With the top 80 starters for 2019 fantasy baseball, we are so close to the end of the rankings, I can almost taste it!  Wait, that’s not rankings I taste, I bit my lip and it’s blood.  I wonder if when Dracula bites his lip it’s like when Cougs goes out with her friends and I’m left at home while Emmanuelle is on Cinemax.  I’ll go over exactly how to draft starters in a few days, but there are so many ways to skin a cat we should have PETA breathing down our necks.  Also, I’m hoping to do the RCL signups next Monday.  Stay tuned!  Or not, your call.  All the 2019 fantasy baseball rankings are there.  Here’s Steamer’s 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers.  All projections listed are mine and I mention where I see tiers starting and stopping.  Anyway, here’s the top 80 starters for 2019 fantasy baseball:

61. Zach Eflin – This tier started in the top 60 starters for 2019 fantasy baseball.  This tier goes from here until Heaney.  I called this tier, “An obstetrician screaming, ‘Talk about a hole in one!'”  As for Eflin, okay, so this whole tier is guys I seriously considered writing sleeper posts on, but time got away from me, as it always does.  As the Steve Miller Band once said, “Time keeps on slippin’ slippin’.”  No wonder that guy got into music, his last name is Band.  Eflin’s velocity popped from 92 to 94 last year; he started throwing his slider a lot more, and it worked for him, and he stopped using his curve as much because it wasn’t working.  His K/9 went from garbage (under 5!) to 8.7 K/9 last year and he’s always had great command.  I really need to write a sleeper on this guy.  The only drawback, and, of course, there’s one since he’s this late, he might not be in the rotation all year, and could struggle to throw more than 160 IP.  2019 Projections: 12-7/3.87/1.27/144 in 157 IP

62. Joe Musgrove – This guy reminds me of a milkshake you make when you’re eight years old.  You throw some ice cream in a blender, then you throw some Oreo cookies, then you throw Animal crackers, then your math homework.  You blend it all together and you get something delicious or absolutely awful, depending on how much homework you add.  That’s Joe Musgrove.  If you throw in his walk rate from last year (1.8 BB/9), his strikeout rate from two years ago (8.1) and his heavy reliance on his cutter from last year, you get a surprisingly delicious pitcher, or an absolutely awful one.  2019 Projections: 8-10/3.84/1.16/134 in 155 IP

63. Andrew Heaney – Already gave you my Andrew Heaney sleeper.  It kept saying, “Mark my words.” UPDATE:  The Angels are saying Heaney’s dealing with elbow problems, but they’re also saying it’s no big deal.  The MRI is clean!  Great, someone Windex’d the MRI results.  Can we get a real doctor who doesn’t use Pledge on the MRI results?  This doesn’t sound like good news, but I’m trying to remain optimistic since Heaney dealt with this last year at this time too.  I did lower his projections though.  2019 Projections:  11-7/3.58/1.16/152 in 154 IP

64. Jake Arrieta – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Rodon.  I call this tier, “Blood oozing from a Lost & Found.”  To draft one of these starters, you would have to lose your mind.  If you lost your mind, you’d get blood oozing from a Lost & Found.  I could’ve ranked all of these guys after the top 100 starters overall, and seriously considered it, but I figured if I told you to avoid these guys, and later gave you my tool (hehe, my tool) to draft pitchers, you should be fine.  I guarantee there will still be people who ask, why did you rank Reynaldo (or any of these guys) here if you don’t want to draft them?  Short answer is:  cause.  Long answer is:  because.  Answer on a exam question when you need at least 500+ words:  because I said so, that’s why, why do you need five hundred words, yadda500.  I tried to sufficiently bury this tier, but if they’re not buried enough, avoid anyway.  As for Arrieta, I love that he was able to add some velocity year over year, but I hate that he’s lost strides in every other category year over year over year over–You get it.  2019 Projections: 12-9/4.10/1.29/149 in 185 IP

65. Dallas Keuchel – As I’ve said numerous times, I get the feeling Keuchel will be back in the Lone Star state.  Am I hedging by not saying Astros, because he might sign with the Rangers?  P to the erhaps.  Honestly, I haven’t liked Keuchel at any point in his career, and can’t imagine ever owning him, no matter the team he ends up on.  Maybe that’s why he’s yet to sign.  Or maybe because Major League Baseball teams are actively entering into collusion.  Tomato-tomato said with a different emphasis.  2019 Projections: 13-9/3.81/1.28/149 in 198 IP

66. Jhoulys Chacin – This tier always gets me in trouble every year.  I feel it already with people thoroughly confused why I gave such terrible projections and said such awful things about guys I’m ranking above guys below.  I just said this in Arrieta’s blurb, but I’m saying avoid these guys, so you can stop reading this tier, if you like.  However, if you want more….This tier is filled with guys who are safer bets to throw 170-ish innings.  To grab a few guys from tiers below:  Shoemaker, Cahill, McHugh, etc. are safe bets to throw, what, 40 innings?  And I contemplated writing zero innings there, but forced myself to write 40.  170 innings of 4.10 ERA and possibly 40 IP of 3.25 ERA are a coin flip based on risk.  Personally, I want to avoid the 4.10-4.35 ERA at 170 IP guys, but this is about where they should be ranked.  “Hello?  PETA?  No, I don’t enjoy beating dead horses, why do you ask and how’d you get my number?  Off a bathroom wall?”  2019 Projections:  11-9/4.15/1.20/147 in 181 IP

67. Zack Godley – It would take a miracle for me to pull the trigger on Godley.  Okay, not a miracle, I’d settle for Godley’s image showing up in the soap suds in my tub, and my photo of said suds sent to the Vatican, eliciting this response, “Not God, but may be Godley.”  His walks were so outta control last year that the only thing Godley didn’t walk on was water.  2019 Projections:  8-13/4.22/1.30/188 in 183 IP

68. Trevor Williams – I loved Williams last year.  He won me some leagues.  So, I guess this is my way of saying, it was nice owning/knowing you!  2019 Projections:  10-10/4.07/1.22/135 in 182 IP

69. Reynaldo Lopez – Wow, Reynaldo’s numbers are awful.  I’m just going to grab one number to illustrate:  5.22 xFIP.  I mean, holy shizzballs, that’s terrible.  Avoid at all costs.  2019 Projections:  8-12/4.31/1.38/158 in 187 IP

70. Carlos Rodon – No offense to the White Sox’s dreams of fantasticiness (made-up word of the day), but their pitching staff leaves more to be desired than having your house painted by Jackson Pollock.  “Um, dude, you just sort of splashed paint on our front door, and you reek of booze.”   2019 Projections:  8-11/4.28/1.34/145 in 164 IP

71. Matt Shoemaker – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Ross.  I call this tier, “Dollar Store condoms.”  By this tier name I mean, these guys are a mix of sorta safe, sorta cheap and worth a flyer.  “Wow, I’ve seen lambskin condoms before, but I never knew they made hedgehog skin condoms.”  That’s you going through the Dollar Store condom assortment.  For those who have studied in Grey’s Gardens for a while, you will know this is tier name I’ve used in past years.  It helps me get a feel for where I am in the pitcher rankings.  To explain further because I explain everything further, I like to build my pitching staffs the same every year.  I’ll go over this more in my pitching tool I will release in a few days.  The gist is, I like to try to work in a starter that can be reliable late in the game that won’t cost a ton that I can just discard if it comes down to it.  That’s this tier.  Not crazy upside, like the next tier, and not safe and upsidey like the obstetrician tier.  Usually this tier is cheap, older guys.  As for Shoemaker, here’s what I said when he signed with the Jays, “The Blue Jays with a solid signing!  The Cobbler is going to make some contender extremely happy when he’s traded in July.  Could see Shoemaker in the AL East working behind Happ, Sale, maybe even Snell, in August.  Watch the Jays shock the world and promote Vlad Jr., Biggio and Bichette and every other demon seed of the 2007 All-Star Game, and be a contender themselves.  Shoemaker is your standard, ‘When healthy, so sexy’ starter.   WHSS, for short.  WHSS is also short for Wishes for Suckers.  Of course, I will draft Shoemaker and accept his 50-something dominant innings, while praying for 140+ innings.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2019 Projections:  7-5/3.69/1.22/127 in 134 IP

72. Collin McHugh – Honestly, the only thing that stopped me from writing a Collin McHugh sleeper post is I’m not in the habit of writing sleeper posts about middle relievers.  I’m also not in the habit of ranking middle relievers as starters, so here’s to new beginnings.  *checks off New Year’s resolution to rank middle relievers as starters*   I’ve really accomplished something in 2019!  First, I’d like to thank my much older wife, Cougs.  Without you, I’d take out the trash, but I’d have no one asking me to do it.  Incessantly.  *makes heart sign with hands by chest*  McHugh looks like he has the Astros’ pixie dust magic, but getting a full read on a guy who spent all of last year in middle relief is hard.  That’s what she said with an eye roll.  I think McHugh could slide back into the rotation and be a late-breakout as the Astros are known to do.  He also might get less than five starts all year, and be used in the bullpen.  2019 Projections: 8-3/3.12/1.12/123 in 109 IP

73. Michael Wacha – Usually if I’m burned by a guy I don’t immediately go back in, except, of course, Delino DeShields.  He’s burned me so much it’s more like Delino DeChlamydia.  However, I’m ready to get burned again by Wacha at this price.  He was saddled by injuries last year, only throwing 84 1/3 IP, but he still had a 3.20 ERA.  Sure, ERA is stupid, but it’s also a category in my leagues.  His Ks were down, walks were up and velocity way down, but, again, he was injured, so maybe we can discard some of his down year.  Let’s don that jellyfish-skin condom and get burned again!  By the way, you know how they say you should pee on a jellyfish sting to take away the pain?  What happens if you’re stung on your penis?  That’s a riddle for the Sphinx!  2019 Projections:  11-6/3.71/1.26/148 in 162 IP

74. Kyle Gibson – I can’t believe I’m recommending Gibson, but rawr, rawr like a dragon-skin condom, I’m going back in on him.  He upped his velocity last year and Ks (8.2 K/9), and there’s flashes of excellent command in his not-too-distant past.  Of course, he does seem like a Saberhagenmetrics darling, alternating good year with bad year, but Saberhagenmetricians are hard to be trusted due to their flagrant disregard of everything, except year number.  2019 Projections:  12-10/3.88/1.29/170 in 192 IP

75. Trevor Cahill – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Cahill) signed with the Angels.  Cahill must be perceived to be a lesser pitcher than Matt Harvey.  I’m assuming, at least, since he received two million less than him.  Funny how perception and reality are operating on different realms with fantasy balancing between the two.  Damn, that shizz is poetic!  I would want Cahill over Harvey, and not sure how close it is.  Cahill can’t stay healthy, but at least he’s serviceable when he is.”  And that’s me copying and pasting me!  2019 Projections: 7-8/4.02/1.23/117 in 124 IP

76. Tyson Ross – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Ross) signed with the Tigers.  My mind was blown when I saw he had 150 IP last year.  Apparently, it doesn’t take a lot to surprise me.  So, Bruce Willis was dead the whole time?!  Are you sure?!  Don’t hate this signing by the Tigers (admittedly have no idea how much they paid), I could see Ross getting back to just under a 4.00 ERA, if his command continues to improve back to pre-injury levels.”  And that’s me–you get the idea.  2019 Projections:  8-10/4.04/1.28/134 in 162 IP

77. Ross Stripling – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until the top 100 starters for 2019 fantasy baseball.  I call this tier, “A mountain of microscopic goose pimples.”  By the tier name I mean, I love the pitchers in this tier, but you need to be very close in proximity to fully appreciate their sample sizes.  One small note that I will go over more when I do the pitcher pairings post (say that fast 117 times!), this is the last pitcher tier to draft in shallower mixed leagues, so you’re around 250 overall.  As for Stripling, I’m a slave to depth charts.  If a guy is not in the starting rotation, I rarely draft them.  It’s also why I’m lower than most on Forrest Whitley.  He’s coming in the rankings, just not yet, even though I see him being drafted about ten spots prior to this point.  Not by me.  I can’t see how Stripling is in the Dodgers’ rotation without an injury, which is to say by April I will have moved Stripling up these rankings, and crossed out someone *cough* Kershaw *cough*.  To take me out of the equation, Rudy’s projections have Stripling down for 83 IP.  If you’re drafting early, I could see grabbing Stripling in the top 50 starters, and betting on an injury to someone in the Dodgers’ rotation.  If you’re drafting late, and Stripling is still not in the rotation, he’s around this point or lower.  I’m splitting the difference, tee bee aitch.  2019 Projections: 10-3/3.51/1.21/119 in 109 IP

78. Jimmy Nelson – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Nelson) re-signed with the Brewers.  Nelson is firmly in the ‘Don’t forget about these pitchers in 2019’ camp, but only for people who didn’t own him for parts or all of 2018 when he was firmly in the camp of, ‘He’s gonna return and be great, I can’t believe I only have to keep him on my DL for 6 weeks…hmm…9 weeks…hmm, he’s due back right after the break…will he be break in September?  Okay, I can drop him now, right?'”  And that’s me rehashing me!  2019 Projections:  7-5/4.08/1.30/127 in 119 IP

79. Matt Strahm – Da duh duh, da duh duh!  Let the boys be boys!  Strahm!  Due to his spring training performance, I couldn’t overlook what Strahm Da duh duh, da duh duh! was doing anymore. He throws 94 MPH fastball with a curve, slide-piece and change that are varying levels of plus.  In the minors, he regularly registered a 10+ K/9 and even tamed his once-wild command to respectable levels in the last year.  I love NL West pitchers, and there feels like a real chance for a breakout here.  So, definitely draft Strahm Da duh duh, da duh duh!  Let the boys be boys!  (If you can say his name without the rest of that, you’re a better man than I.)  2019 Projections: 8-3/3.19/1.05/132 in 125 IP

80. Touki Toussaint – To prove that we’re all fallible, I’m surprised I didn’t write a rookie outlook post for Touki.  To prove I know what fallible means, I used it in a sentence.  Twice!  I think I know what I was thinking.  The Braves are a contender, and I’m shocked if Touki gets more than 100 innings.  Not the greatest excuse, since I did outlook posts for guys like Honeywell.  In general, I hate rookie pitchers.  Correction, I hate drafting rookie pitchers.  Honeywell should be on the DL to start the year, which is a plus for stashing.  In most leagues, you can just pick up rookie pitchers, get roofied, and drop them.  In deep leagues, you draft a rookie pitcher, sit on them for three months, then they get called up and replace your kidney with an accordion while you’re passed out in an Afghani cave.   So, why rank Touki first?  Because it looks like he’s in the rotation to start the year.  This, of course, is bound to change within days of me releasing these rankings and I will end up dropping him out of this tier.  For now, though, I did it all for the Touki.  2019 Projections:  8-5/3.97/1.36/108 in 97 IP

80. Bryse Wilson – With Gausman and Faultyelbowitz headed to the IL (which is short for ill), Wilson, Kyle Wright and sometimes Max Fried will be in the Braves’ rotation. This is going to come as a surprise for people but I prefer Bryse Wilson to Wright (or Fried).  At only 21 years of age, Bryce has so major poyse.  In Triple-A, he had 11.5 K/9 and 1.2 BB/9 in only 22 IP, and not much worse in a larger sample size in Double-A (10.4 K/9, 3 BB/9).  He throws 95 MPH and has an above-average slider and change.  I’d never choose a rookie pitcher for Rookie of the Year-type accolades, but, if I were, Bryse is the type of guy I’d look at.  Now wouldn’t that be Bryse for Wilson.  2019 Projections: 7-4/3.82/1.24/126 in 121

  1. dubjay says:
    (link)

    Hey grey,
    I was just offered a doozy in my 12 team H2H keeper league. We keep 10
    Guy offered me TROUT,MARQUEZ and VILLAR for my MERRIFIELD, MONDESI and TREINEN. Probably would only keep trout of the 3. So it’s basically Merrifield/mondesi and treinen(not sure that I’d be keeping him) for TROUT. He wanted to swap my 1st for his 3rd pick as well. Do I have to take this? It’s not often you are offered the best player in the game

    • Leon says:
      (link)

      @dubjay: trout??? why haven’t you accepted yet?

    • Breadnbutter says:
      (link)

      @dubjay: Take it asap!

    • Harley Earl says:
      (link)

      @dubjay:

      Take it now. Do not wait for Grey to tell you to take it, as it is guaranteed Grey will.

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
      (link)

      @dubjay:
      Accept, accept, accept. NOW

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @dubjay: Agree with others

  2. Ante Galic says:
    (link)

    Grey!!!!!

    What a wonderful world it is having your Top 80 for pitchers report to read!!! Louis Armstrong would add it to his song if he’d known my joy!

    a. The dollar condom tier reminds me of something we have in Canada. Not sure if it’s been adopted stateside. In your local grocery store, there is a jar at the cash register. On it, there’s a 3M post it that says give a penny / take a penny. Like if the bill comes to $1.01, you can take a penny and save getting a mound of change. Similarly, you can give a penny if the bill comes to $0.99. Question to my Rabbi: Is it okay to always take and not give the penny?

    b. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote of the day for February 4

    1. It was revealed this week that defense lawyer Johnny Cochrane once abused his first wife. In his defense, Cochrane said “Hey, at least I didn’t kill her like some people I know.”

    2. In his book, O.J. Simpson says that he would have taken a bullet or stood in front a train for Nicole. Man, I’m gonna tell you that is some bad luck when the one guy who would have died for you, KILLS you!

    3, The game Monopoly turned 60 years old this week. You know things were so much simpler back then when people traveled around by a hat or a thimble.

    4. Last week, after more than a month in the frigid darkness, jubilant residents of Canada’s Arctic set off fireworks, danced and ate caribou in celebration of their first glimpse of sunlight. And as the sun briefly illuminated the sky, they looked at each other and said “Hey what the hell is this we’re eating? Is this caribou?”

    5. Taco Bell this week introduced a new light menu as well as a new slogan. Half the fat, but still tastes like crap! Taco Bell.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Ante Galic: Louis Armstrong played fantasy baseball? A. I look at it like, if I’m taking, then it gives someone else joy to know they were able to supply me with a penny B. 3 — haha!

      • Ante Galic says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Grey!!

        Thanks, man.

        Really thought you’d like #2 but then you’ve seen so much #2 in your life (on this site) I can also see your subconscious protecting you from liking anything related to #2.

        Cheers,
        Ante

  3. Cersy says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,
    Great stuff as always!
    How would your Harper projections change if he signed in San Diego? Someone told me that they moved the fences in at Petco. Have you heard this too? I can’t seem to confirm that online.
    Thanks,
    Cersy

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Cersy: I heard Petco moved the fences in 3 years ago and it did nothing…

      • The Great Knoche says:
        (link)

        @Grey: It’s a blip on the radar but Petco was actually a hitters park last year. 13th best hitters park. So middle of the road. Home runs it was 16th.

        Before the all star break it was actually top 10 for both. Must have been some crazy SoCal weather last spring.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Honestly, it’s prolly closer to neutral than a great pitchers or hitters park…Maybe a slight lean on helping pitchers

          • JM says:
            (link)

            @Grey: SD is a Jeckyl & Hyde park. Day games and/or hot/dry weather from the Santa Ana winds and it plays like Coors. When the marine layer rolls in (which is often right around 7pm in the summer), I’d imagine it’s like trying to hit a baseball underwater….

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Maybe, I’d have to look into it

  4. Bbboston says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    AL Only 5×5 Roto Auction Leage with 8 keepers; 9 teams

    Heretofore, I’ve generally favored offense when choosing keepers. However, this year AL Only SP is a total dumpster fire, beyond top 20/30 or so. Right now I can keep 3 SP. first two:
    clevenger $11
    Heaney $5
    Shoemaker $5 or Skaggs $11

    Who do you like better of Skaggs and shoemaker?

    • Bbboston says:
      (link)

      @Bbboston:

      Grey,

      One alternative is Trevor May @$8. Feels like he will be Twins closer

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        @Bbboston: May…be, I’m guessing Blake Parker right now

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Bbboston: I like Skaggs better, but at that price I’d likely just go Shoemaker

  5. Leon says:
    (link)

    Pick up to 7 players. It can be less. If we pick less we get to draft earlier according to how many players we keep. DEEP 18 manager dynasty league. AVG/OBP/SLG (7 categories) hitting.. 7 category pitching… wins/holds/QS/SV.

    List of players that i consider worth while to choose from:
    Judge, Correa, Hoskins, Ozzie albies, conforto, Odor, Kiriloff.
    Glasnow, Eovaldi, Lucchessi, Ottavino, Julio Urias.

    • Leon says:
      (link)

      @Leon: Side note, everyone in the top 20 SP of your ranking are being kept.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Leon: Judge, Correa, Hoskins, Ozzie albies, conforto, Glasnow, Lucchesi — you’re gonna have to work for your pitching

  6. LG Baseball says:
    (link)

    Grey!

    Hope you’ve been well and loving your rankings so far! Keeper question. H2H 10 team league with following cats: R,H,HR,RBI, SB, AVG, BB and W,SV, K, ERA and WHIP. Each team can keep 10 players. My team from last year is:

    Trout
    Betts
    Trea
    Baez
    Hoskins
    Rendon
    Albies
    Dahl
    Realmuto
    Conforto
    Shohei Otani (batter)
    Carpenter
    Villar
    Mallex

    Bauer
    Taillon
    German

    Which 10 would you keep? I was thinking the first 9 hitters I listed plus Bauer.

    You are also allowed pre-season trades and could potentially move Albies (as could play Baez at 2B) for Walker Buehler, Flaherty or another top 20 SP. Would you do that or stay and see how the year starts?

    Thanks!
    LG

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @LG Baseball: Thanks! Yup, 1st 8 hitters and Bauer, Conforto or Villar, forget Realmuto

      • LG Baseball says:
        (link)

        @Grey: thanks! Will make that change

        An offer just came in. Would you trade Albies for Rizzo?

        LG

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nah

  7. Lee says:
    (link)

    Inheriting a team in a keeper league. 10 teams h2H 8 x 8 with extra 3 Pitching K/9, QS and IP (not my choice on overkill). Keepers are valued at 2 rounds before last year’s spot. Can keep 0 to 5. While you are not high on drafting top SP, would you keep Cole who was drafted in the 7th round, who will count as my 5th round this year (pick 41 to 50)? Thinking yes given the draft spot and the 3 extra categoires, but want to hear your thoughts. Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Lee: Yes

  8. Bitter Beerface says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    This whole section feels like a clown car packed with unhinged rabid lunatics. I feel like I will have to pluck one of these snarling, foaming-at-the-mouth tossers for my teams and hope they transform into foaming lips quality starters. But who? Oh they’re so bad!

    Keuchel, Arrieta, Godley, Shoemaker, Rodon, Wacha, Matz are all on my Note-To-Self Noose-Is-In-The-Closet List. I will NOT suffer through them again.

    So now we’re down to a couple intriguing names. El Pollo Loco, as I fondly call Tyson Ross; Pirates contact pitcher guys; and long relievers that sit at the end of the bench and constantly try to make eye contact with their manager, like a golden retriever that wants to go for a walk or a treat OR SOMETHING ANYTHING JUST TALK TO ME!!! So Stripling, McHugh you’re just hoping for the manager to notice.

    But what’s to like about Tyson Pollo Ross? 32, but looks older than Gus Fring. He had two decent starts with StL in September, but even then averaged 5.1 K/9 with 3.4 BB/9. However, it just FEELS like he’s a nice bounceback candidate with the AL Central divisional bias and he could be the frontline starter on a bad Tigers team. Wins will be tough to come by but only the Tribe really has scary hitters. Should be available in the 225-250 range? I’d take a flyer.

    Ross, Eflin, Musgrove…that’s who I’d pluck from this dusty bargain bin of razor blades and used hypodermic needles. Hope I don’t contract something while also hoping they don’t bite me.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Bitter Beerface: They can transform into Foaming Lips very easily… Don’t lose hope, Bitter Beerface! I like Ross too as a bounce back, think it’s now or never…Though, it might be never, that is a possibility…

  9. Ace of Spades says:
    (link)

    Like a kid waking up on Christmas morning running to open presents from Santa under the tree is the much older version of me every Monday thru Friday in anticipation of your next rankings post. Thanks for bringing me Childhood Christmas joy every morning for weeks after all of the decorations of that holiday are put away in the garage.

    mixed keeper 14 teams auction keep up to 11

    Trying to decide my last keeper amongst the following, please rank for me and as always, thanks in advance.

    Cedrick Mullins $10
    Daniel Palka $10
    Scott Schebler $5
    Kyle Gibson $3

  10. Sweatpants Nation says:
    (link)

    What a sorry bunch. I had Williams all last year and was glad in the second half. Hard to trust the carry over. Another Searage pitch-to-contact guy. I did pick up Gibson in a supplemental draft and used him with others to get Bauer in a keeper league so I might be suckered into going back to him because of the warm fuzzies.
    Side note- watched Hanna on Prime. It was promoted during the Stupid Bowl. 1st episode only available for 24 hours. It was ok. Could be worth it

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Sweatpants Nation: When’s Hanna coming out? I’ll prolly watch then if it gets decent reviews

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        And by ‘decent reviews’ I mean someone in the comments tells me it’s good

        • Sweatpants Nation says:
          (link)

          @Grey: I don’t know when it comes out. First episode was ok but not great. I’ll probably watch it so can let you know. We agreed on Escape From Dan so maybe we have similar tastes haha

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Yeah, let me know!

  11. Goldirocks says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey; Thx for the rankings!
    re Reynaldo Lopez – I believe the ranking is about right – allowing for some upside without drafting him too highly, but I was confused by your comments (all negative) about him. I understand the underlying season numbers were bad for Lopez; and his K rate was fairly low for the above-average fastball velocity he owns.
    I wonder however, if any more credence should be given to how well he pitched in the last month of the season? eg. From Aug 24 to Sep 28 he started 7 games. averaging 6.4 innings per game and 6.86 Ks per game (approx. 9.5 K/9), and no higher than 3.18 ERA during that stretch…
    Granted he was gawd-awful prior to that; and he is on a bad team, but he is young and I wonder if there isn’t some more hope that he figured something out? He added a wipe-out slider to his Fastball, changeup, curve selection during the season, which seemingly began to work very well for him.
    Just curious if you think he really is avoid at all costs?

      • Dave D says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        I agree with you Goldi. I think Grey may have looked at just annual stats like FIP. You’re right, he made adjustments and increased his 2nd half k/IP to 8.17, and a 1.18 WHIP but was especially good once he hit August. The main thing that tells me he’s better than his FIP is how his opponents fared their 3rd time through the order with him: .173 BA .265 OBP .324 SLG. He got better as the game, and season, went along. That’s what I look for in a 24/25 yo pitching sleeper.

        Take that, Grey!!! Hehe.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha

          • Dave D says:
            (link)

            @Grey:

            The good news is that you only have to be right 30% of the time to remain a card-carrying certifiable ‘pert and I believe you’ll still be well above that. Right?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              I didn’t think it was as high as 30% tbh, not as far as some ESPn and Yahoo ‘perts go

  12. Cohen says:
    (link)

    Grey, draft strategy question.12 team roto with 6 th pick
    If i draft Yelich at 6 i was going to take Story at 19 if hes there.If Acuna falls do i still take Story or Acuna?

  13. Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
    (link)

    Owned Godley and Arrieta last year and wanted to send anthrax to their homes. Watching them pitch made me physically ill.

  14. Cohen says:
    (link)

    Grey, i have 6 th pick in 12 team roto. Draft strategy question.
    If i take Yelich at 6 i was going to take Story at 19. If Acuna falls do i go Yelich/Acuna or Yelich/Story?

  15. Five-on-One says:
    (link)

    Grey – Question about line-up placement. How much do you adjust stats based on where a hitter is hitting in the line-up. For example, rumor has it that DeJong might be hitting 3rd in the Cardinal’s line-up (behind carpenter and Goldy and in front of Ozuna and Molina. This could be prime position for RBIs and Runs. If true, does this impact your valuation/ranking of him (a) none, (b) a little, (c) there is no c, (d) a lot, (e) if true for the entire year, should increase those two categories a bit, but unlikely to be true for the entire year, so disregard for now.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Five-on-One: I love to hear that if true, I don’t know if it is yet — I do like him

  16. Matty says:
    (link)

    Love the Prefontaine- waffle reference.

  17. Peacecoast says:
    (link)

    Ahh Emanuelle. I remember the masturbatory bliss of finding one of those movies on late night. This was in Canada of course on the French channels. Kids these days have it so easy!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Too easy!

  18. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    Devers is BSOHL. This is not a drill. Hey Culligan Man.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I saw about Devers, so if a guy prides himself on never being in good shape, is it easier to get in BSOHL?

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: you make my point about my name during this time of year

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          JFOBSOHL?

      • BJFOHOHL says:
        (link)

        @Grey: sorry wrong name

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I am Trey Mancini, son of Trey Dadcini

  19. Dubjay says:
    (link)

    Hey grey,
    I was just offered a trade in my 12 team H2H keeper league. We keep 10
    Guy offered me TROUT,MARQUEZ and VILLAR for my MERRIFIELD, MONDESI and TREINEN. Probably would only keep trout of the 3. So it’s basically Merrifield/mondesi and treinen(not sure that I’d be keeping him) for TROUT. He wanted to swap my 1st for his 3rd pick as well. Do I have to take this? It’s not often you are offered the best player in the game

    • Gonzo says:
      (link)

      @Dubjay: Dude he answered you above. Gotta do it

      • Dubjay says:
        (link)

        @Gonzo:
        Sorry about the double post

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Do it!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t understand why you wouldn’t take it?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Am I missing something?

  20. Malicious Phenoms says:
    (link)

    According to roto world Harper looks like he will sign with the mystery team. You think they have cool unis that say mystery team on the front?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Their unis are the wrapper for the mystery flavor Dum Dums

  21. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    Here’s a deep sleeper for you. Corey Spingebob. First on the depth chart in Milwaukee. Good side of any platoon. Heard the GM saying how much he likes him. Brewers seem to be one of those teams lately that gets the best out of guys. The scout in me has always felt he’s got a good season in him somewhere. Shown a little pop. Has a good % when he does run. Brewers might encourage him to go. Be a good NL look maybe get a 10 & 15 season.

    • eh. i’ll draft him again when the reds pick him up to replace gennett.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Why are you so against Scooter?

        • how can scooter do so well when he knows nothing about the NL, you huckleberry!

          • Peacecoast says:
            (link)

            @Rudy Gamble: who goes to vegas and doesn’t drink a thing

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Stop picking on us!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Easy, White!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, I feel like we go down the Corey Spongebob path every year around this time, then he’s no longer 1st on the bench depth chart by May and I own SpongeBob in a deep league where I can’t ever drop him… I’d bet on Hernan Perez, fwiw

  22. Dan says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    Another great write up and the podcasts have been great! I have a keeper question for you..

    My core keepers are: Lindor, Machado, Dahl, Soto

    Who would you rather pair with them Harper, or Turner?

    Thanks for your wisdom and guidance!

    – Dan

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Trea

  23. Juan says:
    (link)

    Gray,
    I need a 10th keeper for a H2H league.

    These are my options – Treinen, Tanaka, Bader, J.Martinez, Sano, Newcomb, and Matz.

    My Sps are – Buehler, Severino, and Snell.
    My offernse – Torres, abreau, mazara, hicks, merifield, moncada.

    I don’t get to draft until the 3rd round.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      What’s the question?

      • Peacecoast says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Tell him to keep Bader, or Sano cuz it’s HTH

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          SANO is practically an acronym for BSOHL

      • juan says:
        (link)

        @Grey:
        my questions is who do i keep from these options – Treinen, Tanaka, Bader, J.Martinez, Sano, Newcomb, and Matz.

        Does Treinen have better value than bader? or does bader fit my needs more?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Treinen over Bader — Is that Jose Martinez or JD Martinez?

          Nothing from my rankings would change on any of these guys… I don’t want 5 of them

  24. bbboston says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    Good Humor me for a second……

    Let’s pretend Tulo is healthy and “back” (age-adjusted)…. what does that mean from a roster perspective? Stats? Give me an over under to this: .275 BA, 24 HR?

    • bbboston says:
      (link)

      @bbboston:

      PS: If you follow Tulo’s comments and observers observations, sure seems like he is back……

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Tulo’s BSOHL is a tennis racket taped together by wet tape

        • Peacecoast says:
          (link)

          @Grey: and semen (what?)

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            We were dressed as naval cadets, so?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Tulo’s BSOHL is a tennis racket taped together by wet tape

  25. BJFOHOHL says:
    (link)

    How do you deal with the emotional comedown after finishing the last kingdom?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      It sucks, I started Gomorra again with Cougs, and I will watch Last Kingdom again when we’re done

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Only two shows I ever want to watch again

        • Peacecoast says:
          (link)

          @Grey: shocked you liked TLK so much. I mean I liked it but it felt kinda low budget. Gritty, real, and historical. Good acting jobs all around.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Thought it was amazing, not sure why you didn’t think I’d like it…Do I not like wonderful?

            • Peacecoast says:
              (link)

              @Grey: well it did not really move me or anything, nothing ground breaking really. I just like nerdy medieval sword stuff. I thought it was one of those poorly watched netflix shows.

              Now The Leftovers… that is a show. You know that is my all time favorite.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                I loved the 2nd season of The Leftovers and parts of the 3rd… The 1st season was not good, and parts of the 3rd

      • BJFOHOHL says:
        (link)

        @Grey: You watch Vikings? Its on Amazon and I watched the first episode and didn’t hate it

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I never saw it, but now I think I should bc I just like Vikings… If only there was a major sport team for me to wear of jersey of…

          • Wass says:
            (link)

            @Grey: I’m 4 seasons deep and it’s my favorite show… I got unnecessarily enfatuated with Donaldson to the detriment of my teams last year cause he appears in it haha I watched 1 episode of TLK and Vikings and chose Vikings now I’m going to pick up TLK due to everyone’s recommendations. I think they’re similar from everything I’ve heard.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Nice! I think I have to watch Vikings now

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Wait, Vikings has 4 seasons?! Oh glory be!

              • Wass says:
                (link)

                @Grey: Awesome! I was wrong it’s actually 5 haha I lost count cause they split season 4 and 5 into 2 parts. It’s 70 total episodes. Everything but season 5 part 2 is on amazon. I’m going to start TLK so I can actually compare them haha

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  5 seasons? This better be good, Wass, I’m gonna be watching it until June!

                  • Wass says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: oh man, pressure is on, hope you end up liking it!

                    I’ve been looking for a show so thanks for the rec Grey. Fantasy baseball and show advice, does it get any better??

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha, nope! You should watch Escape from Dannemora too

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  TLK was great

                  • Wass says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: Will do! That one is only 1 season, so I’ll start there since I can finish that quick.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Cool!

  26. D Fresh says:
    (link)

    Sphinx says: Lay on back and make it rain. Then take a shower, preferably not golden agian.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      That’s why the Sphinx never made it as a weatherman

  27. Joe Shmoe says:
    (link)

    Hi Mr. Grey,
    Not sure if I should trade Voit…What pitching tier would you aspire to if you were going to trade him in a 16 team, 5×5, no HRs?
    Thank you and have a groovy day.

    • Joe Shmoe says:
      (link)

      @Joe Shmoe: Ooops…Dynasty too

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d aim for the Hanging Gardens of Babylon Snapchat Filter

  28. Jason says:
    (link)

    10 team H2H keeper. Would you prefer Severino or Albies/Alex Reyes? I have Nola and Marquez being kept at SP and my hitters are Abreu/Bregman/Arenado/Marte/Hoskins/Luis Urias. Scoring in this league makes top SPs highly valuable. Thanks!

  29. William says:
    (link)

    I’m in a 16 team keeper league with standard 5×5 categories. I have Syndergaard, Clevinger and Glasnow kept. If I wanted to prioritize auction dollars for hitting what is the last tier that you’d be comfortable drafting SP from to fill out the rotation? Thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hey, Bill, you have a #1, 2, 3… Ergo, you need a 4, 5 and 6

  30. Uncle Urnie says:
    (link)

    I have 7 keepers in my 8 team league. Got strong bats with Lindor $15 Arenado $13 Blackmon $14 Yelich $20 Merrifield $6 Suarez $4. With my last keeper I have either Scherzer $35 Clevinger $3 or Mikolas $3. Thinking Scherzer since that’s problebly little under market value on him and go hard for Clevinger in draft. Thanks for these rankings they surly are the Holy Grail of fantasy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Scherzer

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No problem, Uncle Ernie!

  31. Sal Grieco says:
    (link)

    Love your arcticles! Question for you or anyone.. I need to select 5 keepers. Each player loses 2 spots from where they were previously drafted the year prior. I have Bryant, Correa, Jimenez, Dahl, Peralta, Mondesi, Degrom, Buehler, and Flahrety.. who would you keep.. im not worried about where they were drafted last year.. all great value.. the earliest i would have to keep someone is Degrom in the 14th. This is a standard 5 by5 league

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks, Sal! Bryant, Mondesi, deGrom, Buehler, Dahl

      • Salvatore Grieco says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks! I am sort of where you are.. it is hard parting with correa, but will he play a full year? can he produce double digit steals? Idk but I think Dahl can replace what he would give me if he had a healthy year

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I think so too, as long as the Rockies don’t do anything stupid and sign CarGo

  32. Old School Brother says:
    (link)

    Grey!

    Two things;

    1. Why hasn’t Martin Perez been ranked yet? Surely he’ll make top 100

    2. I’m drinking a crisp and refreshing Bubly (not to be confused with Michael Bubble). Got a new Job and the work fridge is stacked to the brim with em. Cranberry is the best I’ve tried so far

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1. Martin Perez? The guy with a higher ERA than K/9? OSB, you might wanna sit down

      2. How’s elderflower? I hear it brings out one’s machismo

      • Old School Brother says:
        (link)

        @Grey: low ERA’s and high K/9 are soooooo overrated.

        Haven’t tried Elderflower, sounds like a flavor more in tune with Tehol

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha, Tehol is his own flavor, I’m sure

          • Old School Brother says:
            (link)

            @Grey: If Andy had his own Bubly flavor it’d be a delish mixture of cucumber and cigarette ash

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Warhol?

  33. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    10 team OBP league

    Would you trade $7 Brantley for $10 Taillion in a keeper. My bats are solid

    Story
    Correa
    Arenado
    Ozuna
    Dahl
    Bryant

    Also have $10 Flaherty, $10 clevinger, $6 Snell and debating keeping $10 Glasnow as a RP slot.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I would

      • The Great Knoche says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Good, most top bats gone, but think I’ll have money to go after Goldy or Altuve and fill in the rest

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Cool

  34. thatguy says:
    (link)

    You take that back about DeChlamydia

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha

  35. gregg says:
    (link)

    got offered 4 years of taillon and 6 years of trammell for 6 years of tatis in dynasty. Which side?

    i’m stacked at SS w/ lindor, turner, story already. so, how special is tatis?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      That doesn’t sound bad at all for Tatis…

      • Gregg says:
        (link)

        Thanks

  36. Dan says:
    (link)

    Have a Anthony Rendon for Xander boegarts offer. Seems fair but if Harper is gone do you see that effecting Rendons numbers ? Keep Rendon or Boegarts ?? I do have m. Andujar as a keeper 3b. I just traded machado and sterling marte for j.d. martinez and Goldy so thats why i am wondering about Boegarts.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Rendon or Bogaerts is a coin flip based on needs… I’d take Bogaerts if I needed a SS

  37. I’m surprised you’re so far down on Trevor Williams. I know the K rate is pedestrian but is there a reason you expect his ERA to regress as much as you do? I have him as a potential 19th round keeper and he seems like good value at that spot.

  38. Jason says:
    (link)

    I’m reading your top 80 pitchers so obviously I enjoy and value your insight. And I like Shoemaker, he was a great late season find back in 2016, and helped win a championship for me. But I still can’t believe that you would rank him ahead of Stroman and Aaron Sanchez.

    Sanchez for one led the league in ERA two years ago. Both him and Shoemaker have injury troubles, so canceling that out Sanchez has way higher upside for late round flyer. And Stroman isn’t great for fantasy with his low k/9 and high whip. But he should see a lot of positive regression this year and return at least the value of a top 75 pitcher, and probably better than that. Wouldn’t pay for him but you have him not returning what is essentially a $3 value. And Shoemaker now has to pitch in the AL East against NY and Boston, pitching in a homer friendly home ballpark, being the 3 or 4th starter on what looks like being a terrible team. Am I missing something here that would put Shoemaker ahead of these guys?

Comments are closed.