Happy Monday, Razzball faithful!
Let’s get this out of the way first. Somehow, deeply rooted in my psyche, is that Britney Spears song. I did use it last year for a Ji-Hwan Bae post. But for reasons unknown, when I looked at the SP26-50 for this week, one obvious lede stood out.
Then, after the madness that was the increased population of the starting pitcher graveyard this weekend, I figured it was time to double down and commit.
I give you…“Hit me Bibee, one more time”…
Oh Tanner Bibee, how was I supposed to know?
That somethin’ wasn’t right there
The sticky stuff, they shouldn’t have let it go
And now guys sure aren’t right, yeah.
Shohei..no he won’t be, surely
Bieber, Eury, arms no good, the guys are…going down!
Manoah-mess…is killing me…(and I)
I must confess…I drafted Fried (drafted Fried!)
When I see I.L., I lose my mind
Give me a sign (but hopefully not that red one with the cross?)
Hit me Bibee, one more time!
So, the beautiful Utopia that was the ‘reliable’ starting pitcher meadow has been cluster-bombed by shoulder injuries and IL flooding this week. We lost Shane Bieber for the season, Spencer Strider is headed for an MRI, Eury Perez is on the Tommy John train, and so many others are dropping like bowling pins at a Mookie Betts birthday party.
I’ll add a link to Keelin’s Ambulance Chasers, here, if you want to read more about that injury madness.
EDITOR’S NOTE: Speaking of pitcher injuries, make sure you set your Razzslam FAAB that runs TUESDAY night, 4/9 at 10 PM ET.
And before I do a quick write-up on Bibee, I wanted to share a clip that I saw last night from Tyler Glasnow.
Tyler Glasnow made it very clear why pitchers were getting injured 2 years ago. It’s not the pitch clock
Nor even joking, this is all Trevor Bauer’s fault pic.twitter.com/Tr0XN8y4En
— Nate (@notNate99) April 7, 2024
A lot of buzz is swirling about laying the blame on the introduction of the pitch clock and its subsequent negative influence on the rotation stalwarts over the last couple of seasons. While I wouldn’t discount that as being a contributor, I like Glasnow’s take. The removal of all materials outside of rosin has created an even bigger problem for pitchers than the pitch clock itself.
MLBPA Chief, Tony Clark, will probably disagree, but it makes a lot of sense.
With all of that said, Is Tanner Bibee a ‘safe’ arm to pursue in the hellscape that is the season of the ‘dangle-arm’?
Bibee (SP33 in our list) was going off the board as the 43rd pitcher this spring, and the 29th SP overall (according to yesterday’s NFBC ADP data). I’ll admit that being slotted in the middle of the pocket of starters that went Ragans, Cease, Musgrove, BIBEE, Eury, Bassitt, Sale made it tough for me to pull the trigger on the Guardians budding ace. In that pocket, I found myself drafting a closer, (often Pete Fairbanks), or one of the other arms that I saw more positives with (Ragans, Cease, Bassitt).
That might have been a mistake. Hindsight and such.
After a short, rough start against Oakland on March 30, (4 IP, 6H, 3 ER, 5BB, 4K), Bibee looked great against Minnesota last Thursday. 5.1IP, 5H. 1ER, 0BB, 9K is certainly an improvement from his 2024 debut, and hopefully an indication of things to come as he ramps up through his first few starts.
If anything, now that Bieber is down and out, Guardians fans are hoping that Bibee can step up and ‘Gimme More’.
At this point, though, fantasy owners will just be happy if Bibee isn’t another victim of the pitch clock/rosin reaper singing “Oops…I did it again”.
I explained how I’d run through the Top 100 last week, and to keep things more focused I’ll just quickly explain that this week I’ll be focusing on the SP26-50 in our list as far as blurbs are concerned.
Before we get to the list, though, I need to link y’all to The Streamonator to help you answer those burning questions that we might not be readily available to help you with 24/7. I’m sure a lot of you know already, but Streamonator is more than a good resource for the entire season. It’s going to save you a lot of time researching on your own, and stop you from making those tough “Should I start…?” decisions. Check the link, yo.
The Top Starting Pitchers for 2024
RANK
(LAST WEEK) |
Name | TEAM | BUY? NOTES? ANYTHING!? |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Spencer Strider | Braves | Not moving down until/if MRI results come back with bad news. |
2 (3) | Corbin Burnes | Orioles | |
3 (2) | Kevin Gausman | Blue Jays | Rough outing @NYY, but hopefully that was weather-related. |
4 | Zack Wheeler | Phillies | |
5 | Luis Castillo | Mariners | |
6 | Freddy Peralta | Brewers | |
7 | Pablo Lopez | Twins | |
8 | George Kirby | Mariners | |
9 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Dodgers | 5IP, 3H, 2BB, 8K – That’ll do! |
10 | Logan Gilbert | Mariners | |
11 | Framber Valdez | Astros | |
12 | Aaron Nola | Phillies | W, but velocity was down again. |
13 | Zac Gallen | Diamondbacks | |
14 | Tarik Skubal | Tigers | |
15 | Tyler Glasnow | Dodgers | |
16 | Grayson Rodriguez | Orioles | |
17 | Blake Snell | Giants | |
18 | Max Fried | Braves | 4.1IP, 10H, 7ER. Oof. Hopefully not re-injured. |
19 | Logan Webb | Giants | |
20 | Zach Eflin | Rays | |
21 | Jesus Luzardo | Marlins | |
22 | Bobby Miller | Dodgers | |
23 | Joe Ryan | Twins | |
24 | Chris Sale | Braves | |
25 (26) | Cole Ragans | Royals | Preseason darling now with 2 great starts. |
And now for our next blurb pocket…SP26-SP50…
26 (27) | Dylan Cease | Padres | |
27 (29) | Shoto Imanaga | Cubs | |
28 | Chris Bassitt | Blue Jays | |
29 (30) | Joe Musgrove | Padres | |
30 (31) | Hunter Brown | Astros | |
31 (32) | Jordan Montgomery | Diamondbacks | |
32 (33) | Tanner Bibee | Guardians | |
33 (34) | Mitch Keller | Pirates | |
34 (35) | Bryce Miller | Mariners | |
35 (36) | Hunter Greene | Reds | |
36 (37) | Justin Steele | Cubs | Is due back ‘sometime in May’. |
37 (38) | Merrill Kelly | Diamondbacks | |
38 (39) | Jose Berrios | Blue Jays | |
39 (46) | Reid Detmers | Angels | 2-0, 11IP, 2ER, 4BB, 19K. |
40 (41) | Justin Verlander | Astros | Could rejoin rotation on April 17th. |
41 (42) | Walker Buehler | Dodgers | Progressing well. At least one more rehab start. |
42 (43) | Charlie Morton | Braves | |
43 (44) | Sonny Gray | Cardinals | Will make Cards debut tomorrow. |
44 (40) | Bailey Ober | Twins | |
45 | Cristian Javier | Astros | |
46 (47) | Yusei Kikuchi | Blue Jays | |
47 (48) | Nestor Cortes | Yankees | |
48 (49) | Yu Darvish | Padres | |
50 (83) | Garrett Crochet | White Sox |
Dylan Cease (26) – Two starts, (and like everyone else, we know it’s all small sample sizes), but the 2BB per game is encouraging. Especially when that’s accompanied by more strikeouts than innings pitched (10.1 IP / 13 K’s).
Shoto Imanaga (27) – Only allowed two hits in each of his starts, but didn’t pitch into the 5th inning for the start yesterday. 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.40 WHIP qualifies as a pretty good start to an MLB career. 12K’s in 10 IP is encouraging too. I’d be sending out trade offers before he puts up any more of these gems.
Hunter Brown (30) – A rough outing Friday night, (3IP, 8H, 5ER, 4BB, 3K), so this spot is more about faith that he’ll be fine and a good arm to own than reading anything into the bad start. FWIW, his first game was 4IP with zero earned runs and 5 strikeouts.
Bryce Miller (34) – He’s kind of the reverse of Hunter Brown so far. Miller followed up a rough first outing with 7 innings of shutout ball. The single walk and 7 strikeouts are exactly what fantasy managers want to see more of from this 4th starter.
Reid Detmers (39) – Outdueled Garrett Whitlock on Saturday and notched his second W of the year. 6IP, 3H, 1ER, and a career-high 12 strikeouts helped to push him up our list here.
Justin Verlander (40) – Was expected to throw 75 pitches in a rehab start yesterday and is on track to pitch against the Braves on April 17th (barring any setbacks).
Bailey Ober (44) – “I will not overreact to one bad start…I will not Ober-react to one bad start…I will not…”
Yusei Kikuchi (46) – Yusei goodbye, and I say hello. And Kikuchi says shutting out the Yankees at home with 7 strikeouts is a nice bounceback from a ‘meh’ start in his first game.
Nathan Eovaldi (49) – I never know what to think with Eovaldi. Part of me has that old worry about the arm issues he had way back when he was in Boston and Tampa. Part of me thinks he’s a sneaky starter who can flash ace ability. The 2021 version is the one we all want – with the 195 K’s – but I think we get somewhere between the two. That qualifies as a serviceable SP2/3 for our fantasy teams.
Garrett Crochet (50) – Oh boy. Crochet was in line for his second win of the season yesterday before Deivi Gracia came in and promptly flubbed the game in the 7th inning. Regardless, I’m still in on the Croch Rocket (™).
I had Brayan Bello slotted for the final spot in this group, but I had to bump him for the mounting Garrett Crochet hype. This guy is rocketing up the list, fuelled by two very strong starts in which he gave up just 2 ER (total) and struck out 8 in each game. A history of arm trouble could scare some away, especially with the multitude of starters going down with injuries this week. The problem is if you don’t go grab him off the wire, one of your league mates likely will (or already has).
BUT WAIT…THERE’S MORE!!!
Here’s the rest of the list.
51 (55) | Brayan Bello | Red Sox | |
52 (53) | Nathan Eovaldi | Rangers | |
53 (50) | Carlos Rodon | Yankees | |
54 | Michael King | Padres | |
55 (52) | Eduardo Rodriguez | Diamondbacks | |
56 | Ryan Pepiot | Rays | |
57 | Aaron Civale | Rays | |
58 | Bryan Woo | Mariners | |
59 | Nick Lodolo | Reds | May face CWS this Friday. |
60 | Kenta Maeda | Tigers | |
61 (51) | Lance Lynn | Cardinals | |
62 | Triston McKenzie | Guardians | |
63 | Braxton Garrett | Marlins | AAA rehab start yesterday. |
64 (79) | Garrett Whitlock | Red Sox | 2GS, 9.1 IP, 1 ER, 12 K. |
65 | Jon Gray | Rangers | |
66 | Gavin Williams | Guardians | |
67 | Kutter Crawford | Red Sox | Great start to 2024. Excellent ratios. |
68 | Seth Lugo | Royals | |
69 | Gerrit Cole | Yankees | 60 day IL – out until at least early June. |
70 | Nick Pivetta | Red Sox | |
71 | Sean Manaea | Mets | |
72 | Max Scherzer | Rangers | Avoids 60-day IL and could return at the end of May. |
73 | Kyle Harrison | Giants | |
74 | Brandon Pfaadt | Diamondbacks | |
75 | Cristopher Sanchez | Phillies | |
76 | Luis Severino | Mets | |
77 (81) | Jared Jones | Pirates | 17K’s in 2GS. |
78 | Logan Allen | Guardians | |
79 (64) | Griffin Canning | Angels | Ratio killer (so far). |
80 | Tyler Wells | Orioles | |
81 (NR) | Tanner Houck | Red Sox | Great first start. Up 3-0 at time of writing. |
82 | Shane Baz | Rays | TJS recovery. 15-day IL. |
83 (94) | Luis Gil | Yankees | AVG 7 K’s/GS. Fewer than 5 IP in both starts though. |
84 | Paul Skenes | Pirates | |
85 | Gavin Stone | Dodgers | |
86 | Marcus Stroman | Yankees | |
87 | Dane Dunning | Rangers | |
88 | MacKenzie Gore | Nationals | |
89 (NR) | Ranger Suarez | Phillies | |
90 | Edward Cabrera | Marlins | Shoulder impingement. |
91 | Casey Mize | Tigers | |
92 | Jordan Wicks | Cubs | |
93 | Kyle Bradish | Orioles | 15-day IL. UCL sprain |
94 | AJ Puk | Marlins | No Puk’ing Good. |
95 | Erick Fedde | White Sox | |
96 | Dean Kremer | Orioles | |
97 | Ryan Weathers | Marlins | Meh. This may be another slide off the list if the next start doesn’t impress. |
98 | Reese Olson | Tigers | |
99 | Jack Flaherty | Tigers | |
100 | Kodai Senga | Mets | At least 6 weeks out from a throwing program. |
BIGGEST DUMPERS : With apologies to Cal Raleigh, these are some of the biggest dumpers (in value, not pants size).
Shane Bieber (TJS – out for the year), Eury Perez (samesies), Lance Lynn, Bailey Ober, Carlos Rodon, Griffin Canning,
BIGGEST JUMPERS : Who’s got hops? These are some of the biggest jumpers in value this week.
Garrett Crochet, Brayan Bello, Nathan Eovaldi, Shoto Imanaga, Garrett Whitlock, Eduardo Rodriguez, Jared Jones, Luis Gil
OOF! The following players dropped off the list this week.
Shane Bieber, Eury Perez
WHEE! The following players launched into the Top 100 this week.
Tanner Houck (81), Ranger Suarez (89)
And, of course, I can’t leave without a banger of an updated rendition of our title tune. Three cheers for the real Kung-Fu Panda. (Sorrey, Pablo Sandoval).
That’s all for this week! I hope you enjoyed it! Next week, I’ll post the Top 100 Starting Pitchers with more blurbs in that 51-75 ranked section.
Drop some comments in the chat if you’re feeling extra fired up about some of the names I do (or don’t) have here. Have a great week!
Follow me @marmosdad on Twitter/X and Bluesky @marmosdad.bsky.social
Hi Marmosdad,
Thoughts on Tyler Anderson? would you pick him up and Mize, Manaea or Cristopher Sanchez? Does he have any upside?
thanks so much for all your enjoyment!!
Sorry pick him and then waive one of the three listed?
Thanks
I’d hold. Anderson has started well but I think those other 3 will perform better for you in the long run.
Thanks so much! I will pass.
I usually stay away from RPs. However, I did dabble last year with Paul Seward and then added Chapman and Kimble. I do have Harvey. On waivers are Shelby Miller of Detroit and Elvis Peguero of Milwaukee? Should I stay the course ot waive one of my streamers ?
Your help is so very much appreciated!!!
Hold if that’s the best available.
Thank you for all this help!!
Hi MD, out of curiosity how far off the list is Wacha? Thanks!
He’s in that next pod after 100. There’s quite a few to consider moving up but it’s more of a case of “is he better than (Player X)?” and which guy the new one should replace.
Grey said it the other day. Just because Wacha is boring doesn’t mean we should ignore that he’s pitching well. (Paraphrased of course).
If he keeps this up, he’ll be on the list sooner than later.
Awesome
Thanks!
Great stuff!
SVHLD
Pick 2 please. Ratios are huge in this league.
Fairbanks
Payamps
Finnegan
Thanks dude. I think you did rank them.
Excellent stuff, Marmo! Much appreciated.
Btw, hoping it’s nothing big. Valdez got scratched from tonight’s game.
All the best,
Jolt
Thanks Jolt!
I’m seeing “elbow soreness” everywhere I look for Framber.
McTaggart (Astros beat writer) just posted that the team is “cautiously optimistic”…but I don’t know what they’re supposed to say either way. I don’t think they’d come out and say, “We’re really worried and think he’s toast”. Haha.
Hopefully not another notch on the SP reaper scythe!
Good stuff MarmosDad. Couple notes and a question:
1. Yeah Imanaga didn’t pitch into the 5th, but that was because of a 3 hr rain delay. Looks legit so far.
2. I was sitting behind the plate at Verlander’s rehab start. He looked good. Not worried about him getting knocked around some. He threw his whole arsenal for strikes, velocity seemed fine (in both cases, as far as I can tell; either the gun or the display in the stadium wasn’t working), delivery looked smooth, body language was good. He seems close to normal.
3. Re: Canning, does the parenthetical “(so far)” indicate you think he’ll turn it around? Unfortunately my AL-only squad depends a little too much on him not continuing to do this.
Thanks Steve!
1. The Imanaga note is good to know. I wondered why he hadn’t worked later, especially since he’d thrown fewer than 50 pitches. Makes total sense and I should’ve looked more closely for sure.
2. Great news about Verlander & really cool that you got to watch that close up live. It sounds like he’s just working through the rehab as if it were February/March in Spring Training. If the health is back, he’s such a great pitcher that I can see him returning to “normal” (like you said) right away.
3. Ya the parenthetical was kind of the same from me. I have him in my mixed home league and am hoping it’s just a slow start. It takes a while to correct nasty ratios for a full fantasy team, so hopefully you’ve got guys that can offset his rough start.
I like him quite a bit but unfortunately so do others in my AL only (along with about 10 other arms I had hoped to land in our auction).
Thanks again for the read and the notes!
Hi MarmosDa,
I am so looking forward to your feedback on my staff after the start of this season. Your detailed analysis makes my day!
As you recall, the following is my staff
SP: Burnes,
Skubal,
Nola,
Zack Wheeler
Cole Ragans
GreyRod
Streamer:
Kutter, at home vs Baltimore and at home vs CLE
Cristopher Sanchez, at home vs Pitt and home vs CO
Sean Manaea at home vs KC and home vs Pitt
Casey Mize at Pitt and home vs Tex
Crockett at home vs CINN
RP: Hunter Harvey
1.At this point, I am starting my SPs against all including Ragans against Houston. Do you agree?
2.Has your opinion changed about this staff? Would you make any changes to the streamers?
3.Are their any of the above starts by streamers would you avoid if any?
4, Would you try and get a another RP and would you waive?
THANKs so much for all your help. I am very grateful!
Martin
Blanco? 15 no hit innings and not even top 100?
Absolutely a fair question, and I considered adding him in. I need to see more from him though.
It’s easy to cite “small sample” when it fits a narrative so I don’t want to sound like I’m copping out here, but he feels a bit like smoke and mirrors so far.
I had him as a $0 franchise guy in a league a few years back and it felt like it took him forever to get where he is. Without that pedigree, (like a guy like Jones or Crochet has), it’s tougher to buy the hot start as legit.
Thanks for the read!
Martin!
1. Ragans against Houston is a tough one but it could go either way. I’ve got a similar decision to make with Bailey Ober in my AL only. It’s a two start week for him, but the first is against the Dodgers and after his first start of the year I don’t want to see him get buzz-sawed again, so I think I’m sitting him (even though the second start is against Detroit).
2. I still like it for sure. The only guy I’d move if I could is Nola. The velo is down and I don’t think I’m alone in thinking he’s not one of those top tier ace arms. If you can get a solid return from someone who thinks he is, I’d consider dealing him.
3. The rest of the rotation is solid and I don’t really have any issues with those streamers. Most of them are home starts, so even against the stronger teams it’s not a bad call. I like Kutter a lot too, but that Baltimore matchup could be the one tough one, even though they’re (Sox) at home.
4. Out of those guys, and assuming you don’t have others to waive, I’d probably move Manaea out for an RP if there’s quality out there. Depends on your scoring categories and what’s available of course, though. Maybe even see if the Nola fan in your league wants to part with a closer and a mid-range arm or bat to help solidify other areas of the squad(?).
Thanks again for the kind words and the questions!
And now I see that, of course, Ober threw a gem against LAD tonight. 5 IP, 3H, 1ER, 2BB, 7K. Oof.
Maybe I’ll feel better if he gets hammered by the Tigers later this week.
Hopefully not though.
Perfect- thanks for such a fantastic detailed response!!!
Do you have some suggestions of a RPs to ask for in exchange for Nola? I think that you are right. Shelby Miller is available on waivers. I think that I can do better.
Thanks again for your great advice! very much appreciated!
You absolutely can do better than that.
Try the Trade Analyzer in the free tools. You can plug Nola in on your side, then tweak with names from teams in your league on the other side to see if you can build a fair offer (or one that leans a bit your way – haha).
MarmosDad,
Believe it or not I have Strider, Bieber and Eury all on my roster….well, HAD!!!
I had covered covered Eury with Weathers at the onset of the season, I just covered Bieber with Houck (got the start yesterday) and now I need someone to cover Strider.
5×5 Roto, 12 team
My team has gotten off to a fantastic start in the pitching cats already and am looking for someone with stability but maybe at least some upside, especially short term.
Who do you think is my best option…these are guys avalable.
5×5 Roto, 12 team
Littel (TB)
Gil (NYY)
Dunning (Tex)
Blanco (Hou)
Singer (KC)
Wicks (CHC)
LAllen Taylor (Cle)
Bradford (Tex)
Schmidt (NYY)
Blackburn (oak)
Meyer (Mia)
Perhaps just a few to help narrow it down?
Is there a dominant middle reliever that you might think can rack up some K’s while preserving my ratios that would suggest?
Thank you…I am in triage mode right now and trying to stop the bleeding….and surgeries!!
From those, probably Dunning, Singer, and maybe Littel but Littel won’t help much with strikeouts.
Blanco feels like a schmotato, and the others have less of a track record.
For streaming, Bradford has a couple of good starts coming up. I took Wicks in my mixed home league as a flier on draft day too.
Hope that helps!
How far off the list is Jordan Hicks?
He’s in consideration for sure. Could make a case for that bottom 10. If he throws another couple of good games I could see him overtaking a guy like Weathers.
Looks like you have Eovaldi at 49 and 52. Just a heads up!
Shoot. He must be really good then! Lol.
I had three sheets open for this so I might’ve missed or doubled more than one. Thanks for the catch!