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Nolan Arenado
Projections & Stats

Player Information

TeamSTL ESPN3B Age32
BatsR Yahoo3B RCL R%85
$/GS (RHP) $/GS (LHP)
Grey Albright's 2023 Player Summary
So, last year, I goofed up on Arenado in an all-timer goof-up. I called him a preseason schmohawk and he bounced back in a pretty dramatic way. He dropped his strikeouts, upped his line drives, still was crazy high on fly balls and his BABIP bounced ... (click to read the rest)
9/22/23 - Out (Back) Arenado is dealing with back spasms and has been placed on the 10-day injured list. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2023 season.
Jump to: Next 7 Games | Season Stats | Monthly Stats | Game Log | Batting Order | Player Rater | 2023 Fantasy Outlook

Nolan Arenado Stats

GPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOBB%K%AVGOBPSLGOPSBABIP$
Last 7 Days41514200300020.013.30.1430.1430.2140.3570.154-3.6
Last 30 Days229386151106106126.512.90.1740.2280.1980.4260.200-1.1
Season14461256014971269333411016.716.50.2660.3150.4590.7740.27914.8
ROS Proj

Nolan Arenado 2023 Projections | Preseason

GPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPSBABIPK%BB%$Rank
Preseason (Steamer)1506225601488128964250820.2640.3280.4720.8000.26413819.947
Preseason (Grey)576154773010130.26821.039
Prospectonator

Nolan Arenado Projections | Platoon Splits (RHP vs LHP)

Nolan Arenado projected to 150 Games vs RHP and LHP with 12 team mixed fantasy value. This helps identify a player's platoon value for fantasy baseball based on pitcher handedness. These projections by Steamer are a MUCH better indicator of a hitter's platoon splits than in-season stats since it involves multiple years of data and has been properly regressed to league averages. Since games are neutralized across players, values for everyday players may look smaller than for preseason/season to date/rest of season where they benefit from playing time advantages vs other players. In general, left-handed hitters have larger platoon splits.
PAABRHRRBISBAVGOBPSLGOPSBABIPK%BB%$

Nolan Arenado Projections | Hittertron (Subscribe for all MLB player projections.)

Nolan Arenado daily MLB projections and fantasy value for next 7-10 days. LU=Lineup. If the lineup has been released and incorporated into the projections, it is listed as "Live". Click link in LU to see the lineup at Baseball Press or click here to see lineups for the last 6 days.
GTOppSP%StLUPAABH2B3BRHRRBISBBBSOAVGOBPSLG$
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Nolan Arenado Projections | DFS (Subscribe for all hitter DFS MLB projections.)

Nolan Arenado daily fantasy baseball projections for DFS sites such as DraftKings and FanDuel. LU=Lineup. If the lineup has been released and incorporated into the projections, it is listed as "Live". Click link in LU to see the lineup at Baseball Press as well as previous 3 days' lineups.
DFS SiteOppSPL/R%StLUProj PtsSalary$/Pt

Nolan Arenado Game Log | Last 30 Days

DateOppSPR/LBatOrdPAABH1B2B3BRHRRBISBBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPS$
2023-09-21MILWMileyL43300000000010.0000.0000.0000.000-59
2023-09-19MILTMegillR45400000010000.0000.0000.0000.000-40
2023-09-18MILFPeraltaR43300000000010.0000.0000.0000.000-59
2023-09-17PHITWalkerR44421100020000.5000.5000.7501.25065
2023-09-16PHIRSuarezL45400000000110.0000.2000.0000.200-69
2023-09-15PHIANolaR45422000010110.5000.6000.5001.10036
2023-09-12@BALJMeansL44400000000000.0000.0000.0000.000-69
2023-09-11@BALDKremerR45422002010100.5000.6000.5001.10090
2023-09-10@CINHGreeneR44400001000000.0000.0000.0000.000-42
2023-09-09@CINCSpiersR44300001000110.0000.2500.0000.250-32
2023-09-08@CINAAbbottL45533002010000.6000.6000.6001.200117
2023-09-07@ATLMFriedL44411000000010.2500.2500.2500.500-31
2023-09-06@ATLSStriderR45521102001010.4000.4000.6001.000108
2023-09-05@ATLMSorokaR45511001000010.2000.2000.2000.400-13
2023-09-03PITJOviedoR45300000000200.0000.4000.0000.400-59
2023-09-02PITTHatchR44411001000010.2500.2500.2500.500-3
2023-09-01PITMKellerR44400000000010.0000.0000.0000.000-69
2023-08-30SDRHillL44411001000000.2500.2500.2500.500-3
2023-08-29SDSLugoR44400000000010.0000.0000.0000.000-69
2023-08-28SDBSnellL44400000000000.0000.0000.0000.000-69
2023-08-27@PHIANolaR44400000000010.0000.0000.0000.000-69
2023-08-25@PHICSanchezL43300000000000.0000.0000.0000.000-59

Nolan Arenado Batting Order Game Averages | Current Season

Nolan Arenado current season averages per batting order spot along with 12 team mixed fantasy value ($). Only includes games started. Games started percentages for RHP vs LHP are based on last 30 days.
Bat OrdGSGS% vRHPGS% vLHPPAABH2BRHRRBISBBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPSBABIPK%BB%$
331004.293.941.030.190.390.230.710.000.230.580.2620.3010.4840.7840.25014515
411264364.273.901.050.180.530.170.630.030.300.740.2700.3220.4550.7780.29117716

Nolan Arenado Stats | Season

Nolan Arenado stats and 5x5 fantasy value from 2013-2023.
TeamPosGPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPS$
2013COL3B1335144861304910522023720.2670.3010.4050.706-1.5
2014COL3B1114674321245818612125580.2870.3280.5000.8288.8
2015COL3B157665616177974213025341100.2870.3230.5750.89827.5
2016COL3B1606966181821164113323681030.2940.3620.5700.93233.3
2017COL3B1596786061871003713032621060.3090.3730.5860.95931.8
2018COL3B1566725901751043811022731220.2970.3740.5610.93530.3
2019COL3B155662588185102411183162930.3150.3790.5830.96228.1
2020COL3B4820118246238260015200.2530.3030.4340.7371.6
2021STL3B15765359315181341052050960.2550.3120.4940.80618.0
2022STL3B14761855516273301025352710.2920.3580.5330.89126.2
2023STL3B14461256014971269333411010.2660.3150.4590.77414.8

Nolan Arenado Stats | Monthly

Nolan Arenado 2023 fantasy value by month for 5x5 leagues.
GPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOBB%K%AVGOBPSLGOPS$
March155200300000.00.00.4000.4000.6001.0000.0
April261121042411211107256.322.30.2310.2790.3080.5875.1
May261111002915722119218.118.90.2900.3490.5600.90918.4
June239486269718016146.414.90.3020.3550.6160.97115.1
July25107952813623008177.515.90.2950.3560.5790.93517.9
August25105992613410005134.812.40.2630.3050.4240.7297.0
September177467141006106108.113.50.2090.2740.2390.5131.4

Nolan Arenado Hitting | AVG vs BABIP

Players exceeding projected BABIP are more likely to see a regression towards Expected AVG. Vice versa.
ABBABIPBABIP (Proj)BABIP (Diff)AVGAVG (Expected)AVG (Diff)

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater

Based on our adjusted Steamer projections for 5x5 leagues with 67/33 hitter/pitcher split.
$$/GPt. Shr.RHRRBISBAVGPos RkTot Rk
MLB 10 ESPN18.414.91.13.25.37.2-0.42.2545
MLB 10 Y!21.316.50.83.37.09.8-1.92.0540
MLB 12 ESPN19.915.91.83.65.57.3-0.12.6547
MLB 12 Y!22.418.01.43.96.69.1-0.82.7542
MLB 14 ESPN21.116.32.64.15.67.50.12.7547
MLB 14 Y!23.618.72.14.36.79.2-0.73.0541
MLB 15 ESPN20.916.03.04.15.47.30.22.8550
MLB 15 Y!24.119.12.44.56.69.1-0.43.2544
MLB 16 ESPN21.716.73.54.45.67.50.42.9549
MLB 16 Y!24.819.42.94.86.89.4-0.43.3545
AL 10
NL 1027.418.24.05.97.39.50.73.1317
AL 12
NL 1227.517.75.86.16.89.11.23.3317

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

Based on our adjusted Steamer projections with a 67/33 hitter/pitcher split.
$$/GPt. Shr.RHRRBISBAVGOBPOPSPos RkTot Rk
5x5 (OBP) ESPN 1219.115.01.53.75.47.5-0.31.7533
6x6 (OBP) ESPN 1218.815.01.63.24.96.7-0.32.11.2634
6x6 (OPS) ESPN 1219.716.12.03.14.56.2-0.12.22.8529
5x5 (OBP) YAHOO 1220.916.61.03.86.49.1-1.01.6633
6x6 (OBP) YAHOO 1220.316.41.03.35.78.0-1.02.21.1634
6x6 (OPS) YAHOO 1221.618.01.43.25.47.4-0.62.23.0529

Nolan Arenado 2023 Projections | Preseason

GPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPSBABIPK%BB%$Rank
Preseason (Steamer)1506225601488128964250820.2640.3280.4720.8000.26413819.947
Preseason (Grey)576154773010130.26821.039
Prospectonator

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Outlook For 2023

Grey Albright Player Summary
So, last year, I goofed up on Arenado in an all-timer goof-up. I called him a preseason schmohawk and he bounced back in a pretty dramatic way. He dropped his strikeouts, upped his line drives, still was crazy high on fly balls and his BABIP bounced back. There’s some concerning things under the hood. His number of pitches swung at outside the zone went up, and his contact went down. If you were to show me some of Arenado’s perfs, I’d tell you I wasn’t wrong calling him a schmohawk. Who could’ve anticipated his BABIP bouncing back 40 points? Oh, don’t give me that BS that you could’ve seen it coming. In the end, what he comes down to is: 30 homers, 3-ish steals, 70-80 runs, 95-110 RBIs and an average that will determine if he’s really a top 5 3rd baseman or a top 10 3rd baseman, because of that I likely should’ve never called him overrated. Ah well, live and learn, as it says on this beautiful needlepointed hat I have over by this open window—NOOOO!!! Not again!

Player data for Nolan Arenado maintained by | Updated:

2023-09-26