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Ladies and Gentleman, I present to you my pièce de résistance!! Yes, applaud for me, revel in my greatness. I even broke out a fancy accent marked phrase, who does that but a pretentious liberal arts major with delusions of grandeur? This is my title fight, the list for which all prospectors are measured. It’s my Top 100 Prospects for 2017 Fantasy Baseball. Now that I’ve gotten beyond all the muckedy muck, let me explain a little about my list, and ranks. First: Yes I 100% factor in proximity, and it effects my rankings. Second: Upside is the most important factor. Third: Production in the minors matters to me. Unless it’s in a crazy ballpark (cough, cough FirstEnergy Stadium: Reading, Pa), or contradictory to batted ball data. I’ve been deep in my hole since early October breaking down every system in the minors, reviewing video on Youtube, looking at batted ball data, checking the stats, and reading any and every scouting report I can get my hands on. It’s one part eye test/ one part player profile/ one part production. I’ve been training all offseason for this, only my training involves sweat pants, a laptop, and lots of snacks. Speaking of snacks, I’m hungry let’s get into the list!! You already know who’s ranked first… It’s Top 100 Prospects day!

 

The Pre-Season 2017 Top 100 Prospects for Fantasy Baseball

1.  Andrew Benintendi, OF | Age: 22 | Red Sox | 2016 Level MLB/AA/A+

Benny Baseball, Benny with the good hair, Chainz, Mi Amor! This man will make or break my reputation. After gaining 20 lbs of muscle, I’m all in on him in all formats. ETA: 2017

2.  Yoan Moncada, 2B/3B | Age: 22 | White Sox | 2016 Level MLB/AA/A+

Arguably 1B to Benintendi, netted the Sox an ace in Chris Sale, and there’s a reason many think Moncada was the best piece in the deal. Power/speed combo with hit tool. Moves back to 2B, with Chicago, should start the season in AAA Charlotte. ETA: 2017

3.  Austin Meadows, OF | Age: 21 | Pirates | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

Breaking into his power stroke in 16′ pushes him way up to the top of the list. More than likely spends a majority of the year at AAA, should see promotion immediately if the Bucs find a suitor for Cutch. ETA: 2017

4.  Victor Robles, OF | Age: 19 | Nationals | 2016 Level: A+/A/Rk

19 years old and full of potential. The highest ceiling in the minors with elite hit tool/speed/power mix, turns 20 in May and is still a few years away. Potential superstar in the making. ETA: 2019

5.  Eloy Jimenez, OF | Age: 19 | Cubs | 2016 Level: A+

I love power, it makes my standard issue Prospector sweatpants pitch tents. Eloy has the best power ceiling in the minors. Voted most likely to draw Giancarlo Stanton comps by his Top 100 classmates. ETA: 2019

6.  Cody Bellinger, 1B/OF | Age: 21 | Dodgers | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

First base is one of the most shallow positions in the minors, and Bellinger is the best of the group by a wide margin. Love his flyball focused swing, and multi-position eligibility he’ll have early in his career. ETA: 2017

7.  Brendan Rodgers, SS/2B | Age: 20 | Rockies | 2016 Level: A

He was introduced to baseball by a man named Ralph. Destined for greatness from that moment. Brings plus hit/power tools, from a middle infielder, the prospects of a career at Coors boost his value. Should destroy the Cal League hitting at Lancaster. ETA: 2019

8.  Lewis Brinson, OF | Age: 22 | Brewers | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

Great mix of contact/power/speed, has cut down on the strikeouts of late, still needs to work on breaking ball recognition. Should start the season in AAA Colorado Springs, and could hit his way into the Brewers OF by late June. Built in replacement should Braun be traded, Santana or Broxton falter. ETA: 2017

9.  Dansby Swanson, SS | Age: 22 | Braves | 2016 Level: MLB/AA/A+

The safest shortstop prospect in the minors, he’ll start from day 1 and could be the Braves two-hitter for a decade. His hit tool is his stand out, but speed and power are above average. Defense will keep him at short. ETA: 2017

10.  Gleyber Torres, SS | Age: 20 | Yankees | 2016 Level: A+

I’m buying the hype, because he’s improved at each level along the way. Hit tool and understanding of game is beyond his years. Star of the AFL at 19 years old. ETA: 2018

11.  Manuel Margot, OF | Age: 22 | Padres | 2016 Levels: MLB/AAA

Should be dynamic leadoff threat from day one, I foresee his ceiling as perennial 100 run producer with high average, and 15 homer pop. ETA: 2017

12.  Clint Frazier, OF | Age: 22 | Yankees | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

Bat speed magician, with five category skill set. Could be starring in the Bronx by July if a spot opens up, needs to cut down on the strikeouts to meet his full potential. ETA: 2018

13.  Tyler Glasnow, RHP | Age: 23 | Pirates | MLB/AAA

After the cold hands of TJ touched Alex Reyes, Glasnow shot to the top of the pitching heap. His nasty stuff, and upside make him the top pitching spec for me. If he can harness his stuff and get the Bb/9 under 5 he’s a fantasy ace. ETA: 2017

14.  Raimel Tapia, OF | Age: 22 | Rockies | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA/AA

One of the best hit tools in the minors, bat to ball skills are elite. Could be batting title contender every season with the Coors BABIP bump. ETA: 2017

15.  Tyler O’Neill, OF | Age: 21 | Mariners | 2016 Level: AA

Looks like a superhero and hits like one too. Best player in AA last year, showed another gear in the playoffs. Halp and I are the high men on O’neill, but work ethic, production, and power projection have me drooling. ETA: 2018

16.  Francis Martes, RHP | Age: 21 | Astros | 2016 Level: AA

Case could be made for Martes over Glasnow, higher floor, lower ceiling, but still ace level talent. Body isn’t ideal, and he’s a small righty, but was electric after June 1st posting 2.72 ERA/2.33 FIP/10.0 K/9, 2.7 Bb/9. ETA: 2018

17.  Nick Senzel, 3B | Age: 21 | Reds | 2016 Level: A/RK

Top fantasy player from the 2016 draft, advanced college hitters have moved quickly in recent years, and based on early returns Senzel is no different. ETA: 2018

18.  Willie Calhoun, 2B | Age: 22 | Dodgers | 2016 Level: AA

Came out of nowhere in 2015 hitting 11 homers in first 73 professional games, followed that up with 27 knocks in AA in first full professional season. Almost never strikes out, K% was 11.6% in 2016. Defense is delaying his arrival. ETA: 2018

19.  Josh Hader, LHP | Age: 22 | Brewers | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

The top left handed pitching prospect in the game. He mixes a 95-97 MPH fastball, with a plus plus slider, from an unbelievably deception arm slot. They’ll always be health concerns because of the delivery, and that does worry me a little. RP risk isn’t as great a concern as it was a year ago. If he improves his changeup and control over the next year he could be unhittable. Should compete for a job out of camp. ETA: 2017

20.  Lucas Giolito, RHP | Age: 22 | White Sox | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA/AA

One of the biggest sinkers of the Top 100. Giolito’s down year coupled with a trade to the AL from the NL East, have cut into his upside. Still an elite pitching prospect, with a bright future, but it’s tough to rank him ahead of Glasnow, Martes, or Hader. ETA: 2017

21. Willy Adames, SS | Age: 21 | Rays | 2016 Level: AA

A personal favorite of mine, hit 48 XBH’s to go along with a 13% walk rate, and 13 steals. I’m in the camp that he sticks at short, a poor man’s Gleyber Torres, with a similar floor, and lower ceiling. Plus hit tool, surprising power, and great approach. ETA: 2018

22.  J.P. Crawford, SS | Age: 22 | Phillies | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

Better real life prospect than fantasy, but still a damn good player, with a high floor. His best asset is his on base ability, should be a leadoff hitter, and All-Star shortstop one day. The second best of the elite NL East SS prospects on the list. I predict a .290/15/15/.390 line in his peak years. ETA: 2018

23.  Anderson Espinoza, RHP | Padres | ETA: 2019 | 2016 Level: A

His ceiling is in another stratosphere, mix of precision, pitchability, and stuff. High octane fastball with nasty movement, a fantastic change, and above average curve. He’s a few years away, but he could explode overnight and fast track to the majors a la Julio Urias. ETA: 2019

24.  Hunter Renfroe, OF | Age: 24 | Padres | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA

A grip it and rip it masher, with 30 home run power right now. The strikeouts will be high, and the walks low, so the cold streaks will be cold. His hot streaks will carry you for weeks. NL Rookie of the Year candidate. ETA: 2017

25.  Rafael Devers, 3B | Age: 19 | Red Sox | 2016 Level: A+

Slumped his first two months in A+ as a 19 YO, from June 1st on slashed .331/.371/.522 with a 145 wRC+. Contact/power combo plus the defensive chops to stick at 3rd. ETA: 2019

26.  Bradley Zimmer, OF | Age: 23 | Indians | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

Another exciting fantasy prospect looking for a rebound. Zimmer’s strikeouts were out of control in 2016, but he’s an elite OBP player, with 30+ steal speed, and power in his bat. Makes hard contact to all fields, 6 of his 15 homers went oppo-taco. Looked super in the AFL .with a .962 OPS and 8 steals. Best outfield defender and base-stealer on Indians now. ETA: 2017

27.  Alex Reyes, RHP | Age: 22 | Cardinals | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA

Originally ranked 3rd, but the Tommy John Disease claimed another victim. Even on the shelf until 2018, he’s in the top 1/4 of the list. Ace ceiling, but it might be a few years till we see that. ETA: 2018

28.  Mitch Keller, RHP | Age: 20 | Pirates | 2016 Level: A+/A-

The 2016 breakout was fueled by newly found elite control, misses enough bats to be dangerous (9.5 in A ball), gets lots of grounders (48%), and weak contact. Some think he’s passed Glasnow. Will start the season in the Florida State League w/ Bradenton. ETA: 2018

29.  Derek Fisher, OF | Age: 23 | Astros | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

Exciting power/speed player, but strikeouts are part of the package. Not that different from Bradley Zimmer, but he’s got a tough assignment breaking through with the crowded Astros. Needs a trade. ETA: 2018

30.  Ozzie Albies, 2B/SS | Age: 19 | Braves | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

The best hit tool/speed combo on the list, switch-hitter with 40+ steal speed. Moved to second, where he’ll team up with Dansby Swanson to form an elite middle infield tandem, and top of the order for the next decade. ETA: 2018

31.  Tom Murphy, C | Age: 25 | Rockies | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA

Big power + Coors Field, need I say more? Due to split time with Tony Wolters, but I’m unsure what side of the platoon Murphy sees. If it’s 400+ abs 25 homers isn’t out of reach. NL Rookie of the Year Candidate. ETA: 2017

32.  Kyle Tucker, OF | Age: 19 | Astros | 2016 Level: A+/A

Super talented Prep Prospect from the 2015 draft, mixes elite hit tool with excellent base stealing instincts, and projectable power. Has an all-star ceiling, with a five category contributor floor. Another Astros homegrown fantasy superstar in the making. ETA: 2019

33.  Kyle Lewis, OF | Age: 21 | Mariners | 2016 Level: Rk

Was my top fantasy player heading into the draft, but a bad knee injury coupled with a break out from Nick Senzel, saw him drop to two. He’s been working back from the injury, and should make a return sometime this summer. If he can shake the rust and pick up where he left off he’ll be in the majors by…ETA: 2019

34.  Amed Rosario, SS | Age: 21 | Mets | 2016 Level: AA/A+

Carrying offensive tool is his ability to hit for average, which plays up due to his speed. His fielding might already be Gold Glove caliber, meaning he’s got no chance of moving off the position. Over the last year his approach, and his eye have improved, he’s not far off from Flushing. ETA: 2018

35.  Michael Kopech, RHP | Age: 20 | White Sox | 2016 Level: A+/A

Thor’s evil twin (Loki?), Kopech is a monster, and a must follow on Twitter. Legendary velocity, and work ethic, Kopech was the best pitcher in the Arizona Fall League, and one of 2016’s big risers. The second piece in the Sale trade, needs to silence bullpen, durability, and attitude concerns. Ace upside. ETA: 2018

36.  Dominic Smith, 1B | Age: 21 | Mets | 2016 Level: AA

He’s still only 21, so there could be more power to come, particularity with his keen eye and advanced approach to hitting. While I don’t foresee 30 home run years in Smith’s future he could be a .280/20/85 player with extra value in OBP leagues. ETA: 2018

37.  Aaron Judge, OF | Age: 24 | Yankees | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA

He’s been on these lists forever, so it’s fair to question Judge’s ceiling at this point. Should be a cheap source of power in re-draft this season. Struggled through his first taste of AAA, and then adjusted last season, maybe it’s the same in the bigs. ETA: 2017

38.  Josh Bell, 1B/OF | Age: 24 | Pirates | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA

Hit tool first, with no good place to stick him in the field. Showed power development last season, and will always hit for average. Major League bat, needs a chance to finally show what he can do. ETA: 2017

39.  Yadier Alvarez, RHP | Age: 20 | Dodgers | 2016 Level: A/Rk

Big righty with a 100 MPH heater, and nasty hook. Huge risk/reward prospect, but he’s in good hands with the Dodgers. ETA: 2020

40.  Jose de Leon, RHP | Age: 24 | Rays | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA

Elite changeup, that keeps hitters off balance, will always miss bats, but homers have been a problem. Should be up as soon as the Rays have a need, small chance he breaks camp. Future third starter with K upside. ETA: 2017

41.  Brent Honeywell, RHP | Age: 21 | Rays | 2016 Level: AA/A+

The Screwball is legendary, but there’s so much more to Honeywell. He throws all 5 of his offerings for strikes, and rarely gets in trouble with walks. At best he’s an ace, at worst he keeps your WHIP low. ETA: 2018

42.  Ronald Acuna, OF | Age: 19 | Braves | 2016 Level: A/Rk

Could be this season’s Victor Robles. Five tool player, that tore up Australia this winter, poised for a big jump in the mid-season list. Trade for him now. ETA: 2019

43.  Ian Happ, 2B/OF | Age:22 | Cubs | 2016 Level: AA/A+

Power/speed skillset, with the ability to draw walks. Swing and miss will keep his average lower, and he doesn’t have a true defensive position. On the brightside his future manager values such versatility. ETA: 2018

44.  Francisco Mejia, C | Age: 21 | Indians | 2016 Level: A+/A

Switch-hitting youngster with the historic 2016 season, that included a 50 game hit streak across two levels. Has shown great contact and power from both sides of the plate. Good defense, and big arm make him the best real-life catching prospect in the game. Victor Martinez type. ETA: 2019

45.  Isan Diaz, 2B/SS | Age: 20 | Brewers | 2016 Level: A –

Imagine Jonathan Schoop with a 13% walk rate and some speed.. Hi, let me introduce you to Isan Diaz. Struggled in the AFL, but was one of the youngest prospects there. I love the ceiling here! ETA: 2019

46.  Franklin Barreto, SS | Age: 22 | Athletics | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

Looks like he’ll move off short for the outfield at one point. Brings a plus hit tool, with some power, and 20+ steal speed. Has started to fill out, isn’t quite the runner he once was. ETA: 2018

47.  Alex Verdugo, OF | Age: 21 | Dodgers | 2016 Level: AA

Yes he’s young w/ an advanced approach, and good production, but there’s questions as to how much better he can get. There’s no doubt that he’s more than likely going to be an above average MLB player, but how much upside is there? ETA: 2018

48.  Luke Weaver, RHP | Age: 23 | Cardinals | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA/AA

Blessed with number two starter upside, Weaver mixes a mid-90’s fastball with an above average change, as well as average curve and cutter offerings. He throws all of his pitches for strikes, and pounds the zone frequently with double plus control. Dirty… Has a shot at 15+ starts now that Reyes is on the shelf. ETA: 2017

49.  Harrison Bader, OF | Age: 22 | Cardinals | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

Slashed .286/.350/.491 with 13 homers and 9 steals in 318 at bats, before being promoted to AAA Memphis in early July. In the Arizona Fall League, impressed once again hitting .304/.349/.430 with 2 homers and 4 steals. Likely to see assignment to AAA Memphis out of camp w/ a chance for promotion to the majors by June or July. ETA: 2018

50.  Mickey Moniak, OF | Age: 18 | Phillies | 2016 Level: Rk

The #1 overall draft pick in 2016 draft is a contact/speed prospect w/ developing power potential. Earned the top choice outplaying the more hyped Rutherford leading up to the draft. ETA: 2020

51.  Matt Chapman, 3B | Age: 23 | Athletics | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

True three outcome slugger with elite defense at the hot corner. Has the ability to hit 30 homers, but hit .220 while doing it. Is a no doubt major leaguer in my opinion. ETA: 2017

52.  Rowdy Tellez, 1B | Age: 21 | Blue Jays | 2016 Level: AA

Prospect most likely to have the name of a WWE superstar. A 30th round steal in the 2013 draft, Rowdy plays with a chip on his shoulder. Got to like the power (23 HRs/.520 SLG) and approach (12.3% Bb% to 17.9% K%) he showed in AA. E5’s replacement. ETA: 2018

53.  Triston McKenzie, RHP | Age: 19 | Indians | 2016 Level: A/A-

“Sticks” has the stuff, pitchability, projection, and production. Could easily find himself within the top 25-30, if he has a big 2017. Tribe has a special one right here. ETA: 2019

54.  Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 3B | Age: 17 | Blue Jays | 2016 Level: Rk

Like father, like son. Seriously watch Vlad Jr. take cuts, you would swear they cloned his father. One of the elite power tools in the minors, up there with Jimenez and Chapman. ETA: 2021

55.  Corey Ray, OF | Age; 22 | Brewers | 2016 Level: A+/A-

Top power/speed prospect from the 2016 draft. Sustained knee injury in instructs, will miss some time early. Tough assignment to A+ out the gate, settled in, power was victimized by rough home park/league. ETA: 2018

56.  Jason Groome, LHP | Age: 18 | Red Sox | 2016 Level: A-/RK

Makeup and signability concerns dropped him outside the top 10 to the Red Sox. May be the top pitching talent in last year’s draft. How long does it take Dombrowski to sell him? ETA: 2020

57.  Rhys Hoskins, 1B | Age: 23 | Phillies | 2016 Level: AA

How much of Hoskins production was Reading aided? A lot of it, but not all, had 13 homers on the road and .853 OPS. I trust him more than Cozens. Rarely strikes out, gets on base, flyball hitter. ETA: 2018

58.  Jesse Winker, OF | Age: 23 | Reds | 2016 Level: AAA

An OBP machine with a good chance at 500 MLB at bats in 2017. Power was sapped by wrist injury, and Great America Ballpark is a boost. Could be grossly underrated, or a solid unspectacular everyday player. ETA: 2017

59.  Erick Fedde, RHP | Age: 23 | Nationals | 2016 Level: AA/A+

Another TJ gamble paying off for the Nats. Looks like a solid mid-rotation type at worst, and a high end number 2 starter at best. ETA: 2018

60.  Zack Collins, C | Age: 21 | White Sox | 2016 Level: A+/RK

The bat plays everywhere, but at catcher he has a chance to be a difference maker. White Sox are the right organization for him to stick behind the plate. Elite power and on base ability. There’s some swing and miss to his game, and he’ll more than likely always carry a 250-265 average. ETA: 2018

61.  Robert Gsellman, RHP | Age: 23 | Mets | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA/AA

A groundball pitcher through and through, 56% GB rate between all levels. Improving swing and miss stuff and the inside track for the Mets 5th starter job. ETA: 2017

62.  Bobby Bradley, 1B | Age: 20 | Indians | 2016 Level: A+

If you like power you’ll love Bradley. A first base only, three outcome hitter. Range of outcomes is huge, could be Chris Carter if he doesn’t cut down on the whiffs or he could be Frank Thomas if he does. ETA: 2019

63.  Anthony Alford, OF | Age: 22 | Blue Jays | 2016 Level: A+/Rk 

One of the best athletes in the minors. Former college football player, still refining his baseball skills. Elite speed to go along with an improving hit tool. Risk/reward type prospect. ETA: 2019

64.  Kevin Maitan, SS | Age: 16 | Braves | 2016 Level: Pre-School

The wonder kid, with all the hype, but a long time to wait. He’s just 16 years old, and he draws comps to Miggy and Chipper. The last international with this hype was Miguel Sano. Proceed with caution. ETA: 2021

65.  Kolby Allard, LHP | Age: 19 | Braves | 2016 Level: A/Rk

My favorite Braves pitching prospect, a lefty with frontline starter stuff and makeup. Injury history a concern, and still years away. ETA: 2020

66.  Dylan Cease, RHP | Age: 20 | Cubs | 2016 Level: A-

Nasty swing and miss stuff on display in Short Season ball (13.3 K/9). So was lack of control (5.0), if he can harness his stuff, and stay healthy, lookout. ETA: 2019

67.  Yohander Mendez, LHP | Age: 21 | Rangers | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA/AA/A+

Big breakout last year from the lefty, as he cruised from A+ to the Majors by season’s end. Everything works off of his elite changeup, which plays up his fastball. Should log some innings with Texas this year. ETA: 2017

68.  Justus Sheffield, LHP | Age: 20 | Yankees | 2016 Level: AA/A+

Small lefthanded starter with a famous “Fake Uncle” in Gary, and a real talented brother in Jordan. He’s got a legit arsenal led by a mid-90’s sinking fastball, a mid-80’s slide-piece, and a change he can throw for strikes in any count. Forget the size of the dog, and check his fight. ETA: 2018

69.  Blake Rutherford, OF | Age: 19 | Yankees | 2016 Level: R

Power hitting prep prospect with a smooth lefthanded swing. Adjusted well to pro-ball, but he’s been groomed for stardom over the last two years. Legit lefty power hitter, looks like the perfect hitter for Yankee Stadium. ETA:2020

70.  Christin Stewart, OF | Age: 22 | Tigers | 2016 Level: AA/ A+

A three outcome power hitter, are you starting to get the sense that I like those guys? Yeah, I do. ETA: 2018

71.  A.J. Puk, LHP | Age: 21 | Athletics | 2016 Level: A-

He’s a raw college pitcher, not a profile I’m particularly a fan of, but I’d be crazy to ignore the ace upside. ETA: 2019

72.  Leody Taveras, OF | Age: 18 | Rangers | 2016 Level: A-/Rk

Crazy upside play, mixes great athleticism with some feel for hitting. Power is all projection, but speed is real. ETA: 2020

73.  Sean Reid-Foley, RHP | Age: 21 | Blue Jays | 2016 Level: A+/A

Cut Bb/9 in half in 2016 (3.0), and the 10+ K/9 remained. A 52% groundball rate make him the exact type of pitching prospect I target. ETA: 2018

74.  Casey Gillaspie, 1B | Age: 24 | Rays | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

A long time favorite of mine, and entirely underrated for fantasy. Has great on base skills, and above average power. Should be the Rays first baseman/DH of the future. Depends what happens with Jake Bauers. ETA: 2017

75.  Luiz Gohara, LHP | Age: 20 | Braves | 2016 Level: A/A-

A good get by the Braves this winter, an exciting lefthanded pitching prospect from Brazil that draws C.C. Sabathia comps for his skills, and body type. Top of the rotation upside if he can figure out his change. ETA: 2019

76.  Dan Vogelbach, 1B | Age: 24 | Mariners | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA

“The Jelly Donut of Swat”, needs to show and prove this year in Seattle. Nothing stands in his way from earning a regular big league gig. On base skills, hit tool, and some pop. ETA: 2017

77.  Chance Sisco, C | Age: 21 | Orioles | 2016 Level AAA/AA

One of the top catching prospects in the minors in real life. Great hit tool and developing power for fantasy. ETA: 2017

78.  Austin Riley, 3B | Age: 20 | Braves | 2016 Level: A

When prep hitters follow the draft with 12 homers in their first taste of proball, prospectphiles take notice. The early struggles and K’s scared many away, but I’m not sure why. Turned it on after June 1st and slugged 19 of his 20 homers for a .882 OPS. Buy the rebound! ETA: 2019

79.  Ramon Laureano, OF | Age: 22 | Astros | 2016 Level: AA/A

Loads of hard contact, speed, and some pop. 2014 16th round pick slashed .319/.428/.528 with 15 homers and 43 steals. Might be the most underranked player on the list. ETA: 2018

80.  Jorge Mateo, SS | Age: 21 | Yankees | 2016 Level: A+

An 80 grade speedster with some power in the bat. Had some maturity issues this year, might be rooted in what my Prospect Podcast co-host Michael Halpern calls the Yankees “Get off my lawn” mentality. Still tons to like, but there’s some risk too. ETA: 2019

81.  Thomas Szapucki, LHP | Age: 20 | Mets | 2016 Level: A-

Another in a long line of elite Mets arms with injury ?’s. The 14.9 K/9 in 2016, should tell you all you need to know. Good God! ETA: 2019

82.  Braxton Garrett, LHP | Age: 19 | Marlins | 2016 Level: N/A

The only good Marlins prospect, and they drafted him this year, go figure. A great balance of floor and upside from a prep pitcher. Strike thrower with good stuff, a future at the Crayola Crayon only boosts his value. A safe bet in first year player drafts. ETA: 2020

83.  Kevin Newman, SS | Age: 23 | Pirates | 2016 Level: AA/A

Call him boring all you like, but he’s a no doubt MLB player, with a polished hit tool, and more pop than you think. ETA: 2018

84.  Delvin Perez, SS | Age: 18 | Cardinals | 2016 Level: Rk

Long way off, but he’s got serious upside, gets a lot of high end comps like Carlos Correa, not sure how much of that is rooted in reality or a neat comparison between two talented young SS from the PR. ETA: 2021

85.  Max Fried, LHP | Age: 22 | Braves | 2016 Level: A

A 20 month hiatus following TJ, Fried made his return in a stacked Rome Braves rotation. The organization handled him with kids gloves, so it will be interesting to see if the chains come off this year. Has an outside shot of making a late season cameo in Atlanta. ETA: 2018

86.  David Paulino, RHP | Age: 22 | Astros | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA/AA

A giant with front line starter upside, with real injury, as well as bullpen risk. Upper 90’s heat, with a plus change, and plus 12-6 hook. Biggest question is his workload. ETA: 2017

87.  Dylan Cozens, OF | Age: 22 | Phillies | 2016 Level: AA

Yes, his numbers were Reading aided, look no further than the home/road slugging splits of .744/.441. With that said, he still hits homers and steals bases. ETA: 2017

88.  Luis Alexander Basabe, OF | Age: 20 | White Sox | 2016 Level: A+

The 3rd Top 100 player in the Chris Sale trade. Brings a power/speed skillset that can’t be ignored. The cherry on top of the White Sox winter if Moncada, Kopech, Giolito, and him all workout. ETA: 2019

89.  Fernando Tatis Jr., 3B | Age: 18 | Padres | A-/Rk

Tatis has so much helium he’s talking like Lord Quas. Just turned 18, so this one is projection heavy. He has the bloodlines, bat speed, and plus raw power. More than likely moves off of short, but his bat could play at the hot corner. ETA: 2021

90.  Greg Allen, OF | Age: 23 | Indians | 2016 Level: AA/A+

Former 6th round pick, people still ignore. Slashed .295/.416/.413 in 606 PA’s in 2016, and has stolen 121 bases since 2014. Was dynamic in the AFL, and looks like a prototypical leadoff hitter. ETA: 2018

91.  Amir Garrett, LHP | Age: 24 | Reds | 2016 Level: AAA/AA

Splitting time between AA Pensacola and AAA Louisville, the 6’5 lefty went 7-8 with a 2.55 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, and a K/9 of 8.2. Control is an issue, but gets loads of weak ground ball contact. ETA: 2017

92.  Jharel Cotton, RHP | Age: 25 | Athletics | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA/AA

Elite K/9 in the minors with control, I see more of a mid-rotation pitcher when all is said and done. Plus plus changeup with screwball action (take that Brent Honeywell!) Homers can be a problem. ETA: 2017

93.  Adrian Morejon, LHP | Age: 17 | Padres | 2016 Level: N/A

The top pitching prospect in the 2016 J2 class, was scooped up by the Padres for $11 million. Fastball touches 96, mixes in two changeups, and a curve. One of my favorite pitching prospects in first year player drafts. ETA: 2020

94.  Mitch Haniger, OF | Age: 26 | Mariners | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA/AA

Former top prospect, who was thrown onto the scrap heap and left for dead. Rebounded with .321/.419/.581 slashline across AA and AAA. Traded to the Mariners, where he’s got the inside track for a starting gig. ETA: 2017

95.  Cal Quantrill, RHP | Age: 21 | Padres | 2016 Level: A

One of the top college pitchers in 2014, bit by the TJ bug, didn’t pitch for nearly two years, and still went in the top 10. Has the bloodlines, and the top of the rotation upside. Was inconsistent, out the gate, but looked dominate at times. If it’s all systems go in 2017, he could move fast. ETA: 2019

96.  Juan Soto, OF | Age: 18 | Nationals | 2016 Level: Rk

Super young, but slugged his way onto dynasty manager’s radars, has gone in the top 15 of everyone of my first year player drafts. ETA: 2021

97.  Tyler Beede, RHP | Age: 23 | Giants | 2016 Level: AA

After a rough 2015, the velocity was back up last year, and he’s back on track for a future rotation spot in San Francisco. Not that top of the rotation talent many envisioned at Vandy, but he’s a good mid-rotation type. ETA: 2017

98.  Matt Manning, RHP | Age: 19 | Tigers | 2016 Level: RK

Plus-plus fastball and plus change all delivered from a big 6’6 frame. One of the top prep arms in the 2016 draft. Needs to get feel for his change and improve his control, to fulfill ace upside. ETA: 2020

99.  Reynaldo Lopez, RHP | Age: 23 | White Sox | 2016 Level: MLB/AAA/AA

Name value is greater than it is in reality. Elite fastball with triple digit velocity, but doesn’t miss enough bats. I foresee a future in the pen, but the White Sox will give him every opportunity to start. ETA: 2017

100.  Jahmai Jones, OF | Age: 19 | Angels | 2016 Level: A-/Rk

An NFL body, and a through the roof ceiling. Brings power and speed to the table, with superior athleticism. ETA: 2019

 

Thanks for reading ALL OF THAT… Ralph. Follow me on Twitter @Ralphlifshitzbb & Subscribe to my Youtube series

Check Out Our Minor League Preview Index for all articles and podcasts on all 30 teams!

 

   
  1. Brian says:
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    Thanks for this. Really helpful as I just joined a dynasty league for the first time.

    Curious to hear a deeper take on Dansby Swanson as a fantasy player. I have him on the team I’m taking over and I suspect his trade value will never be higher than right now. He’s always seemed like a better real player than fantasy (a la JP Crawford). Am I missing something here. In a 16 team Mixed league that has the following nine categories (!):

    BA Batting Average
    HR Home Runs
    KO Strikeouts (Batter)
    OBP On Base Pct
    R Runs
    RBI Runs Batted In
    SB Stolen Bases
    SDT Singles + Doubles + Triples
    TB Total Bases

    should I be trading Swanson or is he a fantasy lynchpin for a decade or so?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Brian: I’d take offers on him, but wouldn’t sell him for nothing. He can go one of two ways. He could be a dynamic 2 hitter than gives you a little of everything with a decent average, lots of runs, some home and steals. Or he could just be above average to average.

  2. Foul balls says:
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    Standard 10 team H2H points league 22 round snake draft, approx what round if any would you draft benintendi and glasnow

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Foul balls: I’d take Benintendi around round 7 or 8. Glasnow somewhere around 10-12.

  3. Desmond says:
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    Happy birthday, Ralph.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Desmond: Ha thanks!

  4. Racehorse says:
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    Ralph –

    How far away are Stephen Gonsalves, Sandy Alcantara, and Mike Soroka from being ranked in your top 100?

    Thank you for all the hard work, prospecting for my dynasty league team is the best thing since sliced bread and re-watching ‘Bachelor Party’!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Racehorse: Bread and Bachelor Party, amongst the best things in life! Haha

      Alcantara was 104, Gonsalves was 108, and Soroka was more like 125ish.

  5. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    This is amazing stuff, Ralph!

    1. What sort of line do you expect from Benintendi and Moncada this year? Sounds like you expect more than 15/15 from Andrew.

    2. Cody Bellinger is really interesting to me, but I thought he was blocked due to Gonzo and the OF crunch in LA. In what capacity do you see him coming up this year…bench guy or replacing a Gonzo injury etc?

    3. In a 7-player bench keep-7 league (so your bench guys need to have a potential impact in 2017), how would you use this list in drafting your reserve round prospect stash? My thinking was to focus, in order, on the available 2017 eta guys only. Not sure if guys like Hader who could break camp deserve any further bump…

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: I think Benintendi is going to blow up. He’s got a safe profile and power and speed upside. He starts day 1 and could be the 2 hole hitter. Moncada is tricky because he could be in the minors until August.

      He’s so good I think he forces his way up. He can play first and all three OF positions. I think he hits a ton in AAA and forces their hand.

      Best available guy with close ETA look for a hitter with a translateable skill first.

  6. zombie says:
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    Terrific list, Ralph. Thanks for sharing your work.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @zombie: Thanks for reading!

  7. Jensen says:
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    Surprised to see Hoskins so high. I would think his age would push him down the list more as he is going to be 24 this season and just starting AAA.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jensen: There’s not a ton of 1B prospects with power, on base, and low K rates. Age doesn’t matter much, Jake Bauers is really young but I’d rather have Hoskins.

  8. psherm9 says:
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    Solid article and as always I appreciate the hustle. If possible could you give me your thoughts on Chris Shaw-1b- SFRAN and Josh Lowe-3b- TB. Grabbed them late in my 20 team league . Thanks.

  9. Sweatpants Nation says:
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    Ralph. Appreciate the hard work and digging. Great list.

  10. Steve says:
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    Thanks Ralph, awesome list that will come in handy on draft day. I was wavering on keeping Benintendi but will definitely keep him now. That leaves me one last keeper spot to fill. If you could only keep one in h2h keep forever:

    Dahl in 18th round (already have Stanton, Harper, Beni in OF)
    G. Sanchez in 18th
    Rendon in 12th (have Turner & Arenado)

    Thanks

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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      @Steve: Dahl

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Steve: Dahl agree with JeF

  11. JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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    Great stuff Ralph…I have a first year 20 team dynasty draft coming up…so between Greys Bible and your new testament I’m good to go….Really appreciate the work you guys do..Thanks Bro.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @JeF WiTh 1 F: Thanks bud, I really appreciate the read.

    • Packers says:
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      @JeF WiTh 1 F: I also have a new dynasty full redraft league coming up. I’m going to try to win it all in the first year while trying to get my share of young guys. I figure some guys will reach for prospects….

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Packers: I’m in a dynasty league that’s drafting currently through the Dynasty Guru, and it’s an interesting format. There’s 99 roster spots 35 starting roster spots, no trades, no waivers, you drop 10 every year. It’s amazing the deals I’m getting on guys in their early 30’s. I drafted Adam Jones 100+ picks after Victor Robles, who as good as he is, has to be 2+ years away. While Jones hits 30 homers. Draft production and fill in with prospects.

        • Packers says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: Yep, that’s my plan.

        • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: Yeah people get too carried away in these drafts with taking top prospects over proven talent too early.

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @JeF WiTh 1 F: Yeah I agree it’s nutty.

  12. MoreCowbell says:
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    Let’s play a game of ‘What If?’…and no, we’re not talking ‘What if Kate Upton suddenly showed up at your door soaking wet and asked for a towel?’ Let’s say, what if Alex Bregman and David Dahl were still rookies. Where would you place them in these rankings? Top 3? top 5? Just curious, and I know it’s a pointless exercise. Now go back to thinking about Kate Upton.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @MoreCowbell: Bregman would be 1, and Dahl would be 3 or 4.

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: this brings up an interesting point. What would a top 100 under 500 at bats look like or under 2 years of service time.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Big Odio: A top 100 under 25? Great idea.

  13. Zackus Maximus says:
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    whoawhoaWHOA… I thought I was high on Tyler O’Neill! No worries about his strikeout rate?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Zackus Maximus: No, and I’ll tell you why. He took to the organizational changes in plate approach philosophy like a fish to water. Look at the drop in k rate and jump in walk rate. He’s a tireless worker, and has improved all of his flaws to average levels (strikeouts and defense). This kid is the truth.

  14. Clive says:
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    I stashed Moncada in my keeper league where I can only keep 5. Bryant, Harper, Correa and Story are 4.. Any way you’d keep Moncada over Strasburg? Could keep Moncada late in draft for years to come..

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Clive: Keep Moncada, you’ll thank me in August when Strasburg is shut down again.

  15. Sport says:
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    Thanks for the write up! I can tell you have done a lot of research here and I really appreciate the time you put in.

    You see any SP on the list that could break Grey’s (or yours) 2018 top 30 SP list? Or you think we might be just a year away from that?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Sport: Yeah I think Glasnow, Hader, Giolito, Weaver, De Leon and Gsellman.

      Best case scenario Gsellman finishes on the fringe of the top 30 in 2017.

      • Sport says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:
        Thank you sir. I’m in a 15 team roto league where two of our keeps are required to be pitchers. I will be rolling with Kluber and Arrieta for 2017. Age is starting to become a concern of mine so I’m looking for that possible replacement this year.

  16. Jbona3 says:
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    Ralph, glad to see you’ve reemerged – been waiting for your magnum opus all off season, great work! A couple keeper questions (two leagues):

    League 1 – Auction league $260 budget, $162 committed to 13 players (out of 25), standard ESPN roster setup: who is worth keeping: Margot $5; Brinson $5; Meadows $5?

    League 1 – Forever Keeper, no round compensation – just keep 8: Rolling with EE at 1B this season but need to find a replacement for the future as he’s getting long in the tooth – where should I be looking? Thinking Bell is my first target, anyone else I should be considering?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jbona3: If you’re keeping one keep Meadows, rank’em just as I do on the list.

  17. JohnnyBeGood says:
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    Hey Ralph! For a 6×6 H2H league, which 2 keepers you holding on to for this year?

    – Villar in 10th
    – Yelich in 17th
    – Moncada in 21st

    Thanks!!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @JohnnyBeGood: I think I go Villar and Moncada. I like what Yelich brings you but if we’re talking two years from now I’ll take the chance you get better homer totals and similar speed from a middle infielder.

      • JohnnyBeGood says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks Ralph! Yea im debating between Villar & Yelich….is Villar the real deal & come close to similar stats as last year tho??

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @JohnnyBeGood: The average won’t be as high and he might k my hit 15 homers, but he can steal 40+ bases and not kill your average. He’s playing 2nd with Arcia up now. So he’ll have 2B/SS/3B eligibility. That gives him more value than Yelich. There’s also no chance Yelich hits 20 again.

  18. Packers says:
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    Ralph, thanks so much for this post. It really helps all of us in dynasty leagues. You did all the work and we get to sow the harvest.
    1. In a 12 team redraft and the 12th pick, I know I’m taking a 1B for sure. Most likely Miggy, Rizzo or Freeman. I’m torn about my 2nd pick, Correa, Turner, C. Seager or Lindor. None of those guys will be available at pick 36 when it’s my next chance to choose. Any advice would be appreciated.
    2. What’s everyone’s take on not taking an outfielder until pick 60 and 61. I think I could still draft a competitive outfield. I’m thinking that I might take K. Seager if he is still available say over JD or Cespedas. Thoughts?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Packers: I’d go in the exact order you had them at 13.

      Yeah there’s a lot of OF talent after 50. I’d take the best guy and go from there. If a talented OF drops to you at a value in round 3, take it.

  19. Damon says:
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    Ralph- great job. New to dynasty and still trying to figure out value of prospects. This is a keep all league. I won my league last year and have a strong 2017 roster with a couple of holes I’m looking to fill by trading Bellinger. All things equal, what kind of current range of overall 2017 ranks is a reasonable range to focus for a top 10 prospect ETA 2017 prospect like Bellinger? 50-100? 100-150? Higher? Obviously needs, and the age of the target matters, just a general sense.

  20. JB Gilpin

    JB Gilpin says:
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    Man, you make me feel like my REL rebuild is going well… Only Brewers I don’t own is Brinson (bc I traded away Lucroy) and Dubon, but I have Robles, Eloy and Tapia… You make me feel warm n fuzzy inside!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @JB Gilpin: That’s a serious future outfield! Just like the real Brewers only better, and that’s saying something.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I still have Keon, but traded away Braun and Domingo. Tried my hardest to get Brinson… He’s really coveted by the Pirates now.

        Should I keep Brett Phillips? Soooooo on the fence there. I kinda think I’m letting him walk, annoying we had to add him to the 40 man and thus I would have to keep him on my active team. I know, I know, your REL version is so much better, blahty blah blah. Hows it going in REL2 btdubs?

        • The Great Knoche says:
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          @JB Gilpin: You can give me back Tapia if you want.

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @The Great Knoche: @Ralph Lifshitz: Hah I love me some Tapia! I’ll take Ian Desmond tho!

            Interesting, yeah making auctions even slower sounds risky haha

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
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              @JB Gilpin: It’s actually easier. The bids are 12 hour clocks. So you don’t have to actively all be there at the same time. It’s less time in than a normal auction.

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
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                @Ralph Lifshitz: When I take my 12 hour beauty sleeps over the weekend tho, it might get tough :) Hah jk that sounds kinda cool

                • Ralph Lifshitz

                  Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                  @JB Gilpin: Ha! Takes a lot of sleep?

                  I’ll let you know how it goes.

                • Ralph Lifshitz

                  Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                  @JB Gilpin: Ha! Takes a lot of sleep?

                  I’ll let you know how it goes.

  21. The JoGarza says:
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    In an OBP league, how high up would you move Zimmer and Winker?

    • The JoGarza says:
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      @The JoGarza: Also add Brett Phillips to that list!

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @The JoGarza: About the same, I weigh on base heavily into my rankings, because almost all of my leagues play with some form of OBP/OPS.

        Phillips will be in the follow up on Sunday of players who missed the list.

  22. Boaty McBoatface says:
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    Great work on this list, Ralph! Quick dynasty league question for you: I know they’re hard to compare because they’re at different positions and so far apart in age, but if you were in win-now mode, would you accept Jon Lester in trade for Nomar Mazara?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Boaty McBoatface: Yeah it’s fair, I wouldn’t want to sell Mazara now though. If he takes another step forward your return could be twice that in a year.

      • Boaty McBoatface says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I hear you. That’s why it’s agonizing. Maybe I’ll see if I can get a little more coming back.

  23. Dave Jordan says:
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    Is Acuna’s ETA a misprint? 2019?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Dave Jordan: No he’s that good. His Baseball Prospectus comps are Correa, Trout, and Profar. I think he’ll see AA this season if all goes well in Rome and Florida he should see a month or so in AA. If he’s assigned to the FSL he’ll be there sooner. I think he’s got a chance to be in the top 20 in 2018.

  24. The Great Knoche says:
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    In a keeper league with a minors slot where if they get called up at any point we can keep them at $2, and if they don’t come up they get thrown back for the next year.

    What are chances Derek Fisher or Franklin Barreto debut this year for a cup of coffee in September? Do you see Barreto moving to 2B (He did get some starts there last year) or just transition to OF.

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      @The Great Knoche: Or O’neill, but guessing he will be gone by my pick.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
        (link)

        @The Great Knoche: I think O’Neill has a great chance at a July callup. Fisher could start for a lot of teams now, and with the Reddick signing, I assume he’s trade bait. If he’s dealt to the right place he could start immediately. Barreto would have to set the PCL on fire. He probably does get a callup when roster’s expand. Anything is possible.

  25. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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    love the list, and appreciate all your work on everything. though I’m still miffed Yander La O didn’t crack the top 30… I’M KIDDING. happy bday homie

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: right back atcha Bromar Garciaparra

  26. Branta says:
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    The pain of having so many good young players is you have to give some up.

    I took Sanchez/Dahl/Benintendi and let go of Moncada/Giolito :[ Just fit my needs better.

    Hoping that Moncada flames out as a prospect so I look like a genius but incredibly nervous that I goofed.

    • Branta says:
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      @Branta: I should have said “kept” not took.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Branta: I think you made the right choice. I love Moncada but you have to keep Sanchez/Dahl.

  27. Manuel says:
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    Great job Ralph!!

    I’m in a league where we need to pick up a young keeper (25 years or younger)

    I currently have Odor and Benintendi. Everybody tells me that the most obvious one is Odor but I truly feel like I should pickup Benintendi…What’s you take on it?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Manuel: That’s tough, and I have to be honest Odor scares me too, but I think you have to take him. It’s close in my mind though.

  28. Sisco (Chance, that is) says:
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    How far away is Andres Gimenez?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Sisco (Chance, that is): He’s probably more like 180-200+. Huge upside but he’s a long ways away, and not of the level of a Maitan in terms of hype.

  29. Hoboken Squat Cobblers says:
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    Thanks for this Ralph!!! We appreciate the time you put into this! Good luck this year.

  30. Prince George says:
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    Hi Ralph, thanks for the hard work. No love for Jorge Alfaro? How far down is he on your list and what’s the issue(s) with him? Thanks.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Prince George: He has no approach, swings at everything, and hits way too many grounders for a guy who’s carrying offensive tool is his power. He had a 52% GB across all levels last year, and he’s not fast. He’s somewhere in the 125-160 range, and he could be an ownable catcher in the 12 teams in the next few years, but he needs to make some tweaks.

      • LenFuego says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I do not really disagree with you, Ralph, but aren’t you overstating your case a bit when you say he is not fast? I get your point that he would be better off not being such a Ground Ball Gary … but dude has 38 stolen bases in about 2200 minor league plate appearances, a pace that would get him about 9 SBs per season in a full-time role. That is certainly not blazing, but it is also is not indicative of lead feet (and most fantasy owners would be thrilled with that kind of SB production from a catcher).

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
          (link)

          @LenFuego: Couple things on the steals, 16 of them were in A ball 3 years ago. Stolen base totals in A ball can be deceiving. He’s slowed down some since then. The greater point is I wasn’t brining up his speed to comment on his base stealing ability but the chances of him beating out an infielder grounder to first. If a speed guy has a 45%+ GB rate I’m fine with it, but when it’s a a below average runner who I’m banking on hitting for power it’s not a great indicator of future success. If Alfaro is going to be fantasy relevant at catcher I need 20 homers or a .275+ average, otherwise he’s just another guy you stream when he’s locked in.

  31. Shill Team 6 says:
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    I hear Dombrowski has an offer on the table. A Gon and Ethier for Beni.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Shill Team 6: NOOOOOOOOOOOOO WHEREVER BENNY GOES I GO TOO!!!!

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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      @Shill Team 6: i think only loria (or maybe SEA if they have same team as during the trumbo trade of course) is that stupid to do that.

  32. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Gauging opinions of a bragging rights side-bet my friends and I made in our keeper league over our respective prized SSs . . .

    The bet is that my SS (Story) will outperform C Seager and Xander on the ESPN PR (and they are betting on their guys).

    Thoughts? Feel like I’ve got it locked as long as there’s no injury or bad BABIP luck . . . but maybe that’s just my Coors goggles!

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: He’s the one I’m worried about (obviously Story is the dark horse based on normal site rankings). Xander I feel like Story will have beat, absent a crazy BABIP season and 8000 R+RBI.

  33. goodfold2 says:
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    SOB, i knew i should’ve asked about tatis with the other MI i had asked about (shed long/galindo/tejeda those SD guys almanzar at top due to power/some others) back in mid-janurary. i hadn’t and could’ve drafted tatis in the 30 teamer with one of my 3rd round picks rather than tejeda who i got. i guess it’s not that bad if tatis moves to CI and tejeda sticks at MI as i’m deeper at CI than MI.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @goodfold2: Yeah the word is he’s a 3B long term, he’s similar to Maitan.

  34. jack fla says:
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    nice job, very helpful info

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @jack fla: Thanks Jack!

  35. Grey

    Grey says:
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    Vlad Jr. made me feel old. Does he run like his dad too? As in, limp awkwardly from 1st to 2nd?

    Happy Birthday, Ralph! I hope Halp got you something nice.

    Great list!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Grey: He’s like the old Vlad now lol.

      He said you were getting the gift?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Halp lied to you, hope that’s not a habit, relationships are built on trust

        • Halp

          Halp says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: @Grey: I was planning a surprise party … but it’s ruined now (turns car around on the Mass Turnpike when there is a space in the intersection because the exits are like 30 miles apart and almost get killed by a pick up truck … ok this actually happened to me, got off topic there for a second)

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @Halp: The Pike is like the express train Lol

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            HA

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
          (link)

          @Grey: Maybe he’s said “That’s gay” when I asked if he got me a birthday present.

          • Halp

            Halp says:
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            @Ralph Lifshitz: haha … that’s like that Bill Burr bit we were texting about a few days ago

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
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              @Halp: Hilarious! Andy went to see him at the Patrice O’Neil thing last night I believe.

              • Halp

                Halp says:
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                @Ralph Lifshitz: Saw that on Twitter. Tons of other great comics too. Probably an awesome show.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Wow, Halp’s out of control

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
              (link)

              @Grey: He’s a real Daniel Murphy

                • Ralph Lifshitz

                  Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                  @Halp: Triggered! Lol

                  • Halp

                    Halp says:
                    (link)

                    @Ralph Lifshitz: that was the name of Joe Rogan’s last stand up special. It was pretty good too

                    • Ralph Lifshitz

                      Ralph Lifshitz says:
                      (link)

                      @Halp: Love Rogan. He’s like a douchebag older brother that balances meathead and drug thirsty hippie.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                The Halp of the South?

                • Big Odio says:
                  (link)

                  @Grey: New Halp City?

                • Ralph Lifshitz

                  Ralph Lifshitz says:
                  (link)

                  @Grey: Dixie-Halp

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Xenohalpic

                    • Big Odio says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: Heaven Halp Us?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Halp Wanted?

                    • Big Odio says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: was that a movie because heaven help us was…like the Halpenly Kid

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      The Halp w/ Viola Davis

                    • Big Odio says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: the girl can’t halp it!

          • Big Odio says:
            (link)

            @Ralph Lifshitz: I said “that’s gay” but that was only because you asked for a pink polo shirt

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
              (link)

              @Big Odio: But it looks great with my lime green Vineyard Vines khakis

              • Big Odio says:
                (link)

                @Ralph Lifshitz: If people still said you lost your man card I would say you lost your man card

                • Ralph Lifshitz

                  Ralph Lifshitz says:
                  (link)

                  @Big Odio: In lieu of my new FABULOUS CARD!!!!

                  • Big Odio says:
                    (link)

                    @Ralph Lifshitz: looks like you’ll fit right in with the new blood around here

                    • Ralph Lifshitz

                      Ralph Lifshitz says:
                      (link)

                      @Big Odio: they’re all my children

                    • Big Odio says:
                      (link)

                      @Big Odio: you are a daytime soap

  36. Noam says:
    (link)

    Great list! Who are some of your favorite guys outside the top 100 who you think could make big jumps this year?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Noam: That’s coming Sunday. I wrote up about 115 players and have a list of about 40-50 more.

      • Noam says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz:

        Perfect! Thanks for all your work

  37. Jason says:
    (link)

    Hi Ralph. Great job on the rankings!!! Where would AJ Reed rank on this list if eligible? Would you rather have Reed or Tapia in a dynasty league?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Jason: I had Reed in the list and removed him as I only wanted true rookies/prospects. He was between 26-33 throughout the offseason.

      • Jason says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks Ralph. I really like Reed a lot but I don’t see a path for AB’s anytime soon unless he gets traded or Gurriel falls flat on his face. I’m keeping my fingers crossed he could be included in a potential deal to the White Sox for Quintana. He would fit in nicely at the DH spot in that ball park. It’s true that Tapia is blocked too but I feel strongly that either Cargo or Blackmon get traded at some point this season.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
          (link)

          @Jason: I agree with all of that. Reed needs and trade, and they should move Cargo.

  38. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Hey Ralph – how would you compare/contrast Renfroe from Cody Bellinger?

    Both seem to be similar 30-HR power, handful of SB, .250-.260 BA guys . . . with Cody having a big edge in BB rate and Renfroe having a big edge in 2017 playing time.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Bellinger is more of a flyball hitter and he makes more consistent contact.

      Bellinger is a 4o%+ FB guy with a 21% LD and a Popup under 5%.

      Renfroe hits an equal amount of grounders and flys and his pop up rate is almost ten. His LD is around 19%. Bellinger is just a tick better. One thing I will say in Renfroe’s favor is he has power to all fields. Much of Bellinger’s pop is pullside.

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks! May lean Renfroe in shallower bench leagues due to the similarity and PT, but still very excited for Bellinger + will certainly be snatching him up in my OBP league.

  39. Tweak says:
    (link)

    Great stuff, Ralph!

    I’m digging on a bunch of these guys in my dynasty leagues. I got a chance to watch Robles hit in the low-low minors this past year (Nats farm teams are around here) and the kid looks pretty solid at the plate. I’ll be happy to see him come back to town in AAA, hopefully late this season.

    Some of my favorites (fellow dynasty leaguers + Razzballers, avert thine eyes!):

    Amed Rosario – really looking like he could be tops in the SS department in the NL East soon. Turner is Hansel at the moment (he’s so hot right now…), but I think Rosario could own the show in a couple of years. I picked him up in a deal involving O’Neill a few weeks ago, but turned him around into Meadows. I’ve got Orlando Arcia and Franklin Barreto already coming at SS (who now might end up an Ian Desmond type and go to the OF).

    Jesse Winker – infatuated with the OBP skills. He’s like Votto in the Outfield.

    Alex Verdugo – I can’t put my finger on precisely what I dig about Verdugo so much. His skills at his age and all that, but I think he’s more of a gut pick for me than anything.

    Harrison Bader – See Verdugo explanation above. Are his days at 3B over? I could see him stick at 3B and replacing whoever is there this year (Peralta?), letting Carpenter solidify his shift to 1B.

    Zack Collins – I think you might be underselling his bat with the .250-.265 future. Doode walks at a 20+% clip (we’ll see if that holds up as he moves up against more advanced pitching).

    Robert Gsellman – Ground balls, ground balls. Whatcha gonna do? TRADE HIM TO COLORADO ALREADY

    Delvin Perez – PED problems aside, I think I like his bat and build more than Maitan. I could see him slide to 3B for the Cards as he continues to grow.

    A few others: Where do you put guys like Lazarito (with his lack of pro ball, but dat bod, yo – YEAH I’M TRYING TO TALK LIKE THE KIDS THESE DAYS), Paul DeJong, Forrest Wall, Eddy Martinez, Spencer Adams?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Tweak: all fair points I think Perez sticks of short long time and I’d love to see Collins hit 280 or 290 but there is some swinging a miss.

      All of those guys are outside my top 150 but would place somewhere between 150 and 200

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz: damn speak to text is messy Ha!

  40. Son

    Son says:
    (link)

    Really good stuff Ralph. Appreciate the knowledge and work.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Son: Thanks Son! You the man!

    • nick the dick says:
      (link)

      @Son: Ready for a little crazy early RCLing tonight you February drafting maniac!

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
        (link)

        @nick the dick: Nice! I wish I got in on that. I need to draft a redraft.

        • nick the dick says:
          (link)

          @Ralph Lifshitz: I am itching to do a real draft so I had to hop in the earliest one, Son wasn’t playing around with a Feb draft date! You never joined back in mine either, guess no redraft Ralph schooling for me

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
            (link)

            @nick the dick: I’m going to be setting up other RCL’s now that I got this finished.

  41. malamoney says:
    (link)

    A+ Ralph!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @malamoney: thanks buddy!

  42. Manny Mota says:
    (link)

    Awesome list Ralph – thanks for the hard work!

    Quick question for you (or anyone who wants to opine).

    Where would AJ Reed and Joey Gallo rank (ballpark estimate) if eligible?

    Huge upside on the 2 but a ton of risk…

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Manny Mota: I mentioned Reed and his ranking a couple comments up. Gallo would be around 20-25.

  43. Saints says:
    (link)

    Hay Ralph Thanks for this amazing Prospect ranking i love it :)
    Is there a dynasty ranking (included all players) you would highly reccomend ?
    Which one do you like best ?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Saints: Dynasty Guru has a very good one.

      • Ra'zbahl Al Ghul says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz: Awesome stuff Ralph! I think dynasty guru is kinda crazy as crackers personally

        • Saints says:
          (link)

          @Ra’zbahl Al Ghul:
          dynasty Guru has Justin Upton at 20 in the outfield Oo cant believe it. And i let him go for nothing this offseason :) But thanks for the advice i will read there.
          In my dynasty there are 2 teams who are gone so the players will be thrown in a draft pool the best players would be these guys:
          Mike Trout, OF, LAA
          Clayton Kershaw, SP, LAD
          Kyle Seager, 3B ,SEA
          Josh Donaldson, 3B , TOR
          Vincent Velasquez, RP, PHI
          Roberto Osuna, RP, TOR
          Carlos Santana, 1B, CLE
          Jonathan Schoop, 2B, BAL
          Billy Hamilton, OF, CIN
          how would you rank them?( the order are my thoughts the first 2 are very obvious though :D )

          • Saints says:
            (link)

            @Saints: It’s the cincy hamilton

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
            (link)

            @Saints: I still like JD two, think he has 3 years left

            • Saints says:
              (link)

              @Ralph Lifshitz:
              Other than that you would rank it the same ?

              • Ralph Lifshitz

                Ralph Lifshitz says:
                (link)

                @Saints: Yes looks good, I can see taking Santana ahead of Osuna. Same with Hamilton over Schoop depending how the draft goes early.

                • Saints says:
                  (link)

                  @Ralph Lifshitz: thanks for the advice

  44. Eric says:
    (link)

    Wondering what your thoughts are on Heath Quinn. Made top 10 in the 1st year player rankings in october. Did something happen to drop him down in your mind? Thanks for the rankings and all the hard work!

    • Eric says:
      (link)

      @Eric: Will Craig & Matt Thaiss too – thought these college bats would fair better

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
        (link)

        @Eric: they’re all in that range. There’s a lot of good prospects! Haha

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
        (link)

        @Eric: Thaiss was like 104.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Eric: There’s other guys I like more and others that have more value in dynasty. He’s in my top 150 for sure. 80-150 is splitting hairs often.

  45. Jason says:
    (link)

    Great list. Thanks for putting it together. Where would you put Jordan Patterson? Seems to have 20/20 upside, especially at Coors Field. Hits for good AVG too. Does the crowded OF scare you off?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Jason: Yeah he seems to be the odd man out. I was hoping he could get the 1B job, but it looks like that’s Desmond. If he had an everyday job, I’d have him around 85.

  46. Nice work Ralph.

    Do you mean to say that Swanson has above average power?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Wake Up: Yeah, I don’t think he’s going to hit 30 homers, but I think 20 are possible with lots of doubles. I think peak Dansby will homer more than he steals.

  47. Revive85 says:
    (link)

    Dynasty Question. Just got offered the following trade:

    Trade – Francisco Lindor, Victor Robles, and Alex Colome

    Receive – Byron Buxton, Nomar Mazara, Jon Gray

    Which side and why?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Revive85: I like the Buxton/Mazara/Gray side for the upside.

  48. Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
    (link)

    Yay Ralph! Stellar work.

  49. Goldirocks says:
    (link)

    Nice list Ralph!
    Q- Would you rather hold the upside potential of Ryan McMahon (and Coors) and his sweet lefty swing, and hope that last year was just a blip on the radar of his learning curve; or keep Dilson Herrera who seems closer to the bigs – and does he have any upside for more from a middle infielder?
    One of the two has to be dropped in a dynasty league…

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Goldirocks: McMahon!

  50. nick the dick says:
    (link)

    Gulp, gulp, gulp. Ahhhh…refreshing!

      • nick the dick says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz: And in case my cup of lemonade reference before was too obscure for you to recognize Ed Lover talking on Method Man’s album, well then color me disappointed

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
          (link)

          @nick the dick: oh I know Tical 2000 front ways and back ways brother lol

          • nick the dick says:
            (link)

            @Ralph Lifshitz: You couldn’t disappoint me if you tried. Love that album.

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
              (link)

              @nick the dick: I love Sorry by Justin Bieber….disappointed?

              • nick the dick says:
                (link)

                @Ralph Lifshitz: As long as I continue to not know what that sounds like, you get the Beni fit of the doubt

                • Ralph Lifshitz

                  Ralph Lifshitz says:
                  (link)

                  @nick the dick: It’s a fire jam.

  51. Another Dan says:
    (link)

    Hey Ralph,

    Excellent stuff. Much appreciated as alw,yes. My MLB team is looking pretty good at present thanks to yours and Halp’s input. I have 16 of your top 100 I my 12 team dynasty, plus a few others.

    A few notes :
    Halp is higher than you on Zack Collins (37 places) and Laureano (29) Bobby Bradley (26) Kyle Tucker (21).

    You’re higher on Casey Gillespie (93) Kevin Newman (83) Martes (44) Margot (29) and Bellinger (21). Obviously there are others but I picked out notables.

    best wishes and thanks again,

    Another Dan

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Another Dan: Yeah the Tucker thing is age a little. I think we’ll be closer in him in mid-season. Halp loves Collins, Laureano and Bradley. I’m a little more cautious with those three. I’m still think all are good players.

      Gillaspie is a personal favorite, Newman is just safe safe safe, not exciting but he’s going to be a solid MLB player.

      I like Bellinger’s swing, Halp doesn’t. I see more pop in Margot’s bat, and Martes is one of my favorite pitchers in the minors.

      We’re going to go through the rankings.

      • Another Dan says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz:

        Thanks Ralph, much appreciated. They were only things I noticed from an initial inspection of the rankings versus Halps. I have a spreadsheet that I have put them all on.

        The ‘going through’ the rankings a podcast? You forcing me to go to the gym ?

        Dan

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
          (link)

          @Another Dan: Hahaha I need the spreadsheet.

          • Another Dan says:
            (link)

            @Ralph Lifshitz:

            It’s yours, how do I get it to you ?

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
              (link)

              @Another Dan: Is it excel or sheets? You could import it to sheets and share the link

              • Another Dan says:
                (link)

                @Ralph Lifshitz:

                Does this work ?

                https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OXDOJL_k-nl3f9ovbfKmk_vFs-PBcL6cD1G0xa8DHZM/edit?usp=sharing

                I’ve got 4 sets of Rankings on there. Yours, Halp’s, MLB pipeline and Sickels. If you think there are any others that are worth including, I’d be happy to do it. I am trying to work out who my league mates follow in order to work out their values, so I can then take advantage of that information.

                I have used the SP tag for all pitchers whether I think they are destined to be SP or RP.

                Any other thoughts will be welcomed.

                Best wishes,

                Dan

                • Ralph Lifshitz

                  Ralph Lifshitz says:
                  (link)

                  @Another Dan: Brillant!

  52. Brown L says:
    (link)

    Better keep: Mike Trout in the 1st round (2nd pick, can probably grab Goldschmidt instead) or Donaldson in the 3rd?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Brown L: Keep Trout

  53. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    I love me some Toddfather, but here’s hoping his oblique injury gives Moncada a slightly better chance to break camp!

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz: Lawrie plays 3B, no?

        TBD on Frazier’s injury severity, but this could make things interesting. Here’s hoping he misses a couple weeks (so I can draft him on the cheap) + then gets traded to the Red Sox when Pablo discovers the Fenway food courts.

  54. Wolvey says:
    (link)

    Great list mangs.

    On Verdugo: since 2011, there have been just 7 dudes that have hit more than 10 HR as a 20 year old or younger in the Texas League (AA). Their K% for that year are also listed.

    Bellinger: 23! (2016); 20.2%
    Verdugo 13 (2016); 12.7%
    Nomar Marzara 13 (2015); 19.6%
    Domingo Santana 25*! (2013); 29.2%
    Jurickson Profar 14 (2012); 14.1%
    Jon Singleton 21* (2012); 23.6%
    Mike Trout 11 (2011); 18.4%

    What to make of this? Firstly, the asterisk beside Sanatana and Singleton is bc they played their games in a cookie box (Lancaster). You can see that in the K% too – selling out for power. Or maybe it’s just that they (Singleton) weren’t that good and we should have seen that.

    The rest? Legit contact/power prospects. What Bellinger did is almost crazy. But Verdugo? I’d say if you were bullish on Mazara coming up, you should love Verdugo. Same power profile, little more speed, better contact skills. Just my opinion, but I see a .290AVG, .360OBP, 25HR, 10SB guy in his prime years. Yum.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Wolvey: One correction the Astros Texas League affiliate is in Corpus Christi. Lancaster is their A+ Cal League team.

      You might be right, but I just don’t see the same ceiling with Verdugo that I do with Mazara. Verdugo is all pull power and Mazara has power to all fields. Take a look at the slugging% of all the players listed. All of them are higher by a range of 40-140 points.

      I really like your take on Verdugo, and can see it happening. I just think he’ll be a good not great hitter.

  55. Chud says:
    (link)

    Ralph,

    Awesome list! These rankings leave all other prospect lists in the dust! I’ll be using this during my dynasty draft in a few weeks when I nab Jimenez!

    Much appreciated.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Chud: Thanks for the love!

  56. nightpandas says:
    (link)

    Great work Ralph…

    In a 15 team partial keeper who would be the best late round grab for potential for this year:

    Meadows
    Brinson
    Bellinger
    Margot

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @nightpandas: Margot is the safe bet, but I really think from July on it could be Brinson. However, if Cutch is moved it’s Meadows. So much of their 2017 value is situational

  57. Q says:
    (link)

    Batterwise, any difference in the top 10-15 or so for a points league? In my league , steals have very little value & batter Ks are a killer.

    Congrats on a hell of an offseason.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Q: Sounds like Willie Calhoun is the king of that league. Benintendi doesn’t strikeout much but he’s 1 anyway. Stay away from the Bradley’s, Cozen’s, Stewart’s then.

  58. Chris says:
    (link)

    This is great – thank you!

    Would you mind posting the results of some of your first-year player drafts? Your comment about Juan Soto made me really curious to see how the first 2-3 rounds are playing out in other dynasty leagues.

  59. Mike

    Mike says:
    (link)

    Pretty cool to see Money Maniac debut at 50. Great stuff Rowf!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Mike: Thanks! He’s moved up a lot for me in the last few months. If the power comes he’s going to be a superstar.

  60. trick dad says:
    (link)

    Wow glad I traded Reynaldo Lopez for judge straight up. I was beginning to regret it.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @trick dad: I regret even listing him a little. He’s kind of blah, but mixed league relevant. I think I’d rather own Walker Buehler over Lopez.

      • goodfold2 says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz: MF’er!, i used a pretty high pick on him whatever years ago (2 maybe) in my 30 teamer.

  61. holala says:
    (link)

    Great work. Thank you. For my last keeper… do you prefer De Leon or Berrios?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @holala: Berrios still, I’m giving him a mulligan on 2016.

  62. B says:
    (link)

    Keeper league, price goes up $3 every year. Keep $4 Peraza or $10 Gordon?

    Thank you.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @B: I say roll the dice and go with Peraza.

  63. thorbs says:
    (link)

    How far away is a guy like Brady Aiken from this list? In your Indians preview, you mentioned you see him as having frontline potential still, but I can snag a guy like Gohara from the wire ahead of our first year player draft.

    If I drafted today my 8 minor league keepers in my dynasty league would be Robles, Tapia, Verdugo, Bader, Tellez, Weaver, M Chapman and Aiken, but Gohara is out there.

    Could also keep Stewart or Basabe, but in addition to the OF above I also have Trout/Betts/Bryant in the OF already so I figured a mix of positions would be best.

    • thorbs says:
      (link)

      And glorious article btw…it’s is always next to me during my drafts!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @thorbs: Aiken will be in Sunday’s post he just missed the list.

  64. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    It seems like some of the young Padres are flying under the radar in redrafts this year (if that’s possible anymore). Do you see Margot putting up a typical Andrus type season and Renfroe doing something in the Schoop/Duvall range?

    Great stuff Ralph!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Big Magoo: There are so many players in hat farm system now, obviously the closest being Margot and Renfroe.

      The comps on Renfroe are spot on, big power, strikeouts, no walks. I’m interested to see how much his BA dips in the majors. It’s been good in the minors, which is surprising based on the skill set.

      I think Margot is a better hitter. Should hit for a higher average over his career (I know Andrus hit .300 last year) Margot is less pull heavy and very adept at going the other way. Had a 23.5% LD rate in AAA in 16′, so he makes hard contact. He’s also got more power than Andrus has now I feel. The numbers in 2017 however could be very Andrus like.

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz: Yeah, I was just thinking in terms of 2017 only. Andrus is the first guy who jumped out to me as a potential comp for Margot in terms of a 5×5 stat line, even though I know they’re not exactly the same player. It’s encouraging to think that double digit power could be on the way for Margot in the near future. He’s a guy that I already had circled on my list for late round speed. Thanks Ralph!

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
          (link)

          @Big Magoo: It’s a good comp and I think the 2016 Andrus would be in line. That’s a good comp. Great late round speed play, and you could couple him with Jankowski to cover you until his up, if he starts the year in El Paso for super 2 games.

  65. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    where ya got your fav edwin rios? i was able to grab him with the last pick of the 30 teamer.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @goodfold2: One of the last minute casualties. He’s somewhere around 125.

  66. Chris says:
    (link)

    I just joined a dynasty league which includes a minor league draft. Many of the minor league players have already been chosen, but there are still some good ones remaining. I have the first two picks of the draft and could use some help selecting them.

    It’s a 5×5 with the following categories:
    – Hitting: AVG, BB, HR, 2B+3B, SB-CS
    – Pitching: IP, K/9, ERA, BB/9, HR/9 (1,200 IP min. per team)

    Here are the top players available in no particular order:

    A.J. Puk – SP
    Will Craig – OF
    Matt Thaiss – 1B/C
    Mitch Keller – SP
    Heath Quinn – OF
    Alex Kirilloff – OF
    Jake Bauers – 1B
    Derek Fisher – OF
    Lazaro Armenteros – OF
    Bobby Dalbec – 3B

    Thoughts on who to select with my first two picks? Thank you!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Chris: Go Fisher and Keller.

      • Chris says:
        (link)

        @Ralph Lifshitz:

        Thanks and that’s mostly where I was leaning. That said, I thought you’d say Will Craig! At least, that’s what I inferred from listening to the podcast and reading your first-year dynasty post. Any thoughts on why Fisher over Will Craig?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
          (link)

          @Chris: Fisher is on the cusp he could start for at least 10 teams now. Craig has questions about his power long term. He’s shown none with wood bats imrhis year or on the Cape. I like him, but he’ll drop down of my FYPD rankings now.

          I’d take him over Kirilloff, Quinn, Bauers, Dalbec, Lazarito. Puk has too much value in leagues. I may not want to own him, but many do, so he’s tradable.

          • Chris says:
            (link)

            @Ralph Lifshitz:

            Excellent advice and that all makes a ton of sense. It sounds like it will be Keller and Fisher it is. Thank you and I very much appreciate the responses.

  67. Hot Rod

    Hot Rod says:
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    Just a heads up for anyone following the prospect thread here: V3 of the excel War Room has been posted at the War Room homepage (https://razzball.com/2017-fantasy-baseball-war-room), and now features Ralph’s prospect rankings on the Players tab and Dashboard (and a new dashboard “ETA-by-year” tiers for drafting keeper leagues vs redrafts!)

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Hot Rod: Thanks Hot Rod!!

  68. Bill Lumbergh says:
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    Ralph: Where would you slot these top prospects in a dynasty startup draft? 14 team 5×5 keep forever. Benintendi and Moncada specifically. Thanks!

    • Bill Lumbergh says:
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      @Bill Lumbergh: Also, high probability that this league sticks together.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Bill Lumbergh: I’d take Benintendi or Moncada within the top 50-60.

  69. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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    where’d cody reed be, i heard somewhere where he’s actually under limits barely. might’ve been from you actually.

      • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: hmm, but in a league where we’re only gonna use innings where’d he go roughly. bout to slow draft a brand new 16 team dynasty with 7 man minor list, the minor list will be slow drafted as soon as we fill the league (hopefully by early march), and then regular roster will be online draft in late march. i went back and looked at just how long a slow draft for over 500 players might take and i don’t want to risk either starting way too early or not ending by start of season. we have lots of extra cats like OPS/XBH/QS/K per 9, K/BB, holds, etc. roto dynasty as well.

  70. David says:
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    Love your work Ralph, thanks!

    Have you completely soured on AJ Reed?

  71. David says:
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    Sorry, missed those Reed comments.

  72. Thomas Nicastro says:
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    Given the fact that the new Atlanta Braves ballpark will be Virtua hitters Paradise on the likes of the Reds and the Brewers ballparks would you not consider rating Braves prospects such as Acuna , Maitwan and Riley a little higher

  73. NickfromtheRoc says:
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    Hey Ralph,

    What would it take for you to trade a $9 Moncada (with $1/year inflation)? Someone has an offer out to me for JP Crawford, Bradley Zimmer and Mallex Smith, all on the cheap. I have no intention of taking that trade, but I’ve had more than a handful of people reach out to me with an interest in trading for him….

    Thanks as always, and hot damn! Glad Razzball is back!

    ~Nick

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