The top of the 2nd base pool is funky as all get-out, and I wish a lot of these guys would get out I’m trying to watch Get Out. Are the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball shallower than the top 20 catchers for 2021 fantasy baseball? No, but it’s pretty close, and that’s the last time you’re gonna hear the word pretty and 2nd basemen in the same sentence. Here’s Steamer’s 2021 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2021 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers. All projections included here are mine, and where I see tiers starting and stopping are included. Anyway, here’s the top 20 2nd basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball:

NOTE: All 2021 fantasy baseball projections are based on a 162-game season, and will be until we hear definitively there will be less games.

NOTE II: All my rankings are currently available on Patreon for the price of a Starbucks coffee, if you get one of those extra grande frappuccino jobbers. Don’t wait for the rankings to come out over the next month, and get them all now.

NOTE III: Free agents outside the top 100 are not yet written up or projected. They are approximately ranked, obviously subject to change.

1. Ozzie Albies – This is the first tier. This tier goes from here until here. I call this tier, “Ewe gee ell WHY?!” Please allow me to recreate a phone call I made recently.

Contemplative Grey: “Hello, God, this is Grey. Where are the top 2nd basemen? Hello…? He’s busy? With what?! No, I cannot hold! ‘Who’s calling?!’ I already said who this was! Grey! Hello…Hmm, I think they hung up.”

Guys and five girl readers, the 2nd basemen are a testicle sitting on a hot cattle prod a millisecond before your brain synapses fire off that you’re being burned in the nethers. For our five girl readers, you’re gonna have to take my word for it. I love you, ladies, but sometimes my metaphors involve testicles. As for Albies, great, but where’s everyone else? Okay, I’m going to stop harping, like God’s secretary who I was speaking to earlier, and just say there will be a time to draft a 2nd baseman. It will be clear from the rankings. That’s if you don’t get Albies. I would take him? Oh, Al B. Sure! Nite and Day, and all drafts in between. Ozzie is a floor 25/12/.275 guy, that’s a solid base, but his upside nearly had me put him in the top 20 for 2021 fantasy baseball. Thisclose, as they say who don’t pause for emphasis. His Launch Angle went up a hair last year to 17.8 from 15.6. 15.6 will still get us there, but 17.8 with the increase of fly ball rate to 44.8 could be the point when he becomes a 32-homer guy. All of these fly balls could hurt his batting average. He gets lucky on power and unlucky on average, he becomes a 35-homer, .245 hitter. He becomes lucky on average and flattens his swing back down, he hits .295 but just under 25 homers. To add further proof, last year he was on a 162-game pace of 36/18/.250-ish. Average is an ‘ish’ because I’m guessing his increased Ks and Launch Angle would’ve caught up to him at some point. At 24, with a lot of MLB playing time under his belt, Albies feels on the cusp of a top 15 hitter overall. Incredible to think he still might make the most sense as a five-hole hitter in Atlanta. Also, I go over him in the video at the top of the page. 2021 Projections: 92/29/97/.262/15 in 607 ABs

2. DJ LeMahieu – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Hiura. I call this tier, “‘Nice carburetor,’ he said sarcastically while pointing at windshield wiper fluid.” This tier is filled guys who have worries under the hood, who might be totally fine, and I can’t even pinpoint all my concerns in a convincing way but I am hesitant about drafting them. As for LeMahieu, already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

3. Whit Merrifield – Could he absolutely continue to be a 15/30/.300 hitter into his thirties? Yes, trick question. He just turned 32 years old. He’s been doing it into his thirties. Am I still scared at any point his speed will be placed in a bag of rice? Ya know, dry up. By the by, how does the word ‘moist’ bother people but ‘dry up’ doesn’t? Dry up is so much grosser to think about. Moist is erotic compared to dry up. I’m taking moist out for dinner; dry up I’m emailing back after two weeks, “Sry out of town,” when you know I’ve been in town and am just avoiding ‘dry up.’ Okay, hammered that point into nothing, but there’s nothing else for me to say on Merrifield, I just don’t trust his 32-year-old legs, and there’s reams of examples about 32-year-olds slowing down. By the way, reams? That’s a worse word than moist too. 2021 Projections: 102/12/62/.284/22 in 613 ABs

4. Keston Hiura – Possibly the strangest hitter prospect of the last few years with expectations vs. reality. (Of course, this is taking out of consideration Dee Gordon, who literally changed his name to Strange.) If you would’ve told anyone that the contact-heavy, candidate-to-hit-.300 would struggle with a 35% K% in his 2nd year, after showing those same swing-and-miss tendencies his 1st year, I think most would’ve thought you were crazy. Keston went from a potential .300 average to “Could he hit .220?” It’s wild, and I don’t know what to make of it, if I’m being honest. I can point out where he’s struggled — hitting nothing hard, can’t spot offspeed pitches, his SwStr% would make Joey Gallo blush. Maybe he fixes all that, and hopefully because the trend is him going back to the minors to work on stuff. 2021 Projections: 84/34/103/.241/10 in 581 ABs

5. Ketel Marte – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here to Moustakas. I call this tier, “Clear eyes, full heart, can’t snooze.” Wakey wakey! It’s time to draft. This tier and the next are the two tiers you have to draft a 2nd baseman from, and don’t end a sentence with ‘from’ — dah! As for Marte, I nearly gave you a Ketel Marte sleeper, but instead here it is in its entirety:

Okay, f*ck off. Stop laughing at me. I didn’t write a Pete Alonso sleeper post (yet), so my brain isn’t completely water damaged like your 1987 Topps set. I’m not daft! You’re daft! I’m a freakin’ genius even if a genius needed autocorrect to spell genius. Ketel Marte was ranked a tad too high by me last year. Dot dot dot. Or was he?! Damn, Reversal Question, just sneaking up on you like blah-lau! Okay, serious question, why is it that you’re looking at some 60-game seasons like they didn’t happen at all and other ones like that’s who a player is? Ketel Marte had a terrible month and change, was injured and that’s it for him? Are you being serious right now? So, we’re throwing out his previous 144-game season where he hit 32 homers, stole 10 bags and hit .329 for his 44-game season where he was injured and hit 2 homers, stole one bag and hit .287? How does this make any sense to anyone? Lot of questions here and I don’t have a lot of answers, because we’re talking about why you think a certain thing and I have no flippin’ idea what’s stirring up in the pot sitting on your shoulders.

In 2018, Ketel Marte hit 14 homers in 153 games with a 5.8 Launch Angle and 29% fly ball rate and a 10.9 HR/FB. He wasn’t a home run hitter. That’s no deep insight. Just the facts. Then in 2019, he changed his Launch Angle to 11.6, his fly ball rate went up to 34.8% and he had a 19% HR/FB rate. In hindsight, which is me bent over peering through my butt, 19% HR/FB is high for him. Not absurd maybe, but also not going to be his norm. 34.8% FB% doesn’t seem too off, though. Then 2020 happened and he had a 3.8% HR/FB with a 32.9% FB rate and nearly same Launch Angle (10). Now discounting the 19% HR/FB as high, but Launch Angle and fly balls stayed similar, so how did he go from a 32-homer hitter to a David Eckstein? Bad luck and a wrist injury that bothered him all season. You can’t seriously think he’s a six to eight home run hitter now, can you? He’s at worst a 20-homer hitter. At best, he’s 2019’s Ketel Marte.

This hasn’t even touched on his true talent. Ketel Marte is one the best average hitters in baseball. With everything going against him last year, he hit .287. In 2019, when Marte hit .329, he had a 40% Hard Hit rate, 90 MPH average exit velocity and 22.2% line drive rate. In 2020, when everything apparently went pear-shaped, he had 40.5% Hard Hit%, 89.2 MPH exit velocity and 21.1% line drive rate. I.e., he wasn’t that different. The big problem last year was the Barrel% plummeted like they judged barrels by what happens at Niagara Falls. That doesn’t compute beyond he was making bad contact and slumping. His SwStr% went down last year and his Contact% went up. Again, he’s making contact, just not the best kind of contact. This tells me that even when Ketel Marte is slumping, he’s hitting the ball hard and just not doing as much with the pitches. Also, it was freakin’ 44 games and he might’ve been playing for the whole stretch of it with an injured wrist.

Also, he’s good for 7-10 steals. This worries me the most in his profile. He is not a prototypical fast runner. He does choose his spots wisely and is rarely caught, so I could see him sneaking into 7-10 steals, while also being capable of 4-6 steals and maybe 3-5 and I’m not going to list more numbers, but hope for seven steals and expect just under or over that. In conclusion, suck it, haters! Okay, fine, he’s not a top 30 overall hitter like I had him last year, but he’s now being drafted around 100th overall? What are y’all drinking? It’s something strong, but I don’t think it’s Ketel. Who loves Ketel Marte more than me? Find them for me so we can be best friends. 2021 Projections: 94/23/81/.301/6 in 588 ABs

6. Brandon Lowe – So, I might not be the high man on B. Lowe, but would draft him thinking 2020 had one good thing in it, and that was B. Lowe’s turn from serviceable to star being real. 100% might’ve been one great month vs. one young man having his star mitzvah. His BABIP in July (his huge month) wasn’t absurd, so that’s good, but his HR/FB% was prolly a bit high with a lofty FB%. A not-crazy-for-him 42% FB rate and 22% HR/FB would get him 34 HRs, and that’s without a passable average. Of course, the Rays are cash-poor and Kevin Cash-rich, so who knows if B. Lowe gets above 550 ABs. 2021 Projections: 77/29/83/.258/6 in 518 ABs

7. Cavan Biggio – I can squint and see Biggio being Albies. I can squint harder and see Biggio being Jurickson Profar. I need a Squint scale. Like an eye chart, but with stats. “E, F, P, 23% K%…R, Y, falling HardHit%…” Biggio strikes me (ouch) as a guy who is better for fantasy than real baseball, which is a-okay with me. He does have 20 steals without a caught stealing in the majors. His batted ball profile is a little meh. Steamer projects him for 21 homers this year, and that sounds about right, but at a .237 average, and that’s gonna be the difference here between squints. 2021 Projections: 81/19/71/.241/19 in 564 ABs

8. Max Muncy – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

9. Dylan Moore – Already gave you my Dylan Moore sleeper. It was written while clapping back. Also, I go over him in the video at the top of the page. 2021 Projections: 85/21/62/.262/17 in 567 ABs

10. Mike Moustakas – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

11. Tommy Edman – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Solak. I call this tier, “Get ’em while the get ’ems are still good.” Some 2nd basemen after this tier are fine for MI or UTIL, but guess what, fellas and fellow fantasy baseballers who aren’t fellas, this is the last tier that I want for my 2nd baseman. That’s right, you have less than ten to choose from and I bet a lot of you are in leagues with more than ten teams. Fun stuff! As for Edman, I searched my old posts for my Tommy Edman sleeper. Good news:  I thought I wrote it. Bad news:  I hadn’t. Neither here nor there news:  I’m writing it now. From about Biggio until now, I could’ve done a sub-tier called, “How hard are you squinting?” All of these guys are a solid two-eyed squint away from being much more valuable, and a top two or three 2nd baseman. Edman was caught stealing a decent amount last year, but 15 of 16 in 2019, and has 20+ steal speed. Whether he gets there is the question, and the answer is likely no. His Launch Angle last year makes him a ten homer guy vs. the 17-ish he looked like previously. With all his ground balls last year (51%), it’s hard to get enthused unless you ignore last year, which I’m inclined to do with Edman. He wasn’t last year’s batted ball profile previously, and think he can revert. Obviously warning signs, but ya gotta squint through it! 2021 Projections: 88/15/61/.262/19 in 581 ABs

12. Nick Solak – Already gave you my Nick Solak sleeper. It was written inside a sous vide bath. 2021 Projections: 82/18/65/.266/16 in 533 ABs

13. Jeff McNeil – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Altuve. I call this tier, “Song’s on an Old Navy store mix.” These guys have all had respectable seasons in the past, and they might be okay, but if you’re blasting one of these guys on your Sebring’s radio, you may as well be selling a slim-fit button down or a pullover that falls apart after you pull one string. Hey, it’s not your fault. You think of yourself as a dispensary store mix guy, but you’re a ‘walking past Tommy Bahama bobbing your head’ guy. As for McNeil, and the rest of this tier, if it’s not clear, there’s no way I’m owning any of them. McNeil looks like a solid-contact, 18-homer, 3-steal, .300 hitter–*falls off chair* What happened? I was writing something and then I just fell asleep. Is everyone okay? Did I miss anything? No? Just chatting about McNeil? Oh, okay. He had a 26.5% HardHit%, averages around 44% ground balls and a 10% HR/FB–*dozes off and hits head on desk* What the hell happened? Where am I? Oh, McNeil. Right. Yeah, he’s kinda boring. So, you can go ahead and Shazam Avicii’s Levels, but it’s a ten-year-old song. You’re the only that doesn’t know it. 2021 Projections: 86/18/76/.303/3 in 568 ABs

14. Jose Altuve – I know big-bodied players don’t age well, but how do short players age? I’m not being facetious. Anyone know if there’s been a study about players who are under 4′ 11″? Okay, that was facetious, but I am interested, if anyone’s seen anything. If I were Altuve, I’d dress up like Oscar the Grouch, and walk out to every game in a trash can with legs. Actually, he should put on a giant afro and say he’s Oscar Gamble the Grouch. Keep shizz light. Instead, Altuve looks like he swallowed a bottle of ulcer pills and can’t handle the thought of people looking at him like a cheat. It’s ancedotal, but I think that’s why Correa might succeed post-Cheaty Cheaty Bang Bang scandal, because he doesn’t give a f*ck. Zero f*cks given is the attitude I think you want, and Altuve seems the opposite of that. Even beyond that, his speed has all but dried up, and he’s not a big power threat because he’s the size of a Travelocity gnome. I tried to rank him as low as I thought I needed so you don’t draft him, but if I didn’t, still don’t draft him. 2021 Projections: 85/21/71/.267/9 in 546 ABs

15. David Fletcher – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Madrigal. I call this tier, “Febreze isn’t just something you try to name your son.” Things aren’t as dire as they seemed! A gentle respite! A warm breeze on a cool day! A cool breeze on a warm day! A Febreze spray on your track pants you’ve worn for the last month! Here’s guys for your MI or UTIL slot. If you expect a lot from any of these guys, you may as well sell your collection of Starting Lineup figurines to buy a bridge in Kansas. As for Fletcher, he’s such a lock for…Well, is there anywhere I can bet Fletcher’s gym lock combination is 8/8/.310? 2021 Projections: 94/8/51/.310/8 in 604 ABs

16. Garrett Hampson – “Ian DesmondIan Desmond…and that’s Ian Desmond too…Hey, is this some sort of trick?” That’s Bud Black doing a Rorschach test where, instead of ink blots, he’s shown pictures of Hampson, Sam Hilliard and Brendan Rodgers. 2021 Projections: 59/12/57/.263/23 in 464 ABs

17. Jake Cronenworth – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball. Also, I go over him in the video at the top of the page.

18. Ryan McMahon – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

19. Scott Kingery – Struggled with The ‘Rona for a month this past year, and looked like about five percent of his former self. All his numbers are spooky similar to past seasons, except he went from hitting 111 MPH whizz-bangers to 85 MPH gee-whizzers. Did he recover the missing 95%? At his current price, I’d take 75% return on my money. 2021 Projections: 61/16/71/.242/14 in 524 ABs

20. Tommy La Stella – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

21. Kolten Wong – Signed with the Brewers. This crowds their infield. Won’t someone please think of Daniel Robertson? Oh, and Keston Hiura, Orlando Arcia and Luis Urias. I’d put Keston at 1st, Wong at 2nd, Arcia at short, and Urias at third, but what Grey wants and Grey gets are often on different trains running in opposite directions. Recently seen in Missed Connections, “Saw you last night at a Culver’s Frozen Custard, you said you have four middle infielders, and you were in search of a corner man. You were also wearing a Brewers uniform.” That’s C.J. Cron trying to find a warm place to rest his head. Ideally, this moves Hiura to 1st base and Vogelbach to the bench, but that’s a pregunta for another day. Wong is usually only good for 420-ish at-bats, so not sure it matters for Arcia or Urias. Wong on the Brewers is a solid landing place for him, but mostly for counting stats. For power/speed, the Wong tale has been written. 2021 Projections: 81/10/56/.272/21 in 417 ABs

22. Hanser Alberto – Signed with the Royals, and will compete with Nicky Lopez for the 2nd base job. A duel! En garde! Maybe in 200 years they’ll make a hip hop musical about it. I’m young, crappy, and Nicky! And I’m not throwin’ away my shot at 2nd base! I bet he does throw away his shot, though. I mean Nicky, brr, it got chilly in here. Hanser is a .280+ hitter and should be the easy choice for everyday playing time, but I will take 100 at-bats off his projections just in case. 2021 Projections: 57/9/52/.284/3 in 433 ABs

23. Andres Gimenez – Here’s what I said this offseason, “Went the other way in the Mets/Indians trade. Already gave you my Andres Gimenez fantasy. Since his trade, I upped his projections since he doesn’t have to fight for playing time in an awful lineup, but, yeah, awful lineup. Also, there’s now a real worry that he will hit so much his batting average will bottom out and he won’t have any respite from the everyday duties and do doody after doody. Lots of doodies with duties. Of course, I’m still drafting him as a middle infidel.” And that’s me quoting me! UPDATE: With the signing of Cesar Hernandez, Gimenez’s going to be right back in the same shituation as he was in with the Mets, fighting with Amed Rosario for playing time. 2021 Projections: 51/11/58/.268/19 in 397 ABs

24. Jon Berti – I’m so gun-shy expecting Berti to get 550 ABs after last year’s 6-month Austin Powers-U-turn-in-a-golf-cart trip his fantasy value took. Every time I thought he was a starter, the Marlins would reverse his value. If Berti can ever get 500+ ABs, he could steal 30 bags. That “if” is the size of your hemorrhoids after a ten-month quarantine. 2021 Projections: 51/6/44/.263/21 in 376 ABs

25. Nick Madrigal – Already gave you my Nick Madrigal fantasy. It came, it saw, it thought that quote ended with “in Concord.” 2021 Projections: 66/2/46/.318/16 in 517 ABs

26. Jean Segura – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Dubon. I call this tier, “A Teacher on Hulu.” This show was an absolute delight. An unmitigated pleasure. A TV show worthy of an Oscar, if you gave Oscars to absolutely terrible TV shows. Bah gawd, man, give me like five more seasons of this absolutely terrible show. Terrible? Yes. Did I stutter? It was awful! But, also wonderful. That’s this tier. These guys are likely terrible, but I’m excited for them for little to no reason in deeper leagues. As for Segura, he’s awful! I know this! I’m not stupid. He’s also never played less than 125 games in a 162-game season (I hate that I have to specify this), and he’s projected for 17/10/.281 by Steamer, which is about as good as McNeil. Will Segura be that good? Prolly not, but I’d take as good as a “terrible show about a student hooking up with his hot teacher.” 2021 Projections: 72/15/77/.272/13 in 581 ABs

27. Cesar Hernandez – Signed with the Indians. He will be hitting leadoff–and, damn it, this squeezes Amed Rosario and Andres Gimenez for playing time, doesn’t it? Did they both get traded from the Mets to become exactly the same fantasy-wise on a new team? 2021 Projections: 84/10/49/.277/10 in 559 ABs

28. Ty France – I see London, I see Ty France, I see my teacher’s underpants. Is this too dirty? Or drrrrty, as one may write it now. So, France, adjacent to Germany and Italy, almost got a sleeper post. Hit the Rhine and chuck back some funky cheese, as they say. (No one says this.) France is a 27-homer-in-the-minors guy who hit .399 that year. That’s not his OBP. His BABIP was goofy, and maybe he platoons, but that’s Breakout City in France. Call him Papillon. 2021 Projections: 51/20/63/.277 in 474 ABs

29. Joey Wendle – Not to side track this — like the rest of this shizz isn’t all side tracking — but the Rays need to be stopped. They have guys who don’t get free agency until they’re in their mid-30s. Ain’t saying Joey Wendle is great, but Mr. Wendle is no bum. Even if the Rays tried to arrest his development. He’s going to be 34 years old by the time he reaches free agency. That’s ridiculous. He was still getting minor league at-bats in 2019, and he’s gonna be 31 in April! C’mon, that’s abusing the system. Okay, someone help me down from this soapbox. Please, I’m scared of heights. 2021 Projections: 61/12/71/.275/9 in 443 ABs

30. Starlin Castro – Oh, he’s awful, but, again, a totally sexy teacher sleeps with an 18-year-old dude. I mean, c’mon! This is a-fantasy baseball, said like a stereotypical Italian. Also, Castro feels like the type of guy who people are like, “There’s no way he gets 500+ at-bats,” and instead he gets 600+ ABs. 2021 Projections: 69/17/73/.267/1 in 519 ABs

31. Jonathan Schoop – Re-signed with the Tigers. Or resigned, either work when talking about the Tigers. Damn, Grey coming in like a cumulus and shading the whole region. Yo, remove your sunglasses, I got you, I’m a cloud, with my shade. Schoop always provides power and an opportunity to mispronounce his name into a Salt ‘n Pepa song.  2021 Projections: 58/23/66/.254/1 in 474 ABs

32. Jurickson Profar – Re-signed with the Padres. Because it was between them, the Mets, and the Jays, and it was the Padres turn to sign someone, next up is the Mets, then Jays again…And is this an offseason or a game of Uno? “Oh my God, it was reversed! The Padres have to sign another free agent!” So, this is not great news for Profar’s at-bats, but guys tend to get their at-bats. It’ll look in the spring like a guy might not get 200 ABs, then an injury happens and he gets 400+ ABs. 2021 Projections: 54/16/57/.261/7 in 389 ABs

33. Jonathan Villar – Signed with the Mets to play…The piano in case Billy Joel gets drunk and can’t find CitiField for his next concert once we’re out of the pandemic? I have no idea. Villar is a puzzling piece for the Mets to acquire. I guess they heard MLB is starting a man on 2nd base in extras and they want to see if Villar is the first guy to have a statline of 40/0/0/0/.000. I suppose this could remove some playing time from McNeil, but he can play elsewhere, but then where does elsewhere play? Is this a vague, unfunny Who’s on First? Yes, I guess. Villar just makes things awkward in the Mets’ lineup. Oh, and it does nothing for Villar’s value. If he couldn’t steal 25 bags in only part-time ABs, I would’ve dropped him even further.  2021 Projections: 43/6/41/.246/22 in 302 ABs

34. Enrique Hernandez – Signed with the Red Sox. I can’t imagine a year from Enrique — I don’t call him Kiké, too Enrisque — where he doesn’t go 15/4/.240, while never playing every day to make him worthwhile in mixed leagues, but the Red Sox say they’ll give him his chance for an everyday starting job. Why does this feel like a trap? 2021 Projections: 57/20/64/.236/4 in 467 ABs

35. Brendan Rodgers – Overheard in the Rockies’ clubhouse:

Bud Black, “16…16…Anyone with 16…?”
Brendan Rodgers, “What number are you?”
Garrett Hampson, “87.”
Rodgers, “I’m 88.”

That’s Bud Black calling out deli counter numbers for his lineup card. 2021 Projections: 54/14/61/.249/3 in 403 ABs

36. Gavin Lux – He just missed the cut-off for a rookie outlook post this year. I did, however, write one last year, and it’s still applicable, if you ignore the naïveté in my writerly voice not predicting an incoming plague. That Gavin Lux fantasy. My projections from that post seem doable too, and I loved A Teacher, which even the name says it’s awful! A Teacher? How about Hot For Teacher, you giant ding-dongs? 2021 Projections: 44/12/41/.271/6 in 303 ABs

37. Mauricio Dubon – If I were more geared towards writing to deep leaguers, Dubon would’ve got his own sleeper post. Should’ve done a combo sleeper with France, and called it Maurice Schlevalpier. That’s sleeper in French. This tier is all guys on the cusp, and sleeping with their teachers, and no one wants them, but I love them. Dubon seems like he should be leading off for the Aints, and could go 15/15/.300. Will he? Dude, are you paying attention? 2021 Projections: 52/10/48/.280/12 in 504 ABs

38. Wilmer Flores – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Odor. I call this tier, “Pico de gallo.” The tier name has two meanings. One, I’m pretending to be cutting onions for my salsa if I draft one of these guys, or, two, some of them are going to hit for an average like Joey, Pico de’s brother. As for Flores, already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

39. Luis Urias – Wasn’t that long ago it felt like Urias was going to be a star, then that became, “Are you talking about Julio Urias?” And you answered, “No, Luis.” And that elicited the reply, “Luis who?” And you just groaned. Brewers seem like an exceptionally bleh-run organization so that they got had for Trent Grisham isn’t shocking, but they didn’t get that had, did they? It was only two years ago Urias seemed like a bet for a 25/10/.230 season. Is it in there? Anywhere? 2021 Projections: 51/16/60/.234/5 in 491 ABs

40. Chad Pinder – Saw Steamer projections for Pinder: 20/3/.249 and my eyes went crossed-eye never to be the same again. I’ve been Pinderized. 2021 Projections: 54/14/61/.239/1 in 466 ABs

41. Niko Goodrum – The good news is if you draft him, Goodrum comes with his own chaser. The bad news is you’re the chaser and it’s on waivers for a decent 2nd baseman. UPDATE: Removed when the Tigers signed Renato Nunez. 2021 Projections: 61/16/66/.222/16 in 551 ABs

41. Rougned Odor – He’s still only 27 years old and has three years of hitting 30 homers and 10+ steals. Crazy how he’s so undervalued. People obviously have a problem with his .185 xBA. Kinda lame on those people’s part if you ask me. So critical. Geez. He’s only a .455 BABIP away from hitting .250. 2021 Projections: 51/22/54/.203/7 in 408 ABs

42. Mike Brosseau – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Lopez. I call this tier, “Scarecrow wearing a starter jacket.” By the tier name, I mean these guys are as good as filling a starter jacket with hay and putting them out at 2nd base. As for Brosseau, already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

43. Freddy Galvis – Signed with the Orioles. This is the kind of move more teams should be making. Not a good move for the team, but a move to reveal to their fan base they’re not even trying.   2021 Projections: 71/17/77/.224/4 in 581 ABs

44. Adam Frazier – I suggest a rule that if a guy gets 550+ ABs and sucks, he can’t have a starting job again until he wins said job from a prospect. Pirates can’t just keep throwing Frazier out there like he’s Tommy Herr. More like Tommy Eraser from our memories. 2021 Projections: 58/10/39/.268/4 in 412 ABs

45. Donovan Solano – This guy shares many of the same qualities as Cavan Biggio, like they both have ‘van’ in their first name. Sadly, Biggio is a Can-van and Solano is a Don’tvan. 2021 Projections: 54/6/46/.262/1 in 477 ABs

46. Chris Taylor – I might be falling twice for the ol’ banana-in-the-tailpipe, but Dave Roberts can’t start Taylor for 500+ ABs. I refuse to believe Dave Roberts is sneakily wearing Bud Black’s earth skin. 2021 Projections: 42/12/51/.241/7 in 337 ABs

47. Luis Garcia – You know what we called Luis Garcia last year? Luis Arraez. 2021 Projections: 43/5/52/.297/6 in 381 ABs

48. Michael Chavis – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

49. Marwin Gonzalez – Already went over him at the top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball.

50. Nico Hoerner – There is an abnormally large amount of guys who have the statline:  who cares/whatever/yeah/so/who cares. “So” with a chance for “Nice,” to be fair. 2021 Projections: 54/9/51/.278/9 in 477 ABs

51. Nicky Lopez – This is the first time a major league regular started his career as an Adam Sandler character. Go get ’em Little Nicky! 2021 Projections: 21/2/26/.268/7 in 306 ABs

52. Jazz Chisholm – This is the last tier. This tier goes from here until the end. I call this tier, “So, you fell asleep mid-draft. Now what?” Tier name is self-explanatory, and you should’ve took some No Doz. Already gave you my Jazz Chisholm fantasy. It was written on the wrong side of the law. 2021 Projections: 31/13/34/.206/10 in 268 ABs

53. Kevin Newman – You gotta go next level garbage to play yourself out of a job in Pittsburgh, but Newman #nailedit. Or rather with Newman, it’s #mailedit. 2021 Projections: 41/7/43/.261/10 in 334 ABs

54. David Bote – Feels like a guy who you spend $11 on in your FAAB bidding during the season, then don’t regret dropping him three weeks later because you only spent $11 out of $1000. 2021 Projections: 48/12/52/.229/4 in 388 ABs

55. Luis Arraez – Prospect Guy, “Luis Arraez has great bat control!” Me,”Does he do anything worthwhile in fantasy?” Prospect Guy, “Do you have a Checked Swing category in your league?” UPDATE: With Andrelton Simmons signing, Arraez was bumped down. 2021 Projections: 37/4/36/.318/4 in 327 ABs

56. Josh Rojas – I once wrote a Josh Rojas sleeper post and I can’t think of anything more hilarious. Bless this mess, which is what I say to my brain. 2021 Projections: 31/6/27/.231/8 in 191 ABs

57. Isan Diaz – Bit of a Berti handcuff. Maybe I can handcuff Isan Diaz to Aguilar to get Berti and Lewin Diaz both in the lineup. Hmm, will research laws. Do they have laws in Florida? That will be my first Google search! 2021 Projections: 31/12/36/.224/2 in 229 ABs

 
  1. SteveNZ says:
    (link)

    Odor! Remember when we took him in the second round and he hit two home runs on opening day? Simpler times.

    • Dave D says:
      (link)

      I guess if you pair Odor with Arraez you could have a cheap 65/18/60/7 .255 combo. Might work in a 15 team NFBC if the rest of your IF is Abreu, Tatis, Devers, Rizzo.

      I actually drafted him in our early RaZZ NFBC DC. The rest of my IF is Alonso, Lindor, Machado, T.Anderson, Moose. If I were to start him over my other 2B’s and he replicated his 2019 line of 77/30/93/11 .205, I might be able to hang with that as long as T.A. Hits .316. That would be solid production from a 28th rounder. A platoon with Kolty Wong and Garrett Hampson is perhaps in his DC future!!!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Dave turning margarine into butter!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He’ll be there again in the 2nd round…I wouldn’t advise drafting him there tho

  2. They were deviling my dogs says:
    (link)

    20 teams with one catcher. How do you feel about drafting a late 2b and a way late c? Thank you.

    • packers2018 says:
      (link)

      With a 20 team redraft and you want to punt 2b and C, I could see it. Look for guys that still could help with at least one cat. Catcher power, think Stassi-Garver and 2b look for speed.
      Just my 2 cents.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      What are you drafting early?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Late catcher is fine, btw

  3. Ante GALIC says:
    (link)

    Grey!!!

    Excellent report, mang!

    a. Damn, a guy can’t dream at all in your rankings! I thought Berti would be a great sleeper but no! You have to dash everyone’s dreams. But it’s good. A good cold shower is what most of us need after the dystopia of 2020. Hard to make heads or tails or fly soup out of 2020 or the continuation from 2019 in 2021 and expectations for player stats! Really hard!

    b. Have a nice weekend.

    c. MLB quote of the day for January 22, 2021

    1. Leon Roberts, born January 22, 1951

    ‘Don’t show up your opponent. Just play the game and don’t get too outrageous,” said Leon Roberts, Cincinnati Reds hitting coordinator. “Hit a home run, run around the bases, head down, halfway fast instead of dancing, prancing around. That’s how you end up getting drilled.” There was a time when punishment might not come until the next season in spring training. In 1987, Boston pitcher Al Nipper drilled Darryl Strawberry in retribution for Strawberry’s flamboyant trot on a home run in Game 7 of the 1986 World Series.’

    Author Paul Dickson in The Unwritten Rules of Baseball: The Etiquette, Conventional Wisdom, and Axiomatic Codes of Our National Pastime (Harper Publishing, 03/24/2009, Page 60)

    2. Jeff Treadway, born January 22, 1963

    ‘He is an adequate second baseman. He reminds me a lot of San Francisco’s Rob Thompson. He isn’t spectacular, but he’s solid and does a lot of things right.’

    Pete Rose in Baseball Digest (March 1988)

    3. Ubaldo Jimenez, born January 22, 1984

    ‘I feel really proud (winning September 2013 Pitcher of the Month Award), because I never gave up. Especially having that tough year last year, I never put my head down. I always came to the stadium to work hard every day, hoping that things were going to change. And they’ve changed.’

    Ubaldo Jimenez on MLB.com (Cash Kruth, 09/30/2013, ‘Ubaldo deals himself Pitcher of Month Award’, Source)

    4. Tommie Agee, died January 22, 2001

    ‘Few Mets achieved a higher state of popularity than Tommie Agee, who succumbed to a massive heart attack that day (January 22, 2001) while leaving his New York City office. Agee was only 58, which made the news all the more unbearable. Although Agee played only a handful of his 12 seasons with the Mets and didn’t start or finish his career with the franchise, he became a lasting symbol of the team’s unexpected success in 1969. Displaying his vintage Gold Glove defense against the Baltimore Orioles, Agee made two acrobatic catches for the Mets in Game 3 of the 1969 World Series. The pair of catches helped the Mets win the game and take a two games-to-one lead in the Series. And let’s not forget what Agee did during the regular season in 1969, when he hit a career-high 26 home runs as the team’s everyday center fielder.’

    By Bruce Markusen in Tales from the New York Mets Dugout: A Collection of the Greatest Mets Stories Ever Told (Sports Publishing, 03/14/2012, Page 234)

    5. Cesar Gutierrez, died January 22, 2005

    ‘(Cesar) Gutierrez became first player in modern major league history to collect seven straight hits in one game as Tigers defeated Indians in 12 innings, 9-8, to sweep doubleheader.’

    The Sporting New (June 29, 1970)

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, mang!

      A. Was I too harsh on him? I’d draft him, just pretty late

      B. You too!

      4. 2. HAHAHAHA, oh Pete

      • Ante GALIC says:
        (link)

        Grey!!!

        a. You were too harsh on all of us who dream of drafting Berti in round 15 while collecting Tatis, Acuna and Albies in the first 3 rounds. Looks like you had better have a 2 from the top 10 from this list or you will suffer, that’s my take.

        b. Yes, Pete. Thought you’d like that one given we have 2B on the menu today!

        c. Thought you’d like the Ubaldo quote more given that he has burned you in the past, aka Ubaldo=U bad, doh!

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          A. I am a tough SOB!

          B. Haha, yes, it was good

          C. I hate Ubaldo

        • Ante GALIC says:
          (link)

          Grey!!

          RIP Hammerin’ Hank, died at the age of 86. A good long life.

          Cheers,
          Ante

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Yeah, legend

            • DonnieB says:
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              Got his China virus vaccine on the air two weeks before he died. Uh..oh.

  4. Big league choo says:
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    16 team pts dynasty

    Trade my arozarena/Noelvi marte for

    Matt Chapman/jeter downs

    I’m definitely in the top 5 teams right now. Only start 3 OF.

    • NUX says:
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      What do you have at 3B right now?

      • Big league choo says:
        (link)

        Jd Davis. We cut down to 30 man rosters then draft all FA/1st yr guys together. Probably cutting Davis or Christian Walker who is my CI if I make the deal

        • NUX says:
          (link)

          I’d be leaning Chapman side now, especially with this info.

          Jeter is much closer than Noelvi, who is a great piece to own, but still far away. Itch has Noelvi debut coming sometime in 2023. Jeter should be around and available to use sometime this summer. They aren’t playing for much in 2021 and will prob want to have the big piece in the Mookie deal on the field to help keep the pitchforks at bay in the Boston fan base.

          So keeping in mind, you have a nice window to win now (and prob later too), I think you should pull the trigger. If Randy blows up and is what he looked like in the playoffs, then so be it, you can find another OF much more easily than a solid young 3B like Matt Chapman. But Randy slumps a bit and the savvy Rays could make things weird for Randy shares…. I don’t expect that, but there is no doubt that Chapman is the Oakland 3B for the next few years at least until FA.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sounds fair

  5. thehombre says:
    (link)

    Thank you for this.

    In an OBP league with a $260 budget, would you rather a $27 Albies or $20 Biggio? I think I know it is Albies, but Biggio is an OBP machine.

      • Sweatpants Nation says:
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        Steamer also only has Biggio down for 353 OBP so they must not be buying the 400 from last year

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thank you!

      Albies

    • Rabbit says:
      (link)

      Although Albies for just $7 more seems the better bet for you, hombre, in an OBP league Biggio seems to have so much more value than in an Average league. Looking back over his last four years of stats (including minors stats, obviously), his OBP routinely is .110-.130 higher than his average, and that seems to be a skill set that generally stays consistent for hitters year in and year out. For that reason, I am considering keeping Biggio at $3 in my 5×5 OBP auction league instead of Aldaberto at $1, given that I already have a good start with SBs with my other keepers (JoRam and Acuna) and Aldaberto’s OBP is atrocious.
      Btw, Grey, I saw you quote E.B. Farnum in yesterday’s post–does that mean that you broke down and watched Deadwood? I remember some years ago recommending Deadwood to you in the Comments when you solicited suggestions for shows to binge watch, and you were all like “Nah, I don’t like Westerns,” and I said “It’s not really a standard Western; it’s more like a Shakespearean play,” and you said “Shut up, Fool!” or something to that effect (my memory may be a little faulty on that). Anyway, hope you did ultimately check out Deadwood, as it’s one of my favorite shows of all time.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Deadwood is a top 5 show of all-time

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I just watched it for the 2nd time with Cougs…I had seen it a few years ago, maybe when you first recommended it

          • thehombre says:
            (link)

            Thanks so much everyone!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem

  6. Jimmy says:
    (link)

    Sam Delaplane-Blake Crderlund -Jordan Weems 20 team 5×5 dynasty- any of these 3 this years Version of Devin Williams if not who would you fill your final relief spot out of these guys thanks! Look forward to reading your column everyday!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

      Sam Delaplane is interesting, no on Cederlind, and Weems is interesting…Devin was a special year that isn’t often repeated…If I had to guess, I’d say Delaplane, since he’d be most out of nowhere

  7. eric kesselman says:
    (link)

    Minor suggestion- instead of the constant ‘already went over him’ which requires a lot of extra clicking, why not just paste the same blurb in again? No one really cares how long the page goes down. Would make for much easier reading.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Gotcha, under advisement

      • eric kesselman says:
        (link)

        Also makes for much easier eyeballing their various projections

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I hear ya

  8. Cram It says:
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    A Teacher sounds so awful. There’s no way I was going to watch it. Is it seriously about the “complexities” of a teacher raping a student?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      That’s just the jumping off point!

      • Cram It says:
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        Oh, what, they catch feelings for each other, they try to hide it, they get caught, they act out, her life is ruined, he’s in therapy, she’s really a secret agent trying to infiltrate a high school drug cartel? I’ve read this story 100 times.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Spoiler! Yeah, pretty much, except the drug cartel part

          • Ace of Spades says:
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            How hot is the student? Asking for a friend.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Student’s the dude

          • Cram It says:
            (link)

            Ha. I know, I threw that in there to make it sound more interesting than what I figure it’s about.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              You might’ve combined 21 Jump Street into A Teacher, which doesn’t sound bad

              • Cram It says:
                (link)

                Speaking of, have you seen Jonah Hill’s “Mid 90’s”?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Nah, any good?

                  • Cram It says:
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                    Yup. Nostalgic with enough emotional punch.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I kinda hate Jonah Hill tho, does that matter?

                  • Cram It says:
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                    I get that. I don’t know him as a person, but his good acting turns outweigh his bad for me. He’s not in this movie…he wrote and directed it.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Ah, I will have to check it out

  9. Rebar says:
    (link)

    I love how there are 58 2nd baseman listed under the title “top 20 2B!”

    I think there are some values to be had at the back end – If Chisolm gets AB’s I’m all in. Also Brendon Rogers. Can we bring a class action lawsuit against Bud Black for age dissemination? No, I’m serious!

    • Sweatpants Nation says:
      (link)

      You’d have to establish that mid 20 year old middle infielders are a class that can be discriminated against.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Does that mean you’ll take the case, Sweatpants?

        • Sweatpants Nation says:
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          I think we’d be better off establishing that Black has harmed our earning power by not playing the young guys. Nit a slam dunk by any John Means.
          Discrimination is tough because one has to be part of a class that has been established to be harmed by a majority. Or at least that’s what I learned watching Matlock.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Feels like you’re passing it off on a younger associate — is it Mark Ruffalo and this case is about contaminated soil or are you taking the case?

            • Sweatpants Nation says:
              (link)

              Really not enough money in it so I’ll give to Rudy G. I hear he’s good at winning cases.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Haha, damn passing it off

                • Sweatpants Nation says:
                  (link)

                  Gotta given the unwinnable ones to others

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Haha

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I like Jazz and Rodgers too, but, yeah, they need some breaks for PT let alone value

  10. Dave D says:
    (link)

    Great read, Albright, one of your very best to date. You had me spraying an aerosol of a carefully blended coffee/saliva at my iPhone at 5am this morning.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, thanks, Dave!

    • Coolwhip says:
      (link)

      I hope your phone needed a bath.

      • Dave D says:
        (link)

        I washed it in Palmolive.

  11. Scott Kimmel says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I received an offer overnight and you have to hear the way he makes deals

    From me he wants: Bregman ($35) and Kyle Tucker ($5) = $40

    I would get from him: Snell ($43), J.Winker ($28), e. Rosario ($18), J.Paxton ($34) and A. Benentendi ($30) =$153/$113 difference w/Paxton in deal, and $119/$79 difference without Paxton deal. No cash to cover the difference in salary

    I countered with Bregman ($35) and Conforto ($26) = $61 for Snell ($43) Benentendi ($30) and Rosario ($18) = $91 and $20 in salary cap relief.

    He then said, he wants Tucker not Conforto, to which I said that I want ALL the difference to come my way ($51) and he said no to that. He is $619 under the cap, and he can’t give up $51 in the difference.

    Am I wrong here?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Doesn’t seem like he’s negotiating fairly

      • Scott Kimmel says:
        (link)

        sad to hear about Hank Aaron. Truly a legend in the game

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I know, super sad

          • Scott Kimmel says:
            (link)

            would you have taken the offer he made or the one i countered with?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yours sounds fair

              • Scott Kimmel says:
                (link)

                said no to that

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Yeah, you mentioned

                  • Scott Kimmel says:
                    (link)

                    would have been nice to get snell but oh well.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yup

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
                      (link)

                      apparantly negotiating is not in his vocabulary

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
                      (link)

                      thats what i thought

                  • Scott Kimmel says:
                    (link)

                    He came back to me with the initial offer.

                    From me he wants: Bregman ($35) and Kyle Tucker ($5) = $40

                    I would get from him: Snell ($43), J.Winker ($28), e. Rosario ($18), J.Paxton ($34) and A. Benentendi ($30) =$153/$113 difference w/Paxton in deal, and $119/$79 difference without Paxton deal. No cash to cover the difference in salary. Would you make it and possibly flip some of the pieces to another team

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      I’d turn him down

    • Diego Garcia says:
      (link)

      Your counter wasn’t great – – I certainly wouldn’t accept it – -but his initial proposal was God-awful.

      K Tucker at $5 is tremendous value so you’re smart to exclude him unless you’re getting similar value in return.

      The Righty Masher Jesse Winker at $28 is way overpriced compared to E Rosario at $18.

      Jim Paxton is almost as overrated in fantasy as he is in actual reality. Aside from being soft and injury prone, he’s past his prime and his prime was never that great to begin with.

  12. Will says:
    (link)

    Rotowire on Brandon Lowe – projection is .268 / 32 / 95 / 4

    Even higher than yours!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Wow, that is optimistic

  13. Was thinkin Marte for 2B but was sniped early, settled for Gimenez. I’ll try again in March

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Gimenez isn’t a bad consolation in Cleveland

  14. Malicious Phenoms says:
    (link)

    Really enjoying the top, insert number, by position. lol Good stuff. Thanks for all the extra work going above and beyond top 10!!

    Ireland lockdown has been extended to April. People dying all over the place here, it is beyond bad here, new strain is out of control.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Damn, this all sucks…Be well and safe, MP!

    • everywhereblair

      everywhereblair says:
      (link)

      Take care, MP!

    • Stl Squat Cobblers says:
      (link)

      Dizzam!! The Phenoms are in Ireland!?!?! The ancestral home of the Cobblers. We here in STL are so very jelly of MP. Been there twice…must go back even if I have to hike all of the way:)

      • Stl Squat Cobblers says:
        (link)

        Oops how callous of me. People dying at high rates there? Be safe distant cousins!!

        • Malicious Phenoms says:
          (link)

          Thanks guys. Unfortunately Ireland has the highest death rate in the world. God willing we will all get thru this.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Yes, be safe!

  15. Cyler says:
    (link)

    If Brendan Rodgers is the everyday 2B in Colorado where do you think he ranks? He is currently the only 2B I have and am planning on keeping him, 15 keepers, but I could also make a trade for…well anyone I guess. Would you keep him for upside or abandon ship and get any other 2B you could get your hands on.

  16. Hernan says:
    (link)

    Padres get Profar too, maybe they think the season is 264 games( to make up for 2020)…., adjust the projections!!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I just added him in above

  17. Jared Hanson says:
    (link)

    Not that we need another 2B, but are you including the Padres’ Kim under shortstops?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Kim will be ranked for SS

  18. Ace of Spades says:
    (link)

    January Grey

    So Glad to have you back bro. Happy belated birthday.

    A few things:
    1. Let the lazy people do the extra click and keep doing the went over him already stuff. I mean, more clicks mean more ratings right? If not, Ignore this first thing. But if it does, you already do enough work for free for all of us fantasy baseball addicts. Next thing ya know people will be requesting that you draft for them.
    2. I am sure you have heard talk about the Blue Jays possibly playing in Dunedin , Fla. if they are unable to play in Canada. Any idea how this stadium plays out for hitters and pitchers?
    3. I have purchased the Patreon thing when it became available for the ratings. I was hesitant at first. I was afraid that it might spoil the daily surprise and excitement of January Greys posts. Just want to share that, it was worth it and didn’t ruin a thing. Thanks to the knowledge and humor of razzballers in the comments section, and your diligence in responding, January Grey is still a daily treat.
    4. My question for today ( and I am pretty sure I know the answer but just looking for some validation ) in a 14 team , keep up to 11, auction league ( $260 ) I was offered this trade.
    I would get: Juan Soto $12 and my choice of either Zach Pleasac or Bassit.( both $10 values ) He would get from me : Buehler $12, Biggio $10 and Kingery $10.
    I already have Bieber $17 and Gallen $10 that I am keeping.
    I think I should take it without thinking. do you agree?
    I also am leaning towards Plesac over Bassit, my only pause on this one is do I really want 2 Cleveland Native American pitchers?
    Anyway, your validation is greatly appreciated. Thank you and Rudy and the staff and the whole razz nation for making life feel just a little bit more normal with each post.
    and as always, thanks in advance for your thoughts on the trade.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Appreciate it!

      1. Yeah, I tend to think this

      2. No clue tbh

      3. Thank you!

      4. Yeah, take it

      No problem!

  19. Coolwhip says:
    (link)

    The Keston Hiura Conundrum really is mysterious. Many of the scouts that saw him in the fall league before his callup thought he was a better hitter than Vladito. So the 300 to 230 swing and miss is certainly interesting (in a bad way). The contact in the Zone falling, EV falling, K rate spiking is concerning, buttttt small sample. so a sign of more a crappy season where he was the 2nd best bat in the lineup behind Gyorko. Because so many Brewers were awful, kinda makes me wonder about their hitting coach (though the lineup in general was/is pretty crappy). Oddly the hardhit rate dropped but the barrel% went up. Goofy indeed.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, right? Like it if it was luck it would make more sense…He’s legitimately floundering for contact, and that was the one thing everyone thought would be 60+ grade

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        The Brewers seem to suck with contact in general tho

        • Coolwhip says:
          (link)

          exactly. His run value on all pitches that “hide” fastballs dropped to negative value in the short season. Sinker, Change, Splitter. I almost wonder if he had trouble seeing things, like he needs new contacts or something.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Yeah, something seems dramatically off from what we thought he was going to be vs. what he’s been

            • Coolwhip says:
              (link)

              You know, they probably went high on him. I’ll check that out later.

              • Coolwhip says:
                (link)

                some of it is luck due the BABIP like 50 points below where it probably should be, but the bad contact was a part of that as well

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Yeah, but Ks and bad contact are doing heavy lifting to make him suck

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Cool

    • Like many other studs that had a rough 60 games it will be interesting to see which ones get back to what works and reset.

  20. Stl Squat Cobblers says:
    (link)

    Great stuff Fantasy Master Lothario Don’t Abbreviate from Fantasy Baseball College of Charleston (that’s quite a moniker!!)

    2B is tough for the Cobblers (with an NFBC focus). Albies seems fairly valued with a January ADP of 32/33. But he’ll likely never be a Cobbler. Round 2 is likely occupied by Bichette, Harper, Machado….whilst Round 3 we (Grey and I:) like Bogaerts, Devers, Abreu, Arenado with higher floors and ceilings than 2021 Albies.

    All other top 10 are over-valued except Ketel (ADP 81) and Muncy who has slipped from ADP 93 to 104. Will be all over Muncy at 100+ …BUT I do like Goldy, Verdugo, K Lewis, D Moore, Bundy, Urias, Paddack and Gausman in that area.

    Dang! 2B is tough!! Might just wait until Gimenez for SBs and hope for the best.

    Thanks Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha

      Yeah, I hear ya, it’s a tough position this year…Might be going with Andres myself, but I have drafted Ketel in a few leagues already — me likey!

      • hot corner says:
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        Agreed. 2B has been very difficult to draft, probably the most difficult. The position is all about roster construction this year. SB and AVG are the two scarce hitting commodities. I know that you don’t like him, but I have drafted McNeil in a few spots, usually around pick 90-95. I just bank the .300 avg with near 20 HR’s and non-zero SB’s and move on. There are so few guys that consistently hit over .300 and I will get my counting stats elsewhere.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, that’s fair, don’t like him, but as long as you know what you’re getting

    • Still getting over Cobbler’s Skubal selection

  21. Jr says:
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    Good rankings! Second is absolute crap this year!

    Looking at your Mondesi ranking from the top 20 overall, how would his ranking change in a league that subs avg for obp, slugging added, and has walks as a counting stat? We don’t count runs or RBI either, Total bases replaced those two. (Our commissioner doesn’t like “luck based stats”).

    I have second pick in our draft this year, which after keepers is really like a 15-20th round pick. Pick 1 will be Torkelson, but I can go Mondesi, Randy, Whit, or a prospect (A. Martin, Veen, Lacy, etc). Mondesi worth it in this type of league that puts a lot of value on the high obp/walks guys and devalues guys who don’t hit for a high slg %.

      • Jr says:
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        Haha that’s pretty spot on!

        And thanks! I use those, but since we don’t use Runs or RBI it’s not a perfect comparison, but it definitely helps!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem!

  22. Sweatpants Nation says:
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    RIP Hank Aaron
    Tired of losing the guys I grew up watching.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, sucks

      • Sweatpants Nation says:
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        I read a bio of him at an impressionable age and was really attracted to his story. Especially him playing for the Indianapolis Clowns which as a kid I cracked up over the name.
        I even wrote to him when he was taking all that crap when he was chasing Ruth to encourage him. He sent back an autographed photo which I still have.
        He was a total class act.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That’s awesome! I went to see Bud Selig do a Q&A with him and Robert Wagner (no joke, don’t ask)…Hank seemed like a great guy

          • Sweatpants Nation says:
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            That would have been cool. Well, maybe not the Selig part haha

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha, or the Robert Wagner part

              • Sweatpants Nation says:
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                I’m sure there is a good story there

  23. 183414 says:
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    Was hoping to get Lynn or Maeda @60/61, but with 7 picks ahead of me, they’re both gone. Was planning to take 1 of them @ 60/61, but I think, in light of s.p.’s being taken by everyone that I’ll have to take 2 s.p.’s at 60/61. By my next picks (90/91), there is zero chance that there will be a semblance of a #1 s.p. on the board.
    NFBC Draft Champions is just a different animal. Snell, Maeda, Lynn all gone. No way Valdez is there @90.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I hear ya…NFBC DC is so populated with people taking SPs crazy early

    • Diego Garcia says:
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      A mediocre soon-to-be 34yr old Lanny Lynn as your SP1? That’s a league you have ZERO chance at winning.

      You should be grateful that you didn’t get the opportunity to waste a 5th round pick on him.

      There’s a MUCH greater chance of Lynn finishing with a WHIP over 1.35 than there is of him finishing with 250 K’s.

      • batflix says:
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        straight awful 2cents Diego

  24. 183414 says:
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    How would you rank Ryu- Carrasco- Gray- Plesac- Berrios- Hendricks- Bundy.
    I have no pitchers as of yet, with 6 more picks in front of me.
    Lynn was going to be my #1, mainly because of wins and k’s. So I guess I’m looking for a good 4 cat s.p., at this point.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ryu, Gray, Carrasco

      • 183414 says:
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        Gray and Carrasco went.

    • Diego Garcia says:
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      Definitely go with Hung Junk Ryu or Berrios or Plesac or Cookie or S Gray over Lanny Lynn.

      Basically ANYONE that you listed is a better option than Lynn.

      • 183414 says:
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        I took Ryu. Cookie and Gray were taken. Debating on taking either Plesac or Berrios or the best bat available.

        • Diego Garcia says:
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          You’ll be happy with Hung Junk Ryu. He’s the Jim Harden of baseball – – great numbers in the regular season then gets stage fright and shuts his pants in the playoffs when it matters.

          If there’s been a run on SP to the point that Lanny Lynn would be considered an SP1 then you should probably go with Berrios next depending on what hitters are available.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Hard to say without knowing rest of team, but prolly Berrios or Plesac

          • 183414 says:
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            Going back to this pick (61), am I crazy to really like Conforto, hitting between Lindor and Alonso ?
            Think Conforto will fit very nice. Will have to take my chances with s.p.’s @90.
            What do you think ? Berrios and Framber will likely be gone, but so will Conforto.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I like Conforto too — but I don’t know who you own

              • 183414 says:
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                Acuna/Arenado/Bogaerts/Ryu

          • 183414 says:
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            Going back to this pick (61), am I crazy to really like Conforto, hitting between Lindor and Alonso ?
            Think Conforto will fit very nice. Will have to take my chances with s.p.’s @90.
            What do you think ? Berrios and Framber will likely be gone, but so will Conforto.

            • Diego Garcia says:
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              Please tell me you haven’t made the #61 pick for Mike Conforto already.

              You’ve just finished talking about how SP is flying off the draft board in your league. You’ve already got Acuna to anchor your OF.

              WTF would you take Conforto over Berrios?

              That .322AVG last year sure seems like an outlier. You can definitely get an OF next time around that will match the 85/25/85/.265 that Confirto will give you. This is likely your last opportunity to get a SP who can put up 200 K’s.

              Right now your pitching staff needs more help than your OF does.

              • batflix says:
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                Diego in contention for worst razzball commenter 2021

          • 183414 says:
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            Acuna/Bogaerts/Arenado/Ryu…….

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Ah, I see…I’d prolly take Conforto then an SP on the next pick after

              • 183414 says:
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                Thanks bro !!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  No problem

  25. jayj says:
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    Have Will smith and Ryan jeffers at catcher in 1 catcher league 16 man dynasty.
    would you do Will for Teoscar, Clint, Cronenworth or hold. thanks.

    • jayj says:
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      1 for 1 for each of those. sorry

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d take Teoscar

  26. Carl says:
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    Where is Ha Seong-Kim on this list? Curious because he will more than likely be listed as 2B

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He was a shortstop and will be ranked as one

  27. Harley Earl says:
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    They really considering sending Hiura back to the minors? That’s horrifying.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Unlikely, but if he’s hitting .200 that might want to

  28. Nitro says:
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    Cubs starting second baseman number 49. Yikes.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Not a good time for Cubs fans

      • Nitro says:
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        Unfortunately, I know… I still can’t believe how little they got for Yu. Oy

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I know, it’s pretty messed up

  29. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey,

    Would you a trade Bregman ($35) and Mize ($5) for Yelich ($39) and Fried ($6)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I would

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        Waiting to see if he is interested

        • Scott Kimmel says:
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          would u rather have fried or Snell

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Snell

            • Scott Kimmel says:
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              then i would only be able to Mize for snell

              • Scott Kimmel says:
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                which offer would u make

                Bregman and Mize for Yelich and Fried

                Or Bregman and Mize for Snell Benintendi and winker

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yelich

                  • Scott Kimmel says:
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                    also bregman and mize for Ozuna and Woodruff

                    so the yelich deal,the snell deal and the ozuna deal. Can you put it in order of which one to accept first to last

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yelich, then Ozuna

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      so yelich then ozuna then snell

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Meh on Snell

                  • Scott Kimmel says:
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                    the guy with yelich said he wants Luis Roberts and fried was not available

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Nah

                  • Scott Kimmel says:
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                    so i might be back to the Ozuna deal

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Gotcha

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      trying to see what it would take to get Yelich and Fried. I amthinking about offering Conforto and Deivi Cruz. THoughts?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Sounds fair

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      Taillon to NYY for 4 prospects

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Pirates suck so bad

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      yes they do.

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      how much does taillons value go up now bc of him going tioNYY

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Not much

  30. Ese Mero says:
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    Gray, in a keeper league where we keep 10 guys. 12 teamer
    H2H league.
    I trade away Lowe, my 2022 #1 pick and my #4 for darvish. Good deal?
    I have sixto and Walker B as my 2 sps but would like to add that Ace. Thoughts on deal?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d take Darvish, it’s fair

  31. RIP Hank! I used to play catch on the sidewalk in front of his house in Beerwaukee until he would come out and tell us it’s time to go home kids!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Damn, that’s pretty cool tho…sad news for sure

  32. Saints says:
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    Great stuff Grey.
    In a Dynasty would you consider giving up Betts for Albies ? Are you that high on him ?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nope

      • Saints says:
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        Thanks a lot

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