Last week here’s what I said about Austin Riley: “A lot of people were calling for Austin Riley to make his rankings debut after hitting 5 HRs in his first 9 games, but I’m a little wary of rookies. Especially rookies who have a 15:2 K/BB ratio in their last 33 ABs. Pitchers are already starting to figure him out.”

Well, another 3 games played since last week’s rankings and he’s crushed another 2 HRs — however — with another 3 Ks. In his 15 games played so far he’s only not struck out in 2 games. Riley was a top 30 prospect heading into this season and so far the power potential (three 19+ HR seasons in the minors) is showing up, but so is the strikeout potential (8 consecutive minor league seasons with a 20+% K/rate.)  Look, he’s 22. He can crush, but he can also miss. I’ve put him at 99 for now — one spot above Jose Ramirez — and I’ll be watching his progress.

Rank Name Position Team Last Change
1 Cody Bellinger 1B/OF LAD 1 0
2 Christian Yelich OF MIL 2 0
3 Trevor Story SS COL 4 1
4 Nolan Arenado 3B COL 5 1
5 Mike Trout OF LAA 3 -2
6 Adalberto Mondesi SS KC 7 1
7 Josh Bell 1B PIT 16 9
8 Javier Baez 2B/SS/3B CHC 6 -2
9 Mookie Betts OF BOS 9 0
10 Ronald Acuna Jr. OF ATL 10 0

Mike Trout at #5?! You’re the worst ranker of all time.” That’s probably true — but that’s not why. Of the top 5 players above — Trout is last in runs, HRs, RBI, batting average and second to last in stolen bases. Yes, I know he’s still Mike Trout. Yes, he’ll still probably end up at the top of this list come October. However, right now I want to give credit where it is due and recognize the fantastic performances by the 4 guys ahead of him.

Mondesi’s 6 HRs aren’t great — but he’s still putting up solid run production numbers with 35 runs and 42 RBI. He’s also leading the league by 6 SBs. For the 10th time this season I’ll tell you: I was dead wrong about Mondesi.

 

Rank Name Position Team Last Change
11 Anthony Rendon 3B WAS 11 0
12 Freddie Freeman 1B ATL 12 0
13 Alex Bregman 3B/SS HOU 13 0
14 Joey Gallo 1B/OF TEX 14 0
15 J.D. Martinez OF BOS 15 0
16 George Springer OF HOU 8 -8
17 Eddie Rosario OF MIN 17 0
18 Tim Anderson SS CHW 19 1
19 Whit Merrifield 2B KC 20 1
20 Anthony Rizzo 1B CHC 21 1

Really not a lot of shake-ups here. I brought Springer down because we don’t yet have a timeline on his return just yet.

Rank Name Position Team Last Change
21 Marcell Ozuna OF StL 23 2
22 Rhys Hoskins OF PHI 18 -4
23 Michael Brantley OF HOU 22 -1
24 Charlie Blackmon OF COL 25 1
25 Pete Alonso 1B NYM 26 1
26 Rafael Devers 3B BOS 51 25
27 Kris Bryant 3B/OF CHC 27 0
28 Mitch Haniger OF SEA 24 -4
29 Eugenio Suarez 3B CIN 43 14
30 Bryce Harper OF PHI 29 -1

A pair of third basemen vault into the top 30 in Rafael Devers and Eugenio Suarez. Devers makes the leap because of his solid across the board 5×5 production (40/8/32/7/.324) and Suarez is tied for 3rd in HRs and RBI among third basemen. This is about the highest I think Suarez will linger, but Devers could continue to soar higher with his power/speed numbers and lineup production.

 

Rank Name Position Team Last Change
31 Xander Bogaerts SS BOS 31 0
32 Yoan Moncada 2B CHW 33 1
33 Elvis Andrus SS TEX 35 2
34 Austin Meadows OF TBR 46 12
35 Francisco Lindor SS CLE 36 1
36 Trea Turner SS WAS 37 1
37 Juan Soto OF WAS 42 5
38 Jose Abreu 1B CHW 49 11
39 Gleyber Torres 2B NYY 47 8
40 Paul Goldschmidt 1B StL 38 -2

Abreu finds himself making gains since he’s tied for 2nd in the league with 50 RBI. However, what’s keeping him from moving higher is that among the top-10 RBI leaders — he has the least runs with only 28.

Soto struggled slightly on his return from the injured list — but in his last 14 games, he has turned it the heck on: 53 AB, 15 runs, 4 HR, 14 RBI with a .472 average. Bryce whom?!

 

Rank Name Position Team Last Change
41 Ketel Marte 2B/SS/OF ARI 44 3
42 Mike Moustakas 3B MIL 52 10
43 Eduardo Escobar SS/3B ARI 68 25
44 Max Muncy 1B/3B LAD 69 25
45 Domingo Santana OF SEA 40 -5
46 Andrew Benintendi OF BOS 41 -5
47 Lorenzo Cain OF MIL 30 -17
48 Matt Chapman 3B OAK 53 5
49 Manny Machado SS SD 28 -21
50 David Peralta OF ARI 39 -11

Manny Machado. How much is $300 million worth to you? 27 runs? 9 HRs? 1 SB? a .259 AVG? Was Machado just a product of Camden Yards?

Max Muncy started off the year with a ho-hum April: 11/5/17/.247 calling into doubt his out-of-nowhere breakout 2018. May has seen a return to Max Power: 23/7/18/.302. 4 months of this production could lead to a 40 HR season for Muncy. (Which if you look at his last 365 days: 95/40/95/.274 — is a definite possibility.)

 

Rank Name Position Team Last Change
51 Tommy Pham OF TBR 45 -6
52 Carlos Correa SS HOU 32 -20
53 Jose Altuve 2B HOU 48 -5
54 Ozzie Albies 2B ATL 34 -20
55 Joc Pederson OF LAD 78 23
56 Willson Contreras C CHC 50 -6
57 Paul DeJong SS STL 54 -3
58 Aaron Judge OF NYY 55 -3
59 Jorge Polanco SS MIN 63 4
60 Luke Voit 1B NYY 64 4

As opposed to Muncy who’s had a fantastic last 365 days — here’s Albies numbers: 88/17/61/12/.258. The runs are nice — the moderate power/speed is okay — but .258 is disappointing. Albies lost his spot in the Braves lineup due to an extremely disappointing May: 8/1/12/1/.239.

I don’t want to believe in Joc Pederson’s numbers so far (38/17/31/.274,) but his May ratios actually improved from the first month of the season so he’s left me no choice. Pederson was a top 10 prospect before the 2015 season and now finally seems to be living up that ranking. Perhaps the most impressive thing about his career high average is that it’s coming on the back of a .248 BABIP.

 

Rank Name Position Team Last Change
61 Starling Marte OF PIT 56 -5
62 Giancarlo Stanton OF NYY 57 -5
63 J.T. Realmuto C PHI 58 -5
64 Hunter Dozier 1B/3B KC 59 -5
65 Michael Conforto OF NYM 60 -5
66 Edwin Encarnacion 1B SEA 61 -5
67 Jonathan Villar 2B BAL 73 6
68 Jean Segura SS PHI 62 -6
69 Yasmani Grandal C MIL 65 -4
70 Fernando Tatis Jr. SS SD 66 -4

Villar’s last 6 games have helped him move up in my rankings a bit. In those 20 ABs he has 7 runs, 10 hits, 2 HRs, 5 RBI and 2 SB. You’d have to believe in a decent lineup his line would be even better, but Trey Mancini’s .273 AVG and 20 RBI with men on base and Renato Nunez’s .260 AVG with 26 RBI really aren’t too terrible. It’s just everyone else around them who are struggling.

 

Rank Name Position Team Last Change
71 Vlad Guerrero Jr. 3B TOR 67 -4
72 Victor Robles OF WAS 70 -2
73 Khris Davis DH OAK 71 -2
74 Hunter Pence OF TEX 79 5
75 Shin-Soo Choo OF OAK 80 5
76 Alex Gordon OF KC 72 -4
77 Brandon Lowe 2B TBR 74 -3
78 Ryan Braun OF LAD 75 -3
79 Max Kepler OF MIN 76 -3
80 Trey Mancini OF/1B BAL 77 -3

Four guys in this range (Pence, Choo, Gordon, and Braun) actually were in the league when Vlad Guerrero Jr.’s dad was still in the league. All four of them are exceeding expectations this year. I have Pence and Gordon in my TGFBI league and have actually ridden them to a high of 20th overall ranking this week.

Speaking of Vlad he’s produced just as many multi-hit games as he has 0-fers which is the perfect demonstration of the debut year for a rookie regardless of how high they are ranked. Vlad’s contact skills and potential still keep him high in my rankings and hopefully, he can quickly adjust as pitchers start pitching him differently.

 

Rank Name Position Team Last Change
81 Justin Turner 3B LAD 81 0
82 Nick Castellanos OF DET 82 0
83 Andrew McCutchen OF PHI 87 4
84 Byron Buxton OF MIN 83 -1
85 Eric Hosmer 1B SD 84 -1
86 Avisail Garcia OF TBR 94 8
87 Yasiel Puig OF CIN 85 -2
88 Gary Sanchez C NYY 86 -2
89 CJ Cron 1B MIN 89 0
90 Dan Vogelbach 1B SEA 91 1

I don’t want to see Garcia on this list any more than you do, but his May has been fantastic: 89 ABs, 16/6/15/4/.360/1.037 OPS. His .351 BABIP makes me a little nervous to believe this is for real — but this isn’t about my opinions — these are just the numbers. Wait, what? This is about my opinions?! Well, he belongs here anyway.

 

Rank Name Position Team Last Change
91 Dwight Smith Jr. OF BAL 93 2
92 Dansby Swanson SS ATL 88 -4
93 Michael Chavis 2B/3B BOS 98 5
94 David Dahl OF COL 99 5
95 Wil Myers 3B/OF SD 95 0
96 Dee Gordon 2B/OF SEA 96 0
97 Nelson Cruz DH MIN 97 0
98 Renato Nunez 3B BAL NA
99 Austin Riley 3B/OF ATL NA
100 Jose Ramirez 3B CLE 100 0

Jose Ramirez is still here?! What is wrong with you?!” Well, J-Ram played 4 games since last week’s rankings and actually didn’t embarrass himself. In 14 ABs he had 6 hits (4 doubles) with 3 runs, 2 RBI, and 2 SB and a 3:4 K/BB ratio. Alright, alright — I see you, I see you.

  1. NJ says:
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    Is it worth trying to get Stanton on the cheap? What about Correa? Thanks!!!

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry W Klug says:
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      Yes to both if youre willing to stash. Giancarlo shouldn’t be long. Correa was having a good year before injury.

  2. PED Inc says:
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    Thank you for the write up every week.
    How close are Daniel Murphy, Eloy and Dietrich to this list?
    Holding Santana, Albies, and Cruz has taken me from first to middle of the pack. I’m not sure how much longer I can afford to wait.

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry W Klug says:
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      Murphy was on here… He could easily get back on as he heats up.
      Same goes for Eloy.
      I don’t want to believe in Dietrich but I guess I have no choice.

  3. RyanZBraun says:
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    Ryan Braun plays for the Dodgers?

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry W Klug says:
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      I was really tempted to put LeMahieu on here but with didi on his way Idk what his playing time will look like.

  4. CTFDU says:
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    Senzel not in 100?

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry W Klug says:
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      Not yet. I’m conservative when it comes to rookies. He could go 0 for his next 40 as pitchers figure him out.

  5. Mike says:
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    Is it time to start worrying about Locain? Not even running anymore, and looks more like a 12/12 guy with .275 average.

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry W Klug says:
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      Yea I’d say so… He was looking ok to start the year but maybe father time is catching up to him.

  6. krazyivan says:
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    Drop Donaldson and take a flyer on Shaw? I’ve got Chavis for 3B as a back up.

    • cg says:
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      I don’t get this one. Donaldson might not be a worldbeater but Shaw is absolute garbage

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry W Klug says:
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      Shaw hasnt always been trash. Keep an eye on him if you can or stash him if you can. For now go with Donaldson.

  7. Harley says:
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    Riley is in!!!!! Well done!!! He’s earned it.

  8. Moonraker says:
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    No Franmil Reyes?

    • Uncle Charley says:
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      Franny has a tweaked shoulder, yas?

      • cg says:
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        no he doesnt. I’d personally have him top 30-40

  9. Jeremy Burke says:
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    I own Machado and im a Yankee fan–i was pissed when they signed DJ Lemahue, because that was the end of their pursuit of Machado. DJ has been a much better player than Manny. Insane. Starting to really believe he was a product of playing so many games in Camden, Yankee stadium and Fenway.

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry Klug says:
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      I was really tempted to put LeMahieu on here but with didi on his way Idk what his playing time will look like

  10. LenFuego says:
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    I am pretty confused by Starling Marte dropping from 56 to 61. Last week he went 13 for 36, (.361 BA) with 2 HR, 6 RBI, 7 R, and an SB. I guess I hope he keeps dropping like that!

  11. RyGuy_4 says:
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    Domingo Santana is WAY too high at 45…. dude started hot and has come crashing back to Earth.

    • Pousse-Pousse says:
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      Yeah, he’s been on the waiver wire in my league for like three weeks, and it’s a pretty active league

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry Klug says:
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      He’s tumbling down.

  12. big league wood says:
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    Enjoyed this information and article. Question. What are the parameters? A blend of year to date, potential, and rest of season with some historical context ???
    Good stuff.

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry Klug says:
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      Exactly. It’s tough to do because there are so many hitters to track.
      And who do you like better?
      A 33 year old outfielder with 30 HR/5SB .280 potential on a crappy team.
      OR
      A 23 year old rookie second basemen with injury history with 10/20. 260 potential on a great team.

      I try as hard as I can to be objective and then someone still will write “Ryan Braun plays for the Dodgers?”

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