I sure wish Grey would do his 2019 fantasy baseball rankings.  Wait, I am Grey and this is the rankings!  AHHHHH!!!  I need to sit down.  Wait, I am sitting!!!  I can’t handle all of this!!!  I’m going to put on a pair of pants and go dance in the street.  Meh, let’s be honest, pants are a chore.  So, this is the greatest day ever!  Now, only 400,000 words more until I finish my top 500 and I’ll be done.  Worst day ever!  Damn, that excitement was fleeting.  Well, not for you because you don’t have to write all the rankings.  You lucky son of a gun!  I wish I were you… *wavy lines*  Hey, why am I balding and have lost all definition in my buttocks?  *wavy lines*  Hmm, I’m gonna stay me.  Now before we get into the top 10 for 2019 fantasy baseball (though I imagine every single one of you has skipped this intro paragraph), I’m gonna lay down some exposition.  Here’s where you follow us on Twitter.  Here’s where you follow us on Facebook.  Here’s our fantasy baseball player rater.  Here’s our fantasy baseball team name generator.  Here is all of our 2019 fantasy baseball rankings.  Here’s the position eligibility chart for 2019 fantasy baseball.  And here is a picture of my son.  What a punim!  You may not get all of those links in such a handy, easy-to-use format ever again this year, so make proper note.  (Unless you just go to the top menu on this page that says “Rankings” and click it, but semantics, my over-the-internet friend, semantics.)  Also, something we never had before as I dropped my top 10, here’s Steamer’s 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers.  Rudy’s on top of it this year!

Now my expositional half insists I breakdown some generalizations about these 2019 fantasy baseball rankings.  The 2019 fantasy baseball rankings will be an ever-evolving mass like the blob.  This fantasy baseball top 10 for 2019 list is as of right now and could potentially change with a big injury or Mike Trout quitting baseball because he’s bored with being the best and wants to play competitive Mahjong.  (I’m not sure yet where Trout would rank in my Mahjong Top 10.)  So while it is the 2019 fantasy baseball gospel, take it with a tablet of salt.  Tomorrow we will cover the rest of the top twenty for 2019 fantasy baseball, then we will go around the horn with a top 20 (more like 60) list for every position.  Then for pitchers and outfielders, I’ll turn the dial to 100 (more like 140).  Listed with each player are my 2019 projections.  Did I consult with anyone else who does projections?  It would be ignorant not to, but, in the end, these are my projections.  Players need 5 games started at a position to get included in the positional rankings.  If I put someone in a position, that is why.  Well, that is why-ahoo, actually.  Finally, as with each list in the 2019 fantasy baseball rankings, I will be mentioning where I see tiers start and stop.  I look at tiers like this, if Mookie Betts and Francisco Lindor are in the same tier, it doesn’t matter if one guy is ranked 2nd and one guy is ranked 3rd, they’re both very close.  It comes down to personal preference.  I would prefer the guy at number two over the guy at three, but you do you, I’ll do me and let’s hope we don’t go blind.  Anyway, here’s the top 10 for 2019 fantasy baseball:

1. Mike Trout – This tier goes from here until Yelich.  I call this tier, “The best thing since…”  Now you can still say, “Sliced bread.”  But there’s a lot of things that are the best thing.  Let’s list some of the best things in the world.  Pizza pockets!  Single serving packets of mayo!  Divorce!  Prescription drive-throughs!  The mute feature on social media!  A time machine to go back and ‘block’ instead of mute!  Bath salts!  Undoing a belt!  Unemployment checks!  They are all equally great!  This tier of players is right there with all of those things.  For unstints, Mike Trout or an unemployment check?  How are you separating the two?  Mookie Betts or a microwaveable pizza pocket?  Good luck choosing between those two!  Francisco Lindor or a single serving packet of mayo?  Really?  You can tell me one is better than the other?  Get out of here!  As for Mike Trout, yeah, he’s the best best thing.  2019 Projections:  108/37/111/.305/17 in 517 ABs

2. Mookie Betts – “Betts is the best” is the best tongue twister since, “Pissy pissants buy pizza rat Totino’s pizza rolls.”  Hmm, I’m being told that’s not as good a tongue twister.  How about, “Poopy-di scoop, scoop-diddy-whoop, whoop-di-scoop-di-poop, says Kanye by the canyon of Calabasas?”  No?!  Wow, tough audience.  How about, “DJ Khaled doesn’t twist his tongue for cunnilin–”  Okay, I’m told that’s off limits on a family friendly blog.  Fair enough, gentle reader!  Mookie Betts is a top ten hitter until he shows he’s no longer willing or able to steal 25+ bases, because he’s an easy 25-homer hitter.  Something you may not hear elsewhere, but I’m bringing you the straight whoop-di-scoop-di-poop, you are aiming to draft the highest floor hitter in the 1st round.  Do not try to be a hero (excluding the guy dressed as a hero in front of a Subway sandwich shop, he can’t help being a hero).  I know, some of the names that follow don’t seem like ‘floor’ bets, but I’ll go over why they are when we get there.  For now, Betts is the best bet to Betts by the bettors betting at Belmont’s backbeat, the word was on the street–Okay, now I’m just singing Oasis.  2019 Projections:  114/28/91/.317/27 in 581 ABs

3. Christian Yelich – Because Yelich has history in Florida and is now in Wisconsin, I couldn’t but help to think of one thing… *intern whispers in my ear*  No, I’m not going to mention anything about elections, I was thinking of great Florida microbreweries!  Let’s see, there’s Florida Man Brewing Company, TallaHazy IPA, The Mooshine State, It’s Literally Just Meth Ale Co. and Come At Me, Brew.  Well, last year, Yelich was better than any of those.  He was like a great movie brew, as good as, say, RoboHop or Ale Me By Your Name.  Can he repeat this pinnacle of glory?  Pinnaclory, so to speak.  No.  I don’t think he can.  His HR/FB% was silly and his ground balls are still a little high, but not literally.  However, I do think he’s grown into 25-28 homer power (he averaged 407 feet/HR and his exit velocity was elite).  Throw 28 HRs and 20+ steals with a .300 hitter and he’s as good as any sip from The Color of Burple starring Hoprah Winfrey.  2019 Projections:  103/28/111/.306/21 in 589 ABs

4. Ronald Acuña Jr. – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Bregman.  I call this tier, “It’s sweeps week!”  You may have heard of sweeps before.  It’s when TV stations throw out all their stunts to try to get the most ratings ever.  Like Young Sheldon will have a guest appearance by Rod Carew and he’ll talk to him about Passover.  Or the news will have a segment like “Hot new casseroles for 2019” just for the ratings.  This tier has nothing to do with that kind of sweeps.  This is all about high floors that you want to sweeps onto your teams.  Not at all confusing!  As for Tildaddy, the man who one-upped the letter N and put on top of it a stadium wave.  He is née Ron Jeremy Acuña Junior.  RJAJ sounds like a battery which is perfect because he is electric.  If Benjamin Franklin were alive, he’d put a key on his kite string and Acuña would hit it.  RJAJ is barely old enough to drink, but I am old enough to drink his Kool-Aid or milkshake.  Really, any drink he’s offering me.  RJAJ is the human can of Red Bull.  RJAJ gives you wings!  If you were to simply prorate his numbers from last year, he’s a 35/20/.290 guy at 20 years old.  I’m sorry, one time in all caps — WUT.  I can’t even.  I need a pillow and a movie with JCVD to take my mind off RJAJ’s succulence. 2019 Projections:  81/30/107/.282/27 in 548 ABs

5. Trea Turner – I love to pull this shizz out for Trea Turner.  On our Player Rater last year, he was the 11th best hitter.  Is there anymore of a floor floor than that floor?  He wasn’t even good last year, according to some schmohawks.  A 15/40/.270 floor is a top 15 hitter.  No matter how you slice it, and if you order now you can slice it any way you want!  Slice it with Orange Slice!!!  Like Machado, I don’t even believe we’ve yet to see Trea Turner at his best.  I don’t want to butter your biscuits without consent, but if that doesn’t make you horny, you’re dead inside.  Seriously, go to the doctor.  No, don’t drive yourself!  You’re dead!  You’re going to kill other people driving dead!  Turner will have a 20/50/.315 season one of these years and then he’ll be the 2nd guy off the board next year and y’all gonna be crying you wish you had him this year.  Don’t cry to me!  By the way, know how to cut onions without crying?  Try not to get too attached.  2019 Projections:  105/20/71/.292/41 in 603 ABs

6. Javier Baez – This ranking is fascinating.  Not your standard fascinating like why wombats’ poop is in the shape of cubes.  No, this is fascinating to mostly me.  Javier Baez is your classic sexy player that real baseball fans love.  It’s hard to deny anything about him not being sexy.  I heard Jim Belushi changed his name to Jim Baezlushi he was so in love with Baez.  Belushi’s not the only one either.  I don’t think you even have to be a Cubs fan to love Baez.  He is empirically sexy.  I don’t think that’s controversial at all.  Sexy players 99 times out of a 100 are overrated.  Yet, everywhere I look, Baez is underrated.  Check this, bevakasha, Baez just went 34/21/.290, is 26 years old, lowered his strikeouts, stopped swinging at balls, swung more at balls in the zone, made more contact, averaged 404 feet/homer, made top 20 contact and is in a good park and lineup.  Why exactly is he expected to do worse this year?  Not to answer but to ruminate.  2019 Projections:  102/35/109/.281/18 in 590 ABs

7. Alex Bregman – Okay, cupcake, here’s the deal.  I originally had Bregman in the top 20 (not far into it, like around 12th overall), but as I dug into his numbers, I started to like what he was doing more than guys I have after him.  Yes, a 24-year-old Bregman coming off a career year is better than Arenado.  Get over yourself for not believing me.  By the way, if I sound like an ageist, it’s because I am.  When playing fantasy baseball, you should be too.  It’s long been documented, guys who are in the ages 23 thru 28 are just better than guys who are 29+.  That’s for the most part; no one wants to hear your examples that proves this wrong.  Okay, back into the Bregman part of the program — Bregram?  The HR/FB% was 14% with a 17 degree launch angle and a 43.4% fly ball rate.  Let me give you some comparisons:  Edwin Encarnacion, Betts, Trevor Story…Seeing a pattern?  This is not everything, but I see home run hitters, and most have a way higher HR/FB%.  His average home run distance (384) scares me.  Is he more of a 12% HR/FB% guy and he will hit 24 or fewer homers and see his average collapse because he’s going to hit many more fly ball outs?  P to the erhaps, but I see more a guy who could have a 18% HR/FB, which would give him, hold onto your hat, 40 homers.  In today’s emerging fly ball economy (totally making up shizz now), do you see a guy coming of age getting an extra ten feet on his power or a guy losing ten feet?  The earth is moving too fast, and we didn’t change global warming to climate change for us to see a hitter in his prime lose power.  *one audience member rises, clapping, then, slowly, the entire audience pours out of their seats, it’s a moment Grey wasn’t expected, and he seems genuinely touched* Wow, didn’t expect a standing ovation, thanks, thanks so much.  Also, I heard David Caruso whipped off his sunglasses and found a loose body in Bregman’s elbow, but it sounds like it won’t affect him his season.  If we get to mid-March and it’s a issue, I could move him.  2019 Projections:  101/33/107/.288/12 in 589 ABs

8. Nolan Arenado – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until the top 20 for 2019 fantasy baseball.  I call this tier, “Hedging is not a tantric move for fantasy.”  This tier is going to be full of hedge bets.  You’re going to hear a lot from me, “I will draft this guy, in theory, but he will be off the board before I have a chance to draft him, or I will just be drafting someone else before him.”  For unstints, it is slim to anorexic that I will be looking at a draft board where someone drafts Baez before Arenado, so I will have the chance to just draft Baez and skip Arenado.  Why is Baez being ranked below Arenado by everyone?  I don’t know. *slowly looks up for Nickelodeon slime*  Listen, I’m bummed to be out on Arenado this year too.  Every time he homers during the season, I will still gather my best Torenado bits and lay them forth by an open window.  How can I justify drafting 35 HRs with no steals from a guy who struggled with an injured shoulder in the 2nd half of last year over Baez’s 35 homers while chipping in steals?  When I break it down like that it really makes no sense, right?  Are you that sure Arenado will knock in 125+ RBIs?  Is his shoulder all peachy?  I have no qualms about Baez — no qualmaez?  I will draft Arenado if he falls to me (you hedging, bastard!), but he won’t.  By the by, what is Nickelodeon slime?  Creme de Menthe and Greek yogurt?  The pleasure sauce of Slimer, the ghost?  2019 Projections: 97/35/112/.284/2 in 595 ABs

9. Manny Machado – As I said when Machado signed–Kidding!  Of course!  Because the MLB offseason has been awful for signings.  Not to bum people out like a pre-baseball career Evan Gattis, but the MLB really feels like it’s headed for a work stoppage with how teams don’t want to pay anyone.  Machado and Bryce have maybe three teams to choose from.  Either way, when Machado does sign, he is essentially who he is.  I might change his runs and RBIs projections a little depending on team lineup, but if I were drafting today, I’d draft him here.  When he does sign, here’s what I will say, “Here’s the thing with Machado and it’s a big, long, never-flaccid thing.  He hits 30 HRs, steals on average 12 bags and is a career .282 hitter, and he’s only 26 years old!  I get it, he’s not likable.  Heard loud and/or clear all postseason.  Don’t call him Johnny Hustle.  That’s fine.  Here’s some things you can call him:  Paulie Has Played 155 Games Every Year, Jimmy Has A Career .282 Average, Billy Hits 35 Homers Every Year, Bobby Steals Around 12 Bases A Year and Bobby Can Steal 20 Bags With An Aggressive Manager, Tommy Knocks In Runs If His Lineup Helps Him, Yitz Got No Quitz and, all of those people would be Manny “Not A Nanny, But Could Be If It Involves No Hustling” Machado.  I hear ya, he steps on 1st baseman’s ankles.  Call him Cheapshot Manny.  I don’t care, but you cannot say he’s not an elite floor player.  At worst, you’re going to get 30/7/.285 — at best…Well, I’m not even sure we’ve seen yet his best, and he’s had some incredible years.”  And that’s present me quoting future me!  UPDATE:  Signed with the Padres, and Machado will be in the cozy position of hitting between Ian Kinsler and Eric Hosmer.  Does he just prefer to hit in garbage lineups?  Was Balty-more (how I say it) not bad enough for him?  What an absolute shizzshow this 1st round has become.  I’ve moved Machado down to another tier as the 2nd tier in this top 10 becomes increasingly barren.  “Acuña or Trea Turner or die,” as my bumper sticker I’m manufacturing says.  Petco isn’t the ‘terrible’ park everyone has made it out to be in past years, i.e. Petco isn’t for the birds and is not a dog of a park or–Fill in your own damn animal pun!  It’s still makes me shudder hard at thinking of hitting in front of Hosmer, but, as previously mentioned on the aforementioned tip, hitting in the Orioles’ lineup wasn’t amazing either and Machado did fine for many years.  I did lower his projections, and I’m now way more tentative on him.  2019 Projections:  96/34/105/.281/12 in 602 ABs

10. Francisco Lindor – There’s one guy conspicuously missing from my top ten.  Can you guess who it is?  Hint:  It’s Lindor’s teammate.  No, not Tyler Naquin, bruh.  I’ll get to the one missing little Indian.  Lindor, however, I believe in Believeland.  Last year, he hit 38 homers and stole 25 bases, and he just turned 25 years old in November.  His HR/FB% was 17.3%, which is not nearly ridiculous, but even if it comes down to his career norm of 14% and he hits 40% fly balls, he would still hit 31 homers next year.  If you throw in his Hard Contact went up, his average feet per homer is totally fine, and his line drive rate is solid.  Like a Chinese man would tell a duck, he is peaking.  UPDATE:  Lindor is out seven to nine weeks with a calf strain, as of February 8th.  Let’s see the season starts on March 20th, but that’s only for two teams, then the real season starts two weeks after that, then Lindor’s injury is seven to nine weeks from Feb. 8th and if the train is going 175 MPH from Akron to Cleveland that takes us to Lindor returning on… Where’s my calendar?!  I subtracted 80 at-bats from his stat line, and a calf strain is worrisome with steals, at least in the early part of the season (not the March 20th part of the season).  2019 Projections:  89/28/91/.282/18 in 525 ABs

176 Comments
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Scott Smith
Scott Smith
3 years ago

I wouldn’t touch Machado with a 10-foot Pole (person from Poland). He’s a head case and it’ll be even worse once he gets his big contract and is trying to jack one on every pitch. Remember Kevin Brown in a NYY uniform or Crawford in Boston–that’s what coming from Machado this coming season. He doesn’t finish the season in the top 25 in 5×5 league and not in the top 40 in leagues that count OPS. I’d way rather draft Correa or Bryant or Altuve or Bregman.

thomas housel
thomas housel
3 years ago

hey grey…good stuff…when i review your projections…do you include walks as a part of AB’s?

Holmes
Holmes
3 years ago

Hey Grey,

In a keeper league with 3 keepers and I already have Judge in the 11th round and T-Turner in the 8th round. I have the choice of either Blake Snell in the 9th round or Juan Soto as a keeper in the 12th round. I’m tempted to take Soto for later round, but wondering if it makes more sense to lean on having an ace like Snell already in my pocket. What are your thoughts . . Do I keep Snell or Soto .. feel like If I was to keep Soto id be stacked at offense but maybe should play it safe. You’re the man, thank you!!

Dante683
Dante683
3 years ago

Smells like spring training Grey!

11 team keeper – keep any 8 for as long as u want, draft starts Rd 9.

8×8 roto – extra cats: BB, H, total bases, QS, Innings, L and use k/9 not k’s.

HR, RBI, SB, AVE, W, QS, ERA,SV = double points.

Roster: C, 1B (2), 2B, SS, MI, 3B (2), OF (4), UTIL (2), SP (6), RP (2)

Who are your 8:

Yelich
Machado
Vlad Jr
Marte
Springer
Mondesi
Andujar
Carpenter
Robles
Encarnacion
Bumgarner
German Marquez
Berrios

Thanks and can’t wait for the rest of the rankings!

thatguy
thatguy
3 years ago

WTH where’s Deshields

Matt
Matt
3 years ago

Grey are these rankings based off of 5×5 standard scoring? Reason being is if obp is included wouldn’t Baez move down a few slots? Arenado would move up. :)

Cheese
Cheese
3 years ago

Most surprising thing to me after following your rankings over the years – no first basemen!

Will you still be targeting one with your first 2 picks as you usually do, or has your strategy/approach changed?

Also, when doing your favourite baseball team post by drafting through your rankings, I think you should start at pick 6 or 7 this year as opposed to 1. This will eliminate the back to back picks on the turn and give us a good idea who your true targets are!

Thanks again for everything!

LastJediSucked
LastJediSucked
3 years ago

“Grey, I want a divorce!”

I’m pretty sure that’s the title of the blog I’m going to have to start if Tuesday’s offerings are anything at all like the top 10. Grey, you’ve been the edge I’ve had in amassing an obscene amount of hardware in my fantasy leagues for the last few years. I have appreciated your humor, which has made Razzball a blast to read, as well as your keen insight especially when it is contrarian. I looked the other way as you expressed your unnatural affection for a certain former Marlin/current Yankee. I didn’t turn you in when you (allegedly) put a sweater on Ted, and I did not join the boycott instigated by a former Oakland A after a Hindenburg-like interview.

But you’ve gone too far.

Javy, can I call him Javy? Javy seems to be the latest object of your affection. Let’s take Javy’s stats back to Sesame Street. One of these things doesn’t belong:

Batting Average
2016 – .273
2017 – .276
2018 – .292

This, for a guy with a BB/K of around 0.17, which also happens to be almost exactly his 3-year average. Now you’ve made it clear that you like hot young things, and that you’re a belieber, but Grey,

You got some s’plaining to do!

LastJediSucked
LastJediSucked
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Giancarlo eventually hit 59 bombs….I can be very forgiving with that kind of performance. As for Javy, it boils down to the fact that if I had to defend him as a first or second round round pick, none of the metrics (which are basically my security blanket) would help me do that. I’d basically have to say “OK fine, I admit it! It looks like a magic trick….but I think he can do it again!”

Looking forward to tomorrow’s top 20, when you post a live stream of yourself donning asbestos undies in preparation for the flame-fest over Jo-Ram.

royce!
royce!
3 years ago

Those beer names are pure genius. I’m gonna try to get a buddy who co-owns a brewery in San Diego to make at least The Color Burple.

royce!
royce!
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Nearly everything Nicole posts on instagram looks amazing. I have to be in town in March for work. Maybe we can grab something then

The Talented Mr. Dope Man
The Talented Mr. Dope Man
3 years ago

YEEEEEEEESSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!

Grey for President!

Bregman for Vice President!!

Machado to the White Sox!!! (fingers crossed)

(That is all)

Eric Smith
Eric Smith
3 years ago

Grey, I’m in a keeper league. I can keep any six players off last season’s roster. A player can be kept perpetually; there are no time limits for keepers and no salary or draft implications. Any six players, period. The guy who has Betts is offering me Betts for Acuna. What do you think?

Muchas.

Synyster
Synyster
3 years ago

Glad to be back! Funny looking back and seeing how much the top 10 change throughout the years with the constant being Trout. Looking forward to the rest of the list and picking your brain throughout 2019!

Mr Crab
Mr Crab
3 years ago

2019 season is on !! Thanks Gray for a belated Second Christmas gift (the first one was the 3rd title in my league!).
Good start with 2 keepers in the top 10. Interesting Báez ranking and fully agree with Acuña’s expected numbers and future
Looking forward to see the SP rankings to decide if I ditch Thor or Seve as keeper!

Squat Cobblers
Squat Cobblers
3 years ago

Great stuff O-T-I (uti?) friend!

Small sample size (she probably said as much!) but here are my 3 12-team, draft-&-hold results:

Pick 10 -Acuna, Baez (Bregman lasted until pick 17)

Pick 5-Lindor, Stanton (Baez-pick 16…I just pick Machado coming back to me, pick 19)

Pick 1- Trout, Rizzo (Baez lasted until pick 19! Machado 20!!)

I’m thinking maybe my Kentucky Derby-style draft order preference should be…1,2,3, 8, 9, 10, 11,12…

Of the above, which pair do you prefer? What would be your ideal draft order pref?

Thanks Grey!!

Squat Cobblers
Squat Cobblers
Reply to  Squat Cobblers
3 years ago

@Squat Cobblers: *should read* just MISSED Machado coming back to me

Squat Cobblers
Squat Cobblers
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Yessir. These are NFBC, $50, 12-team, 50-round, no waivers. People are snoozing on Machado and to a lesser degree Baez.

Hope these values hold up!

Squat Cobblers
Squat Cobblers
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: ADP (from Dec 18 until today) for NFBC 15-team drafts currently has…

12-Bregman
13-Baez
14-Harper
15-Altuve
16-Machado

Squat Cobblers
Squat Cobblers
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Exactly. Who cares about a bad postseason. My leagues do not count postseason stats yo!

John
John
3 years ago

Grey,
Thanks for this….just a taste but i’m already salivating. Who would you rather have in Dynasty pts Ottoneau Harper or Judge

Crime Dog
Crime Dog
3 years ago

This gets me pumped! Baez, acuna and Jo ram are very different from other perts but I’m on board in standard format! I’m most worried about Baez finishing that high again. He strikes me as the kind of guy that could be prone to prolonged slumps if he gets in a rut but I think he’s got a solid floor like you say.

Crime Dog
Crime Dog
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: I think you’re right about his prime! If I had to guess on Jo Ram I’d say it’s because his statcast metrics are pretty much hot garbage. Yes he has elite plate disclipline but unless you’re in a format that heavily favors OBP and low strikeouts then he could be pretty average in standard cats. Can’t wait to hear your thoughts tomorrow.

Bbboston
Bbboston
3 years ago

Grey:

Al only 5×5 roto auction league with 8 keepers-

Who’d you rather trienan $15 or Heaney $5

Charlie
Charlie
3 years ago

Happy new year, Grey!!! The 2019 season is almost upon us and now that you’ve dropped your first set of rankings we’re officially back!!! Thank you so much for all that you do!!!

6×5, including ops, keep 7 forever and each player kept is associated with the round they were drafted in. 3 OF, C, 1b, 2B, SS, 3B, 2 Util, 2 SP, 2 RP, 4 P, 6 BN.

My keepers are as followed with the round they’re being kept in in parenthesis.

Unfortunately, I also have Bregman and he’s a second round player so I can’t keep him since I’ll be keping Yelich.

I had a trade idea and wanted to run it by you before I offer it. My Bregman (2), who I can’t keep, and my Judge (24) for their Acuna (24). On the surface I’d be getting killed in this trade, but I can’t keep Bregman, and he won’t be around for me to draft by the time I make my first selection, which is in the third round. I’m curious to see where Judge falls in your rankings, but we already know that Acuna will be ranked ahead of him. So if you were me would you trade Judge (24) and Bregman (2 – and who I can’t keep) for Acuna (24)? Thanks!

Trout (1)
Yelich (2)
Scherzer (4)
Goldschmidt (5)
Albies (11)
Arenado (13)
Judge (24)

Charlie
Charlie
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

That’s what I was hoping you’d say bc I really want Acuna but with the talent I’d have to send the other way in a Judge and Bregman it’s a huge over pay. But I can’t keep Bregman so he seemed like a disposable throw in. Wanted your blessing before I pursue the trade. Thanks!

CHRISTOPHER WAGNER
CHRISTOPHER WAGNER
3 years ago

Love your insight. What date do you project the Top 500 will come out?

Will
Will
3 years ago

If you assume Harper gets signed by Philly does that make him Top 20?

IV
IV
3 years ago

Excited for rankings month!

Just a note on Bregman: that 384 average home run distance might not be as bad as you think since right field in Houston is so shallow and he pulls the majority of his homers.

Dynasty only leagues
Dynasty only leagues
3 years ago

Grey

Would you trade Sano for J Gray in a OBP dynasty league. The flash has worn off of Sano and nobody is offering anything of value for him. Is this a sell low or just sell to get out from under him time?

Fungazi 2.0
Fungazi 2.0
3 years ago

No Giancarlo? You are cruisin for a bruisin

Fungazi 2.0
Fungazi 2.0
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: ‘He’ referring to Grey?

MBaer
MBaer
3 years ago

I traded Yelich and some scrub named DeGrom in a five player keeper league for a first round pick, which I then used on Byron Buxton. Seeing Yelich at #4 doesn’t make me want to vomit at all.

Geoff
3 years ago

You don’t know how to drive a spaceship, you don’t know how to fly a car!

Geoff
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: You don’t know what the daily letter is?
It’s sewed on your cardigan sweater kid
We’re like a bunch of odor eaters
A bunch of overachievers
A bunch of old cheaters
A bunch of old n****s with some old penis
You got a cup with your name on it
You got a ecko shirt with a shit stain on it
You put a five on it, put a pain on it
We bopped the dick and put your d-d-d-d-dame on it

Schmohawks Bob
Schmohawks Bob
3 years ago

Today is the best day of the year. Baseball is officially back. Thanks Grey!

Why do you project so few AB’s for Mike Trout? Aren’t previous injuries a fluke rather than chronic?

Big Ticket
Big Ticket
3 years ago

Interesting question for your ageist idea … In OBP would you want Votto and pick 104 or Voit? Upside is there for Voit, but playing time concerns me and Votto seems capable of a bounce back, not to mention his obp value.

Big Ticket
Big Ticket
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: And last year’s decreases don’t concern you? If he can only slug .419, people will stop pitching around him and then the obp will plummet as well. Dude turns 36 this year …

Bitter Beerface
Bitter Beerface
3 years ago

Grey, o wise and savory Sage! You have read my mind! Acuña at 5? Brilliant!

This is what makes Grey the best of the self-proclaimed bunch of fantasy baseballer ‘perts! His rankings are progressive and soothsaying! Sure, it’s easy to take a 3-year rolling average and print out a Trout-Goldy-Altuve-Arenado-Betts top 5. And those are safe picks generally. Safe doesn’t win your fantasy baseball leagues.

I have some quibbles (Machado, Bregman over JoRam, Goldy and Yelich above Acuña) but I’d probably lose those arguments. I do think Goldy explodes in that StL lineup and maybe he’s #12 after JoRam in your ranks. I wonder if the speed returns, 7 swipes was quite the drop for him from 18, 32, 21 the previous seasons. But I love his game, his consistency at the plate and his preparation. Would I take Machado over Goldy??? Yikes, nailbiter.

As for JoRam, you got some ‘splaining to do! Coming off a friggin’ 39-34 season (surprisingly low 0.270 BA, probably just kept swinging for the 40-homer mark I guess), dude is one of the hottest young players in the game and only 26 (latino 26)! Am I really taking Treat Urner over the spry cement mixer? Gahhhhhhhh, no more nails on this hand, on to the lefty.

And I think Altuve bounces back from knee surgery. That was his first season NOT stealing at least 30 bases! And he still hit at a 0.316 clip. Would I take Bregman over Altuve? Yikes, nailbi…. I’m all out of fingernails.

Good stuff, thanks for doing the hard work for us, Grey!

Steve-O
Steve-O
3 years ago

Hey Grey, love your column and excited to see 3 of my keepers in your top 10. Question is who to make my fourth keeper in 10 team H2H mixed league between Cole, Hader, Buehler and Albies?

Bregman – Round 4 (keep)
Gerrit Cole – Round 8
Acuna – Round 9 (keep)
Baez – Round 11 (keep)
Josh Hader – Round 20
Albies – Round 21
Walker Buehler – Round 21

CMUTIMMAH
CMUTIMMAH
Reply to  Steve-O
3 years ago

@Steve-O: Albies. Cole in the 8th is kind of a value but kind of a wash, you’ll probably still be able to get a decent pick there. Buehler at 21 is interesting, but I think Albies gives you a stats at a position harder to find than Buehler.

You have drafted well, however.

Steve-O
Steve-O
Reply to  CMUTIMMAH
3 years ago

@CMUTIMMAH: Thanks CMUTIMMAH! I am leaning Albies, but I can use Baez at 2b and Bregman at SS. So, I thought Buehler might make more sense. I don’t think I can go wrong with either one and I guess it just depends on who I think I can get with a later pick and whether I should even want Albies this year. I’m concerned about how far he fell off in the second half last year.

Steve Kooker
Steve Kooker
3 years ago

Points Auction Keeper League.
Can keep 7 players.
Who to keep?
Correa $7
Acuna $10
Eloy Jimenez $1
Soto $10
Muncy $10
Royce Lewis $10
Buehler $6
Flaherty $6
Jon Gray $1
Morton $18
Porcello $15
Hader $7
C Martinez $6

Scott
Scott
3 years ago

Would you rather keep albies with an 11th rd pick cost or haniger 18th rd? Obp, tb, r, sb, hr, rbi? This league starts 5 OF and and a mi as well. Thanks

Jr
Jr
3 years ago

Rankings! This is like Christmas morning for us fantasy baseballers. I’ve got Trout, Acuna and Bregman in a keep 5 league, so I’m loving the top 10!

As for Baez, I like him in standard 5×5 leagues, but what do you think about him in a league that replaces avg with obp and has walks as a counting stat?

Thanks!

Nick
Nick
3 years ago

Hi Grey ,
welcome back for a beautiful and long RankingS marathon…

Dynasty team
i’m set for my starters batters
so i’ll try to make it simple
C: (i know there’s no C) Alfaro or Mejia ?

Bench utilities:
Pete Alonso as 1B backup for Abreu
Andujar as 3B backup for Rendon
Tim Anderson as SS backup for Lindor
Expendables :
Adames as 2B backup for Villar –> for a pitcher or ODOR !!? also Hampson avb
Renfroe OF –> for a pitcher

So here comes the deal :
PICHTING STAFF :
Starters : Mikolas- Hamels- Glasnow
Reliever : Giles

now i have to pick 5 or 6 SPs and 1 or 2 RPs: between ALL of those
Tier 1 : D.Rodriguez – Matz – Chacin – Minor – Lucchesi
Tier 2 : Bundy – J.James – Kikuchi- Toussaint – T.Williams
Tier 3 : Honeywell – Cease – J.Urias- Junis – F.Peralta

Sagnof1 : AJMinter- Robertson – Givens
Sagnof2 : S.Greene – Buttrey – May – Jeffress

please help …
early SP rankings on different websites and your projectonator flip-flop them between 50th and 100th !!

Nick
Nick
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

for the bench, because i’ll need to drop Renfroe and/or Adames to upgrade my pitching staff

tiers were just to try to pre-rank them … depending on average ALL-site rankings and the ones already in my team

so my pitchers would be
SP1/2 : Mikolas / Hamels
RP1/2 : Giles / Robertson
P3/4/5/6 ; Glasnow / Lucchesi / James / Touki
Bench T.Williams /Honeywell

looks good & young ,,,!! 2020 contender team :)

Nick
Nick
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

my team was plagued by injuries last season : especially Salazar, Cueto, Honeywell, Keynan…

i tried to make a little pre-rank , not tiers ^^

i’d agree on Lucchesi, James , Touki
isn’t Kikuchi a japanese kinder surprise?
So, last year’ s Chacin was a fluke?
Why T. Williams over the rest? because Pittsburgh? over Matz for example

i have no (more) love for Bundy
i’d like some AJ minter for the future…

ERad
ERad
3 years ago

Sookie Sookie now

Bobby Bailor
3 years ago

Seeing the top 10 is like Christmas morning !
I need to choose my keeper in a 16 team H2H:
Mookie (round #1) or Lindor (round #2)…
Your pick ?

Whopperking
Whopperking
3 years ago

Not sure about that Acuna ranking. Common to see second-year players take a step back/need to make adjustments a la Bellinger (I know, not a perfect comp). But I’m not sure he’s as safe as this ranking suggestsfggggg. Sorry that last part was my toddler sitting on my phone.

bigbear
bigbear
3 years ago

Happy Razzalation Day! To celebrate one of the high holy days of fantasy baseballers (Grey’s mom’s term), I’m going to start work late, take a long lunch break, and take a few hours in the afternoon as I go through the meditation and cleansing requirements of Draft Day and fawn with appreciation for the FML Grey!

Can we keep playing the ‘best thing’ game? Rip-off Yeti coffee mugs!

Javier Baez is one of my favorite all around players to watch. In the field, he reminds me of a more versatile Roberto Alomar. At bat, he’s got a Vlad/Griffey excitement. And on the base path, he’s got the instinct of a Jeter with the speed of Rickey. And I’m honestly shocked to see him ranked this high. In a OBP league, I’d drop him a few spots. And that leads to a bit more risk. But I don’t doubt his HR/SB/AVG and subjective R/RBI.

I’ll be waiting on the Jo-Ram and Story story too. Jo-Ram’s OBP provides a solid floor for his approach at the plate. He seems to be a 25+/15+ lock as well. Story a bit more risky, but his power floor in 30+.

“Please make it so that I can draft Acuna/Trea/Baez/Vlad on the same team… May my league mates take Kershaw in the first round. And may the closer run start early in the draft. Amen.”

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
3 years ago

It’s finally here. Woohoo!

Now I’m fine with JoRam ommision, but I can’t see putting Arenado behind guys like Baez, Acuna, Bregman.

His floor the last four years has been .294 37 HR, 110 RBIs. Yes there’s no steals, but even with his rough 2nd half (Likely shoulder related like you mentioned – But hey let’s take that into account even though we’ve been told it’s completely healed – I mean you’re trusting that Bregman’s elbow is fine and he hasn’t even started recovery yet.) He still drove in 110. Healthy he’s .300 35HR 130 RBIs

Baez still swings at over 40% of pitches out of zone, and has a swinging strike % almost double that of Arenado. Acuna, I can see, but I’m old I’d rather have the surest thing and that’s Arenado.

Welcome back Baseball!

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: I see your points, and I’ve never finished ahead of you head to head so take it for what it’s worth. I’m just not sold on Acuna, Bregman or Baez putting up the 30/20. It certainly could happen for any of them and likely will for one or two, but people said that about George Springer for 4 straight years too.

I’m just saying I want to know what i’m getting in round 1 and I know what I’m getting in Arenado. I’m not concerned about the shoulder. Bregman will be limited into spring training. Don’t expect him to just pick up and start rolling right away.

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Website running slow today. There must be thousands upon thousands of people coming to see the rankings and going – “Why is Arenado so low in the rankings”

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: It’s froze up a couple times. Only while typing in the comment form

J-Hova
J-Hova
3 years ago

Did not expect this today! Awesome! Didn’t expect to see Lindor and Baez that much higher than JRam!

Always curious, what have you been listening to this Winter? Really slow for rap but loving; Rob Sonic – Defriender & Homeboy Sandman & Edans new album. Let me know if i’m missing anything else. Thanks Grey, this made my snowy Monday.

Cram It
Cram It
3 years ago

It really is hard to NOT be an ageist. The comfort of a guy like Arenado seems more rational than a second year player, say Acuna. Of course you take the surefire 35/100+/.300! Taking Acuna, or Yelich (fraudist), over Nolan will be really hard for me to pull the trigger on. And I’m not an old guy!

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
Reply to  Cram It
3 years ago

@Cram It: Haha, guess I should have read comments, I just posted a similar sentiment below.

I think I’d have him number 4 behind Trout, Betts, Lindor.

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  The Great Knoche
3 years ago

@The Great Knoche: I agree with you, not sold on Baez that high. He still swings at everything (like you said) and strikes out too much for having such a low OBP.

On the flip side, I’m very much in on Bregman.

Geoff
Reply to  Cram It
3 years ago

@Cram It: The lack of Jose Ramirez was my biggest beef.

I’m in on Bregman too. Not so much in on Arenado at 4 (but 7-10 sure). I think the bigger statement is power + speed skill sets are the most valuable early. I tend to agree.

Plus if you’re looking for safe you don’t date Grey. You date Tristan Cockcroft and eat at the Olive garden every Saturday.

J-Hova
J-Hova
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

Come on guys, Olive Garden is right up there with Chipotle on the E-Coli scare hierarchy.

I’d love to argue with J-Ram & Arenado over some of these guys but i also trusted Grey two years ago and took Goldy over Betts against my gut because Grey had him a spot or two higher and won my league because of it.

J-Hova
J-Hova
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

hahah, never heard of Which Wich before now but looks delicious. Being where you are, i fully expected a Jack in the Box reference

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
Reply to  Geoff
3 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz: Lol. I go there on Sundays, and somedays I moonlight with Karabell. I’d still want Arenado at 4.

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Geoff
3 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz: I wouldn’t take Arenado at 4.

I hear ya on the power speed combo. But I prefer my first rounders to be safe picks. I think Bregman is safer than Acuna/Baez. As is Jo-Ram.

Geoff
Reply to  Cram It
3 years ago

@Cram It: I’m not touching baez

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: I hear ya. I haven’t paid much attention to injury concerns with him, or others for that matter. I’m still hibernating.

Big League Wood
Big League Wood
3 years ago

forget Osuna. ACCCCCCUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

JW
JW
3 years ago

I’ll see your Acuna ranking, and raise you a Soto

Nathan
Nathan
3 years ago

Damn where is JoRam?? I’ve seen him as high as three in quite a few mocks!

Fanciful Basesball
Fanciful Basesball
3 years ago

I’m still a little sad that I kept Turner & Judge, associates at ball, and let Machado fall off my keepers, but this makes me feel a little better about it. Everyone else seems to think that treat isn’t an earner!

Grey’s is a soothing ointment for one’s itchy, flaky, dry, rashy, raised, weeping, or necrotic elbow-flesh.

Ian
Ian
3 years ago

Missed you January Grey…what’s it been? A year?

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
3 years ago

Grey!!!!

Fantastic top 10, more than justified the wait since the season ended!!!

a. Yes, Turner and Lindor up the middle. Love ’em all except Machado and I think Torenado is due for an injury. Who knows?

b. Can’t wait for the top 20 and by extension the top 400. Am pacing myself.

c. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote for January 14

Yoko Ono donated some John Lennon memorabilia to the Rock N Roll hall of fame this week. The items include his Sargent Pepper uniform, an electric guitar he used at Shea Stadium, and the original hand-written lyrics to several songs that she ruined!

Cheers,
Ante

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Grey!!!

a. I know. I read your stuff so quickly and put it all to memory it’s incredible!! It’s too bad that I didn’t study to get a phD in Baseball with you as my professor! That would be a 4.0 GPA (4.3 in Canada, no jokes).

b. More postings have been posted that I will be applying for. Some of the great locations are as follows.

1. Yambio, Wau (I know, WOW, right?), Jam-Jang (although I prefer his sister city Jan-Jang) and Yida (raycess South Sudanese to put all the Yids there. Have to go and check it out.) in South Sudan.
2. Moyo, Uganda (not feeling it but might apply for the hell of it)
3. El Fula, Sudan (A place called El Fula? I pity da fool, probably me)
4. Qamishli and Aleppo in Syria
5. Kirkuk and Basra, Iraq (On the plus side, the temperature in Basra is only 130F in April!)

Cheers,
Ante

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Grey!!

Serbia? Serbia is great. My wife was there about 2 months ago. Had a great time. It’s relatively cheap, the people are really friendly (like they’ll take the time to show you which bus route or the taxi guy is genuinely concerned about you etc.), there is a great party atmosphere. Like Athens 2.0 but cheaper. Longer term, I guess it’s expensive to rent a place if you want to live there. The weather is not fantastic due to its in-land location and it’s far from the sea so cool and cold in the winter and hot and muggy in the summer. But not bad place over all. Oligarchs are all over, but that doesn’t affect most of us.

Why do you ask?

Cheers,
Ante

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Grey!!

Sorry for asking, it was none of my business. Beograd (or Belgrade in English) is the capital. It’s where my wife spent her time. Her best friend’s son is studying film at an American university in Belgrade, so there’s that. Her son invited some friends over from Slovenia to hang out with him. He spent his entire monthly budget in 1 weekend so it can be done! He had to survive on bread and butter for the rest of the month.

Cheers,
Ante

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Grey!!

It’s a shoestring budget but you can survive on 200$ in Belgrade. He has room and board and tuition taken care of so the 200$ is for food. It can be done.

Cheers,
Ante

LenFuego
LenFuego
3 years ago

Wow, can’t wait to read why JoRam has been banished to the top 20 (or worse?!).

Member Berries
Member Berries
3 years ago

Thank you Fantasy Master Lothario!

Arenado at 10 was the biggest surprise but looks right considering the lack of SB and the others on the list.

Only guy I wouldn’t draft in the top 20 is Machado – he had some terrible at bats in the post season but I’m a just a bitter hater (I thought he’d be better)

I think Yelich hits closer to 35hrs as he finally hit puberty.

Biggest omission in top 10 = Evan Gattis. You’re really sleeping on him.

I hope there isn’t a strike but the pay structure is just wild. Just comparing your top ten salaries is absurd – 500k for Acuña, Bregman, Baez, Turner to $30+ mil for Trout/Machado
Can’t hate Pujols for getting his but teams aren’t making those deals anymore. Why pay? Just ageism alone

Can’t wait for the next batch – lot of interesting names there

PS – loved the pic of your son but I’m surprised he didn’t have a glorious stache

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

Gattis is still available in round 39 of my DC. I just chose Lonnie Chisenhall (the Chisen One) over him, which means he’s likely only top 50 this year in ESPN.

PS- Glad to see you come around on Bregman!

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

Well, I’ve almost met my goals of a dozen OFs and 15 SP’s:

OF
Pham
Upton
Renfroe
Eaton
I. Happ
D. Santana
Odubel
Calhoun
Brinson
M.Taylor
Chisenhall

SP
Berrios
Hendricks
Lucchesi
Newcomb
Rey Lopez
F. Peralta
Fulmer
J. Barria
L. Giolito
Mengden
Reid-Foley
J. Faria
Straily
Borucki

Ten more rounds to go!!!

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

Well, if Eaton is healthy he scores runs and has high average while being decent on SBs. I’m ok with 80 games from him and balancing that out with Renfroe/Chisenhall when he is injured.

I told you my strategy of playing matchups on SP. I will either start 6 or 7 a week and choose the best options (hello, Streamonator?) Those two start weeks can be great. Getting deeper offense stats has been a bigger challenge for me than pitching which usually works out.

Btw- some dude has drafted SEVEN catchers so far!

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

My main strategy will be to avoid starting anybody on the road @BOS and NYY, lol. Seriously take Borucki and look at his numbers without those three obvious benchings. A wise managers can get a lot from marginals.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:
If you look inside the numbers a bit some guys look mediocre on the surface but are very useful if used wisely. For example, if you take away Boricki’s starts @BOS, @NYY his numbers are very good. Same goes for several other guys. Stay away from those two places and other obvious ones like @COL or @MLW and ratios are totally digestible. Its easier to play pitching match ups in NFBC than hitting.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

Ok, then, I’ll be rubbing elbows with you on the leaderboard hopefully. DC has been a challenge for me, only one win in 6 or 7 tries, but I have put a lot of effort into the last couple drafts so hopefully I win with one. Same strategy with mostly different players deliberately.

LenFuego
LenFuego
Reply to  Member Berries
3 years ago
bravesfanintheuk
bravesfanintheuk
3 years ago

You are a legend! Thank you.

Feels a long time since a Brave has made your top 10, i’m excited for real baseball too….

LenFuego
LenFuego
3 years ago

Wow, can’t wait to read why JoRam has been banished to the top 20 (or worse?).