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Happy Monday, Razzball faithful!

For this week’s installment of Top 100 Starting Pitchers, I decided to give us all a peek into the darkness that is “The Next 100”. The shadowy realm of the next 100 starting pitchers isn’t nearly as deep of an abyss as the one that houses the pitchers that follow these guys, (The Next Next 100), but they’re not on our main list for a reason…or maybe for a few different reasons. 

There are a few names that you might have slotted into your own version of a Top 100. There are a few guys that might lend themselves to some healthy puns. And, of course, there will be plenty of Tea (For The Tiedemann fans).

These 101-200 ranked starting pitchers have some bruises, warts, or generalized levels of “OOF”. Some are coming off an injury. A few are fighting for a rotation spot. Some are slated for long relief or more ‘seasoning’ in the minors. Others are just flat out gambles for playing time or would need nothing short of a miracle to occur during spring training for them to break camp with the team.

With a little less than 2 weeks until the Dodgers and Padres face off in Korea (March 20-21), there isn’t a lot of time for those kinds of miracles to happen. Let’s have a peek at the list first, then write up a few names that stand out to your guy MarmosDad as players to slide onto that watch list for deeper drafts, best ball contests with fewer FAAB periods than others (Hello, RazzSlam!), or those AL/NL only leagues.

But, wait! As always, I like to mention the link to Rudy’s Razzball subscriptions. The tools, ad-free-browsing, Streamonator, and War Room access make it well worth the price of admission. I’ve been looking at the 15 team draft room for TGFBI and the 12 Team draft room for RazzSlam (Best Ball) so much this week that I think all my dreams are appearing as multi-colored Google Sheets.

Now that that’s out of the way, I give you…

THE NEXT 100 (101-125)

(Based on 5X5 SP Player Rater projections from 2024 15 team (Standard/NFBC) auction values/rankings (as of Saturday, March 9)

  • One preamble, (before we get to the post-ramble), that was originally a mid-amble that got re-housed in the edit. For those of you ‘calculatorially challenged’ (totally a term) folks, listing off 100 players at a time in a list is pretty time consuming and creates a pretty large chunk of information on the page. I’m going to break these dudes up into subsections of 25 with a short blurb on the ones that I deem worthy of a mention for good or bad.
  • It’s probably pretty obvious, but all of these players are projected for negative R$, too.

 

# Name Team $
101 Michael Wacha KC -0.2
102 Clarke Schmidt NYY -0.2
103 Kodai Senga NYM -0.4
104 Ryan Pepiot TB -0.4
105 Garrett Whitlock BOS -0.6
106 Tyler Wells BAL -0.7
107 Colin Rea MIL -1.1
108 Taijuan Walker PHI -1.3
109 Max Scherzer TEX -1.6
110 Jack Flaherty DET -1.7
111 Chase Silseth LAA -1.9
112 Kyle Hendricks CHC -2
113 Kyle Bradish BAL -2.4
114 Michael Soroka CHW -2.7
115 Chris Paddack MIN -2.7
116 Keaton Winn SF -2.8
117 Graham Ashcraft CIN -2.9
118 Aaron Ashby MIL -3.4
119 Alek Manoah TOR -3.7
120 Shane Baz TB -3.7
121 J.P. France HOU -3.9
122 John Means BAL -4
123 Domingo German FA -4.2
124 Robert Gasser MIL -4.3
125 Wade Miley MIL -4.5

“Ok! I see some names that I wouldn’t mind rostering in the reserve rounds or maybe as a last arm with upside”. That might be your thinking here. The good news is I agree. The bad news is…it goes downhill from here quicker than Clark Griswold on a greased up snow saucer.

Is there anyone worth mentioning here? But of course, my young Roto-padawans…

Ryan PepiotThe jewel returning to the Rays from the Tyler Glasnow trade, Pepiot is appearing on a lot of sleeper lists. The Rays have the golden touch when it comes to pitchers, but can they turn this projected (Steamer) 8.93 K/9, 3.55 BB/9 into another success story? With injuries to Jeffrey Springs, (more on him later), Shane McClanahan, Shane Baz (oblique tweak), and the Glasnow trade, there’s certainly room in the rotation for Pepiot to build up strength and show off the new curveball that our old Razzball friend Lance Brozdowski posted about last week.

Garrett WhitlockAnother arm that I’ve liked for a while may finally have a clear path to a rotation spot. With the news that Giolito has a partially torn UCL and flexor strain, it looks like both Whitlock and Tanner Houck will get a chance to stretch out. Whitlock struck out two over three innings last Tuesday. A Jordan Montgomery rumor becoming a reality would wipe any talk of SP5 out for either of these guys. For now, I’d be comfortable taking a flier on Whit or Houck, especially if I could dump them after a couple weeks for a FAAB pickup if they don’t work out.

Tyler WellsStop me if you’ve heard this before. Team has a set rotation and acquires an even bigger piece of said rotation puzzle. All of a sudden, team’s rotation loses two arms to injury/setbacks. This big fella (6’8”) came out gangbusters in the first half last year (27% K%, 6% BB%) but fell off in the second half and was sent to AAA to iron things out. Steamer has him projected for the highest K/9 out of all the projectors/fortune tellers (8.35), and the lowest BB/9 (2.61) from the same bunch. Are you in a league with weekly FAAB? Is Wells worth a roll of the dice early on? Yep and yep.

Max ScherzerBack surgery in December? ‘Expected’ back in June? At 39 years of age? 39 years old is like 70 in baseball player years. I don’t know if Max provides that boost to your second half squad as much as some might think. I ‘expect’ it might be tough for an almost 40-year old to bounce back from an injured back after 6 months.

Jack FlahertyDoes not look like the 10.59 K/9 near 200 IP ace that St. Louis rolled out way back in 2019. But this is another post-100 SP that has a wide open spot in a rotation with the Tigers. If he can even come close to matching his ratios from 2021 (9.77 K/9 and 2.99 BB/9), Detroit fans will be ecstatic. Bottom line, if he’s healthy he’ll get innings no matter what. 144 IP last year was his highest since the aforementioned 2019.

Alek Manoah – Let’s get this out of the way first. I actually do like Alek Manoah. Yes, I admit that I was speaking this into existence from a darkened broom closet so no one actually heard me, but it’s true. Do I like how he fell apart last year? No. Do I like how he refused a reassignment to Buffalo last year after the team asked him to work on correcting his problems? No. As a shout to our lede that is being very much buried, Cat Stevens was a folk singer that sang the title song. His real name, Yusuf, may also be applied to anyone that rosters this arm in 2024. Drafting Manoah for this year? Yu-suf-fer.

Shane Baz and John Means – It’s a bit of a cheat here listing both in one, but the story is the same and I kind of mentioned it above. Baz’s ST debut is on hold after tweaking an oblique. Poetry. Means’ arm is barking again now too (elbow) and I guess it’s never too early to tie those shoes for a victory lap…(jokes, of course). I had wanted to put down Means for a bounce back after injury in Keelin’s AL East preview here, but after further digging I flipped to the flop and called him a sell because of that wonky left wing history.

That’s all for John Means? Cool beans. On to the next group.

NUMBER 126-150

126 Bryce Elder ATL -4.6
127 Anthony DeSclafani MIN -4.9
128 Mike Clevinger FA -5.2
129 Jordan Hicks SF -5.3
130 Jakob Junis MIL -5.4
131 Paul Blackburn OAK -5.5
132 A.J. Puk MIA -5.9
133 Zack Littell TB -6.1
134 Alex Cobb SF -6.3
135 Jordan Wicks CHC -6.3
136 Ross Stripling OAK -6.4
137 Josiah Gray WSH -6.8
138 Adrian Houser NYM -6.9
139 Joe Ross MIL -6.9
140 Jose Urquidy HOU -6.9
141 Tyler Anderson LAA -7
142 Nick Martinez CIN -7.1
143 Cole Irvin BAL -7.2
144 David Peterson NYM -7.2
145 Joe Boyle OAK -7.2
146 Clayton Kershaw LAD -7.3
147 Patrick Corbin WSH -7.4
148 Randy Vasquez SD -7.7
149 Casey Mize DET -7.9
150 Huascar Ynoa ATL -8

Down we go!

Jordan HicksFormer Blue Jay alert! Last year, I liked that the Jays landed Hicks. The problem was it was much more of the same story in Toronto as it was in St. Louis – Chuck (11.10 K/9) and Duck (4.39 BB/9). Now, after never throwing more than 77 innings in a year, San Francisco is going to make him a successful starter? Cue the extended O…………Kay. Steamer has him at 149 projected innings. And, coincidentally, this month’s character trait for our school is ‘Optimism’.

A.J. Puk – I swear these aren’t all ranked just based on similarities. Short reliever with closing experience that throws smoke is going to stretch out to start? Yep. Puk’s peripherals were pretty powerful last year and Steamer’s dishing out IP like Oprah gives away cars. I could see him throwing a decent 109 innings (projected) with 100+ Ks as a late flier. Edward Cabrera’s shoulder injury yesterday makes AJ’s path to a rotation spot even clearer. Spring training stats should always be taken with a giant grain of salt, but Puk’s 8.1 IP and 15 Ks over the past few weeks are certainly not bad news for those hoping he makes the starting five.

Zack LittellSupposed to start all year, (see openings in Rays rotation above), but won’t be winning any fireballer of the year awards for you in those leagues with Ks as a category.

Adrian HouserAdmittedly this was just so I could mention the barfing on the mound episodes. I believe bonus points are in order, though. I went the classy route with a photo instead of a video link.

Yes. I know the saying is usually different, but this is just for pukes and giggles

Cole IrvinSee: Wells, Tyler above. Change the 6’8” to 6’4” and twist the K/9 down to 7.91. But the soft tossers do seem to accumulate innings. His previous two years innings totals before last year’s 77 was >175.

Joe Boyle – Winner of the “Is this guy an MLB starting pitcher or is he the guy hosting our poker night next Wednesday?” award. Seriously. This was the first name that elicited an owl call from yours truly. The strikeout upside is there, but the control is … worse than your average Joe’s. And an SP5 in Oakland is probably not where you want to push all of your chips in.

Clayton KershawStill projected for decent ratios, but the shoulder surgery limits him to nothing before the all star game. Conservative fantasy drafters might want to look elsewhere for those 75-ish second half innings.

Casey MizeOne skull of the three headed monster the Tigers had queued up to run their rotation just two years ago. Then all of them fell apart physically and Detroit had to regroup. I’ll get to Manning later, but Skubal is already pushed way up by ADP and Mize is poised to make a strong return. Eno had them all over 100 Stuff+ in a post on Wednesday. If anything, Motown fans should be excited about this.

Well, that’s not THAT bad! There are some names I recognize and even like in that group! Yep. Can we say the same about these ones, though?

NUMBER 151-175

151 Robbie Ray SF -8.2
152 Roansy Contreras PIT -8.2
153 Matt Manning DET -8.5
154 Bowden Francis TOR -8.5
155 Ryan Yarbrough LAD -8.6
156 Hyun Jin Ryu FA -8.8
157 Jhony Brito SD -8.8
158 Jordan Lyles KC -8.8
159 Ricky Tiedemann TOR -8.9
160 Bailey Falter PIT -9
161 Javier Assad CHC -9.2
162 Alex Wood OAK -9.3
163 Drew Smyly CHC -9.4
164 Michael Kopech CHW -9.6
165 Tylor Megill NYM -9.6
166 Yariel Rodriguez TOR -9.6
167 AJ Smith-Shawver ATL -9.6
168 Max Meyer MIA -9.7
169 Michael Lorenzen FA -9.8
170 Jake Irvin WSH -9.8
171 Pedro Avila SD -9.9
172 Lance McCullers Jr. HOU -10
173 Martin Perez PIT -10
174 Tyler Mahle TEX -10.1
175 Drew Thorpe SD -10.2

 

We’ve sufficiently buried the lede here. And when I say sufficiently, I feel that it’s probably jammed further down than some dinosaur bones are in certain regions of North America. With apologies to Matt Manning, and the pirate hippy, Ryan Yarbrough, this section is all about the Blue Jays starting rotation woes. 

Ricky Tiedemann – The kid is electric. He’s the definition of a top prospect arm. Everyone and anyone with pitching sleepers in mind has this big lefty down as a name to watch or to stash away for those deeper league benches. If you’re in a dynasty league, he’s already rostered OR he was among the top players selected in your dynasty rookie drafts this spring. Does he look good? You can decide for yourself…

Looks pretty good to me. The only problem is, does he have a job out of camp? The easy answer is yes…in Buffalo. There are a couple of names below here that will make it easier for the Blue Jays to leave Tiedemann in the land of spicy chicken wings and sports depression. But if he keeps throwing like he did this weekend (97 MPH), I wouldn’t be surprised to see them make a phone call to Buffalo and have the kid on a bus rolling up the QEW as early as mid-May.

Bowden Francis – Out of order here in favor of our top notch photoshopping, but it had to be done. Rumor around camp via the beat writers is that the Jays are seriously leaning towards running Bowden Francis out as their SP5 if our old friend Alek Manoah’s shoulder soreness is more than a minor blip. With word that he may break camp as the SP5, Grey moved Francis up to 116th in his Top 100 Starters for 2024 Fantasy Baseball.

Yariel RodriguezIf you stuck around for the whole video of the AL East preview, first let me thank you, (even if it’s just you again, Grandma). You heard me drop Yariel’s name as a potential Manoah replacement if our big man dropped off…and I guess you also got a nice backstory on my own injury history (sorrey aboot that one). Yariel was somehow the Blue Jays big offseason ‘get’, and hearing fans try to pump it up is kind of sad. His numbers in the WBC as a reliever were good last year, but I’m not sure he gets stretched out unless something really bad goes on with the other guys in the big league rotation.

Michael Kopech – I know a lot of you have probably been burned by Kopech in the past, but when someone throws 105 MPH, it’s tough to forget about him. I saw an MLB article yesterday where he had this gem of a quote : “I’ve got to throw more strikes”. Yes, Michael, I would think that that’s a good plan.

NUMBER 176-200

176 Rich Hill FA -10.3
177 Zack Thompson STL -10.4
178 Ryne Nelson ARI -10.5
179 Jose Suarez LAA -10.6
180 Luis Medina OAK -10.6
181 Matthew Liberatore STL -10.6
182 Mason Black SF -10.6
183 Jeffrey Springs TB -10.9
184 Sawyer Gipson-Long DET -11
185 Tommy Henry ARI -11.1
186 Matt Waldron SD -11.5
187 Trevor Bauer FA -11.8
188 Daniel Lynch IV KC -11.8
189 Marco Gonzales PIT -12
190 Zack Greinke FA -12
191 Touki Toussaint CHW -12.1
192 Joan Adon WSH -12.5
193 Kyle Freeland COL -12.6
194 Tristan Beck SF -12.6
195 Carlos Carrasco CLE -12.7
196 Drew Rom STL -12.7
197 Drew Rucinski FA -12.8
198 Sixto Sanchez MIA -12.8
199 Brandon Williamson CIN -12.8
200 Cody Bradford TEX -12.9

 

Oh, baby. This chunk has more bunk than the double stacked bed warehouse. Luis ‘Funky Cold’ Medina? And there are more names below that? Ouch.

Alas, the show must go on.

Matthew LiberatoreSeeing Jeff Hoffman’s name floating around as a serviceable reliever made me think of a guy like Liberatore. A super hyped top prospect that hasn’t put it all together as a major league starter…yet? He’s thrown right around 120 innings in each of the last 3 seasons and is duking it out for a rotation spot with Zach Thompson.

Jeffrey SpringsAs mentioned above, he’s out until July/August (elbow).

Zack Greinke and Carlos CarrascoWhat? And Clayton Kershaw is returning to the Dodgers too? What’s next, Tom Brady heading back to the Expos?

Cody Bradford – I don’t know what’s worse. That I told a guy last year in one league that I had no interest in trading for Chad Bradford (aka the former A’s submariner from Moneyball), or that I mistyped his name here as ‘Cory’ before double-checking. Needless to say, he’s not quite a household name yet.

Sixto SanchezNot much to say here. I shall defer to our Fantasy Master Lothario…

That’s all for this week! I hope you enjoyed it! I’ll be back next week to do a once over of my TGFBI and RazzSlam drafts and walk through a bit of the process that I followed throughout both (while trying not to lose my mind doing two slow drafts at once and still maintaining some semblance of normalcy). Then we’ll head into the depths that is SP200-300 the following week for you deep draft/only league peeps.

Drop some comments in the chat if you’re feeling extra fired up about some of the names I do (or don’t) have here. Have a great week and for those of you drafting leagues, good luck!

Follow me @marmosdad on Twitter/X and Bluesky @marmosdad.bsky.social

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Ante
Ante
1 month ago

MarmosDad!

Love the name, sounds like a mash of Carlos Marmol.

a. I love Ruiz too but the room is drafting via fantrax ADP so I bet I can wait for him and take Hayes (top lift and my second 3B) and Yu and then 15/16 take Ruiz. I’ll let you know how it goes.

b. Don’t remind me of Manoah! Had him in my dynasty league, so I couldn’t drop him. Then did drop him. Then re-added him after the 5IP 8K start in the minors and then finally dropped him. The guy is totally toast, not even as good as bad Ricky Romero.

Cheers,
Ante

galica1234
galica1234
1 month ago

MarmosDad!!

Wow! This is an exhaustive list, I’m tired (mentally) forcing myself to read to the end and can only imagine how much effort was required to put it together. So congrats to you (and to me) for getting through it.

a. In a 12-team, 40-man Bestball draft (scoring favors hitters, 3x for SB and HR. Last year Acuna was #1 with 730+ fantasy points, Mookie and Freeman were 2/3 with 630+ in this format. Top pitcher was Strider at 532 and top closer was Alexis Diaz with 405 points). Here’s my team at 13.8, 2-hour slow clock.

C E-S, Freeman
Gelof
Gunnar
Volpe
Carter, Tatis
Eflin, PLopez, Luzardo
EDiaz, JDuran

This is my queue.

Hayes
Detmers
Darvish
Esteury
Eloy
Frelick
Jung-Hoo
Eovaldi
BryceM
Pivetta
Pepiot
Kyle Harrison

I drafted out of the 12-hole in round 1. I’m planning on going hitter and pitcher as I have been doing from round 3 onwards. Hayes is the best lift but I love all those outfielders. Should I take 2 hitters in 13/14 or go hitter/pitcher as I have been. Appreciate the help.

b. Chris Rock quote of the day for March 12, 2024

R. Kelly’s got a lot of balls. Talking about “it ain’t me.” Got a damn sex tape out; “it ain’t me.” Motherfucker, we know what you look like. That’s you, okay? There’s a damn Soul Train award right next to the bed.

Cheers,
Ante