Today, is the day in history known as, “Aw, sookie sookie, don’t need the nookie, Grey’s giving me a fantasy baseball cookie.”  Or, more succinctly, the top 500 for 2018 fantasy baseball.  A few years ago, the top 500 was only a top 300 for fantasy baseball.  Before that, it was 16 AD and I was rolling with Jesus to this deli that had great matzoh ball soup.  In a few years from now, this is going to be a top 10,000 and I’m going to be ranking Mike Trout Jr. Jr. Jr. the 15th.  Today, in this year, eighteen after twenty, comes the top 500 for 2018 fantasy baseball.  Or as I like to call it, from Mike Trout A to chimpanzee.  Actually, I don’t call it that.  So, this post isn’t meant to send shockwaves through your system.  The pipe cleaner that the doctor uses to get the clogged wax from your ears is meant for that.  This is simply to give you an idea of where guys are ranked in relation to other positions.  I.e., you know I like Jose Peraza better than Orlando Arcia, according to the top 20 shortstops, but do I like Peraza better than Matt Olson?  Okay, it’s not that simply.  You’ll notice after the top 200, positions start to get clumped together.  I might be the only fantasy baseball ‘pert to tell you this, but it doesn’t matter where, say, Eric Thames is ranked vs. Jeurys Familia.  If you need a closer, Thames isn’t going to help you.  He can be ranked 75 spots in front of Familia and it doesn’t matter.  That’s why I have the 2018 fantasy baseball rankings broken down by positions.  If you need a 1st baseman, where Justin Bour vs. Greg Bird matters, but where Bour vs. Realmuto really doesn’t matter.  Also, there’s no comments about players, which you really should know prior to drafting.  In other words, Tommy Pham might be in the 80’s overall, but am I drafting him?  Well, you’d know if you read the top 40 outfielders.  There’s also a top 100 for 2018 fantasy baseball to help you.  Also, the Fantasy Baseball War Room and tomorrow will be a pitchers pairing tool, then on Monday will be our Razzball league signups.  Anyway, here’s the top 500 for 2018 fantasy baseball:

 
Download Table as CSV
Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output!

# Name Team ESPN Y! $ AB R HR RBI SB AVG IP W SV ERA WHIP K
  1. your mom says:
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    Hi Grey.

    20 team keeper: In your opinion, who should my 8 keepers be?

    hitters:
    Ryan Braun, Kris Bryant, Edwin Encarnacion, Logan Forsythe, Dee Gordon, Jedd Gyorko, Eduardo Núñez, Chris Owings, Hunter Renfroe, Anthony Rizzo, Travis Shaw, Justin Upton

    pitchers:
    Tyler Anderson, Anthony DeSclafani, Sean Doolittle, Zack Godley, Shane Greene, Corey Kluber, Corey Knebel, Michael Kopech, Seth Lugo, Mike Soroka, Josh Tomlin, Michael Wacha, Jacob deGrom

    Thanks!

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      @your mom:

      hitters:
      Kris Bryant, Edwin Encarnacion, Dee Gordon, Anthony Rizzo, Travis Shaw, Justin Upton

      pitchers:
      Corey Kluber, C Jacob deGrom

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @your mom: Kris Bryant, Edwin Encarnacion, Dee Gordon, Anthony Rizzo, Travis Shaw, Justin Upton, Kluber, deGrom

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @Grey: I.e., what MP said

    • buck the trend says:
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      @your mom:

      Bryant, Edwing, Dee, Rizzo, Doolittle, Knebel, Kluber, deGrom

  2. CrazyJ says:
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    Ben Zobrist hitting 47 home runs WOULD be kinda sweet!

    • Justin says:
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      @CrazyJ: 47 hrs but 3 ribs. He’s that good

      • Curious George Springer says:
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        @Justin: hits the dinger and refuses to round the bases.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @Justin: Doesn’t seem like much of a team player if he refuses to drive in anyone

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @CrazyJ: Oops, sorry Rudy will update in a few

  3. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Awesome stuff! Only because you mentioned Peraza, it looks like his entry is a little off – (no SB and .999 avg)

  4. Buster Moon says:
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    Great stuff as usual. Keep the videos coming. Love ’em!

  5. Earl says:
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    Funny I noticed the Peraza stat problem also.

    I am trying to determine why Ian Desmond is Ranked ahead of Nick castellanos and Adrian beltre when he has worse counting stats than those 2 with the only exception being about 10 stolen bases??

    • Justin says:
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      @Earl:

      Because the hope of last season hasn’t faded yet for Grey. Little does he know that Desmond’s groundball percentage is going to jump to 90% this year.

      They’re pretty much ranked the same though.

      • I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
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        @Justin: if his hand isn’t still injured he’ll be just fine. and months off of a broken hand is exactly what he should’ve done last year, but didn’t.

    • M says:
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      @Earl: I agree, Nicks stats are almost identical to Devers in the top 100.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Earl: Fixing Peraza now

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Earl: Desmond and Castellanos are the same diff

      • Earl says:
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        @Grey: With some of your and other people’s comments, I thought Nick would be ranked fair bit higher than Desmond.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          He’s 150 spots before Rudy has him

  6. Racehorse says:
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    Dorito. Crack. Plumber. Disappear. DO NOT EAT.

    Best way to start the day, always, is Razzball!

  7. Troy says:
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    Great Stuff Gray,

    Keeper option for this year. Paxton @$7 or Nola @$9?

    My other two keepers are Sanchez @$6 and Bergman @$6

    • Troy says:
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      Great Stuff Gray,

      Keeper option for this year. Paxton @$7 or Nola @$9?

      My other two keepers are Sanchez @$6 and Bergman @[email protected]Troy:

      I also have Berrios at $3

  8. Dan says:
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    I have Rizzo as 2B eligible this season and wasn’t sure if position was factored into your rankings. For example, in my current draft, Mancini, Smoak, Merrifield, and Taylor are all available. Would you recommend drafting the highest guy on your board and going Rizzo at 1B and Taylor at 2B or taking advantage of his 2B eligibility and going Smoak or Mancini at 1B? Thanks!

    • Cram It says:
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      @Dan: Eligibility scarcity shouldn’t be a factor. Just look at the guys in your equation. Rizzo + Taylor (55) or Merrifield (68) or Rizzo + Smoak (98 ) or Mancini (81). Why would you want the combination with the lower ranked guy just because Rizzo can play 2nd?

  9. knucks says:
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    Noticed that Delmonico is OF eligible in the NFBC. It looks like he is in your top 60 OFs? If so, he is a potential steal, as his ADP is almost 500.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @knucks: He’s one of those guys I didn’t think I’d like but it seems like I do… Is that an avatar I see?

      • knucks says:
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        @Grey: Haha it is. But its only b/c I had my old email still in my iphone. Someone must have Mod’ed it? I dunno man, I’m just gonna roll with whatever posts haha. Just lemme know if any of it ever causes more work for you guys.

        As far as Delmonico goes… can see lots of steak jokes coming this year. I’m sure that dood is used to that already. Anyways, I’ll def be owning him everywhere if he is as cheap in ESPN/Fantrax as he is in NFBC right now.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          It doesn’t matter either way — Hopefully Delmonico doesn’t end up like Lawrie’s lacking seasoning

          • knucks says:
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            @Grey: Even so, he is cheap AF so it won’t matter. Seems like a nice lotto ticket.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Like Tim Beckham…Too soon?

              • knucks says:
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                @Grey: Way too soon. At least wait until he bops a few HRs and Scooter is in a platoon or suttin haha

                It was the first thing I did this morning when I woke up… CTRL+F+’Beck’, followed by “Scoot.’ I think I’ll live. As long as I don’t bench him for his 4 HR game. I did that with Rendon and Scooter last year. I recall you did with Rendon too.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha — They’re likely the same thing, if it’s any consolation Rudy doesn’t like Beckham and thinks I’m too high on him

          • knucks says:
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            @Grey: From our NFBC convo yesterday, I chickened out on Yasmany last night and took Renfroe instead. Then Alfaro as my first catcher. Gotta wait it out (13 picks in front of me) but Yasmany and Brinson are both still on the board. I could see going Brinson if he’s still there over Yasmany in this league, if only because of ABs for Brinson looking pretty guaranteed. Is that dumb? I know you have Yasmany over Brinson/Yasmany/Renfroe.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Might work out with Renfroe since Yasmany might be behind JD if he signs in the desert…. I’d take Brinson

              • knucks says:
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                @Grey: Aight coolio, yea that’s the plan as long as Brinson is there. Just gotta grab a few more SPs (I still have the most drafted thus far). I’m sure I’ll end up posting this team again early next week and looking for advice.

                Thanks for these top 500 by the way. I win every year because of it and can’t thank you and the team at Razz enough.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  No problem…. Thanks for being a great commenter!

  10. TommyR says:
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    wouldn’t Peraza be No. 1 based on your predicted stats?

    • Curious George Springer says:
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      @TommyR: .999 is a really good batting average…

    • I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
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      @TommyR: remember average is fickle, so fickle in fact that sometimes simulators give a guy .999.

  11. Chuck Norris says:
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    Am I the only one that can’t get the War Room to load? After I enter my email and password, I get this:

    “The page you were looking for doesn’t exist.
    You may have mistyped the address or the page may have moved.”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Chuck Norris: Prolly a cookies issue, try clearing razzdraft from your browser cookies or just using a different browser and see if that helps

  12. Tyler says:
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    Grey! Thank you for the rankings! I am a long time, loyal reader and appreciate all of the hard work that goes into the site. I apologize for asking a question that most likely has been asked before, but I think could be beneficial for draft prep. What would be the benefit/down fall for drafting solely using Rudy’s-Steamer projections as a ranking system and just draft the most valuable players? Use your rankings of course to know what you should be looking for in a draft (aka, I need steals, I am drafting Marte next over Rendon, etc.) but just use the dollar amounts to draft the best overall value.
    Is there any reason to not do this?
    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Tyler: I use Rudy’s rankings for AL and NL-Only and deeper than 14 team mixed… See no problem with it… At worst, it’s a good backup sheet to look at

      • Tyler says:
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        @Grey: nice. Thank you sir!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  13. Crime Dog says:
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    Grandmaster Grey, I see you have Barnes and Grandal for a combined 700 something AB’s. What are your thoughts on these 2? Do you think Grandal gets traded? If not, do you see Barnes playing more? Seems like they like Barnes more based on playoffs last year. I like Barnes a lot for the league I’m in and feel like I can probably get him in the last round.

    • Crime Dog says:
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      @Crime Dog: I see your write ups on both in the catcher rankings. I’m just curious to get more thoughts on how you came up with a combined 750 or so AB’s between them. That to me would imply one getting traded.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Crime Dog: I’d guess Grandal is going to get traded, but yes something would have to give for them both to get 350 ABs — what does Steamer give them?

      • Crime Dog says:
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        @Grey: hadnt looked until now but 350 and 290 favoring Barnes. Man I would love to draft Barnes and then watch grandal get traded

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          My guess is Barnes/Grandal are a total time share if they’re both there

  14. Matt says:
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    Hey grey completed my 12 team dynasty draft yesterday 7×7 format. We kept 20 guys and drafted 20 more, of those 20 10 has to be prospects.

    Question:
    What is my biggest weakness and who should I trade to fix that?

    C. Jt Realmuto
    1B. Freddie Freeman
    2b. Whit Merrifield
    3b. Nolan Arenado
    Ss. Carlos Correa
    Of. Andrew McCutchen
    Of. Jay Bruce
    Of. Manuel Margot
    Util. Ian Happ
    Util. Anthony Rendon

    Be. David Peralta
    Be. Chance Sisco
    Be. Josh Reddick
    Be. Yonder Alonso
    Be. Tim Anderson
    Be. Avisail Garcia

    Sp. Robbie Ray
    Sp. Luke Weaver
    Sp. Kenta Maeda
    Rp. Raisel Iglesias
    Rp. Blake Trienan
    P. Parker Blake
    P. Jokaim Soria
    P. Walker Buehler

    Be. Zack Godley
    Be. Lucas Giolito
    Be. Ivan Nova
    Be. Trevor Williams
    Be. Daniel Megdan
    Be. Matt Shoemaker

    NA. Kyle Tucker
    Na. Luis Robert
    NA. Leody Taveras
    Na. Bobby Bradley
    Na. Yusniel Diaz
    Na. Aj Puk
    Na. Kolby Allard
    Na. James Kaprielian
    Na. Erick Fedde
    Na. Braxton Garrett

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Matt: You look like you have a lot o holes on pitching and hitting — your OF, your 4th and 5th SP

      • Matt says:
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        @Grey: jeeze at least tell me I have better NA guys than joe lol !

        Thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, sorry

  15. HolyGhostClaw says:
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    Yo yo Grey! Thanks for this! Th~ top 500 is finally here! I’ve been stalking you since October for this. I like your new Pj’s by the way!

  16. Marti says:
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    Hey Greg I just want to run by a couple more trade scenarios by you I had some yesterday but I have a couple more today. Nl only 260 keeper league $5 inflation each year

    Charlie Blackmon $21 4 Yasiel Puig $22 and Justin Turner 16

    Charlie Blackmon $21 4 AJ Pollock $19 and Luis Castillo $6

    Which side of the trade do you like better and which trade do you like better
    Thanks again for your help

    • knucks says:
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      @Marti: I can’t stop reading this comment in a Tommy Wiseau voice…

      “I made this whole fantasy team for your Greg. How can you do this to me!’

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Marti: I don’t understand what these trades are, do you mean or instead of and?

      • Marti says:
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        I’m sorry if it was confusing which trade do you like better if I was to make it my Charlie Blackmon $21 for his Yasiel Puig $22 and Justin Turner $16 or do you like trade scenario B my Charlie Blackmon $21 for his AJ Pollock $19 and Luis Castillo $6

        Like I said before it’s an NL auction $260 budget five by five Roto with $5 inflation per year

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Why you trying to lose Blackmon?

          • Marti says:
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            I’m not sure if I’m going to trade Blackmon at all but if I was which of the two above deals do you like better

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Castillo one

  17. Branta says:
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    Is ESPN opening leagues on Monday?

  18. knucks says:
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    If JD signs with the Snakes what happens with Yasmany? Is he their 4th OF at that point? Could see them rolling out Peralta over him in the desert. That would suck.

    A little worried about this possibility for NFBC after reading about JD meeting with them last night, but who knows with Boras.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @knucks: Yeah, wouldn’t be great for him

      • Sweatpants Nation says:
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        @Grey: Snakes hate his D so maybe they can move him to AL and he could DH. He’s got a lot of money left and I’d almost think they’d have to trade him and at least some of that money to sign JD

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, but that’s not happening before April (Prolly)

  19. Joe says:
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    Hey Gray, I’m in a 12 team dynasty league 7×7 format. We just completed our draft, we must have 10 NA guys and we get to keep anywhere from 25-35 players next offseason. I was wondering what you thought of my team and where I can improve. Thank you

    C. Gary Sanchez
    1b. Anthony Rizzo
    2b. Jose Ramirez
    3b. Manny Machado
    SS. Francisco Lindor
    OF. Mookie Betts
    OF. JD Martinez
    OF. Christian Yelich
    Util. Billy Hamilton
    Util. Rougned Odor

    Bn. Nomar Mazara
    Bn. Greg Bird
    Bn. Maikel Franco
    Bn. Jorge Soler
    Bn. JP Crawford
    Bn. Jorge Polanco

    Sp. Chris Sale
    SP. Carlos Carrasco
    Sp. Carlos Martinez
    Rp. Craig Kimbrel
    Rp. Brad Brach
    P. Dinelson Lamet
    p. Marcus Stroman
    p. Miles Mikolas

    Bn. Josh Hader
    Bn. Julio Urias
    Bn. Tyler GLasnow
    Bn. Mike Foltynewicz
    Bn. Daniel norris
    Bn. Mike Minor

    NA. Brendan Rodgers
    NA. Lewis Brinson
    NA. Sixto Sanchez
    NA. Jack Flaherty
    NA. Yordan Alvarez
    NA. Christen Stewart
    NA. Brandon Marsh
    NA. Colton Welker
    NA. Satrling Heredia
    NA. Mike Chavis

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Joe: I love your team, you see that 12 team listed above? That looks nowhere as good as yours… Honestly, not sure how you got so many great players, guessing good keepers

      • Joe says:
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        @Grey: thank you! yeah the dynasty league is in its 4th year so this is the accumulation of a few years of draft picks and trades coming together. Also, funny story. The 12 league team above from matt is my Best friend that is in the same league, both are huge fans of yours and were comparing teams about a minute before we were like oh shit lets see if grey answered us! Funny stuff

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, thanks!

          • Joe says:
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            @Grey: should i trade soler and chavis for winker and vince velasquez?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Sure

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Grey: I wish I didn’t click it. “Why Kenley Jansen is a First Round Pick for 2018”.

        I’ll take Gattis 19th before I waste my first round pick on a RP!

        The whole premise of the article is that his value is equivalent to Kershaw, without much mention of hitters. So many things wrong with that statement it’s not even worth going through! The right way to write this would have been to say that he’s a first round pick . . . in 70-team leagues or larger.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          You see my video yesterday about Gattis? 19th overall! And he defended it! I seriously can’t

          • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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            @Grey: yep! HILARIOUS. I’ll take my $1 Alfaro instead and eat .30-.40 points in average thank you very much.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I was beguiled into clicking…Of course it’s AJ Mass!

  20. Packers says:
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    Thanks for all the rankings posts. I also have been enjoying the podcasts at the beginning of each post.
    My question is what sort of notes or cheat sheets do people take to redrafts to help them along with a one minute time limit per pick? I’m old, and old school so I really don’t want to use a computer, just some notes on paper is what I’m comfortable with. I’ve done a few mocks and 6 NFBC drafts already so I’m getting a handle on the player pool but what has been stated here often each draft goes in a different direction. I’ve intentionally drafted from different spots as well, but these are the 4 hour variety so no pressure. I have a couple $400 entry fee 12 team roto drafts coming up in March and really don’t want a long list of names. Maybe there isn’t anything easy but any ideas or suggestions from the razzball nation might help me get organized. Thank you.

  21. J-FOH says:
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    At first I thought your videos were made in Tijuana because you look like my old gardner but after seeing you in a convertible IROC I know that someone in north Jersey is making these.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      It’s Jon & Vinny’s Anime and Custom Car Detail

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: they rent out space in the back of a deli?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Jersey Mike’s can suck a D!

          Be Pisces and jam.

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: you’re channeling your inner Quincey!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Was the best thing you’d read in a while or what? You read GQ interview too where he said Hitler was on coke?

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: I have not read GQ. I always thought Hitler was on meth like the rest of the soldiers.

                Speaking of drugged up soldiers I was reading about a drug bust in Italy that was fueling ISIS with pills that help the fighters basically fight like they do

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I watched a doc yesterday you would like called Shadow World, on Amazon… Was about military spending… In other words, if Italy’s selling pills, they’re the bottom pushers…

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: google daily beast Italian drug bust. It’s a good read

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Crazy shizz… Like reading a Vice segment

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I’m so sheltered never heard of Tramadol prior

                    • J-FOH says:
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                      Your old lady, literally, shelters you like a
                      Mother

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      And that’s why I love her

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Did I say love her? I meant mother.

  22. Woolly the Mammoth says:
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    Look forward to this post every year. Thanks Grey. Trying to decide whether I should be worried about my starting pitching. Ten team H2H keep 20 forever 6×6 (OPS and Holds). Nine Start limit per week. Planning on keeping the following, do I need to make a trade for a higher ranked starter? One option I have is to use Justin Smoak as trade bait.
    Lance McCullers Jr.
    Rich Hill
    Jose Berrios
    Gerrit Cole
    Marcus Stroman
    Danny Salazar
    Taijuan Walker
    Dylan Bundy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d be worried

  23. Should call this the Book of Grey since it’s my Bible. Thanks for the whole month+ of killer analysis!

    12-team, H2H, AVG and OPS league, current keepers are:
    Blackmon
    Abreu
    Rendon
    Schoop
    Choose one 13th Rounder: Devers / Realmuto

    Was leaning Devers but he’s unproven and I already have Rendon, plus 3B feels DEEP. I hate catchers but does it make more sense to put a top guy in there instead?

    Thanks G

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, thanks! So Devers becomes a UTIL? Do you have 2 UTILs?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Or CI?

        • @Grey: yeah he’d be my CI. Sounds like you trust the smooth-faced kid in Boston eh?

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I do, be Pisces and jam.

  24. Scott says:
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    I have always valued hitting more than pitching and have loaded up on hitters and waited on pitching. Last year 31 players hit at least 30 HR. 73 hit at least 25 HR. Thats crazy. Quality pitching on the other hand seems to be a lot more scarce. I know your thoughts about not getting aces and having a safety net, but doesn’t it put you at a disadvantage if you wait and don’t have a true ace when other teams will have one or two and still can get productive hitting later. I have an innings cap to work with too so quality of innings is important as is k/9 since more k’s are better in less innings. Wins have a lot of variables but we also use quality starts too which are more predictable. Do these factors change your strategy?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Quality starts would change my strategy

  25. Cactus says:
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    Question for Grey or anyone in the community.

    I have a chance to nab Moncada in an 8 team roto league. 6 X 6 OPS. Owner is keeping him currently but he is a bit frustrated and thinks that Moncada wont be really good for a few more years. I agree but want to know if I should give it a shot.

    I was thinking of offering either Eloy or Robles for Moncada straight up. Would that be worth it? Or do Eloy and Robles have a brighter future than Moncada?

    For reference I would probably drop Merrifield for Moncada if I completed the deal. Here is a list of my keepers now.

    Rizzo
    Springer
    Merrifield
    Schoop
    Rhys
    Pollock
    Blackmon
    JDM
    Segura
    Bregman

    Thank you.

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      @Cactus: Assuming Dynasty. I’d want Merrifield this year. And I prefer Eloy and Robles over Moncada long term, so I’d hold.

      • Cactus says:
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        @The Great Knoche: Sorry. Correct. Dynasty keep forever league no cost for keepers.

  26. Chris Harrelson says:
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    Didn’t see where it had been mentioned, but you have Ohtani listed at 82 and 92 as a Pitcher along with the DH listing later.

  27. Gigorilla says:
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    Hi Grey — will there be a link (is there and dumb me cant find it) in your content task bar at the top for the FB War Room? Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Whathca mean?

      • Gigorilla says:
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        You have a link to the War Room at the end of today’s article above.

        Where is the War Room link in the task bar that has News, Rankings, Player Rater, Prospects, etc?

  28. OaktownSteve says:
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    Here’s a little story I’ve been picking up on…new Red Sox manager Alex Cora is a big believer in the stolen base. Jackie Bradley was saying he was looking forward to being given the green light a lot more and when Cora was asked he talked up the value of the running game. Pops up in a couple of local rag articles on the Red Sox as well.

    This is very interesting. If you could add 10 bags to the projected totals of a lot of their guys, things get pretty interesting. Benintendi at 30. Bogaerts at 25-30, Mookie at 40. Heck, I was taking a look saw Devers had 18 steals one year at high A. Watching him last year he does look athletic enough. If he gave you 12 or so, man his draft price looks really nice all of a sudden.

    Worth monitoring.

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve: Thanks for this.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      That is actionable, methinks… Not sure if you saw this comment by me in the rankings, but I was finding it super odd how guys who weren’t stereotypical fast (Bregman) stole more bases than a guy who is (Correa) on the same team… Same with Benintendi/JBJ

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        The Correa thing is really hard to figure because he’s had good success when he has run. It’s not like with Springer where he just really stinks at stealing bases.

        If you look at Benintendi’s minor league record, he actually showed a running game at least equal to if not a little stronger than Bradley. I think you have to separate fast from base stealing. Stealing bases has a lot to do with a mentality. There’s a confidence and an aggression. Goldy isn’t that fast, but he’ll take some bags.

        I think the organizational philosophy varies. Some teams seem to have a “don’t steal unless you get a sign to go” or one or two guys only have a green light. Some teams seem to have a green light for everybody unless they get a stop sign in which case that would seem to feed into player willingness. Teams might vary quite a bit based on numbers as to what situations they’ll let their players go.

        Tough to figure out.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, not fast vs. steals, I guess, but I mean more capable vs. not capable with guys who are capable not stealing… You even said JBJ wants to steal more, Sawx let Benny steal, so where was JBJ? Same with Correa vs. Bregman… Maybe this is small sample size thing, but organizational it’s weird when one capable runner steals a bunch and another steals next to none… Kinda like Goldy vs. Owings, though that might just be an OBP thing

          • Crime Dog says:
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            @Grey: What about position in lineup? Bregman predominantly hit out of the 2 hole or the 8/9 hole last year, I think those spots set up better for steals. I didn’t pay quite as much attention to Sox last year, but I want to say beintendi hit 2/3? and JBJ hit anywhere from 5-8? But the stros probably don’t need their cleanup hitter swiping bases. Not sure if this is right, just another angle to look at.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Place setter vs. drive-in….Could be, about as good a reason as I’ve heard… I’m sure there’s caase examples that would go against that tho…

  29. HR to the Izzo says:
    (link)

    Thanks for the rankings, Grey! Wanted to get your thoughts on Rhysus keeper value.
    My 3 current keepers are:
    Rizzo – 4th round (moves up 1 round per year)
    Harper – 6th round (moves up 2 rounds per year)
    J. Ramirez – 10th round (moves up 2 rounds per year)

    Since I am running out of years on Rizzo and harper and Rhysus is ranked 44th overall, would you consider keeping Rhysus in the 19th round (moving up 3 rounds per year) and trying to trade one of the 3 above?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sure

  30. Bevis like Jesus says:
    (link)

    Jesus Cristo – I dont like anybody after top 40 , In an Auction it looks like a classiic Stars and Scrubs may be the way to go this year . Thoughts?

    Oh and great work as usual –

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t like stars and scrubs… Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      But what about Jorge Soler?!

      • Cactus says:
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        @Grey: Has anyone ever seen Polanco and Soler in the same place at the same time?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Not at the All-Star game, that’s for sure

          • OaktownSteve says:
            (link)

            @Grey:

            Zing

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              What got zinged?

              • OaktownSteve says:
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                @Grey:

                The non All stars

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Ah, yeah

  31. tony says:
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    my pitching staff for this season in a keepers league, we keep 25

    james paxton
    lance mccullers
    carlos martinez
    blake snell
    luiz gohara
    josh hader(hoping he gets the job)
    luis severino
    garret richards
    jimmy nelson (dl)

    i like to have plenty arms what do you think about it, im targeting gausman in the draft.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Looks solid on paper, pretty deep already

  32. OaktownSteve says:
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    I heard two different analysts in the last two days saying they thought Bellinger might have been a bit exposed the last two months of last year. That’s what my eyeballs told me too.

    Seems like every year there’s a guy you’re very high on and then I come in and give you the agita about him. I think it’s Cody this year. Love him long term, see this year as the proverbial year of adjustments. Could see a slow start and a big finish with the slow start toning down the numbers enough to make him underperform a really high draft slot.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      His 2nd half K% went WAY down…He hit .292 in August with maybe a tad on BABIP at .298… His Sept. AVG was down and still .250+… I saw a poor postseason bc he’s 22 years old… This guy is gonna be a huge star for fantasy… Honestly, he feels like Goldy from a few years ago. That everyone isn’t on him is about the best bargain going right now.

      • OaktownSteve says:
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        @Grey:

        You might be right. The spike in GBs second half feels like a part of the story to me. Reduction in Ks came with a drop in power. I’m gonna sit this year out on him. His August September ABs had a different look to my eyes.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          If you’re not in on Bellinger, it feels like overthinking… Cody is special! You better not be in on Judge either then…

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Judge played through a shoulder injury in the 2nd half, but he’s just as risky as Bellinger. Don’t see either returning top 25 value this year, but each of them are worth a roll of the dice in the 3rd round this year. Enormous ceilings, but I see a slight dip in their immediate futures.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Judge or Bellinger?

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
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                @Grey: I have Judge at #26 overall and Bellinger at #29. Both safe for elite power but risky for average with limited SB potential.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Damn, that’s upsetting to hear…Can’t believe your ont he Judge train but not Cody

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
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                    @Grey: I have both of them ranked below their ADPs, so it’s doubtful I’ll be owning either one this year

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Makes me super sad to hear

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: The middle rounds is where I start taking some risks. Guys like Albies, Devers, Castillo, Puig, etc. I’m in on those players. Don’t see any reason to take unnecessary risks in the early rounds when there are still proven commodities in their primes on the board though.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Like who? Josh Donaldson? (Just busting chops, I just trust Cody)…

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
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                @Grey: What does Rudy think of him this year?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  He likes Cody above Judge

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: Just checked the player rater, and Rudy has Cody at #27. I have him in practically the same place.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, Rudy won’t own him either, prolly, but I think he does like him

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Though, I will say, Rudy is so risk averse, he won’t own either

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
          (link)

          @OaktownSteve: Agreed on Bellinger. I think fatigue had something to do with the drop off late in the year, but he has some more adjusting to do before taking off as a superstar (which I think he eventually will).

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            My heart is broken you’re both down on Cody…Broken!

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
              (link)

              @Grey: Maybe it’s the tall, lanky, lefty with power narrative, or it could be the Dodger tie-in, but he reminds me of Shawn Green. A bit more swing and miss and less speed in his game though. Green had a helluva career, and I expect the same from Bellinger. Just think there’ll be some inconsistency in the short term.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Shawn Green was not good for the first 3 years of his career and broke out when he was 26. Cody is elite at 21 years old.

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Big Magoo: do you know how many times they compared him to Shawn Green on the local post game show. It would make your head pop

                • Big Magoo

                  Big Magoo says:
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                  @J-FOH: Doesn’t surprise me. Same market, similar build and skillset.

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Big Magoo: Surprised he wasn’t nicknamed Bellingberg

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Big Magoo: I wish I could find the video showing adjustments he made from June to September on balls he missed on. MLB showed it. It was good

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Cody’s going to be a top 5 player for many years

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
              (link)

              @J-FOH: I don’t doubt his talent. Just think there’ll be some bumps in the road this year.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                I think people forget everything is magnified in the postseason, there’s so many garbage pitchers in the majors for Bellinger to feast on for six months. He could collect 25 HRs from Brewers, Padres and Brewers alone.

                • Big Magoo

                  Big Magoo says:
                  (link)

                  @Grey: I like how you counted the Brewers twice. He won’t face them more often if you just wish it to be so.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Haha…. It will feel like he’s facing some of those Brewers pitchers though when he gets middle relievers for some of the sadder teams…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      He’s gonna get 12 homers off the Reds pitchers alone

                    • Big Magoo

                      Big Magoo says:
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                      @Grey: You’re thinking of Eric Thames

                    • J-FOH says:
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                      Zing! Hey yo!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I got zinged again? Aw, man!

                    • J-FOH says:
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                      like I said to Magoo, with all these Shawn Green comps can we call him Bellingberg?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Other than white and lefty, do you see the comparison?

                    • J-FOH says:
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                      tush? wait I mean hips…no no no, I’m the wrong person to ask

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      he’ my Giancarlo

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                @Big Magoo: I’ve always been worried about the Sophomore slump but it feels (not sure if this is true) like less guys are going through it. Lindor off the top of my head and Trea too.

                • Big Magoo

                  Big Magoo says:
                  (link)

                  @J-FOH: Guys like Lindor and Trea have smaller strike zones and are more contact oriented hitters though. Young left-handed hitters generally have a steep learning curve when it comes to facing LHPs too (even though Bellinger was solid against them last year). Players like Harper and Rizzo come to mind in this regard.

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Big Magoo: fair point. I dont want to confuse this because I’m a little scared for him this year, I’m just trying to stimulate the conversation. Im still on a FOHbatical this year and won’t have to make this decision. I will be in the stands judging everyone else

          • Sweatpants Nation says:
            (link)

            @Big Magoo: Agree with fatigue-
            heard he’s working on that this off season (#bestshapeofhislife!!) Postseason was a bit rough but NLCS was fine. Some guys just have bad series. WS was wretched, admittedly.
            I like his 162 game first year of 48 HR and 119 RBIs
            That’s what I’m seeing.

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
              (link)

              @Sweatpants Nation: Pro-rater! I’m not worried about the postseason results, just what I saw with his long swing being exploited by good pitching. I think he’ll make adjustments, and not every team has good pitching, so he’ll still get his. Might be wise to expect something more realistic though.

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: He looked relaxed and chill in August but he got hurt and only had 65 AB’s. I think you both make good points. I got a lot of eyes on him or is it my eyes were on him a lot and you can tell when he’s pressing and when he’s not. Collectively the Dodgers stunk up the joint in September which falls into the intangible category so that’s why I wrote off a chunk of that month. The playoffs on the other hand are a tough read because you could see how bad he was pressing and it showed. To go with greatest shape theory, he hit the weight room (added 15 lbs) and training hard this off season to get better. I like that in players, he’s not Matt Kemp

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Waiting for you to defend Cody!

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Grey: *takes off shirt and starts dancing around in a circle* Im here mother fuckers!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha

              • Crime Dog says:
                (link)

                @Grey: Shawn Green, not a bad comp. I love how Bellinger in his first 2 years in rookie ball was more of a GB hitter, didn’t really hit for power. Dodgers told him they wanted him to hang dong more, so he completely changed his swing and then basically immediately started to hang more dong. That’s an impressive change with how quick the results were, swing changes can be tricky. “The Kid” is gifted!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Shawn Green had a solid career, but I think Cody’s going to blown it away

  33. Crime Dog says:
    (link)

    I thought you were all in on Taylor??? Are you still drafting him at 55? I think I could probably get him around 120, great value?

    That plumber crack eating the Dorito was disgusting (hilarious). As soon as that ass popped up on the screen my eyes were glued, and then that Dorito going in was in slow motion HA!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, yeah, I’d draft Taylor, just saying a cheap alternative

      • Crime Dog says:
        (link)

        @Grey: you scared me there Grey!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Sorry, Crime Dog

  34. What's a Drexl? says:
    (link)

    sounds like brocktune has upped his training regimen to include such awesome stuff such as:
    1. reenacting the Bane character from the last of the Batman trilogy
    2. getting ready for what appears to be a dog show where he’s the dog
    3. pulling what might be a target for horseshoes in rocky car-pulling style.

    what any of this has to do with baseball i have no idea.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Glad to see Polanco decided to step up his game as the rest of the Pirates team left in the middle of the night like the 80s Colts

      • What's a Drexl? says:
        (link)

        @Grey: it’s “his team now” as i’m sure many PIT newspaper writers will write, whatever that means. all i know is it’s the season of luplow and as anybody knows the leaves never turn brown in luplow town.

        • What's a Drexl? says:
          (link)

          @What’s a Drexl?: hahahah, reading the 60 SP page, just awesome this line here:
          “Slice of bread bookmark.” Would a slice of bread work as a bookmark? Sure. Can you find better things to hold a page in a book? I’d guess so” and yeah those guys go up in value in 16 and ups for the guaranteed innings.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Ha, thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Polanco’s last guy I’d want to be in charge of how well a team does, he doesn’t seem like he cares

  35. Justin says:
    (link)

    Are there any writers at ESPN that are worth a damn!?

    Just putting in my $0.02, half the fun of owning players in fantasy baseball is so you can watch them. If you got a boner for Cody B, let it rage…if you got a chubby for Judge, rock out. Sometimes you get Odor’d or Desmondeded…dammit, I’m undoing my argument. BASICALLY FOLLOW YOUR ERECTION.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Rock out with your Dick Pole out!

    • I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
      (link)

      @Justin: aren’t like at least 85% of people accidental births? this following your erection stuff doesn’t seem smart. less ramifications for fantasy baseball of course than the other, but still doesn’t speak well of it.

  36. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    I thought you were the zinger not the zingee above my friend. I read the joke as the didn’t meet at the all star game because they weren’t on it?
    Anyhoooo…

    The Bellinger thing above was a good thread. Good to see Magoo back.

  37. Sean says:
    (link)

    Carlos Gonzalez outside of the top 500 seems a bit harsh.

    • I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
      (link)

      @Sean: he’s said before he’ll rank him if/when he signs somewhere.

  38. William Hung says:
    (link)

    Top 500? But you went all the way to 529! #fakenews!

    Good luck to everyone this season! Hopefully the Mets only have 10% of the injuries from last season, which would still be above average…

  39. Big League Wood says:
    (link)

    Polanco should have been in the muppet Grey video.
    15/15/.255 on a crappy teams feels like Kevin Pillar.

    Like both Puig and Rosales in the OF.

  40. Michael says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    getting ready for the start of the season and sitting on a smorgasbord of pitching but only 4 spots that I can fill.

    opinion on who I should keep?

    J. Lester
    C. Morton
    M. Tanaka
    C. Kimbrel (only closer)
    Z. Davies
    J. Urena
    R. Lopez
    J.A. Happ
    K. Graveman

    I also picked up Hunter Green on a supplimental halfway thorugh the season last year but am thinking if I can to use him to sweeten a trade ifI really need to open space

    I was thinking of keeping:

    C. Morton
    M. Tanaka
    C. Kimbrel (usually like to have 3 relievers for our points makeup)

    and either Hunter Greene or Zach Davies.

    I have been shopping Lester around for picks as I really think he only has a year or two left and I don’t want to wait until it is to late to get value out of him.

    thoughts?

  41. Tom Caliendo says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey – where can i find a break down of tiers?

  42. Utah Green Sox says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    Is this the kind of team I should be aiming for in a 12 team H2H categories?
    It’s 6×6 with OBP and holds.

    Any of these guys you would be avoiding?
    Am I too light in pitching?

    C Tyler Flowers ATL C
    1B Cody Bellinger LAD 1B,LF
    2B Dee Gordon SEA 2B
    SS Manny Machado BAL 3B,SS
    3B Travis Shaw MIL 1B,3B
    OF Giancarlo Stanton NYY RF
    OF Yasiel Puig LAD RF
    OF Lorenzo Cain MIL CF,RF
    Util Eric Hosmer FA 1B
    Util Ronald Acuna ATL CF
    Bench
    1B Trey Mancini BAL 1B,LF,DH

    SP Carlos Martinez STL SP
    SP Masahiro Tanaka NYY SP
    RP Felipe Rivero PIT RP
    RP Andrew Miller CLE RP
    RP Archie Bradley ARI SP,RP
    P Blake Treinen OAK RP
    P Shane Greene DET SP,RP
    P Luke Gregerson STL RP
    P Dellin Betances NYY RP

    Bench
    P Luis Castillo CIN SP,RP
    P Luke Weaver STL SP
    P Jacob Faria TB SP
    P Charlie Morton HOU SP

  43. Ghost Ride the WHIP says:
    (link)

    Will the War Room be available in excel with the dashboard tab labeling tiers? This has been the best resource in years past.

  44. Jon says:
    (link)

    Can we get a filter option for AL and NL?

  45. JoeyBagofDoughnuts says:
    (link)

    2017 Champ with you and the Razzball teams incredible help and entertainment!!!!! THANK YOU.

    16 team H2H keeper league w/ 2B, BB, & OPS and IP, L, QS in addition to the standard categories. Auction Draft. Limited to 30 waiver moves and no bench spots, so streaming is not an option.

    We keep 5 players or $60 in value (Yahoo league, but keeper values based on ESPN keeper $ amounts).

    I think Severino (1) and Ian Happ (2) are easy choices. For the remaining $58 and/or 3 players who do you keep?

    Trea Turner (35)
    Anthony Rizzo (29)
    Edwin Encarnacion (20)
    Dee Gordon (18)
    AJ Pollock (16)
    Matt Carpenter (13)
    Aaron Nola (6)
    Dexter Fowler (2)
    Delino DeShields (1)

    I think Turner over Rizzo (although having him at 2B is really intriguing), but then I start getting all over the place

    Turner + (Edwin or Gordon) + Fowler
    Or
    Turner + (Pollock or Carpenter) + (Fowler or Nola)
    Or
    Something totally different?

    Thoughts? Thanks in advance

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No problem… Turner, Pollock and Nola — take followups to my newest post

  46. CrazyJ says:
    (link)

    Peraza is not supposed to be .268 instead of .286?

Comments are closed.