along with all the first basemen) should probably be higher, and JBJ should probably be included somewhere.

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @ctrengove:

      As a Red Sox fan who owns/owned JBJ in a few leagues this year, it’s hard for me to put realistic value on him ROS. He just becomes unplayable for weeks at a time. I’ve been burned too many times!

      If these were rankings for production up until now, then yeah, Alonso over Myers. But do we really think Alonso is going to outperform Myers ROS? I don’t.

      • ctrengove says:
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        @mikeMaher:

        I picked up JBJ off waivers a couple weeks ago when an opponent dropped him, and he’s been a solid contributor for me since! But I didn’t have to experience his early May snooze.

        • mikeMaher

          mikeMaher says:
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          @ctrengove:

          Haha, I was probably the owner who dropped him! I had him in a few leagues but in one or two of them I had some injuries and needed the roster spot. Couldn’t afford to wait for him when he was hitting .190.

  8. Chucky says:
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    Week 11 Quandry. Have 5 gamers Lamb and Stanton, or replace either/ or with Thames? Odubel? or go on the wire and grab a Maybin, Dyson? Been coming up short in H2H steals with Villar and Pollock sidelined. Essentially punting SBs in their absence.

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Chucky:

      Hard to sit either of those two, but Odubel has been on fire lately

  9. SMITTY says:
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    Nice list! Only one I’m having a really hard time with is Myers. He’s batted .187 the past month with 3 homers and 3 SB’s and 7 RBI’s, not even close to 16th best and that is not a small sample size for a guy that’s been in the league as long as he has. Believe me I wish he was that good as I have him on several teams, he just hasn’t been a plus in any catergory.

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @SMITTY:

      Thanks! Re: Myers, it seems a bunch of other people agree with you. I’m holding out hope that he turns it around and gets back to that cross-category production we have seen in the past.

      • SMITTY says:
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        @mikeMaher: I’m hoping so too, I thought we could see a 40/30 guy here before the season. I’ll gladly take 40/20 though. Myers is a guy if really like to see play somewhere else in a good lineup and hitters park.

        • mikeMaher

          mikeMaher says:
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          @SMITTY:

          What a dream that would be

  10. Halp

    Halp says:
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    Been loving your write-ups, Mike! I’ve seen some whispers that some people think Harper is playing above his head a bit. Nice to see you are still holding strong on him. Do you think he can completely keep up this level all season?

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Halp:

      Haha, thanks, Halp. I feel your pain of having such a common first name, by the way! Who’s Harper?

      • Halp

        Halp says:
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        @mikeMaher: haha on the name thing.

        Bryce! A nice little player for the Washington Nationals

        • mikeMaher

          mikeMaher says:
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          @Halp:

          Bryce Harper at baseball > Harper Lee at writing.

          My only complaint about Harper is that he isn’t running much anymore, though after what happened to Trout maybe we shouldn’t complain…

  11. jack florida says:
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    nice job, very helpful

  12. SDB says:
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    To date:

    58 Cody Bellinger
    30 runs, 15 home runs, 35 rbis, .248 avg

    60 Hanley Ramirez
    25 runs, 8 home runs, 26 rbis, .250 avg

    91 Mark Reynolds
    37 runs, 17 home runs, 54 rbis, .314 avg

    It’s June, what’s a Reynolds have to do to be considered a top 50 bat going forward? One more month of this?

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @SDB:

      He’s 33 with a career .238 average. I get that he has been great, but he is one slump away from not even having an everyday job. Razzball Player Rater has him at 186 ROS, so I am going even higher than that by almost 100 spots.

      • SDB says:
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        @mikeMaher:

        Wouldn’t it be somewhat fair to say that it appears Mark Reynolds has reinvented himself or his swing?

        Here’s his 2016 stat line:
        61 runs, 14 home runs, 53 rbis, .282 avg, and that’s in only 393 at bats.
        Not too shabby.
        Recalculate that to a full season as a starter, and it’s about
        90 runs, 20 home runs, 80 rbis…

        He’s currently on (an unsustainable) pace for a full season stat line of
        110 runs, 50 home runs, 162 rbis..

        He could slump and end up an 80 runs, 30 home runs, 90 rbis, and .270 hitter. That’s a second round draft pick at worst.

        And it’s not like Ian Desmond is knocking the cover off the ball…

  13. Bobby says:
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    How in the world is someone like Odor 40 spots ahead of Mazara. These rankings seem really random.

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Bobby:

      Because they are based on ROS projections rather than YTD numbers.

  14. omar says:
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    Which pair ROS? AL Only 5×5 Standard Roto:
    A) Cano / Jose Ramirez
    B) JD Martinez / Gallo

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @omar:

      A is safer but B has more upside. Gallo hitting .200 and striking out 40% of the time really holds an anchor to the rest of his numbers.

  15. La Potencia says:
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    Pick one to not start this week: Polanco, Belt, Brinson, Odubel

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @La Potencia:

      Brinson or Odubel. My gut initially says Odubel bc of how hot he has been, but Brinson is also very tempting.

      • La Potencia says:
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        @mikeMaher:

        Sorry which one to bench?

        • mikeMaher

          mikeMaher says:
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          @La Potencia:

          Sorry, read that wrong. I would sit Belt if it were me but it is a toss-up between him and Polanco.

  16. Tony C says:
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    Based on your rankings you do not foresee Yuli Gurriel to outproduce Bregman or Gallo st the hot corner? I have Bregman but his teammate has been better.

    • Tony C says:
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      Btw, nice job with these rankings. It’s quite subjective but I think you do well with this list each week. I look forward to reading this column every Monday.

      • mikeMaher

        mikeMaher says:
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        @Tony C:

        Thanks, really appreciate that. And yeah, it’s obviously pretty subjective, especially since we are talking about ROS projections. It would be easy to just generate a list of “hey, here’s the 100 guys who have been the best so far this year.”

        I really like Bregman overall and think we have yet to see the best of him. Gurriel is fine but I definitely like Bregman to outperform him.

        I answered a question about Gallo above. Love the power but a .200 average and 40% strikeout rate are tough. He has been sitting against lefties, too.

  17. Chris says:
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    Hello Mike,

    Pitching question.

    Would you trade Salazar for either Junior Guerra or Cotton?

    thanks

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Chris:

      No, I would hold for now.

  18. TTRA1N says:
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    Trade Severino for Bellinger? CI spot hasnt been great for me. Severino is a stud though. Thoughts?

    10TM Keep 5 forever Roto 6×6 QS/OPS 1500 inn Limit League Bold for current keepers.
    C Grandal
    1B Myers
    2B Gordon
    3B Sano
    SS Baez
    CI Bregman
    MI Owings
    4OF Harper, Springer, Benintendi, Conforto
    2UTiL M.Smith/Polanco BN Pirela, Buxton
    DL Thor/Villar NA Rosario
    SP McCullers, Bundy, Severino, Wood, Berrios, Manaea, Nelson
    RP Holland, Brach, J.Wilson, Knebel, Albers

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @TTRA1N:

      I would hold onto Bellinger personally.

  19. westcoastpete says:
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    CHOO CHOO! Welcome to the Domingo Santana hype train, next stop top 50 ;)

  20. Cyler says:
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    I have acquired a nice amount of keepers in my OBP dynasty Yahoo league. Wondering if moving Rizzo for Machado and Bellinger is worth it. RIzzo is about to get 2B eligibility so his value may be higher. My keepers now are looking like:

    Schwarber
    Bregman
    Bogaerts
    Myers
    Polanco
    Springer
    Mazara
    Rizzo
    Odor
    JD Martinez

    Does that improve these keepers? We only get 10 so I do a two for one I would need to not keep one of those guys. Could easily trade though.

    Thoughts?

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Cyler:

      I think Machado and Bellinger is worth it, especially in a keeper league.

  21. Daniel Moran says:
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    Could you hep me understand Jose Ramirez ranking inside the top 30? Is that where a 20/20 guy with solid AVG and multi-position eligibility goes or are you seeing something else going fwd? Thinking about trading for him.

    Thanks!

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Daniel Moran:

      20/20 potential and solid average. I don’t really consider positional eligibility for this list, though that does help with flexibility for fantasy owners. I think where I have him is about his ceiling. Razzball player rater has him 32 ROS, FWIW.

  22. Just traded away Judge, how does ROS Player Rater have him at 182 or over 200 last time i looked? Please shed light…..

    • @kR Express: actually now has dropped from 180’s to the 50’s, wow, that was a huge jump, have not found one player with that big of a freefall or leap whichever way you look at it

      • mikeMaher

        mikeMaher says:
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        @kR Express:

        Yeah, Judge is kind of hard because he has be SO, SO good, but this kind of production is unprecedented for him. His 22 home runs are already more than he hit in any season in the minors. The thought for a while now has been that he HAS to regress a bit at some point. But…he just hasn’t.

  23. Kam says:
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    Got offered Conforto for Odor. Thoughts?

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Kam:

      I would do it

  24. Osuna Matata says:
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    I am in a 12 team – 10 Keeper forever league. How would you value Starling Marte going forward?

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Osuna Matata:

      Razzball’s preseason Player Rater had him at 13. Unless he comes back and falls flat on his face for some reason, I would put him in my top 25 or so as a keeper heading into next season

  25. JayHay says:
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    Thoughts on G. Polanco? 12tm Y! 10×10 cat. Pretty deep at OF (Sano, Conforto, Odubel, Haniger, Zimmer, Polanco and T. Turner at 2B). I’m getting pretty over him, liked his upside after WBC and knew shoulder would need time coming into the season but given the extra time he needed for other smaller injuries I thought he’d come around by now. Considering dropping for Matt Adams (like the SunTrust situation). Thoughts?

    • JayHay says:
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      @JayHay: I’m in 1st with a loaded infield (Goldy, Machado, Trea and Arenado), it’s a semi keeper league, none of my OF other than Haniger would be on the keeping radar, all of my infield is. Just looking to improve but move-or nonmove wouldn’t sink me.

      • mikeMaher

        mikeMaher says:
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        @JayHay:

        I feel you on Polanco. I would try to move him for another buy low or something first rather than just dropping him though. Razzball Player Rater still has him at 46th hitter ROS, FWIW. He still has some value.

  26. John says:
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    Hi,

    Guy in my league is looking for a package of players for Altuve. It’s 12 team H2H redraft. Kepler and Marte are who I would prob try to replace Benintendi with.

    The offer is:

    Benintendi, Odor, and Robbie Ray. Fair or too much/little.

    Thanks, appreciate the feedback.

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @John:

      That seems pretty fair

  27. Oppo Taco says:
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    Seems way too low on Hicks and I don’t own him anywhere. Was curious about the logic there

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Oppo Taco:

      He has looked great but we’re talking about a career .234 hitter who hit .217 last season. Razzball Player Rater has him at 289 ROS.

  28. Hi Awesome list – 1st time reader

    What do you think Delino Deshields real potential is? He’s been at the top of the Rangers lineup – which is a decent lineup overall – and already has 16 steals in only 157 at bats, but also never ever hits a HR or gets many RBIs.. Should I value his 60 steal potential and average that much? Or would you rather have someone like Odubel who only 15 and 49 and 24 last year, but maybe that comes out better than What Delino does… That’s why I ask

    Also, I’m very happy to see Conforto 41 on this list because I needed some offense so I just traded Severino for him, but he’s really been slumping lately, and had a bad last year.

    I’ve seen him hit which is why I think he’s for real… You think he’ll pick it back up right? I find that most players take 1-2 years before they really start their 30 and 100 years, so I get worried maybe with how injured and bad the Mets are, he might have a 22 and 60 year hitting like .256… And I’m a huge Yankee fan so it was tough giving up Severino.

    Keep up the good work brother, thanks!
    The Face Corporation
    (Face)

    • mikeMaher

      mikeMaher says:
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      @Derek (Face) Woods:

      Thanks. Appreciate that.

      Deshields has played well recently but the Rangers just got Napoli and Gomez back from the DL, so he might have some trouble keeping regular playing time.

      I am a believer in Conforto overall but he will probably have his ups and downs, especially when Cespedes is out of that lineup.

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