Do the Nats sign Bryce Harper?  For Victor Robles, we should start there.  I don’t think the Nats retain Harper’s services.  That might be tinged with how I don’t think they should retain his services.  Nothing against Harper.  Dot dot dot.  Okay, I have a lot against him.  He seems like a supreme douchenozzle, but he’s a top 15 hitter in the major leagues when you consider OBP.  Maybe top ten.  Whatever the Nats do to replace for him, aside from Manny Machado, will be a step down.  As much as I like Victor Robles, and I do, he’s not going to be Bryce Harper.  However, I think the Nats should lose Harper because they haven’t been able to win with him, so why pay $850 bajillion for a guy who is going to get you into third place?  This is so important for Robles, because, if Harper leaves, then Robles is a lock for an everyday job.  Sexy Dr. Pepper, Juan Soto will play and Adam Eaton somehow is signed on for yet another year.  That leaves one more spot.  Yes, I know Eaton is injury-prone.  Don’t pretend you’re telling me that.  I’ve been telling you that for five years.  However, I’d be shocked if Eaton is suddenly a 4th outfielder, so we need Harper gone for Robles to play (and, of course, no other random outfielder signings by the Nats; goes without saying, though, yes, I am saying it).  I’m going on the assumption this is what’s going to happen, that Robles will play.  Unfortch, when we make an assumption, we make an ass out of an ump.  Angel Hernandez and Joe West resemble that remark.  Anyway, what can we expect from Victor Robles for 2019 fantasy baseball?

I tried to find a clip that most exemplified what I saw in Victor Robles.  You might be thinking, doesn’t every clip of him exemplify him?  Interesting, Plato. Philosophically, this makes sense.  A guy is who he is in every clip you see of him, but it’s not true.  I could’ve pulled a clip of Robles catching a routine fly ball, that’s not who he is.  From what I’ve seen of him, he’s Mr. Electric, even if the situation calls for some candlelight.  Here’s an example:

He’s motoring right out of the box — to the Victor goes the Pennzoils.  Robles doesn’t even look like he cares about finishing his swing before he’s off to the races.  I wanna make a bet that says, at some point in his career, he’s swung, missed and ran halfway down the 1st base line before realizing he didn’t make contact.  He’s like one of those wind-up toys that just butts its head against a wall and keeps ramming into the wall, trying to get the wall to move.  There’s another clip I saw that was almost exactly this with him face-planting a fence — fenceplanting?  He has the speed to make this lemming-running-off-the-side-of-a-cliff-type play work.

He’s never stole more than 22 bags in any stop of the minors, but that 22-steal year came in only 47 games, and Robles looks like he could challenge 40 steals with ease.  Of course, I also saw him overrun about 15 bags in 17 steal attempts.  Robles’s brake line has been cut like he’s Harry Crumb.  That clip above is just one example.  Never seen a guy treat every bag like they’re trying to beat out an infield single.  Yo, Robles, you can’t overrun third base.  The final point on that clip, it was two outs.  Robles is having a silly goose time!  If he didn’t attempt to slide into third, he would’ve ran through the dugout, out the park and still would be going like Forrest Gump.  About to start calling him Victor Gump.  As for his power, look at him slap a ball the opposite way about 370 feet.  His first career home run went 427 feet and was an absolute bomb in Miami.  Sitting back and driving the ball isn’t his game, but he can do it when he gets his pitch.  Just so you know where my head’s at — “Not on my shoulders?!  AHHH!!!” — I’m thinking he could get his pitch at least 15-18 times this year, but likely less than ten times.  So, anywhere from 8 homers to 18 homers and anywhere from 20 to 40 steals, depending on if he gets his brakes fixed.  Something that I haven’t even mentioned yet is he’s a .290 hitter.  Yeah, we’re talking about someone special.  Did I bury the lede?  He’s likely around a .333 BABIP, 16% strikeout rate, 7% walk rate guy.  If all of this sounds familiar, it’s also Starling Marte-ish.  I will call Starling Gump.  For 2019, I will give him the projections of 78/12/47/.281/29 in 524 ABs with a chance for much more on the steals.  When everyone’s taking Adalberto Mondesi in the third round, I’ll be looking at Robles ten rounds later.  Run, Starling Gump, run!

  1. costaricanchata says:
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    happy anniversary .

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks for reminding me!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      How have you been Big O?

      • costaricanchata says:
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        @Grey:

        have been enjoying the podcasts for the past month , or so .
        big upgrade .

        before that , 2 months withhout internet .
        completely off the grid .
        it- ers went on strike .

        i think they are comunistas .

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Glad to hear you’re back in touch, don’t let the socialists win!

  2. phennore says:
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    I’ll be interested to see what the player rater projects for Robles dollar value next year. I drafted Robles a couple years ago in my 16-team $260 keeper league. His brief call ups the last two years has meant his salary was subject to our leagues inflation and he’ll cost me $13 if he starts the year on the major league roster. Doesnt’t feel like great value but we”ll see.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      $13 feels a little high, he’ll likely go for just under $10

  3. Donkey Teeth

    Donkey Teeth says:
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    Econ 101: Don’t spend 850 bajillion on a supreme douchenozzle.

    • Dave D says:
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      @Donkey Teeth:

      Or a 35-42 year old with plantar fasciitis… I’d prefer the douche actually.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        A Pujols with a chronic foot condition is a foot up the ass for all people…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      In supply chain economics, it’s known as the WTF scenario — it can best be described, “You didn’t have that supreme douchenozzle on your team and now you paid him $850 bajillion and he is on your team, so WTF?”

      • Donkey Teeth

        Donkey Teeth says:
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        @Grey: That’s actually a direct John Maynard Keynes quote.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, I minored in Econ at Harvard… Actually it was an E-conference at a Ramada, but tomato tomahto

    • knucks says:
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      @Donkey Teeth: Was listening to the CBS pod about the Pts league mock that you did with them, DT.

      “He’s from Razzball. For some reason nobody at Razzball uses their first name. I don’t know if they are all multi millionaires or something and can’t have that kind of attention.”

      Hilarious.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        This is all true!

      • Donkey Teeth

        Donkey Teeth says:
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        @knucks: Grey discovered me at our monthly billionaire gala

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Bravo again, Mr. Teeth, on the crudite.

  4. Peacecoast says:
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    r u sure Rake is good? looks blah. kinda like a less edgy Aussie version of Goliath.
    Just loaded up a bit of S1E1 and was annoyed.

    Too bad Bodyguard is only 6 ep.

    what else you up to now with so much more free time? I’m playing video games.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You insult me my wondering if I’d recommend a show that’s not good as being good, I am hurt.

      Cougs and I sold our condo and bought a house!

      • Peacecoast says:
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        @Grey: I apologize my G, I was just surprised based on the first 10 minutes of it. Did you watch all 5 seasons? Good english btw.

        Details pls. what’s the new neighborhood like? how is your commute (lol)? have you realized all the shit you now have to take care of? Has Ted shit in all the rooms yet?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’ve seen the 1st three seasons, and they’re all solid… Will get into the 4th season as soon as Cougs finds time…. The new neighborhood is about 15 minutes from where I am, it’s called Hancock Park… We don’t move in until the 1st week of December, they have some repairs they have to do… I’m not handy at all so I’m hoping that gets me out of doing anything ‘around the house.’

          • Peacecoast says:
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            @Grey: awesome congrats. you will get used to googling how to fix shit. also helps to find a good handyman for all the little things that crop up.

            Remember about changing your air filters! Some people buy houses and never change them. gonna mow your own lawn?

            Some big ass houses in that area on google maps. Your house keeper gonna quit.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Graciela, our housekeeper, is actually here today at the condo, and we’re gonna ask her if she’s going to come with us on this new adventure in our life… I might have to drive to pick her up, we can’t continue without Graciela, she’s like our Mrs. Garrett…Only she speaks very little English… Air filters? Aren’t those on cars? We don’t have much lawn, and it’s fake in backyard (I think to save water)…

              • Peacecoast says:
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                @Grey: never forget what she did to your eyes, man. never forget.

                your air conditioner with be hooked up to an air handler/furnace that pushes the cold/warm air (assuming central air). That unit has an air filter you have to change every 3 months or so.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  It was an honest mistake…I think…Actually, Graciela tried to blind me! That witch!

                  As soon as you said “your air…” I zoned out, I will need a handyman, I’m not good with this stuff at all…

                  • Harley Earl says:
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                    @Grey: Dude, air filters are $3 to $20 apiece at walmart, depending on the kind you buy. Takes two minutes to take one out and put another one in. As much as you know about baseball, I’m quite positive you can do this on your own!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Where are they even located? This is hurting my head!

          • Dave D says:
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            @Grey:

            Hancock Park has returned to being a nice hood again. It was part of “white flight” in the 60’s and became run down but in the late 90s started to tutn around. You in an old grand estate or something more humble? Has it been renovated or are you doing the work yourself?

            I love those old wide streets with trees. My wife and I lived north of Montana in Santa Monica for five years. Similar but coastal. Grand old LA.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Something more humble and it’s been recently renovated… Montana is beautiful, anything off of that is gorgeous… I’ve loved Larchmont since I first moved there from the east coast back about 20 years ago… I’m about four to five blocks from where my 1st apartment was and about 4-5 blocks from Larchmont Blvd.

  5. Alex Bregman Cut Me in Line at Panera Bread says:
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    Looking at a lot of early 2019 mock data, it seems like Bauer and Corbin are going pretty close together, around the 4th and 5th round in 12-teamers. In a keeper league where you give up a pick, would you rather keep Bauer in the 7th or Corbin in the 11th? Whose gains from last year do you trust more to stick in 2019? If Corbin ends up in the AL East, he gets dinged right?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d want Bauer

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nice username, btw!

  6. Wutang says:
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    Grey! the season may be over, but the rankings part is where it gets fun!

    believe me – I KNOW your stance on catchers, and what you think of taking one early… but would you start to consider gary sanchez a bargain buy? The guy had a 0.197 BABIP, that can’t be sustainable, could this guy be a target in that lineup? (note, I haven’t looked at his hard hit%/launch angles so maybe he was doing it to himself)

    Looking at the fangraphs mock drafts, he was going around 70th overall; still a little high but these are experts (and yahoo ranks can always be messy). I’m curious to see where he goes, and what you think of it!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      If he falls to around 100 overall he starts to become a buy… 70th overall isn’t bad, but you can get a decent catcher at 270 overall

    • The Dude says:
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      @Wutang: The year to won Gary is the year he gets moved to the DH (or maybe 1B) but still has lingering C eligibility. I can’t see his lazy ass catching past 2020.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        He can only take so many shots to the nuts

  7. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!!

    Nice Robles fantasy write-up!

    a. Sorry so late to the show again was busy, busy, busy.

    b. Mark Twain quote of the day for November 2

    The holy passion of Friendship is of so sweet and steady and loyal and enduring a nature that it will last through a whole lifetime, if not asked to lend money.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A. No excuse! (Hope job search is going well…)

      B. I realized today that the one Mark Twain quote I knew going into this year is the one you haven’t said…

      • Ante Galic says:
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        @Grey: Grey!!

        a. It is one of my favorites! A few good ones left, then I have to dive into Ken Burns documentary on Twain a little deeper.

        b. Good luck with the move!

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Thanks! We don’t move for a few weeks still…and then it’s us paying someone to move us, I ain’t lifting shizz

          • Sweatpants Nation says:
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            @Grey: You do enough heavy lifting with this site, Haha.

        • Dave D says:
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          @Ante Galic:

          So true. Friends lend a hand in a personal way, like suggestions, contacts, spending time together, or helping with love problem, but would never let friends pander for a dime. I guess that’s old fashioned. Back when male principles were intact.

  8. Jack Straw says:
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    Standard 10 team NL only 5×5 Toto auction league. Who would you prefer – Foltynewicz $7 or T. Shaw $15. I already have a great hitting foundation – Acuna, Soto, T. Turner, Bryant (and options of Dahl $8 and E. Escobar $9) but no other great pitching foundation pieces (possibly Stripling). I know Shaw has a poor BABIP impacting his avg, but not sure it will normalize given being victimized by the defensive shifts- the Mayor of Ding Dong City can hit for some massive power and his position flexibility is also attractive (especially combined with Bryant’s positional options).

    What do you think?

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