Rafael Devers Fantasy Projections | Daily, Week, Season

Player Information

Team	BOS	ESPN	3B	Age	26
Bats	L	Yahoo	3B	RCL R%	100
$/GS (RHP)	27.2	$/GS (LHP)	10.3

01/26/2023	MLB Risers and Fallers: Free Agency Fallout
01/24/2023	Top 20 3rd Basemen for 2023 Fantasy Baseball
01/21/2023	Ambulance Chasers: 2022 Injury Retrospective

Grey Albright's 2022 Player Summary
There’s dreamcasting that means casting yourself in a documentary just so you can start a cult, and there’s dreamcasting that says if Vlad Jr. was the best player for fantasy last year, and he’s kinda indistinguishable from Devers, then…Well, Devers ... (click to read the rest)

Rafael Devers Stats

	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	$
Last 7 Days
Last 30 Days	24	104	89	28	10	2	18	1	0	15	21	14.4	20.2	0.315	0.413	0.449	0.863	0.714	11.7
Season	138	604	547	160	81	27	87	3	1	49	114	8.1	18.9	0.293	0.356	0.519	0.875	0.329	22.8
ROS Proj	150	635	567	157	96	31	91	4	2	53	126	8.3	19.8	0.277	0.342	0.506	0.848	0.305	25.7

Rafael Devers Projections | Platoon Splits (RHP vs LHP)

Rafael Devers projected to 150 Games vs RHP and LHP with 12 team mixed fantasy value. This helps identify a player's platoon value for fantasy baseball based on pitcher handedness. These projections by Steamer are a MUCH better indicator of a hitter's platoon splits than in-season stats since it involves multiple years of data and has been properly regressed to league averages. Since games are neutralized across players, values for everyday players may look smaller than for preseason/season to date/rest of season where they benefit from playing time advantages vs other players. In general, left-handed hitters have larger platoon splits.

	PA	AB	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	K%	BB%	$
vs. RHP	660	585	105	36	101	5	0.283	0.353	0.540	0.893	0.304	19.3	9.2	27.2
vs. LHP	660	604	87	21	78	3	0.263	0.316	0.429	0.745	0.306	21.2	6.3	10.3

Rafael Devers Projections | Hittertron (Subscribe for all MLB player projections.)

Rafael Devers daily MLB projections and fantasy value for next 7-10 days. LU=Lineup. If the lineup has been released and incorporated into the projections, it is listed as "Live". Click link in LU to see the lineup at Baseball Press or click here to see Boston Red Sox lineups for the last 6 days.

	GT	Opp	SP	%St	LU	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	R	HR	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	$

Rafael Devers Projections | DFS (Subscribe for all hitter DFS MLB projections.)

Rafael Devers daily fantasy baseball projections for DFS sites such as DraftKings and FanDuel. LU=Lineup. If the lineup has been released and incorporated into the projections, it is listed as "Live". Click link in LU to see the lineup at Baseball Press as well as previous 3 days' lineups.

	DFS Site	Opp	SP	L/R	%St	LU	Proj Pts	Salary	$/Pt

Rafael Devers Game Log | Last 30 Days

Date	Opp	SP	R/L	BatOrd	PA	AB	H	1B	2B	3B	R	HR	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	$
2022-10-03	TB	TGlasnow	R	2	4	3	3	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1.000	0.750	1.333	2.083	97
2022-10-01	@TOR	RStripling	R	2	4	4	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.500	0.500	1.000	3

Rafael Devers Batting Order Game Averages | Current Season

Rafael Devers current season averages per batting order spot along with 12 team mixed fantasy value ($). Only includes games started. Games started percentages for RHP vs LHP are based on last 30 days.

Bat Ord	GS	GS% vRHP	PA	AB	H	2B	R	HR	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	K%	BB%	$
2	101	100	4.45	4.01	1.24	0.32	0.65	0.24	0.63	0.02	0.37	0.77	0.309	0.372	0.570	0.942	0.331	17	8	28
3	13	0	4.00	3.69	1.08	0.15	0.31	0.15	0.62	0.00	0.31	0.92	0.292	0.346	0.458	0.804	0.353	23	8	10
4	24	0	4.38	3.96	0.96	0.33	0.46	0.04	0.67	0.04	0.33	0.96	0.242	0.305	0.358	0.663	0.306	22	8	4

Rafael Devers Stats | Season

Rafael Devers stats and 5x5 fantasy value from 2013-2022.

	Team	Pos	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	$
2013	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2014	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2015	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2016	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2017	BOS	3B	58	240	222	63	34	10	30	3	1	18	57	0.284	0.338	0.486	0.824	-14.6
2018	BOS	3B	121	490	450	108	59	21	66	5	2	38	121	0.240	0.298	0.433	0.731	5.5
2019	BOS	3B	156	701	647	201	129	32	115	8	8	48	119	0.311	0.361	0.555	0.916	31.0
2020	BOS	3B	57	248	232	61	32	11	43	0	0	13	67	0.263	0.310	0.483	0.793	16.9
2021	BOS	3B	156	664	591	165	101	38	113	5	5	62	143	0.279	0.352	0.538	0.890	29.0
2022	BOS	3B	138	604	547	160	81	27	87	3	1	49	114	0.293	0.356	0.519	0.875	22.8
2023	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--

Rafael Devers Stats | Monthly

Rafael Devers 2022 fantasy value by month for 5x5 leagues.

	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	$
April	21	89	87	25	13	3	9	0	0	2	15	2.2	16.9	0.287	0.303	0.471	0.775	14.7
May	27	122	114	43	25	8	17	1	0	8	24	6.6	19.7	0.377	0.418	0.711	1.129	27.7
June	24	108	89	26	18	6	19	1	0	14	16	13.0	14.8	0.292	0.417	0.562	0.978	17.6
July	13	52	50	15	6	5	10	0	1	2	13	3.8	25.0	0.300	0.327	0.660	0.987	8.3
August	25	110	99	17	7	3	11	0	0	8	19	7.3	17.3	0.172	0.241	0.303	0.544	2.0
September	19	84	73	22	11	2	18	1	0	11	20	13.1	23.8	0.301	0.393	0.466	0.859	14.2
October	1	4	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.0	25.0	0.500	0.500	0.500	1.000	0.0

Rafael Devers Hitting | AVG vs BABIP

Players exceeding projected BABIP are more likely to see a regression towards Expected AVG. Vice versa.

AB	BABIP	BABIP (Proj)	BABIP (Diff)	AVG	AVG (Expected)	AVG (Diff)
555	0.329	0.305	0.024	0.295	0.278	0.017

Rafael Devers Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater

	$	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
MLB 10 ESPN	27.4	3.0	7.3	5.6	8.0	-0.1	5.6	2	17
MLB 10 Y!	25.5	4.1	5.6	9.6	6.1	-0.4	3.7	2	26
MLB 12 ESPN	0.0	0.0	2.8		2.8			16	1155
MLB 12 Y!	29.9	7.0	6.4	12.4	6.9	-0.5	3.7	2	26
MLB 14 ESPN	30.9	5.6	6.9	6.8	8.4	0.9	6.9	2	15
MLB 14 Y!	32.8	10.6	6.7	14.3	7.2	-0.2	3.7	2	26
MLB 15 ESPN	30.9	6.0	6.6	7.0	8.1	1.0	7.3	2	16
MLB 15 Y!	35.1	12.6	7.0	15.9	7.6	-0.3	3.9	2	26
MLB 16 ESPN	32.9	7.1	6.9	7.3	8.7	1.2	7.8	2	15
MLB 16 Y!	37.6	14.9	7.4	17.6	7.9	-0.4	4.0	2	26
AL 10	32.7	5.1	8.7	6.9	9.2	1.3	5.6	2	12
NL 10
AL 12	35.9	7.1	8.9	7.9	10.0	1.7	6.5	2	12
NL 12

Rafael Devers Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

	$	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	OPS	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
5x5 (OBP) ESPN 12	26.8	3.7	6.9	6.0	8.0	0.6	0.0	4.1	0.0	3	19
5x5 (OBP) Y! 12	29.2	6.5	6.4	12.3	6.9	-0.2	0.0	2.7	0.0	2	19
6x6 (OBP) ESPN 12	28.3	4.7	6.0	5.3	7.0	0.4	5.1	3.5	0.0	2	17
6x6 (OBP) Y! 12	28.5	6.8	5.7	11.5	6.2	-0.9	3.0	2.0	0.0	3	20
6x6 (OPS) ESPN 12	31.1	5.4	5.9	5.1	6.9	0.6	5.1	0.0	6.5	2	17
6x6 (OPS) Y! 12	30.4	8.3	5.4	10.8	5.9	-0.6	3.1	0.0	4.8	2	20

Rafael Devers Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater

Based on our adjusted Steamer projections for 5x5 leagues with 67/33 hitter/pitcher split.

	$	$/G	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
MLB 10 ESPN	25.3	22.3	2.2	6.6	6.6	6.4	-0.4	5.0	3	19
MLB 10 Y!	32.2	28.0	2.2	9.0	8.8	8.6	-1.9	6.7	3	15
MLB 12 ESPN	25.7	22.1	3.0	6.7	6.5	6.5	0.1	4.9	3	18
MLB 12 Y!	30.9	27.3	3.0	8.3	8.1	8.0	-0.9	6.3	3	16
MLB 14 ESPN	26.5	22.3	4.0	7.0	6.5	6.7	0.3	5.1	3	19
MLB 14 Y!	31.3	27.3	3.9	8.4	7.9	8.0	-0.4	6.3	3	17
MLB 15 ESPN	26.0	21.6	4.6	6.9	6.3	6.6	0.3	4.9	3	19
MLB 15 Y!	31.7	27.4	4.4	8.6	8.0	8.2	-0.3	6.4	3	17
MLB 16 ESPN	26.3	21.6	5.1	6.9	6.2	6.6	0.6	4.9	3	20
MLB 16 Y!	31.7	27.2	4.9	8.5	7.9	8.2	-0.1	6.2	3	17
AL 10	30.1	22.0	4.9	8.0	7.1	7.6	1.0	5.3	2	10
NL 10
AL 12	30.2	21.1	7.0	8.0	6.9	7.7	1.4	5.2	2	10
NL 12

Rafael Devers Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

Based on our adjusted Steamer projections with a 67/33 hitter/pitcher split.

	$	$/G	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	OPS	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
5x5 (OBP) ESPN 12	24.8	21.3	2.7	6.9	6.5	6.6	-0.1		3.9		3	17
6x6 (OBP) ESPN 12	25.8	22.5	3.3	5.9	5.8	5.7	-0.1	4.4	3.1		3	17
6x6 (OPS) ESPN 12	27.2	24.0	3.9	5.7	5.5	5.5	0.0	4.2		5.3	3	15
5x5 (OBP) YAHOO 12	28.6	25.3	2.5	8.2	7.7	7.9	-0.8		4.7		3	18
6x6 (OBP) YAHOO 12	31.0	27.7	3.3	7.4	7.2	7.1	-1.0	5.5	3.8		3	17
6x6 (OPS) YAHOO 12	32.2	29.2	3.8	6.9	6.7	6.6	-0.6	5.3		6.3	3	15

Rafael Devers 2022 Projections | Preseason

	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	K%	BB%	$	Rank
Preseason (Steamer)	150	635	567	157	96	31	91	4	2	53	126	0.277	0.342	0.506	0.848	0.305	20	8	25.7	18
Preseason (Grey)			597	170	104	36	115	4				0.284							32.0	9
Prospectonator

Rafael Devers Fantasy Outlook For 2022

Grey Albright Player Summary
There’s dreamcasting that means casting yourself in a documentary just so you can start a cult, and there’s dreamcasting that says if Vlad Jr. was the best player for fantasy last year, and he’s kinda indistinguishable from Devers, then…Well, Devers can be the best player in fantasy too. I had a question that I posed to my giant brain, 'Is Rafael Devers similar to Juan Soto?' And, this is gonna surprise you, because I was looking for it, he is similar. Well, not according to Statcast, which has Devers as most similar to Gorkys Hernandez. Ah, yeah. Of course! They must always be going up to Rafael Devers and being like, 'Stop being so much like Gorkys Hernandez.' I wish I was joking, but as I pointed out previously with Juan Soto, when Statcast said he was most similar to Justin Smoak and Ji-Man Choi, Statcast’s most similar player function is completely broken. I’m the only that seems to care about this. To which I say, a’la John Oliver, 'Cool.' I say Devers is similar to Soto, because they both go back with the pitch to center around 40% of the time, and hit it 'hard' about 40% of the time, i.e., They are good at good contact. Devers would lose in a race to a 57-year-old Nelson Cruz, though, so it’ll be tough for him to achieve greatness like Cake last year, but unlike a lot of guys in the top 10, Devers feels a bit safer, like Sexy Dr. Pepper.

Grey Albright Player Summary

There’s dreamcasting that means casting yourself in a documentary just so you can start a cult, and there’s dreamcasting that says if Vlad Jr. was the best player for fantasy last year, and he’s kinda indistinguishable from Devers, then…Well, Devers can be the best player in fantasy too. I had a question that I posed to my giant brain, 'Is Rafael Devers similar to Juan Soto?' And, this is gonna surprise you, because I was looking for it, he is similar. Well, not according to Statcast, which has Devers as most similar to Gorkys Hernandez. Ah, yeah. Of course! They must always be going up to Rafael Devers and being like, 'Stop being so much like Gorkys Hernandez.' I wish I was joking, but as I pointed out previously with Juan Soto, when Statcast said he was most similar to Justin Smoak and Ji-Man Choi, Statcast’s most similar player function is completely broken. I’m the only that seems to care about this. To which I say, a’la John Oliver, 'Cool.' I say Devers is similar to Soto, because they both go back with the pitch to center around 40% of the time, and hit it 'hard' about 40% of the time, i.e., They are good at good contact. Devers would lose in a race to a 57-year-old Nelson Cruz, though, so it’ll be tough for him to achieve greatness like Cake last year, but unlike a lot of guys in the top 10, Devers feels a bit safer, like Sexy Dr. Pepper.

Player data for Rafael Devers maintained by Rudy Gamble | Updated: 2023-02-03 12:46:01 AM EST

2023-02-03

Rafael Devers
Projections & Stats