Don’t feel good about this fantasy baseball rookie post at all, tee bee aitch.  The Astros seem 100% in win now mode, or winnow mode if you’re talking about winnowing out rookies.  Tyler White seemed all ready to go once he was called up this year, and saw playing time, but hopefully that is not portending anything for Kyle Tucker, because White took six years in the minors and was 27 years old.  Let’s not forget other Astros rookies who seemed all but destined for playing time in the last two years. Two that come to mind:  Derek Fisher and A.J. Reed.  Through a personal connection (and most definitely not stalking), Rudy was at a holiday party with Jeff Luhnow and was told that Reed had the lead for the starting 1st base job — that was two years ago!  Reed did himself no favors to get that starting job, but how quickly did the Astros just go right back to a Marwin/Gattis/Reddick platoon?  Quicker than you can call that platoon, Marwin Gatdick, and wonder how he gets through TSA.  “Excuse me, sir, are you planning on doing a stickup or do you Gatdick?”  Unlike my Victor Robles fantasy, I don’t think I can just ignore the possibility that Tucker never sees real playing time this year.  Wow, this is getting me so amped up in the reverse direction.  Okay, before you abandon ship and go back to reading recaps of Young Sheldon, Marwin’s about to walk and there’s really no one worthwhile blocking Tucker, so &2b[1y29–Sorry, was crossing fingers.  Anyway, what can we expect from Kyle Tucker for 2019 fantasy baseball?

In Triple-A, Kyle Tucker went 24/20 and .332/.400/.590.  Triple-A said afterwards, “Hey, Tucker, you’re our daddy.”  Which sounds like a compliment, but then Tucker leaves Triple-A for the majors and now has to provide alimony.  In the PBS documentary about Ted Williams, Kyle Tucker stood in for Ted Williams.  No presh.  According to the director of the one hundred cuts Tucker took, he “smacked the shit out of the ball” ninety-eight times.  Too bad, the director was Werner Herzog and Kyle Tucker was eaten by a bear.  Werner Herzog’s narration, “The game of baseball echoes the loneliness of life when a baserunner is stranded on 2nd base and there’s no one to talk to, except your enemy and the arbiter of truth, the umpire.”  Here’s Tucker’s swing (it’s a home run):

Meh. I guess it’s pretty.  Looks kinda stiff to me and vulnerable to off-speed stuff, but I stopped being a scout when I quit chew and wearing a lanyard necklace holding my keys.  “Yo, you a scout or a PE teacher?  Because you can’t be anything else.”  That’s me asking anyone I see with a lanyard necklace holding keys.  If they have a whistle, forget it!  Tucker has that early Hunter Pence-type gazelle speed without throwing like a d’oh.  What, does every white guy look the same to me?  Yes, actually, they do.  I don’t see Tucker turning on the burners and putting up a 25+ steal season in the majors.  Not sure I even believe 15+ steals, but he could see it (if he were on another team or Craig Counsell gets traded to the Astros).  The best scenario to me looks like Alex Bregman (which is a damn good scenario), and the worst case scenario is the first seventy years of Aaron Hicks’ career before this past year.  Think 17/15/.265 to 30/20/.305.  Wide range of possibilities there, but, between the Astros needing to have their arms twisted to play rookies, Tucker’s outfield eligibility and lack of huge upside in any category for 2019, I’m likely not going to be owning him, at least out of drafts in March.  For 2019, I’ll give him the projections of 42/12/48/.274/8 in 308 ABs, but there’s a wide range of possibilities here for his stats and playing time.

  1. Succos Baseball says:
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    Grey,

    Thinking about taking over a NL only Dynasty team, roto scoring OBP instead of AVG, 3 HLD = 1 SV. $300 budget before the season, $415 salary in season, 2 C. First time potentially doing a NL-only league, was hoping you could give your thoughts on the roster.

    Alex Avila – 8
    Yadier Molina – 15
    Anthony Rizzo – 37
    Asdrubel Cabrera – 17
    Max Mancy – 4
    Miguel Rojas – 3
    Peter Alonso – 2
    Travis Shaw – 20
    Jason Heyward – 21
    Hunter Pence – 9
    Scott Schebler – 9
    Magnerius Sierra – 5
    Raimel Tapia – 3
    Wilson Ramos – 13
    Tyler Stephenson – 1
    Justin Bour – 1
    Tyler Nevin – 1
    Max Schrock – 2
    Adam Haseley – 3
    Taylor Trammel – 2
    Tyler Anderson – 6
    Chad Bettis – 3
    John Gant – 4
    Austin Gomber – 4
    Mark Melancon – 17
    Joe Musgrove – 13
    Clayton Richard – 4
    Dan Straily – 9
    Andrew Suarez – 5
    Ty Blach – 7
    Seth Elledge – 2
    Jeremy Hellickson – 3
    Jimmy Herget – 2
    Greg Holland – 9
    Cole Irvin – 2
    Nick Neidert – 1
    David Peterson – 1
    Trevor Rogers – 1
    Ranger Suarez – 2
    Michael Wacha – 14

    Feels like some decent hitting prospects to keep, but the pitching is weak for keepers. First year players are entering the draft pool this year.

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Succos Baseball: How many teams could help — you can keep as few and as many as you like?

      • Succos Baseball says:
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        @Grey:

        12 teams, can keep as many/as few as I want as long as it’s below $300 budget by March 1. Max roster of 40, min roster of 23

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Succos Baseball: That is a deep league, and your team appears to be missing a ton… Luckily, in a deep league you can get right back in it by hitting on a few key guys like Muncy… You need about 5-7 more guys like that tho… Heyward at 21 is terrible and Melancon isn’t much better, but those are merely two that stand out

          • Succos Baseball says:
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            @Grey: Thanks, Grey. The commish said the old owner of this team hasn’t paid too much attention to it the past couple of seasons and it shows.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, it does, but you can course correct with a few solid picks

  2. Dave D says:
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    Its no wonder the previous manager abandoned the team. Hopefully he started a new hobby where he has better ability.

  3. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!!!

    Great write-up, better than the script for any Mario Salieri movie!

    a. Are these fantasy write-ups going from? (Choose 1 or more from below)

    1. Best to worst (VGJ being the best)?
    2. Least economical to most economical (in terms of ADP value, dur!)?
    3. Least available to most available come pick #200 in a standard RCL 12 team redraft?

    b. I asked Prospector Mike if he was a closet masochist. He said yes. You?

    c. Trying out Helen Keller quote of the day.

    Walking with a friend at night is better than walking alone during the day.

    d. Mark Twain quote of the day for November 5

    I was educated not only In the common school at hannIbal but also in my brother Orion’s newspaper office. Orion was the family’s first­born. When he was fifteen or sixteen he was sent to St. Louis and there he learned the printer’s trade. One of his characteristics was eagerness. He woke with an eagerness about some matter or other every morning; it drove him all day; it died in the night and he was on fire with a fresh new interest next morning before he could get his clothes on. But I am forgetting another characteristic, a very pronounced one. That was his deep despairs; these had their place in each and every day along with the eagerness. Thus his day was divided from sunrise to midnight with first brilliant sunshine and then black clouds. Every day he was the most joyous and hopeful man that ever was, I think, and also every day he was the most miserable man that ever was.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante Galic: Why do you sell short the great Mario Salieri? A. 1. Nope — Trying to go best to worst, but there won’t be any rhyme or reason as we get further in like the Buy/Sells during the year, because too many factors play in C. But…how’d she know? D. Sounds like a riddle

      • Ante Galic says:
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        @Grey: Grey!

        a. The quote is from Chapter 17 of his autobiography. Ken Burns confirmed it in his documentary on Twain. He was basically Twain’s motivation to read and to see first-hand the power of the written word.

        b. So I guess I can nix the Helen Keller quote of the day idea. I think most are going to be of the same ilk. Walking in the dark is a walk in the park, Helen Keller is not afraid of the dark, New York by day, New York by night – same difference! Right? So the idea is scrapped, thank you.

        c. The scripts are pretty bad or non-existent man. No Good Will Hunting or plays on words to be found here. Not sure which Salieri masterpiece you’ve seen.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          A. Wow, didn’t know Ken Burns did a doc on Mario Salieri

          B. Yeah, too depressing and repetitive

          C. I haven’t seen any, tbh

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            C. That I know of

            • Ante Galic says:
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              @Grey: Grey!!!

              a. Haha!! Burns list of documentaries I have are:

              1. (1981) Brooklyn Bridge
              2. (1984) The Shakers
              3. (1985) Huey Long
              4. (1985) Statue of Liberty
              5. (1988) The Congress
              6. (1988) Thomas Hart Benton
              7. (1990) The Civil War
              8. (1991) Empire Of The Air
              9. (1994) Baseball
              10. (1996) The West
              11. (1997) Lewis And Clark
              12. (1997) Thomas Jefferson
              13. (1998) Frank Lyolld Wright
              14. (1999) Not For Ourselves Alone – Elizabeth Cady Stanton and Susan B. Anthony
              15. (2000) Jazz
              16. (2001) Mark Twain
              17. (2005) Unforgivable Blackness The Rise and Fall of Jack Johnson
              18. (2007) The War
              19. (2009) National Parks America’s Best Idea

              No mention of Marco Salieri herein! Stop putting words in my mouth.

              Cheers,
              Ante

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Where’s the recent ones? Didn’t he do those Roosevelt and Vietnam ones? I have to be honest, I’ve only seen the Baseball one…

                • Ante Galic says:
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                  @Grey: Grey!

                  a. The Jazz one is highly recommended. They’re all great.

                  b. Have you seen Making a Murderer season 2 yet? I’m ready to watch, trying to find a good time when my wife and I can watch.

                  Cheers,
                  Ante

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    A. I want to watch a few of them, about finding time… I will check out the Jazz one first… B. I did, it wasn’t as good as the 1st season, worth watching tho to stay woke

  4. sh says:
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    Damn it Houston just play him.

    Grey, I am in a 20 team H2H 60 player keeper, dynasty league. SP can be hard to come by in this league, but you could also win with average SP, there is no FA period or waiver claims allowed.
    Another team is offering me KLuber, but he wants E.Jimenez,V.Velasquez, E.Lauer DL Hall , and my 6th overall pick in the first year player draft,
    I think that is a steep price, what do you think.

    I could keep Eloy, with Acuna and Benintendi for my OF.
    I also have Robles, Margot, Hoskins and Calhoun in my OF that I can deal for SP

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @sh: I know, sh… Hmm, it’s pretty even, I think you’re better off holding

      • sh says:
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        @Grey: Is there a SP you would target for Robles or Hoskins, I can’t even plug him at first need 20 games started.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I hate trading for SPs, hitters are just so much better to have…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Robles, though, would be available for a top 20 SP

  5. bigbear says:
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    Seeing the name Kyle Tucker makes we wonder who else likes shopping at Walmart after midnight? Where I live – it’s some type of gothic/redneck skankiness and some random nurse walking around.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, what do you mean? Cause people after midnight in Walmart tuck their junk?

      • Tommy Herr says:
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        @Grey: whats a rednecks favourite holiday? Halloween, because they get to pump-kin.

      • bigbear says:
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        @Grey: If only they fully tucked their junk! Kyle Tucker just sounds like he’d shop at my Walmart after midnight wearing mascara and a mullet. No offense to Kyle’s or Tucker’s. Only Kyle’s and Tucker’s.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          HAHA, you make a lot of good points, and now I totally see it!

  6. Harley Earl says:
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    Not to be critical of you because I like you and your stuff a lot, but this post really reads like you don’t have a very good idea what Tucker is going to do. It’s like you protected yourself from him blowing up by saying he could be the next Alex Bregman. That way you don’t look silly if he does. But, what you really want to say, is you don’t believe the hype on Tucker and you think he’s Aaron Hicks of yesteryear.

    I’m left scratching my head after this one!

    • Tommy Herr says:
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      @Harley Earl: what hes saying is take tucker #1 ahead of Mike Trout.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I said he had a huge range of possibilities, so if it reads like I don’t know, it’s because I don’t know… AJ Reed and Derek Fisher were just two recent Astros rookie breakouts that didn’t breakout…

      • Dave D says:
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        @Grey:

        You forgot to add J. D. Davis, my favorite current AAAA player. Pete O’Brien’s second coming in 2020? All it will take is a move to MIA or BAL and a late bloomer blooms. Are you listening Jose Bautista Jr?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Pete O’Brien would likely accept pinch-hitter and off-the-bench extraordinaire…

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Or at least I’d accept that from O’Brien

            • Dave D says:
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              @Grey:

              “Small Potatoes” O’Brien

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Haha, yes!

  7. Harley Earl says:
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    Like I said, you wrote it like you were unsure of yourself but wanted to put something out. I agree, you don’t know. LOL

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, thanks!

      • Harley Earl says:
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        @Grey: Just giving you a hard time Grey. You do great work! Keep the stories coming!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, thanks!

  8. Packers says:
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    Grey,

    In a 11 team,roto, dynasty keep all league, I ended up in 4th place, 3 points out of first. Pitching stats is where I fell behind. I can trade N. Cruz for K. Hendricks. Hendricks would help me in ERa, Whip, and net wins most likely. Cruz is 38 but still hits his homers, plus its an OPS league. Plenty of outfielders to choose from on the FA wire. The FA wire for pitchers not so good. I’m thinking of accepting the trade. What do you think? The guy who is offering Hendricks ran the table on pitching stats.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Tough call, but I’d go Hendricks, ten years younger, has been solid, and see no slow down in near future and Cruz is replaceable

      • Packers says:
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        @Grey: Ok, Thanks. That’s what I was thinking.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

          • Dave D says:
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            @Grey:

            Maybe offer him Chase Utley too for Tyler Glasnow. Perhaps Pujols for Gausman? Ichiro for Newcomb?

            Any other ideas, Grey?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Hey, if he’ll go for it!

  9. Dave D says:
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    I’m going to keep this thread alive with a prediction that the article’s namesake will be playing in Japan in 2021 and will be known as “Nippon Tucker”..h

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nippon Tucker at Budokan

      • Dave D says:
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        @Grey:

        Yes, with his kin in the Marshall Tucker Band

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