With the top 80 starters for 2019 fantasy baseball, we are so close to the end of the rankings, I can almost taste it!  Wait, that’s not rankings I taste, I bit my lip and it’s blood.  I wonder if when Dracula bites his lip it’s like when Cougs goes out with her friends and I’m left at home while Emmanuelle is on Cinemax.  I’ll go over exactly how to draft starters in a few days, but there are so many ways to skin a cat we should have PETA breathing down our necks.  Also, I’m hoping to do the RCL signups next Monday.  Stay tuned!  Or not, your call.  All the 2019 fantasy baseball rankings are there.  Here’s Steamer’s 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers.  All projections listed are mine and I mention where I see tiers starting and stopping.  Anyway, here’s the top 80 starters for 2019 fantasy baseball:

61. Zach Eflin – This tier started in the top 60 starters for 2019 fantasy baseball.  This tier goes from here until Heaney.  I called this tier, “An obstetrician screaming, ‘Talk about a hole in one!'”  As for Eflin, okay, so this whole tier is guys I seriously considered writing sleeper posts on, but time got away from me, as it always does.  As the Steve Miller Band once said, “Time keeps on slippin’ slippin’.”  No wonder that guy got into music, his last name is Band.  Eflin’s velocity popped from 92 to 94 last year; he started throwing his slider a lot more, and it worked for him, and he stopped using his curve as much because it wasn’t working.  His K/9 went from garbage (under 5!) to 8.7 K/9 last year and he’s always had great command.  I really need to write a sleeper on this guy.  The only drawback, and, of course, there’s one since he’s this late, he might not be in the rotation all year, and could struggle to throw more than 160 IP.  2019 Projections: 12-7/3.87/1.27/144 in 157 IP

62. Joe Musgrove – This guy reminds me of a milkshake you make when you’re eight years old.  You throw some ice cream in a blender, then you throw some Oreo cookies, then you throw Animal crackers, then your math homework.  You blend it all together and you get something delicious or absolutely awful, depending on how much homework you add.  That’s Joe Musgrove.  If you throw in his walk rate from last year (1.8 BB/9), his strikeout rate from two years ago (8.1) and his heavy reliance on his cutter from last year, you get a surprisingly delicious pitcher, or an absolutely awful one.  2019 Projections: 8-10/3.84/1.16/134 in 155 IP

63. Andrew Heaney – Already gave you my Andrew Heaney sleeper.  It kept saying, “Mark my words.” UPDATE:  The Angels are saying Heaney’s dealing with elbow problems, but they’re also saying it’s no big deal.  The MRI is clean!  Great, someone Windex’d the MRI results.  Can we get a real doctor who doesn’t use Pledge on the MRI results?  This doesn’t sound like good news, but I’m trying to remain optimistic since Heaney dealt with this last year at this time too.  I did lower his projections though.  2019 Projections:  11-7/3.58/1.16/152 in 154 IP

64. Jake Arrieta – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Rodon.  I call this tier, “Blood oozing from a Lost & Found.”  To draft one of these starters, you would have to lose your mind.  If you lost your mind, you’d get blood oozing from a Lost & Found.  I could’ve ranked all of these guys after the top 100 starters overall, and seriously considered it, but I figured if I told you to avoid these guys, and later gave you my tool (hehe, my tool) to draft pitchers, you should be fine.  I guarantee there will still be people who ask, why did you rank Reynaldo (or any of these guys) here if you don’t want to draft them?  Short answer is:  cause.  Long answer is:  because.  Answer on a exam question when you need at least 500+ words:  because I said so, that’s why, why do you need five hundred words, yadda500.  I tried to sufficiently bury this tier, but if they’re not buried enough, avoid anyway.  As for Arrieta, I love that he was able to add some velocity year over year, but I hate that he’s lost strides in every other category year over year over year over–You get it.  2019 Projections: 12-9/4.10/1.29/149 in 185 IP

65. Dallas Keuchel – As I’ve said numerous times, I get the feeling Keuchel will be back in the Lone Star state.  Am I hedging by not saying Astros, because he might sign with the Rangers?  P to the erhaps.  Honestly, I haven’t liked Keuchel at any point in his career, and can’t imagine ever owning him, no matter the team he ends up on.  Maybe that’s why he’s yet to sign.  Or maybe because Major League Baseball teams are actively entering into collusion.  Tomato-tomato said with a different emphasis.  2019 Projections: 13-9/3.81/1.28/149 in 198 IP

66. Jhoulys Chacin – This tier always gets me in trouble every year.  I feel it already with people thoroughly confused why I gave such terrible projections and said such awful things about guys I’m ranking above guys below.  I just said this in Arrieta’s blurb, but I’m saying avoid these guys, so you can stop reading this tier, if you like.  However, if you want more….This tier is filled with guys who are safer bets to throw 170-ish innings.  To grab a few guys from tiers below:  Shoemaker, Cahill, McHugh, etc. are safe bets to throw, what, 40 innings?  And I contemplated writing zero innings there, but forced myself to write 40.  170 innings of 4.10 ERA and possibly 40 IP of 3.25 ERA are a coin flip based on risk.  Personally, I want to avoid the 4.10-4.35 ERA at 170 IP guys, but this is about where they should be ranked.  “Hello?  PETA?  No, I don’t enjoy beating dead horses, why do you ask and how’d you get my number?  Off a bathroom wall?”  2019 Projections:  11-9/4.15/1.20/147 in 181 IP

67. Zack Godley – It would take a miracle for me to pull the trigger on Godley.  Okay, not a miracle, I’d settle for Godley’s image showing up in the soap suds in my tub, and my photo of said suds sent to the Vatican, eliciting this response, “Not God, but may be Godley.”  His walks were so outta control last year that the only thing Godley didn’t walk on was water.  2019 Projections:  8-13/4.22/1.30/188 in 183 IP

68. Trevor Williams – I loved Williams last year.  He won me some leagues.  So, I guess this is my way of saying, it was nice owning/knowing you!  2019 Projections:  10-10/4.07/1.22/135 in 182 IP

69. Reynaldo Lopez – Wow, Reynaldo’s numbers are awful.  I’m just going to grab one number to illustrate:  5.22 xFIP.  I mean, holy shizzballs, that’s terrible.  Avoid at all costs.  2019 Projections:  8-12/4.31/1.38/158 in 187 IP

70. Carlos Rodon – No offense to the White Sox’s dreams of fantasticiness (made-up word of the day), but their pitching staff leaves more to be desired than having your house painted by Jackson Pollock.  “Um, dude, you just sort of splashed paint on our front door, and you reek of booze.”   2019 Projections:  8-11/4.28/1.34/145 in 164 IP

71. Matt Shoemaker – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Ross.  I call this tier, “Dollar Store condoms.”  By this tier name I mean, these guys are a mix of sorta safe, sorta cheap and worth a flyer.  “Wow, I’ve seen lambskin condoms before, but I never knew they made hedgehog skin condoms.”  That’s you going through the Dollar Store condom assortment.  For those who have studied in Grey’s Gardens for a while, you will know this is tier name I’ve used in past years.  It helps me get a feel for where I am in the pitcher rankings.  To explain further because I explain everything further, I like to build my pitching staffs the same every year.  I’ll go over this more in my pitching tool I will release in a few days.  The gist is, I like to try to work in a starter that can be reliable late in the game that won’t cost a ton that I can just discard if it comes down to it.  That’s this tier.  Not crazy upside, like the next tier, and not safe and upsidey like the obstetrician tier.  Usually this tier is cheap, older guys.  As for Shoemaker, here’s what I said when he signed with the Jays, “The Blue Jays with a solid signing!  The Cobbler is going to make some contender extremely happy when he’s traded in July.  Could see Shoemaker in the AL East working behind Happ, Sale, maybe even Snell, in August.  Watch the Jays shock the world and promote Vlad Jr., Biggio and Bichette and every other demon seed of the 2007 All-Star Game, and be a contender themselves.  Shoemaker is your standard, ‘When healthy, so sexy’ starter.   WHSS, for short.  WHSS is also short for Wishes for Suckers.  Of course, I will draft Shoemaker and accept his 50-something dominant innings, while praying for 140+ innings.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2019 Projections:  7-5/3.69/1.22/127 in 134 IP

72. Collin McHugh – Honestly, the only thing that stopped me from writing a Collin McHugh sleeper post is I’m not in the habit of writing sleeper posts about middle relievers.  I’m also not in the habit of ranking middle relievers as starters, so here’s to new beginnings.  *checks off New Year’s resolution to rank middle relievers as starters*   I’ve really accomplished something in 2019!  First, I’d like to thank my much older wife, Cougs.  Without you, I’d take out the trash, but I’d have no one asking me to do it.  Incessantly.  *makes heart sign with hands by chest*  McHugh looks like he has the Astros’ pixie dust magic, but getting a full read on a guy who spent all of last year in middle relief is hard.  That’s what she said with an eye roll.  I think McHugh could slide back into the rotation and be a late-breakout as the Astros are known to do.  He also might get less than five starts all year, and be used in the bullpen.  2019 Projections: 8-3/3.12/1.12/123 in 109 IP

73. Michael Wacha – Usually if I’m burned by a guy I don’t immediately go back in, except, of course, Delino DeShields.  He’s burned me so much it’s more like Delino DeChlamydia.  However, I’m ready to get burned again by Wacha at this price.  He was saddled by injuries last year, only throwing 84 1/3 IP, but he still had a 3.20 ERA.  Sure, ERA is stupid, but it’s also a category in my leagues.  His Ks were down, walks were up and velocity way down, but, again, he was injured, so maybe we can discard some of his down year.  Let’s don that jellyfish-skin condom and get burned again!  By the way, you know how they say you should pee on a jellyfish sting to take away the pain?  What happens if you’re stung on your penis?  That’s a riddle for the Sphinx!  2019 Projections:  11-6/3.71/1.26/148 in 162 IP

74. Kyle Gibson – I can’t believe I’m recommending Gibson, but rawr, rawr like a dragon-skin condom, I’m going back in on him.  He upped his velocity last year and Ks (8.2 K/9), and there’s flashes of excellent command in his not-too-distant past.  Of course, he does seem like a Saberhagenmetrics darling, alternating good year with bad year, but Saberhagenmetricians are hard to be trusted due to their flagrant disregard of everything, except year number.  2019 Projections:  12-10/3.88/1.29/170 in 192 IP

75. Trevor Cahill – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Cahill) signed with the Angels.  Cahill must be perceived to be a lesser pitcher than Matt Harvey.  I’m assuming, at least, since he received two million less than him.  Funny how perception and reality are operating on different realms with fantasy balancing between the two.  Damn, that shizz is poetic!  I would want Cahill over Harvey, and not sure how close it is.  Cahill can’t stay healthy, but at least he’s serviceable when he is.”  And that’s me copying and pasting me!  2019 Projections: 7-8/4.02/1.23/117 in 124 IP

76. Tyson Ross – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Ross) signed with the Tigers.  My mind was blown when I saw he had 150 IP last year.  Apparently, it doesn’t take a lot to surprise me.  So, Bruce Willis was dead the whole time?!  Are you sure?!  Don’t hate this signing by the Tigers (admittedly have no idea how much they paid), I could see Ross getting back to just under a 4.00 ERA, if his command continues to improve back to pre-injury levels.”  And that’s me–you get the idea.  2019 Projections:  8-10/4.04/1.28/134 in 162 IP

77. Ross Stripling – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until the top 100 starters for 2019 fantasy baseball.  I call this tier, “A mountain of microscopic goose pimples.”  By the tier name I mean, I love the pitchers in this tier, but you need to be very close in proximity to fully appreciate their sample sizes.  One small note that I will go over more when I do the pitcher pairings post (say that fast 117 times!), this is the last pitcher tier to draft in shallower mixed leagues, so you’re around 250 overall.  As for Stripling, I’m a slave to depth charts.  If a guy is not in the starting rotation, I rarely draft them.  It’s also why I’m lower than most on Forrest Whitley.  He’s coming in the rankings, just not yet, even though I see him being drafted about ten spots prior to this point.  Not by me.  I can’t see how Stripling is in the Dodgers’ rotation without an injury, which is to say by April I will have moved Stripling up these rankings, and crossed out someone *cough* Kershaw *cough*.  To take me out of the equation, Rudy’s projections have Stripling down for 83 IP.  If you’re drafting early, I could see grabbing Stripling in the top 50 starters, and betting on an injury to someone in the Dodgers’ rotation.  If you’re drafting late, and Stripling is still not in the rotation, he’s around this point or lower.  I’m splitting the difference, tee bee aitch.  2019 Projections: 10-3/3.51/1.21/119 in 109 IP

78. Jimmy Nelson – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Nelson) re-signed with the Brewers.  Nelson is firmly in the ‘Don’t forget about these pitchers in 2019’ camp, but only for people who didn’t own him for parts or all of 2018 when he was firmly in the camp of, ‘He’s gonna return and be great, I can’t believe I only have to keep him on my DL for 6 weeks…hmm…9 weeks…hmm, he’s due back right after the break…will he be break in September?  Okay, I can drop him now, right?'”  And that’s me rehashing me!  2019 Projections:  7-5/4.08/1.30/127 in 119 IP

79. Matt Strahm – Da duh duh, da duh duh!  Let the boys be boys!  Strahm!  Due to his spring training performance, I couldn’t overlook what Strahm Da duh duh, da duh duh! was doing anymore. He throws 94 MPH fastball with a curve, slide-piece and change that are varying levels of plus.  In the minors, he regularly registered a 10+ K/9 and even tamed his once-wild command to respectable levels in the last year.  I love NL West pitchers, and there feels like a real chance for a breakout here.  So, definitely draft Strahm Da duh duh, da duh duh!  Let the boys be boys!  (If you can say his name without the rest of that, you’re a better man than I.)  2019 Projections: 8-3/3.19/1.05/132 in 125 IP

80. Touki Toussaint – To prove that we’re all fallible, I’m surprised I didn’t write a rookie outlook post for Touki.  To prove I know what fallible means, I used it in a sentence.  Twice!  I think I know what I was thinking.  The Braves are a contender, and I’m shocked if Touki gets more than 100 innings.  Not the greatest excuse, since I did outlook posts for guys like Honeywell.  In general, I hate rookie pitchers.  Correction, I hate drafting rookie pitchers.  Honeywell should be on the DL to start the year, which is a plus for stashing.  In most leagues, you can just pick up rookie pitchers, get roofied, and drop them.  In deep leagues, you draft a rookie pitcher, sit on them for three months, then they get called up and replace your kidney with an accordion while you’re passed out in an Afghani cave.   So, why rank Touki first?  Because it looks like he’s in the rotation to start the year.  This, of course, is bound to change within days of me releasing these rankings and I will end up dropping him out of this tier.  For now, though, I did it all for the Touki.  2019 Projections:  8-5/3.97/1.36/108 in 97 IP

80. Bryse Wilson – With Gausman and Faultyelbowitz headed to the IL (which is short for ill), Wilson, Kyle Wright and sometimes Max Fried will be in the Braves’ rotation. This is going to come as a surprise for people but I prefer Bryse Wilson to Wright (or Fried).  At only 21 years of age, Bryce has so major poyse.  In Triple-A, he had 11.5 K/9 and 1.2 BB/9 in only 22 IP, and not much worse in a larger sample size in Double-A (10.4 K/9, 3 BB/9).  He throws 95 MPH and has an above-average slider and change.  I’d never choose a rookie pitcher for Rookie of the Year-type accolades, but, if I were, Bryse is the type of guy I’d look at.  Now wouldn’t that be Bryse for Wilson.  2019 Projections: 7-4/3.82/1.24/126 in 121

151 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Jason
Jason
3 years ago

I’m reading your top 80 pitchers so obviously I enjoy and value your insight. And I like Shoemaker, he was a great late season find back in 2016, and helped win a championship for me. But I still can’t believe that you would rank him ahead of Stroman and Aaron Sanchez.

Sanchez for one led the league in ERA two years ago. Both him and Shoemaker have injury troubles, so canceling that out Sanchez has way higher upside for late round flyer. And Stroman isn’t great for fantasy with his low k/9 and high whip. But he should see a lot of positive regression this year and return at least the value of a top 75 pitcher, and probably better than that. Wouldn’t pay for him but you have him not returning what is essentially a $3 value. And Shoemaker now has to pitch in the AL East against NY and Boston, pitching in a homer friendly home ballpark, being the 3 or 4th starter on what looks like being a terrible team. Am I missing something here that would put Shoemaker ahead of these guys?

Fman99
3 years ago

I’m surprised you’re so far down on Trevor Williams. I know the K rate is pedestrian but is there a reason you expect his ERA to regress as much as you do? I have him as a potential 19th round keeper and he seems like good value at that spot.

Dan
Dan
3 years ago

Have a Anthony Rendon for Xander boegarts offer. Seems fair but if Harper is gone do you see that effecting Rendons numbers ? Keep Rendon or Boegarts ?? I do have m. Andujar as a keeper 3b. I just traded machado and sterling marte for j.d. martinez and Goldy so thats why i am wondering about Boegarts.

gregg
gregg
3 years ago

got offered 4 years of taillon and 6 years of trammell for 6 years of tatis in dynasty. Which side?

i’m stacked at SS w/ lindor, turner, story already. so, how special is tatis?

Gregg
Gregg
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

Thanks

thatguy
thatguy
3 years ago

You take that back about DeChlamydia

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
3 years ago

10 team OBP league

Would you trade $7 Brantley for $10 Taillion in a keeper. My bats are solid

Story
Correa
Arenado
Ozuna
Dahl
Bryant

Also have $10 Flaherty, $10 clevinger, $6 Snell and debating keeping $10 Glasnow as a RP slot.

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Good, most top bats gone, but think I’ll have money to go after Goldy or Altuve and fill in the rest

Old School Brother
Old School Brother
3 years ago

Grey!

Two things;

1. Why hasn’t Martin Perez been ranked yet? Surely he’ll make top 100

2. I’m drinking a crisp and refreshing Bubly (not to be confused with Michael Bubble). Got a new Job and the work fridge is stacked to the brim with em. Cranberry is the best I’ve tried so far

Old School Brother
Old School Brother
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: low ERA’s and high K/9 are soooooo overrated.

Haven’t tried Elderflower, sounds like a flavor more in tune with Tehol

Old School Brother
Old School Brother
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: If Andy had his own Bubly flavor it’d be a delish mixture of cucumber and cigarette ash

Sal Grieco
Sal Grieco
3 years ago

Love your arcticles! Question for you or anyone.. I need to select 5 keepers. Each player loses 2 spots from where they were previously drafted the year prior. I have Bryant, Correa, Jimenez, Dahl, Peralta, Mondesi, Degrom, Buehler, and Flahrety.. who would you keep.. im not worried about where they were drafted last year.. all great value.. the earliest i would have to keep someone is Degrom in the 14th. This is a standard 5 by5 league

Salvatore Grieco
Salvatore Grieco
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Thanks! I am sort of where you are.. it is hard parting with correa, but will he play a full year? can he produce double digit steals? Idk but I think Dahl can replace what he would give me if he had a healthy year

Uncle Urnie
Uncle Urnie
3 years ago

I have 7 keepers in my 8 team league. Got strong bats with Lindor $15 Arenado $13 Blackmon $14 Yelich $20 Merrifield $6 Suarez $4. With my last keeper I have either Scherzer $35 Clevinger $3 or Mikolas $3. Thinking Scherzer since that’s problebly little under market value on him and go hard for Clevinger in draft. Thanks for these rankings they surly are the Holy Grail of fantasy.

William
William
3 years ago

I’m in a 16 team keeper league with standard 5×5 categories. I have Syndergaard, Clevinger and Glasnow kept. If I wanted to prioritize auction dollars for hitting what is the last tier that you’d be comfortable drafting SP from to fill out the rotation? Thanks.

Jason
Jason
3 years ago

10 team H2H keeper. Would you prefer Severino or Albies/Alex Reyes? I have Nola and Marquez being kept at SP and my hitters are Abreu/Bregman/Arenado/Marte/Hoskins/Luis Urias. Scoring in this league makes top SPs highly valuable. Thanks!

Joe Shmoe
Joe Shmoe
3 years ago

Hi Mr. Grey,
Not sure if I should trade Voit…What pitching tier would you aspire to if you were going to trade him in a 16 team, 5×5, no HRs?
Thank you and have a groovy day.

Joe Shmoe
Joe Shmoe
Reply to  Joe Shmoe
3 years ago

@Joe Shmoe: Ooops…Dynasty too

Joe Shmoe
Joe Shmoe
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Umm…I’m kinda lost…could you offer numbers? I searched the posts an couln’t find Hanging Gardens of Babylon Snapchat Filter…

D Fresh
D Fresh
3 years ago

Sphinx says: Lay on back and make it rain. Then take a shower, preferably not golden agian.

BJFOHOHL
BJFOHOHL
3 years ago

How do you deal with the emotional comedown after finishing the last kingdom?

Peacecoast
Peacecoast
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: shocked you liked TLK so much. I mean I liked it but it felt kinda low budget. Gritty, real, and historical. Good acting jobs all around.

Peacecoast
Peacecoast
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: well it did not really move me or anything, nothing ground breaking really. I just like nerdy medieval sword stuff. I thought it was one of those poorly watched netflix shows.

Now The Leftovers… that is a show. You know that is my all time favorite.

BJFOHOHL
BJFOHOHL
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: You watch Vikings? Its on Amazon and I watched the first episode and didn’t hate it

Wass
Wass
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: I’m 4 seasons deep and it’s my favorite show… I got unnecessarily enfatuated with Donaldson to the detriment of my teams last year cause he appears in it haha I watched 1 episode of TLK and Vikings and chose Vikings now I’m going to pick up TLK due to everyone’s recommendations. I think they’re similar from everything I’ve heard.

Wass
Wass
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Awesome! I was wrong it’s actually 5 haha I lost count cause they split season 4 and 5 into 2 parts. It’s 70 total episodes. Everything but season 5 part 2 is on amazon. I’m going to start TLK so I can actually compare them haha

Wass
Wass
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: oh man, pressure is on, hope you end up liking it!

I’ve been looking for a show so thanks for the rec Grey. Fantasy baseball and show advice, does it get any better??

Wass
Wass
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Will do! That one is only 1 season, so I’ll start there since I can finish that quick.

bbboston
bbboston
3 years ago

Grey,

Good Humor me for a second……

Let’s pretend Tulo is healthy and “back” (age-adjusted)…. what does that mean from a roster perspective? Stats? Give me an over under to this: .275 BA, 24 HR?

bbboston
bbboston
Reply to  bbboston
3 years ago

@bbboston:

PS: If you follow Tulo’s comments and observers observations, sure seems like he is back……

Peacecoast
Peacecoast
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: and semen (what?)

Juan
Juan
3 years ago

Gray,
I need a 10th keeper for a H2H league.

These are my options – Treinen, Tanaka, Bader, J.Martinez, Sano, Newcomb, and Matz.

My Sps are – Buehler, Severino, and Snell.
My offernse – Torres, abreau, mazara, hicks, merifield, moncada.

I don’t get to draft until the 3rd round.

Peacecoast
Peacecoast
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Tell him to keep Bader, or Sano cuz it’s HTH

juan
juan
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:
my questions is who do i keep from these options – Treinen, Tanaka, Bader, J.Martinez, Sano, Newcomb, and Matz.

Does Treinen have better value than bader? or does bader fit my needs more?

Dan
Dan
3 years ago

Grey,

Another great write up and the podcasts have been great! I have a keeper question for you..

My core keepers are: Lindor, Machado, Dahl, Soto

Who would you rather pair with them Harper, or Turner?

Thanks for your wisdom and guidance!

– Dan

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
3 years ago

Here’s a deep sleeper for you. Corey Spingebob. First on the depth chart in Milwaukee. Good side of any platoon. Heard the GM saying how much he likes him. Brewers seem to be one of those teams lately that gets the best out of guys. The scout in me has always felt he’s got a good season in him somewhere. Shown a little pop. Has a good % when he does run. Brewers might encourage him to go. Be a good NL look maybe get a 10 & 15 season.

Rudy Gamble
Reply to  OaktownSteve
3 years ago

eh. i’ll draft him again when the reds pick him up to replace gennett.

Rudy Gamble
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

how can scooter do so well when he knows nothing about the NL, you huckleberry!

Peacecoast
Peacecoast
Reply to  Rudy Gamble
3 years ago

@Rudy Gamble: who goes to vegas and doesn’t drink a thing

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
3 years ago

According to roto world Harper looks like he will sign with the mystery team. You think they have cool unis that say mystery team on the front?

Dubjay
Dubjay
3 years ago

Hey grey,
I was just offered a trade in my 12 team H2H keeper league. We keep 10
Guy offered me TROUT,MARQUEZ and VILLAR for my MERRIFIELD, MONDESI and TREINEN. Probably would only keep trout of the 3. So it’s basically Merrifield/mondesi and treinen(not sure that I’d be keeping him) for TROUT. He wanted to swap my 1st for his 3rd pick as well. Do I have to take this? It’s not often you are offered the best player in the game

Gonzo
Gonzo
Reply to  Dubjay
3 years ago

@Dubjay: Dude he answered you above. Gotta do it

Dubjay
Dubjay
Reply to  Gonzo
3 years ago

@Gonzo:
Sorry about the double post

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
3 years ago

Devers is BSOHL. This is not a drill. Hey Culligan Man.

J-FOH
J-FOH
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: you make my point about my name during this time of year

BJFOHOHL
BJFOHOHL
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: sorry wrong name

Peacecoast
Peacecoast
3 years ago

Ahh Emanuelle. I remember the masturbatory bliss of finding one of those movies on late night. This was in Canada of course on the French channels. Kids these days have it so easy!

Matty
Matty
3 years ago

Love the Prefontaine- waffle reference.

Five-on-One
Five-on-One
3 years ago

Grey – Question about line-up placement. How much do you adjust stats based on where a hitter is hitting in the line-up. For example, rumor has it that DeJong might be hitting 3rd in the Cardinal’s line-up (behind carpenter and Goldy and in front of Ozuna and Molina. This could be prime position for RBIs and Runs. If true, does this impact your valuation/ranking of him (a) none, (b) a little, (c) there is no c, (d) a lot, (e) if true for the entire year, should increase those two categories a bit, but unlikely to be true for the entire year, so disregard for now.

Cohen
Cohen
3 years ago

Grey, i have 6 th pick in 12 team roto. Draft strategy question.
If i take Yelich at 6 i was going to take Story at 19. If Acuna falls do i go Yelich/Acuna or Yelich/Story?

Skip Mcgillicuddy
Skip Mcgillicuddy
3 years ago

Owned Godley and Arrieta last year and wanted to send anthrax to their homes. Watching them pitch made me physically ill.

Cohen
Cohen
3 years ago

Grey, draft strategy question.12 team roto with 6 th pick
If i draft Yelich at 6 i was going to take Story at 19 if hes there.If Acuna falls do i still take Story or Acuna?

Goldirocks
Goldirocks
3 years ago

Hi Grey; Thx for the rankings!
re Reynaldo Lopez – I believe the ranking is about right – allowing for some upside without drafting him too highly, but I was confused by your comments (all negative) about him. I understand the underlying season numbers were bad for Lopez; and his K rate was fairly low for the above-average fastball velocity he owns.
I wonder however, if any more credence should be given to how well he pitched in the last month of the season? eg. From Aug 24 to Sep 28 he started 7 games. averaging 6.4 innings per game and 6.86 Ks per game (approx. 9.5 K/9), and no higher than 3.18 ERA during that stretch…
Granted he was gawd-awful prior to that; and he is on a bad team, but he is young and I wonder if there isn’t some more hope that he figured something out? He added a wipe-out slider to his Fastball, changeup, curve selection during the season, which seemingly began to work very well for him.
Just curious if you think he really is avoid at all costs?

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

I agree with you Goldi. I think Grey may have looked at just annual stats like FIP. You’re right, he made adjustments and increased his 2nd half k/IP to 8.17, and a 1.18 WHIP but was especially good once he hit August. The main thing that tells me he’s better than his FIP is how his opponents fared their 3rd time through the order with him: .173 BA .265 OBP .324 SLG. He got better as the game, and season, went along. That’s what I look for in a 24/25 yo pitching sleeper.

Take that, Grey!!! Hehe.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey:

The good news is that you only have to be right 30% of the time to remain a card-carrying certifiable ‘pert and I believe you’ll still be well above that. Right?

Sweatpants Nation
Sweatpants Nation
3 years ago

What a sorry bunch. I had Williams all last year and was glad in the second half. Hard to trust the carry over. Another Searage pitch-to-contact guy. I did pick up Gibson in a supplemental draft and used him with others to get Bauer in a keeper league so I might be suckered into going back to him because of the warm fuzzies.
Side note- watched Hanna on Prime. It was promoted during the Stupid Bowl. 1st episode only available for 24 hours. It was ok. Could be worth it

Sweatpants Nation
Sweatpants Nation
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: I don’t know when it comes out. First episode was ok but not great. I’ll probably watch it so can let you know. We agreed on Escape From Dan so maybe we have similar tastes haha

Ace of Spades
Ace of Spades
3 years ago

Like a kid waking up on Christmas morning running to open presents from Santa under the tree is the much older version of me every Monday thru Friday in anticipation of your next rankings post. Thanks for bringing me Childhood Christmas joy every morning for weeks after all of the decorations of that holiday are put away in the garage.

mixed keeper 14 teams auction keep up to 11

Trying to decide my last keeper amongst the following, please rank for me and as always, thanks in advance.

Cedrick Mullins $10
Daniel Palka $10
Scott Schebler $5
Kyle Gibson $3

Bitter Beerface
Bitter Beerface
3 years ago

Grey,

This whole section feels like a clown car packed with unhinged rabid lunatics. I feel like I will have to pluck one of these snarling, foaming-at-the-mouth tossers for my teams and hope they transform into foaming lips quality starters. But who? Oh they’re so bad!

Keuchel, Arrieta, Godley, Shoemaker, Rodon, Wacha, Matz are all on my Note-To-Self Noose-Is-In-The-Closet List. I will NOT suffer through them again.

So now we’re down to a couple intriguing names. El Pollo Loco, as I fondly call Tyson Ross; Pirates contact pitcher guys; and long relievers that sit at the end of the bench and constantly try to make eye contact with their manager, like a golden retriever that wants to go for a walk or a treat OR SOMETHING ANYTHING JUST TALK TO ME!!! So Stripling, McHugh you’re just hoping for the manager to notice.

But what’s to like about Tyson Pollo Ross? 32, but looks older than Gus Fring. He had two decent starts with StL in September, but even then averaged 5.1 K/9 with 3.4 BB/9. However, it just FEELS like he’s a nice bounceback candidate with the AL Central divisional bias and he could be the frontline starter on a bad Tigers team. Wins will be tough to come by but only the Tribe really has scary hitters. Should be available in the 225-250 range? I’d take a flyer.

Ross, Eflin, Musgrove…that’s who I’d pluck from this dusty bargain bin of razor blades and used hypodermic needles. Hope I don’t contract something while also hoping they don’t bite me.

Lee
Lee
3 years ago

Inheriting a team in a keeper league. 10 teams h2H 8 x 8 with extra 3 Pitching K/9, QS and IP (not my choice on overkill). Keepers are valued at 2 rounds before last year’s spot. Can keep 0 to 5. While you are not high on drafting top SP, would you keep Cole who was drafted in the 7th round, who will count as my 5th round this year (pick 41 to 50)? Thinking yes given the draft spot and the 3 extra categoires, but want to hear your thoughts. Thanks!

LG Baseball
LG Baseball
3 years ago

Grey!

Hope you’ve been well and loving your rankings so far! Keeper question. H2H 10 team league with following cats: R,H,HR,RBI, SB, AVG, BB and W,SV, K, ERA and WHIP. Each team can keep 10 players. My team from last year is:

Trout
Betts
Trea
Baez
Hoskins
Rendon
Albies
Dahl
Realmuto
Conforto
Shohei Otani (batter)
Carpenter
Villar
Mallex

Bauer
Taillon
German

Which 10 would you keep? I was thinking the first 9 hitters I listed plus Bauer.

You are also allowed pre-season trades and could potentially move Albies (as could play Baez at 2B) for Walker Buehler, Flaherty or another top 20 SP. Would you do that or stay and see how the year starts?

Thanks!
LG

LG Baseball
LG Baseball
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: thanks! Will make that change

An offer just came in. Would you trade Albies for Rizzo?

LG

Leon
Leon
3 years ago

Pick up to 7 players. It can be less. If we pick less we get to draft earlier according to how many players we keep. DEEP 18 manager dynasty league. AVG/OBP/SLG (7 categories) hitting.. 7 category pitching… wins/holds/QS/SV.

List of players that i consider worth while to choose from:
Judge, Correa, Hoskins, Ozzie albies, conforto, Odor, Kiriloff.
Glasnow, Eovaldi, Lucchessi, Ottavino, Julio Urias.

Leon
Leon
Reply to  Leon
3 years ago

@Leon: Side note, everyone in the top 20 SP of your ranking are being kept.

Bbboston
Bbboston
3 years ago

Grey,

AL Only 5×5 Roto Auction Leage with 8 keepers; 9 teams

Heretofore, I’ve generally favored offense when choosing keepers. However, this year AL Only SP is a total dumpster fire, beyond top 20/30 or so. Right now I can keep 3 SP. first two:
clevenger $11
Heaney $5
Shoemaker $5 or Skaggs $11

Who do you like better of Skaggs and shoemaker?

Bbboston
Bbboston
Reply to  Bbboston
3 years ago

@Bbboston:

Grey,

One alternative is Trevor May @$8. Feels like he will be Twins closer

Cersy
Cersy
3 years ago

Hey Grey,
Great stuff as always!
How would your Harper projections change if he signed in San Diego? Someone told me that they moved the fences in at Petco. Have you heard this too? I can’t seem to confirm that online.
Thanks,
Cersy

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: It’s a blip on the radar but Petco was actually a hitters park last year. 13th best hitters park. So middle of the road. Home runs it was 16th.

Before the all star break it was actually top 10 for both. Must have been some crazy SoCal weather last spring.

JM
JM
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: SD is a Jeckyl & Hyde park. Day games and/or hot/dry weather from the Santa Ana winds and it plays like Coors. When the marine layer rolls in (which is often right around 7pm in the summer), I’d imagine it’s like trying to hit a baseball underwater….

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
3 years ago

Grey!!!!!

What a wonderful world it is having your Top 80 for pitchers report to read!!! Louis Armstrong would add it to his song if he’d known my joy!

a. The dollar condom tier reminds me of something we have in Canada. Not sure if it’s been adopted stateside. In your local grocery store, there is a jar at the cash register. On it, there’s a 3M post it that says give a penny / take a penny. Like if the bill comes to $1.01, you can take a penny and save getting a mound of change. Similarly, you can give a penny if the bill comes to $0.99. Question to my Rabbi: Is it okay to always take and not give the penny?

b. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote of the day for February 4

1. It was revealed this week that defense lawyer Johnny Cochrane once abused his first wife. In his defense, Cochrane said “Hey, at least I didn’t kill her like some people I know.”

2. In his book, O.J. Simpson says that he would have taken a bullet or stood in front a train for Nicole. Man, I’m gonna tell you that is some bad luck when the one guy who would have died for you, KILLS you!

3, The game Monopoly turned 60 years old this week. You know things were so much simpler back then when people traveled around by a hat or a thimble.

4. Last week, after more than a month in the frigid darkness, jubilant residents of Canada’s Arctic set off fireworks, danced and ate caribou in celebration of their first glimpse of sunlight. And as the sun briefly illuminated the sky, they looked at each other and said “Hey what the hell is this we’re eating? Is this caribou?”

5. Taco Bell this week introduced a new light menu as well as a new slogan. Half the fat, but still tastes like crap! Taco Bell.

Cheers,
Ante

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
Reply to  Grey
3 years ago

@Grey: Grey!!

Thanks, man.

Really thought you’d like #2 but then you’ve seen so much #2 in your life (on this site) I can also see your subconscious protecting you from liking anything related to #2.

Cheers,
Ante

dubjay
dubjay
3 years ago

Hey grey,
I was just offered a doozy in my 12 team H2H keeper league. We keep 10
Guy offered me TROUT,MARQUEZ and VILLAR for my MERRIFIELD, MONDESI and TREINEN. Probably would only keep trout of the 3. So it’s basically Merrifield/mondesi and treinen(not sure that I’d be keeping him) for TROUT. He wanted to swap my 1st for his 3rd pick as well. Do I have to take this? It’s not often you are offered the best player in the game

Leon
Leon
Reply to  dubjay
3 years ago

@dubjay: trout??? why haven’t you accepted yet?

Breadnbutter
Breadnbutter
Reply to  dubjay
3 years ago

@dubjay: Take it asap!

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  dubjay
3 years ago

@dubjay:

Take it now. Do not wait for Grey to tell you to take it, as it is guaranteed Grey will.

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  dubjay
3 years ago

@dubjay:
Accept, accept, accept. NOW