I considered making this post:  Tyler Austin and Jake Cave, 2019 Fantasy Baseball SleeperS!  Though, I likely wouldn’t have capped the S.  I did that for you, Dear Reader.  I didn’t make this a duo sleeper post, because I think I have OCD and I like to keep shizz tidy and stylized as all previous sleepers.  That doesn’t mean if Jake Cave breaks out I won’t continue to go back to this post, because I’m equally excited about both Tyler Austin and Jake Cave.  Or as Google suggests, Jake Man Cave.  Yes, he is a man, but I don’t think we’re talking about the same thing.  So, why not just do a separate post for Jake Cave?  Because no one cares about him.  I tweeted at Jake Cave and he seems to barely care:

He responds with a GIF?  Really?  That doesn’t scream confidence to me.  What, you can’t reply fully to a random Twitter person who you don’t know who is obviously only interested in you as a fantasy baseball entity who wants to keep calling you Jack Cave?  Anyone that apathetic worries me.  Though, you can’t spell apathetic without Pac.  So…hmm.  Even with his inability to hit lefties (.194 vs. lefties), he had the 22nd highest barrels per at-bat, the same as Javier Baez, and Cave’s average home run distance was 419 feet, which was 5th in the majors for that many plate appearances.  If this were about Jake Cave, and not Tyler Austin, I’d tell you Cave was the 2nd lowest for soft contact (8.6%), making better contact overall than Joey Votto, Voit, Matt Carpenter, Freeman, Betts, Just Dong and, well, every other player in the majors except Eugenio Suarez.  Unlike Tyler Austin, Cave looks like he has the starting job, and could be the one guy who no one drafts who ends up on 100% of fantasy teams by season’s end, cranking so many homers that everyone is going to be like, “What?”  Pause. Eyes bulge.  “WHAT?”  If this were about Jake Cave and not Tyler Austin, I’d tell you my Jake Cave 2019 projections were 61/22/68/.259/4 in 476 ABs with a chance for more.  However, this is not about Jake Cave.  Anyway, what can we expect from Tyler Austin for 2019 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

Unlike Jake Cave, I don’t see any discernible splits for Tyler Austin.  I also don’t see him currently rocking an everyday job, which is a bee in my bonnet.  Yes, otherwise, it would be an onnet, but this is still a concern.  Austin is one of those guys who hits righty and has a bad LLAMAS tag. This alone could be the death of his fantasy value.  What he has going for him is his ability to play 1B, DH and corner outfield spots, and primarily the benefit of having 1B eligibility.  I know, we’ve now fell down the Well of WTF.  We’re Baby Jessica screaming, “First base eligibility is a good thing for a sleeper?!”  Unlike past years, I ‘m actively looking for sleeper first basemen because of what a shambles the position has become.  With his multi-position viability, Austin could see 400 at-bats without having a set position.  If you’re an enterprising AL-Only player, I could see drafting Cave and Austin and playing them depending on matchups.  Okay, besides the fact that Austin might platoon, what is actually interesting here besides his dad who mocks Greg Bird to the media?  Member all of those sexy things I said about Jake Cave?  Tyler Austin actually has him beat in a few areas.  He had more barrels per at-bat, his exit velocity on average was higher and Steamer projects Tyler Austin for 22 homers and 4 steals.  The same I projected Cave for!  One may even call Austin/Cave a draw for the stick figures, if you were calling a bat a stick and being punny.  Lost in Luke Voit’s explosion on the Yankees was a guy the Yankees sent to Minnesota having himself an equally impressive one quarter of a season for power.  Austin hit 17 homers in only 244 ABs.  For 2019, I’ll give Tyler Austin the projections of 64/25/71/.248/3 in 467 ABs with a chance for more.  Best case scenario, Cave and Austin both play 90% of the time and break out.  Yes, there’s a worst case scenario where neither play, but shush on that.  Also, this would’ve been titled Jake Cave, 2019 Fantasy Baseball Sleeper, if he had just replied to me and not GIF’d me.  Like the number 69, it pays to be nice!

  1. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!!!

    Great write-up, best SleeperS article I’ve ever read both for content and comic relief.

    a. I understood everything up until the LAST sentence. Could you elaborate? I am deadly serious. No pun points, total and absolute truth. Other gentle readers can chime in if appropriate given that the #69 has been invoked.

    b. Mark Twain quote of the day for December 18

    I think I got it this time!!! I’ve got my fingers and toes double-crossed so please let me know ASAP so I can go back to living my ho-hum boring life.

    1. We all grumble about the weather, but (dramatic pause) –but–but nothing is done about it.

    There is an alternative to this quote that I have seen from the Ford Calendar 1921.

    1a. A great, great deal has been said about the weather, but very little has ever been done about it.

    2. When a person is accustomed to 138 in the shade, his ideas about cold weather are not valuable….In India, “cold weather” is merely a conventional phrase and has come into use through the necessity of having some way to distinguish between weather which will melt a brass door-knob and weather which will only make it mushy.

    3. I reverently believe that the Maker who made us all makes everything in New England but the weather. I don’t know who makes that, but I think it must be raw apprentices in the weather-clerk’s factory who experiment and learn how, in New England, for board and clothes, and then are promoted to make weather for countries that require a good article, and will take their custom elsewhere if they don’t get it.

    4. No weather will be found in this book. This is an attempt to pull a book through without weather. It being the first attempt of the kind in fictitious literature, it may prove a failure, but it seemed worth the while of some dare-devil person to try it, and the author was in just the mood.

    Many a reader who wanted to read a tale through was not able to do it because of delays on account of the weather. Nothing breaks up an author’s progress like having to stop every few pages to fuss-up the weather. Thus it is plain that persistent intrusions of weather are bad for both reader and author.

    Of course weather is necessary to a narrative of human experience. That is conceded. But it ought to be put where it will not be in the way; where it will not interrupt the flow of the narrative. And it ought to be the ablest weather that can be had, not ignorant, poor-quality, amateur weather. Weather is a literary specialty, and no untrained hand can turn out a good article of it. The present author can do only a few trifling ordinary kinds of weather, and he cannot do those very good. So it has seemed wisest to borrow such weather as is necessary for the book from qualified and recognized experts-giving credit, of course. This weather will be found over in the back part of the book, out of the way. See Appendix. The reader is requested to turn over and help himself from time to time as he goes along.

    5. On Saturday, March 10, 1888 a great blizzard prevented his wife from joining him on a trip to New York.
    Clemens wrote:
    “And so, after all my labor and persuasion to get you to at last promise to take a week’s holiday and go off with me on a lark, this is what Providence has gone and done about it. It does seem to me the oddest thing–the way Providence manages. A mere simple request to you to stay at home would have been entirely sufficient; but no, that is not big enough, picturesque enough–a blizzard’s the idea; pour down all the snow in stock, turn loose all the winds, bring a whole continent to a stand-still: that is Providence’s idea of the correct way to trump a person’s trick. If I had known it was going to make all this trouble and cost all these millions, I never would have said anything about your going. Now in the light of this revelation of the methods of Providence, consider Noah’s flood–I wish I knew the real reason for playing that cataclysm on the public: likely enough, somebody who liked dry weather wanted to take a walk. That is probably the whole thing–and nothing more to it.”

    6. Shut the door. Not that it lets in the cold but that it lets out the cozyness.

    7. It is best to read the weather forecast before we pray for rain.

    8. Cold! If the thermometer had been an inch longer we’d all have frozen to death.

    9. The captain had been telling how, in one of his Arctic voyages, it was so cold that the mate’s shadow froze fast to the deck and had to be ripped loose by main strength. And even then he got only about two-thirds of it back.

    10. Yes, the weather is bad, and if I were dealing in weather it is not the brand that I’d put up in cans for future use. No, it is the kind of weather I’d throw on the market and let it go for what it would fetch, and if it wouldn’t sell for anything I would hunt up some life-long enemy and present it to him. Failing in this, as a last resort I should probably take it out on the big bridge, dump it into the Mississippi and start it to Europe via the jetties. I’d unload it someway, and that quickly, too.

    11. Winter is begun here, now, I suppose. It blew part of the hair off the dog yesterday & got the rest this morning.

    Even though I think 1 or 1a will be the payload, my personal favorite among these 11 is #11.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Matty says:
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      @Ante Galic:
      Ante- I am all-in on watching this quest for the mystery quote play out.
      The sleeper recaps are still part of why I’m here of course, but right now the big draw is being here when you get it right.
      I’m pulling for you- your dedication to the craft will prevail.

    • Matt says:
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      @Ante Galic: I wonder if 138 in the shade is a reference to Twain enjoying 2 69s at the same time?

      • DrEasy says:
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        @Matt: Mind-blowing! Managed to tie three loose ends together, which is appropriate for someone trying 2 69s at the same time, I guess.

    • The Dude says:
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      @Ante Galic: Perhaps this is out of place, but could the long sought quote be?

      “The coldest winter I ever saw was the summer I spent in San Francisco.”

      I believe it fits the clues we have at hand, and it is an ever-so-quaint quote that is often attributed to Mark Twain. However, perhaps the reason it has never been quoted by our local Twain historian is it is actually not a Twain quote at all…

      https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/and-never-the-twain-shall-tweet/

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Bingo! I guess I was holding out for a non-Twain quote — oops!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        So funny that I was waiting for a Twain quote that wasn’t Twain… classic Grey!

      • Ante Galic says:
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        @The Dude: Dude!!

        Thanks man. I mean it. Now I can go prep for Abbott and costello for next year!!

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha

  2. Thorbs says:
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    Grey, good stuff as always – always a good thing when you and Steamer are both high on a player!

    Any general thoughts on Kris Bryant you want to share? Or saving them for a sleeper/overrated post? I’m stoked he didn’t have surgery but also kind of thinking we’ve seen his best and he’s more of a .270 – 25 – 10 guy from here on out.

    • Cram It says:
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      @Thorbs: I’m buying him. I’m not writing off a 26 year old who had one dud year due to shoulder issues.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Thorbs: Thanks! Nah, Bryant will be in the rankings, no special posts for him… I like him for a bounce back, too young to give up on, assuming his health is fine, he will be

  3. Racehorse says:
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    16 team dynasty …

    I’m offering a trade of Kingery for Luis Castillo?

    Thanks!

  4. knucks says:
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    I’ll be the guy who doesn’t shush about the PT, but only because I want to make sure I understand where Cave looks to have the starting job.

    Is it over Buxton in CF?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @knucks: DH/1B for Cave/Austin/Cron, then Cave and Austin with Buxton and shifting of outfield — hopefully

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        So both part of 3 platoons

        • knucks says:
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          @Grey: And Kepler in RF or is that part of the shifting of the OF?

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I think Kepler’s part of shifting oF too, but less tentative than Buxton, who they did not even promote in September… If Buxton hits .180 in March, he’s never making the team

  5. Gene Okerland says:
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    Hopefully the Twins believe in Austin as much as the Fantasy world does. Only concern for me is the plate discipline. Where do you see him getting most of his ABs now with Cron at 1B? OF or DH?

    Thanks Grey

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Gene Okerland: DH/1B for Cave/Austin/Cron, then Cave and Austin with Buxton and shifting of outfield — hopefully

      So both part of 3 platoons

  6. Crime Dog says:
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    Loving these sleeper posts Grey. Can’t believe we’re less than a month from rankings.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Get crazy, CD!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, Myspace Tom dropping a truth bomb!

      • FrankGrimes says:
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        @Grey:

        Is it weird survivor over already? Seems short season.
        What to watch next?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Nah, Survivor always ends with about a week to go before Xmas… Do you have Showtime? Escape at Dannemora is great…

          • Dubs23 says:
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            @Grey: Just started watching Escape at Dannemora. Looks good so far. Random baseball question: Keeper league 6×6 do you prefer Story or Benentendi? Contracts are a wash.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              It might be my favorite TV show of the year… It’s so good… Story

          • FrankGrimes says:
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            @Grey:

            I’ll have to find it on the interwebs

            • Sweatpants Nation says:
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              @FrankGrimes: Been watching Escape too. It is excellent. Only complaint is I’m from upstate NY and have family that live near Dannemora and the accents are all wrong. I got over it after the first episode because everything else is good.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Patricia Arquette’s husband is amazing! I hope his accent is wrong, and no one is actually like him in real life

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Worth it, man!

              • Sweatpants Nation says:
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                @Grey: Haha. Yeah. He’s a piece of work.

              • Sweatpants Nation says:
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                @Grey: My cousin is a CO at Upstate in Malone which is close to where SPOILER ALERT they got Sweat and Matt. They pulled everyone in the search even Forest Rangers and DEC officers in the search. Many years ago I worked in a youth detention and had to transport a kid who had aged out of that facility and was being transferred to Dannemora. Not a pleasant place.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Are any of them though? Pleasant, I mean…

  7. Luigi says:
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    Razzball #1 hands down. For S’s & G’s, just checked out Fantasy Pros. One clown has Trevor Bauer ranked as the 56th overall pitcher?!?!?!?!?!!?!?

    Upon further review, he’s one of yours. Clearly you can hire better Grey. Donkey Teeth must go.

  8. bbboston says:
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    Grey,

    In PL expert mock draft why no love for Jorge Polanco. Batting leadoff for decent line-up and capable of contributing in BA, HR and steals. what am i missing? this guy seems like a legit sleeper, who should’t be one

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      That league was super shallow — 12 teams and no middle or corner infielder — I don’t mind Polanco at all, just didn’t want him for UTIL

  9. Ace of Spades says:
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    Grey

    I know its a bit early for this , but then again its never too early

    14 team 5×5 standard cats auction keep up to 11 . $260 limit.

    Guys I am keeping for sure;

    Hoskins – $12
    Merrifield – $12
    Jose Peraza – $10
    Y Molina – $3
    Vlad Jr. – $10
    Trienan – $13
    Felipe Vasquez – $12
    Luis Castillo – $12

    guys I am considering keeping:

    Palka – $10 ( originally was throwing him back but now that he’s on your sleeper list…)
    S Schebler – $5 ( The price is nice )
    J Smoak – $12 ( originally was throwing him back but have heard rumours of the Rockies trying to trade for him )
    N Cruz – $20 ( I think he can outperform this price, but I can probably throw him back and get him for close to this price. I also usually dont like to keep just DH elilgable players )

    Some longshots:

    C Mullins – $10
    R Zimmerman – $8

    K Gibson – $3
    Vincent Valassquez – $4
    J Beeks – $10

    Guys I am throwing back into free agency for the draft:

    B Harper – $46
    M Machado – $46
    W Myers – $28
    K Bryant – $56
    F Pena – $10
    J Vargas – $10
    M Gonzales – $10
    M Leake – $10
    Y Chiniros -$10
    J Odorizzi -$10
    W Leblanc -$10

    Any thoughts on the guys I am considering? ( I can save three of them, or none at all if I choose ) Anyone I am throwing back that I shouldnt? Any one I am keeping that you dont think is worth the price?

    As always , thanks in advance. I know its supposed to be Christmas , but really, my Christmas starts when you release your first installment of rankings. Hope your holidays are the best my man and thanks for all you guys do.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! You think Bryce and Machado are going to be cheaper in your draft? I know those prices aren’t great, but I don’t see how you throw back two of the best hitters… Then prolly Palka… You don’t have a ton of guys otherwise… Maybe Cruz, but you can just get him back, or not, wouldn’t be a big deal either way

      • Ace of Spades says:
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        @Grey: True. A lot depends on where these guys wind up. I am more inclined to keep Manny. Yet if Bryce ends up in Philly….I do think I can get Bryce back at this or lower price. Manny ( ecspecially if he ends up in the Bronx ) will go for this price. I am quite certain that Trout will be thrown back this year, and if I am guessing correctly, I may spend the 50 bucks or so to get him. Arenado and his Tornadoes may also be thrown back . Last year, my ace pitcher was C Mart, who I eventually traded. I did good in this league, but my lack of starting pitching, even with using the streamonator almost religiously, probably kept me from the big prize. I was looking to maybe do a razzball no no this year and attempt to bid away on such a pitcher ( Scherzer, Verlander and Kershaw will all probably be thrown back this year ) . Anyways, from now till when keepers have to be declared and again till the draft, I will undoubtably change my mind about my strategy 100 more times. Already, ( thanks to your response to my question ) I am thinking of moving the two studs you mentioned into the consider column. thanks again Grey.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Look at how much Corbin, Snell, Trevor Williams or other pitchers I told people to target late went for in the draft before sinking $ on a top pitcher

  10. reese says:
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    trade question, 12 team mixed 5×5 roto – should I give conforto and muncy to get thor?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nah

  11. Hometown Heroes says:
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    Great post as always, had Cave at the end of the year and helped me win it. I’m in a 12 team AL only keeper league. I got an offer of Merrifield $10 and Chirinos$2 both with one year left for Cedric Mullins, Trevor May both $10 2 years and Nick Gordon $1 3yrs. I would’ve hit the accept button immediately but I’m afraid Whit gets traded midseason(we don’t get stats if they go to the NL). Do I take the risk? Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Man, tough call… I think you have to take Whit

  12. Joe Shmoe says:
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    Mr. Grey,
    a. It sounds like your sleepers are all Yankee/ Ex-Yankee white guys. Is Greg Bird next?
    b. Are there any reasons not to draft Story in the first?

    Thanks for the posts!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A. Meadows, Palka, Laureano, Bader, Conforto, huh?
      B. Yes, they briefly thought he might need Tommy John surgery last September

  13. Sweatpants Nation says:
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    Andujar or Marquez in a trade. Which side?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Andujar

  14. Sweatpants Nation says:
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    @Grey: Thanks. Would you do either Ozuna or Haniger for Marquez or was Marquez overperforming last year?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I could see sending Haniger, pretty fair trade

      • Sweatpants Nation says:
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        @Grey: Thanks again. As for Twain I was holding out this one if/when the Reds made a lousy signing:
        If the world comes to an end, I want to be in Cincinnati.Everything comes there ten years later.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          HA! That’s a great one…

  15. J-FOH says:
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    Hey Culligan Man!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Flukazy!

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: How have you been?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Good, I moved! How ya been?

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: Been doing a lot of volleyball stuff with the kid. She started playing beach tournaments and trains a few days a week. Besides that I’m still trying to get caught up on the TV watching

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              You mean your 9-year-old who is taller than Cougs standing on my shoulders? You gotta watch Escape at Dannemora on Showtime, it’s so good!

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: You mean my 5’6″ 11 year old that wears a mens 10 shoe.

                I’ve been powering Mrs. Maisel right now. Just watched the trailer for your suggestion and it looks good.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  It’s so good! Your daughter is taller than anyone in Cougs or my family.

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: she can also help you move furniture

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Where was she last week when when we needed her? We had to have a handyman come by to open a gate that I thought needed a hammer, but needed someone who was just stronger…. Every time our handyman comes over he sees dollar signs

                    • J-FOH says:
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                      You know you can call me for some muscle. What do you need a handyman for? Those dudes are usually hacks.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      We need a handyman for everything… I can’t set the clock on a microwave…. We had guys here yesterday putting up the TVs, then today someone to put on dimmers on the lights… I’m house poor!

                    • J-FOH says:
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                      Did you hire movers?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Of course! Have you seen us? I didn’t even want to pack!

                    • J-FOH says:
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                      Im glad you didn’t call because I would have helped and then talked shit the entire time. It’s my way

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Better than me, I would’ve just talked shit

  16. Dave D says:
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    Good read. Ill be watching Cave. Good 2nd half. I almost drafted him in DC where I took Ass-veil Garcia.

    All I gotta say beyond that is “Matt F’n Harvey”???

    He lacks character and skills, but beyond that….

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Matt Harvey seems to be a litmus test for “Which team is stupid enough to sign him?”

      • Dave D says:
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        @Grey:

        Pretty much my reaction. I already knew Arte Moreno was a moron, but he seems to have learned little since Josh Hamilton. Its not good when your team signs players who are unlikeable. I hope for Trout’s sake that he gets traded soon. It’s too good for this crappy organization, honestly. This is how they build around him trying to retain his services? No chance, Lance.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Agreed, Fareed.

Comments are closed.