The top 20 3rd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball burn hot and flame out super fast, then find themselves a little flicker to help them read while wearing their stocking cap, then that extinguishes with a cold wind blowing through that smells of garbage. This will hopefully make some sense after you read the next 4,000 words. I should put Easter eggs in these rankings posts to see who is actually reading the whole thing. There will be a quiz at the end, and a sample question is, “Who uses a Lady Bic razor?” Don’t you dare do a “Find.” Here’s Steamer’s 2021 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2021 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers.  All projections included here are mine, and where I see tiers starting and stopping are included. Anyway, here’s the top 20 3rd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball:

NOTE: All 2021 fantasy baseball projections are based on a 162-game season, and will be until we hear definitively there will be less games.

NOTE II: All my rankings are currently available on Patreon for the price of a Starbucks coffee, if you get one of those extra grande frappuccino jobbers. Don’t wait for the rankings to come out over the next month, and get them all now.

NOTE III: Free agents outside the top 100 are not yet written up or projected. They are approximately ranked, obviously subject to change.

1. Jose Ramirez – Already went over him in the top 10 for 2021 fantasy baseball.

2. Manny Machado – Already went over him in the top 20 for 2021 fantasy baseball.

3. Rafael Devers – Already went over him in the top 20 for 2021 fantasy baseball.

4. Nolan Arenado – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until here. I call this tier, “The Winter Meetings were in January.” This year, Torenado became ‘passed wind’ at some point in 2020, having fantasy owners pinch their nose with their right hand, wave the smell away with their left hand, draft someone other than Torenado with their right foot and bring their vape pen to their mouth with their left foot. So, Torenado’s 2020 was miserable. Was he battling injury? Not sure. His HardHit% went buh-bye, and he missed on everything, while hitting everything. Allow me to explain. He made a lot contact, but the ball went up and down faster than you when you forgot to renew the Get Roman subscription you joined after you saw the commercial with the wife saying, “My male is here,” as she checks the mail. If this was over the course of a six-month season, I’d be with everyone else, dunking Torenado in the clown tank. A 29-year-old who regularly hits 40 homers, suddenly becoming a 20-homer, .250 hitter based on a 60-game sample, though? Yeah, I can’t follow you down that cobblestone path. I could be bizzonkers, but I am ignoring his 2020, and not taking it as Warning Sign City; population: Caveat Emptors. UPDATE: The Rockies are trying to lose, and they’re a stupid franchise. That is a bad combination. Like burning down your house for insurance money after letting your insurance lapse. The Rockies gave away their marquee player and $50 million. If this is a rebuild, and Austin Gomber is the start of–I’m sorry. I can’t even say Austin Gomber with a straight face. The Cards got Arenado for a Gomber pile of garbage. So, on Arenado’s fantasy value, well…*swallows*…okay, so…*collects thoughts* Yeah, I moved him down in my rankings.

Arenado was traded to the Cards, and I can’t possibly tell you he’s as safe to draft in St. Louis. I don’t think the park change is as dramatic as some are making it out to be. I don’t think he’s suddenly done. I know his road/away splits, but as said many times before, guys are better at home. Even guys who aren’t in Coors. You’re staying at home, you’re surrounded by family and friends, you’re seeing your wife–Wait, are these reasons to enjoy being at home? Right, yes, I kid! Home numbers are always better. Familiarity with the park, just being more comfortable. It’s always like this; there’s stats to back it up, don’t make me pull them out. So, Arenado might not have been great on the road when he played in Coors, but you can’t just say his new home numbers will be his old road numbers. Doesn’t work like that. Trying to see the difference between him and, say, Jose Abreu, though, has become nearly impossible and Abreu isn’t a top 20 overall pick, and neither is Arenado now. I moved Rafael Devers up, and Arenado down one spot in these rankings, and I lowered his projections a bit. 2021 Projections: 88/32/106/.279/1 in 592 ABs

5. DJ LeMahieu – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Rendon. I call this tier, “An ear after one of those giant plug earrings.” The down side is your ear is sagging, but the good news is you can hang your clothes from your ear. Extra hands to carry groceries! That’s this tier. I can see a down side and an upside. As for LeMahieu, already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

6. Alex Bregman – It was an extremely dumb year, and is especially hard to separate the wheat from the chaff from Bregman because, and here comes the requisite mention of the Cheaty Cheaty Bang Bang scandal. Who knows what effect that’s having on him. From the looks of his last year (42 games), he was nearly equal to previous years on his batted ball profile, but he wasn’t connecting the barrel to the ball with any sort of regularity or thunder. Hitting the same number of fly balls, but hitting them softer with fewer home runs. That’s gotta be a concern. Could dissect his O-Swing% and O-Contact% as being a sign that he didn’t know what was coming, but he didn’t suddenly become a .240 hitter. I don’t think. That’s his down side. He’s tough to peg. Upside is plain as the ear you’re using to hold a folded towel. 2019 was his upside. 2021 Projections: 105/29/107/.274/5 in 567 ABs

7. Yoan Moncada – His 2019, when he hit .315, is sticking its head out the window like in the movie Hereditary. A ghastly outlier that is cluttering my memory for all of eternity. I’m sad to report Moncada looks a lot more like a .230 hitter than even a .275 hitter. I got a case of the Mondays on Moncada. Moncadays? The upside is still winking, nudging, asking me to believe it. A 30-homer/15-steal guy in a stacked lineup just waiting for the sun to shine brightly on him and declare him The Yoan. But Matrix fanfiction sites say, “The Architect has described the One as nothing more than an Integral Anomaly!” And I don’t know what that means. This is a tough tier, guys and five girls, and I’m likely skipping it, claiming I am just drafting an outfielder or a starter when these guys go off the board. Sorry, there’s no easy answers. 2021 Projections: 88/28/96/.241/10 in 564 ABs

8. Anthony Rendon – I goofed last year. I ranked Rendon too high. Mea culpa, my over-the-internet friends. Sometimes The Grey Man goes nutso like Harrison Ford screaming, “Get off my plane!” By the way, if Harrison Ford is ever piloting a plane you’re on, you’re hoping he screams for you to get off the plane before it takes off. I overvalued what Rendon could do in Anaheim. It’s not a good park, and Rendon doesn’t add in any speed to take the heat off his power. Just had an idea, they should remix movies like they do songs. Remix them with other movies. I’d like to see a Speed/Heat movie where Robert De Niro is the cop on the bus with Sandra Bullock, and Val Kilmer’s driving. I have a lot of Keanu movies on my mind, huh? Either way, I’ve learned my lesson. Rendon is a solid run producer, but he is not a top 20 overall beast without insane counting stats luck, giving him like 120+ of runs/RBIs and a .320+ average. 2021 Projections: 94/26/103/.294/2 in 551 ABs

9. Matt Chapman – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Edman. I call this tier, “El Pepe.” By the tier name, I’m talking about the Dominican Republic song, El Pepe, that I’m obsessed with and the absolute joy everyone is exhibiting in this locker room.

This song should be bigger than Despacito. By the way, it’s hard to believe that it’s Daddy Yankee with the only Yankee championship of the 2010s. All the guys in this tier will bring the same level of joy as seen in that video. As for Chapman, I kinda love him as much as Matt Olson. When you hit the ball harder than 115 MPH and 51.7% HardHit, Grey swoons. Chapman’s one of those guys who I’m confused why he’s not universally loved. The Launch Angle Revolution (LAR) started by Dwayne Murphy and Che Guevara in the 1950s outside of a bar in Havana after a bunch of Roman Cokes (what rum and Coke is called when you’re wearing a toga and about to start a revolution) took a long time to reach the major leagues, but it has fully been embraced by Chapman. Last year he might’ve went slightly overboard with a 24.1 Launch Angle, but maybe he was just jacked to finally be playing baseball and trying for only jacks. He also fell into a chase mentality with lots of swings and misses. How’sever, he’s 27 years old, and has 45+ homer power. Not saying he will do this, but he has a 50-homer, .270 season in him if things break right. I will quote this all year if he does this, and totally ignore this prediction if he doesn’t. Be forewarned. 2021 Projections: 91/36/93/.239/1 in 574 ABs

10. Cavan Biggio – Already went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

11. Eugenio Suarez – A lot of this tier (Chapman, Muncy, Eugenio) be like, “Dwayne and Che, hey, quick question:  When you’re trying to influence a citizenry about the benefits of universal appeal of fly balls, is it best to explain the Launch Angle Revolution to the fathers and sons, or should you start slow and just date one of their daughters, and have her influence her father and brother?” Talkin’ about a revolution! Eugenio’s either going to hit 35+ homers and .260 or 35+ homers and .210. Fly balls are great, said me, Dwayne and Che, but also you can fall into the Rhys Hoskins trap, which is a bear trap set up by Gritty to catch The Phanatic, and hit so many fly balls it tanks your BABIP and average.  2021 Projections: 83/36/93/.238/4 in 563 ABs

12. Max Muncy – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

13. Alec Bohm – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

14. Ke’Bryan Hayes – Already gave you my Ke’Bryan Hayes fantasy. It was written while circling for just the right parking spot.  2021 Projections: 66/16/74/.289/13 in 509 ABs

15. Tommy Edman – Already went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

16. Kris Bryant – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Donaldson. I call this tier, “Pronouncing erudite like Aphrodite.” This tier is filled with guys who are drafted by people who think they’re very smart. Me, a heathen, doesn’t appreciate Kris Bryant. You, a very error-dit-tea person, talking about how Kris Bryant is so cheap now he’s actually a bargain. Unfortch, he’s become the best at hitting the worst. Kris Bryant is the opposite of The Greek God of Hard Contact, Nick Castellanos. Bryant is the King of the Routine Fly. Only people clapping for him are some sycophants and jesters. I’ve never seen an uglier Statcast page than Bryant’s. He had an xBA of .202! He barreled up five balls all year! That’s gonna be a woof from me, dawg. His Launch Angle is so pronounced, he’s perfected how to hit the ball gently to every outfielder. This is so comically bad:  His average on fly balls was .122 with a .027 BABIP. He’s not even making outfielders move! He had one fly ball that was a hit that wasn’t a home run. I searched a ton of guys to try to find someone who was as awful, and I never even came close. Rougned Odor’s AVG on fly balls was .273! Guess if you’re gonna sell your soul, at least get a World Series championship out of it. 2021 Projections: 84/22/72/.264/3 in 528 ABs

17. Jeff McNeil – Already went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

18. Gio Urshela – If it wasn’t reported that he was having elbow surgery this offseason with a three-month recovery time, I might’ve tried to sneak Gio into the El Pepe tier. Sadly, he ended up in the Pepe Le Pew tier. High five me! Right now! That was good! No? Okay. In the end, the best case scenario for Gio is 24 HRs, .300, and not enticing enough for me to don a Spider-Man mask and play the horn. If LeMahieu had left town (more like Pepe LeMahieu! Cmon! Give me some skin! I just soaked my hands in sanitizer! No still? Okay.), I would’ve put Gio in the leadoff spot, and–Well, it doesn’t matter. Ya know, LeMahieu didn’t have much more than 24/.300 to have top 50 value. Pepe Le value! Right? That’s a good one! No, huh? Okay. 2021 Projections: 73/19/59/.294/1 in 521 ABs

19. Josh Donaldson – The problem I’ve had all along with these rankings, and that I’ve highlighted on occasion (like every fifth player) is how much weight to put into a goof season. While it’s unfair to hold 28 random games against Donaldson, he’s had one season of 155 games in the last four and he’s 35 years old. How are you at craps? Because Donaldson might Come back, hit a Point or two, just get Pass the starting line, roll craps, or hit it around the Horn. Last year, his RBIs were, Yo!, eleven, and he rolled a hard four on his average with .222. (I was told recently I could have an XM show if I talked more about gambling, how is it working for me? Ya know, you answering will only hinder my ability to lie to myself.) If I’m betting (keeping the ruse going!), I’m not betting on an old guy. 2021 Projections: 62/22/74/.242/2 in 412 ABs

20. J.D. Davis – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Escobar. I call this tier, “Bodega.” This tier is a good time to go to the corner store and buy a corner. As for Davis, wanna know how different the Mets are from previous Mets? They’re, like, one of three NL teams with a DH ready to step in (primarily Jose Martinez). Originally, I had a note across all posts that projections are based on the DH not being used in the NL, but I’m assuming it will be. I removed it when the notes at the top of the posts were getting out of control, and “projections based on no DH, but assuming it will be used?” Confuse myself much? As I just said, there’s not a ton of guys getting an NL DH bump anyway, so I’ll just update rankings when it becomes official, or if it officially is not happening. So, keep in mind, Davis could lose some value if there’s no DH, but I doubt it since he has 3rd base to play. Any hoo! I was all in on Davis this past year, and still trust Pre-Pandemic Grey that Jonathan Davis Davis can be what PPG thought he was, a 27/3/.300 guy in the heart of the Mets’ lineup. Last year was so awful though, I have to accept a slight bit more risk with Davis than I originally thought. 2021 Projections: 71/23/79/.271/3 in 497 ABs

21. Austin Riley – Already gave you my Austin Riley sleeper. It argued Cameo’s song, Word Up, was the first known autotune song and not Cher’s Believe. 2021 Projections: 84/31/96/.277/2 in 582 ABs

22. Justin Turner – Re-signed with the Dodgers. This was the plan all along, right? I mean, you can’t change your pod. Wait, you don’t have a pod? A group of people you can hang out with during the plague? Oh, dude, you gotta get a pod. Pods are the new podcasts.  2021 Projections: 71/23/80/.277/2 in 491 ABs

23. Eduardo Escobar – No one was good on the Diamondbacks last year, and that Satan seeped into the devil’s dandruff that Escobar was dealing. Tell Satan not today, and get back to being a 30-homer, .270 hitter, or continue to expand the Narcos universe and have Escobar turn into a pretty meh Mexico story? Hard to say, but this price per kilo is cheap enough to see if Escobar can show us helicopters. 2021 Projections: 64/26/72/.252/4 in 575 ABs

24. David Fletcher – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Castro. I call this tier, “Look at a different post.” As for Fletcher, already went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

25. Isiah Kiner-Falefa – Already went over him in the top 20 shortstops for 2021 fantasy baseball.

26. Jeimer Candelario – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

27. Ryan McMahon – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

28. Andres Gimenez – Already went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

29. Jean Segura – Already went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

30. Joey Wendle – Already went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

31. Willi Castro – Already went over him in the top 20 shortstops for 2021 fantasy baseball.

32. Kyle Seager – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Brosseau. I call this tier, “The Queen’s Gam Bit.” This isn’t about the Netflix show. The tier name is the British tabloids title for the time when one of the Queen’s Corgis bit her leg. *shudders* Not pretty. Like this tier! As for Seager, last year was the year to own Seager — Corey. But Kyle wasn’t awful — Hendricks. Oh, Kyle Seager? Yeah, okay, meh. He did have five steals last year in only 60 games, but that feels like a case where he was cooped up at home for three months, and was like, “Eff it, I’m gonna steal this year with these extremely fresh legs,” as he rolled a Lady Bic razor down his calves. 2021 Projections: 67/24/78/.231/5 in 581 ABs

33. Brian Anderson – Another great way to look at this tier is, “Yo, they’re giving who how many at-bats?” By the way, “who how” sounds like a confused Al Pacino. 2021 Projections: 68/20/75/.252/2 in 576 ABs

34. Carter Kieboom – What’s really cool is how Kieboom could see 550 ABs this year. What’s slightly less cool is how that could translate to 20 HRs, six steals and a .235 average. From Kieboom to Kiebust: A Story of One Man’s Willful Determination to Appear Interesting for Fantasy, and Win Over Drafters in the Final Round Who are Saying, “What the Hell.” 2021 Projections: 61/17/65/.237/5 in 492 ABs

35. Maikel Franco – FREE AGENT 2021 Projections:

36. Luis Urias – Already went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

37. Chad Pinder – Already went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

38. Evan Longoria – One day we’re going to tell our grandchildren that Longoria was a great ballplayer in Tampa, and our grandchildren will say, “What’s a Tampa?” Then we have to explain about how there was a state of Florida. Not looking forward to that convo! 2021 Projections: 54/20/61/.258/2 in 486 ABs

39. Rio Ruiz – You didn’t know so many players were at third who all did exactly the same thing, did you? Excuse me, the same nothing. 2021 Projections: 57/20/64/.237/2 in 459 ABs

40. Asdrubal Cabrera – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

41. Mike Brosseau – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

42. Yoshi Tsutsugo – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until the end of the list. I call this tier, “Fernando Tatis Jr.!” The tier name is named after what you wake screaming after sleeping through your entire draft. As for Tsutsugo, a lot of moving parts this past season, but was surprised I didn’t notice Tsutsugo played 14 games at 3rd base. Anything else to add? No, not really. Tsutsugo is still Phil Collins’s favorite player. Just say the word, oh…Tsu…tsugo! 2021 Projections: 41/15/47/.228 in 346 ABs

43. Josh Jung – Here’s what Prospect Itch said previously, “The best Texas prospect since Gallo, Josh Jung brings full-field power, plate discipline, and a plus hit tool along with functional defense at the hot corner. I’m trying to acquire him in my 20-team OBP league and suggest anyone seeking potentially affordable third base help consider the same in their leagues. Speaking of affordable, anyone know a reasonably priced hitman to take out Grey?” Okay, that’s not cool. Hold on one second, are you telling me the Rangers have a decent prospect? I call BS. This is the Rangers just trying to sneak Michael Young back out at 3rd base, and spell his name differently. Jung, you’re nothing but a Freud! Podcaster Ralph told me the other day, he thinks Jung is a 25-homer, 3-steal, .280 hitter. Not sure how much time Jung sees this year, but the draft season is still Jung! Sorry, hashtag never again. 2021 Projections: 21/6/25/.272/1 in 170 ABs

44. Marwin Gonzalez – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

45. Spencer Torkelson – Everyone says this guy looks amazing, like a young Lyle Overbay! Wait, maybe they were saying I should overpay. Hmm… Well, anyway, Prospect Itch said, “Torkelson uses the opposite field and can access power to that side, which buys him an extra beat to see the ball, and I’d like to beat up Grey.” All right, unnecessary. I’m ranking Torkelson, because this late of a flyer doesn’t hurt, but I don’t think we see him in any great capacity this year. 2021 Projections: 12/6/18/.266 in 87 ABs

46. Isaac Paredes – Soon the Tigers are going to have Paredes and Torkelson and older Tigers fans are gonna be saying, “A parade of snorkelers?” Poor Old Tigers Fan. He remembers when all you needed to know was what brand of smokes Leyland was chimneying. Torkelson over I…C Paredes (from my window) because at this point you want upside overall, but I do think Paredes could/should be up sooner. He is a flashy, contact-sure-why-not 25-homer bat who has 20-grade speed. Is he standing still when they judge that? 2021 Projections: 34/14/38/.271 in 321 ABs

47. Edwin Rios – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

48. David Bote – Already went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

49. Yandy Diaz – His Launch Angle is–*bursts out laughing* Sorry, sorry. Okay, gonna try to get through this. Yandy’s Launch Angle is -7.9. That’s not me cutting off the 1st half with an em dash. That’s a negative sign. How does one get a negative eight Launch Angle? Is he trying to take the catcher out at the knees? Is he starting with the barrel of his bat pointed at the pitcher? Is he facing the wrong way? Is he like Ferdinand the Bull, in that he’s one of the strongest players but would rather smell roses and swing backwards? What is going on? His numbers are terrible. 2021 Projections: 41/10/44/.289/1 in 319 ABs

49. Matt Carpenter – Might be time to replace Carpenter, and become Matt Flat/bored. UPDATE: Torenado ripped through St. Louis and tore up Matt Flat/bored. 2021 Projections: 43/14/48/.231/3 in 388 ABs

50. Erik Gonzalez – Already went over him in the top 20 shortstops for 2021 fantasy baseball.

 
  1. Harley Earl says:
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    OK, got a question about how you rank people.

    I’m looking at Josh Donaldson and comparing him to Austin Riley when I notice a sizable difference in your projections for 2021. And I mean damn well sizable. It’s not even close.

    So I take a closer look and I notice that your projections for Riley are more comparable to Max Muncy, whom you have ranked 12th and Alec Bohm at 13th. Everyone else between 14 and Riley have projections that are really not very close to Riley.

    So why is Riley ranked so low? If you believe Riley is this good, then shouldn’t he be ranked 13 or 14? I know you got him as a sleeper but is that the only reason you ranked him 21? It just seems to me you either believe in Riley or you don’t.

    You state that you don’t believe in Donaldson because he’s old, yet you do believe in Riley because he’s young and has opportunity. But then you rank Donaldson above him. That tells me you would pick Donaldson before you would pick Riley during a draft. So what’s the deal with Riley?

    Is Riley any good or not? Do you not really believe in your projections for him?

    • Stl Squat Cobblers says:
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      There should always be a disclaimer under Harley Earl’s comments: “the statements above are Harley Earl’s and Harley Earl’s alone…and in no way reflect the fine citizenry of the beloved STL, the lovely Gateway to the West nor the Midwest in general.”

      • Phil says:
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        HAHA

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Haha

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Riley has more risk to reach his projections than Donaldson, but Donaldson has little upside, age, health concerns

      • Harley Earl says:
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        So who would you want more? Riley or Donaldson?

        Sorry man, but it’s my nature to question everything. I was a sports writer for 29 years.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Riley

          • Harley Earl says:
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            I thought for sure Riley would be your “late” pick in the video. Quite disappointed you didn’t stick with him.

            I’m still not sure whether he’s really for real or not. If he can get higher in that lineup, he’s going to have mega opportunities to produce. I think I’m counting on that as much as anything.

  2. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!!!!

    Awesome 3B report! So good!

    a. So, if I’m reading it correctly, if I get Erik (with a K) Gonzalez I should be good to go at SS and 3B ’cause he qualifies for both and I can swap him, right? I kid, man! But the scarcity herein gets me very scared. People better be very awake for the first 5 rounds of their real fantasy baseball drafts this year!

    b. MLB quote of the day for January 26, 2021

    1. Bob Uecker, born January 26, 1934

    ‘Baseball hasn’t forgotten me. I go to a lot of Old-Timers gamees and I haven’t lost a thing. I sit in the bullpen and let people throw things at me. Just like old times.’

    Bob Uecker in Baseball on the Brain (Dennis Purdy, Workman Publishing. 03/20/2007, Page 229) [Bob Uecker Quotes]

    2. Joe Pettini, born January 26, 1955

    ‘What’s so good about the game of baseball is that it’s pitching, it’s fielding, it’s hitting, but any little thing that you can take advantage of, can help win a game. And on the flip side again, any thing you can keep another club from taking advantage of, may possibly keep them from scoring a run or two and keeping you in a game or keeping you on top.’

    Joe Pettini in The Birdhouse (Brian Walton, ‘The Role of the Bench Coach’, Source)

    3. Bud Byerly, died January 26, 2012

    ‘I don’t know if he was a flame-thrower or not early in his career before he came to Washington, but he knew how to pitch. He always said he threw a ‘dry spitter. I’d never heard of a ‘dry spitter.'”

    Whitey Herzog in St. Louis Today (01/28/2012, ‘Musial teammate Bud Byerly dies; pitched in ’44 Series’, Source)

    4. Roy Johnson, died January 26, 2009

    ‘He (Roy Johnson) was a heckuva prospect with a world of talent. When he joined us in 1982, we all felt strongly about him but it’s just that the talent wasn’t displayed for us or any other team in the majors.’

    Montreal Expos Field Manager Jim Fanning in The Globe (Danny Gallagher, 04/10/2009)

    5. Chet Laabs, died January 26, 1983

    ‘It may be that Chet Laabs, husky St. Louis Browns outfielder, is whacking the ball so hard lately that it’s starting to swell. At any rate, it seems to be coming up to the plate ‘a whole lot bigger.’ Here for a two game series with the Senators, Laabs attributes his present clouting streak to ‘a better view of the ball’ and a change of stance that has him turning more toward the pitcher. Whatever the reason, Laabs has boosted his home run collection to 17 for the season including seven in the last seven days. He clouted a couple yesterday in a doubleheader with the Philadelphia Athletics, and for good measure, added a triple, a double and a single which accounted for six runs. ‘It’s probably just one of those things,’ said Laabs, ‘when you either smack ’em right or you don’t. But I know one thing. The ball is looking pretty now – a whole lot better.’

    The Moberly Monitor Index (July 18, 1942, ‘SEES ‘EM BETTER HITS ‘EM OFTENER,’ Page Five)

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks!

      A. Yup!

      B. 4. They should start calling them “Field manager” again — 5. Chet Laabs sounds like a dope DJ

  3. VinWins

    VinWins says:
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    Glossary

    “Despacito” is a 2017 song by Puerto Rican singer Luis Fonsi featuring Daddy Yankee

    Ramón Luis Ayala Rodríguez (born February 3, 1977), known professionally as Daddy Yankee, is a Puerto Rican rapper, singer, songwriter, actor and record producer.

    From Kieboom to Kiebust is a novel by American author and Nobel Prize winner Grey Albright. Published in 2020, it is regarded by many to be Albright’s most ambitious novel.

    Phil Collins is an English drummer, singer, songwriter, and record producer, best known as a member of the rock band Genesis and for his solo career.

    Tsutsugo is still Phil Collins’s favorite player. Just say the word, oh…Tsu…tsugo!: Collins had a hit with the song Sussudio (1985)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha…These aren’t hard to know — c’mon, Daddy Yankee getting only Yankee championship of the 2010s was good!

      • VinWins

        VinWins says:
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        Yes, that was a good one, but I’d never heard of Daddy Yankee. No surprise there, since I would recognize very few musical acts of the last 20 years.I did know Phil Collins.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Did you know Phil Collins is short for Philadelphia Collins?

          • VinWins

            VinWins says:
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            Well, obviously.

  4. Stl Squat Cobblers says:
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    Good stuff Grey! Whilst displaying my prodigious power in co-ed softball, I often start off me swing with the bat pointed directly at the pitcher. I find I get the best pull…of me groin! (Hmm..Not quite ready to open for you at The Comedy Store.)

    The Cobblers must have Riley and Gimenez above Bryant and his godawful tier.

    Maybe we can have America’s Mayor whip up some conspiracy theories about rankings fraud (while leaking hair dye) and make it happen!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Maybe Bryant will be traded so others draft him even higher — haha, suckers!

    • Diego Garcia says:
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      Whilst?

      Hard to take anyone seriously when they try to work that word into a sentence.

      • Stl Squat Cobblers says:
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        LOL! C’mon Diego! I would have thought my “Prodigious Co-ed Power” would have prevented anyone from taking me seriously!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          The Stl isn’t short for Whilst?

  5. thatguy says:
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    I think when you put the Bregman and Rendon projections next to each other, consider how much worse the Astros offense is this year, mix in the fact that Bregman is maybe 75-80% the player he was before his cheating was exposed, and then add in the fact that Moncada won’t get near that R/RBI projection with a .241 average and his rolling walk rate, there’s a good case to rank Rendon ahead of both Moncada and Bregman.

    • Phil says:
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      I agree, unless Grey is also considering the injury propensity of players, and his projected stats reflect a fully healthy year, more or less. Rendon misses a few games a year, and nothing crazy, but he seems to always be more bumped and bruised than your average player (I notice that he’s playing through this ailment and that ailment, blah blah). I also don’t think he will ever hit more than 25 homers again. I do like Rendon more than Bregman and Moncada, but outside of the top 3 hot cornermen, I see most of them clumped together.

      • Phil says:
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        Apologies, top 4. I like Devers a lot.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Rendon has some more injury concerns, but not a ton more than Moncada

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, that’s possible…There’s fluidity in drafting and ranking…If you want Rendon, I wouldn’t hold it against you, but you will need SBs from somewhere

  6. Big Ticket says:
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    Thanks Grey! I am surprised to see Bryant/Suarez so low, but I can’t argue with your logic. Because of this … I have some keeper issues that need resolved. It’s a shallow, OBP league. Because it’s shallow, guys usually use keeper slots to go for upside plays because the “floor play” is available on waivers. We get 8 keepers, with one prospect slot. Any advice is much appreciated.

    Definite keepers: Tatis, Trout, Rizzo, Muncy, Eloy, Bieber; prospect – Kellenic

    Possible keepers (need 2): Suarez, Bryant, Robles, Julio Rodriguez, Rutschman, Soler, Sonny Gray, Lamet

    • Phil says:
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      J-Rod and Rutsch are technically still prospects, so must you use your prospect slot for them or can you include them with your 8 keepers? Regardless, I’d probably use the keeper slots for other players…you do need some speed since Trout doesn’t steal as often as he used to and you only have FTJ to give you steals, but I’m not crazy about Robles, despite the fact that he can give you 15/25 (but poor peripherals). I really like Lamet, but his elbow worries me this year and he won’t toss many innings. I’d probably go Sonny Gray and Eugenio Suarez (the hot corner is tough this year, in my opinion).

      • Big Ticket says:
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        Good clarification – guys who are currently prospects can be kept as regular keepers. Two years ago I kept Eloy as a prospect and Tatis as a regular keeper even though he was technically a prospect … that turned out well haha.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      No problem

      I’d roll dice on Ju-Rod, Gray — but how deep is this league?

      • Big Ticket says:
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        Interesting. I was thinking Ju-Rod for sure. In OBP, Bryant is still pretty intriguing for me. We actually do SLG instead of HR. In 2019, Bryant was 380/520, which is really good, hence my consideration of him. League is only 8 teams …

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          How deep is this league?

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Oh, I see, 8 teams…That’s very shallow — meh on Bryant

  7. Phil says:
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    Hey Grey, will (and if so, when) the top 500 be posted on Patreon? And will the pitcher pairing tool be made available on Patreon earlier?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’m trying to figure out how to post the top 500, since it’s a google spreadsheet — I can put up the pitcher’s pairing tool when it’s ready, it is not

  8. Tom says:
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    Brian Anderson getting no love, well I’m taking him above quite a few of the no speed guys ranked above him. 27 years old seems to be getting better and was on a pace for 32 hr’s last year. Ranked 71st on the statcast exit velocity and barrels leaderboard, not too shabby.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      If he hits 32 HRs and .270, it feels like his ceiling…Depending on runs/RBIs, that’s still kinda meh…I mean, I’d take it, but it’s not exactly lighting the world on fire

      • Tom says:
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        I’ve got to believe that ceiling is a lot higher than say Joey Wendle who’s 30 and has 16 career homers in 1,000 ab’s. Dare I say it I like his ceiling more than say a Gio Urshela, their floor is about the same.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Apples/oranges on statlines, Wendle gives some speed…You’re also talking about two guys who are ranked nearly the same after 275 overall

          • Tom says:
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            Well, Gio is ranked quite a bit higher, I’m not saying Anderson is a stud by any means but maybe a bit better than his rank here. I guess my thinking is Anderson has a real chance to do .265 25, 80. Wendle has no shot to do any better than .275, 10, 55, 10 I see that as his long shot ceiling.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Sorry, thought you meant Wendle, not Gio…Gio is a better hitter than Anderson, bordering on a .300 hitter…Anderson’s bordering on .250

  9. packers2018 says:
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    In an OPS league I was offered K. Jansen for D. Moore, 12 teams. OPS hurts Moore’s value some.
    I have Giminez to backfill at 2B and only Diaz as a closer now.

    What do you think Grey?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I like Moore, but that’s fair

      • packers2018 says:
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        Thank you.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  10. Will says:
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    One could ask the same question about the ranking of Riley vs K Bryant given Riley’s projections are higher across the board except for one steal. If both are available who are you drafting? Riley’s projections elsewhere are less stellar – ZIPS hates him with .239 / 26 / 87 / 0 while Steamer is closer to yours at .258 / 29 / 83 /2.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’m not drafting Kris Bryant

      • Will says:
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        Then he should be a lot lower in your rankings, methinks. Move him down a tier and put him underneath Eduardo Escobar.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          He’s low risk

  11. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey,

    If I were to trade Javier Baez ($33), what SS should l ask for in return. ONe guy had Lindor, Tatis, T. Anderson. Another has Correa. someone has T. turner. Who should I ask for in return for him? your advice is always appreciated.

    • Scott Kimmel says:
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      and the 1stguy also has Bogearts

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Any shortstop I have ranked above him

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        Grey,

        Baez ($33) for which one:

        Bogaerts ($21)
        Lindor ($46)
        Tatis ($6)

        I think ur order would be Tatis, Lindor then Bogaerts

  12. Garrett says:
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    Got offered $1 Gausman for my $2 Hosmer and a 22nd overall prospect pick. I know you like both this year. Therefore Given uncertainty of innings pitched this year would you rather have the bat in that spot? or do you like Gausman enough to round out rotation.

    It’s a keeper pool and pitching has been hard to come by so feel like its a premium price i’m paying.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Going Hosmer, but it is close

  13. Harley Earl says:
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    Wow, having re-read this piece, I can’t believe how bad Kris Bryant really was last year. Damn. He really stinks. You’ve changed my perception of him. I might have been one of those guys thinking I’m getting him at a nice discount.

    Will steer clear of him now!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Bryant was very bad last year, incredibly so

      • Will says:
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        I think there is something wrong with Bryant’s swing. As you pointed out his Statcast numbers last year were awful. But compare them to his 2016 – barrel rate 11.7% to 5.5% in 2020, hard hit rate 39% to 32% in 2020, exit velocity 89mph to 86mph in 2020. Unfortunately I think Bryant is too stubborn to admit to himself he needs to make changes in his swing so we could be in for a repeat of 2020’s badness in 2021.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, something’s up…He could fix himself but I wouldn’t draft him to see if it happens

  14. Jolt In Flow says:
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    Grey, thanks 100 thousand.

    OF rankings tomorrow followed by pitcher rankings on Thursday?

    Thanks for all this. I’m excited to see those 2 lists.

    Jolt

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      5 OF posts, then UTIL-only, then SPs

  15. Cram It says:
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    Say what you will about Bryant. I’m hoping the Mets land him. I think we’re trying to go all in for a Championship this year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Think the Mets are much better with JD Davis…Not seeing the allure of Bryant at all

      • Cram It says:
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        Idk, I get that Bryant’s probably not going 35/.290 ever again, but I still think he’d be an upgrade over J.D., who feels like a good player when he’s not playing everyday.

        I read an interesting piece on Bryant regarding since he he got beaned in the head in 2018 by Marquez. He changed his stance to more open against righties since then, while keeping the same stance against lefties he’d always had. His stats against lefties have remained very good, while he’s been terrible against righties since getting beaned. Not saying it’s fixable or anything, just…interesting!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That’s fair, he might be fine as a real life player, which I think this is about, and his defense might be better…I see Bryant and think he’s the type to block Davis for no good reason, which the Mets would be much better just signing one more arm

          • Cram It says:
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            Oh, I’d rather get Bauer if we can!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, Bauer would put the Mets as favorites over Braves, I’d have to think…I’m saying any FA arm would prolly help…I’d even take Taijuan if I were them

          • Tom says:
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            As a Mets fan, I couldn’t agree more, give me another arm over Bryant and let JD play.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yes, exactly

        • Will says:
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          Bryant batted .279 with an .866 OPS against righties in 2019. It is really only in 2020 when he became a disaster against right handed pitching (.184 with a .550 OPS).

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            An unmitigated disaster

  16. hot corner says:
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    I am throwing out Moncada’s 2020 season. He had a bad case of covid and he was very vocal about it affecting him for the entire season. I am bullish for 2021 on him becoming a stud.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d like to see him do well, he still relies a lot on a high BABIP

      • hot corner says:
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        Very true and I don’t see a return to his .315 avg like 2019. He just needs to hit .270 with 30/10 to go along with a ton on counting stats in that line up. That is a lot of profit at pick 80+.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          30/10 feels like such a pipe dream at this point

  17. hot corner says:
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    Not a pipe dream. He went 25/10/.315 in 132 games in 2019 and still only 25yo. Now clear of covid, no reason he won’t get back to that pace with a lower average.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Oh, sorry, I misread comments, I thought you were referring to Kris Bryant going 30/10/.270

      • hot corner says:
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        No way. I live 5 blocks from Wrigley Field and I am out on Bryant.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, gotcha…Yeah, that’s why I was saying pipe dream, not about Moncada — I still kinda like him, tho I do worry about the AVG

  18. Dan says:
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    Accidentally posted this in the old thread, but moncada related so actually fits better here.

    Hoping you might be able to weigh in. Im a first timer in a 30 team H2H points dynasty league with contract length and $$ based on actual mlb contracts. Never been in any type of league as deep as this or as intricate as far as contracts go. I got offered a trade that I wondered if you could help evaluate. Since it’ll be too complicated post all the contract details, looking more for advice from a talent perspective only.

    Having just completed the 56 round draft, I was offered.

    Yoan Moncada, Keibert Ruiz and Jon Gray for Tarik Skubal, Oneil Cruz, Aaron Bracho and Davis Wendzel

    Won’t post the whole Team But core is:

    c – Martin Maldonado / Kyle Higashioka
    1B Pete Alonso
    2B Luis Arraez
    SS Javier Baez
    3B Miguel Andujar / Rio Ruiz
    OF: Cody Bellinger
    OF: Joey Gallo
    OF: Victor Reyes
    Util: Franmil Reyes

    SP: yu darvish
    SP Hyun Jin Ryu
    SP Greinke
    SP Tarik skubal
    SP Adrien Houser

    Leaning towards thinking this is reasonable but not sure how to weigh sending so many top prospects in dynasty. Thinking I’ll counter by offering Jackson kowar instead of skubal. Accepting gives a boost at 3B and some depth at catcher but don’t love trading all of skubal, bracho and cruz.

    Hope that’s not too much. Try to keep questions short usually!

  19. Lion O says:
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    Keep forever…
    I give Aroldis Chapman and get Matt Chapman. My RPs are terrible aside from chapman and CI is also pretty bad.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Works for me

  20. Asking for a friend says:
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    10 team standard league (but we score K’s as a negative for hitters)

    Keeper options:
    1) Pick 1: Corbin burnes in 16th or sixto in 16th
    2) pick 1: lance Lynn in 7th, maeda in 14th, Patrick Corbin in 11th
    3) Pick 1: Abreu in 6th or Lou bob in 8th

    My gut says Maeda, Burnes, Abreu

    Struggling on Abreu vs Lou bob because we score avg and K’s for hitters. 1B seems so shallow that Abreu is a great value even if he goes 280/30/80

    Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, Abreu is fine, but 1B isn’t that shallow, unless it’s different in your league

      • Asking for a Friend says:
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        Gotcha. But if It was your squad would those be your 3? Or would you make any different choices

        Thank you! Your write ups and podcast are the best in the biz.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I agree with your gut

      • Asking for a friend says:
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        Word- thank you!

        Are those the 3 dudes you would keep or would you choose differently?

        Your write ups and pod are best In the biz man! Always great insight and good for a laugh

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Thanks!

  21. Moncada and Chapman possible breakout candidates, Bohm and Hayes ready to roll, Riley too! Waiting for next rankings installment (Top 40?) to see how off I am – LOL – thanks for all yourc hard work.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      No problem! Thanks, Smitty!

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