After going over the top 20 shortstops for 2019 fantasy baseball, I needed a cigarette.  A good after-sex cigarette, not a waiting-to-go-into-court-to-hear-if-you-have-to-spend-18-months-in-jail cigarette.  Subtle, but important differences.  We also hit up the top 20 catchers for 2019 fantasy baseball, the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball and the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.  In no way was that clickbait.  Okay, onto the hot corner.  Here’s Steamer’s 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers.  All projections listed are mine and I mention where I see tiers starting and stopping.  Good times, dyn-o-mite!  Anyway, here’s the top 20 3rd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball:

1. Javier Baez – Went over him in the top 10 for 2019 fantasy baseball.

2. Alex Bregman – Went over him in the top 10 for 2019 fantasy baseball.

3. Nolan Arenado – Went over him in the top 10 for 2019 fantasy baseball.

4. Manny Machado – Went over him in the top 10 for 2019 fantasy baseball.

5. Jose Ramirez – Went over him in the top 20 for 2019 fantasy baseball.

6. Kris Bryant – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Muncy.  I call this tier, “Touch my cheek real soft like you love me.”  By the tier name I mean, 3rd base is almost as sad as 1st base, and I need someone, such as yourself, to touch my cheek and tell me everything is going to be okay with corner infidels.  One big takeaway from fantasy baseball right now, at least as for as Yahoo eligibility is concerned.  Everyone is eligible everywhere.  Aunt Lydia can’t throw a stone without hitting a guy with multiple position eligibility.  And, even with that, corner infidels are so sad.  So…touch my cheek like you love me!  As for Bryant, unlike Correa, another superstar who had a down year, I’m back in on Bryant.  It’s just as scary though with Bryant’s shoulder injuries.  It’s just, if Bryant is healthy and he is saying he is, he’s a 30/10/.290 guy, and a top 15 hitter overall, who is still firmly in his prime.  2019 Projections:  102/29/71/.284/9 in 561 ABs

7. Anthony Rendon – I’m not usually a big fan of floor players, but Rendon is the ultimate floor player and he gets my blood flowing like a blood bank ATM.  By the way, when anyone asks about an ATM, say to them, “Why are you asking about Ass-to-Mouth?”  It’s on Dale Carnegie’s list of ways to make friends and influence people.  Any hoo!  Rendon is a solid bet for top 50 fantasy production every year, and has made good on that four of the last five years.  2019 Projections:  94/25/101/.295/4 in 536 ABs

8. Eugenio Suarez – Early on in my rankings, I had Eugenio above Bryant and just out of the top 20.  His HR/FB% is just a bit high.  Everything in his favor tells me he will come very close to repeating his breakout year in 2018.  As I’ve said before, guys in the same tier are interchangeable, so I wouldn’t yell obscenities at you if you drafted Eugenio before Bryant, unless my yelling of obscenities would remind you of your father, and you have daddy issues.  GO CLEAN YOUR ROOM, YOU SPAZZTARD!  Why I settled on this ranking, Bryant has more power and speed upside, Rendon has a longer track record and Eugenio looks a bit more like a 27-homer guy than a 34-homer guy like he was last year.  2019 Projections:  81/27/94/.281/3 in 538 ABs

9. Joey Gallo – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

10. Travis Shaw – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

11. Max Muncy – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

12. Miguel Andujar – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Moustakas.  I call this tier, “Character flaw.”  By the tier name I mean, a blindspot for each of these guys is helping me think more optimistically about them.  Actual quote from Wikipedia for character flaw, “For example, the sheriff with a gambling addiction, the action hero who is afraid of heights, or a lead in a romantic comedy who must overcome his insecurity regarding male pattern baldness are all characters whose flaws help provide dimension.”  Hey, your insecurity about male pattern baldness?  Guys, it provides you with dimension!  Tell that to the ladies next time you’re hitting on them in a bar.  Dimension!  Ha!  And you thought it provided you with dome resemblance.  I don’t feel as confident about this tier as the previous one, but I still have much *taps chest* love for these guys.  As for Andujar, I was expecting to be out on Andujar like I am on Gleyber, but Andujar’s numbers look a lot more repeatable.  Kinda wish he would make a bit more solid contact and he needs to attend the Launch Angle seminar at the Ramada Inn in Parsippany, New Jersey.  You know the seminar, Figuring Out How To Launch Bombs in 2019, which is totally different than the seminar being held at the Ramadan Inn in Iran.  2019 Projections: 81/25/94/.287/3 in 596 ABs

13. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – Already gave you my Vladimir Guerrero Jr. fantasy.  It was written while massaging his father’s knees.  I also go over him in the video at the top of the page.  2019 Projections: 62/24/71/.308/3 in 487 ABs

14. Eduardo Escobar – Went over him in the top 20 shortstops for 2019 fantasy baseball.

15. Jurickson Profar – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

16. Matt Chapman – Needed to do some finagling in my projections to get Chapman worth this ranking.  He hit 24 HRs last year, and his numbers tell me he could easily repeat that or hit less, but he’s young and he’s top ten in exit velocity and I finagled him into 29 homers for the upcoming season.  Same for his average, runs and RBIs.  I upped his projections by weighing his exit velocity a lot stronger than I had with some other guys.  What does this mean?  There’s a bunch of risk with my Chapman projections and ranking.  2019 Projections:  91/29/93/.263/2 in 561 ABs

17. Mike Moustakas – Moustakas is currently the Phils’ contingency plan if they don’t get Machado.  If they don’t get Machado or Moustakas, they’ll go with Maikel.  In other words, Manny Machado, a marvelous, maddening malcontent, marinating to manipulate the market may mete Maikel’s mantle to Mike Moustakas for the Mistakas or Moistasskiss.  Mmm…maybe.  UPDATE:  Signed a deal with the Brewers to play 2nd base, keep Travis Shaw at 3rd base and Keston Hiura will aim for a Triple-A Triple Crown.  This doesn’t change much.  Moustakas will once again be in a solid lineup in a solid park and should flirt with 100 ribbies like he’s Pablo Sandoval at a ribs buffet.  “Hello, what are all of your names?”  That’s Sandoval flirting at a 100 ribbies.  2019 Projections: 71/30/98/.253/3 in 567 ABs

18. Matt Carpenter – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Donaldson.  I call this tier, “*makes jerking off motion*”  By the tier name I mean, that’s the motion I’ll make if someone asks if I’m drafting these guys. Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

19. Wil Myers – Steamer’s projections for Myers are 25/18/.240.  Am I drafting him?  See tier name.  2019 Projections: 71/22/68/.251/15 in 541 ABs

20. Justin Turner – At 34-year-old who has played in 150+ games once in his career?  See tier name.  2019 Projections:  73/20/77/.304/3 in 434 ABs

21. Yuli Gurriel – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

22. Josh Donaldson – Here’s what I said this offseason, “Signed with the Braves.  *rips up imaginary Johan Camargo sleeper post, person passes by noticing me*
Them: What are you doing?
Me:  Miming the tearing up of fantasy value for Johan Camargo.
Them: The Donaldson signing, huh?
Me:  Yeah, how’d you know?
Them:  Because you’re imagining this conversation.

I don’t believe Donaldson will ever stay healthy again in his career.  He also seems in the mode where he will play injured and cost his team and fantasy owners, so this hurts his value and Johan.  Lowercase yay!  Maybe if we’re lucky, it will cost Dansby Swanson’s fantasy value instead of Johan’s.  Maybe yay!”  And that’s me quoting me!  2019 Projections:  54/22/63/.263/2 in 422 ABs

23. Joey Wendle – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Goodrum.  I call this tier, “Lake Titicaca.”  Whenever I hear Lake Titicaca, it makes me smile.  Whenever I hear any of the players in this tier, I smile.  See?  Samesies!  Everyone in this tier almost woulda coulda shoulda almosta got a sleeper post.   As for Wendle, went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

24. Maikel Franco – See Moustakas blurb above.  Or Machado and Moustakas make Maikel a Phillies’ real life bench mannequin.  I will call him, Mannequin Franco.  In all seriousness, if Maikel somehow manages to have the Phils’ starting job by March 15th, I’ll be shocked, but will move Franco up the rankings.  UPDATE:  P to the erhaps you heard, or herd, if shepherds are reading, but Machado did not sign with Philly and Maikel looks like he has at least 85% of a full-time job, only ceding some occasional at-bats to Kingery, so I moved him up.  2019 Projections:  58/24/68/.251/2 in 487 ABs

25. Nick Senzel – Already gave you my Nick Senzel fantasy.  It was written why trying to get my shadow to look like Alfred Hitchcock. 2019 Projections: 51/13/56/.291/10 in 384 ABs

26. Rafael Devers – True story, I started writing a sleeper post for Devers, but I got about 300 words in and started to really dissect his numbers and I was no longer in love with him.  That romance lasted longer than Ariana Grande and Pete Davidson’s, but still not long enough for me to recommend Devers any higher than this.  I was turned off by his high rate of ground balls, his insane splits and god-awful line drive rate.  He makes some of the worst contact.  He’s young, and he can fix these issues, so I would still draft him, but he’s by no means a slam dunk to do so.  Here’s the video on Rafael Devers 2019 fantasy outlook from Podcast Ralph and Video Producer Andy for a 2nd and 3rd opinion.  Devers is the type of guy I would intently listen to 4th, 5th and 6th opinions on.  He can go so many different ways.  2019 Projections:  63/23/69/.244/5 in 471 ABs

27. Jake Lamb – Goldy being traded might be a boon for Lamb’s value, like rosemary and a mint jelly glaze.  Though Lamb’s bat was best last year left on the rack.  Bam!  Sorry, I had Emeril guest blurb this one.  2019 Projections:  63/25/72/.238/4 in 538 ABs

28. Yolmer Sanchez – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

29. David Fletcher – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

30. Renato Nunez – He sounds like a hot Dominican chick, right?  No?  Damn, you people are so woke I could use you for an alarm clock.  Worst pickup line ever, “Yo, you rooster?  Cause you’re so woke!”  As I wasn’t saying, Nunez is the Orioles’ starting 3rd baseman and looks like an easy 25-homer guy who I likely would’ve wrote a sleeper post on if I wasn’t scared about everything the Orioles touching turning to garbage.  He kinda reminds me of the salad days of Pedro Alvarez.  I will call him Cucumbero Alvarez.  2019 Projections:  54/26/68/.251/1 in 522 ABs

31. Niko Goodrum – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

32. Asdrubal Cabrera – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Sano.  I call this tier, “4 hour limit.”  By the tier name I mean, if you draft one of these guys and have an erection for longer than four hours, see a doctor.  Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

33. Tim Beckham – Went over him in the top 20 shortstops for 2019 fantasy baseball.

34. Carlos Santana – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

35. Jed Lowrie – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

36. Wilmer Flores – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

37. Jeimer Candelario – I’d love to see someone hack into Fangraphs and move Candelario’s fly ball rate to Miguel Andujar’s player page.  Maybe I can enlist Guccifer 2.0.  Unfortunately for Jeimer, he hits dinkers into the outfielders’ gloves.  Dinker, dinker, fo’finker, banana-fana, fo’minker, din….ker.  Let’s try Nancy!  Nancy, Nancy, faux fancy–  Last year, Jeimer hit 19 homers.  If he..imer can add a bit of power, I could see him breaking out.  He is, after all, only 25 years old.  If he doesn’t add power though, dinkers to the outfielders is why he only hit .224.  Your BABIP is not going to be good with dinkers.  Also, why on this great earth that Giancarlo is blessed to be a part of, is Jeimer slotted in the leadoff role?  Is that a joke?  2019 Projections:  81/22/50/.235/3 in 571 ABs

38. Evan Longoria – I adore Longoria’s career trajectory, as in, “I’d like to show him a door.”  Longoria is taking a virtual dump in these waning years, and I ain’t waxing nostalgic.  Mr. Greyagi instructs, “Wane on, wax off.  Wane on, wax off.”  2019 Projections:  61/18/68/.249/3 in 549 ABs

39. Zack Cozart – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

40. Ian Happ – Only thing that stopped me from writing a sleeper post for Happ was I wrote one last year.  Oopsie!  I’m able to put on rose-colored glasses like a hippie and still get excited for Happ.  Guess that makes me a Happie!  I’ll see myself out.  So, here’s the haps on Happ.  His chase rate plummeted.  He did not swing at anything outside of the zone last year — 24.7%.  His walks skyrocketed.  From 9.4% to 15.2%, which is a crazy walk rate.  Jose Ramirez had a 15.2% and Matt Carpenter had a 15.1%.  The problem for Happ, he didn’t swing at anything, becoming extremely gun shy and his strikeouts still went up.  That’s why he’s not ranked in the top 10 for 3rd base.  If he can lower his Ks back to prior 2018 levels and hold his walks, well, then he will hit 27-30 homers, hit .260+ and steal 10 bags and be one of the biggest breakouts of 2019.  You want in again.  UPDATE:  Maddon finally had the last straw with Happ, and not like Maddon’s some eco-nerd that won’t use a plastic straw, though that might be true too, but he’s just done with Happ and sent him to Triple-A to start the year.  How the once-mighty-who-were-never-mighty-who-were-only-mighty-due-to-our-perceptions have fallen.  2019 Projections:  49/15/47/.242/6 in 318 ABs

41. Russell Martin – Went over him in the top 20 catchers for 2019 fantasy baseball.

42. Miguel Sano – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

43. J.D. Davis – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Crawford.  I call this tier, “Gritty.”  This tier is flyers when all your flyers are gone.  A flyers’ flyer, so to speak.  As for Davis, went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

44. Matt Duffy – In his career, Duffy has excelled at hitting for no power and stealing around ten bases with a good average.  Until today, he also has avoided being included in a sentence with ‘excelled.’  2019 Projections:  48/6/52/.281/10 in 466 ABs

45. Brian Anderson – This is funny (to me).  I was expecting to see Anderson’s stats in 156 — 670 plate appearances — and be totally wowed.  And, I was.  Only not the good wowed.  The bad wowed.  The wowie wow wowed.  The ‘Wawa at 2 AM in the morning for Flaming Hot Cheetos and they’re out’ wowed.  The ‘dry cleaner just scored all of the Benihana accounts, but has no way of cleaning shrimp grease out of shirt pockets’ wowed.  The ‘Lorraine Bracco outside of The Sopranos and Goodfellas’ wowed.  Not a good wowed.  2019 Projections:  64/13/72/.256/3 in 581 ABs

46. Jung Ho Kang – The Pirates named him their starting 3rd baseman (if I were the Pirates I would’ve named him someone else’s 3rd baseman).  Kang seemed puzzled, saying, “I didn’t say I will drive in teammates and crush fastballs.  I said, ‘I will drive intoxicated and crash fast cars.'”  2019 Projections:  54/15/61/.251/1 in 468 ABs

47. Willians Astudillo – Went over him in the top 20 catchers for 2019 fantasy baseball.

48. Johan Camargo – Went over him in the top 20 shortstops for 2019 fantasy baseball.

49. Brandon Drury – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until the end of the list.  I call this tier, “Dana Dane had nightmares from thinking he had a guy in this tier starting on his fantasy team.”  The tier name is pretty self-explantory. Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

50. Kyle Seager – His skills are eroding like they’re the Florida coastline and neither Al Gore or Dwayne Murphy could help him.  By the way, the good bad thing that no one is talking about with Florida’s coastline eroding, if it erodes only at the tip, on a map it will look like Florida is circumcised.  I guess the bad thing is if it erodes unnaturally it might look on a map like Florida has a Prince Albert piercing.  DO NOT GOOGLE PRINCE ALBERT PIERCING!  YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED.  IN ALL CAPS, NO LESS.  UPDATE:  Seager’s out until June with surgery on his left hand tendon.  I wonder if the Seagers are starring in their own O. Henry story called, “The Gift of the Injured Guy.”  2019 Projections:  36/14/44/.234/1 in 327 ABs

51. Todd Frazier – If Frazier is not in a platoon on the Mets, may I make a suggestion:  Put him in a platoon.  And, since he hit .162 vs. lefties as a righty, may I make one more suggestion:  Don’t let Frazier get 300+ at-bats.  2019 Projections:  42/15/48/.207/7 in 325 ABs

52. Aledmys Diaz – Went over him in the top 20 shortstops for 2019 fantasy baseball.

53. Cory Spangenberg – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

54. Hernan Perez – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

55. Kaleb Cowart – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

56. Isiah Kiner-Falefa – Went over him in the top 20 catchers for 2019 fantasy baseball.

57. Yandy Diaz – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

58. Chris Owings – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

59. Hunter Dozier – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

60. Scott Kingery – Went over him in the top 20 shortstops for 2019 fantasy baseball.

61. Ryan McMahon – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

62. J.P. Crawford – Went over him in the top 20 shortstops for 2019 fantasy baseball.

63. Colin Moran – You think the Royals, Tigers, Padres and Rangers teams are going to be terrible?  Well, they will.  But no one is talking about how bad the Pirates could be.  Moran might platoon with Jung Ho Kang, and the only person Jung Ho Kang should be platooning with is a teetotaling Mormon.  As in Kang drives to the bar and T. Total Mormon drives home. 2019 Projections: 37/9/41/.265 in 317 ABs

64. Patrick Wisdom – Here’s what I said this offseason, “Wisdom was traded to the Rangers for Drew Robinson.  Here’s how I know which side I like for this trade.  Could I see myself ranking one of these guys for 2019 and, if so, which one?  How’s that for Wisdom?  Good!  Not only will Wisdom be worked into a platoon, he will have a chance to win a DH or 1B job outright.  Looking for a guy who won’t be drafted in any leagues who could return huge value?  Look no further!  In 2017 in Triple-A, he hit 31 homers and last year he went 19/13 in combined Triple-A and majors.  There’s a chance he could hit .220 and doesn’t have a guaranteed everyday job, but I like him as an end-game flyer in deep leagues.”  And that’s me quoting me!  Since that, Wisdom has found himself with a starting job and is suddenly looking a lot more enticing to me.  I also go over him in the video at the top of this post.  UPDATE:  With the signing of Asdrubal, Rangers put common sense aside and all Wisdom.  2019 Projections:  19/7/21/.228/2 in 157 ABs

65. Jedd Gyorko – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

66. Eduardo Nunez – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

67. Yairo Munoz – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

68. Erik Gonzalez – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

165 Comments
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Nightpandas
Nightpandas
3 years ago

Grey,

Which side ya like in a k/9 keeper

Kluber or Othani and Darvish

Looking to compete in 2020

SwaggerJackers
SwaggerJackers
3 years ago

Gotta love rankings release season at Razzball. It’s helps us all pass the time during these long cold nights.

I have a feeling I’ll be targeting Shaw in a couple leagues this season. They wouldn’t do something dumb and platoon him, would they?

Paul Visconti
Paul Visconti
3 years ago

Points league, dynasty
Team A- clevinger, brendan mckay
Team B-mondesi

Paul Visconti
Paul Visconti
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

What about clevinger and kikuchi instead of clevinger and mckay

Paul Visconti
Paul Visconti
3 years ago

Points league, dynasty
Team A- clevinger, brendan mckay
Team B-mondesi

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
3 years ago

Would you trade j. Up or OZUNA for wil Myers. I am very deep in the of and I cud use a 3B.

branta
branta
3 years ago

Here are my options for keepers. Because I won the league last year (thanks in no small part to this website. So again, thanks!), I only get to keep 7 of these guys:

Gary Sanchez, C – Rd 5
Corey Kluber, SP – Rd 7
Max Muncy, 1B/3B – Rd 9
Rhys Hoskins, OF – Rd 4
Mookie Betts, OF – Rd 6
Yoan Moncada, 2B – Rd 13
Kris Bryant, 3B – Rd 8
Ronald Acuna, OF – Rd 9
Andrew Benintendi, OF – Rd 8
Fernando Tatis, SS – Rd 16
Blake Snell, SP – Rd 11
Noah Syndergaard, SP – Rd 9

It’s a 12 team 6×6 head to head keeper league. Categories are R/HR/RBI/SB/OBP/SLG x QS/HR/K/ERA/WHIP/SV+H

What 7 would you choose (round is what they cost to keep, if I keep 2 guys with the same cost I have to either trade for a draft pick or bump one of them up)

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
3 years ago

Without googling, I challenge anybody to name the current projection for the Padres at 3rd base per MLB depth charts. This is my way of saying I think San Diego is the most likely landing spot for Moose. Hosmer getting the band back together. Plus imagine the Moose Taco marketing opportunities in SoCal.

By the way the projected 3rd baseman is Ty France. Sounds like an objective for the Swiss national soccer team.

Also, I found two catchers I don’t hate.

Jensen
Jensen
Reply to  OaktownSteve
3 years ago

@OaktownSteve: Ian Kinsler? Greg Garcia?

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:
There are only six teams I could find that aren’t locked at 3rd: padres, Orioles, royals, rangers, twins. White Sox.

Sox may be in if they don’t sign Manny. Any way you look at it Moose is going to get a lousy contract. Rangers maybe but what’s the point? The Padres I guess if they signed Hosmer it makes sense they’d look at Moose for the same reasons.

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: I really think it’ll be the Padres.

Jensen
Jensen
3 years ago

Current keeper situation

C – Empty
1B – Bellinger
2B – Baez
SS- Turner
3B – Rendon
MI – Albies
CI – Voit

OF – Harper, Marte, Yelich, Ozuna, Rosario.

Bench – Piscotty, Laureno, Oneil, Peter Alonso.

Thoughts, concerns, random factoids?

Jensen
Jensen
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: 12 Teams. Keep forever, escalating auction prices.

Jensen
Jensen
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: I certainly can. Thinking Piscotty might have to go so I can bolster other areas but other than him, yes. That seems the be the team heading into the season.

Jensen
Jensen
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Sounds ominous. I’m guessing you are going to rain on my Marte or Ozuna parade.

matt
matt
3 years ago

standard 5 & 5 roto 22 teams

trade as follows I get 11 $ Shaw and 1 $ Nimmo….I give up 8 $ A Simmons and 2 $ Luzardo
what side do you like?

Bitter Beerface
Bitter Beerface
3 years ago

Grey,

I’m going to continue with the Led Zeppelin album cover metaphor. You are now squarely in Physical Graffiti territory for two reasons:

1). You’re at the top of your game, the best of the fantasy baseballer ‘perts! (And could probably take most of them in a cage match if necessary, definitely the cbs and espn nerds). You can put out an 83-minute double album (or a 67-player top 20 positional rankings in other words! Screw the man!).

2). Everyone in the (readers) building is staring at you from their windows. You got some laughing or smiling, then you got Lee Harvey Oswald who is really upset at your Mondesi ranking, and there’s Neil Armstrong who is so annoyed with your lack of Mets in the rankings he refuses to take off his helmet! (Brodie was his son-in-law.)

As my former boss, after telling me how great I was doing and how appreciated I was, once told the waiter after he filled up his iced tea “I appreciate ya”.

I got no questions, siiiiiigh. Thought I had a witty question. But you dig into these guys, and the TRUE 3B, as in just single-position eligible, like Arenado-Bryant-Rendon, I think those guys are appropriately ranked. Basically Arenado is your first non-multi eligible 3B. Bryant is next. That’s top 2 at 3rd when healthy. Rendon is the best floor: 3 straight 20+ HR seasons, 2 straight 0.300+BA seasons, great lineup…

But for me, I’m targeting Suarez this year. The dude is indestructible! Broken wrist? “Just a fracture, TAPE IT UP!” If that’s JDonny, he’s out for four months. Now look at that lineup, they added Puig, Kemp to the OBP God, Peraza and Scoots. Now Suarez has protection and rbi opportunities. I’m thinking he’s looking at a 35-homer, 115-rbi season which is only slightly better than his 2018 34-homer, 104-rbi season where he missed a month. I’m reaching on Eugene, yo, taking him in the 3rd/4th rd.

What do you think? (BOOM, there’s my question!)

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  Bitter Beerface
3 years ago

@Bitter Beerface:

Speaking of Puig. By steamer projections he’s a top 25 hitter, going from a pitchers park/division to a premium park in a premium division and he’s not being drafted in the top 100. Hmmmmmmmmm……

Shoed Joe Jackson
Shoed Joe Jackson
3 years ago

Will be interested to see where Moustakas goes. He’s got a meh reputation in fantasy circles, but he’s still “only” 30 and pretty good production the last two years. Steamer has him at 31 HR with 80 R and 89 RBI, batting .255. That’s equates to $14.5 and #83 overall in 12 team espn using razzball/ steamer player rater. But going all the way down at 144 in average ADP. Eugenio Suarez steamer projections are almost identical with 28HR, 79 R and 88 RBIs, batting .257 (seems low on BA); he’s going 53.

If Moustakas goes somewhere with regular at bats and an at least average park/lineup, I think he could be good value.

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
3 years ago

I know this is a really dumb question but I just want to see what your opinion/projection for Austin Riley is. And as my teachers always taught me, the only dumb questions are the questions not asked, so here goes …

Since Riley is not in your top 60, should I assume you do not believe he will be called up this year until late, say September?

Thanks!

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: I agree he should at least have gotten a shot at the starting job at spring training but with Donaldson there, he’s blocked now unless there’s an injury.

Hopefully his time comes sometime this season but it looks like he’ll need to tear up Triple-A to force their hand. Now I’m starting to wonder if they just try to hold him down the whole year just to keep his clock from starting. MLB is so screwed up.

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: I keep hearing rumors that he’s a trade piece and I guess that could be the case if they’re trying to make a big playoff push in late July.

But, honestly, they’ve waited for him all this time and now he’s on the cusp of the Big Leagues. If he is having a big year, I cannot see a smaller market team like ATL trading Riley away. Having him under control for another five or so years would be way too valuable for anything they could get.

I think if there were truth to the rumors of a trade, he would have probably been shipped off last year. Not now though.

Matt
Matt
3 years ago

So, I got an interesting trade proposal that I wanted to run by you. HTH points league that favors power and SP.

My j-ram, Dominguez, and Pereza for
Travis Shaw, Freddy Freeman, and Sonny Gray

My thoughts for accepting-freeman is a reasonable replacement at CI for jram. Shaw is a huge improvement at 2b for me, Gray a decent flyer. I don’t really need Pereza (Machado and turner at SS) and Dominguez as a part time closer is replaceable. I keep hearing Kimbrel to philly anyways so he may not even be part time closer….

Anyways, thoughts?

Jon
Jon
3 years ago

Would you give up Suarez for Taillon in a keeper league? 5×5 stats, keep forever.

If not, would Chapman for Taillon be more fair?

Jon
Jon
Reply to  Jon
3 years ago

@Jon: That’s Matt Chapman, btw

frank rizzo
frank rizzo
3 years ago

I’d kind of really like to get Bryant this year at a discount. If I can get him 4th round I think I’m in good shape. Does that sound like decent value?

ESPN has Vlad Jr 59th overall. Absolutely ridiculous.

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Vlad is going to make both you two eat those words!

JB
JB
3 years ago

Grey – in my deep, highly competitive, 9×9 H2H with roto scoring league, I’m allowed to keep 5 players (any position) with no restrictions. Here are my top options:

Goldy, Hoskins, Mondesi, Stanton, Harper, Soto, Vlad Jr and Tatis Jr, so I have to lose 3. Right now, I’m leaning toward losing Goldy (age, ballpark change), Soto (position, but I can be swayed on him) and Tatis (don’t want to keep more than one MI because of the depth this year) – does that sound right to you? If not, who would be your 5?

Thanks!

JB
JB
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: 5, and it’s a Yahoo league, so Hoskins has OF eligibility. We start 2 Cs, 2 1B, 2 3B, 5 OFs, 1 SS, 1 2B, 1 MI and 2 Us.

JB
JB
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: So do I, but who else would you lose to keep him? Don’t say Vlad – he’s my Bae. So that leaves Hoskins, Stanton, Harper and Mondesi. Ug.

JB
JB
Reply to  JB
3 years ago

@JB: Actually, I don’t think anyone else in my league will be as high on Mondesi as you are, so I may just leave him out and try to grab him with one of my first two picks. Thanks for the input!

Eddie
Eddie
3 years ago

Thanks for the rankings! In an OPS 5-keeper, would you keep a first round Stanton or an 8th round Eugenio? Everyone above Stanton in your rankings will be gone, but someone like Freeman or Rizzo could be there in round 1 if I throw the big guy back… It seems like there’s more value in Suarez at those costs, but Rudy’s dollar calculator projects Stanton as a top player under our format. I’m torn!

Dave D
Dave D
3 years ago

I see a lot greater risk on Bryant than potential upside on his current #35 ADP. You can have him, Grey, and I’ll take Albies instead there then grab Rendon or Suarez a round later and see who comes out ahead. Deal?

Creeky shoulders with power hitters scare this Sciosciapathologist. Same goes for Chapman, Gary Sanchez, et al.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

Somebody after 47 ADP? Well, you suprised me being so down on Albies the other day. Hes so young (22) I’m taking his second half as growing pains. I could be wrong but I still like him a lot…

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

Btw, I’m not high on JoRam either. I did notice that he has not slipped beyond 8 in the first 78 NFBC drafts. Id take Acuña, whose ADP is 8, over him any day.

Btw- That Cody Allen signing puts a damper on my Hansel Robles in round 48 sleeper closer pick… or maybe its just delayed until July.

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
3 years ago

There are 5 players 20+ HR and 20+ SB over the course of the last three seasons: Trout, Betts, Ramirez, Altuve and Wil Myers. He’s tough to figure. Seems like there’s a soft/injury prone label on him, but prior to last year he played 157 and 155 games. The Padres OF situation is unsettled, but if they hold on to him, he figures to get his ABs just based on contract. I know they’d love to move him. Doesn’t seem like he’ll make enough contact to hit for average. Steamer has him for .240. But in 17/18 he averaged 29 HRs and 24 SB. Going outside the top 100. He burned me last year so there’s that. Just not sure if I can go back in on him.

Devers does hit a lot of ground balls, but somehow he did manage to hit 20 HRs in a season where he was hurt most of the year. His profile looks a little like Yelich from a couple years ago in a way. He’s in that stacked line up. He’s only 22. Kicks in a few bags. Current ADP 148. The next 3b off the board after him is Moose. Steamer has him for 21/5 and .270 with 135 RBI + R in only 123 games. I feel like if I could get him around his current draft price I might be in on him.

The good thing about Renato Nunez being on the Orioles is that they may not care that he’s a Dr. Strangeglove over there at 3rd. Dude can hit. Great park and division for right handed power. Blah blah aluminum bats on the moon….but he hit 32 homers in 112 games in AAA 2017. Could see 25 homers and he’s going 450ish. Good name for the NFBC draft hold format.

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
3 years ago

Keep forever OBP – $4 Suarez or $4 Vlad? (+$3 annually) . . . I assume Vlad, right?

BTW – cartoon Grey looks like a hip hop Snake Pliskin in that vid!

Sleeper Keeper
Sleeper Keeper
3 years ago

In a $300 points roto keeper league, where if you owned a player whose contract has expired (Bregman for me), and you can retain him for 25% off his new draft price but cannot drop him (what we call RFA):

A) What is the max you would spend on Bregman?
B) With Arenado and Ramirez ALSO available, what’s their max price?
C) Is it worth RFA’ing Bregman and not being able to drop him?

Woolly the Mammoth
Woolly the Mammoth
3 years ago

You’re the man Grey! 10 team points league, keep 20 forever. I have wealth at 1B in Freddy Freeman, Paul Goldschmidt and Anthony Rizzo, who occupy my 1B, 1B/3B and U slots. I have nothing at 3B. Should I try to trade one of my 1B (probably Goldschmidt due to his age?) for Javier Baez, Nolan Arenado or Kris Bryant (all owned by the same owner, who has nothing at 1B), or should I hold and instead draft somebody from the Ian Happ-Niko Goodrum tier?

justin swartz
justin swartz
3 years ago

Hi All – I need some advice. (Hope this is an OK place to post this) –
I’m in a 12 team roto league. We can keep 2 players from last year. They have to have been either (1) drafted in the 16th through 31st rounds last year – in which case you lose the same pick this year, or (2) picked up on waivers – in which case you lose a 14th round pick. My choices are:
Gallo – would lose my 30th round pick.
Chapman – would lose my 26th round pick.
Mikolas – would lose my 23rd round pick.
Mondesi – would lose my 14th round pick.
Any thoughts would be appreciated. Thanks a lot.

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
3 years ago

I am Uhtred son of Uhtred

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:
It’s getting better and better

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:
Currently 3 with a 4th in the works.

Fantrax again this year?

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

Put me down for ESPN haha.

Only 8 episodes season! I do believe it’s good worth watching.

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:
Nice! You’ll prolly finish it before me now lol.

I get that. What about yahoo? You got sum boys over there.

Peacecoast
Peacecoast
Reply to  FrankGrimes
3 years ago

@FrankGrimes: I just finished season 3, thought I was the only one who watched that show. Bet you Grey doesn’t like it.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

NFBC allows private leagues from what I’ve seen.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Dave D
3 years ago

@Dave D:

So you do your leagues with NFBC?

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Dave D
3 years ago

@Dave D: Oh, ok. I kinda got that impression when you invited me before but wasn’t sure. Sounds like a cool thing to do.

SwaggerJackers
SwaggerJackers
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: I’d certainly be more interested in trying an RCL again if it was back on ESPN.

Skip Mcgillicuddy
Skip Mcgillicuddy
3 years ago

As a Phillie fan I am sick of watching Franco. His batted ball profile sucks. Too many ground balls for a power guy. O-Swing is 5% higher than league average also. He’s been given plenty of opportunity to change his approach. Let him figure it out on another team.

Also agree 100% on Happ, should get more ABs this year too. Walk rate is crazy high.

Jon
Jon
3 years ago

How long into the season will I have to wait for Jose Ramirez to play 5 games at 2B (and gain eligibility back), do you think? I’m trying to decide if I can get by with only drafting a 2B late, counting on Ramirez to eventually slide over. I have Suarez to play 3B.

I’m not really sure about what’s going on with Cleveland’s OF and if that could affect where Kipnis plays, etc… maybe this is all just wishful thinking…

Evan
3 years ago

Thanks so much and I’ve been waiting for your 3B rankings.

Trade evaluation question:

14 team, deep mixed keeper, $260 budget – I’m trying to get cheap and win now.

I traded:

Olson – $8
Haniger – $9

for
Andujar – $1
Aguilar – $1
Odor – $16

Other Keepers include:
Acuna – $8
Peraza – $9
Pivetta – $1
Glasnow – $1
Yates – $1
Knebel – $8

Was it a good move?

McGaffer12
McGaffer12
3 years ago

Welcome Back!!

Need to decide between :

Muncy $1
or
Andujar $1

my other keep is Trevor Story

Cant decide…….

markco1130
markco1130
3 years ago

Profar (1B, 2B, 3B, SS) or Nimmo in an OBP 5×5 weekly league?

DonnieB
DonnieB
3 years ago

Franco will get traded if no where to start won’t he? He looked OK down the stretch and ended with a .270 BA. he would be a great speculation for some team. I am looking at you,Angels—among others. Thoughts? Thanks for the great write up!

knucks
knucks
Reply to  DonnieB
3 years ago

@DonnieB: I could see him in a Rangers hat.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  DonnieB
3 years ago

@DonnieB:

I’d rather we take a chance on Taylor Ward. He might actually be able to hit.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

Yes, I think so, but likely after Cozart stinks. I’m not sure what the hell they are doing at 2B, but I’d rather see Cozart there with Ward given a chance at 3B rather than sign a mediocre Josh Harrison.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

Heaven help the Angels. I waited 20+ years for the first WS win. I no longer wait but wont likely see another one soon. It will be ling after Trout is wearing another uniform, or retired, I imagine

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
3 years ago

I feel like now is the last chance for a while to trade for Bryant in keepers. One spring starts, if he plays everyday and does anything remotely of note, seems like his price will skyrocket (and if he’s meh but healthy, it’ll stay what it is right now).

Gaylord
Gaylord
3 years ago

How early you taking Vlad in a keeper league? Am I crazy to take him over Arenado or Acuña??

William
William
3 years ago

Wow, you’re pretty down on Wil Myers. Last year’s 83 game stats over a full season would be close to 78, 251, 22, 78, 26. Sure he gets hurt a lot but he’s still only 28. Plus this season he’ll have 3b/OF eligibility which is helpful.

Big Ticket
Big Ticket
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: His balls are so down …

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: I’m giving Myers a pass on last year.
When he’s been hurt, well he has crappy years. When he’s been healthy, well he’s been one of the best hitters in baseball. I’ll keep my fingers crossed he can stay healthy again this year. But, to be fair, I totally understand Grey’s skepticism.

Wally Pipp
Wally Pipp
3 years ago

Yeah, but what about mondesi?

Curious George Springer
Curious George Springer
3 years ago

Well, I was thinking maybe Turner was my answer as a keeper for 3B, but maybe not.

I’m in good shape for my hitters, so I don’t need to keep a 3B, though in this league (12 team, keep 10), there aren’t many top 100 players thrown back (though we have added inflation, so there will be more than usual TY).

Stats
H — R, HR, RBI, SB, OBP, SLG
P — IP, QS, K/9, SV+Hld, WHIP, ERA

Here’s what I’ve got for sure:
C — Sanchez — Rd 15
1B — Freeman — Rd 14
2B — Albies — Rd 26
SS — Mondesi — Rd 30
CF — Trout — Rd 17
RF — Springer — Rd 13
OF — Castellanos — Rd 12
SP — Clevinger — Rd 9
SP — Flaherty — Rd 23

Remaining Options
Tim Anderson — Rd 11
Justin Turner — Rd 11
Josh James — Rd 29 — This is looking more and more like the one
Michael Kopech — Rd 24
Keston Hiura — Rd 29
Amed Rosario — Rd 29

This leaves me needing to fill LF and 2 UTIL hitters and then a bunch of SP/RPs

Cram It
Cram It
3 years ago

I thought Devers was supposed to be God’s gift to Boston? My how the shine on him wore off. I’m gonna go listen to see how Ralph feels about him now…

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: He swooned in June! It’s just interesting the perspectives on a guy who was super hyped, showed signs of that hype in a short first year, and struggled the first full season. I like buying low on those types. Like Ralph said, if this and if that and if those and if then!

Chris D.
Chris D.
3 years ago

Great content as always Grey!

One thing: Shaw should be under your 2b reviews and not your 1b link as you referenced above.

Hope you have a great day!

Chris D.
Chris D.
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: it’s the LEAST I can do for all the content you and your team pump out for us every year.

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
3 years ago

Grey!!

Great 3B report. Keep ’em comin’!

a. Stopped reading after the Goodrum tier to my own peril! Just kidding, lapped up everything. But man, after Goodrum it’s tough reading and I’m a closet fantasy baseball masochist!

b. Words of Wisdom indeed, especially if he hits .220! Now watch him kill it in TEX and you make me eat my words all year long! It’d be so just like you. Thanks for reminding me.

c. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote of the day for January 22

1. With Republican control of the Senate, Oregon’s Bob Packwood will become Chairman of the Senate Finance Committee. He promised to massage the budget, goose interest rates and, if possible, stick his tongue down the throat of inflation.

2. In Connecticut, where I live, a house race was won by a margin of just 2 votes. Well, that’s good! My vote still wouldn’t have made a big difference at all!

3. In an act of reconciliation, China released 8 political prisoners this week. But they made it clear that the remaining 79.999992 million would be executed this year without a trial.

Cheers,
Ante

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Grey!!!

Lol, but…on the flip side they demonstrate that some things don’t change like China’s human rights’ record. And the 2 votes? That’s priceless, the wit and sarcasm. Man, you are really picky! J/k. I keed, I keed.

Btw, did you see Dinner with Herve? If you haven’t and are feeling nostalgic, don’t. It’s ageism and the movie is horsesh*t.

Cheers,
Ante

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Grey!!

a. Both are soooooo cocked and loaded. My wife opts to watch the drivel they show on TV, no idea why. We’ve even seen the sample of Cold War together several times, both agree that it looks good, but….nothing. Our 18-year old daughter gets into the mix too and sides with my wife and the story comes to a sad conclusion. We’ll watch them soon enough. Thanks for caring.

b. Yes, you are tough audience. But I love your criticism always. It keeps me on my toes.

c. I saw what you did on the Dale Carnegie quote. That’s not his quote, but it’s like no one cares. I care, please use Dale Carnegie quotes properly.

Cheers,
Ante

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Grey!!

I was kidding, man! Dale Carnegie rocks. What rocks more than Dale Carnegie? You for introducing him to me. As unwoke as that sounds, I have learned so much about myself, life, movies, tv series, books (although a lot of that is from the New York Book review, which I love) and much, much, more! Thanks a million times over.

What do you think of Rockaway, Widows, Brexit: An Uncivil War?

Cheers,
Ante

Vottoman Empire
Vottoman Empire
3 years ago

Hey all! Starting up an NFBC-style league as it seems fun when I read/hear about all the pundits drafting theirs, but I don’t want to pay the ~25% vig to the site or swim with a bunch of super high-stakes sharks who are sometimes more professional gamblers than baseball fans.

Join in on this Fantrax Treasurer (secure $) mock-NFBC Main Event-style 15-team redraft roto, with weekly FAAB bids and lineups, no trades, $250 buy-in. Think I could even rig up a way to do the NFBC standard KDS (Kentucky Derby Style) draft pick order, which I’ve never gotten to try. Draft in mid-March, exact date/time TBD by league members. Interested? aaronpparker at gmail dot com to talk it over, happy to send over full league rules, join link.

Currently at 9/15 managers in place, grab your spot ASAP!