Here I go, here I go, here I go again (again?). Girls, what’s my weakness? (Men who play baseball.) Okay, then. *insert GIF of Ariana Grande saying ‘Thank u, next’* Today, is the day in history known as, “Aw, sookie sookie, don’t need the nookie, Grey’s giving me a fantasy baseball cookie.” Or, more succinctly, the top 500 for 2019 fantasy baseball. A few years ago, the top 500 was only a top 300 for fantasy baseball. Before that, it was 16 AD and I was drafting in one-person leagues because no one knew fantasy baseball or baseball. In a few years from now, this is going to be a top 10,000 and I’m going to be ranking Mike Trout Jr. Jr. Jr. the 15th. Today, in this year, nineteen after twenty, comes the top 500 for 2019 fantasy baseball. Or as I like to call it, from Mike Trout A to chimpanzee. Actually, I don’t call it that. So, this post isn’t meant to send shockwaves through your system. The pipe cleaner that the doctor uses to get the clogged wax from your ears is meant for that. This is simply to give you an idea of where guys are ranked in relation to other positions. I.e., you know I like Jonathan Villar better than Gleyber Torres, according to the top 20 shortstops, but do I like Villar better than Domingo Santana? Okay, it’s not that simple. You’ll notice after the top 200, positions start to get clumped together. I might be the only fantasy baseball ‘pert to tell you this, but it doesn’t matter where, say, Tyler White is ranked vs. Blake Parker. If you need a closer, White isn’t going to help you. He can be ranked 50 spots in front of Parker and it doesn’t matter. That’s why I have the 2019 fantasy baseball rankings broken down by positions. If you need a 1st baseman, where Justin Smoak vs. Ryan Zimmerman matters, but where Smoak is ranked vs. Ketel Marte really doesn’t matter. Also, there’s no comments about players, which you really should know prior to drafting. In other words, Jose Altuve might be in the 20’s overall, but am I drafting him? Well, you’d know if you read the top 20 2nd basemen. There’s also a top 100 for 2019 fantasy baseball to help you. Also, the Fantasy Baseball War Room and tomorrow will be a pitchers’ pairing tool, then on Monday will be our Razzball league signups. Anyway, here’s the top 500 for 2019 fantasy baseball:
| Download Table as CSV | |||
| Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output! | |||
| # | Name | Team | ESPN | Y! | $ | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | IP | W | SV | ERA | WHIP | K |
|---|
270 Responses (Jump straight to the comment form)
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Great job to all of razzball that helped Another fantastic top 500
@Al KOHOLIC: here here!
@Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Thanks, Duda!
@Al KOHOLIC: Thanks, AL!
Echo Al’s comment. Fantastic. You are the shot of tequila to my morning.
Grey/Ralph-
Who do you think offers the most potential for turning things beautiful in a H2H dynasty league: Dylan Bundy or Reynaldo Lopez?
Many thanks.
@The Eye of Horus: Thanks! Neither? Lopez
When did Nola get traded to the Angels?
@Alex: Is he listed as that? I’ll ping Rudy
OMG, it’s finally here! My guide on how to live the next 2 months of my life!!!!
@Fanciful Basesball: ha. For real. I still stray and go with 1 or 2 of my own gut instinct picks every year and have hit the jackpot a few times but have also been to ashamed to even tell him I went against his bust guys a few more times than not
@Fanciful Basesball: Haha
Grey, sir. Keeper question for you. 12 team, 5×5 league. Can keep 4. Who do you go with?
– Albes 20th rd (5 round penalty each year kept after this year)
– Flaherty 25th rd (5 round penalty each year kept after this year)
– Dahl 16th rd (4 round penalty each year kept after this year)
– Villar 17th rd (4 round penalty each year kept after this year)
– story 6th rd (2 round penalty each year kept after this year)
– senzel 21st rd (5 round penalty each year kept after this year)
Mazel!
@Albert: not senzel, not story
@Albert: 1st 4
@Albert</I rank Story #1 for the next 3 years. IMHO
In the words of the kids these days, “YAAAAASSSSS QUEEEEEEN”
Will there be a War Room Excel download available again this year? This has helped us a ton in our live drafts the past several years.
@Ray: Grey doesn’t do that, usually a commentator or other write steps up. Past few years it was HotRod, I’ve sent him an email a week or so back to see if he was doing it.
@knucks: Hope HotRod is not competing with SimplyFred in the big league in the sky
@knucks: Wait, did you hear back?
@Grey: I did not hear back… we lost Fred?
If I don’t hear anything in the next week or so, maybe I’ll try to get to work on this.
Yeah, Fred passed away around Xmas — I didn’t hear back from HotRod either — Maybe HotRod was Fred? I don’t know…
@Grey: Damn. RIP.
I’ll pull up last years version and start inputting stats this weekend if I can.
Thanks, knucks!
Simply Fred? Man, that sucks. He was one of the good ones.
@Ray: Haha, have to ask HotRod
Grey, sir. Keeper question for you. 12 team, 5×5 league. Can keep 4. Who do you go with??
– Albes 20th rd (5 round penalty each year kept after this year)
– Flaherty 25th rd (5 round penalty each year kept after this year)
– Dahl 16th rd (4 round penalty each year kept after this year)
– Villar 17th rd (4 round penalty each year kept after this year)
– story 6th rd (2 round penalty each year kept after this year)
– senzel 21st rd (5 round penalty each year kept after this year)
Mazel!
@Albert: Answered above, only question is Story or Villar
Under espn column you have davis listed as OF hes dh there
@Wally Pipp: That’s a Rudy thing, will ping him
Do you still see the rule of going hitter heavy for the 1st 3-4 rounds as applicable this year?
Would likely wind up with Aaron Nola or Gerrit Cole (if lucky) as your SP1.
Starting to learn that pitching always seems to never work out the way your expect. Hitting seems to be a little more predictable to some extent.
Thanks
@Earl: That’s always the rule. Yes, always.
@Earl: Yup, Earl, see https://razzball.com/top-20-starters-for-2019-fantasy-baseball/
“Shawn Armstrong ahead of Gregory Polanco?!!! You’ve lost all credibility” – Mr. Pipp
@Cram It: hey i was going to say that!
I dont mind an armstrong flier with your last pick. Strickland had a 7.3 k rate and a 4.14 bb rate last season over 45 innings, hes done. Swarzak looked so bad last year and was hurt so dont expect much there. They prolly sign someone else tho
@Wally Pipp: I’m just playing around. I don’t care for drafting non-closer RP’s (save the elite ones). They’re a dime a dozen.
@Cram It: Ha
@Cram It: I think what he meant to say was that my pick of Shawn Armstrong at 699 was a decent value afterall.
@Dave D: Steal of the draft!
Grey!!!!!
So wonderful!
a. What do the Holy Grail, the Magna Carta, James Joyce’s Ulysses or Dubliners (take your pick), Edgar Allan Poe (The Raven) and this top 500 have in common? They are all master works, man! Thanks for continuing to give.
b. Fantastic video, mind blowing!
c. I know it’s against your religion to draft a team early but I get the sense that a lot of that value (like Voit at 160) will vanish by OD. And then what’s so good about drafting Luke Voit 100th overall? He’ll probably end up 100th overall on the player rater. I think I will draft one early team and one late team having more data to mull over by the end of ST for the latter. Thoughts?
d. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote for February 7
1. This was Colin Ferguson’s first week in prison. Ferguson has reportedly dismissed his cell mate and from now on he’ll be acting as his own bitch.
2. New medical research shows that men and women have different food cravings, men preferring meat and women preferring sweets. Scientists trace this back to cave man days when men had to go out and hunt for food while women sat on their fat asses eating chocolates!
3. Washington power two-some Mary Matalin and James Carville are expecting their first baby in July. No one knows if the baby will be a Democrat or a Republican but doctor’s are sure of one thing…it will be weird looking.
4. The richest girl in the world, billionaire Athena Onasis, celebrated her 10th birthday this week. What’s it like to be the richest girl in the world? Well, to give you some idea at the party they had 2 cakes!
5. The mafia announced that they will drop their time-honored greeting of gently kissing each other on the cheek this week. But as for shooting people and then stuffing them into the trunks of their cars – FULL STEAM AHEAD!
6. An intoxicated man was decapitated by a moving subway train this week after he fell off the platform while trying to show off for a woman he didn’t know. The stunt worked – the two will be married in June.
7. Due to a change in policy, Amtrak employees will no longer be able to kick homeless people out of Penn Station, based on the way they look. From now on, they will have to go solely on urine stench.
Cheers,
Ante
@Ante Galic: Thanks! A. Indeed B. Haha, thanks! C. I’m fine with that, be interesting to see if you like one team much better by Sept. D. 5. Ha
@Grey: Grey!!
Thanks, man. I liked #5 for you too.
Btw, am I right that the season starts this year on March 20??!! How is it possible?
Cheers,
Ante
It kinda starts then… There’s 2 semi-exhibition games
@Grey: Grey!!
That’s crazy! Do the games count for stats? OMG, my panties are all wound up now.
Cheers,
Ante
Ha, they do count
So i really like jose leclerc, but hes got an adp of like 115 (12th closer off the board) and you have him ranked 143. I feel like its gona be a struggle to get decent rp pitchers this year.
@Wally Pipp: I agree. Seems like a few teams are stockpiling the high quality arms. Basically, there’s top shelf closers but the upper-middle class has been hollowed out to some degree in the fantasy chase for saves. But I’m all in on the SAGNOF theory. And think a 140-150 is about where I’d start drafting CLs. Almost all hitters (no C) and 3-4 SPs. So I’ll be fine with any slotted in the CL spot from Giles down to Bradley (I’m hoping for 2 of them). And then throw darts in FA as meltdowns start happening.
@Wally Pipp: Then grab him closer to 115
I have Adamses, Altuve , Trevor Story at middle iinf—Acuan Soto, Ozuna in the outfield.
I saw the Palka sleeper post last spot on a 14 team dynasty Palka or Schoop?
@Jarrett: Coin flip, they’re close… You can keep Schoop and get back Palka easier prolly
In Grey we trust…
Why is Brantley ranked so low? He was great last year…I know new setting, new team, just wondering though.
Thoughts on not keeping him in the 15th round of a 27 round draft,. Even though I just traded him for a 15th round after trading mine away in a mega deal for Marquez and Baez.
And I’ve been hungry waiting for my $12 salads, despite them just being salads. Please be the donkey corn and deliver…my absolute favorite post to read
@JAscher: Grey is never down with Brantley, he’s been consistent with that through the years. But I agreed, I had added him off the wire in April in an OBP league last year and he was great.
@JAscher: Lack of projected ABs, I reckon.
@JAscher: He was solid last year, I’m not drafting him this year — A 15th round keeper sounds fine for him, not sure of your options tho
14-Team H2H OBP Keep 6 Forever League;
Stanton/Rizzo for Correa/Rendon
Considering this trade before our draft. I’m in good position to compete this year with extra draft picks and the other guy is looking long term. My other keepers are Trea, Judge, Mondesi, and Strasburg.
Which side do you like and how close is it? Would be fun having Judge and Stanton on the same team.
@The Two Towers: Stanton side, doesn’t seem that close
My point about leclerc is if i wait til pick 115 ish to take a rp which i normally do, if leclerc adp is 115, and hes going as the 12th closer off the board, the next best options look weak. So if i start there and miss leclerc, the next rp you have ranked after leclerc are:
Alvarado-rays about to resign romo
Givens- 4+ era and no lock
Knebel- 16 sv in 57 gms with hader there 2018
Archie bradley- is he even the closer (or even a RP this year)?
Cody allen- 4.7 era last year
Vizcaino- seems like a committee with Minter
Shane green- lol
Andrew miller -setup / high leverage role likely
Yada yada
@Wally Pipp: Gotcha
Trying to figure out my keepers in a 10-team 5×5 obp league, 4 OFs, 1 IF, 10 Ps.
My options are:
Albies – $2
Soto – $4
Haniger – $2
Chapman – $1
Profar – $1
Hader – $3
Severino – $1
Flaherty – $4
Taillon – $8
I’m pretty set on Severino, Flaherty, Albies, Soto, and Haniger. I’ve been thinking Chapman and either Hader or Taillon as my last two. Wondering how you would approach.
@Ben: I’d keep all of them. They’re all cheap as hell.
@Ben: Taillon, tho no idea how many you keep in total
@Grey:
Whoops, forgot to say it’s a 7 keeper max.
Kingery and Nicky Delmonico not in the top500? Blasphemy!
@The Great Knoche: They’re listed
@Grey: I know. 506 and 517. Had to pick on something.
Ha, you Pipp you!
@Grey: A-A-ron Judge is my hero!
Haha
Hey Grey.
I am debating on my last keeper between Springer, Albies and Merrifield.
This is a keep forever so usually i lean towards the younger age guy (Albies) but I am also a big Springer fan…
@Chinzy: Albies
Thanks Grey As always appreciate it
@Brian: No problem
10 team dynasty h2h 5×5 obp
My marte/freddy peralta for his khris davis/forrest whitley
@big league choo: Bump. Depends.
@big league choo: Sounds pretty fair, I’d go Khris
10 team dynasty h2h 5×5 obp
My marte/freddy peralta for his khris davis/forrest whitley
@big league choo: Answered above
Good ish ! Which three out of this crew would you keep? 12-team roto (Round Draft Pick forfeited)
Mookie (2nd Round)
Story (7th)
Bellinger (16th)
Vlad Jr (19th)
Dahl (23rd)
@Roger Dorn: Depends on how long you can keep them. But Mookie, Story, Vlad. Can see an argument for either of the others depending if there are keeper restrictions though.
Keep forever, round forfeited moves up 1 each year
@Roger Dorn: Betts, Story, Vlad
Hey Grey – Thanks for all the work you do and free content you provide. Rarely a morning goes by where you fail to get a laugh or smile out of me. But there’s something I don’t understand. You say about The Foaming Lips tier (SP) that if they make it to around 50 overall, or under $30, then you’d happily draft one. However, the Grey dollar values for these guys start at $20 and go down from there. What am I missing?
I do use your values as a guide at my auction, and I think this issue reared its head last year for me. As a result, all the best pitchers went for significantly more than the Grey Values. The prices did not catch up until I ended up with Sonny Gray for $13. Now, due to some excellent advice, I also ended up with Corbin, Snell, Bauer and Wacha, and won my league going away. But I’m not sure that is repeatable.
I don’t like to spend too much more than the expected return on a player at auction. How do I (we) reconcile the Grey Values with the need to get a decent starter with the statement that you would spend significantly more than the Grey Value on certain players?
Sorry for the long, rambling message.
@Five-on-One: No problem! Can go above $20 on them to get one… Merely ballpark figures — You’re better off thinking of pitching as around $80 total to spend… One SP for $20-ish, one for $15-ish, 3 for around $10, one flyer, but need RPs too
@Grey: so basically what you recommend is spending approx 30% of your budget on pitching ($80 of a $260 budget) even though pitching makes up approx 40% of the roster (6 SP and 3 RP on a 23 man roster). Does that make sense? Great question by fiveonone, and somethkng ive wondered about as well. And again, thanks Grey. Love the material you put out.
180/80 is pretty standard… Sometimes I go as low as $70
@Grey: cool, thanks grey
No problem
Great work as always, Grey. Are the RCLs going to be on Fantrax again this year?
@branta: They will, Goose Plus
At first glance the most out of whack ranking to me is Maikel Franco at 515, not sure what’s built into that. Perhaps the idea that the Phillies will acquire Machado, and Machado plays third. Otherwise, seems criminally low for a 26 yr. old that has hit 20 or more homers 3 straight years, and struck out in less than 15% of his abs last year.
@Tom: The 287 AB’s are built into that. He’s not projected for those numbers over a full season.
@Tom: Yes, Machado signing in Philly is built into that, as I say at https://razzball.com/top-20-3rd-basemen-for-2019-fantasy-baseball/
You must be super bummed you didn’t win any fantasy baseball writing awards.
@OaktownSteve: Yeah, I don’t pay $400/year to vote for myself
@Grey: HAHAHAHAHAHA!
Mediocre content pays for accolades!
Yeah, precisely… Really a bunch of shysters
@Grey: since this started with an Oaktown comment. Remember that one time Oaktown went into a room full of “perts” and told each and every one what was wrong with their game.
HA, I do!
@Grey: damn, this is just kicking off memories of all the tools of twitter who talk about the awards and have their membership a part of their profile.
Ha, yeah, what a jizzoke
As the old Groucho Marx joke goes, I don’t want to be a member of a club that would have me
@Grey: I did a slow mock one year with Sky and other writers and the logic around their picks was either archaic or based in very bad logic. Then I would look at where they wrote and my jaw would drop
Yeah, lots of people with really bad takes
BTW, https://razzball.com/top-500-for-2019-fantasy-baseball/#comment-2842507
@OaktownSteve: BTW, someone commented on the top 100 starters they were also at the grocery convention
@OaktownSteve:
Where are these posted?
Razzball’s never been nominated for anything ever bc we don’t pay $400/year to be
@Grey:
So it’s like buying your own star on the walk of “fame”?
Totally, but more disingenuous
I’d like to thank God and myself for this award.
Grey, trade question. Was offered Moustakis for Upton
Points league:
H 1
1B 1
2B 2
3B 3
HR 4
SB 2
RBI 2
R 1
BB 2
TB 1
12 team, 12 keeper. So far I’m keeping (Freeman, Correa, Segura, Encarnacion, Judge, Hoskins, Upton, Pham, Severino, Syndergaard, Flaherty, Buehler)
Don’t want to trade for Moose and he signs in SD. That’s a nightmare. Thanks man
@Skip Mcgillicuddy: Meh, I’d hold
Love the draft this, not that video.
Another interesting tool idea that I probably won’t be getting around to making but I’ll think about making is something that allows you to input a player and see all of those players who are projected for give-or-take the same stat lines.
Non sequitur- does the Razz community have any comedy show suggestions that have been flying under the radar? We just finished Sex Education and enjoyed it but now need a new show to not talk during dinner.
Thanks.
Derry Girls is really funny IMHO.
@Mike: Oh yeah? Never heard of it, will have to check it out
It takes a minute to get used to the thick Irish accents, but yeah I loved it.
Sounds like I’ll need subtitles for it
@Matty: Thanks! I love Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt — Interesting idea for a tool, closest I think is our trade evaluator
@Matty:
Peep Show is definitely under the radar.
@FrankGrimes:
Thanks guys. Loved Peep Show and just finished up the last of Kimmy. I’ll check out Derry Girls.
If you haven’t watched Sex Education, add that to the queue.
I like Trea and Story a bunch this year. My league does have 2 Util spots. So in theory they could fit. What do you guys think of going SS in the 1st and 2nd? Assuming guys like Stanton, Judge and Goldy are gone. Think I’ll go Judge if all of them are available…
@bigbear: I don’t love it, tbh, but I could see it this year
@Grey: Yeah… That’s where I’m at too. I’m definitely taking Story over Freeman. So that’s the dividing line imo. Trea/Story would provide a higher floor for everything the rest of the draft. I wouldn’t have to chase HR or SB much either. And maybe a nice trade chip if the right deal comes along. I may have talked myself into Story even if Judge/Stanton are available!
Especially since Trea and Story do opposite things, if you said Trea and Mondesi, I’d say meh
Hey Grey!
I’m struggling with my last couple of keepers. In a H2H 10 player Dynasty keep 15 players per year for max of 5 years at a time (if a player is dropped they start 5 years again.) Number next to a player is how many years I have them left. What do you think?
Top 11 keepers
Trout (2), Acuna (4), JD Martinez(2), Lindor (2), Mondesi(4) Verlander (2) Trevor Bauer (4) Buehler (4) Eugenio Suarez (4) Matt Olson (3) Tim Anderson (4)
Who would be your last 4?
Kimbrel (2) Roberto Osuna (2) Piscotty (4) Peralta (4) Sal Perez (3) Eduardo Escobar (4)
Thank you!
@InferiorHippo: Escobar, Kimbrel, Osuna, Piscotty
Patricia Arquette was such an idiot!
@FrankGrimes: Yeah, but she was incredible in that role
@Grey:
For sure. But I want an alternate ending
where she picks them up so they can kill her. Haha.
Haha, it’s a true story
Fantastic stuff, thanks Grey!
General question for you. You always have certain guys you’re way higher on than ADP for good reason. What’s your strategy during the draft for these guys? For example momdesi you have 20, let’s say his ADP is 80 (just making that up). Are you drafting him at 20 every single time or maybe waiting until 50 because you think you can wait and still get him. Same for luchessi, you have him 100 ADP is let’s say 200. You grabbing him at 100 every time or maybe splitting the difference and trying to wait until 150 to get a better value?
Thanks! I think you have to be somewhat familiar with ADP, if a guy is being drafted around 80 overall, you don’t really have to jump on him until around 50-60 overall
Grey, draft strategy question
I got 6 th pick in 12 teamer
Thinkin i can get Yelich/Acuna/Rizzo first 3 picks
At #43 i was going to go Segura but if Hoskins is there i thought about using him at 1B/3B once he is shortly eligible.
So Hoskins or Segura at #43?
Hoskins
@Grey:
Thank you
No problem
Grey, you are amazing!!
My league is a 6×5 (including ops) 10 team, h2h, Yahoo league. I’m trying to use your rankings and take the pitchers out and add them to @Rudy Gamble 6×6 OPS Yahoo rankings. But I’m not sure what size league your rankings are geared towards, 10 team or 12 team? Also, what salary cap are you using? 260? And what split are you giving the hitters to pitchers, 67/33?
I’m trying to figure out what math formula I need to use to deflate/inflate @Rudy Gamble hitters so that the $ value between his hitters and your pitchers is comparing apples to apples. Your pitchers and his 6×6 Yahoo 10 team ops hitters would be a perfect set of rankings for me.
Thanks!
Thanks! I use my rankings up until about 15 team deep… $260 — 180/80-ish
@Grey:
Thank you Grey!!!
No problem
grey’s $ are based on 12-team and are around 67/33. to convert his SP $ to 10-team, multiply the $ by 0.95 and subtract 1.33.
@Rudy Gamble:
Thank you, Rudy!
Which option would be best for me?
1. Take Grey’s SP’s $ amount and multiply it by 0.95 and subtract 1.33, and then combine them with Yahoo 10 team 6×6 OPS
or
2. Take the hitters in Yahoo 10 team 6×6 OPS and multiply their $ amount by 0.94 and then subtract 1.4, and then combine them with Grey’s pitchers
Both options seem to be deflating the $ amount. In option 1 you’re deflating Grey’s pitchers, but in option 2 you’re deflating the hitters in Yahoo 10 team 6×6 OPS. Earlier in the week you suggested I deflate the hitters but then today I thought I’d ask once Grey’s 500 came out. I’d like to combine Grey’s pitchers with your Yahoo 6×6 OPS for 10 teamers, but not sure which $ numbers to deflate, Grey’s pitchers or your hitters? Can you please let me know which of the two options above would be best to achieve this?
Thanks!!
the 6×6 are 12-team too so combine them all and then apply that $ adjustment to all of it. if it’s just a snake draft, you can ignore the last part.
then there’s one other catch. if it is 6×5, hitters are worth a little more. it’s a judgment call though if you want to move off 67/33 hit/pitch split.
@Rudy Gamble:
What do you mean combine and apply that $ adjustment? Do you mean use both of my options above and deflate both the hitters and pitchers?
You then say ignore the last part. Do you mean since it’s a snake draft ignore deflating the hitters and just deflate Grey’s pitchers?
Yes, my league is a 6×5, including ops, Yahoo, 10 team, snake draft.
Since it’s a snake draft you’re saying just deflate Grey’s pitchers and keep the 6×6 OPS hitters $ value the same?
If that’s the case the number one hitter in 6×6 Yahoo 10 OPS is Trout. His value is 64.5. Grey’s number one pitcher is Scherzer at $28. If you then deflate Scherzer’s $ number (28 * 0.95) – 1.33 = 25.27.
Is that correct? The number one hitter is rated 64.5 and the number one pitcher is rated 25.27? That’s a crazy disparity. That’s almost 3x value or $40 between the two.
@Rudy Gamble:
Rudy, my apologies but I think I misread your reaponse.
You are saying BOTH Grey’s pitching rankings and the Yahoo 6×6 OPS rankings are based on a 12 team league. Bc BOTH are based on a 12 team league there is no need to inflate or deflate either $ amounts on either rankings.
I should combine Grey’s pitching with the Yahoo 6×6 OPS and sort by $ to give me my desired rankings of Yahoo 6×5, 10 team, h2h rankings.
Am I correct? Sorry for the confusion. Thanks!
yes. just download them both, sort by $, and you should be all set.
@Rudy Gamble:
Perfect. Thank you so much!
It’s crazy though how much of a disparity there is between Trout and Scherzer. Trout is $65 and Scherzer is $28. We’ll see where Scherzer falls in on overall rankings once I merge the two rankings. I only used Trout and Scherzer in my example bc they’re both the number one ranked player for hitters and pitchers.
yahoo is weird b/c it’s only 10 hitters. i’m conditioned for 13 or 14 hitters (1 or 2 C). it’s 8 vs 9 pitchers but you can always swap pitchers in/out. so putting 67% of $ into hitters and then only starting 10 really drives up the values of premium hitters.
@Rudy Gamble:
That makes sense. Not only is it 10 starting hitters and 8 starting pitchers (both sp and rp), but my league is 6×5 (including ops) so you’re right. Hitters are extremely more valuable, thus justifying the large gap in $ value between hitters and pitchers. Makes total sense now. Thanks for helping my light bulb go off!
cool. also worth noting that grey always undervalues the top 5 pitchers or based on his preference of never taking SPs in first two rounds (i’m said to undervalue catchers in my model though my values tend to mirror ADP more than most $ calculators). grey’s values tend to mirror the market investment in SPs after the first 5 or so.
Whoever is #573 must be pissed…
It’s about to be Jorge Alfaro if Realmuto is traded to the Phils
Grey,
10 team keeper league (total of 70 players kept)
Would you accept a 2nd rd and 4th rd pick for Luis Severino?
If I were to move Luis my team would be below.
My current staff
Scherzer
Verlander
Bauer
Rizzo
Lindor
Rendon
Bellinger
I don’t love Severino this year
I’m halfway through season 2 of Vikings. I would like to give you some words to chew on… Lots of blood, orgies, human sacrifices, hallucinogens, wife sharing, crucifixion.
I think I need to get in on this… Last night I watched a doc that’s nominated for an Oscar, Minding the Gap, it was really good… On Hulu, if you have
@Grey: I haven’t heard mind the gap in a long time. You should know what I’m talking about
Yeah, I might hear it next October, thinking about a tripski
@Grey: I’m jelly. But at the same time its a totally different world over there
I know, I wonder if Benny Hill’s birthplace is still a national landmark
@Grey: I just bowed my head in a moment of silence.
Then ran around in fast motion in ladies undergarments
@Grey: that’s my morning cardio routine
HA!
@Grey: Holy moly, Grey, I watched the same documentary last night at our weekly movie night with about seven other people. Heyyyyy, wait a minute, one of them brought a guest … your real name isn’t Jacqueline, is it?
@BJFOHOHL: The first 3 (or so) seasons were really good. Then I lost interest after that. I heard that season 6 (this year) is the final season. Maybe I’ll finish it up when the last episode is done.
@BJFOHOHL: I have watched the whole Vikings series. I am mixed about it …. about 60% is really good, but about 40% is kind of boring. For one thing, there is a magical surrealism element (e.g., with an oracle/seer) that kind of makes my eyes roll.
Which do you prefer over the next few years in a H2H linear points keeper?
Renfroe, Laureano, Piscotty- all can be kept for a dollar.
Leaning Renfroe due to power and multi position eligibility (LF/RF), have Belly at CF.
Piscotty… If you’re feeling Renfroe, I wouldn’t stand in your way
@Grey: Thanks, saw you had him ahead for this year, but was curious about the future.
Always look forward to January Gray’s daily nuggets, it’s like an advent calendar for us atheists that are fantasy obsessed, so glad baseball is almost here- really appreciate the immense amount of work that must go into this.
Ha, nice!
What are your thoughts about Brad Keller? He had a good secpnd half.
He’s ranked 513th overall on our 12 auction value rankings https://razzball.com/playerrater-preseason-espnmlb12/
Borderline top 500 guy
@Buzz: AL only streamer (or owned if say a 12 team AL only). really weak streamer in 16 team leagues if say 6-7 SP are owned. at least this was true last year in my leagues of that description.
Alfaro to MIA make things interesting for him? Hard to imagine him competing for ABs or having any difficulty getting in the middle of the lineup-ish . . .
If he’s traded too, it’s great… If not, he’s done
@Grey: He’s the second piece (of 3) in the deal, seem pretty locked now.
Love it!
Oh nice! I see Alfaro is included potentially
@Grey: Yeah, something like that. Sounds like they’re arguing about the 3rd piece but are otherwise good to go (meaning Alfaro to MIA, 95%). Would love a little Jansen / Alfaro type combo in 2C leagues!
I like it!
Good day sir,
Seeking some keeper league assistance …
ESPN, 6 man keep forever, 5X5, 12 team, head to head, starting lineup = 1b, 2b, SS, 3b, C, 5 OF, 1 utility (any position), 5 SP’s and 4 RP’s. We don’t use corner infielder or middle infielder
Options: Betts, Acuna, Bryant, Bellinger, Benintendi, Rizzo, and Bauer
I had planned to keep the 6 bats, however I have warmed to the idea of keeping Bauer.
Who are your 6?
All opinions are greatly appreciated.
Thanks Grey and razzball community!
Not Rizzo
@Grey:
Thanks for confirmation, that’s the way I was leaning as well.
Cheers
No problem
For the first time in awhile I found no humor in a Grey post.
Damn, tough crowd
@Grey:
Actually it was a backhanded complement. Not everyone feels like fantasy baseball-ing is your greatest talent. Get it yet? You could probably write about gymnastics and be entertaining. Hopefully we will never find out though.
Ha, thanks, man!
Does Realmuto playing in Philly change his numbers much? Where would he drop down to in the rankings?
Drop down? The lineup is better, I will go over him in the catchers’ rankings when the trade is finalized
@Grey: Exactly. Love to know where Realmuto is going to bat. I am from Philly and this is a great trade. A catcher that can catch. Harper by next week, playing right field. STUPID Money
Stupid money!
Did I miss something along the way, you have Nick Senzel (42 3b) listed at #219 ahead of your 3b from ranking #26 thru 31
@Jeff: thru #41
I’ll look at it, might’ve been a typo by me
Oh, I know, bc he was announced as having lead for CF job in Cincy… I think I just forgot to switch him in 3B… Will correct
I’m confused, I have Senzel at 26 https://razzball.com/top-20-3rd-basemen-for-2019-fantasy-baseball/
@Grey: initially I do believe you had him ranked at #42 or am I just getting older by the day? thanks for the great work you do for us
No problem, you’re right, I moved him up last week… Usually I write an update, but I was in the middle of doing other rankings, so I just moved him
Good stuff man.
Which SIX out of this crew would you keep?
12-team H2H, keep forever (Round Draft Pick forfeited)
Mookie (1st)
Arenado (2nd)
Altuve (3rd)
G. Cole (4th)
Bauer (7th)
Shaw (24th)
Shaw (24th)
Conforto (27th)
Muncy (27th)
Tim Anderson (27th)
Darvish (27th)
Thanks!
Mookie (1st)
Arenado (2nd)
Altuve (3rd)
G. Cole (4th)
Bauer (7th)
Conforto
@Grey: sorry I goofed. machado was supposed to be in there as an 8th. I imagine that he would be in over someone else. Who would you bump? and youd take altuve at 3 over shaw or muncy late?
thanks again
Yeah, lose Conforto I guess
And take Altuve bc you want to win this year
@Grey: ok got it, thanks
No problem
I hope I’m not breaking the rules with this link:
https://youtu.be/qfcEHOrhJmQ
Thank you Grey!
Haha
I’m going to suggest two modifications:
Yoenis Cespedes AB: 0 R: 0 HR: 0 RBI:0 BA: .000
Nate Karns: IP: 0 K: 0 W: 0 ERA: 0.00 WHIP: 0.00
Thanks. I feel better now.
Ha
In a 10-team, h2h categories league where each team can keep up to 6 players without penalty.
I was thinking about selling Sale to acquire Buehler. I figure that we’d probably do some swap of draft picks as well. My thinking is that I’d like to acquire Buehler before he makes the leap into the very top tier of SPs.
If the other guy is willing to go for it, is this a good move? Am I selling Sale too early or getting Buehler too soon?
I wouldn’t
I took a script writing course in Hollywood with the chick at 1:06 in the video at the top.
Greyt stuff, as always.
This site is so good that I keep it a secret from my friends.
Haha, that’s hilarious!
this might’ve been asked by somebody else lately after the 1st base post (or before it) but bour/pujols projections don’t really include the idea that otani will be stealing at bats from them or am i wrong?
Ohtani’s a DH only, can’t throw
@Grey: i know that part, what i’m saying is when otani is playing one of bour/otani/pujols will sit everyday and likely get at most 1 at bat that game. not sure if that’s reflected in the at bats for pujols/bour. clearly bour is benched vs most lefties most of the time (till pujols gets hurt anyway)
Oh, yeah… Let’s see I have Bour for 461 ABs, Rudy’s got him for 375ish — so I might be high there — Pujols I have for 509, Rudy’s got 375ish — So, yeah, you’re likely right, I’ve doled too many ABs out to them — can’t see knocking them any lower in the standings tho
@Grey: that pujols 375 is probably low enough to make up for this. i just won bour in a 30 man league and nearly forgot about otani at the time. he was still cheap enough, esp if pujols gets hurt at any time (which he just will or prove crappy)
Not sure if it’s clear how any of it will shake out… Pujols might only get 175 ABs and Bour gets 500
Grey,
Easy to nitpick a few things here. First of all, it’s incredibly misleading to make people count higher than is indicated in your title. Yesterday, you said top 100, and I learned how to count to 100, then I didn’t understand what Yasiel Puig was doing there, sneak preview? I dunno. Today, Top 500, I’m like “Ok, baby steps”, and then what do you have, like 689 or something? I CAN’T BE LEARNING ALL THESE NEW NUMBERS!!!
And then I’m used to my baby’s nanna reading your fabulous blurbs to me every morning. But today, she’s just reading statistics to me. And I had heard like the whole top 250 already (I CAN ONLY COUNT), so the blurbs weren’t funny today. But I fell asleep in her giant bosom so all’s right in the world.
Anyway, you busted your behind, we should all buy you a daiquiri or boba tea or whatever you’re into these days, and CHEERS! Great work, great rankings. You know I’m on the same wavelength with Acuña top 5, AL Central pitching bias, etc. Tut tut and with haste, send Grey a beverage!
CONGRATU-SNOOOOOOOORE (as dictated by Bitter Beerface)
Haha, thanks, BB!
@Grey: Alright, bought Cougs a Boba tea as well. Here’s hoping Velasquez doesn’t kill your marriage! Best of luck this year!
Haha, you too! Thanks!
MLB changing the “disabled” list name…
Three batter minimum for pitchers…
NL with the DH…
thoughts?
Wait, WUT? DH in NL hasn’t been finalized has it?
@Grey:
Not yet…
Ah, ok
@FrankGrimes: 3 batter minimum is completely garbage. it’s like disallowing check raising in poker, just completely monkeying around with strategy. i can see literally nobody in baseball wanting this idea at all (certainly not pitchers, and REALLY not managers)
– DH isn’t any better or worse than it’s ever been. clearly players union would want it, it gives more money to more people in their union.
Did these go through or proposed?
@Grey: not that i heard about, just the yearly “discussions” and i’d make a LARGE bet that 3 batter b.s. won’t go through. they ALREADY have a pitch clock in the rule books that they’ve never enforced if they are actually worried about game length (yes we’re looking at you BOS vs NYY on TV games that take probably an average of 4.5 hours, completely ridiculous pitchers just staring down batters b.s.). nobody needs to screw with the game and make up b.s. rules, just enforce the good rules you already have.
Yeah, nothing to like about any of those new rules
@Grey: i do get why they worry about fans, as i’ve yet to meet one person who actually enjoys when the (mostly AL honestly, this is actually true if you check the length of games in AL vs NL) pitchers just stare at the batter for like a full minute or more before making a pitch. it’s complete garbage and they never should’ve had to wait until they are losing TV viewers to figure out how stupid that is. they’ve for decades or more had rule for that stuff.
– i CAN think of exactly one type of person who does like that, the announcers IF they are being paid by the hour.
Agreed, but it’s crazy to change the rule now, after teams have more or less set their lineups for next year… This is kinda thing you need a full year to prepare for, not that the Marlins are going to add someone to DH
It’s the most wonderful time of the year.
Where do I send Boba funding?
[email protected]?
Grey,
I just got a trade offer.
I give up Lorenzo Cain ($5), and Francisco Mejia ($5)
And I get Corey Kluber ($29)
Thoughts?
Works for me
Before I agree. This is what my OF looks like: Cain, Enciarte, , Hamilton, Adam Jones, Markakis, Piscotty, and Reddick. Would you still make the deal?
Looks ok for a 15 team league
its a 10 team league.
Then not so good
Why not so good?
@Scott Kimmel:
1. why would you need 7 OF (maybe you do, do you start 6 of them, but even then you should drop one of these).
2. markakis, jones and probably red dick don’t need to be owned in a 10 teamer, and it’s not good for cain to be your OF 1 in a 10 team either (this answers the actual question here).
the draw back is I need SP . I have 8 UT spots
@Scott Kimmel: UT meaning hitters? if you don’t start all of those OF drop for SP. if it’s a h2h league even more true. might as well just say how many hitters you are starting rather than just saying it’s a “10 teamer”. it’s possible you start so many hitters that you are really in the effective depth of like a 14-16 teamer. if that’s true then those OF are ownable.
saying “10 teamer” sets up assumptions about starting hitter amounts.
Grey,
I said no to the deal.
Prolly for the best
i kept getting outbid on big name outfielders and i lost all the good ones there is no one else. Can u suggest someone that i can get that would be worth it
@Scott Kimmel: do you think he can read your league’s players tab here? name the options.
Keep Erod in round 27 or Luke Voit in 20?
@Peacecoast: I just like Voit ok? and with inflation due to keepers there is probably decent value in round 20.
Works for me to keep Voit, kinda same diff at those prices
Ed-Rod, close tho
NL only with OBP over AVG, total bases added, net steals over steals, QS over wins, holds added h2h. we keep 3 at previous season’s ADP’s so it’s quite valuable to find value guys if possible that even in the next year get quite expensive that you often just throw back (damn shame i didn’t keep wheeler last year, needed the roster spot at time in finals). start 4 OF, a CI/MI, 1 util. best 3 of these:
1. IF harper signs NL. choice
harper (1)
freeman (2, but becomes a 1st if harper or machado goes to AL)
hoskins (3, but becomes a 2nd if harper/machado goes to AL)
marte party (3)
ryu (20)
gone varnish (14)
woodruff (23)
legs mcneil (25)
nimmo (25)
a.frazier (25)
sera anthony (25)
wacha (12)
2. which 3 if harper or machado go to AL, which would move freeman to 1 and hoskins to 2
1. I’d go top 3 2. Prolly Marte
i’m telling you, at least one set of people believe whatever magic they pulled out of their asses on all their shitty SP last year (excepting davies) will repeat, MIL just signed tomlin.
Haha, yup
Hey Grey,
My keepers are ALBIES, ARENADO, BREGMAN, SEAGER, TROUT, ACUNA, SOTO, SNELL. Probably keep Ozuna and Paxton with the other two. Would you deal Soto straight up for Freeman? Id love to have a stud first baseman but dont want to move soto. Do you think its worth it?
M. Andújar NYY – 3B For Gallo – keeper league would you make trade
if I make the trade does it mean I lose average ever week
yo grey!
16 team h2h 6×6 dynasty.
C – Salvador Perez, KC
1B – Edwin Encarnacion, SEA
2B – Eduardo Escobar, ARI
SS – Xander Bogaerts, BOS
3B – Manny Machado,
OF – George Springer, HOU
OF – Randal Grichuk, TOR
OF – Lewis Brinson, MIA
UT – Jesus Aguilar, MIL
UT – Jose Abreu, CHW
BN – Luke Voit, NYY
BN – Jorge Polanco, MIN
BN – Tyler White, HOU
BN – Niko Goodrum, DET
DL – Gregory Polanco, PIT
SP – Chris Sale, BOS
SP – Justin Verlander, HOU
SP – Charlie Morton, TB
RP – Jose Leclerc, TEX
RP – Shane Greene, DET
P – Walker Buehler, LAD
P – Nick Pivetta, PHI
P – Ross Stripling, LAD
BN – Sandy Alcantara, MIA
BN – Gerrit Cole, HOU
BN – Mychal Givens, BAL
BN – Chad Green, NYY
BN – Brad Peacock, HOU
BN – Will Smith, SF
BN – Drew Steckenrider, MIA
Harper is on the block. Would you do either xander + buehler OR tatis+buehler+brinson OR neither?
Thanks Grey!
I’d do Tatis deal for Harper, it’s just fair tho and could see it backfiring…
I can keep 2 keepers, my first will be Story as a 15th round pick. My choices for my 2nd are Bauer as my 14th round pick or Hoskins as my 6th. Which is the better value? Head to Head league, 8×8, R, H, HR, RBI, SB, BB, AVG, OPS and W, L, SV, ER, K, ERA, WHIP, QS. 10 teams
Bauer
Been waiting on this! Awesome stuff. Struggling on keeper choices. 12 Team league – R, HR, RBI, SB, OBP, K, QS, SV, ERA,WHIP.
@Gray
We get 2 keepers. My options are the following:
Baez in the 11th Round
Villar in the 19th Round
G. Cole in the 7th Round
Benintendi in the 4th Round
Khris Davis in the 5th Round
Chris Sale in the 2nd
Which 2 would you choose?
Been waiting on this! Awesome stuff. Having trouble choosing keepers this year. 12 Team R, HR, RBI, OBP, SB, K, QS, SV, WHIP, ERA
We can choose 2 Keepers. The following are my options:
Baez in the 11th Round
Villar in the 19th Round
G. Cole in the 7th Round
Benintendi in the 4th Round
Khris Davis in the 5th Round
Chris Sale in the 2nd Round
Who would you keep?
Thanks!
Love your top 500 list! I am in a keeper league where we only keep 4. My top 7 are JD, Acuna, Sale, Bryant, Correa, Cole, Bueller. What are your thoughts on who I should keep? I am really torn with the last two spots especially.
Thanks! JD, Acuna, Sale, coin flip… Bryant
@Grey:
thanks! I was thinking I could probably draft Segura first rd 59th pick. He would be the top SS available by the end of the first. Or would you recommend someone later in the draft?
Take followups to my newest post, I don’t know what this is referring to