We’ve done it! We’ve reached the end of the fantasy baseball hitter rankings. Give yourself a big round of applause. I’d clap for you, but I have carpal tunnel from actually ranking all the hitters and writing all their blurbs and calculating all of their projections and– What exactly did you do? Oh, yeah, you read them. No wonder why your hands can still clap. Okay, let’s get to it because this post is like 5,000 words long and I wrote it with my toes. C’mon, pinkie toe, push down the shift key! Here’s Steamer’s 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers. All projections listed are mine and I mention where I see tiers starting and stopping. Anyway, here’s the top 100 outfielders for 2019 fantasy baseball:
81. Austin Hays – This tier started in the top 80 outfielders for 2019 fantasy baseball and goes until Jones. I called this tier, “Hello, Sharks.” As for Hays, I open a book titled, “Spring Training Narratives,” turn to the first page and read, “Once upon a time, Billy Butler hit 47 homers in a Spring Training–” I closed the book, because that story sucks. Hays, however, does not seem to suck. At least as far as spring training narratives go. If you can remember all the way back to last year, he was a guy who was pegged as a potential breakout, and he’s still only 23 years old. This could finally be his year, unless the O’s really need to see Trumbo and Chris Davis combine for a negative OPS. 2019 Projections: 51/18/57/.251/4 in 424 ABs
82. Jose Martinez – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
83. Mac Williamson – Who’s the white right fielder who can’t field worth dick that’s a sex machine to all the fantasy baseball cliques? Mac Williamson? You’re damn right! 2019 Projections: 58/21/61/.232/2 in 478 ABs
84. Teoscar Hernandez – Each team should really have one fantasy baseball ‘pert on staff. Think about it, you have one guy telling management about how so-and-so can’t be called up due to Super Two, you have another guy telling management how so-and-so can’t field, or so-and-so can’t hit or so-and-so can’t get along with his teammates, then you have the fantasy guy telling them, “You can start Kendrys Morales at DH, but why not start Teoscar to see if you can get a 30/15/.240 guy for an endgame sleeper in fantasy leagues?” 2019 Projections: 41/18/49/.231/5 in 391 ABs
85. Billy McKinney – Not sure how many remember but I briefly discussed last season making McKinney a sleeper for 2019. I can talk myself into him hitting 25 homers and .255, and might highlight him again later in the preseason, but I can also see a scenario where he hits .215, 12 homers and loses at-bats by May. 2019 Projections: 54/19/31/.228/2 in 402 ABs
86. Franchy Cordero – Right now, I see Cordero on the strong side of a platoon. Notice how I didn’t say Franchy, because nothing that almost sounds like Frenchy can be on the strong side of any platoon. *bops toy hammer on the head of a trumpeter who is playing the French national anthem* Kidding, of course, but I did Google “Franchy platoon” and it asked, “Do you mean French military losses?” The Padres have themselves a pickle, because they really need to get 500+ ABs for Franchy and Margot, but one of them is going to come up way short, if not both. I’m guessing Margot is the better flyer, but it might be Franchy. And, for those masochists keeping track, that’s three Padres outfielders for one spot in this tier. 2019 Projections: 34/10/32/.228/8 in 241 ABs
87. Michael Taylor – You might remember Michael Taylor from “Michael Taylor sleeper from twenty-fourteen thru twenty seventeen.” Hold on while I write Michael Taylor for 2019 on a Viagra to see if I can get up the enthusiasm one more time. *grits teeth and struggles* I think I sharted. Kinda like Michael Taylor for the last four years! Alas, I can’t give up on him, and will be actively pursuing him later in drafts yet again. UPDATE: Will miss significant amount of time with a sprained hip and knee. Sounds like an 80-year-old who went too hard. I’ve officially removed him from my rankings. Like Plug One deciding on a Central Coast wine tour, you still gonna pass o’ Robles? Best not.
88. Tyler O’Neill – I could see this guy being ranked pretty much in the same spot next year if he doesn’t make the club or get enough at-bats. This is a bit more of a flyer than other guys in this tier because the Cardinals have so many options. The Cardinals, however, don’t seem that committed to Dexter Fowler. Though, I’m not entirely convinced O’Neill isn’t just Grichuk with a worst average. Call him, a Random Grichuk. 2019 Projections: 34/16/42/.238/3 in 288 ABs
89. Brandon Lowe – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
90. Jake Cave – I already gave you a Jake Cave sleeper. It was written in the voice of Tyler Austin’s father. Since I wrote it, the Twins got a little cluttered on playing time, so I’ve knocked Cave back a bit on ABs in his projections. 2019 Projections: 31/14/38/.259/2 in 276 ABs
91. Adam Jones – As of this writing, Jones is still a free agent. Dot dot dot. Still now. Dot dot dot. And now. *looks around, acting jittery* I really shouldn’t have had that 5-Hour Energy Drink, it’s not making it any easier waiting for Jones to sign. UPDATE: Signed with the Diamondbacks to play…*sees crowded outfield* …um… *looks up news about a DH being added to the NL* …hmm… *Googles if Adam Jones can pitch* I guess Jones is going to play mostly outfield and Ketel Marte pushes Nick Ahmed to the bench, or Jones just doesn’t play. 2019 Projections: 46/15/48/.278/3 in 324 ABs
92. Nick Markakis – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Soler. I call this tier, “Using a fully functioning parachute during independent wrestling matches.” By the tier name I mean, in independent wrestling matches, you often see a guy go to the top of their roof and jump off onto another guy. Well, if you’re drafting someone from this tier, you would climb up 15 feet to the top of your roof, jump and deploy a parachute, because you’re so scared. Let me be clear about this tier. If you’re in a deep league and at-bats are more important than upside, I’d move this tier above the previous tier. I.e., if options on waivers are terrible, I’d take someone like Markakis or Avisail over someone like Teoscar or Franchy. If I were in a mixed league where I could drop someone like Calhoun for someone like Kiermaier, I’d take the gamble on upside. Unlike earlier in outfielder tiers, there’s really no difference between the 77th outfielder off the board and the 110th outfielder, whereas the 12th outfielder and the 15th outfielder would have a huge difference. Okay, before PETA is called for me beating this dead horse…. As for Markakis, if you don’t know who Markakis is, I cry Native American-looking-at-pollution tears for you. 2019 Projections: 71/10/68/.277/1 in 605 ABs
93. Avisail Garcia – If I were in grad school (again), I’d do my thesis on why Rays fans are optimistic about everything and some fans (Mets) are pessimistic about everything. Likely has to do with expectations, but it’s crazy how everything the Rays do is met with optimism. “A glass completely empty can still make a cool monocle!” That’s a Rays fan, probably. Avisail in Tampa seems as great as Avisail anywhere else. His top season: 18/5/.330 with a nearly .400 BABIP. His most realistic season: 2019 Projections: 72/20/79/.257/3 in 478 ABs
94. Adam Eaton – I can’t believe people are still drafting Eaton in the top 60 outfielders. His best case scenario is 115/12/50/.300/12 in 650 ABs. That line is hideously yawnstipating. Tim Anderson yawns at that line and beats the power and speed in three months. And there’s only like a 5% chance of that line even happening! 2019 Projections: 69/6/31/.293/8 in 437 ABs
95. Adam Frazier – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
96. Kevin Kiermaier – After seeing my rankings, this is you, “You hate Kiermaier, don’t you?” *whistles suspiciously, slowly backs away, then runs around the corner* 2019 Projections: 55/12/31/.245/14 in 423 ABs
97. Adam Engel – Some guys I see penciled in as a starter and I laugh, not a good laugh, but a, “I have to laugh, otherwise I’d cry-snort.” 2019 Projections: 51/7/38/.221/20 in 446 ABs
98. Max Kepler – For those keeping track, in this tier is Kemp, Kevin, Kepler and Kole, which is your Hard K law firm. 2019 Projections: 62/22/71/.232/5 in 502 ABs
99. Kole Calhoun – A great name for a poker player in the Old West, but not a great name from the AL West. 2019 Projections: 56/19/64/.221/5 in 519 ABs
100. Steven Souza – I debated moving Souza to a different tier, because I could see myself drafting him, but it will be in deep leagues. In general, MLB teams that have punted for the season are not bad places to look in deep leagues. You know Souza is going to play every day and should be in a solid lineup spot. The elephant in the room with Souza playing is it’s all ‘if healthy.’ How that elephant got a Souza to play, I’ll never know. Old school schtick! UPDATE: Souza hurt himself on what looked like he was clotheslined by a ghost or stepped on a land mine. Not to ruin kayfabe, but there was no one near him. I’ve just removed him from my rankings, because, of course, he’s injured. 2019 Projections: 51/18/67/.224/6 in 445 ABs
100. Brett Gardner – Cashman said Gardner will have a chance to reclaim the starting left field job in spring training. Not a very choice scenario, i.e., he’s not Choicey Gardner. 2019 Projections: 81/10/39/.238/14 in 476 ABs
101. Yoenis Cespedes – He underwent surgery on both heels, and needs a few months into the season to heal, and, to confuse matters further, he bought a dog, who he would ask to heel, but the dog was wearing a little lab coat and stethoscope. 2019 Projections: 32/11/38/.271/1 in 261 ABs
102. Brian Anderson – Went over him in the top 20 3rd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
103. Jorge Soler – I could’ve also called this tier, “Safe deep league picks and bore the face off your head in shallow leagues.” I don’t mind these guys when you’re Cousteau deep in a 15-teamer and snorkeling down to guys who won’t be starting. I will call these guys, reefers. Ya know, deep guys by a coral reef when snorkeling–Is that not what a reefer is? As for Soler, want a good laugh? Look at preseason projections for him. Okay, maybe he can do those numbers, but he’s never hit more than 12 homers in a major league season and this is his 4th major league season. Granted, injuries and depth charts haven’t been his friend, but neither has been his hitting. 2019 Projections: 52/17/63/.240/5 in 414 ABs
104. Leonys Martin – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Calhoun. I call this tier, “Quote totally getting playing time unquote.” That tier name isn’t me saying the tier name to Siri and her spelling out punctuation. There’s air quotes around it. It’s not the most mocking use of air quotes. That’s when you’re at your uncle’s funeral and you hear, dearly “beloved.” Or when someone super sketchy hands you a glass of yellow liquid and says, try my “lemonade.” Or I’m a “doctor” and you’re going to be “fine.” The air quotes for this tier name mean there’s some talk of playing time for these guys, but I’m not sure how much I believe it. Or they just don’t have an everyday job. As for Leonys, he has a quote-unquote job. If I had a nickel every time I heard Leonys was about to get 550+ ABs, I’d have around fifteen cents. Sure, not much, but he’s turning 31 years old in March and has never recorded 550+ ABs. 2019 Projections: 54/16/61/.247/9 in 422 ABs
105. Josh Reddick – Maybe You say, “How bad could Reddick be in the Astros’ lineup?” Me to Maybe You, saying, “Look what he did last year.” 2019 Projections: 58/15/63/.247/5 in 410 ABs
106. Tyler Naquin – You know what I’m rightly deducing about the Indians team as I go over the rankings, they gotz some problems, yo. 2019 Projections: 51/15/58/.251/5 in 443 ABs
107. Raimel Tapia – He will be a top 40 outfielder or a useless outfielder that you can drop in all leagues. Very little in-between and there’s not a 50/50 chance of either. I’d say it’s about 95% chance of nothing, which is why he’s ranked here. Why the Rockies won’t play him is…Well…My over-the-internet friend, if I had a window into those reasons, I’d be a rich man and not collecting 1/18,0000th of a penny on seventeen ads per page. Click this page ten thousand times and I can pay my parking meter. Seriously, do it so I can park my car. I’m not joking, I’m driving around right now in circles. I also go over Tapia in the video at the top of the page. 2019 Projections: 36/6/46/.278/14 in 379 ABs
108. Matt Kemp – Here’s what I said this offseason, “Here’s where I’m at with this sexy brostein. I don’t want him to get 250 ABs, but I think he’s going to get at least 425 ABs if he’s healthy. Just facing lefties in a Jesse Winker platoon wouldn’t get Kemp anywhere near 400 ABs, however, that’s where my fear comes in. Since Kemp can face righties, he’s going to take at-bats from Winker and Scott Schebler. Trying to figure out Kemp’s spot in the lineup is going to be like when I have my dog do my taxes. Everything is chewed up and shat out. Until he learned Quicken! For a limited time only–My intern is telling me that sponsorship didn’t come through.” And that’s me quoting me! 2019 Projections: 43/15/42/.281 in 330 ABs
109. Scott Schebler – Imagine the cascade of eyeballs if I would’ve wrote the Schebler sleeper post I considered. He was a bit of a Turd Ferguson after his return from shoulder injury in the 2nd half, but with the entire offseason to heal, I expect him to be fine. Not eff-eye-en-e, like Jodeci’s singing it, because it is still Schebler. But if he’s healthy, which he should be, he could be one of the sneakiest 30/10 guys in baseball if he could get 550+ at-bats. Unfortch, the Reds said Senzel is their center fielder, so Schebler might only get 250 ABs. 2019 Projections: 31/14/26/.239/4 in 262 ABs
110. Adam Duvall – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
111. Blake Swihart – Went over him in the top 20 catchers for 2019 fantasy baseball.
112. Matt Adams – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
113. Steven Duggar – Bruce Bochy said he views Duggar as his starting center fielder. Since he’s a 25-year-old rookie, it would seem to fit the Giants’ modus operandi. That his offense is severely lacking only typifies the Giants that much more. 2019 Projections: 61/6/31/.231/16 in 487 ABs
114. Greg Allen – It’s a crime that Greg Allen, the bleh SAGNOF’er, seemingly has a full-time job out of Spring and Tapia, Winker, Franchy and others are twiddling their opposables. Thankfully, these Indians don’t own a casino, because they have gone Allen with a pair of sevens. If Allen does actually get 450+ at-bats, then it’s hard to argue with a ranking about twenty spots prior, but at some point Bradley Zimmer will return and Allen could be All-out. (By the way, if your league is shallow enough, there’s a case to be made for moving Allen up about 20 spots, because, once Zimmer returns, you can just drop Allen and pick up a guy off waivers. I, apparently, am not making that case.) 2019 Projections: 31/3/34/.261/20 in 354 ABs
115. Willie Calhoun – From ADP that I’ve seen I’m actually down on Willie, in the non-sexual way. People have a lot more faith in Calhoun than I do any more. At this point, when I see his initials WC, I think of Mrs. Van Daan using the bathroom. UPDATE: Was sent down to the minors because the Rangers have Forsythe and no foresight. Calhoun will be back at some point. Likely for another team. Or maybe after he plays overseas for a few years. “They don’t care about BABIP there, they’re only interested in bibimbap.” That’s Willie after a few years in Korea. 2019 Projections: 31/12/39/.241/2 in 302 ABs
116. Mark Trumbo – Crazy how old Trumbo is. Excuse me, crazy how old you think Trumbo is. He’s only 33. Though, until I see his birth certificate or Miguel Tejada vouches for Trumbo’s age, I won’t believe it. It’s also sweet symmetry that Trumbo and Souza are in the same tier. If only Jorge Triangle could get out of Triple-A. UPDATE: Will miss the first two months of the season with a knee injury. Hopefully, the universe leaves Souza alone, as one band-sounding name is enough. 2019 Projections: 41/18/50/.238 in 322 ABs
117. Nick Williams – This is how I look at the Phils’ left field spot if Bryce doesn’t sign there, “How much Red Bull has Gabe Kapler drank that day?” UPDATE: Bryce Harper killed Williams’s value, and he was removed from my top 500. Sorry, bubelehs.
118. Delino DeShields – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Thames. I call this tier, “Reply to spam emails as a Nigerian Prince.” By the tier name I mean, you can’t get rid of spam emails. You can try by replying to them as if you are a Nigerian Prince, but it’s not going to matter. Similar to these guys, you can try to get rid of them, but they will get at-bats no matter what you do. As for DeShizz, two years ago, he stole 29 bags. Last year in only two-thirds of a season, he stole 20 bags. Unfortch, he hits so many weak-sister ground balls, he might only hit .225. 2019 Projections: 34/2/28/.229/22 in 312 ABs
119. Austin Dean – As he says every time he enters a room, “It’s A.D. time, baby!” 2019 Projections: 48/14/55/.268/4 in 514 ABs
120. Cory Spangenberg – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
121. Dexter Fowler – Yes, it’s totally possible Dexter returns and goes 20/10/.270 as he becomes the Cards’ leadoff hitter. It’s also possible Souza goes 30/12/.250, someone hypnotizes Steve Pearce so he thinks every game is the World Series and someone will laugh when you walk into a Starbucks and order an Ariana Grande, but these are not most likely scenarios. 2019 Projections: 45/10/38/.251/5 in 309 ABs
122. Lonnie Chisenhall – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Chisenhall) signed with the Pirates. He hit one home run last year, and a high of 13 homers in the majors, which is to say I can’t wait to see who hits more homers on the Pirates: Chisenhall or Josh Bell?” And that’s me quoting me! 2019 Projections: 46/12/51/.272/2 in 377 ABs
123. Hernan Perez – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
124. Steve Pearce – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
125. Mark Canha – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
126. Austin Slater – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
127. Chris Owings – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
128. Scott Kingery – Went over him in the top 20 shortstops for 2019 fantasy baseball.
129. Chad Pinder – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
130. Nicky Delmonico – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
131. Eric Thames – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
132. Clint Frazier – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Cameron. I call this tier, “Powerball is up to four bajillion.” The guys in this tier are lottery tickets. Again, as with more realistic lottery tickets up above (like Brinson), if you need at-bats in a deep league, this tier might not be the way to go. Then again, maybe you want to win four bajillion. What, you don’t like bajillions? As for Frazier, he has a long way to go before being a career bust, but getting 15 starts a year is a solid way to get there. Like David Chang tells his sous chefs, the Yanks need to add some ginger. 2019 Projections: 26/8/31/.238/5 in 202 ABs
133. Dominic Smith – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
134. Dustin Fowler – Feels like a 20/20/.270 guy waiting for an opportunity. C’mon, A’s, play Fowler, or are you….chicken?! 2019 Projections: 24/9/29/.264/12 in 278 ABs
135. Kyle Tucker – Already gave you my Kyle Tucker fantasy. It was written on a cue card, but held upside down for the host. It was also written before the Brantley signing, so I did adjust my projections down a little bit. 2019 Projections: 32/10/38/.266/4 in 208 ABs
136. Alex Verdugo – If he gets more than 200 at-bats in the major leagues this year, it won’t be on the Dodgers. Even if there’s massive injuries in the Dodgers’ outfield, Verdugo won’t get that many at-bats this year with the Dodgers because it took Dave Roberts two years to figure out OBP was not a Canadian baseball card company, that’s O-Pee-Chee. 2019 Projections: 18/3/14/.271/2 in 154 ABs
137. Victor Victor Mesa – He has a brother Victor Mesa Jr. Think I speak for everyone when I say I’m glad his mom didn’t have another kid because Victor Victor Victor Mesa is reViculous. Either that, or maybe someone phoned up his mom and pops and told them you can Google baby names. Here’s what Prospect Mike said, “Mesa profiles as a better reality player than a fantasy one, but he’ll still land near the top of the Marlins’ minor league system. That should explain something about the state of the Marlins and why over five of the six million spent on these guys went to Victor2. He’s a defense-first, plus-speed outfielder with an average hit tool and below-average/average power. There’s nothing wrong with that, but it caps his ceiling at somewhere around an OF3/OF4 in standard leagues. He’ll likely be more useful in deeper formats or as an NL-only play. At 22, he won’t need much seasoning in the minors and should be in the mix in 2019. If I were ranking the Marlins today, he’d be in their top three, but that’s a system that doesn’t really have any Grade A prospects, so he’d still be in that B/B+ range. In fact, I’d still take Monte Harrison over him in a Marlins-only prospect draft. And I’d take anyone over Grey in a fantasy baseball ‘pert draft.” C’mon, man! So, I don’t A) No how much Victor2 Mesa will play this year. B) Is a little bleh for fantasy. C) There’s no C. 2019 Projections: 34/2/21/.281/15 in 267 ABs
138. Yairo Munoz – Went over him in the top 20 2nd basemen for 2019 fantasy baseball.
139. Daz Cameron – Here’s what Prospect Mike said, “He’s looking more like an 8-12 homer/15-20 steal profile with an average that won’t make you cry (think .260-.275). He did reach Triple-A in 2018, and that’s where he’ll start the coming season. Injuries to Gerber or Jones might open the door early, but most likely he’s a late 2019 arrival. What’s the opposite of arrival? That’s what I want for Grey.” Not cool! 2019 Projections: 22/3/19/.255/8 in 197 ABs
140. JaCoby Jones – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until the end of the list. I call this tier, “Happy Hour rebranded as Sad Hour.” By the tier name I mean, these guys will be like waking up with a hangover and a case of the Mondays. Here’s you at Sad Hour, “Give me a ‘Daiquireason for Living’ and a ‘CryPA.'” Bartender, “You’re in luck, we’re having a 1 for 2 special.” As for Jacoby, come on, Tigers, bring up Daz Cameron or One Victor Reyes or someone. Anyone! 2019 Projections: 43/10/31/.211/12 in 378 ABs
141. Nick Martini – “What can I get you for Sad Hour?” “I’ll take a Nick Martini.” 2019 Projections: 34/4/22/.261/4 in 303 ABs
142. Jordan Luplow – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Luplow) was traded to the Indians. Jordan Luplow sounds like a worried Astro from The Jetsons watching the 1990s Knicks vs Bulls when pronounced in Japan.” And that’s me quoting me! 2019 Projections: 31/12/28/.258/4 in 343 ABs
143. Jason Heyward – I bet there will be at least one person in every league that is interested in the ‘Heyward as bounce back’ narrative. That narrative, by the way, is a pop-up book where hot pokers pop-up and stick you in the eye. 2019 Projections: 51/10/48/.262/2 in 422 ABs
144. Alex Gordon – When I look at the Royals’ outfield of Billy Hamilton, Gordon, Brian Goodwin/Chris Owings/Brett Phillips, I can only think about looking at the Stream-o-Nator to see who’s facing them. 2019 Projections: 54/14/57/.240/10 in 515 ABs
145. Albert Almora – He just had a season of 152 games, 444 at-bats and he hit five homers and stole one base. I will now cackle myself into the corner of my room until I’m crying hysterically and tell anyone who happens upon me I was watching This Is Us. 2019 Projections: 37/3/21/.291/2 in 347 ABs
146. Mikie Mahtook – I Mahtook this tier for actual major leaguers. My bad. 2019 Projections: 41/16/48/.223/5 in 414 ABs
147. Keon Broxton – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Broxton was) traded to the Mets. Love it! What’s going on, I’m enjoying the moves the Mets are making this year. Is something wrong with me? Is new Mets’ GM Brody Von Trapp a genius? Concidence The Sound of Music anagrams to Mets Undo, Sic of Uh… Also, I love the Brewers trading away pieces that I want to get playing time. Maybe they can talk some sense into the Rockies about trading all of their buried players. For now, Broxton is merely a backup to Lagares and Yoenis will return at some point, but maybe Broxton weasels his way into 400+ ABs.” And that’s me quoting me! 2019 Projections: 27/9/32/.218/15 in 283 ABs
148. Juan Lagares – Yoenis will return at some point and I want Broxton to play over Lagares, but who knows, and, better yet, who cares besides CBS. 2019 Projections: 34/6/25/.264/9 in 254 ABs
149. Ben Gamel – I wrote a Ben Gamel sleeper post last year. Okay, even I find that hilarious. I should have a three Ben Gamels on a shirt like Dwight’s three wolves shirt. 2019 Projections: 26/5/24/.277/4 in 224 ABs
150. Bradley Zimmer – Out with surgery until at least May/June, but could be closer to July/August. When he returns, he will be chasing his 12th ‘post’ on post-post-post-post-post-post-post-post-post-post-post-hype top prospect. 2019 Projections: 21/6/27/.217/11 in 218 ABs
151. Chris Shaw – He could be the left field starter in San Francisco. The one big positive is you can draft him at in-person drafts, then email your league when you get home, “I see Chris Shaw on my team, but there must be some kind of misunderstanding I bought Kershaw for $1.” 2019 Projections: 33/11/38/.241 in 278 ABs
152. Jarrod Dyson – He’s like an O. Henry story come to life. You can get 20 steals, but you get it from Jarrod Dyson for 300 ABs. 2019 Projections: 27/1/17/.242/21 in 317 ABs
153. D.J. Stewart – The Orioles’ right field platoon is D.J. Stewart/Richie Martin which sounds like an off-brand 90’s concert. 2019 Projections: 39/14/44/.252/7 in 323 ABs
154. Jon Jay – Here’s what I said when he signed, “‘The Federalist goes with the White Sox’ sounds like he was at the pool with Benjamin Franklin and they were just getting redressed after Ben convinced him to ‘touch his electrical rod.’ If this signing takes one single at-bat away from Nicky Delmonico, I will scream. If it takes an at-bat away from Eloy, I will jump out of a 1st-floor window into rose bushes.” And that’s me quoting me! 2019 Projections: 42/2/28/.271/6 in 346 ABs
155. Magneuris Sierra – More like Msagnofeuris Sierra. 2019 Projections: 24/1/21/.246/12 in 205 ABs
156. Brian Goodwin – Just one part of the Royals’ outfield crapfecta. 2019 Projections: 41/12/48/.228/4 in 309 ABs
Searched Domingo Santana and it linked here… he is in the links but not in the article. Just a heads up.
Head 2 head league. 10 player keeper.
Trade Albies or Moncada for Haniger?
Other keeper options-
Gray, i was just offered haniger price for albies. Is this a deal to take? who would i drop? mazara? is this worth it?
Care to share any advice on lineup construction? I am in a simulation league where this years outcomes are simulated based on last years performance/stats. So if a guy had a good AVG last year (Zobrist) he’s a good “move a guy from 1st to 3rd” type player in a lineup.
I am keeping the following:
For a lineup I am thinking something like:
I know this is different from the usual sphere you answer questions on. Any thoughts you have are appreciated!
You look low in power and RBIs
The Duggar kids are starting to get old enough for the show. The MLB show, not the show they used to be on. That’s good to see.
This is a “who’s who” list for all of the guys that I’ve been burnt by in the past. The “K” Lawfirm, Trumbo (I only see this as Trump Jumbo now…), Soler Flares (Jorge always has a few weeks of success followed by a whole putting the “Suc” in Success), Alex Gordon (If only OFA’s were worth more than highlights), Avi Garcia (Prince Fielder’s wife wasn’t the worst hitting of his career), ugh… dreams of the past are still nightmares today.
This tier is the tier of .220 average hitters apparently. It’s actually a microcosm of the league today. Platoony tunes that are all launch angle and barrell and low OBP. These kind of numbers are going to be HAGNOFs soon. Homers ain’t got no face. You get 15 HRs from anywhere nowadays.
Prince Fielder’s wife is getting a lot of play today in the comments… Agreed on HAGNOFs, lots of 15 HRs, not a lot of value
I owned more of these dumpster fires in shallower leagues than I should have at some point last year.
It always seems like there’s a few guys from 80-100 and a few from 100-120 that jump into the top 40
Guys to watch –
Mac Williamson has easy 30 HR power. Even in Oracle/ATT whatever they are calling it. Depends on two things – His head and them signing a guy like Adam Jones to eat playing time up. If they don’t sign anyone and he has inside track this good be a great late deep league pickup. If it all turns out I see 77/31/89/.259/2 in 544 AB
Steven Souza is one year removed from a 30/15 season, and is entering the season at 29 years of age. Sounds like one last great year coming before his dirty 30s. He should have a full time job in AZ in a great park, and I would guess has a chance to hit cleanup.
67/26/82/.234/12 in 507 ABs
It’s A.D. Time Baby! – Nah need to come up with something new. Not really sure how the Marlins are going to split up PT with AD and LB and the other clowns competing, but AD has shown some power and is going to get his first full taste of MLB At Bats. Minor league numbers show once he settles in he should hit for good average and maybe develop 20 HR power. Will that be this yea, who knows. 55/18/63/.288/5 in 488 ABs
re: AD — I don’t know how much I trust anything on the Marlins
Oh, and I do like Souza, but he never stays healthy…. And maybe on Mac…
@Grey: I trust they lose 100 games, and Peter O’Brien flirts with a .200 30 HR season.
Actually the guy I kinda trust is Trevor Richards. Metrics say Walk rate should come back to his minor league levels and K rate is sexy. For sure see a leap ahead this year, 180K and sub 3.50 ERA is attainable. – But that’s a discussion for next week.
I don’t mind Urena either… I should say, hitting-wise, I have no faith in them
@Grey: When they are debating between JT Riddle and Miguel Rojas as their starting Shortstop? Come on, how can you not have faith.
Look at Yadiel Rivera’s stats from last year, they are hilarious
@Grey: Haha. But look at how low his BABIP was at .258. And what an excellent walk rate at 11.9%. Guy knows how to take a pitch.
Bounceback is coming.
Just needs to stay away from Prince Fielder’s wife, as does everyone, including Prince Fielder
@Grey: Ha! So sad that Avasail had to ruin the glorious Fielder and wife cooking show “Fielder’s choice” for the rest of the world. Vegan Recipes to make you fat could have gone a long way.
Ooh…Vegan recipes to make you fat is an untapped niche!
@Grey: BOOM! Mic drop from Grey…
…and I dropped it right on my foot!
Hey Grey…love your stuff……standard roto 22 team league
offered 39$ Bregman and 1$ Paddack for 18$ Mikolas
have to admit elbow injury to Bregman is a concern
what do you think
Thanks! 22 teams? I would not make that deal
Hey Grey, my league is doing a different format this year. The draft is 10 person auction league 6×6 H2H Categories with the addition of OBP and Holds. We also are adding 4 keepers. What strategy would you take in the draft for keepers and how much would you pay? Would you go heavy on pitching or a target a specific player/position?
Huge fan of all your stuff. Looking for another League Title thanks to you!
Did not see rankings for; Michael Brantley, Jo Adell, or Nelson Cruz. Guessing Cruz is because of position eligibility, and we will see him in your Top 100 hitters, but what about the others?
Cruz will be ranked in top 500, he is a DH
Brantley was ranked
Adell was not
Hill,Quintana or Gausman as 4th SP?
What’s up Grey??
Back again for another season of fun, wanted to throw some shit at you and see what sticks:
I have Machado at SS and Correa at MI, trying to dump Corey Seager while people think he will be healthy LMAO
In a vacuum, do you like Seager for Odubel Herrera, Jordan Hicks and Daniel Palka? Tried to get Conforto and Hicks but got shot down……
That is not a good trade
@Grey: if i can get him to do Conforto and Hicks do you like that better or still a pass?
More preguntas than prose today, my man:
Jose Martinez: is he top 40 OF on a different team???
Doesn’t Teoscar Hernandez make you think of Christian Villanueva. They both had scorching Aprils! SCORCHING. Teoscar with a 1.054 OPS to close the month, then pitching figured him out; Villanueva with a 1.103 OPS to close the month AND 15 HR in april-may. Teoscar cratered after a hot start and Villanueva was sold to Japan. Similar ages, 26-27 (latino ages); I’m shocked the Padres of all teams gave up on Villanueva. I’m interested to see if Teoscar can rebound.
You know they say big women are slumpbusters, I think in Avisail Garcia’s case, Prince Fielder’s wife was a careerbuster! (Not a question, just an observation.). You feel me? (Made it a question. Brilliant!)
But we’re beyond the “CRAP” tiers, these are more of the “GIGGLE” tiers. Like, “remember when (insert name) had that career season and the next year I drafted him too high and he ruined my season?! Heehee, good times”. I feel like this tier is missing Carlos Gomez…
Why does it feel like I will draft Souza in a late round and immediately drop him for an Adam Ottovino type MR?
Quick, who’s older: Jacoby Ellsbury or Brett Gardner?
These are deep league flyers and almost all of them have PT issues. There’s a lot of potential here, and a lot of it seems to be perpetual potential like Jorge Soler. And a lot of perpetually injured guys like Steven Souza *cough* malingerer! *cough*.
Also, you need to bury Mikie Mahtook further down this list! Birthname: Michael. “I shall spell my name, ‘Mikie’.” No! Just NO! He’s DFA by May or my name isn’t Bytter Bierface.
Yes on Jo-Ma, maybe top 50 since little speed and no great power
Avisail Garcia got a taste of Prince Fielder’s wife and was unable to recover, this is true. We should send Prince Fielder’s wife to visit players we don’t like… Yo, Addison Russell, have you met Prince Fielder’s wife?
Imagine at a Starbucks, “It’s Mikie — I.E.” Looks all around.
@Grey: I’m surprised they couldn’t find a taker for JoMa, perfect fit for the AL, and turning 31 this year! Strange.
Yes, Gardner is older by a month. Good call. Surprising to me. We’ll see what happens in ST with that group of OF.
Just, facepalm emoji. Why? And I’m sure he spells it out to people, you’re right. Must be a cajun thing, he’s from Lafayette, Louisiana.
Excellent work on the rankings!
I’m sick of Cajun being an excuse for everything!
Not sexy names I know but, Dynasty OBP league.
Who you taking? For this year and next!
JP. Crawford or S.Castro?
Neither is not an option, Hahahaha
But thanks needed a tie breaker.
You the man! G
How are we feeling about a Conforto for Treinan trade? 12 team 6×6 OPS and QS
Don’t like it
@Grey: Do you like the Conforto side or Treinan side? I wasn’t specific earlier.
@Grey: Thanks. Not to overload you with trades but also got offered Albies $7, Flaherty $2, Bichette Free Keeper, MacKenzie Gore Free Keeper for Vlad Free Keeper.
I currently plan on keeping Gallo $25, Bregman $28, Benintendi $19, M Chapman $8, Castellanos $11, Snell $6, Clevinger $9, Glasnow $3, Treinan $3.
If I make the Conforto deal for Treinan I would keep Conforto $8.
Dollar values in the league are inflated so those $$$ are good value for each guy. I can keep 9 plus 3 minor leaguers. Getting Albies and Flaherty would change the list above and would probably not keep Chapman and Glasnow. I don’t really want to trade Vlad but I feel like the offer is a good haul.
Take a walk on the beach and think about times you and Vlad can share for 15 years, then revisit…
@Grey: We are currently walking towards the sunrise and I am hopeful to not see a sunset for a very long time.
Haha, now you’re thinking
I’m trying your vaping thing….again! Shizzz has definitely changed for the better
What mod you got?
Do they still call them mods?
@Grey: I got a few to have no excuses. I have a Nunchaku Uwell which is a normal mod (single battery) and I got a Smok Nord which is awesome because you can use regular juice or the nic salts and its small. Get good clouds out of the regular coil. Its a little bigger than a lighter , holds a good charge, coil lasted over two weeks, and they are cheap, like 40 bucks
Nunchaku Uwell looks small for you…
I saw those Smok Nords at the store and I was wondering about them… You have to manually change coil or chuck the whole unit and buy a new one after two weeks?
@Grey: You just buy coils to change out. Waiting for the tank kit to come out where you can buy extra tanks for them. Which will be awesome.
I don’t care for the box mods with all those batteries. Never have. I use the Uwell at home and take the smok when I’m mobile
Ah, nice, maybe I’ll go to vape shop and get one of them… I like the idea of carrying that around when I go out vs this massive thing I have that I can’t fit anywhere and is heavy…
@Grey: And it seems like it uses less juice. I figured for 40 bucks its worth a shot. My buddy at the vape store said it takes a little longer for the coil to saturate. One thing is you need to shut it off when you put it in your pocket because of the raised button. Thats my only issue
You’ve got me excited to try this, it is such a PITA to carry around my mod now
@Grey: I’m loving it so much I’m going to buy a second one. They have this gold one that is super obnoxious that I have to have
That sounds like something I need too… Having a 2nd one does feel totally unnecessary, which is why I like how you’re thinking! You should watch The Last Kingdom, it’s a Grimey special
I’ve read that its a good watch and I added it to my list a few days ago.
I want all options available. I’ve smoked like 6 cigarettes in the past week so that’s a good thing.
Can’t believe you ever smoke cigs again after vaping… It’s kinda crazy to me, but I was under cigarettes’ pull (pun) for a long time too…
Just looking at the overall Y12 auction values. I know it’s not ADP, but am I really able to get Kershaw, Syndergaard and Strasburg without touching my 1st four picks? That has me jazzed… jizzed?
Not jizzed, sir… Not that!
Looks like the Top 500 is scheduled for next Thursday perhaps? Will be scheduling an NFBC draft that will start on Friday :)
Haha, nah, at least ten days after that
NOOOOOO Not the sad emoji!
@Grey: Wait are we saying that your Top 100/500 Overall is not dropping the first week of February, like last year? I saw that your Top 10 through Top 100 SPs and Top DH articles came out right after finishing OFs… then then the Top 100/500 followed right after that.
Or that Razzball NFBC leagues aren’t gonna be around until well into Feb.
Top 100 comes day after top 100 SPs, whatever day that is… Top 500 comes day after that…Assuming neither falls on weekend…
@Grey: Coolio. Assuming no DH article… this makes for Top 100 Next weds. Top 500 next Thursday. Sweet.
Yup, that sounds about right… I’m not going to make people suffer thru a DH post
@knucks: I’m with you Knucks! …except I’d rather not go against fellow razzballers! (<—NOT Mom's term)
Don’t steal my mom’s terms!
I think Kepler has some major potential this season. He raised his BB%, lowered his K%, and raised his exit velo on FB/LD and avg flyball distance. Seems like he made serious adjustments to his swing which hopefully carries over. Will never be a threat on the basepaths tho.
Looking foward to the Pitcher rankings man
@Skip Mcgillicuddy: Maybe on Kepler, I did like him a lot 2 years ago, so there was something there at one point
@Skip Mcgillicuddy: Steamer and all the other projections have him as a .250 guy which makes sense considering his BABIP was insanely low. His contact % was pretty high for him but then the question becomes what kind of contact was he making ( I looked and it’s FB) but with that he had a 9.9 HR/FB which is stupid low and way below league average. Everything could blow the right way and he gets the 28 bombs and hits .250.
There’s certain players I wish were on different teams and one of them is Clint Frazier. We don’t even really know if he’s good or not and probably won’t as long as he’s on the yankees.
@Crime Dog: I know, plus he looks like Gritty’s human incarnate
Interesting ranking on M Williamson given he went on the concussion DL twice last season and was done by August. No guarantee he’s back at the MLB level at all. I’ll take the under on those projections. Also, Lewis Brinson at #81? Maybe re-read what you said about Buxton? Been burned by both those guys.
@Will: That’s around 400 overall, and not drafted outside of a 15-team league, so I’m fine with the projections on them
Just saw the news that Peacock might get starting gig based on spring training . . . seems like something to jump on (at the right price) if it happens. What do you think?
@Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Did the Astros already put a dagger in everyone talking about Josh James? Astros are going to re-sign Keuchel any day now
@Grey: Josh James is still there. Frambler is the competition for #5. Or technically, Josh, Frambler, Peacock, are competing for 4/5. Agree that Peacock is out 100% is Dallas comes back.
I like all of them, tbh…But the Astros don’t feel like a franchise that is going to give Josh James 150+ IP… Maybe (hopefully) I’m wrong
So are we counting McHugh already guaranteed a rotation spot?
He does as of right now
I miss the days of Dominic Brown in the top 157. I wonder if he’s still in the BSOHL.
@Sweatpants Nation: I miss Ben Revere and Denard span in the top 157. Funny how they both disappeared at the same time
@Fungazi 2.0: Funny? Or…too much of a coincidence?!
@Sweatpants Nation: Haha, Tehol’s got dibs on Domonic Brown
@Grey: Mexican league fantasy baseballers love him! Haha
Just drafted him there with Lastings Milledge
Well, good read. You wonder aloud why someone would draft Eaton in top 60. I did and make no apologies, but will offer you an explanation to contemplate. Sure he may get injured and miss time again, but for me its about him being part of a strategy, and I don’t care that much about year end stats for every player. For me, I drafted Eaton 200 because when he is in lineup he produces a 162 game pace of 100 runs scored and 15 SB with a near 300 BA. How many players do that? If he is injured I have deep replacements and you’ve noted OF is the deepest mine for sleepers, and at least he goes on the DL when hurt rather than try and play through it and screw up numbers. I have a lot more tolerance for injured players in a DC with 50 man rosters.
That being said, I think any strategic drafter needs to decide what approach they are taking related not so much to specific players but to the categories themselves. What is your path to 120 points, usually a winning number and my goal, in a 5×5 league? I only play 15 teamers. You can try to average 4th place in every category, get first in half while 7th or 8th in the other half, or some combo of that. I happen to take different strategies each year based on a variety of factors. But the target is always stat categories, players are only the means to achieving that. A good chunk, p-erhaps a majority, of managers seem to focus on the “sexy” cats of HR, SB, K’s. I may too sometimes, but R and BA are often bypassed or dismissed, and SB’s are often gained by a couple of high SB players.
This year, in DC at least, I have focused more on getting SB’s out of every position, not drafting any potential SB leaders, getting a handful of high R, high contact/AVG type guys. You seem to less attracted to guys who may give you 10-15 HRs and SBs but also possibly hit .290 and score 95-100 runs (Pham, Eaton). In my view value is relative to strategy. I want to win R and be top 3 in SB and BA, be top 5 homers, top 7 RBI. If I get 60 points from my bats I’m halfway to victory or at least placing top 3 and score some $$$.
Anyway, thats my explanation of drafting Pham AND Eaton in both my DC’s. Deal with it, Grey! ;-)
@Dave D: That’s fair on Eaton, I still wouldn’t draft him, but I get it, same as Daniel Murphy drafters
I prefer drafting 10-15 SBs from a bunch of guys, but am less interested in .290 and runs…
I was talking with Rudy about his 15-team LABR draft, and saying I don’t mind going for 4th best pitching ratios… I think in a 15-teamer, trying to be the best in everything is a mistake… Trying to be the best hitting and middle of the road pitching that could surprise is solid avenue for success… Eaton, specifically, does not feel like a guy on many championship teams, but that’s anecdotal and he’s only one player, of course, he’ll be on winning teams…
I actually have never drafted Eaton or Pham before this year. Go figure. But, yeah, a strategy may or may not be successful in one league that is in another. The other teams strategies can make a difference for roto league standings for sure. But we definitely agree on the 4th place thing. If you avearge getting 4th in every category you’re going to win most 15 team leagues, Eaton or Upton, Happ or Happ.
I like Happ and Happ! JA and Ian
“I bet there will be at least one person in every league that is interested in the ‘Heyward as bounce back’ narrative. ”
Haha That guy also inevitably fills his whole team up with “bounce back” guys, and when one hits he’s completely insufferable about it. In my league, “that guy” had Lincecum even after he failed to sign anywhere and was crowing about how some team was going to get a steal.
Question re My Name is Yoenis — I’ve got no clue how recovery from heel injuries goes. In dynasty, is he worth a late round pickup (and DL stash) or are we thinking this is one of those injuries he may never recover fully from? I guess that’s a long winded way of asking if your magic ball sees into 2020 at all? (Is Trump still president?)
@Gonzo_The_Great: That person grabbed Samardzija last year and stashed him
Yoenis should be a 25/.275 hitter again in 2020, but his days of being a top OF seem gone forever
I’m in Roto, 5×5 AL only league: 8 keepers
When I look at this pre season, it appears to me there’s just a ton of OF comparably and lots of $1 players with huge potential, such as Kyle Tucker, Dustin Fowler, et al
What are your thoughts as my auction approaches: generally keep IF and wait for auction to fill OF?
@Bbboston: Wait for the last OF, but don’t wait on all of them, unless it’s a one outfielder league
Great job as always sir. Question, 157 OF’s ranked and Brantley not anywhere to be seen? Por que?
@Hip hop panda:
Brantley is at #60. Don’t ever doubt Grey’s excellency rather question yours! LOL
@Grey the Almighty: hahaha. Totally missed em. My bad.
@Grey the Almighty: Thank you!
@Hip hop panda: Brantley is ranked #60. He’s the last player in the top 60 outfielders post.
@Jr: Yes, Jr.
@Hip hop panda: You’ve been outed as a skimmer, gotta do 6 laps
So what # is harper going to wear in Philly, he can’t have Halladay’s? Also, Citizen Bank is probably good for 8 more HR’s for Harper you going move him into the top 10 when Phillies sign him today? Sorry getting obsessed the Phils need a big move
@LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood: #1, clown question bruh
So what? And what makes you think i care about your opinion, Bra?
Besides, LennyDykstraIsJustMisUnderstood anyhow.
@LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood: Nick Foles just sold his house to Bryce!
Bryce has big shoes, or something to fill, if he takes over for BDN…
Unfortunately, I think Eli is gone and Foles signs with the GIants
Bryce just announced he’s going to be roomies with Gritty, wow!
Ha…..It makes sense Gritty looks at lot like Jayson Werth……Bryce wil be right at home
Gritty got top bunk too
Who is Machado going to bunk with?
Maikel, for sure
Grey where do the utility only guys (Ohtani, Cruz, Choi,etc) fit in among these hitters. If you have them listed somewhere else, my apologies.
@Tom: In the top 100/500. Although in years past Grey has done DH rankings.
@Sweatpants Nation: I’m not gonna make everyone suffer through DH rankings
@Tom: They will be ranked in the top 100 and top 500 which will come next week
DeShizz made the top 100 post! (of OF only) Can we read into that? Is this the coveted 30/90 year??? #sleeper #TINSTADD
On May 10, 2018 you said, “0-for-1, 2 runs and his 7th steal, but even more impressively, he walked four times yesterday, upping his OBP to .381. Maybe this is finally the DeShizz we’ve (me) been dreaming about that has felt like one long nightmare.” And that’s me quoting you. Nightmare I ask you? How does it feel to be eating your own words now that DeShizz cracked the Top 100 post? (of OF only)
Victory is Deshizz
@thatguy: TISATADD! This is such a thing as Delino DeShizz…. DeShizz is my one true nightmare
@Grey: the SECOND we forgo Deshizz is when he will make us fall in love again. AKA why I will probably draft him as my last $0 waiver guy even though I’m sure he’ll find a way to hurt me again!
Better than spending $19 on him like I did last year (12 team $260 budget keeper league)
Haha, $19? Woof… I feel I might’ve had a hand in that, and I am sorry
@Grey: Woof indeed. My own fault for putting all of my SB hopes and dreams in 1 guy (always have an alternative!). Fortunately, still won that league despite Deshizz and a $20 Luis Castillo and $14 Robbie Ray (would it surprise you that none of those guys were still on my team by summer?).
The Deshizz thing was poor luck on my part, as our draft was literally the day after what’s his face said that Deshizz will lead off + that he expects a floor of 40 SB and a ceiling of whatever his heart desires.
Hey, I like Castillo again if it helps! (It prolly doesn’t)
I forgot that spring training nonsense about Delino hitting leadoff…
@Grey: me too! maybe i can get him for a lot cheaper this year . . .
Thanks for the continued excellent work! I take it from your rankings that Laureano>Brinson in a H2H dynasty. I need to sell one. What SPs do you think might be a good target for a Brinson/Toussaint package? Thanks in advance.
@The Eye of Horus: I like Laureano better for right now, maybe that changes in the future… Touki/Brinson? Hmm…Maybe a #2?