It’s great to be back, Razzball faithful!
I am happy to announce that all is good in Marmo-ville and that the vacation was successful. We’re back home and rested. More importantly, this week I got to catch up on some baseball news and notes.
A lot of this week’s write-up will be done before Sunday’s games begin as myself and some Marmo-pals are headed to the big city to catch NOFX’s final Toronto show …ever. Thank God It’s Monday!
It was a good time to work on some music references this week, so I was overjoyed when a certain Arizona starting pitcher gave us a Pfaadt bunch of strikeouts against the Rockies last Monday.
Can Brandon Pfaadt belt out old-school punk tunes like the lead singer of NOFX?
Give us two thumbs up if you believe in this kid’s upside, Fat Mike.
Ya, maybe not. But you’d better lace up your old Doc Martens if you think this sophomore starter has had a disappointing 2024 season.
The 7-6 record is misleading. Sure, he had some tough outings back in April. But baby Brandon has been pretty fine over his last 8 starts, including the one from last Monday that fuelled our title here.
Since June 30th, Pfaadt has rewarded us patient owners with 4 wins, 47.2 IP, 42 H, 16 ER, and 49 Ks.
The 3.02 ERA over that span was nearly a full run lower than his 2024 total (3.98), and his K/9 was pushed up to 9.25 (just a smidge higher than his season rate of 8.40).
But the statistic that should make your jaw drop down to that Linoleum floor?
The walk rate.
Pfaadt’s 2024 BB/9 checks in at 1.80. For reference, that’s better than Bryce Miller and Chris Sale’s 2.0 BB/9, and good enough for the 8th-best mark in all of baseball.
Over that 8 game span that I highlighted above? Pfaadt gave up just five free passes. Yep, that’s good for a 0.94 BB/9.
Sure, Pfaadt will have his ups and downs for the rest of the year. And it’s fair to say that he may have a tough time keeping up his stamina as he’s just 25 innings away from surpassing his highest total (168 IP in 2022).
But hold on! (It’s time to turn this ship around). Arizona is only 4 games back in the wildcard race. And with the playoff success that Pfaadt had in the D-backs World Series run last year, I will admit that My Heart Is Yearning for a strong finish to his 2024 season.
Do those most recent blips of earned runs mean we should just, “Leave It Alone”?
As always, before we get to the list, I need to plug a couple of things for y’all first. If you want to check the spot I usually have open when flipping through my information on Sunday afternoons, you’re looking for that Player Rater leaderboard. This is always a great resource to use if you’re doing research. A bit of this, and a splash of that goes into the prep work for our weekly Top 100 Starting Pitchers list.
Of course, if you’re one of those doubting-your-own-gut-instinct fantasy managers, or simply want to use a great resource that will point you in the right direction every week, The Streamonator is here to help you answer those burning questions.
If you haven’t signed up for it, this should be your go-to reference for the entire season. It will save you a lot of time researching and often includes those “Oh, I never thought about that” solutions. The Razzball subscriptions are well worth the price of admission. If you’re serious about improving throughout the season, check the link, yo.
The Top Starting Pitchers for 2024
RANK
(LAST WEEK) |
Name | TEAM | NOTES |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Tarik Skubal | Tigers | Our top arm for a couple of weeks has finally reached the pinnacle of the Player Rater, too. Skubie…Doobie…Doo! |
2 | Zack Wheeler | Phillies | Last 3 starts: 20 IP, 3 ER, 3 BB, 23 Ks. |
3 | Chris Sale | Braves | More below. |
4 (6) | Dylan Cease | Padres | I initially wrote that I keep thinking the inevitable 6 BB outing is just around the corner…then I saw that he pitched Saturday night and walked 5. Ugh. Let’s give him a free pass because he was in COL though. The 186 Ks are elite. |
5 | Paul Skenes | Pirates | More below. |
6 | Corbin Burnes | Orioles | Let’s just pretend we didn’t see that Friday start vs BOS…aight? |
7 (10) | Cole Ragans | Royals | Another 8 Ks bring the total to 174 strikeouts in 147 IP. He flip you for real. |
8 (4) | Tyler Glasnow | Dodgers | 15-day IL with right elbow tendinitis. He stays in the Top 10 for now, but not without that Michael Scott, “No…Please, God… No!” GIF replaying over and over again in my head. |
9 (11) | Jack Flaherty | Dodgers | The strikeouts are there. The walks are not. He’s throwing for the best team in the National League. Does he give up a few earned runs? Sure. But until his back acts up again, he’ll likely stay in the Top 10. |
10 (9) | Logan Gilbert | Mariners | That 7-9 record makes people wonder why he’s this high. If you know someone like that, send them this link… |
11 (8) | George Kirby | Mariners | “Hello, Motown Police Department? I’d like to report a mauling!” 11 ER at Detroit does not give us any enthusiasm to Kirb, that’s for sure. But in all of that mess he still only walked one. Edit: A nice bounce-back W in PIT last night. |
12 (16) | Blake Snell | Giants | 11 more strikeouts and just 2 hits allowed with 0 ER vs ATL? Snellzilla! He gets OAK and SEA next too! Edit: No decision at OAK in a strikeout scrap with JP Sears (Snell had 10 Ks; Sears had 9). |
13 (19) | Gerrit Cole | Yankees | The Cole Train followed up his 10 K performance last week with 6 innings of shutout ball with 2 BBs and 8 Ks. I’m not necessarily shouting that we’re back…but the volume of my whisper would get me kicked out of a library. |
14 (12) | Shoto Imanaga | Cubs | Ticker shock at CLE. Just 3 of the 7 runs were earned. Phew. Monday Morning edit! Imanaga lost a 1-0 heartbreaker to Bowden Francis’ Blue Jays. More later. |
15 (14) | Luis Castillo | Mariners | Square hole. Round peg. I was all set to slide Castillo into the Top 15 here. Then he gave up 4 ER to a sneaky good PIT team on the road. He gets the benefit of the doubt for now. |
16 (21) | Michael King | Padres | 6 inning shutout with 10 Ks and 0 BBs moves this king up into the Top 20 again. If he can keep piling up gems like this, he’ll climb even higher. |
17 (20) | Bailey Ober | Twins | The hottest Bailey since WKRP. Good news! If you get that reference, don’t forget to take your medication and then lay yourself down for a pre-lunch nap. |
18 (15) | Aaron Nola | Phillies | I said last week that I’m no Nola (stutter!) fan. Then, of course, he posts a 6.2-inning shutout vs WSH (no decision). |
19 (30) | Zach Eflin | Rays | More below. |
20 (18) | Tanner Houck | Red Sox | Houck threw another quality start last week, but the 4 Ks (total) in 2 GS is a bit worrisome. Especially if you’re banking on him as an SP 1 or 2 in a playoff run. |
21 (13) | Grayson Rodriguez | Orioles | When your fantasy ace has a news blurb that reads “could return sometime in September”…and it’s not even the third week of August yet…well, they say that’s not so good. |
22 (17) | Luis Gil | Yankees | Did you give up 4 ERs to a lineup with Nicky Lopez leading off and served up a big fly to Korey Lee? Dude. |
23 | Pablo Lopez | Twins | Pablo gave us a better start last week in his win vs KC. He was slated to start at TEX yesterday though. A strong start there would be another good step forward. Edit: He pitched great in yesterday’s game. Jhoan Duran cost him the dub. |
24 (32) | Logan Webb | Giants | This was my note fr the week for Webb. “4 straight banger starts. 0.61 ERA in his last 4 GS”. What’s even more impressive is the 25 Ks he has in those 28.2 IPs. |
25 (37) | Framber Valdez | Astros | Framber’s Ascension, AKA The sequel to the first War Room movie…War Room 2: Revenge of the Robot. Framber’s doing his best to justify the preseason SP4 ranking. Edit: Another great start last night. 2-0 shutout of CWS for his 13th win. |
26 (29) | Tanner Bibee | Guardians | More below. |
27 (25) | Freddy Peralta | Brewers | Back-to-back 4 ER starts had him destined to slip down much farther but he was solid vs CLE Saturday night (6 IP, 1 ER). The 3 Ks wasn’t ideal, though. |
28 (24) | Zac Gallen | Diamondbacks | There are glimpses of more here…then he gives up a handful of ER with a low K total and I doubt myself again. Rinse. Repeat. |
29 (31) | Ronel Blanco | Astros | Took a comebacker off the finger but should be fine. If you’re a fan, there are a lot of numbers to point at that support the breakout. If you’re not…well, you can point out that he’s tied with Chris Flexen and Andrew Abbott for the 11th most BBs allowed in the league. |
30 (33) | Ranger Suarez | Phillies | Was supposed to throw a rehab or simulated start yesterday. If all goes well, he’s due back next Friday. |
31 (35) | Bryce Miller | Mariners | 13 scoreless innings with 15 Ks and 1 BB in his last 2 starts. |
32 (22) | Sonny Gray | Cardinals | Sonny shared more earned runs (6) and homers (3) again last week at CIN. Like I say later with Brady Singer, the 9 Ks are nice but the rest…well, I don’t got you, babe. Edit: Decent start at home but tough loss to Kershaw last night. |
33 (27) | Taj Bradley | Rays | 15 ER in his last 14 IPs (3 GS). Here’s hoping the breakout isn’t stalling out. |
34 (39) | Reynaldo Lopez | Braves | Eligible to start yesterday but should be eased back into rotation vs early this week. ATL plays PHI though so you may want to sit him until after this week. |
35 (45) | Justin Verlander | Astros | His second rehab start went well, and I admit that this may be too much of a boost, but he’s likely to return for the BOS series this week. I’m comfortable betting on JV if he’s healthy. |
36 (26) | Hunter Greene | Reds | I was ready to share a pretty note that I had ready for Greene this week but he was placed on the 15-day IL on Saturday with right elbow soreness. Could the Green-for-Greene trade with Grey in the Perts league actually be a win for yours truly?! Stay tuned! |
37 (42) | Kevin Gausman | Blue Jays | He’s flipped and flopped for over a month. The mid-30s is probably where he should settle in. 7 IP, 0 ER, 5 Ks in his last start. His next two are home starts (CIN, LAA). |
38 (28) | Garrett Crochet | White Sox | The love story of the year has turned into a horrorshow if you’re looking for wins. The strikeouts are still there but Crochet hasn’t thrown more than 4 innings in a start since June 30th. He’s thrown more than 75 pitches just once in his last 6 GS, too. |
39 (44) | Clayton Kershaw | Dodgers | I said last week that I hoped he could go 6 innings vs MLW. He went 5.2, allowed 3 H, 1 ER, and 2 BBs. A half dozen strikeouts and a victory against Freddy Peralta? That’ll do. Edit: 6 shutout innings at STL yesterday, albeit with just 2 Ks. |
40 (43) | Nick Pivetta | Red Sox | Tough loss at BAL last week. |
41 (34) | Max Fried | Braves | 14 walks in his last 4 games are worrisome. The fact that he hasn’t won since the kids were still in school? Yes, that’s also worrisome. |
42 (38) | Seth Lugo | Royals | He’s lost 3 out of his last 4 starts and given up 21 runs and 9 walks in those 23.2 innings. If you took away the 8-inning gem at DET it would look even worse. |
43 (52) | Bryan Woo | Mariners | Frequent readers will know that I really love me some Woo. It’s probably too much Woo-love. But when he rips off 7 innings of shutout ball with 4 H, 0 BB, and 6 Ks? Well, that’s like a sipping on a glass of cold, sweet orange juice on a hot summer day…Let’s call it the Woo-Tang. |
44 (41) | Robbie Ray | Giants | ? IP and 5 ER at ATL. It gets hot in August under that Georgia sun… |
45 (40) | Nick Lodolo | Reds | Remember all of that nice stuff that I wrote about Lodolo last week? I mean, before he gave up 8 ER to KC in 2.1 innings with just 2 Ks? Ya, let’s pretend I didn’t write that. |
46 (58) | Jared Jones | Pirates | The first rehab start went well. He should have one more before activation on the 21st. This boost is more about the hope that he hits the ground running when he comes back. |
47 (47) | Justin Steele | Cubs | Only 2 IPs against TOR last week but don’t worry. It was rain. |
48 | Jose Berrios | Blue Jays | I was ready to push Berrios way down now that he’s tied with Kutter for most HR allowed in the league (27). Then I looked at his last two starts…14 IP, 2 ER, 2 HR, 2 BBs, 13 Ks. This confusion and general bewilderment is a microcosm of the Blue Jays season. |
49 | Max Scherzer | Rangers | He’s not eligible until August 27th but the fact that he’s throwing bullpens already is an encouraging sign. |
50 (36) | Mitch Keller | Pirates | Once again Mitch did not have my money. The velocity on his fastball and slider were both down in that shart at San Diego. And when a guy gives up 15 ER in his last two starts, it’s permissible to not correct that accidental mistype from the previous sentence. |
51 | Nathan Eovaldi | Rangers | 7 innings in his return from a mild oblique strain. Gets CLE and CWS in his next two. |
52 (56) | Jeffrey Springs | Rays | Three straight 5 inning starts and averaging 80 pitches per game is a good start. I said last week that I don’t know if we see 7 innings anytime soon, though. |
53 (46) | Shane Baz | Rays | 7 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 2 Bbs, 6 Ks, and took a 3-2 loss against a tough HOU offense. Paraphrasing Grey here – It’s good. Do I think he’s back to pre-surgery Baz yet? No. I think I said it in the comments last week but the gist is: There’s room for growth. |
54 | Matt Waldron | Padres | Survives another dump here because he’s a knuckleballer at COL (last week) but if he gets pounded by MIN this week he’ll tumble. |
55 (50) | Gavin Stone | Dodgers | 5 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 B, 6 Ks. Rocked it. Moves down a bit though until he starts consistently logging 6+ innings. |
56 (53) | Erick Fedde | Cardinals | Fedde is like the anti-Eflin as far as success with his new club is concerned. 1-2 since the trade to St. Louis with 16 IP, 10 ER, and 12 Ks. |
57 | Christopher Sanchez | Phillies | Followed up an implosion at ARI with a complete game 2-hitter vs WSH on Saturday. Jekyll and Hyde. |
58 (59) | Carlos Rodon | Yankees | Blasted by the Tigers on Saturday but he’s still a Top 30 SP on the Player Rater, likely due to the 13 wins. |
59 (65) | Yusei Kikuchi | Blue Jays | 5 ER and 23 Ks in his 16.2 IP for the Astros. Kikuchi-coochie-coo! |
60 (66) | Brandon Pfaadt | Diamondbacks | See above. I want to move him up higher but he needs to cut the runs down. Feels like something special is brewing with that BB rate, though. |
61 (68) | Nestor Cortes | Yankees | 7 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 0 BBs, 9 Ks? NOPE! I’m not falling for it, Cortes: The Ratio Killer! |
62 | Brayan Bello | Red Sox | 6 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 6 Ks at BAL Saturday night? Insert Palpatine gif…”Good….Good…” |
63 | Spencer Schwellenbach | Braves | 44 Ks in his last 31 IPs. I thought this spot was too high, but so far so good. |
64 (61) | Gavin Williams | Guardians | Sandwiched a good start at MIN between two horrendous ones. Growing pains. |
65 (69) | Hunter Brown | Astros | Three solid starts in a row have me believing again…just be careful for his next two (at BAL and at PHI). |
66 (61) | Brady Singer | Royals | The 9 strikeouts were nice but the 6 ER in 5 IP make this Singer look like Milli Vanilli. Edit: A nice bounceback last night at CIN. 6 IPs, 5 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, and 6 Ks. |
67 (70) | Ryan Pepiot | Rays | 5.1 IP, 0 ER vs ARI last week. 1 BB and 5 Ks. |
68 (72) | Sean Manaea | Mets | Last week’s lede has come back to Earth a bit, but he did win his 9th game on Friday night (3rd W in his last 4 GS). |
69 (77) | Yariel Rodriguez | Blue Jays | More below. |
70 (64) | Kutter Crawford | Red Sox | Well, the good news is he’s no longer alone atop the HR-allowed leaderboard. Thanks, Jose Berrios! |
71 (74) | Michael Wacha | Royals | 6 scoreless at CIN with 9 Ks is enough to push him up here. |
72 (84) | Luis Severino | Mets | Complete game shutout with 9 Ks Saturday night against MIA with just one walk and four hits is enough to boost him here. |
73 (91) | Tyler Mahle | Rangers | 4.2 IP, 2 ER, 7 Ks. The strikeouts and command are nice to see. He’s not going to excite many fans but fantasy managers aren’t looking to improve in the “exciting” category. We’re looking for healthy arms that can move us up with category points. Edit: Just 3 IPs yesterday. |
74 (86) | Tobias Myers | Brewers | One strikeout against the Dodgers isn’t great but he’s still building momentum and hasn’t given up more than 2 ER in any of his last 6 starts. |
75 | Ryne Nelson | Arizona | Back-to-back QS with 15 ks in 13 IP. |
76 (73) | Colin Rea | Brewers | 6 IP, 7 ER. I thought we had something here but it wasn’t Rea-l. Edit: The Cleveland start yesterday was strong so maybe he is a REA-l boy after all. |
77 (NR) | Walker Buehler | Dodgers | More below. |
78 | MacKenzie Gore | Nationals | SMH. As in “Shake MacKenzie’s Head” |
79 (76) | Spencer Arrighetti | Astros | I thought I’d put him too high last week, but the 33 Ks over his last 19 IPs was pretty mind-blowing. He got tripped up by the White Sox Friday night (no, that’s not a typo), so he moves down a bit. |
80 (67) | Chris Bassitt | Blue Jays | More below. |
81 (79) | Ben Lively | Guardians | 3.2 IP, 3 ER? Not so Lively. Not so Deadly. I’d say he’s more Meh-le, but that guy’s ranked #87 and pitching in Texas. |
82 (80) | Jake Irvin | Nationals | I asked myself why I didn’t like this guy as much as I do (or don’t?). Then when I looked at his Statcast page, it was more Bluey than an Australian kids’ TV show (nailed it!) |
83 | Eduardo Rodriguez | Diamondbacks | Not a great start by any means but he’s healthy and upped his pitch count by 20 in his most recent game. |
84 (87) | Charlie Morton | Braves | I know he’s an easy target to pick on but every time he blows up (8 ER two starts ago) he seems to bounce back with a strong start. 6 IP, 2 ER, 1 BB, 8 Ks at SF last week. Edit: Rewarded the kudos with a W yesterday. |
85 | Andrew Abbott | Reds | 6.2 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 6 Ks. Much better than the 6 ER last week. First win in his last 6 starts. Edit: Roughed up for 4 ER in 5 IP and lost to KC last night. |
86 (93) | JP Sears | Athletics | 7 IP, 3 ER, 4 Ks, W at TOR. His third win in a row and his 6th dub in his last 7 games. Edit: He kept up the pace yesterday against a (literal) giant in Blake Snell. 9 Ks to Snell’s 10. |
87 (81) | Jose Soriano | Angels | Decreased velocity led to an IL assignment on Thursday. Sad emoji. |
88 (NR) | Joe Musgrove | Padres | He’s back. But is he the super-ace we knew? Probably not. He’s worth monitoring but you’ve got watermelons in your undies if you’re starting him this week (at COL). Edit: He threw a good one yesterday. Only 4.1 innings, so building on stamina is next. |
89 | Andrew Heaney | Rangers | The strikeouts are still there but the 4 ER sends his season ERA up in smoke to 4.20. |
90 | David Festa | Twins | Reminds me of Fresca. And the 5 innings at Texas on Saturday with 0 BBs and 6 Ks was just as refreshing, even with the no-decision. |
91 (82) | Edward Cabrera | Marlins | The fight for the bottom 20 spots gets pretty heated when so many of these guys lay rotten eggs. 4 IPs and 6 ER pretty much make his next start a do-or-die one to stay on the list. To be fair, he hadn’t given up more than 3 ER since July 13th (6 starts). |
92 (55) | Joe Ryan | Twins | When the return date is measured in “weeks or months”, it’s not a good sign. |
93 (100) | DJ Herz | Nationals | Hasn’t given up more than 2 ER in any of his last 5 starts. |
94 | Jameson Taillon | Cubs | I mean…I don’t want to keep him on the list. But his ratios are still not that bad. |
95 (NR) | Valente Bellozo | Marlins | I admit if his name sounded more like a British duke than an Italian opera singer I probably would have just put him into one of the sections below. But here he is. He’s pitched 12.2 innings in his last two starts (total) with 0 ER, 3 BBs, and 8 Ks. Edit: 5.1 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 4 Ks v NYM yesterday. |
96 | Zack Littell | Rays | 5 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 3 Ks. The Littell engine that could! |
97 (NR) | Bowden Francis | Blue Jays | The stealing of a rotation spot by Francis is the biggest theft since Pee Wee Herman’s bike was stolen. Monday morning edit! Francis threw 7 shutout innings with 0 BB and 7 Ks to beat Imanaga in a 1-0 Wrigley Field pitchers duel. |
98 (99) | Nick Martinez | Reds | Back-to-back scoreless starts with zero walks since being inserted in the rotation. 12 Ks in 12 IP over those GS. |
99 (92) | James Paxton | Red Sox | More below. |
100 (71) | River Ryan | Dodgers | More below. |
With the NOFX theme this week, let’s rename our jumpers and dumpers sections. I had two YouTube clips picked out but managed to record bits of the show last night so you get a snippet of Marmo-love from the last ever Toronto NOFX show…like forever. Haha.
For our biggest jumpers section? Let’s look at the Starting Pitchers who have shown an ability to mow down the competition and…
“Eat The Meek”
This one holds a special place in my heart because of Hefe’s horn work, but more so because I managed to slip it into the dinner music playlist during my wedding reception.
Chris Sale (3) – If I had another mentally vocal personality (totally a real term), it would have started razzing me for ranking Sale in the Top 5 for a few weeks now. That voice in my head would probably start with something like, “You idiot. This is the guy you said was built like a foil birthday streamer and was primed for a breakdown in March! He can’t be a Top 5 pitcher!”. Then my main brain would say, “Yes. But show me where ranking Sale this highly is the wrong call. Look at his numbers.” And after that…smoke would start pouring out of my ears and my brain would explode.
Paul Skenes (5) – The Pirates announced this morning that they may consider shortening his starts, but have no plan of shutting Skenes down before the end of this season. A 7.5-game deficit to overcome in a wild-card chase is going to be pretty tough to tackle, but Pirates fans deserve even the slightest bit of false hope for fall ball, no matter how low the percentages are. There’s that…and then the real reason why I had him in our “Eat The Meek” section this week…
Livvy Dunne went all out with the Paul Skenes outfit. pic.twitter.com/OsjveSDNEe
— Deadspin (@Deadspin) August 17, 2024
Zach Eflin (19) – This is a huge jump for Eflin, and it’s a warranted one. Since jing the Oriles at the trade deadline, Eflin has won four straight starts and allowed just 6 ER, 3 HR, and 2 BBs in 25.1 IP. Even the 8.88 K/9 is up from his career average of 7.87. Someone likes it in Camden!
Tanner Bibee (26) – “Whatever Bibee wants…he’s gonna get it…Whatever Bibee wants…he’s gonna get it…” Another strong start Saturday at MLW. 3 straight GS on the road and a pretty sweet line over his last 5 (total). 27.1 IP, 5 ER, 5 BB, 21 Ks.
Yariel Rodriguez (69) – To avoid being labeled as a ‘homer’, I’ll defer to Grey for this one… “5 IP, 1 ER, 6 baserunners, 5 Ks, ERA at 3.60. He’s 51.3% O-Contact% which is near best in the league with Glasnow (if Yariel qualified, he doesn’t, obviously), and his Z-Contact% is worse than average.” And that’s me quoting Grey! Grey also points out that the sample size is small, so there’s also that.
And, of course, for the dumpers, there isn’t a better NOFX song to add than this one. (If only for its title alone).
“The Decline”
Here’s hoping these starters don’t decline much more than they have over their past few starts.
If you’re a fan of this tune, check out the clip of them playing live at Red Rocks with a full orchestra. Boy, that one is a chills-inducer.
The tune is a long one, (especially for a punk song), but it’s great. I only recorded a few minutes last night because I wanted to experience the final moments of that show through my eyeballs and not my phone screen. Enjoy!
Chris Bassitt (80) – 4 IP, 7 ER at home against OAKLAND last week? In his defense, Bassitt threw a decent game at Wrigley on Saturday night, giving further proof that the frustration is real. Is this an angry drop? Yes. Is he at 80 because I wrote him up right after I put Yariel in as a jumper this week? Also yes. Should Bassitt be below Rodriguez in the Blue Jays’ rotation and on our list? Guess what the answer to that one is!
Walker Buehler (77) – This was a tough call between slotting him into the “names to consider” section and into the bottom 20 for the actual list above. In the end, he gets the nod but I’d be very careful running him out right away. I always, like to wait for a start or two before activating guys like this. His next two starts are at home, and you can take a shot with the SEA game, but the BAL one will be the true test to see if he’s back to ‘normal’ or at least acceptable.
James Paxton (99) – Strained calf? That’s not how you prepare veal! Someone call PETA! The official word is that it’s ‘unknown’ if he will return in 2024 for the regular season OR playoffs. I will now say a silent prayer for you AL-only managers who lost a bunch of FAAB thinking he would be a beautiful parmigiana. You know what they say…you can’t spell parmigiana without…well, ya, probably without a spell-checker.
River Ryan (100) – Tommy John surgery for a UCL tear. I guess it’s fitting that this River dried up in August. So much for those people who were all up in arms about me not including him in the Top 50 the week after he was called up. The good news is you can get him for free off of waivers this week. If you’re in a deep dynasty league you can hold him, but he’s not expected to do anything for 18 months. Don’t forget that he also missed the first 2-3 months this season with shoulder fatigue.
In place of the WHEE and OOF sections, I wanted to revisit an old section from a few months ago.
Names to consider…(because I did!)
These are some names to consider adding if you have the space or want to gamble on new-ish names. Maybe you’re fed up with certain starters and ready to drop them for a fresh arm. (Yes, I’m looking at you Kutter Crawford and Chris Bassitt).
Zebby Matthews, Albert Suarez, Matt Boyd, Bobby Miller, Osvaldo Bido, Cody Bradford, Martin Perez, David Peterson, Max Meyer, Simeon Woods Richardson, Dean Kremer, Jordan Montgomery (just kidding…I didn’t), Paul Blackburn (no, really, I didn’t).
That’s all for this week! I hope you enjoyed it! Next week, I’ll post the Top 100 Starting Pitchers with some write-ups on some of the arms that I think need a bit more attention than others
Then, I’ll keep cherry-picking names to highlight throughout the list as we progress through the season.
Drop some comments in the chat if you’re feeling extra fired up about some of the names I do (or don’t) have here. Have a great week!
Follow me @marmosdad on Twitter/X and Bluesky @marmosdad.bsky.social
Also, Sp-aghetti & Ryne Nelson need to be top 40. Gausman doesn’t.
Fear not, Sir Paul, Schwelly is going to get some more attention very soon.
And Double Meatball Arrighetti is on the up and up too.
Schwellenbach needs to be top 25
I swear, i thought Turkeys could fly!
Zzzzzzzzzz.
“As God as my witness…”
That one barely sneaks out the baseball episode as my favorite.
“Don’t hit to me…oh, please…don’t hit it to me…”
So good.
Hi Mamosdad,
Picked up Festa and Hertz.
Moment of truth.
These are upcoming starts for Francis, Hertz and festa.
1. Bowden Francis at home vs LAA
2. Hertz at home vs home vs CO
3. Festa at home vs ST. louis
1. Do you have a favorite?
2. Are there any sits?
3. How would you prioritize the list?
You are truly amazing and so helpful and kind!
Have a great day!!
The Blue Jay bias is in full effect with this one, but I think Francis just won the AL pitcher of the week award so at least I’m not alone there.
I’d say you ordered them properly.
No sits unless you have a better option than Festa at 3.
Thanks for the kind words. Happy to help, Martin!
You too!
What Pirates fans deserve is new ownership. Bob Nutting and the lap dog PR flacks posing as local beat writers have been peddling false hope for almost 30 years. Nutting is a greedy con man.
Absolutely that is the best case scenario for them. I know I’m not the only one who looks at Skenes and thinks “Wait, how many years until he gets traded for Chris Archer?”
Watching Taj tonight @ Oak. Poor guy looks cooked. Behind every hitter. Only 2 K’s into the 6th. I see an IL stint on the horizon to shut him down until 2025. There’s nothing worth playing for in TB this year anyway. Looks like an old 23
Agree 100%.
Ya it looks like he’s hitting a wall. The IL stint sooner than later makes sense. General Soreness reporting for duty.
I am glad that you had a wonderful time! You deserved your wonderful time!
I have been in 2nd place since the season started and have maintained my place relative to the 3nd place fantasy manager.
Since July 26, I have added 855 points. The manager of the third place has also added 855 points. Thought that similarity was amazing.
Thanks for your help as move through the final six weeks.
My OF is Profar, Duran and Rooker with
Colton Cowser and Wilyer Abreu as backup.
Would you waive Cowser or Abreu to pick either David Peralta, Michael Toglia or Josh Lowe or Michael Conforto or JJ Bleday or Hold?
thank you so much!!
Thanks Martin.
The 855 numbers are certainly surprising. It’s pretty unlikely to see something like that, but especially over such a long time span.
I think holding there is fine. Out of the names you listed, I still really like Josh Lowe ..: but that may just be enthusiasm runoff from how much I like his brother Nate too. Josh has been in a rotation of sorts so
I can see leaving him be on the wire as well.
Thanks so much for this great advice!
Have a great week!
Hey MarmosDad — glad you had a great surfing & camping vacation! And the NOFX show!
I’m going to ask you the same question I asked Grey this morning, because I value your opinion. But no peeking.
Robbie Ray landed on the waiver wire in our shallow points league this morning. Would you drop any of Houck, Reynaldo, or Baz to pick up Ray? My need is not immediate, I’m looking ahead to our playoffs in 3 weeks. Thanks!
Hey mudhen. Haha, ya I promise not to check Grey’s answer until after I consider it here and respond.
It’s a really good question. Ray should be one of the better “return from injury” arms the rest of the way and he’s certainly proved he can pitch at an ace caliber level over the years.
I assume this is redraft, so if you’ll forgive the lack of a concrete answer…
I’d say make sure you consider Houck might be approaching his innings limit – not necessarily a team imposed one, just that he may not have the stamina to push through the late season increase.
Reynaldo is just coming back from that forearm injury so he’s risky if things aren’t all healed up.
And as much of a Baz fan as I am, someone pointed out a few weeks ago that he hasn’t thrown a lot of innings in his career yet so the upside is more geared to next year or keeper leagues.
If it’s a forced hand, though, I’d probably drop Baz there as much as it hurts to admit. I’m not a huge Reynaldo fan so I wouldn’t argue with that drop, but he’s been good this year.
Thanks MarmosDad — it is a redraft league, and it’s a good answer.
I don’t really need Ray’s arm for a couple more weeks, and all three of those pitchers may not be going the distance. Ray doesn’t come off waivers until Thursday morning, so I have the luxury of being able to see Houck pitch tonight (@HOU) and RayLo and Baz pitch tomorrow — @OAK and PHI respectively (so Baz clearly has the best match-up).
Right now I have elected to drop Baz if I win the waiver — that was also Grey’s choice — but I have time to change my mind based on what we see today & tomorrow.
Thanks again!
Oh nice. It’s always good to have some room to gather more information so the Thursday waiver wait is likely good news for you.
And I’m glad that I’m on the same page as Grey there. It’s usually the right call if you’re thinking alone the same lines as he is. Haha.
And BTW, back in the late 70’s / early 80’s we all thought that Bailey from WKRP was hot :D Best sitcom from that era!
Ha!
Ya I joked with a buddy from work that the dead giveaway that kids from that era were growing up is the moment they stopped arguing for Jennifer instead of Bailey.
Hi Mamosdad,
Really enjoy your column!!
I have a couple of pitching questions.
This is an interesting week;
Ragans, Flaherty, Burnes and Stubal only have only one start each. This allows some potential open innings
1. Would you start or sit Schwellenbach at home vs PHil? On the surface, sounds like a pass.
2.Would you start or sit Cristopher Sanchez at Atlanta?
My streamers have challenging matchups.
a. Gavin Williams is at NYY,
b. arrighetti is at Baltimore and then at Phil
c Merrill Kelly is at Boston
The option on paper (ah, on paper) is intriguing and yet challenging
1. David Fresta is home vs St. louis
2. DJ Hertz is home vs COL
3. Bowden Francis is home vs LAA
I was thinking of dropping Kelly and Williams and picking up Festa and Hertz.
Is that too risky? Would you make that move?
Thanks so much!!!!
Martin!
Thanks!
1. As great as Schwell’s strikeouts have been, he could get roughed up against PHI so I don’t mind that sit.
2. Sit.
The streamers are no-go for me there too.
Those 1,2,3 at the bottom look ok to me too. Francis has been pitching really well and providing those sweet Ks, so he’s another option if you want to cycle some streamers around.
Honestly, I’d move out Merrill for Francis and maybe Gavin or Sanchez for one of the other ones. Like you said, though, it’s risky.
It’s tough because I like Williams a lot too. And I absolutely empathize with the temptation to roll out the Arrighetti double start. Haha.
Hope that helps!
Appreciate all this input and balanced point of view.
thanks for being so forthright and positive!!
Can you rank for the coming week only?
Bibee vTEX
Steele @MIA
2-start Gil vCLE and vCOL
Rodon vCOL
Peralta @OAK
Wacha vPHI
Lugo vPHI
Zebby vSTL
EdRod @MIA
2-start Assad vDET and @MIA (pitching well but 4 IP/start?)
2-start DJ Herz vCOL and @ATL (Is @ATL too risky?)
2-start Montas @STL and @OAK (Don’t really trust Montas, but…)
Thank you.
Right off the hop I’d be wary about any of those two-start guys, especially for the reasons you listed off. I could see Herz if you want to gamble on any of them, but on the road in ATL could go south quickly (pun unintended).
Steele, Gil, and Freddy are the three I’d look at first.
After that, I’d look at Bibee, Zebby and EdRod too if you have to start 5-6 SPs. I really like Bibee, but he is on the road for that one so it might be tough.
Hope that helps. Thanks for the read and the questions.
Thank you. Very helpful. A couple of follow-ups:
Despite Rodon truly sucking last time out, I want to trust him against the Rockies (away from Coors). OK, so maybe trust is the wrong word, but shouldn’t he dominate that awful lineup?
Bibee is at home against Tex. Does that elevate him into that first group with Steele, Gil and Freddy?
Either way, your top six seem to be Steele, Gil, Freddy, Bibee, Zebby, and EdRod. If I need 7 or 8, who are the next two? Herz? Rodon? Wacha?
Thanks again.
Your reasoning is pretty sound there for sure. If he’s not at COL, Rodon should be able to pick that lineup apart but I’m just too gun shy on him at all this year. I have him in TGFBI and that’s it. He’s burned me far too many times so that’s why I went with the other options.
Texas has a lot more firepower than the other opponents in that list. I’m not a huge Steele fan but he should make short work of the Marlins. Bibee at home is a better gamble but my hesitancy is more about the opponent offense.
If I hd to pick 7/8 I’d probably roll with Herz and Rodon. Lugo is tempting but those walks and the Philly offense is a recipe for disaster.
Always enjoy reading your rankings and thoughts but what a pleasant NOFX surprise. This last week a YT bass instructor listened and reacted to The Decline – that started me on a NOFX binge and here you go keeping it going.
My buddy and I debated Punk in Drublic vs Thanks for all the shoes for top album (I was on the shoes and said I like Heavy Petting Zoo more than Drublic)
The Decline tho… lol f*cking masterpiece
Last night was awesome. I’m sure you know it’s their final tour, so a close buddy and I got tickets for the second show hoping they’d finish with The Decline.
They did. And it was unreal.
I think we’ve seen them 5X now and every show has been dynamite. The weekend was pretty stormy up here so they actually had to play at 6:00 instead of 8:00 on Saturday in order to dodge the approaching thunder/lightning storm.
Yesterday everyone got a bit worried because they booted the crowd out of the park for an hour or so in the afternoon for the same reason. Big thunderstorms & safety concerns.
It rained for almost the whole show but they managed to come back out for a shortened encore (radar was showing a fast moving cell coming in) to play The Decline and it was perfect.
Thanks for the comment!
And if you’ve read my stuff before you know how I can go on and on (haha) so of course I could say a lot more about the show. They had to skip a couple of openers but The Descendents played a near perfect set just before NOFX came on too.
It was awesome.
There was a post-game scoring change in that Kirby disaster start, so he ended up getting hung with only 6 ER instead of 11.
Oh, sweet. That makes it a lot easier to stomach the blasting he took then for sure.
Thanks, Len!