So far we’ve (I’ve) gone over the top 10 for 2018 fantasy baseballtop 20 for 2018 fantasy baseballtop 20 catchers for 2018 fantasy baseballtop 20 1st basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball and the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.  Sure, I could’ve just said here’s the 2018 fantasy baseball rankings, but if you’re gonna clickbait, you gotta go full bait.  Last year, I was drooling about the top 20 shortstops; this year, well, I like a few of them.  Lowercase yay!  How’d it go from a deep position to shallow in one year, especially a year after a huge offensive outburst?  I have some theories, but they all involve the Illuminati, so I can’t talk about them.  With each player is my projections and where I see tiers starting and stopping.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 shortstops for 2018 fantasy baseball:

1. Trea Turner – Went over him in the top 10 for 2018 fantasy baseball.  Also, I go over Trea Turner in the above video.

2. Francisco Lindor – Went over him in the top 20 for 2018 fantasy baseball.

3. Carlos Correa – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Bogaerts.  I call this tier, “Harumph.”  By the tier name I mean, I really want to like this tier more than I do, considering how high I’m ranking them.  I can’t remember the last time I was so bored by a tier this high in a ranking.  Shortstops are bad, yo.  I nearly put the Baez/Anderson tier here and moved this tier down.  Let’s get into Correa before I give myself early onset aggravation.  Correa has 20-steal speed, they say.  Yet — again with some stank — YET, he attempted three steals?  David Ortiz, now, the broadcaster, could attempt more.  Steamer projects Correa for eight steals.  I mean, I guess.  Shoot (not you, deranged white man), he could steal 15 bags, I guess.  But will he?  Why are we so confident the steals are coming?  I do think the power and average are real, and 30+ HRs and a .295+ average are worthwhile, but with 12 steals, is a helluva lot more enticing than two steals.  I’m going to project him for five steals, but the line of demarcation for Correa’s steals is anywhere from zero to twenty.  2018 Projections:  90/32/107/.298/5 in 572 ABs

4. Alex Bregman – The Astros’ motto must be, “Our best baserunners have less steals than are lesser baserunners.”  Or they could just go with, “World Series Champs.”  Either works.  So, Bregman somehow steals 17 bags last year, when he never stole more than ten bags any year in the minors.  That doesn’t coalesce with everything I’ve learned about the Astros through Springer and Correa’s base stealing.  It sits atop everything I know like it’s oil and water.  Not sure if Bregman is the oil or water–Okay, you know what?  I’ve taken this metaphor far enough — metafar?  Any hoo!  Bregman should be able to hit 25 HRs, but if you jump out of a DeLorean and tell me he only stole two bags in 2018, I’d say, “You time travel and that’s the news you return with?  What should I do with my bitcoin?!”  2018 Projections:  98/25/79/.281/14 in 583 ABs

5. Corey Seager – I’m challenging myself by not ranking Seager six spots lower.  Seriously, fighting with myself like Tyler Durden to not see how Paul DeJong is essentially Corey Seager with less name value.  Then I go back to ~30 runs and ~50 points on average with a sigh and decide Seager’s more valuable, but close to fifty spots in overall ranks more valuable?  I follow that up by tormenting myself further by thinking how Marwin Gonzalez is really Seager seventy spots later.  Then I’m sitting on the toilet in a contemplative pose thinking how Semien is Seager 190 spots later.  Then I’m crying at a long distance commercial thinking about how Brandon Crawford is Seager 500 spots later and…Ugh, I’m struggling here.  Really not loving the shortstops, and I kinda hate Seager.  So much anguish!  I need a pint of mint chip ice cream!  2018 Projections:  101/28/84/.298/4 in 588 ABs

6. Chris Taylor – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

7. Jean Segura – His 2016 year of 20/33 was followed by a 11/22 year.  Know what this sounds like?  He’s one year ahead of Andrus.  So, what will Andrus be in two years?  Okay, now I’ve confused myself.  Last year, Segura was sidelined for five weeks with an ankle injury, that could’ve sidelined him for eight weeks, so maybe he rushed back.  He’s still only going to be 28, so 30+ bags isn’t off the table.  Like a nudist at a flea market, I’m barely buying Segura.  2018 Projections:  97/14/50/.291/26 in 591 ABs

8. Xander Bogaerts – I was thisclose to ranking him in the Cozart tier.   Even as I write this I’m debating it.  It’s a more heated debate than Oreos or Hydrox.  Oreos is recognized by autocorrect, Hydrox is not!  Hydrox are non-GMO-certified, but people who eat cookies want GMOs!  Feeling like Bogaerts is more of a Hydrox for top shortstops.  Thinking of calling him Hydroxander.  2018 Projections:   88/18/94/.283/14 in 614 ABs

9. Javier Baez – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Peraza.  I call this tier, “Jewish, Net Worth, Girlfriend.”   By the tier name I mean, those are the Google search suggestions when you look up any player.  Those suggestions are always there.  So, this tier would always be my suggestions if you Googled, “Shortstops to draft.”  There’s a shizzton of landmines in the middle infield, so I might just draft my shortstop and my MI from this tier.  As for Baez, went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

10. Tim Anderson -Already gave you my Tim Anderson sleeper.  It was written while singing Steve Winwood.  2018 Projections:  83/21/68/.260/25 in 593 ABs

11. Trevor Story – Already gave you my Trevor Story sleeper.  I also go over Story in the above video.  2018 Projections:  78/31/89/.247/8 in 575 ABs

12. Paul DeJong – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

13. Tim Beckham – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

14. Jose Peraza – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

15. Orlando Arcia –  This is a new tier.   This tier goes from here until Amed.  I call this tier, “Heads, tails, something else entirely.”  By the tier name I mean, I don’t know what to make of these two guys.  I thought I’d love them, and I don’t.  I also don’t hate them.  It is true, I love me some sleeper middle infielders.  It’s also true I love guys that have power and speed.  It’s also true I love guys in hitters’ parks.  I love guys that are young.  I love guys that were top prospects.  I love walks on the beach with you in reach.  Though, I don’t love sand between my toes.  Shark Tank Idea Alert!  A thin strip of towel to get sand out from between your toes.  I call it Towel Floss™.  Who wants to invest?!  Outside of beach walks and Towel Floss™, Orlando Arcia checks all the other boxes.  You, sir, are a Box Checker!  Last year, Orlando Arcia went 15/14/.277 with garbage runs and RBIs.  I’d throw out the runs and RBIs because Arcia hit eighth for the better part of the season last year, which, if all things break right, won’t happen this year.  Jonathan Villar is currently slated into the leadoff slot for a platoon and Eric Thames is currently slated into the two hole for another platoon.  Neither of those make any sense if we see what we saw last year from either.  Thames will likely drop to the five hole, Sunday Santana will move up, Villar will fall down, Arcia will move up, Braun will–Okay, I’m not arranging the entire Brewers’ lineup right now, but Arcia’s more of a leadoff or number two.  Runs and RBIs with the top of the order and a simple repeat of a 15/15 season makes him a top 15 shortstop.  Upside though?  In the 2nd half last year, Orlando Arcia hit 7 HRs and stole 9 bags.  Merely prorating that makes him a 17/20 guy.  His strikeout rate went from 21.6% in a partial year of 2016 (55 games) to 18.2%.  In Triple-A, it was 17.5% and even lower the further back you go into the minors.  He swings at the 11th most pitches outside the strike zone, the 18th most pitches inside the zone and swings at the 10th most pitches overall, so Arcia waits for no pitch.  Somehow, he still has a 6.6% walk rate, which is a miracle considering how much he swings.  He has the 12th weakest contact in the majors, and the 16th lowest fly ball percentage.  I think he can get near where he was last year, because of park and general garbage pitching, but I don’t see the huge upside.   2018 Projections:  71/16/77/.271/15 in 561 ABs

16. Amed Rosario – He’s slated to hit eighth on the Mets, which dampers the back of my Pampers, if you catch my drift.  If you don’t catch my drift, move about six inches to the left.  There it is, huh?  Also, don’t love Amed’s .330 BABIP last year only produced a .248 average with a 2% walk rate and 29% K-rate.  I’m gonna chalk some of this up to small sample size and write it off, but if he repeats any of those numbers, he’s in for a terrible year.  Amed to that.  2018 Projections:  61/12/67/.262/20 in 553 ABs

17. Zack Cozart – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Russell.  I call this tier, “Scrambled Eggs Benedict in Beatlesese.”  The Beatles’ song, Yesterday, was once titled Scrambled Eggs, so “last year” translates to “Scrambled Eggs Benedict” in Beatles-speak.  All the guys in this tier were either off their game last year, or more on their game than previously seen.  Time will tell if, uh, time is telling us anything.  As for Cozart, here’s what I said this offseason, “Signed with the Angels.  Ah, it’s Yunel without the homophobic eye-black.  I’m getting the sense that I’m being too low on home runs across the board again if home run numbers from last year hold up, but someone like Cozart becomes super uninteresting if his home runs crash back to earth.  Super Uninteresting Man is like Clark Kent, but, instead of the Daily Planet, he works at the Daily Planner.  In today’s news, my blotter needs new paper!”  And that’s me quoting me!  2018 Projections:  65/17/71/.271/4 in 450 ABs

18. Elvis Andrus – As mentioned in a confusing manner in Segura’s blurb, I don’t buy Andrus’ breakout last year when he went 20/25.  He was around a 5% HR/FB prior to last year, then he more than doubled that to near-12%.  His Ks were up, walks were down, ground balls were up (not literally), his line drives were down and he’s one year removed from being Alcides Escobar’s doppelgänger.  Elvis left the building last year a lot, but the one reentering the building this year may be closer to the one eating peanut butter and banana sandwiches between smack sessions.  2018 Projections:  82/10/61/.291/21 in 581 ABs

19. Eduardo Nunez – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

20. Marwin Gonzalez – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

21. Didi Gregorius – In today’s game, expecting a hitter to hit less home runs feels like a fool’s bet.  Then again, Didi, uh, did hit the lowest average distance on his home runs (376), a full seven feet shorter than the next guy.  Seven feet is a huge difference.  That’s the difference between Judge and Avisail Garcia, and a top five home run distance and the 26th average distance.  I wanna believe Didi is gonna do it to me one more time, but I recognize in these Karl Kani jeans, Didi’s homers could be in the thirteens.  2018 Projections:  65/19/78/.279/3 in 552 ABs

22. Andrelton Simmons – This is a recurring theme that I haven’t mentioned once yet, so some recurring theme, huh?  If you subtract even the barest of minimum stats from some of these guys, their value plummets.  There is so little separating, say, Andrelton, from Brandon Crawford.  2018 Projections:  62/15/69/.282/14 in 561 ABs

23. Addison Russell – Feels like he needs a change of scenery, even if it’s a few of those trees that smell like semen.  Wouldn’t shock me to see him limp along for a few years, hitting 17-22 HRs, then break out on another team at the age of 27.  Member, he’s still only 24.   2018 Projections: 57/18/66/.244/4 in 451 ABs

24. Yangervis Solarte – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Semien.  I call this tier, “Drowsy or sleepers.”  It’s late, and maybe you’re tired of the draft by this point.  Or maybe you find a sleeper.  As for Yangervis, went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

25. Eduardo Escobar – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

26. Ketel Marte – Feels like one of those guys who is assured playing time in the spring.  The club has all the confidence in him, the reporters say.  The Diamondbacks are even considering Marte for the leadoff spot.  People are starting to bust out exclamation marks whenever he’s mentioned.  You get an eggplant emoji tattooed on your arm with Ketel’s name.  Then we get to the third day of the season and he’s in a platoon with Descalso, Drury and Ahmed.  2018 Projections:  61/11/53/.275/14 in 441 ABs

27. Marcus Semien – Semien is a sterile, jizzgender male, who couldn’t beat his way out of a sock last year.  A full season of at-bats should massage out a happy ending for Semien, as he is not a baby batter anymore.  2018 Projections:  64/23/72/.241/10 in 508 ABs

28. Brandon Crawford – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Asdrubal.  I call this tier, “How much do you value everyday playing time?”  This tier is stacked with guys that should play every day.  And that is the only time stacked is used to include a lineup with these players.  As for Crawford, he’s illustrative of a problem with the shortstops.  A ton of teams just put an underwhelming guy in to play defense at short and hope they’re not that bad, while they are that bad.  2018 Projections: 60/12/69/.248/6 in 494 ABs

29. Jose Reyes – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

30. Asdrubal Cabrera – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

31. J.P. Crawford – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Swanson.  I call this tier, “Thankfully, new blood.”  The shortstops need this tier like they need a hole in their head if they have internal bleeding in their head and they really do need a hole in their head to help alleviate some pressure.  As for Crawford, and a lot of the guys in this tier, he made Prospector Ralph’s top 50 prospects for 2018 fantasy baseball.  From a fantasy standpoint, Crawford sorta bores the blood out of my head, so to speak, but he’s also one guy in this tier with an easy path to playing time and upside.  Well, I guess Pinder and Barreto too, but, ya know, A’s.  Also, I went over Crawford in the video.  2018 Projections: 47/11/42/.234/7 in 401 ABs

32. Gleyber Torres – Already gave you my Gleyber Torres fantasy.  After I wrote it, my dog ate it, but I salvaged it six hours later.  2018 Projections:  45/7/41/.277/12 in 364 ABs

33. Willy Adames – Already gave you my Willy Adames fantasy.  It was written in the stars I saw after being knocked out.  2018 Projections:  47/7/41/.259/9 in 312 ABs

34. Franklin Barreto – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

35. Chad Pinder – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

36. Dansby Swanson –  Will still only be 24, but it’s getting close to the point where it’s hard to remember why we ever liked Swanson.  I wonder if the Braves wish they were caught giving payouts to Swanson and Camargo so they lost control of them.  2018 Projections:  61/11/56/.242/6 in 512 ABs

37. Troy Tulowitzki – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until the end of the list.  I call this tier, “Underappreciated.”  What I mean by the tier name is when something appreciates, it rises in value, but if it doesn’t rise in value, and instead drops, or goes under, it underappreciates.  These guys are underappreciating by the year.  As for Tulo, it’s now a positive for everyone involved if he can’t stay on the field healthy.  2018 Projections:   51/15/67/.242 in 404 ABs

38. Jose Iglesias – In a good year, he goes 6/7/.255 and in a bad year he goes 4/7/.255.  Something to be said for consistency.  Church!  2018 Projections:   55/6/60/.258/8 in 488 ABs

39. Chris Owings – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

40. Adeiny Hechavarria – He’s a Hechavarria crappy shortstop!  2018 Projections: 50/9/53/.247/4 in 507 ABs

41. Jordy Mercer – This all goes back to the point I made in Crawford’s blurb.  Teams are content with absolute garbage at short.  Sorry, Jordache Mercer, but you’re Bad Idea Jeans.  2018 Projections:  50/12/56/.251/1 in 512 ABs

42. Freddy Galvis – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Galvis was) traded to Padres.  I’m still floored that he saw 608 ABs in 162 games last year.  Hey, it’s Freddy Gehrig!  I mean, he went 12/14/.255.  At some point, a rational human being would’ve thought, ‘Ya know, maybe we’ve seen enough of Galvis, and we give Crawford a shot.’  Apparently, last year’s Phillies manager was not that rational.  Let’s hope this year’s Padre manager, Andy Green (WHO?), is rational and doesn’t play Galvis for 600+ ABs.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2018 Projections:  48/10/51/.250/9 in 385 ABs

43. Alcides Escobar – I had either forgotten or never knew (prolly the former, but the latter is possible.  It’s also possible I don’t know the difference between former and latter.), but did you know how awful Alcides was last year?  He played in 162 games, and had 599 ABs, so you figure he at least got steals, right?  He had four!  In 11 attempts!  Holy shizz, that’s awful.  Did he have a case of the yips with stealing bases that wasn’t reported?  What would the ‘running yips’ look like?  “Alcides takes a lead off first base and…Is he curling into a fetal position?  Well, that’s odd.”  I get it, guys get old, but four steals in 11 attempts for a guy who stole 17 bags in 21 attempts the year before?  What the holy eff happened to him?  Did he get really late jumps because he contracted a rare disease that causes really long blinks?  I got questions, ya’ll!  2018 Projections:  54/3/59/.241/6 in 434 ABs

44. Jorge Polanco – Similar to Escobar, as mentioned in the 2nd basemen post, I almost wrote a sleeper on Polanco.  He looks like a possible bet for 17/17/.275, which is totally usable.  However, if he misses those numbers a tad and goes 14/14/.260, you’re gonna be wiping googies from your eyes.  UPDATE:  Suspended 80 games.  It is ironic that an Escobar is going to benefit from a drug bust.  2018 Projections:  35/7/41/.258/6 in 264 ABs

45. Wilmer Difo – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

46. Johan Camargo – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

47. J.T. Riddle – I’m not saying it’s true that the MarlinsJ.T. Riddle is actually going to be Jeter in Riddler leotards and cosplay mask, but I’m not saying it won’t be him either.  2018 Projections:  40/8/41/.253/3 in 424 ABs

48. Dixon Machado – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball.

49. Hernan Perez – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2018 fantasy baseball..

50. Aledmys Diaz – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Diaz was) traded to the Blue Jays for J.B. Woodman, who sounds like a closed captioning gone wrong on Seinfeld.  Cardinals, apparently, didn’t love the idea of going back to the disappointing Aledmys with Paul DeJong and Kolten Wong emerging in the middle of the infield for the deadly DeWong combo.  The Blue Jays, on the other hand, have no problem getting worse.  Diaz will likely back up Tulo and Devon Travis, which means he could see anywhere from 100 ABs to 450 ABs.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2018 Projections:  47/8/40/.266/3 in 361 ABs

51. Pat Valaika – I forget if I mentioned this already.  Oh no, my past brain has melded with my present brain and doesn’t know what to tell my future brain!  Eek, I’m a character from a Christopher Nolan movie!  Any hoo!  I wouldn’t be shocked if Valaika completely steals someone’s job, or if Valaika fails to get 100 ABs.  He’s here simply because the Rockies are too juicy to pass up.  By the way, when you’re giving someone’s fantasy team the evil eye, it’s called ‘The Valaika.’  2018 Projections:  31/15/44/.263 in 205 ABs

232 Comments
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Simps
Simps
4 years ago

Just read an article that quoted Showalter on Manny moving to SS and Beckman playing 3rd.

Is Manny behind Correa?

Schoolboy P
Schoolboy P
4 years ago

All other videos are currently working, however for this one, Im getting:
“VIDEO ERROR
Audio/video not supported”

Just a heads up, I would love to watch this one too.

Schoolboy P
Schoolboy P
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey:

Its me not you – Costanza. works on my iphone so must be my shitty browser.

Bterry go rox
Bterry go rox
4 years ago

MVP per at bat production for Valaika. Love it!

Matt
Matt
4 years ago

So, Story is going to hit 31 home runs but Pat Valaika may steal his job? Huh? I’m confuzzed.

I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail
I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail
Reply to  Matt
4 years ago

@Matt: there was a time last year where this was close to happening. but it’s not because “it’s PAT” is good.

Jon
Jon
4 years ago

I probably shouldn’t be thinking about 2019 right now, but in my 10-team dynasty league I’m wondering if it makes sense to trade a 3B. I have Arenado, Ramirez (who I’ll play at 2B this year), Bregman (who will play SS), and Vlad Jr. in the minors, so I’m more than stacked at the hot corner with flexibility in 2018. However, there’s a good possibility that Ramirez and Bregman will only be 3B going into 2019, meaning I suddenly have a log jam without any way to play them all.

Should I be thinking about trading Arenado, Ramirez, or Bregman? Would an Arenado for Lindor deal make sense?

Sing Us a Vogelsong You're the Pineda Man
Sing Us a Vogelsong You're the Pineda Man
4 years ago

Have you watched Mindhunter on Netflix yet? If so I’d like to hear your thoughts.

Keep Bour, Matt Olson, McCullers, Andrus, or toss them all back and take a chance on an available 10th round pick.

Leaning toward keeping Olson.

Rest of Keepers:
Posey
Trea Turner
Arenado
Mookie
Springer
JDMartinez
Sale
Thor
Severino

Some free agents out there: Eloy Jimenez, Brendan Rogers, Nick Senzel, Kopech, Willie Calhoun

Sing Us a Vogelsong You're the Pineda Man
Sing Us a Vogelsong You're the Pineda Man
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Yeah it really freaking does. I’m fairly desperate but I’m in talks with shipping Andrus out for Edwin (fingers crossed). I might attempt to swap Springer for Bellinger or Mookie for Goldy. Goldy+Nado would be insanity!

Sing Us a Vogelsong You're the Pineda Man
Sing Us a Vogelsong You're the Pineda Man
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Mindhunter ruled. Super moody and has such a complex moral code that really kept me invested in the character development/story arches.

Ian
Ian
4 years ago

Trying to win this year so I took Goldy at 7 instead of Correa in dynasty. How much she I regret this?

Llango
Llango
4 years ago

Grey,
Who rather have any in a 12 team h2h keeper league – Mazara or buxton? Is there a big difference in value?

Eli Man Penguin Boy
Eli Man Penguin Boy
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: i’m sure ralph would say mazouza has less buxtons though (1-5 scale of utter risk of abject failure)

Eli Man Penguin Boy
Eli Man Penguin Boy
4 years ago

ok, seeing a bert/ernie version of grey and actually hearing it say “p to the erhaps” is enough to keep those cartoons.

J-FOH
J-FOH
4 years ago

Even though this Manhunt totally needs a re-boot (I looked it up and it was on Discovery) I can’t stop watching it. Fuck, my day is wasting away real fast.

J-FOH
J-FOH
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Haha, I remember watching the Karen Carpenter movie as a kid. I saw the Beach Boys movie and the Temptations movie more times than I care to admit. Damn, now I want to watch Heart Like a Wheel, which wasn’t a TV movie.

J-FOH
J-FOH
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Heart Like a Wheel is awesomely awesome. If your step dad is a car guy he will love that movie

J-FOH
J-FOH
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Some early Anthony Edwards and Beau Bridges lighting up the screen with Bonnie Bedelia

J-FOH
J-FOH
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: she’s sinking the Mets with that contract

Crime Dog
Crime Dog
4 years ago

this is totally random but the more I look into Gallo the more I absolutely love him in an OPS format. not sure many people will realize how huge of a boost he gets in OPS formats. Goes from a huge negative in BA to a pretty decent positive in OPS. Dude has never walked less than like 12%, incredible, and he’s pretty much a lock to slug 500+. Will for sure be targeting him around 90-100 in OPS formats. honestly he could be better than judge this year, or they could be very similar at least.

Crime Dog
Crime Dog
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: @Grey: I agree! and looking at his minor league track record it looks like he is pretty good at adjusting. I see slight improvements across the board after his first taste of being promoted to a higher level. A slight improvement on last year could push him into top 50, especially in OPS. If I landed Bellinger and Gallo I may have to break up with my GF, not enough lovin’ to go around after that….

Rum Ham
Rum Ham
4 years ago

I start feeling a little tingly seeing Lindor in the high teens/low 20’s on other sites. Going to have a lot of shares in 2nd rd this year if that is the general consensus. Then I saw how unbelievably low Anderson, Dejong and Beckham were on Fantasypros (233, 197, 291!) and I had to close the tab cuz I was getting too hot and bothered at work. AY DIOS MIO!

Early strategy: either get one of the top 4 guys here or cool my jets on SS until the rounds hit the teens.

jon
jon
4 years ago

Biggest dream sleeper of the year? maybe 1 pitcher and 1 bat? who is noone talking about but you in your head.

Warren
Warren
4 years ago

GREY! By gawd it’s good to have you back in my morning routine. Pot of coffee, morning constitutional and Razzball. Lining up keepers in my 10 team OBP league. Standard rosters. Pick 6:

$26 Harper
$26 Donaldson
$24 Rizzo (no 2B elig. in ESPN)
$15 Correa
$15 Marte
$14 Bellinger

$15 Syndgergaard
$4 Verlander
$2 Paxton

I am thinking 5 hitters and 1 pitcher, Verlander in place of Marte. Thoughts?

Jensen
Jensen
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Grey, you feeling okay today? SS’s get you down? This must be the third post you messed up the math on keepers. Or are you just trying a new strategy where you force people to make choices for themselves?

Jensen
Jensen
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Oh, I thought you were saying no Donaldson and no Verlander leaving 7 options. But it was lose Donaldson, keep Verlander.

Harry
Harry
4 years ago

How early is too early for David Wright this year?

Uncle Ernie
Uncle Ernie
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: I think Yahoo has him at 599

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
4 years ago

The golden age of SS lasted one whole year.

2017 – We’ve Got Turner, Lindor, Correa, Bogarets, Story, Seager all in the top 30 Overall. (Dont forget everyone loved Dansby!) WooHoo!!!!

2018 – Harumph!

Give me Gyorko!

Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Reply to  The Great Knoche
4 years ago

@The Great Knoche: but did razzball writers (grey/rudy) “love” swanson, i’m pretty sure that was espn’s market doing that one. he was going near like 100 last year and i thought it was nuts if i’m remembering it right.

-now STORY is another story. and the funny “can i just draft gyorko NOW please!” was from numerous seasons. i finally did get that gyorko jersey the day he was traded away from SD (i got the SD one even though i’m in STL)

Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: exactly swanson’s inflated price had nothing to do with this site’s predictions last year. nor bogaerts. story, yes.

Philadelphia Freedom
Philadelphia Freedom
4 years ago

Grey,
Thanks for the great work you do!

6 x 6 with OPS and Innings Pitched as the extra categories. (Start 13 hitters, 8 pitchers)

$260 available minus contracts kept

We can keep 10.

A few examples of what market value was for some players last year at the auction:
Trout $53, Goldschmidt $43, Sale $34, Abreu $28, Archer $27, Hamels $18, Posey $14 (Catchers go a bit cheaper),

My Keeper Options:
First Tier:
Trea Turner $9 (First year of long term- $14 in 19, $19 in 20)
Jose Ramirez $9 (First year of long term- $14 in 19, $19 in 20)
Daniel Murphy $11 (Can keep only this year)
Anthony Rendon $15 (First tier with OPS a category in my opinion- can keep through 2019)
Brian Dozier $19 (Can keep only this year)
Justin Verlander $16 (Can keep only this year)
Zach Greinke $14 (Can keep through 2019)
Aaron Nola $6 (Can keep only this year)

2nd Tier: (If I go with those 8 would need 2 of these)
Yoan Moncada $7 (could keep through 2019)
Trevor Story $7 (could keep only this year)
Marwin Gonzalez $4 (could keep through 2019)
Jake Lamb $2 (could keep only this year)
Luke Weaver $4 (could keep through 2019)
Carlos Carassco $20 (could keep through 2019)
Salvador Perez $5 (could keep only this year)
Justin Upton $20 (could keep through 2019)

-Which 10 would you keep?
-I am most concerned about value but I am loaded at MI and 3B.
-I am keeping a lot of high dollar players but I think the value is there and in my opinion that is most import.

Thanks for your input!

Philadelphia Freedom
Philadelphia Freedom
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Philadelphia Freedom: @Grey:

Thanks for the response. 2 questions/thoughts:

1.Would love more thoughts on Upton. In our league running through his numbers he was worth $22 in 2014, $17 in 2015 and 2016 and then jumped to $32 last year (Charged by an abover average BA, Huge RBI, and massive OPS boost). I worry about regression but maybe the magic hitting next to Trout is a joy to be hold. If he does regress it means he’s still good but not the value I wanted.

2. You mentioned a lot of tough choices of the 2nd tier. Were there some in the 2nd tier you would clearly not consider keeping?

Thanks again!

Sweatpants Nation
Sweatpants Nation
4 years ago

Grey, Thanks for the rankings.
These raise a draft strategy question for me and would like your advise.
For keepers I’ll have Schoop at 2b and Segura at SS, both cheap in auction format. I could also keep Semien, again cheaply, as MI. Every one of your top 10 will be available except Trea and Anderson (Taylor not elligible in our league). Given what you’ve said about these guys do you think I should go with my middle infidels and use auction $ for OF and corner bats or look at Segura and/or Schoop as more MI and use $ for either a top SS or 2B?
For aditional info there will be a bunch of big bats in the OF and corners at the draft.

Sweatpants Nation
Sweatpants Nation
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Schoop is $2, Segura is $4 and Semien is $2. I’m just not sold on that being enough production. The big name SS will go for $30 plus, same as most of the big bats in OF and corner.

Sweatpants Nation
Sweatpants Nation
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: 10 teams. We have monster rosters at 40 so I could keep him as a bench guy and see what happens. We do $260 but in order to fill out rosters we also do a round robin at the end. Semien wouldn’t make it to that.

Sweatpants Nation
Sweatpants Nation
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Gotcha. Thanks.

Count de Monetballl
Count de Monetballl
4 years ago

Grey, I love your writing and all, but dayumm man, can we just get your “top 20” or 50 or whatever in your cartoon video’s rather than written word? I can’t get enough cartoon Grey, similar to when I skip work to go on a classic Voltron binge…

Nightpandas
Nightpandas
4 years ago

Grey

Trade Myers for Osuna and Chris Taylor in a keep 11 obp 15 teams?

jon
jon
4 years ago

Would you trade Gregory Polanco for Whitt Merrifield?

Memnon
Memnon
4 years ago

Hey Grey! Been reading and following your advice for years. With sexy results.

Oh Great Wise One,

14 Team 6×6 (OPS and QS) 4 keeper league. With MI and CI, 3 OF spots, and 1 UTIL. Which 4 do you keep? No penalty.

Altuve, Judge, Hoskins, C. Seager, Beninintendi, Devers.

I was leaning towards the first 4, but just getting your opinion on if I should change my mind.

Thank you for all you do man! Much love

Uncle Ernie
Uncle Ernie
4 years ago

I lived in Northern Jersey for many years before moving to San Diego. Closer to Pennsylvania you get the less populated it gets. 1 hour from Delaware river is nice country. Anyway: is $19 to much for Bregman in ESPN 8 teamer? Thanks for your ranking. There Great

Speill
Speill
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Hackettstown. Referred as exit 19 off rt 80. Out here called the 80. Ha ha

TJ
TJ
4 years ago

Heya Grey. Getting backed into the swing of things. Just filled out my potential keepers for the coming season in a 12 team H2H league. What do you think? What kind of holes will I need to fill in the draft?

C-
1B – Jose Abreu
2B – Albies
3B –
SS –
OF- Judge
OF- Springer
OF- Betts

SP – Verlander
SP – Robbie Ray
SP – Nola
SP -Severino

TJ
TJ
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: I think I’ll just stick with these 9 and just go for it.

Hitting wise, focus on AVG/OPS & SB I suppose?

Mind=Blown
Mind=Blown
4 years ago

Love it. 100% agree on Seager. Well done.

Have a draft pick trade question. League info first. 8 team 10 keeper league 6X6 OPS. Keep forever no cost. We also get 5 minor leaguers and can have 6 if he is obtained through a trade.

I would trade David Dahl (currently one of my minor league keepers) for the 7th overall pick.

Thoughts?

Mind=Blown
Mind=Blown
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Last year our first round consisted of:

Villar
Kimbrel
Archer
Britton
Stroman

I missed a few. But one thing to note is that this year we have SV+H as a category so I do not think any closers will go in the first rd. Maybe the top 1 or 2.

Mind=Blown
Mind=Blown
Reply to  Mind=Blown
4 years ago

@Mind=Blown: Keepers have not been picked yet so not 100% sure who is available.

Mind=Blown
Mind=Blown
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Yeah he was not kept and he was picked #1 overall. That guy lost out pretty big. I ended up acquiring Villar, Robles and Eloy for Brian Dozier because he was so pissed about Villar he wanted to trade him away to spite him.

Mind=Blown
Mind=Blown
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Yeah how often to do not keep a guy that basically went 20 HR 60 steals and at the end of the season say “thank god I didn’t keep him.”

Schoolboy P
Schoolboy P
4 years ago

Great rankings. Loved the Biggie in the Didi ranking. It’s why I love Razz –

Also, my friends now call ugly chicks PAGNOF because …. well you can figure it out.

Schoolboy P
Schoolboy P
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey:

haha YES! I felt crude just typing it, but its hilarious.

dninja82
dninja82
4 years ago

Thanks Grey good stuff! Based on your top 10 overall, Machado whould be your 2nd SS off the board.. did he not play enough games at ss to retain eligibility next season? I also read that he wants to play ss this year and buck is entertaining the thought of letting it happen.

dninja82
dninja82
Reply to  dninja82
4 years ago

@dninja82: Nevermind just checked he didn’t play any ss last season lol.. I still think he gets ss eligibility back early tho

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
4 years ago

By the way, I was at a CVS picking up a birthday card and randomly saw the 2018 Fantasy Baseball something-or-other for sale (never seen / purchased before) . . . got it on a whim + low and behold, I see your awesome piece that finally gives you the opportunity to gloat about Tout Wars!

Nice job + great piece.

Sad Keanu
Sad Keanu
4 years ago

Can’t wait for SP rankings to come out. Who do you like better as a keeper: Severino or Syndergaard?

jon
jon
4 years ago

Hey Grey,

Just looking to see what your early thoughts on my squad. This is a 10 team keeper league on its 5th year. We keep 20 throw back the rest and draft 5 more rounds. The roster below is pre-redraft.

League Cats: R, 2B,3B,SB, BB,HR,RBI,AVG- W, ERA, WHIP, K/9, QS, SV

1B: Votto
2B: Dozier
3B: Seager/Moustakas
SS: Seager
OF: Betts, Springer, Benintendi, Pham, Polanco
Bench: Villar

SP: Madbum, Carrasco, Paxton, Cole, Stroman, Ray
RP: Jansen, Chapman, Diaz

I’m looking to take some younger pitching arms for bench depth and maybe grab someone with some versatility as bat depth.

Anyone I should look to deal? any stat i need to look for other than speed? maybe power?

El Marco
El Marco
4 years ago

I actually like Seager, he was second in wRC+ for SS. Also had a BABIP over .350 and should have a better year than last year

El Marco
El Marco
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey:
Word

Harry
Harry
4 years ago

Most of your guys in the Baez tier are allergic to walks and are huge negatives in OBP (whereas they’re at least okayish in avg). Would your strategy for the SS position change at all in an OBP league, maybe shying away from some of these guys? Trevor Story would be the one exception as a guy whose OBP value should exceed AVG value.

J-FOH
J-FOH
4 years ago

Have you watched Manhunt on Netflix? The unabomber series

Burt
Burt
4 years ago

Hey Grey!!

looking for some keeper advise, 6×6 with .OPS and QS.. 12 teams, and i can keep 10

6 Realmuto
33 Votto
8 Jean Segura
3 Ryon Healy
1 Ozzie Albies
30 Jose Abreu
11 Trea Turner
18 Mark Trumbo
6 Adam Duvall
1 Avisail Garcia
27 Yoenis Cespedes

16 Carlos Carrasco
6 Danny Duffy
31 Justin Verlander
9 Jon Gray
1 Dinelson Lamet
1 Luis Castillo
1 Brent Honeywell

Thanks, looking forward to the season!!

Jon Strayer
Jon Strayer
4 years ago

You gave Happ and Baez pretty similar projections and similar playing issues. Who would you rather have in OBP keeper?

Big Mike
Big Mike
4 years ago

There’s another guy going by Big Mike on here (other than me). Do I need to fight him for the rights to that handle?

InvalidBeard
InvalidBeard
4 years ago

A vote for including the write-ups from other lists in the current list instead of having the reader click though. Thanks Grey!

thatguy
thatguy
Reply to  InvalidBeard
4 years ago

@InvalidBeard: Having redundant identical content hurts SEO. Hard to ask for more work given the sheer volume and quality of this free content, but the better adjustment might be to put the player’s blurb and projection on the article for only their primary position and use only a link in the other position write-ups they appear in.

E
E
4 years ago

Would appreciate your thoughts on my keeper choices.

I traded away my rounds 1, 2, and 3 for this year’s draft for my title run last year so my first pick isn’t until round 4.

I can keep 4, who would you keep? 12 team h2h, total bases and OBP in additional to the standard 5 categories

Ronald Acuna – Round 23
Aaron Nola – Round 23
AJ Pollock – Round 17
Eugenio Suarez – Round 23
Charlie Blackmon – Round 4
Freddie Freeman – Round 5

Thank you,

Packers
Packers
4 years ago

I think Correa ‘s low SB totals are due by him hitting in the middle of the order.
I’m thinking of trying a points league for the first time. It’s acually the NFBC cutline. 42 players, optimal scoring, only two FAAB periods, basically the draft and the two Faab periods is all you do. Saves are worth 8 pts compared to wins at 6, and IP at 3. I’m thinking of not drafting any closers. What do you think?

Pchfw
Pchfw
4 years ago

Will Hedges ever live up to much ya think? I can trade away Hedges and Tulo for Wilson Ramos and Cornelius Randolph in a dynasty league. Worth it? I already have Segura at SS.

Swfcdan
Swfcdan
4 years ago

Who you prefer keeping next year, a $3 J Gray or a $6 A Wood? Know SP rankings soon but prices attached changes things, sorry Grey!

Willy Mo
Willy Mo
4 years ago

Wow Didi at 22 for shortstops jeez.

I get it you moved out of northern NJ becasue some parts smell like hot garbage and the infastructure is terrible. Dont take that out on Yankees fantasy players tho!!!

Willy Mo
Willy Mo
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Haha. You were elizabeth right? I worked at that awful mall for a second a decade ago. I was born is staten island but migrated to monmouth county in the early 90s and now live and work in hudson.

Just checked and Didi was 9th for short stops last season and he was 99th on the final season player rater overal.

I dont get the comment that you think Didi might hit around 13 homers. He had 20 hrs in 2016 with a .171 isolated power, and 25 hrs last year with a very solid .191 iso. Hes squarely in his prime tunring 28 years old next month.

He even showed some power in the post season with 3 homers in only 48 vs tough pitching (extrapolate the at bats for a full season and get about 30 hrs) and looked to be launching the ball well, especially over that short porch.

I think theres a better chance Didi hits 30 homers than 13. Plus that lineup hes in would give any player a boost.

Im not saying he should be ranked top 5 for fantasy short stops or even top 10, but 22?

Why the hate on Didi?

Willy Mo
Willy Mo
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Both actually. I worked for a 3rd party t mobile distributor who would aggressively attempt to get you in a contract for a free flip phone. Was fun for almost a year.

Yeah Didi def isn’t the most powerful hitter but id be surprised if his homers went down significantly this year in his age 28 season. I mean he hit 25 homers with 73 runs and 87 rbi in only 136 games last year. If he played all season he woulda likely finsihed a top 5 ss in 2017. And as good as the lineup was last year its projected to be even better this year.

Ranking Didi #22 for shortstops just feels like a ranking that he only wont outperform if he gets really injured.

Willy Mo
Willy Mo
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey:

Where did Didi rank for short stops on 2016’s final player rater?

Pretty sure hes been a top 10 fantasy ss 2 years in a row now.

I guess he could regress to the player he was 3 seasons ago and really disappoint now at age 28 but i wouldnt bet on it. That yankees team in 2015 was a joke and a mess.

Willy Mo
Willy Mo
Reply to  Willy Mo
4 years ago

@Willy Mo: wait im confusing 2015 and 16… anyways… dont underestimate lefties and hooking the ball down the line over 314. Its free

Willy Mo
Willy Mo
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: not to be better than the #22 ss in 2018 fatasy baseball. He just needs to show up to class to get that.

Harry
Harry
4 years ago

Hey Grey – love your stuff! Where would Kershaw rank if he played second base?

I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail
I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: hahahaha, awesome.

Chris
Chris
4 years ago

Elloy for Carlos Martinez. Dynasty

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
4 years ago

Great job!

Man, this SS list is pretty bleak in keeper leagues . . . top 4-5 are almost assuredly being kept in all leagues, then it seems like you’ve got a gamble no matter which way you go. I’m with you re: waiting for the mid-tier and picking a guy you happen to like.

Xander over Story? Times are tough! That said, makes me feel pretty good about the likely draft price of Story, who I’ll almost definitely be doubling down on.

Definitely seems like we’ll all be looking to take our MIs from the 2B side of things . . . wouldn’t mind a Story (SS) Odor (MI) pairing, balanced out by BA guys elsewhere.

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: Desperately trying to avoid a pun here, but Story seems to have a pretty clear story . . .

He had an awesome debut that was ended prematurely but a total fluke injury. He slumped, then readjusted several times that year as the league tried to beat him. Year 2, he tries to hit 50 homers and gets FB crazy then hurts his shoulder (probably doing so – i forgot what the real reason was). He comes back and has a great, underappreciated 2H . . . and that 2H didn’t even include any particularly hot streaks.

All Story needs is to pick up where he left off + not get injured. If COL lets him show off his easy 20+ steal speed more, he could be a huge value pick.

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: No f’ing way!

Jensen
Jensen
4 years ago

Trea Turner in the 1st round just looks more and more appealing by the day. Who knew that all these SS hitting like 3B would be such a downer. 100/30/85/.300? Snooze!

Earl
Earl
Reply to  Jensen
4 years ago

@Jensen: I am really trying to determine if Turner would be better pick in 1st round after say Harper and Stanton and perhaps ahead of Mookie and Machado??

Jensen
Jensen
Reply to  Earl
4 years ago

@Earl: If I have the 2nd overall pick, I think I take Turner. There are 5 SS I feel good about and Trea is way ahead of all of them.

Earl
Earl
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey: if u had the 2nd pick would you not take Goldy, Altuve or Arenado before Trea??

Would people value Trea more because of the speed or because of the state of the union of shortstop position. I think I am starting to agree with Mr. Grey that last year it seemed like everyone was valuing getting shortstop in 1st couple of rounds but maybe not so much this year.

Max Freeze
4 years ago

I agree with you Seager and Didi but I learned that you also hate my guy Semien! To me he has the safest floor of at least half the guys in front of him. f he hits at the top of the lineup he’s a poor man’s Bregman.

I also have to ask why the hate for Andrus, he’s got a spot near the top of a decent Texas lineup and a good park. Guys ahead of him like Anderson, Arcia, and Peraza are not guaranteed to hit high in the order. So again a solid floor. I know floors are boring but still

Big League Wood
Big League Wood
4 years ago

I feel ya, internet vibes not physically, on Seager.

In my NFBC draft I had both Dozier and Bergman as targets in Round 3 pick 43 and both were off the board.

I took Seager and have regretted it over the last 21 days as this draft is never going to end.

Thanks for the great work and time you put into this site.

The podcast is GREAT !!!

Gordon Shumwhey
Gordon Shumwhey
4 years ago

Hey whatever happened to that “anti GARLIC”dude who used to post first on everything. He seemed to travel to dangerous countries. Anyone know if he’s ok?

thatguy
thatguy
Reply to  Gordon Shumwhey
4 years ago

@Gordon Shumwhey: You might need to step in with the 5 page long Rambo quotes in his absence

Gordon Shumwhey
Gordon Shumwhey
Reply to  thatguy
4 years ago

@thatguy: LOL That’s exactly why I noticed he was missing!

Jose
Jose
4 years ago

Hi Grey.
Have you or maybe somebody from the Florida area heard any comments on the status of SP Jose De Leon, from the Tampa Bay Rays? The latest I can find is from 8/14/17 when he went on the DL for the last time.
I just got him thrown in on a deal and since he is about 25 still, I took a chance and see what happens.

Jose
Jose
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey:

My question is about his health. He was shutdown in August, because some arm problem? I am not sure. does anybody have any news about his rehab?

Jose
Jose
Reply to  Grey
4 years ago

@Grey:

I got him throwing in on a deal, so I can wait and see if he comes back healthy and competes for a spot, if not go to AAA and rebuild his rep.

BraveArnie
BraveArnie
4 years ago

Hi Grey,

thanks for the great advice!!
16 team ops, h2h, 5×5 with OPS and QS, keep 6 :
Rizzo 43
JUpton 26
Kimbrel 21
Paxton 19
Hosmer 15
Bregman 8
J Gray 8
Godley 5
B. Zimmer 3
S. Gray 2

Thanks!!

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  BraveArnie
4 years ago

@BraveArnie:

For me:

Rizzo 43
JUpton 26
Hosmer 15
Bregman 8
B. Zimmer 3
S. Gray 2

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Malicious Phenoms
4 years ago

@Malicious Phenoms: I like those too . . . maybe Godley over Sonny but it’s really close for me.

H
H
4 years ago

10 team Yahoo league 5X5 weekly H2H , I’m allowed to keep 4 players this season.

I plan on keeping Goldy, Harper and Stanton but I need help with the 4th, thank you.

Correa, Rizzo, JD Martinez, or Freeman?

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  H
4 years ago

@H:
Freeman

Mack
Mack
Reply to  H
4 years ago

@H:

If your league is so bad that you have all those players? Do you really need advice on one guy out of four stars?

bugs4000
bugs4000
4 years ago

Greetings Grey from the Cathay Pacific Lounge in London.

I never thought you’d have your next “Top” list up at 7am Londontime, but you just made my 5-hour layover that much less productive. Thanks for that. You play. To win. The game.

The locals here want to know when RB is going to dip its wicket into cricket?

brian
4 years ago

Really down on seager Grey? Kid was no mvp candidate in 16 as a rookie. Is it the elbow that worries u?

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  brian
4 years ago

@brian: He gave him better #’s than he’s yet to do.