Nolan Arenado Fantasy Projections | Daily, Week, Season

Player Information

Team	STL	ESPN	3B	Age	32
Bats	R	Yahoo	3B	RCL R%	85
$/GS (RHP)		$/GS (LHP)

09/20/2023	Incredibly Early And 100% Accurate 2024 3rd Base Tiers
08/16/2023	Seattle’s Overcast Bats Enjoy Some KC & The Sunshine Staff
08/14/2023	DFS: Nolan’s New Blockbuster Is Searsing Hot

Grey Albright's 2023 Player Summary
So, last year, I goofed up on Arenado in an all-timer goof-up. I called him a preseason schmohawk and he bounced back in a pretty dramatic way. He dropped his strikeouts, upped his line drives, still was crazy high on fly balls and his BABIP bounced ... (click to read the rest)

Nolan Arenado Stats

	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	$
Last 7 Days	4	15	14	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	2	0.0	13.3	0.143	0.143	0.214	0.357	0.154	-3.6
Last 30 Days	22	93	86	15	11	0	6	1	0	6	12	6.5	12.9	0.174	0.228	0.198	0.426	0.200	-1.1
Season	144	612	560	149	71	26	93	3	3	41	101	6.7	16.5	0.266	0.315	0.459	0.774	0.279	14.8
ROS Proj

Nolan Arenado 2023 Projections | Preseason

	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	K%	BB%	$	Rank
Preseason (Steamer)	150	622	560	148	81	28	96	4	2	50	82	0.264	0.328	0.472	0.800	0.264	13	8	19.9	47
Preseason (Grey)			576	154	77	30	101	3				0.268							21.0	39
Prospectonator

Nolan Arenado Projections | Platoon Splits (RHP vs LHP)

Nolan Arenado projected to 150 Games vs RHP and LHP with 12 team mixed fantasy value. This helps identify a player's platoon value for fantasy baseball based on pitcher handedness. These projections by Steamer are a MUCH better indicator of a hitter's platoon splits than in-season stats since it involves multiple years of data and has been properly regressed to league averages. Since games are neutralized across players, values for everyday players may look smaller than for preseason/season to date/rest of season where they benefit from playing time advantages vs other players. In general, left-handed hitters have larger platoon splits.

	PA	AB	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	K%	BB%	$

Nolan Arenado Projections | Hittertron (Subscribe for all MLB player projections.)

Nolan Arenado daily MLB projections and fantasy value for next 7-10 days. LU=Lineup. If the lineup has been released and incorporated into the projections, it is listed as "Live". Click link in LU to see the lineup at Baseball Press or click here to see lineups for the last 6 days.

	GT	Opp	SP	%St	LU	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	R	HR	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	$

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Nolan Arenado Projections | DFS (Subscribe for all hitter DFS MLB projections.)

Nolan Arenado daily fantasy baseball projections for DFS sites such as DraftKings and FanDuel. LU=Lineup. If the lineup has been released and incorporated into the projections, it is listed as "Live". Click link in LU to see the lineup at Baseball Press as well as previous 3 days' lineups.

	DFS Site	Opp	SP	L/R	%St	LU	Proj Pts	Salary	$/Pt

Nolan Arenado Game Log | Last 30 Days

Date	Opp	SP	R/L	BatOrd	PA	AB	H	1B	2B	R	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	$
2023-09-21	MIL	WMiley	L	4	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-59
2023-09-19	MIL	TMegill	R	4	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-40
2023-09-18	MIL	FPeralta	R	4	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-59
2023-09-17	PHI	TWalker	R	4	4	4	2	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0.500	0.500	0.750	1.250	65
2023-09-16	PHI	RSuarez	L	4	5	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.200	0.000	0.200	-69
2023-09-15	PHI	ANola	R	4	5	4	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	0.500	0.600	0.500	1.100	36
2023-09-12	@BAL	JMeans	L	4	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-69
2023-09-11	@BAL	DKremer	R	4	5	4	2	2	0	2	1	0	1	0	0.500	0.600	0.500	1.100	90
2023-09-10	@CIN	HGreene	R	4	4	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-42
2023-09-09	@CIN	CSpiers	R	4	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0.000	0.250	0.000	0.250	-32
2023-09-08	@CIN	AAbbott	L	4	5	5	3	3	0	2	1	0	0	0	0.600	0.600	0.600	1.200	117
2023-09-07	@ATL	MFried	L	4	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.500	-31
2023-09-06	@ATL	SStrider	R	4	5	5	2	1	1	2	0	1	0	1	0.400	0.400	0.600	1.000	108
2023-09-05	@ATL	MSoroka	R	4	5	5	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.200	0.200	0.200	0.400	-13
2023-09-03	PIT	JOviedo	R	4	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000	0.400	0.000	0.400	-59
2023-09-02	PIT	THatch	R	4	4	4	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.500	-3
2023-09-01	PIT	MKeller	R	4	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-69
2023-08-30	SD	RHill	L	4	4	4	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.250	0.250	0.250	0.500	-3
2023-08-29	SD	SLugo	R	4	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-69
2023-08-28	SD	BSnell	L	4	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-69
2023-08-27	@PHI	ANola	R	4	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-69
2023-08-25	@PHI	CSanchez	L	4	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-59

Nolan Arenado Batting Order Game Averages | Current Season

Nolan Arenado current season averages per batting order spot along with 12 team mixed fantasy value ($). Only includes games started. Games started percentages for RHP vs LHP are based on last 30 days.

Bat Ord	GS	GS% vRHP	GS% vLHP	PA	AB	H	2B	R	HR	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	K%	BB%	$
3	31	0	0	4.29	3.94	1.03	0.19	0.39	0.23	0.71	0.00	0.23	0.58	0.262	0.301	0.484	0.784	0.250	14	5	15
4	112	64	36	4.27	3.90	1.05	0.18	0.53	0.17	0.63	0.03	0.30	0.74	0.270	0.322	0.455	0.778	0.291	17	7	16

Nolan Arenado Stats | Season

Nolan Arenado stats and 5x5 fantasy value from 2013-2023.

	Team	Pos	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	$
2013	COL	3B	133	514	486	130	49	10	52	2	0	23	72	0.267	0.301	0.405	0.706	-1.5
2014	COL	3B	111	467	432	124	58	18	61	2	1	25	58	0.287	0.328	0.500	0.828	8.8
2015	COL	3B	157	665	616	177	97	42	130	2	5	34	110	0.287	0.323	0.575	0.898	27.5
2016	COL	3B	160	696	618	182	116	41	133	2	3	68	103	0.294	0.362	0.570	0.932	33.3
2017	COL	3B	159	678	606	187	100	37	130	3	2	62	106	0.309	0.373	0.586	0.959	31.8
2018	COL	3B	156	672	590	175	104	38	110	2	2	73	122	0.297	0.374	0.561	0.935	30.3
2019	COL	3B	155	662	588	185	102	41	118	3	1	62	93	0.315	0.379	0.583	0.962	28.1
2020	COL	3B	48	201	182	46	23	8	26	0	0	15	20	0.253	0.303	0.434	0.737	1.6
2021	STL	3B	157	653	593	151	81	34	105	2	0	50	96	0.255	0.312	0.494	0.806	18.0
2022	STL	3B	147	618	555	162	73	30	102	5	3	52	71	0.292	0.358	0.533	0.891	26.2
2023	STL	3B	144	612	560	149	71	26	93	3	3	41	101	0.266	0.315	0.459	0.774	14.8

Nolan Arenado Stats | Monthly

Nolan Arenado 2023 fantasy value by month for 5x5 leagues.

	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	$
March	1	5	5	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.400	0.400	0.600	1.000	0.0
April	26	112	104	24	11	2	11	1	0	7	25	6.3	22.3	0.231	0.279	0.308	0.587	5.1
May	26	111	100	29	15	7	22	1	1	9	21	8.1	18.9	0.290	0.349	0.560	0.909	18.4
June	23	94	86	26	9	7	18	0	1	6	14	6.4	14.9	0.302	0.355	0.616	0.971	15.1
July	25	107	95	28	13	6	23	0	0	8	17	7.5	15.9	0.295	0.356	0.579	0.935	17.9
August	25	105	99	26	13	4	10	0	0	5	13	4.8	12.4	0.263	0.305	0.424	0.729	7.0
September	17	74	67	14	10	0	6	1	0	6	10	8.1	13.5	0.209	0.274	0.239	0.513	1.4

Nolan Arenado Hitting | AVG vs BABIP

Players exceeding projected BABIP are more likely to see a regression towards Expected AVG. Vice versa.

AB	BABIP	BABIP (Proj)	BABIP (Diff)	AVG	AVG (Expected)	AVG (Diff)

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater

	$	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
MLB 10 ESPN
MLB 10 Y!
MLB 12 ESPN
MLB 12 Y!
MLB 14 ESPN
MLB 14 Y!
MLB 15 ESPN
MLB 15 Y!
MLB 16 ESPN
MLB 16 Y!
AL 10
NL 10
AL 12
NL 12

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

	$	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	OPS	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
5x5 (OBP) ESPN 12
5x5 (OBP) Y! 12
6x6 (OBP) ESPN 12
6x6 (OBP) Y! 12
6x6 (OPS) ESPN 12
6x6 (OPS) Y! 12

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater

Based on our adjusted Steamer projections for 5x5 leagues with 67/33 hitter/pitcher split.

	$	$/G	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
MLB 10 ESPN	18.4	14.9	1.1	3.2	5.3	7.2	-0.4	2.2	5	45
MLB 10 Y!	21.3	16.5	0.8	3.3	7.0	9.8	-1.9	2.0	5	40
MLB 12 ESPN	19.9	15.9	1.8	3.6	5.5	7.3	-0.1	2.6	5	47
MLB 12 Y!	22.4	18.0	1.4	3.9	6.6	9.1	-0.8	2.7	5	42
MLB 14 ESPN	21.1	16.3	2.6	4.1	5.6	7.5	0.1	2.7	5	47
MLB 14 Y!	23.6	18.7	2.1	4.3	6.7	9.2	-0.7	3.0	5	41
MLB 15 ESPN	20.9	16.0	3.0	4.1	5.4	7.3	0.2	2.8	5	50
MLB 15 Y!	24.1	19.1	2.4	4.5	6.6	9.1	-0.4	3.2	5	44
MLB 16 ESPN	21.7	16.7	3.5	4.4	5.6	7.5	0.4	2.9	5	49
MLB 16 Y!	24.8	19.4	2.9	4.8	6.8	9.4	-0.4	3.3	5	45
AL 10
NL 10	27.4	18.2	4.0	5.9	7.3	9.5	0.7	3.1	3	17
AL 12
NL 12	27.5	17.7	5.8	6.1	6.8	9.1	1.2	3.3	3	17

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

Based on our adjusted Steamer projections with a 67/33 hitter/pitcher split.

	$	$/G	Pt. Shr.	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	OPS	Pos Rk	Tot Rk
5x5 (OBP) ESPN 12	19.1	15.0	1.5	3.7	5.4	7.5	-0.3		1.7		5	33
6x6 (OBP) ESPN 12	18.8	15.0	1.6	3.2	4.9	6.7	-0.3	2.1	1.2		6	34
6x6 (OPS) ESPN 12	19.7	16.1	2.0	3.1	4.5	6.2	-0.1	2.2		2.8	5	29
5x5 (OBP) YAHOO 12	20.9	16.6	1.0	3.8	6.4	9.1	-1.0		1.6		6	33
6x6 (OBP) YAHOO 12	20.3	16.4	1.0	3.3	5.7	8.0	-1.0	2.2	1.1		6	34
6x6 (OPS) YAHOO 12	21.6	18.0	1.4	3.2	5.4	7.4	-0.6	2.2		3.0	5	29

Nolan Arenado 2023 Projections | Preseason

	G	PA	AB	H	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	K%	BB%	$	Rank
Preseason (Steamer)	150	622	560	148	81	28	96	4	2	50	82	0.264	0.328	0.472	0.800	0.264	13	8	19.9	47
Preseason (Grey)			576	154	77	30	101	3				0.268							21.0	39
Prospectonator

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Outlook For 2023

Grey Albright Player Summary
So, last year, I goofed up on Arenado in an all-timer goof-up. I called him a preseason schmohawk and he bounced back in a pretty dramatic way. He dropped his strikeouts, upped his line drives, still was crazy high on fly balls and his BABIP bounced back. There’s some concerning things under the hood. His number of pitches swung at outside the zone went up, and his contact went down. If you were to show me some of Arenado’s perfs, I’d tell you I wasn’t wrong calling him a schmohawk. Who could’ve anticipated his BABIP bouncing back 40 points? Oh, don’t give me that BS that you could’ve seen it coming. In the end, what he comes down to is: 30 homers, 3-ish steals, 70-80 runs, 95-110 RBIs and an average that will determine if he’s really a top 5 3rd baseman or a top 10 3rd baseman, because of that I likely should’ve never called him overrated. Ah well, live and learn, as it says on this beautiful needlepointed hat I have over by this open window—NOOOO!!! Not again!

Grey Albright Player Summary

So, last year, I goofed up on Arenado in an all-timer goof-up. I called him a preseason schmohawk and he bounced back in a pretty dramatic way. He dropped his strikeouts, upped his line drives, still was crazy high on fly balls and his BABIP bounced back. There’s some concerning things under the hood. His number of pitches swung at outside the zone went up, and his contact went down. If you were to show me some of Arenado’s perfs, I’d tell you I wasn’t wrong calling him a schmohawk. Who could’ve anticipated his BABIP bouncing back 40 points? Oh, don’t give me that BS that you could’ve seen it coming. In the end, what he comes down to is: 30 homers, 3-ish steals, 70-80 runs, 95-110 RBIs and an average that will determine if he’s really a top 5 3rd baseman or a top 10 3rd baseman, because of that I likely should’ve never called him overrated. Ah well, live and learn, as it says on this beautiful needlepointed hat I have over by this open window—NOOOO!!! Not again!

Player data for Nolan Arenado maintained by Rudy Gamble | Updated: 2023-09-26 02:25:20 PM EST

2023-09-26

Nolan Arenado
Projections & Stats

Player Information

Recent Posts

Nolan Arenado Stats

Nolan Arenado 2023 Projections | Preseason

Nolan Arenado Projections | Platoon Splits (RHP vs LHP)

Nolan Arenado Projections | Hittertron (Subscribe for all MLB player projections.)

Nolan Arenado Projections | DFS (Subscribe for all hitter DFS MLB projections.)

Nolan Arenado Game Log | Last 30 Days

Nolan Arenado Batting Order Game Averages | Current Season

Nolan Arenado Stats | Season

Nolan Arenado Stats | Monthly

Nolan Arenado Hitting | AVG vs BABIP

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

Nolan Arenado 2023 Projections | Preseason

Nolan Arenado Fantasy Outlook For 2023