Rafael Devers Fantasy Projections | Daily, Week, Season

Player Information

Team	BOS	ESPN	3B	Age	23
Bats	L	Yahoo	3B	RCL Owned %	100
$/GS (RHP)	26.2	$/GS (LHP)	12.9

09/23/2020	Fantasy Baseball Podcast: Way Too Early Top 25 For 2021 Fantasy Baseball
09/22/2020	FanDuel: Lugo For The Gold
09/20/2020	Top 100 Hitters For 2020 Fantasy Baseball, Week 9: Last Gasp

Rafael Devers Stats

	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	$
Last 7 Days	6	28	27	3	1	0	3	0	0	1	9	3.6	32.1	0.111	0.143	0.185	0.328	0.167	-5.6
Last 30 Days	27	118	110	35	15	7	27	0	0	7	31	5.9	26.3	0.318	0.364	0.609	0.973	0.389	20.5
2020 Season	54	234	218	59	30	11	39	0	0	13	62	5.6	26.5	0.271	0.321	0.505	0.826	0.331	17.9
2020 Proj	3	12	11	3	2	1	2	0	0	1	3	7.5	20.8	0.286	0.341	0.524	0.865	0.313	21.0
Prospectonator

Rafael Devers Projections | Rest of Season, Preseason, Next 7 Day

	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	K%	BB%	$
Rest of Season (Steamer)	1	4	4	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.286	0.341	0.522	0.863	0.267	20	8	15.9
Preseason (Grey)			365	111	67	20	70	4				0.303							27.0
Preseason (Steamer)	55	246	223	66	39	13	40	4	2	18	45	0.298	0.350	0.547	0.898	0.321	18	7	30.8
Prospectonator

Rafael Devers Projections | Platoon Splits (RHP vs LHP)

Rafael Devers projected to 150 Games vs RHP and LHP with 12 team mixed fantasy value. This helps identify a player's platoon value for fantasy baseball based on pitcher handedness. These projections by Steamer are a MUCH better indicator of a hitter's platoon splits than in-season stats since it involves multiple years of data and has been properly regressed to league averages. Since games are neutralized across players, values for everyday players may look smaller than for preseason/season to date/rest of season where they benefit from playing time advantages vs other players. In general, left-handed hitters have larger platoon splits.

	PA	AB	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	K%	BB%	$
vs. RHP	650	586	99	36	105	8	0.293	0.352	0.557	0.908	0.317	19.6	8.0	26.2
vs. LHP	650	598	82	24	84	5	0.271	0.318	0.454	0.772	0.315	21.6	6.1	12.9

Rafael Devers Projections | Hittertron (Subscribe for all MLB player projections. Free 3-day trial!!!!)

Rafael Devers daily MLB projections and fantasy value for next 7-10 days. LU=Lineup. If the lineup has been released and incorporated into the projections, it is listed as "Live". Click link in LU to see the lineup at Baseball Press or click here to see Boston Red Sox lineups for the last 6 days.

	GT	Opp	SP	%St	LU	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	R	HR	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	$
9/27	3	@ATL	BWilson(R)	94	Lst6	4.57	4.14	1.17	0.23	0.01	0.75	0.26	0.69	0.05	0.35	0.87	0.283	0.340	0.539	28.9

Rafael Devers Projections | DFS (Subscribe for all hitter DFS MLB projections. Free 3-day trial!!!!)

Rafael Devers daily fantasy baseball projections for DFS sites such as DraftKings and FanDuel. LU=Lineup. If the lineup has been released and incorporated into the projections, it is listed as "Live". Click link in LU to see the lineup at Baseball Press as well as previous 3 days' lineups.

	DFS Site	Opp	SP	L/R	%St	LU	Proj Pts	Salary	$/Pt

Rafael Devers Game Log | Last 30 Days

Date	Opp	SP	R/L	BatOrd	PA	AB	H	1B	2B	R	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	$
2020-09-26	@ATL	TDavidson	L	2	5	5	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-48
2020-09-25	@ATL	KWright	R	0	3	3	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.666	67
2020-09-24	BAL	ACobb	R	2	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-81
2020-09-23	BAL	DKremer	R	2	5	5	1	0	1	0	0	3	0	3	0.200	0.200	0.400	0.600	41
2020-09-22	BAL	KAkin	L	2	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-109
2020-09-20	NYY	DGarcia	R	2	5	5	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.400	0.400	0.600	1.000	29
2020-09-19	NYY	JHapp	L	2	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-95
2020-09-18	NYY	JMontgomery	L	2	6	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.167	0.000	0.167	-109
2020-09-17	@MIA	JUrena	R	2	4	4	2	1	0	2	1	3	0	0	0.500	0.500	1.250	1.750	219
2020-09-16	@MIA	TRogers	L	2	5	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	0.333	0.600	0.667	1.267	7
2020-09-15	@MIA	SAlcantara	R	2	4	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.500	0.750	-11
2020-09-13	@TB	CMorton	R	3	5	5	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.600	0.600	0.800	1.400	86
2020-09-12	@TB	TGlasnow	R	2	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.500	-40
2020-09-11	@TB	BSnell	L	2	4	4	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.500	0.500	0.500	1.000	15
2020-09-10	@TB	JFleming	L	2	4	4	3	2	0	1	1	3	0	0	0.750	0.750	1.500	2.250	246
2020-09-08	@PHI	ZEflin	R	2	4	4	3	0	1	2	2	3	0	1	0.750	0.750	2.500	3.250	326
2020-09-08	@PHI	VVelasquez	R	2	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.500	-40
2020-09-05	TOR	CAnderson	R	2	5	5	2	0	1	1	1	3	0	1	0.400	0.400	1.200	1.600	175
2020-09-04	TOR	TRoark	R	2	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.000	0.250	-81
2020-09-04	@TOR	RStripling	R	3	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.000	0.250	-53
2020-09-03	TOR	TWalker	R	2	5	4	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	0.250	0.400	0.250	0.650	-11
2020-09-01	ATL	IAnderson	R	3	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0.333	0.500	0.333	0.833	7
2020-08-31	ATL	MFried	L	3	4	4	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.500	0.500	0.500	1.000	47
2020-08-30	WSH	AVoth	R	2	5	4	4	2	0	3	2	3	1	0	1.000	1.000	2.500	3.500	410
2020-08-29	WSH	ASanchez	R	2	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-95
2020-08-28	WSH	MScherzer	R	2	4	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0.250	0.250	0.500	0.750	-8

Rafael Devers Batting Order Game Averages | Current Season

Rafael Devers current season averages per batting order spot along with 12 team mixed fantasy value ($). Only includes games started. Games started percentages for RHP vs LHP are based on last 30 days.

Bat Ord	GS	GS% vRHP	GS% vLHP	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	R	HR	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	K%	BB%	$
2	41	67	33	4.46	4.17	1.07	0.24	0.02	0.59	0.24	0.83	0.00	0.24	1.27	0.257	0.306	0.503	0.809	0.500	28	6	17
3	13	75	25	4.23	3.92	1.15	0.46	0.00	0.54	0.08	0.46	0.00	0.23	0.92	0.294	0.345	0.471	0.816	0.000	22	6	4

Rafael Devers News | Boston Red Sox

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Rafael Devers Stats | Season

Rafael Devers stats and 5x5 fantasy value from 2010-2019.

	Team	Pos	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	$
2010	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2011	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2012	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2013	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2014	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2015	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2016	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2017	BOS	3B	58	240	222	63	34	10	30	3	1	18	57	0.284	0.338	0.486	0.824	-14.6
2018	BOS	3B	121	490	450	108	59	21	66	5	2	38	121	0.240	0.298	0.433	0.731	3.1
2019	BOS	3B	156	701	647	201	129	32	115	8	8	48	119	0.311	0.361	0.555	0.916	35.4
2020	BOS	3B	54	234	218	59	30	11	39	0	0	13	62	0.271	0.321	0.505	0.826	17.9

Rafael Devers Stats | Monthly

Rafael Devers 2019 fantasy value by month for 5x5 leagues.

	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	$
April	25	94	81	23	11	0	7	3	2	12	16	12.8	17.0	0.284	0.387	0.346	0.733	6.5
May	25	117	110	39	24	7	23	3	1	6	17	5.1	14.5	0.355	0.388	0.627	1.015	28.5
June	24	104	99	32	21	4	18	1	2	4	18	3.8	17.3	0.323	0.356	0.566	0.921	17.2
July	7	27	26	5	5	0	0	0	0	1	8	3.7	29.6	0.192	0.222	0.346	0.568	0.5
August	24	107	100	26	14	6	19	0	0	6	30	5.6	28.0	0.260	0.308	0.500	0.808	13.4
September	21	92	85	26	11	5	19	0	0	6	22	6.5	23.9	0.306	0.359	0.576	0.935	17.8

Rafael Devers Hitting | AVG vs BABIP

Players exceeding projected BABIP are more likely to see a regression towards Expected AVG. Vice versa.

AB	BABIP	BABIP (Proj)	BABIP (Diff)	AVG	AVG (Expected)	AVG (Diff)
226	0.327	0.267	0.060	0.265	0.226	0.039

Rafael Devers Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater

	$	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
MLB 10 ESPN	18.4	1.1	4.4	3.7	4.1	-0.9	6.1	4	46
MLB 10 Y!	17.2	1.3	3.2	7.6	5.5	-3.2	3.1	5	51
MLB 12 ESPN	21.0	1.9	4.7	4.1	4.5	-0.1	6.8	4	34
MLB 12 Y!	20.0	2.0	4.0	7.4	5.6	-1.4	3.5	5	54
MLB 14 ESPN	23.3	3.1	4.9	4.5	4.9	0.4	7.5	4	31
MLB 14 Y!	22.1	3.2	4.3	7.7	6.0	-0.5	3.7	5	50
MLB 15 ESPN	24.5	3.6	5.0	4.8	5.1	0.6	7.8	3	30
MLB 15 Y!	23.1	4.0	4.6	7.8	6.1	-0.2	3.8	5	50
MLB 16 ESPN	25.2	4.4	5.1	5.0	5.2	0.9	8.0	3	30
MLB 16 Y!	24.2	5.0	4.9	8.3	6.3	-0.2	3.8	5	43
AL 10	27.3	5.3	7.9	5.0	6.9	1.3	5.3	2	10
NL 10
AL 12	29.1	9.1	7.9	5.6	7.4	1.7	5.5	2	9
NL 12

Rafael Devers Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

	$	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	OPS	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
5x5 (OBP) ESPN 12	17.2	1.1	4.6	4.0	4.5	0.1	0.0	3.1	0.0	5	37
5x5 (OBP) Y! 12	18.9	1.4	3.8	7.3	5.8	-1.3	0.0	2.2	0.0	6	50
6x6 (OBP) ESPN 12	20.6	2.1	4.0	3.5	3.9	-0.2	5.8	2.6	0.0	4	29
6x6 (OBP) Y! 12	19.4	1.6	3.3	7.3	5.3	-2.0	2.9	1.6	0.0	6	49
6x6 (OPS) ESPN 12	22.9	2.8	3.9	3.4	3.8	0.0	5.8	0.0	5.0	3	26
6x6 (OPS) Y! 12	21.7	2.2	3.3	6.1	5.1	-1.5	3.3	0.0	4.5	5	39

Rafael Devers Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater

Based on our adjusted Steamer projections for 5x5 leagues with 67/33 hitter/pitcher split.

	$	$/G	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
MLB 10 ESPN	28.3	23.3	3.0	6.8	4.9	6.5	2.3	6.7	2	14
MLB 10 Y!	33.1	26.7	3.1	7.8	6.7	7.5	2.6	7.5	3	13
MLB 12 ESPN	30.8	25.2	4.1	6.8	5.5	7.0	2.5	7.9	3	13
MLB 12 Y!	35.2	28.5	4.4	8.2	7.3	8.1	2.9	7.6	3	13
MLB 14 ESPN	32.9	26.9	5.5	6.7	5.9	7.3	2.8	9.2	3	13
MLB 14 Y!	36.6	29.5	6.0	8.6	7.7	8.5	3.1	7.7	3	12
MLB 15 ESPN	31.6	25.9	6.2	6.2	5.8	6.9	2.7	9.1	3	15
MLB 15 Y!	37.4	30.1	6.9	8.8	7.8	8.7	3.3	7.8	3	13
MLB 16 ESPN	33.6	27.4	7.1	6.4	6.2	7.2	2.9	10.0	3	11
MLB 16 Y!	38.2	30.6	7.8	9.0	8.0	8.9	3.5	7.8	3	13
AL 10	35.3	24.9	6.1	9.0	5.9	8.6	3.5	7.3	2	4
NL 10
AL 12	34.2	23.5	8.7	7.9	6.0	8.2	3.6	7.5	2	4
NL 12

Rafael Devers Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

Based on our adjusted Steamer projections with a 67/33 hitter/pitcher split.

	$	$/G	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	OPS	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
5x5 (OBP) ESPN 12	25.8	20.9	3.0	6.6	5.1	6.7	2.6		3.7		4	18
6x6 (OBP) ESPN 12	28.6	23.9	4.4	5.6	4.6	5.8	2.2	6.5	2.9		3	15
6x6 (OPS) ESPN 12	31.3	26.5	5.1	5.6	4.4	5.7	2.5	6.6		5.4	3	11
5x5 (OBP) YAHOO 12	29.8	24.0	3.3	7.9	6.7	7.8	2.8		3.5		3	17
6x6 (OBP) YAHOO 12	33.3	27.4	4.5	7.1	6.4	7.1	2.5	6.5	2.8		3	15
6x6 (OPS) YAHOO 12	34.6	29.2	5.2	6.6	5.7	6.4	3.0	6.3		5.6	3	12

Rafael Devers Fantasy Baseball | Season to Date Player Rater

	$	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
MLB 10 ESPN
MLB 10 Y!
MLB 12 ESPN
MLB 12 Y!
MLB 14 ESPN
MLB 14 Y!
MLB 15 ESPN
MLB 15 Y!
MLB 16 ESPN
MLB 16 Y!
AL 10
NL 10
AL 12
NL 12

Rafael Devers Fantasy Baseball | Season to Date Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

	$	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	OPS	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
5x5 (OBP) ESPN 12
5x5 (OBP) Y! 12
6x6 (OBP) ESPN 12
6x6 (OBP) Y! 12
6x6 (OPS) ESPN 12
6x6 (OPS) Y! 12

Rafael Devers 2020 Projections | Preseason

	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	K%	BB%	$	Rank
Preseason (Grey)			365	111	67	20	70	4				0.303							27.0	18
Preseason (Steamer)	55	246	223	66	39	13	40	4	2	18	45	0.298	0.350	0.547	0.898	0.321	18	7	30.8	13
Prospectonator

Rafael Devers Fantasy Outlook For 2020

Grey Albright Player Summary
What’s Devers’s negative? I can’t figure it out when I look at his stats, but I know it must exist, because I see he’s ranked or being drafted after this. My guess to what others are thinking is they don’t trust his breakout [similar problem to Tatis]. Honest question, if you don’t trust a player after they breakout, when do you trust them? Because once a young player shows a certain level of skills, they can be trusted to repeat them. It’s not like a player needs to do something for two years, before being trusted. Or at least they shouldn’t have to. Last year Devers had a 17.7% HR/FB and a 34.3% fly ball rate, which was down from the year before, and, expectedly, his launch angle came down. If he tweaks his swing, and gets back to his previous mark of 38.6% fly ball rate, he’s going to hit 36-38 homers. As it stands, with no adjustments, he’ll hit 30-32 homers again. Either way is fine, because he hits everything so hard with such a great eye. He had the 4th best exit velocity with a full season of at-bats and an above-average contact rate. Get a load of this, Jose Abreumade contact on 89.3% of pitches in the zone and 60.2% outside the zone/ Devers only 77.9% and 71.9%. Abreu and Devers had the same exit velocity. In other words, Abreu is hitting more pitches in the zone and not 'bad' pitches, so you’d think better contact, but Devers is hitting everything hard, not just grooved pitches. Oh, and he will be 23 years old for the entire 2020 season. I’m a big-time Devers believer — Delievers? insert GIF of Jack Nicholson Cheshire grin Yes.

Grey Albright Player Summary

What’s Devers’s negative? I can’t figure it out when I look at his stats, but I know it must exist, because I see he’s ranked or being drafted after this. My guess to what others are thinking is they don’t trust his breakout [similar problem to Tatis]. Honest question, if you don’t trust a player after they breakout, when do you trust them? Because once a young player shows a certain level of skills, they can be trusted to repeat them. It’s not like a player needs to do something for two years, before being trusted. Or at least they shouldn’t have to. Last year Devers had a 17.7% HR/FB and a 34.3% fly ball rate, which was down from the year before, and, expectedly, his launch angle came down. If he tweaks his swing, and gets back to his previous mark of 38.6% fly ball rate, he’s going to hit 36-38 homers. As it stands, with no adjustments, he’ll hit 30-32 homers again. Either way is fine, because he hits everything so hard with such a great eye. He had the 4th best exit velocity with a full season of at-bats and an above-average contact rate. Get a load of this, Jose Abreumade contact on 89.3% of pitches in the zone and 60.2% outside the zone/ Devers only 77.9% and 71.9%. Abreu and Devers had the same exit velocity. In other words, Abreu is hitting more pitches in the zone and not 'bad' pitches, so you’d think better contact, but Devers is hitting everything hard, not just grooved pitches. Oh, and he will be 23 years old for the entire 2020 season. I’m a big-time Devers believer — Delievers? *insert GIF of Jack Nicholson Cheshire grin* Yes.

Player data for Rafael Devers maintained by Rudy Gamble | Updated: EST

Rafael Devers
Projections & Stats