ARI

Carson Kelly
Projections & Stats

Player Information

TeamARI ESPNC Age27
BatsR YahooC RCL R%2
$/GS (RHP)-3.1 $/GS (LHP)1.9
Grey Albright's 2022 Player Summary
Just as Carsonio hurt Daulton last year, Daulton hurt Carsonio. Will the Dumbacks figure out they should start Kelly for 120 games and Daulton for 120 games, but at different positions? Let me answer that with a question: Were they dumb enough to hir... (click to read the rest)
Jump to: Season Stats | Monthly Stats | Game Log | Batting Order | Player Rater | 2022 Fantasy Outlook

Carson Kelly Stats

GPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOBB%K%AVGOBPSLGOPSBABIP$
Last 7 Days31310231400117.77.70.2000.3330.6000.9330.1119.4
Last 30 Days114236651700357.111.90.1670.2500.3060.5560.156-1.3
Season311029312818005254.924.50.1290.1860.1940.3800.159-22.1
ROS Proj58212185422272110224510.221.00.2260.3110.3780.6890.261-5.3

Carson Kelly Projections | Platoon Splits (RHP vs LHP)

Carson Kelly projected to 150 Games vs RHP and LHP with 12 team mixed fantasy value. This helps identify a player's platoon value for fantasy baseball based on pitcher handedness. These projections by Steamer are a MUCH better indicator of a hitter's platoon splits than in-season stats since it involves multiple years of data and has been properly regressed to league averages. Since games are neutralized across players, values for everyday players may look smaller than for preseason/season to date/rest of season where they benefit from playing time advantages vs other players. In general, left-handed hitters have larger platoon splits.
PAABRHRRBISBAVGOBPSLGOPSBABIPK%BB%$
vs. RHP65057169196920.2240.3070.3740.6810.26221.89.6-3.1
vs. LHP65056475227510.2370.3270.4080.7350.26319.111.31.9

Carson Kelly Projections | Hittertron (Subscribe for all MLB player projections.)

Carson Kelly daily MLB projections and fantasy value for next 7-10 days. LU=Lineup. If the lineup has been released and incorporated into the projections, it is listed as "Live". Click link in LU to see the lineup at Baseball Press or click here to see Arizona Diamondbacks lineups for the last 6 days.
GTOppSP%StLUPAABH2B3BRHRRBISBBBSOAVGOBPSLG$
7/18@COLASenzatela(R)66Lst74.163.741.050.210.020.590.150.570.010.320.630.2810.3430.46116.8
7/29@COLAGomber(L)66Lst74.333.821.030.220.010.570.170.610.010.410.760.2700.3440.46716.2
7/33@COLCKuhl(R)66Lst74.213.680.970.210.020.590.150.570.010.420.760.2640.3440.45213.2
7/46SFCRodon(L)66Lst73.713.210.610.140.010.320.100.340.020.390.930.1900.2790.339-21.0
7/59SFAWood(L)66Lst73.773.330.710.150.010.380.110.410.000.370.750.2130.3000.361-13.5
7/69SFACobb(R)66Lst73.593.180.650.130.010.360.080.340.010.340.800.2040.2880.334-18.5
7/79COLAGomber(L)66Lst73.803.310.730.160.010.400.110.440.010.400.690.2210.3060.379-9.6
7/89COLCKuhl(R)66Lst73.633.140.700.140.010.430.100.410.010.400.680.2230.3170.372-9.2
7/94COLKFreeland(L)66Lst73.793.320.760.160.010.420.110.450.010.360.590.2290.3070.390-6.8
7/104COLGMarquez(R)66Lst73.563.150.670.130.010.370.080.350.010.320.750.2130.2890.344-16.4

Carson Kelly Projections | DFS (Subscribe for all hitter DFS MLB projections.)

Carson Kelly daily fantasy baseball projections for DFS sites such as DraftKings and FanDuel. LU=Lineup. If the lineup has been released and incorporated into the projections, it is listed as "Live". Click link in LU to see the lineup at Baseball Press as well as previous 3 days' lineups.
DFS SiteOppSPL/R%StLUProj PtsSalary$/Pt
7/1DraftKings@COLASenzatela(R)R66Lst77.82100269.2
7/1FanDuel@COLASenzatela(R)R66Lst710.32200213.6
7/1Yahoo@COLASenzatela(R)R66Lst77.8101.3

Carson Kelly Game Log | Last 30 Days

DateOppSPR/LBatOrdPAABH1B2B3BRHRRBISBBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPS$
2022-06-28SDSManaeaL64310101020000.3330.5000.6671.16778
2022-06-26DETBBrieskeR85310002120100.3330.4001.3331.733172
2022-06-24DETRGarciaR74400000000010.0000.0000.0000.000-101
2022-06-21@SDSManaeaL65510100000010.2000.2000.4000.600-54
2022-06-20@SDYDarvishR84400000000010.0000.0000.0000.000-101
2022-06-18MINDBundyR83200000010000.0000.0000.0000.000-37
2022-06-17MINDSmeltzerL15522001010000.4000.4000.4000.80073
2022-06-14CINTMahleR73300000000010.0000.0000.0000.000-86
2022-06-13CINMMinorL63311001000000.3330.3330.3330.66610
2022-06-12@PHIRSuarezL65300000010210.0000.4000.0000.400-52
2022-06-11@PHIZWheelerR01100000000000.0000.0000.0000.000-55

Carson Kelly Batting Order Game Averages | Current Season

Carson Kelly current season averages per batting order spot along with 12 team mixed fantasy value ($). Only includes games started. Games started percentages for RHP vs LHP are based on last 30 days.
Bat OrdGSGS% vRHPGS% vLHPPAABH2BRHRRBISBBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPSBABIPK%BB%$
1101005.005.002.000.001.000.001.000.000.000.000.4000.4000.4000.8000.4000073
32004.003.500.500.500.000.000.000.000.502.000.1430.2500.2860.5360.3335013-62
53003.673.670.000.000.000.000.000.000.001.000.0000.0000.0000.0000.000270-96
6601004.003.170.500.330.500.000.500.000.500.500.1580.3330.2630.5960.1881313-24
71110003.553.550.450.000.180.000.090.000.001.090.1280.1280.1280.2560.185310-57
8310004.003.000.330.000.670.331.000.000.330.330.1110.1670.4440.6110.0008811

Carson Kelly Stats | Season

Carson Kelly stats and 5x5 fantasy value from 2013-2022.
TeamPosGPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPS$
2013 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2014 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2015 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2016STLC101413210100020.1540.2140.2310.445-23.8
2017STLC34756912506005110.1740.2400.2170.457-22.8
2018 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2019ARIC111365314774618470048790.2450.3480.4780.8263.2
2020ARIC391291222711519006290.2210.2640.3850.649-5.4
2021ARIC98358304734113460044740.2400.3440.4110.755-2.9
2022ARIC311029312818005250.1290.1860.1940.380-22.1

Carson Kelly Stats | Monthly

Carson Kelly 2022 fantasy value by month for 5x5 leagues.
GPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOBB%K%AVGOBPSLGOPS$
April1549465301002174.134.70.1090.1630.1300.294-7.5
May288100000010.012.50.1250.1250.1250.250-6.5
June114236651700357.111.90.1670.2500.3060.556-1.0

Carson Kelly Hitting | AVG vs BABIP

Players exceeding projected BABIP are more likely to see a regression towards Expected AVG. Vice versa.
ABBABIPBABIP (Proj)BABIP (Diff)AVGAVG (Expected)AVG (Diff)
930.1590.261-0.1020.1290.204-0.075

Carson Kelly Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater

$Pt. Shr.RHRRBISBAVGPos RkTot Rk
MLB 10 ESPN-9.5-5.4-4.6-0.1-4.1-1.70.124627
MLB 10 Y!-11.1-6.8-6.4-1.4-5.8-0.11.623857
MLB 12 ESPN-5.3-5.8-2.70.2-2.9-0.8-0.126481
MLB 12 Y!-6.3-8.1-5.0-0.5-4.50.52.123460
MLB 14 ESPN-4.0-6.2-1.80.2-2.3-0.5-0.728522
MLB 14 Y!-5.2-9.3-4.5-0.2-4.00.52.023471
MLB 15 ESPN-4.1-6.4-1.50.1-2.1-0.4-1.128542
MLB 15 Y!-3.5-9.8-4.00.2-3.50.72.123420
MLB 16 ESPN-4.2-6.5-1.30.1-1.9-0.5-1.629587
MLB 16 Y!-2.3-10.4-3.50.4-3.00.82.123392
AL 10
NL 102.8-3.6-0.41.9-0.1-0.40.89179
AL 12
NL 123.6-3.70.41.90.4-0.20.29192

Carson Kelly Fantasy Baseball | Rest of Season Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

$Pt. Shr.RHRRBISBAVGOBPOPSPos RkTot Rk
5x5 (OBP) ESPN 12-3.9-5.4-2.80.2-2.9-0.90.01.50.021200
5x5 (OBP) Y! 12-5.1-7.7-5.1-0.7-4.60.40.03.90.019157
6x6 (OBP) ESPN 12-5.4-6.3-2.8-0.1-2.9-1.1-0.51.10.028221
6x6 (OBP) Y! 12-5.4-8.6-5.2-1.0-4.70.01.33.30.023157
6x6 (OPS) ESPN 12-6.2-6.6-2.7-0.2-2.9-1.0-0.50.00.029237
6x6 (OPS) Y! 12-7.9-9.1-5.1-1.2-4.6-0.11.10.00.925180

Carson Kelly Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater

Based on our adjusted Steamer projections for 5x5 leagues with 67/33 hitter/pitcher split.
$$/GPt. Shr.RHRRBISBAVGPos RkTot Rk
MLB 10 ESPN-4.4-6.3-4.8-3.40.9-2.5-1.20.915552
MLB 10 Y!-5.8-11.1-6.3-4.5-0.6-3.6-0.32.214715
MLB 12 ESPN-2.6-3.0-5.1-2.00.8-1.8-0.70.315497
MLB 12 Y!-1.9-7.4-7.5-3.20.2-2.50.22.514442
MLB 14 ESPN0.50.0-5.4-0.81.0-0.90.00.215356
MLB 14 Y!1.0-4.1-8.5-2.30.7-1.70.52.714302
MLB 15 ESPN1.01.4-5.5-0.41.0-0.60.10.015359
MLB 15 Y!1.3-2.6-9.0-2.10.8-1.50.42.714309
MLB 16 ESPN1.53.0-5.6-0.10.9-0.40.2-0.115362
MLB 16 Y!2.1-0.6-9.5-1.70.9-1.20.52.614309
AL 10
NL 106.54.3-3.10.42.31.00.21.59150
AL 12
NL 127.86.2-2.91.32.41.50.51.19160

Carson Kelly Fantasy Baseball | Preseason Player Rater (non-standard 5x5)

Based on our adjusted Steamer projections with a 67/33 hitter/pitcher split.
$$/GPt. Shr.RHRRBISBAVGOBPOPSPos RkTot Rk
5x5 (OBP) ESPN 121.00.5-4.6-1.80.8-1.7-0.53.212156
6x6 (OBP) ESPN 12-0.5-1.6-5.3-1.90.5-1.7-0.80.12.214173
6x6 (OPS) ESPN 12-1.5-3.0-5.7-1.80.5-1.7-0.70.21.114177
5x5 (OBP) YAHOO 121.0-3.6-7.0-3.10.0-2.40.35.212127
6x6 (OBP) YAHOO 12-0.6-5.8-7.8-3.4-0.4-2.7-0.41.63.714139
6x6 (OPS) YAHOO 12-2.3-6.7-8.3-3.2-0.5-2.7-0.31.61.814153

Carson Kelly 2022 Projections | Preseason

GPAABHRHRRBISBCSBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPSBABIPK%BB%$Rank
Preseason (Steamer)106425367885216511148890.2380.3300.4170.7470.2702111-3.2497
Preseason (Grey)3207747174900.2410.0322
Prospectonator

Carson Kelly Fantasy Outlook For 2022

Grey Albright Player Summary
Just as Carsonio hurt Daulton last year, Daulton hurt Carsonio. Will the Dumbacks figure out they should start Kelly for 120 games and Daulton for 120 games, but at different positions? Let me answer that with a question: Were they dumb enough to hire Dave Stewart to be their GM and let him trade away Dansby Swanson for Shelby Miller?

Player data for Carson Kelly maintained by | Updated:

2022-07-01