Is it possible I will have drafted a shortstop in the 1st round, a shortstop in the 2nd round for my MI spot and a shortstop in the 3rd round for my utility spot?  Prolly not, but I don’t want to rule out anything with how great the shortstops look.  During last preseason, Rudy told me I was too high on multiple shortstops.  He never apologized, but that’s okay, I forgive him.  As Napoleon said, “I forgive you for only putting two layers in my whipped cream dessert, but if you meant it as a dig on my height, I will never forget.”  So, here’s Steamer’s 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers.  All my 2019 fantasy baseball rankings are under that thingie-ma-whosie, and I mention where all tiers start and stop, and all shortstop projections are mine.  Let’s get to it!  Anyway, here’s the top 20 shortstops for 2019 fantasy baseball:

1. Trea Turner – Went over him in the top 10 for 2019 fantasy baseball.

2. Javier Baez – Went over him in the top 10 for 2019 fantasy baseball.

3. Alex Bregman – Went over him in the top 10 for 2019 fantasy baseball.

4. Manny Machado – Went over him in the top 10 for 2019 fantasy baseball.

5. Francisco Lindor – Went over him in the top 10 for 2019 fantasy baseball.

6. Trevor Story – Went over him in the top 20 for 2019 fantasy baseball.

7. Adalberto Mondesi – Went over him in the top 20 for 2019 fantasy baseball.

8. Xander Bogaerts – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Peraza.  I call this tier, “Have you seen where I put my eyes?”  By the tier name I mean, the shortstops are so stacked that my eyes bulged out of my head, fell somewhere nearby, but, as you can imagine, it’s hard to locate eyes when you need eyes to locate them.  As for Bogaerts, the shortstop position continues to impress.  To misquote Tenacious D, “It was the best position in the world, it was the best the position in the world!”  Yo, 1st basemen, this is how you do a position!  I’ve mentioned this before, but I really think there’s something to kids growing up with their idols playing certain positions.  All of these young shortstops likely were watching A-Rod tear up shortstop, and decided to play the same position.  As fo’really about Bogaerts, he’s entering his prime and on the cusp of a 25/10/.290 season, and that’s only barely boosting him from his last year 23/8/.288 season.  To randomly pick on another guy, Carlos Correa never had one season that good.  2019 Projections: 89/25/105/.291/10 in 534 ABs

9. Jean Segura – Here’s what I said this offseason about Segura, “Traded to the Phils.  JAWN Segura, as Phillies fans will undoubtedly pronounced it, fixes the top of the Phils’ order, and gets Just Peachy Crawford the hell out of town.  Throw a Gritty doll at him on the way to the plane!  I could see Segura regaining top form in Philly, and being a 20/30 powerhouse once again.  I kinda love Segura in Philly.” And that’s me quoting me!   Guys and five girl readers, shortstops are so sexy.  2019 Projections:  92/17/71/.308/25 in 577 ABs

10. Jose Peraza – For so many years I told you about how I liked Peraza because of his ability to hit 10 homers and steal 30+ bases with a good average.  Last year, he went 14/23/.288, which I think people are confusing with his peak.  Well, don’t want to call you homophonic, but that’s just a peek.  2019 Projections:  92/15/55/.292/31 in 612 ABs

11. Carlos Correa – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Seager.  I call this tier, “You sneeze and I say, ‘Got flesh poo.'”  I call this tier that because I’d say, “God bless you,” but you don’t deserve my blessings because you went against my blessings and drafted these guys.  Could Correa, for unstints, bounce back?  I guess, but my ulcer and I have an agreement and it includes me not putting it through unnecessary stress.  If I want to risk a later pick on a bounce back, then great!  Super!  Excitement!  I’ll be drafting a different position when these guys are going off draft boards.  As for Correa, maybe I’ll see you again in 2020.  2019 Projections:  80/26/91/.277/3 in 566 ABs

12. Corey Seager – Was not a fan of Seager for the two years when he was healthy, how ya think I’m gonna feel about him coming off two surgeries?  Tommy John surgery was enough to be wary, but arthroscopic hip surgery?  Did he get a throw-in on a two-for-one offer?    2019 Projections:  84/24/76/.288/3 in 531 ABs

13. Tim Anderson – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Escobar.  I call this tier, “Making ‘Man on the Moon’ lyrics work.”  I’m by no means a big R.E.M. fan, but how they were able to make that song work is just ridiculous.  Putting ‘Now, Andy, did you hear about this one?’ in a chorus?  Are you serious?  And it works?  C’mon!  ‘Andy, are you goofing on Elvis?’  It’s just insane making those lyrics work.  It’s genius.  What is also genius is drafting guys in this tier and having them work.  Every single guy in this tier is going to have at least half your league thinking they won’t work, and some of these guys have already worked, and they still get no respect.  Also, I will say as stacked as the shortstop position is early on, there is a huge dropoff around Andrus.  It’s gonna look something like this in my top 500 overall:  12-14 shortstops in the top 100 overall, then 6-7 in the next 100, then raspberries lips.  So much talk of this position being stacked as me thinking about that short-lived sitcom, Stacked with Pamela Anderson.  You know how you’re getting old?  Or at least how I know I’m getting old.  I can’t remember if I worked on the Pamela Anderson sitcom, Stacked, if I went to see a live taping of it or if I know someone who worked on it.  I know I worked on some show with Pamela Anderson.  It was uncredited, so don’t bother looking.  I know I worked with Pamela Anderson at one point.  She is super tiny–Okay, this is becoming a shaggy dog story.  As for Tim Anderson, I called him in a sleeper last year, and he did exactly what I expected of him, and don’t see any reasons why he can’t repeat.  2019 Projections:  72/21/84/.248/24 in 577 ABs

14. Jonathan Villar – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

15. Eduardo Escobar – I flip-flopped Villar and Escobar a few times, finally landing on this because Villar’s upside is just higher than Escobar’s.  Also, the Diamondbacks sent out a bunch of lifeboats to get rid of some of the higher-priced guys on their team, and now what’s left is…deathboats?  Okay, so a bunch of the guys in this tier could be considered deathboats since they’re on dying teams, but Escobar will be the D-Backs’ three-hole hitter, and that’s valuable, even on a bad team.  2019 Projections:  81/25/90/.270/5 in 589 ABs

16. Gleyber Torres – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Tatis.  I call this tier, “Failure of effort.”  By the tier name, I mean I tried to get both of these guys in tiers above and below and I just wasn’t able to, which is on me, but a ‘failure of effort’ feels harsh, but if that’s what you think of me, fine.  Jerk.  As for Torres, went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball..

17. Jurickson Profar – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

18. Fernando Tatis Jr. – Already gave you my Fernando Tatis Jr. fantasy.  It was written while screaming, “FTJ!  Fun the Jewels fast!  Fun the Jewels fast!  Fun the Jewels fast!”  2019 Projections:  14/3/11/.252/3 in 75 ABs

19. Amed Rosario – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until DeJong.  I call this tier, “Right before egg noodles and ketchup.”  By the tier name I mean, this is the last reprieve before you’re in Witness Protection, you snitch bastage.  After this tier, it’s no man’s land.  As for Amed, he’s a potential 15/25/.275 guy, and Amed to that!  But I also worry he was caught stealing a lot and might only steal 15-ish bags, which is why he wasn’t ranked even higher.  2019 Projections:  71/16/48/.268/22 in 595 ABs

20. Marcus Semien – His stats remind me of Yadier Molina.  There’s no rhyme or reason.  If you were to plot out Semien’s stats, dots would be all over the place.  He’s a master painter using the no-pointillism techinique.  Some years Semien hits for power, some speed another year, never really any average, but some years just an awful average.  It’s like Semien keeps squirming around and feels icky on a hotel bed sheet.  Wait, what?  2019 Projections:  68/20/80/.246/12 in 551 ABs

21. Jonathan Schoop – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

22. Paul DeJong – I called Colonel Mustard aka DeJong a sleeper last year, and he hit 19 HRs in 115 games, so he would’ve got to my preseason projections last year if he stayed healthy, and I still like him a lot as a possible breakout.  To misquote Ice Cube from Burn Hollywood Burn, “Yeah, I’ll check out Hot Dog: The Movie, but it’ll take some DeJong to move me.”  2019 Projections:  78/27/87/.250/2 in 566 ABs

23. Elvis Andrus – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Gordon. I call this tier, “My dog is going to love this!”  When you get a gift you don’t like, a polite way to say it’s garbage is the tier name.  This tier is guys that I think are garbage, but I’m being polite!  As for Andrus, you’re drafting a 30-year-old who provided fantasy value through steals who just stole five bases in eight attempts.  El oh–you’re dumb.  2019 Projections:  81/8/61/.261/15 in 577 ABs

24. Dee Gordon – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

25. Joey Wendle – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Goodrum.  I call this tier, “See another post.”  This tier is pretty self-explanatory.  I think you have, uh, see another post to know what I think on them.  As for Wendle, went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

26. Garrett Hampson – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

27. Willy Adames – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

28. Niko Goodrum – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

29. Asdrubal Cabrera – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Ahmed.  I call this tier, “Every team has to start a shortstop, which will only get worse when MLB bans the shift.”  This tier is filled with starters, so at-bats and…Well, at-bats are the first step to fantasy value, right?  I’m being so positive!  Hey, listen, you with the hairline that’s creeping up your melon, we’re deep at this point, so you want a starter or not?  Wow, I’m sassy!  As for Asdrubal, went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

30. Enrique Hernandez – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

31. Andrelton Simmons – One thing this guy really excels in is plate appearances.  Have you ever seen his plate appearances?  They’re more abundant than Joey Chestnut.  By the way, Marcus Semien books hotel rooms under the name Joey Chestnut.  Little bit of trivia for you!  Speaking of Semien, Simmons is also from the school of no-pointillism.  His stats charted out are like a grade school watercolor drawing that is having water drizzled on it.  A real smear!  2019 Projections:  71/13/67/.287/12 in 570 ABs

32. Tim Beckham – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Beckham) signed with the Mariners.  ‘I’m just getting settled in, but everyone has been so nice to me.  They keep moving my bags to my car, even if I tell them they don’t need to.’  That’s J.P. Crawford who was the Mariners’ shortstop for approx. 56 days while failing to secure one start.  Mariners are rebuilding while actually making their team better and ruining narratives.  Their lineup might actually be better this year than it was last year.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2019 Projections: 58/17/64/.247/3 in 489 ABs

33. Didi Gregorius – Truth bomb alert!  Didi could be ranked anywhere from 22nd overall to 40th overall depending on number of DL slots and depth of league.  I don’t completely hate the flyer on Gregorius if you can stash him for a couple of months while he rehabs, but if I had a nickel for every time a guy was supposed to return ‘before the All-Star break’ to not return that season, I’d have like 35 cents.  Not a lot, but it’s increments of nickels, so a decent amount.  By the way, Didi vs. Addison Russell, and their ranking when they might each miss similar amounts of time, though for different reasons, I’m assuming you can DL Didi, so he doesn’t take up a roster spot.  2019 Projections:  36/13/42/.277/5 in 289 ABs

34. Ketel Marte – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

35. Orlando Arcia – There’s a chance here for a breakout, but he’d be a great poker player, because he’s in no way tipping his hand.  2019 Projections:  56/12/64/.244/15 in 502 ABs

36. Jorge Polanco – Let’s see, two years ago he went 13/13.  Last year in half a year, he went 6/7.  Dude’s a 13/13 machine.  I will call him Jorge Voorhees.  Jason Jorgees?  Meh, I’ll work on it!  2019 Projections:  78/13/39/.262/13 in 561 ABs

37. Marwin Gonzalez – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

38. Zack Cozart – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

39. Chris Taylor – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

40. Freddy Galvis – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

41. Brandon Crawford – Pretty incredible the career he’s had.  I’d say being as mediocre as him while accruing 1,104 games and 4,158 at-bats is as unlikely as a Hall of Fame career.  By the way, if you put Crawford’s career together with a Hall of Fame career, you get Harold Baines.  2019 Projections:  65/15/70/.255/4 in 542 ABs

42. Nick Ahmed – Let’s hope he has a great 1st half so him and Amed Rosario both make the All-Star Game, so Joe Buck says, “Ahmed to Amed, Amed to Ahmed, Ahmed to Amed,” then short circuits and is never heard from again.  2019 Projections:  64/13/68/.243/5 in 542 ABs

43. Lourdes Gurriel – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Bichette.  I call this tier, “Charlie Brown’s teacher rant.”  Some of you might hear wawawawawawa, but it’s such garbage that you have guys like Ketel Marte headed for 575 ABs, and guys who are ready to play will be lucky to get 200 ABs.  Sure, two of these guys are Rockies, and don’t have obvious places to play, but BLEH!  The Rockies are the biggest culprits of never playing rookies.  I don’t mind the shift or that there’s a DH in only one league, the biggest problem with MLB is they don’t fix the blatant manipulation of rookie eligibility.  Can you imagine LeBron or Kobe coming out of high school, and languishing for years in an instructional league?  Sure, they’re generational talents, but what’s Vlad?  Any hoo!  Guys in this tier deserve more at-bats.  As for Lourdes, went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

44. Brendan Rodgers – Already gave you my Brendan Rodgers fantasy.  It was written by a Grey Albright Funko Pop!  2019 Projections:  32/12/41/.268/5 in 289 ABs

45. Johan Camargo – Sadly, before the Braves went out and got Josh Donaldson, I wrote up a Johan Camargo sleeper post.  Sadly for me at least since I wrote it for seemingly no reason.  Oh well, I’ll put it with my 1995 Brady Anderson sleeper post that I wrote about how he was about to hit 50 homers, even though he had never hit more than 20 before that.  Should’ve posted it!  2019 Projections:  35/10/40/.277/1 in 264 ABs

46. Bo Bichette – Already gave you my Bo Bichette fantasy.  It was written while showing my senior citizen fake ID to get cheaper movie tickets.  2019 Projections: 34/3/19/.274/14 in 272 ABs

47. Aledmys Diaz – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Russell.  I call this tier, “Love is complicated.”  By the tier name I mean, is it better to have loved and lost or to never have loved at all?  All of these guys could be asking this question.  Or more aptly on point, is it better to never get at-bats and be known as having great promise, or is better to get at-bats and show you don’t have that promise?  I’ve expressed love for all of these guys at one point, but now they’re either jobless or should be.  As for Aledmys, he’s like the middle infield version of C.J. Cron.  He hits when he plays, but no one wants to play him.  In Houston, he seems like a lock for under 300 at-bats.  2019 Projections:  21/8/34/.276/2 in 212 ABs

48. Hernan Perez – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

49. Dansby Swanson – It’s criminal if the Braves give Swanson 550 at-bats and Johan under 200, which is to say they’ll both likely end up with around 300 at-bats and both be fairly useless in most leagues.  By the way, there’s guys with better projections below guys with worse projections because I’d prefer the guy above him, even if he’s projected for less at-bats.  For instance, is it better to watch a 24-hour marathon of Nicholas Cage movies or just 15 minutes of his best scenes from all his movies?  “I want to take his face…off.”  *head tilt, eyes slowly open, crazed*  2019 Projections:  38/9/46/.248/7 in 324 ABs

50. Scott Kingery – This guy is the epitome of, “Is it better to have loved and lost or to never have loved at all?”  He got 450+ at-bats last year and replicated the line of the Padres prospect, Nadir Bupkis.  2019 Projections:  24/5/20/.233/9 in 262 ABs

51. J.P. Crawford – Here’s what I said when he was traded, “Headed to the Mariners.  By the way, odds for next year’s World Series are gonna be five teams at 2 to 1, and 25 teams at 500 to 1.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2019 Projections:  49/10/55/.217/8 in 479 ABs

52. J.T. Riddle – If Realmuto is traded, Riddle will have to carry the Jerry Tomato title for the Marlins.  There’s only one way to know if he can:  Look at his stats.  *looks at his stats*  Nope, he can’t.  2019 Projections:  46/11/52/.237/3 in 454 ABs

53. Addison Russell –  Love is so complicated for Addison, he was suspended 40 games to start the season for being a piece of garbage, which wouldn’t preclude me from drafting him in fantasy if he wasn’t also a piece of garbage for fantasy too.  By the way, because I won’t get an opportunity to talk about this for Yadiel Rivera, since he didn’t make the rankings.  I look at about 100 different eligible hitters for each position, then whittle down the players I don’t think are worth mentioning.  Well, I looked at Yadiel Rivera, and, I just have to tell you this.  Last year, Yadiel Rivera played in 111 games.  Please guess his stat line.  PLEASE!  Yo, this made me guffaw for like four hours straight.  His stat line in 111 games was:  13/1/9/.173/2.  Drop a skull emoji because I am literally dead.  2019 Projections:  36/10/39/.244/3 in 334 ABs

54. Yairo Munoz – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until the end of the list.  I call this tier, “Sad emoji toast.”  I don’t know for a fact that there’s bread in Japan that when you toast it, emojis appear on it, but I’m gonna guess there is.  Well, this tier is the sad emoji toast.  One other big picture thing that I never realized until this year.  For years now I’ve been ranking a random number of guys at each position.  It just felt right, there wasn’t much thought to whether I had 50 guys at shortstop and 75 guys at 3rd base.  I ranked those that should be ranked.  Now that I think about it, if some ‘pert ranks exactly, say, 50 guys at each position, then I’m suspicious.  Or if they do 50 for every position, but 100 for SPs and OFs.  Still suspicious.  How can there be exactly the same number of guys at every position?  Some positions just have more guys to rank.  You don’t rank ten more 2nd basemen who should be ranked just because you said you were ranking only 50?  That doesn’t compute fully for me.  As for Munoz, went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

55. Troy Tulowitzki – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Tulo) signed with the Yankees.  He told the media, “I’m extremely happy to be joining–” and it appeared that he strained his quad between “happy” and “to.”  No word on how long he’ll be out.  Honestly, it’s just a bridge loan until Didi returns from Tommy John, the surgery, not the underwear or person.”  And that’s me quoting me!  This quote from Barlett’s Familiar Quotations was made prior to the signing of DJ LeMahieu, but Tulo should still see some at-bats if he’s healthy.  I laughed hysterically when I wrote if.   2019 Projections: 28/9/28/.258 in 228 ABs

56. Jordy Mercer – Here’s what I said this offseason, “Signed with the Tigers.  He will be replacing Iglesias at shortstop.  Big shoes to fill.  Or rather, big pews.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2019 Projections:  46/7/51/.241/3 in 464 ABs

57. Erik Gonzalez – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.

  1. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!!!!!

    Excellent SS report, Julius Schreck would be uber-jealous!

    a. Man, you are so right about the drop off after Rosario. Even if you don’t draft a SS in the first 3 rounds, you had better get one by Amed or you’re dead at SS. And careful you don’t end up forcing yourself to take Corey Seager. Seager is good as a late grab and after you have Segura or someone solid.

    b. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote of the day for January 21

    1. Well, a beef-flavored water for dogs hit stores this week and dog’s are eagerly anticipating the arrival next month’s flavor of the month – other dog’s asses.

    2. Well, it’s been a disastrous week for Bill Clinton. His party lost the control of the house and senate and 31 governorships are now in Republican hands. The only bright spot? He was completely exonerated in the murder of Bob Crane.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante Galic: Thanks! A. Yup B. Haha — Bob Crane, wow, that’s a dated joke

      • Ante Galic says:
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        @Grey: Grey!!!

        a. Thanks, man! I’m taking it from the weekend updates of SNL Season 20. Just until the start of the season, then Abbott and Costello kick in.

        b. Well done on all the video footage btw! Really great stuff and of course pertinent, but you being a ‘pert it should be pertinent, right? Else you wouldn’t be a ‘pert! Ah, it’s okay if you don’t get it.

        c. Your son Sonny Gray was traded to the Reds. What do you make of it? Not a good park, but on the upside he could be had for nothing this year based on last year’s performance.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          A. Bob Crane…Haha

          B. Thanks!

          C. I have no faith in Sonny Gray anymore… I’d want to see something from him first

  2. Wally Pipp says:
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    Serious question, how the hell do you have Mondesi projected for 90 rbi??
    Last year he had 37 rbi in 275 at bats.

    You have him projected for more rbis (90) than runs (81) ? How is that possible, he likely hits at the top of the order, plus he plays on the royals. Last season in 275 at bats mondesi had 47 runs and 37 rbi, thats about 25% more runs than rbi’s, and now you have him projected to get more rbis than runs? Why? It just makes zero sense.

    you have mondesi projected to have only 3 less rbi than aaron judge! Even if they both bat second all year you realize how absurd this is right ??(see yankees runs scored vs royals 2018). Not to mention judge is more likely to slide down to rbi spots in the order than mondesi, and mondesi could easily be batting 1st or 9th depending on how he does.

    90 rbi projection for mondesi honesty takes away all of your credibility. He is a huge longshot to get 80 rbi on the royals batting at the top of the order.

    I love your insight overall, but you let yourself get carried away with some occasional weird unrealistic bold calls.

    Justify mondesi and his 87 mph avg exit velo playing on the royals set to bat second being projected for only 3 less rbi than judge playing on the yankees. You cant, its just garbage.

    • Cram It says:
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      @Wally Pipp: I guess Mondesi is this year’s Stanton for you. You’re going to b*tch and moan about him every day.

    • Slappy Jack says:
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      @Wally Pipp: ” it takes away all of his credibility”?!?
      haha

      someone is getting carried away with themselves…. and its not Grey

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Wally Pipp: Mondesi seems like the best bet for a three-hole hitter in their lineup

    • Jensen says:
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      @Wally Pipp: if he hits RBI at the same rate as last season and he gets 630 AB then he’s at 85 RBI. What’s the problem??

  3. Cabby says:
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    Hey Grey,

    Great rankings as always! I have a trade question for you
    12 team keeper league
    C,C,1B, 2B, SS, 3B, MI, CI, U, 5 of, 6 SP, 3 RP

    OBP, Total Bases, R, RBI, SB
    ERA, Whip, K, Quality Starts plus wins, holds+saves

    Keep 10 keepers, 7 minor league(max 100 ip, 300 ab)

    I finished 2nd after my team flopped in playoffs last year.

    Current keepers- Arenado, Harper, Acuna, Altuve, G. Torres, Mazara(hate to give up on him), Marte, Snell, Buehler,Kluber

    Minors-Alec Bohm, Estevan Florial, Khalil Lee, Taylor Trammell,Mitch Keller, Brusdar Graterol

    Fringe keepers- Jose Abreu, Patrick Corbin, Votto, Zach Greinke

    First off, would you swap out any of my fringe keepers for current keepers?

    I am trying to trade Altuve. I might be able to trade him for Trevor Story. Should I do that . If he won’t go one for one should I package Altuve and Marte for Story and Robles(still MI eligible). Robles is a younger Marte(maybe not this year) and this would allow me to keep another major leaguer.

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cabby: Thanks! I’d want Story over Altuve — Altuve and Marte for Story and Robles sounds great

  4. Wally Pipp says:
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    So you have judge projected for just about twice as many homers as mondesi (39 to 20), but only 3 more rbi? One plays on the yankees (851 runs scored last year), one plays on the roayls (638 runs scored as a team last year). Does this make sense, honestly?

    Why did you over project mondesi? Just to say you had him in your top 20?

    • Cram It says:
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      @Wally Pipp: You asked this already like 3 times last week and once above.

  5. Slappy Jack says:
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    In a somewhat deep keeper league, I have been trying to decide between Peraza and Villar for my MI spot. And then trade the other one.

    I had been leaning Villar but now you got me all upright with Peraza.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Slappy Jack: Villar has higher upside, but lower down side, depends on risk you want

  6. Charlie says:
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    Grey, I recently asked you about a potential trade in the comments of your top 10 rankings. Essentially I’ll be trading Bregman + Judge for Acuna in my keeper league. Since I have to trade either Bregman or Yelich (I can only keep one of them bc of round they were drafted in), which of the two would you keep? The trade is Bregman/Yelich + Judge for Acuna. Since SS is so deep I think I should hang on to Yelich and trade away Bregman, but want to hear your thoughts before I officially make the trade. Thanks!

    Further explanation is below for a refresher if needed.

    6×5, including ops, keep 7 forever and each player kept is associated with the round they were drafted in. 3 OF, C, 1b, 2B, SS, 3B, 2 Util, 2 SP, 2 RP, 4 P, 6 BN.

    My keepers are as followed with the round they’re being kept in in parenthesis.

    Unfortunately, I also have Bregman and he’s a second round player so I can’t keep him since I’ll be keping Yelich.

    I had a trade idea and wanted to run it by you before I offer it. My Bregman (2), who I can’t keep, and my Judge (24) for their Acuna (24). On the surface I’d be getting killed in this trade, but I can’t keep Bregman, and he won’t be around for me to draft by the time I make my first selection, which is in the third round. I’m curious to see where Judge falls in your rankings, but we already know that Acuna will be ranked ahead of him. So if you were me would you trade Judge (24) and Bregman (2 – and who I can’t keep) for Acuna (24)? Thanks!

    Trout (1)
    Yelich (2)
    Scherzer (4)
    Goldschmidt (5)
    Albies (11)
    Arenado (13)
    Judge (24)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Charlie: I’d want Yelich over Bregman

      • Charlie says:
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        @Grey:

        Thanks!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  7. OaktownSteve says:
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    Happy MLK day, Albright. Every year I play as many of his speeches and sermons over the speakers in the store all day. One of my favorite days of the year. Love the sound and the cadence.

    I know you’ll get to Sonny Gray trade later but thought I’d pass along a little thing that’s hit my radar from various corners of the internet that Sonny embodies: groudballs are bad now. If you go look at the top groundball guys last year it’s not exactly a who’s who of who you want. The other part of the story is two seamers turn into home runs. Sonny had a +50% GB rate and a 15% hr rate I think.

    There’s a lot of narrative with Sonny. For one thing NY seemed to Ed Whitson him. Whitson was a Padre pitcher and a bit of a country boy who Steinbrenner gave a big FA contract and then NYC ate him alive. Sonny went from being a premium character guy in OAK to a guy the Yanks couldn’t ditch fast enough. Terrible to see him head to a park even worse for HRs.

    But it appears the Reds went after him because his old college pitching coach is now with the organization. Sonny hasn’t lost the ability that miss bats or manipulate the ball. His pitch mix is strange. He came up with a premium curveball which he then abandoned. Switched to a slider as his primary off speed and had one year where he got a ton of whiffs with it. He’s got two seamer, four seamer, cutters. Too many pitches.

    Be interesting to see how the Reds try to fix him.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @OaktownSteve: You too! I know Ed Whitson! Cmon! If the Reds fix him as well as they fixed Matt Harvey or any number of pitchers that were top prospects that turned into turds once they go to Cincy, then the NL Central just got another pitcher to hit…

  8. Cram It says:
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    .

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cram It: Who is that avatar?

      • Cram It says:
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        @Grey: Who does it look like?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Pic’s too small! I don’t know…

          • Cram It says:
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            @Grey: You know you can zoom in. But then it might be too blurry!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Who is it? I can’t see!

              • Cram It says:
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                @Grey: Haha. It’s just me.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Oh! Haha, I was about to say a young Bruce Willis…Whew, that would’ve been embarrassing!

                  • Cram It says:
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                    @Grey: Ha. Is a young Bruce Willis not a good looking guy? Hold on, let me poll my co workers near me.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Dude! Him from 1986 thru 94… Talking three-time People Magazine’s Sexiest man alive…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      A run that was only challenged by Lorenzo Lamas and Rick Springfield…

                  • Cram It says:
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                    @Grey: Right, so a young Bruce Willis would have been a compliment, not embarrassing.

                    Whoever I look like, it works, as evidenced by the 21-year old college girl who offered her number to me on Saturday. I’m f*cking 40! *High five!*

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, nice! Unless she was giving you her number bc she was a nurse and afraid your old man heart might give out at any moment…

  9. Mike Adamson says:
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    This is the largest group of top 20 shortstops I have ever seen. Ever!

  10. Jorge Polanco Jr. says:
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    Jorge Polanco getting 39 RBIs this season must be a typo… How? How I say? How?!?!?!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Jorge Polanco Jr.: He’s hitting leadoff for a Twins team that could have three .170 hitters hitting behind him at 7 thru 9

  11. Crash Davis says:
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    After reading your rankings (especially the high praise for Mondesi), please advise on who my ten keepers should be. I’m in a 12 team 7×7 keeper.

    There is little to no action on the trade front so barring any changes there, players will go back to the draft pool.

    I’m currently debating on twelve players. We start 5SP and 5RP along with a regular hitting lineup.

    R.Hoskins(1B,OF)
    J.Altuve
    A.Rendon
    F.Lindor
    T.Story
    A.Mondesi (2B,SS)
    R.Acuna
    G.Springer
    JD Martinez
    J.DeGrom
    J.Verlander
    C.Carrasco

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Crash Davis: Wow, nice keepers… I’d lose Carrasco and Rendon

      • Crash Davis says:
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        @Grey:

        Thanks! It’s frustrating not being able to move any although I’m still trying.

        So it’s better to keep best talent available rather than starters?

        As unfortunately I wouldn’t be able to start Mondesi, Story and Lindor. I only have one Uti position.

        My original intentions were to drop Springer and Mondesi but having second thoughts due to his sb potential. I just hate to keep a player I can’t start.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ah… That sucks, you can’t trade anyone?

          • Crash says:
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            @Grey:

            Just seems I can’t make a deal to flip a two for one type deal.

            Will most likely have to settle for draft picks before keepers are due in mid Feb.

            I’m still trying to wheel and deal though!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Wheel and deal harder!

  12. TC says:
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    Standard category forever keeper. Would you trade CSeager, Carlos Martinez, and Kyle Tucker for Springer and Cole? I already have Trea at SS. My options for a 3rd player back with Springer and Cole are Schwarber, Inciarte, Iglesias, Happ, Mikolas, Urias, and Trammel. I’m in contention this year. Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @TC: I’d take Springer

      • TC says:
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        @Grey: What third guy would you ask for? Probably looking for the guy with most value this year, unless you think someone in that group has incredible value in the near future. Thanks

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ender or Mikolas

  13. Peacecoast says:
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    12T mixed roto (do I always have to tell you that or by now do you just know this I thought we were closer). keep Erod in round 27 or DPeralta in 20? Other keepers are Taillon in 13, Gleyber 20, Treat in 1, Mikolas in 24. We get 5.

  14. Crime Dog says:
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    We have to keep 3 players, 1 player for 3 years, 1 for 2 years and 1 for 1 year. There’s no round considerations, players kept are simply removed from the player pool and we draft with what’s left. Wwgd? Here’s what I’m thinking right now

    3 years- trout
    2 years- bellinger
    1 year- Rizzo

    Other players: E Rosario, springer, corbin

    Trout is a no brainer. Would you switch Rizzo and or bellinger with any other players and for what length?

    • Ante Galic says:
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      @Crime Dog: Dog!!

      Love ya. You left out at the end of your question….If not, why not?

      Cheers,
      Ante

      • Crime Dog says:
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        @Ante Galic: haha thanks Ante! I’m not concerned about the why with Grey, he knows all just accept it!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, I don’t understand the why…Why what?

          • Crime Dog says:
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            @Grey: I think Ante is saying I’ve asked you to tell me what’d you’d do as far as what people to keep but didn’t specifically ask you why you’d keep those over others?? I said I’m not concerned with why, just want your opinion, grey knows all just trust it haha

            By the way is that a Mark Twain quote? I was unsure where it comes from.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Ah…Gotcha… Wasn’t sure what he meant… Mark Twain had a great quote about Bob Crane!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Crime Dog: That sounds about right… Maybe Springer at 1 year then play Bellinger at 1B, you have corner men?

      • Ante Galic says:
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        @Grey: Grey!!

        You didn’t answer the second part of the question…if not, why not? But then I forgot this isn’t a math treatise site so…you’re good.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I didn’t? I thought I answered both parts, no?

          • Crime Dog says:
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            @Grey: no corner men. A 1B, 3 OF, and 1 Util

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Gotcha… Then Trout/Rizzo/Cody sounds fine

      • Crime Dog says:
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        @Grey: I think knowing our league you’d be on board with Rizzo over springer but sounds like we’re on the same page for the most part regardless. I like Rizzo because this weird league counts strikeouts as a negative and has OPS instead of average. Rizzo has a huge OPS floor and never strikes out. As for positioning I’d have to play Rizzo at first and I believe Cody will be OF and 1B eligible so springers OF elgibility wouldn’t provide much added value.

        As for Cody at 2 years instead of Rizzo. I would just hate to miss a huge breakout with cody even though Rizzo is pretty darn valuable in this league with his low Ks and high OPS

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ah, I see… Rizzo seems to make sense over Springer then…. Cody has more upside, that’s the way to go with him

  15. Big Ticket says:
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    Segura and Peraza are both super intriguing to me. On Rudy’s projections he has Segura at $-2.8 for HR but Peraza only at $-1.0. Any idea why he sees such a big difference here?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Not sure, but my guess is Segura is on downward slope of his career and Peraza is on upward slope

    • i’m seeing segura at 14 HRs and peraza at 11.5 so segura should have the higher HR $ in all formats. maybe you are comparing two different formats for $?

  16. Big Ticket says:
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    Shallow OBP league – keep forever at no cost. Probably not in a place to win this year, but anything is possible in shallow. Flip my Bauer and Votto for his Cole and Ozuna?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      That works for me

  17. Dave Malin says:
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    16 team H2H, 7×7, can keep 7 or just receive picks instead. Dumped players last year for picks, so I am in a good position as far as picks go. Who would you keep of the following:

    Bryce Harper
    Yasiel Puig
    Eloy Jimenez
    Corey Seager
    Brendan Rodgers
    Harrison Bader
    Carlos Rodon
    Justus Sheffield
    Carlos Carrasco
    Trevor Bauer
    Zack Wheeler
    Joey Lucchesi

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Bryce Harper
      Yasiel Puig
      Eloy Jimenez
      Corey Seager
      Harrison Bader
      Carlos Carrasco
      Trevor Bauer

  18. The Great Knoche says:
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    Late round guys I like off this if you have to go deep are JeDong and Arcia

    JeDong had a little bad luck besides the injury, and also increased his hard contact and spray rates. Due for an average correction and I think is a 30 HR guy if healthy.

    I have no good reason on Arcia other than the little power spike in the playoffs. He’s Always been a top prospect and had the tools, but seemingly the confidence of Lastings Milledge. I’m betting he’s got his head on straight and is heading for a 20/20 kind of season.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I agree with most of that, but I will say Lastings Milledge had the confidence of the most interesting man in the world… Did you hear his rap albums? I mean, cmon

  19. Alex says:
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    Hey Grey!

    Hope winter treated you well.

    I have J0-Ram, Stanton, Harper and Vlad and can only keep three. Would it be completely insane for me to keep Vlad and let one of those guys go?

    It probably would, but if I do take the chance…who is worth dropping for the insane gamble.

    Alex

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! You too! Little bit insane to keep Vlad there

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Oh, and I guess Harper or Stanton, depends on where Harper signs

        • Alex says:
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          @Grey: Yeah, I suppose it is. I guess it’s the idea of having “fun” versus being logical haha!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Logic’s for fun-killers!

  20. Peacecoast says:
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    choose one for this year Rizzo or Bryant (hint don’t say Bryant I am kinda tired of owning him esp after last year)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Rizzo!

      • Peacecoast says:
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        @Grey: How did you do in the end last year? You never brag enough. I came third in my home league. sucked.

  21. Autolycus81 says:
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    Hey Grey,

    Thanks for all your work, both for entertainment and good analysis. Razzball has helped me to two straight championships in my long term keeper league.

    The shortstop ranking and your top 20 has me reconsidering my keeper selection. I can keep any 5 and was planning on Treat Urner, Harper, Jose Ramirez, Goldy and Juan Soto.

    However Adalberto Mondesi is also an option from my team last year, as are Rhysus, Corbin, Bauer, Rendon, Buehler and German Marquez. Mondesi over Soto when I already have Trea? Or over someone else?

    TIA

    JD

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nice! No problem! I kinda like Hoskins if you don’t need a SS, but how many teams? Do you have corner and middle infielders?

      • Autolycus81 says:
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        @Grey: 10 teams, only have one additional IF position

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Take followups to my newest post

      • Autolycus81 says:
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        @Grey: And Hoskins over which of the 5? Soto? Harper?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Take followups to my newest post

  22. Dave D says:
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    Having been a “fantasy baseballer” a really long time, I think this is the deepest by far SS has ever been. I never thought Id actually do what you threatened but I drafted SS’s back to back this year already. Go figure!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I can see it too!

  23. Dan says:
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    Grey
    My follow up from yesterday question. Who to keep between s. Marte,robles,or eddie rosario as my 6th keeper ?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Meh, I like Robles the bets for future, Marte or Rosario best for this year? You built for long haul? Win now? Prolly Marte

  24. Jason says:
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    12 team H2H keeper. Would you prefer Chris Sale and the 4th pick/7th round or Walker Buehler and the 11th pick/1st round? I also have the 4th pick/1st round already. Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      How many keepers? In other words, what does a 1st round equate to?

      • Jason says:
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        @Grey: 6 keepers, at least one position player and 1 pitcher. I’m already keeping Bellinger, Baez, Lindor, Hoskins, and Nola. Either Sale or Buehler would be my 6th keeper.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Just keep Sale

  25. HH says:
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    12 team AL only keeper league. I trade Verlander $32(2 yrs) for Whit Merrifield($10 1 yr), Jake Bauers ($1 2yrs), Colin McHugh($10 2 yrs). I already have Carrasco so this move would build depth and save some cash. Thanks again!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sounds decent

  26. Skip Mcguillicudy says:
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    Grey got offered Segura, Luis Robert, a 14th and 17th round pick (12 keepers, so technically 14th =2nd and 17th =5th) for Paxton. My keepers are:
    Freeman
    Correa
    Encarnacion
    Judge
    Hoskins
    Upton
    Pham
    Severino
    Syndergaard
    Buehler
    Flaherty
    Paxton

    Points League 12 teamer 12 keeper. Thanks man

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d take Segura

Comments are closed.