Hiyo, whaddup, it’s ya boy, Grey Albright, the King of Swing!  Swing standing, of course, for a Swiss National Guard.  See, I got this certificate with my Swatch watch–Any hoo!  Today is the top 60 starters for 2019 fantasy baseball.  You think we’re late into the rankings here, but last year this post included Blake Snell, Jameson Taillon, Patrick Corbin, Trevor Williams, Mike Clevinger and Ryu as guys I told you to draft.  In this post alone, you might be able to put together a pitching staff.  Let’s do this!  Here’s Steamer’s 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2019 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers.  All projections listed are mine and I mention where I see tiers starting and stopping.  Anyway, here’s the top 60 starters for 2019 fantasy baseball:

41. Rick Porcello – This tier started in the top 40 starters for 2019 fantasy baseball.  This tiers ends at Ryu.  I called this tier, “Sideways bosom.”  As for Porcello, there’s only one letter separating boring from boing, which is how I feel about Porcello.  He walks a fine line between boring and boing.  All of these guys really.  Maybe I should’ve named this tier that, but when you’re deciding between boring/boing and sideways bosom, you go sideways bosom.  2019 Projections: 13-8/3.92/1.22/194 in 201 IP

42. Chase Anderson – This is wild.  Here’s what I said last year, “Confessional!  *aims camcorder at funky chair in front of funky wall, sits in chair*  Hey, so we just got home from DA CLUB, and Cassie has been bugging me all night.  I think we’re gonna need a roommate meeting.  Also, I didn’t expect to like Chase Anderson this year.  Steamer hates him, and, while I don’t listen to everything Steamer says, they are the best projections in the business, so it would be foolish to not at least–COULD YOU BE QUIET OUT THERE, I’M DOING MY CONFESSIONAL!  Sorry, Malliq got crazy drunk and is actin’ a fool.  Where was I?  Anderson!  Right!  Steamer projects him for 4.91 ERA.  Um, okay.  *mimes walking out of the room*  Don’t want that, right?  I hear ya, but his velocity went up by two miles per hour, and the changes look legit from when he was a 6.5 K/9 to a 8.5 K/9 guy.  Okay, I’m gonna go see if Malliq cleaned the dishes yet.  Peace.”  And that’s me quoting me!  So, turned out Steamer and I were both right.  More right than Malliq, at least.  Geez, that guy!  I was right because Anderson is way better than a 4.91 ERA pitcher (his ERA was 3.93 last year).  Steamer was right because his Ks did come back down.  This year, Steamer’s back to its old tricks and he’s projecting a 4.97 ERA.  Not sure whose calculator Anderson slept with, but 4.97 ERA is as absurd a projection as 4.91 was last year. UPDATE: Out of the rotation, don’t draft him.  2019 Projections:  11-9/3.84/1.22/154 in 178 IP

43. Rich Hill – A Hill is more like a single sideways bosom that’s made sideways again.  A naturally recurring sideways bosom?  Hmm, I think I’m lost in this analogy, and I never want to find my way out.  Also, what I say in Ryu’s blurb below.  2019 Projections: 9-5/3.26/1.10/145 in 128 IP

44. Hyun-Jin Ryu – Two things about this tier:  Every pitcher in this tier could be called is a solid bet for 7+ K/9 and 3 or lower BB/9, which is a safe, and reliable option. And, if you don’t look at every number 3 as a sideways bosom, I’ve failed you.  Now, with that said (Grey’s turning this ship around), Ryu and Rich Hill have higher upside than a 7+ K/9 and 3 or lower BB/9, but they also struggle to stay healthy for 120 innings.  In the end, similar value as other guys in this tier, but in fewer innings.  2019 Projections:  9-4/2.98/1.08/122 in 131 IP

45. Nick Pivetta – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Kikuchi.  I call this tier, “Drinking fizzy drinks that lift you off the ground.”  By this tier name I mean, there’s risk in drinking fizzy-lifting drinks, you might run your head into a ceiling fan, but, without drinking those fizzy-lifting drinks, you’ll never know what it’s like to fly like Charlie and his grandfather in Willy Wonka.  The pitchers in this tier are risky, but they have big time upside.  I’ll go over at a later point on how to draft a pitching staff, but, unless you were born yesterday, you can tell this is around a fantasy number three but with a lot more risk than the previous tier.  Even maybe a fantasy number four.  If you were born yesterday, you have amazing reading comprehension.  I don’t know why the cliché “born yesterday” is meant as a dig to say someone is easily manipulated, when clearly if you were born yesterday and found yourself doing anything other than napping for 22 hours, I’m impressed by you!  As for Pivetta, I already gave you a Nick Pivetta sleeper.  It was written while giving “The Talk” to a random kid at a bus stop.   2019 Projections: 12-9/3.86/1.25/208 in 184 IP

46. Yusei Kikuchi – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Kikuchi) signed with the Mariners.  He reminds me of every other Japanese pitcher, but not in a raycess way.  He reminds me of Miles Mikolas too, who was only Asian after being reborn.  It’s something about Asian pitchers, and non-Asian pitchers who go to Asia and return; they exercise some serious control.  Maybe it’s the culture.  I had a robot watch Gung Ho 15,000 times and tell me what it thinks and now the robot is speaking super-racist.  Yo, robot, why are you so culturally inappropriate?  “I have no culture of my own, so I adopt yours.  And I kill puppies.”  AHHH!!!  ROBOT MURDERER!!!  RUN!!!  Or roll your swivel chair towards a door if running is too much for you.  Kikuchi, which is going to be fun for me to say this year, comes with a lot less fanfare than Ohtani, but I do think he can be better than him, pitching-wise, in his first full season.  Ohtani is a unicorn in Babe Ruth’s body, we all know this.  Kikuchi reminds me of Mikolas and Ryu and others in that mold.  He’s a decent strikeout guy, but not blown people away, while also having impeccable command.  I’m definitely looking to draft him this year, then passing him up every other year when he fails to throw 130 IP in consecutive seasons because the Japanese also completely overwork their starters.  In fact (Grey’s got more!), the Mariners have already said Kikuchi will only throw an inning or so every fifth or sixth start to try to preemptively avoid the inevitable arm injury that befalls every Japanese starter.”  And that’s me quoting me! 2019 Projections: 9-7/3.67/1.18/136 in 151 IP

47. Kyle Freeland –  This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Gausman.  I call this tier, “Girls hit your hallelujah (whoo).”  That’s a line from a Bruno Mars song that if you heard it, you can’t unhear it, and it will dig into your psyche until you’re singing it too.  That’s this tier.  All of these guys who’ve heard about before, and you have faint sense they’re good, and, whether you like them or not, you’re drafting them because you know their names.  They are all ear worms, and not in a good way.  As for Freeland, fully expected to like Freeland this year, but when I started to dig into his numbers, my excitement did a spit take with vomit.  Yes, his K/9 and BB/9 fit nicely in the tier above that was loaded with 7+ K/9 and 3-ish BB/9 guys, but he’s in Coors.  I know, no dur, but that takes the shine off him and no good Freeland goes unpunished.  2019 Projections:  10-11/3.92/1.34/156 in 189 IP

48. Alex Wood – Here’s what I said this offseason,”(Wood was) the 3rd (2nd?) piece in the Reds/Dodgers trade.  By the way, I was going through the Reds’ depth chart, and I found the Reds have a guy named Fidel Castro in their minor leagues.  If he ever plays against the Yankees, he better watch out for exploding cigars.  From a real baseball standpoint, the Reds did a positive just getting rid of Homer Bailey.  They could’ve sent Bailey and a billion dollars to the Dodgers and it would’ve been a win.  As for Wood, though, well, Cincy is not going to be a friendly place for him.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2019 Projections:  8-10/3.89/1.26/142 in 162 IP

49. Yu Darvish – We are going deep in a sub-section of a tier I could call, “Cubs are contenders?  Are you sure about that, because their pitching seems more dicey than a Ginzu knife.”  As for Yu… “Siri, what do we think about Yu?”  “Your feelings for me are complicated.”  “You know me so well.”  2019 Projections:  9-10/3.81/1.31/144 in 128 IP

50. Mike Foltynewicz – Like Wheeler, he also saw an increase in his velocity and looks now like the pitcher he was always meant to be.  I know what you might be thinking, because I’m thinking it too.  This ranking is high.  Don’t worry if the price is too richnewicz for you to draft him, there’s about fifteen guys who could be next year’s Foltynewicz to draft later.  Every year there’s 15.  No more, no less.  I keed, but, yes, there’s lots of guys to draft later, so no fear, Mr. Belvedere, who missed a week of work because he sat on his testicles.  UPDATE:  Turns out Faultywirewitz’s wires are faulty, after all.  He’s missing the beginning of the season, and, at this point, we have no idea if that means he’ll return by Cinco de Mayo or a day much later than that in the calendar year when you will just be eating mayo.   I’ve removed 50 IP from his projections and removed him from the pitchers’ pairings, i.e., I’m no longer drafting him.  2019 Projections:  11-8/3.57/1.13/151 in 147 IP

51. Jon Lester – Did I purposely put all the Cubs’ starters together?  Yeah, dude, there’s some intention to these rankings.  Could I have put Alex Wood between the Cubs starters and it would’ve been the same diff?  Yup, we’re in a tier I’m ignoring in drafts so if they were rearranged, it wouldn’t matter.  As for Lester, Google “Saberhagenmetrics” and learn about that field of baseball mathematics, because it applies here.  2019 Projections: 12-9/4.06/1.32/156 in 176 IP

52. Jose Quintana – Somewhere around this point in the rankings I started laughing thinking about how many starters I wanted no part of.  Here’s something I’ve mentioned before and will mention again at some point.  You need around six starters for your fantasy team, depending on the league depth, and might be able to get by with as few as two or three.  So, I will rank about 140 starters, and you can dislike 134 of them, as long as you draft the correct six.  People don’t seem to get nervous about outfielders, maybe because you have other hitters on your team, but if you don’t have a solid fourth or fifth outfielder, no one cares.  You figure you’ll get it off waivers.  However, with starters, everyone is so scared.  If people don’t have a quality fourth, fifth or sixth starter, panic sets in.  Yet, there’s always starters on waivers.  As for Quintana, bleh, you know him!  2019 Projections: 11-11/4.12/1.28/169 in 182 IP

53. Jon Gray – It takes a special kind of son of a bitch to have a 9+ K/9 and 2-something BB/9 and get on my Do Not Draft list, but Gray is just that son of a bitch.  Apologies to all mothers reading, except my mother.  You created this monster!  As in me.  I’m the monster.  And this other Gray.  2019 Projections:  9-10/4.24/1.34/191 in 178 IP

54. Sean Newcomb – His 2nd half ERA makes me lie to passing strangers and tell them I am crying because I was just cutting onions.  I know, I know, ERAs are dumb, but Newcomb’s 2nd half ERA was dumb terrible and so was his xFIP for the 2nd half, and even more alarming, so was his 1st half xFIP.  Without luck, Newcomb wouldn’t have had any kind of decent 1st half either.  *makes kaboom sound and universal sign of a mushroom cloud with my hands*  Newcomb.  2019 Projections:  9-12/4.09/1.35/177 in 182 IP

55. Kevin Gausman – Yes, we are risking not being in on Gausman when he finally breaks out.  We’re also reaping the benefits of not owning him for the fifth straight year of sub-par stats while we wait for him to breakout.  Enjoyed the ride, Gausman.  You did me more wrong than most, but not as much as Pineda.  2019 Projections:  10-9/4.18/1.31/177 in 183 IP

56. Tyler Skaggs – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until the top 80 starters for 2019 fantasy baseball.  I call this tier, “An obstetrician screaming, ‘Talk about a hole in one!'”  By the tier name I mean, it might depend on the context on whether you should be excited.  Is the obstetrician in the delivery room or the golf course?  As for Skaggs, kinda shocked I didn’t write a Tyler Skaggs sleeper post, but if he breaks out I will point back to this and how I wanted to write a sleeper post on him.  If he gets injured again and/or doesn’t perform, I will ignore this completely.  Welcome to the world of being a fantasy sports ‘pert.  When you’re right, you scream it from the mountaintop.  When you’re wrong, you descend into your mother’s basement and pretend someone else said that really stupid thing.  Also, I go over Skaggs in the video at the top of the page.  2019 Projections: 11-9/3.87/1.31/156 in 152 IP

57. Kenta Maeda – The epitome of this tier.  I think Maeda is a number two, in the good way, or a useless piece of garnage.  That’s garnage.  As in, garbage found after carnage.  It’s highly specialized, strewn garbage with toxic waste on it.  Dave Roberts says Maeda will be in the rotation to start the year, but I could easily see him start Maeda on April 8th, then say, “I only said to start the season, he’s out of the rotation as of April 9th.  Happy Easter to everyone except Sandy Koufax, or is that Bill Nye?”  If Maeda is in the rotation for 160+ innings, which he could easily throw, he’s a fantasy number two.  Only Dave Roberts in his infinitesimal wisdom could even think Maeda shouldn’t be in the rotation all year.  He has a career 9.8 K/9, 2.6 BB/9 and 3.66 xFIP.  Basically, a borderline top 20 starter.  I nearly wrote a sleeper post about him too.  How the hell is he being drafted 94th overall for starters?  Rhetorical!  2019 Projections:  12-9/3.61/1.22/138 in 131 IP

58. Brandon Woodruff – As with everyone in this tier, I nearly wrote sleeper posts for all of them.  I’m actually impressed with my own self-restraint that I didn’t rank Woodruff in the top 10 overall.  Quickly, some wonderful:  His K/9 was 10, he throws 95 MPH, his walk rate is barely 3 (only when rounding up) and his xFIP was 3.36.  Now, for the cherry on top, he had a 53.1% ground ball rate.  That’s just barely out of the top ten for starters.  It’s mostly coming off his 95 MPH fastball.  So, Ks and ground balls?  Dude, when do we go to Vegas and get married?  Yes, I’m married already and not gay, but why are we letting these things stand in our way?  I like that Woodruff!  WUT.  He could be a top 20 starter.  That sentence is drool-worthy, because I wrote it with drool hanging from my mouth.  So, what’s the down side?!  He had a 2.03 ERA (2.34 xFIP) and 11.5 K/9 as a reliever, and 6.32 ERA (5.10 xFIP), 7.5 K/9 as a starter.  I might’ve just ranked my first middle reliever.  Though, his teammate, Josh Hader will be ranked above him in my top 500, once I release that.  2019 Projections: 8-3/3.09/1.21/135 in 124 IP

59. Marco Gonzales – He walks so few guys, has had slightly more Ks previously, and is only 27.  He could make his 7.5 K/9 work for him, or add more Ks, and be a huge breakout still.   2019 Projections:  10-8/3.66/1.20/159 in 186 IP

60. Steven Matz – If he didn’t lose velocity and have a mediocre strikeout rate, he’d be ranked about forty spots higher in the pitching ranks.  I know what you’re thinking, “You can not spell legendary without Grey.  I understand this point fully, but saying if a guy didn’t lose velocity and have no Ks, he’d be ranked higher is like saying, ‘My wife would be Christie Brinkley, if she didn’t look a female walrus — a galrus?'”  First of all, galrusses are cute, bruh.  2nd of all, yes, you’re right, normally.  For Matz, last year, Matz had 8.9 K/9, 3.4 BB/9 and 4.13 xFIP, while upping his fastball velocity to 93.4 MPH (thankfully, not kilometers per hour) and had a slider that was around 35th best in the majors.  He also won five games and lost 11, which obviously means nothing, but it made me chuckle.  Five games won in 30 starts.  I mean, jeebus, Mets.  Mets’ run support was like a pre-waffle Nike sole that Prefontaine wore for seven years.  Any hoo!  Matz can easily have a ~3.40 ERA with a little luck as he can have a 4.40 ERA.  2019 Projections:  8-10/3.91/1.23/171 in 173 IP

 
  1. Hip hop panda says:
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    Good work as always sir!

  2. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!!!

    Great top 60 for starters report, can’t wait for the top 80 and top 100! Keep ’em coming!

    a. Great list of pitchers herein. Noticed that you’re favoring your Italian crew there – Eovaldi and Pivetta. They are good and backed up with beautiful peripherals just like Al Capone’s mother loved her son Al!

    b. So from this group: Heaney, Skaggs, Woodruff, Ryu, Eo, Pivetta, Hill. All would be great #4 or #5 starters in a standard 5X5 RCL, right?

    c. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote of the day for February 1

    1. Singer Billy Joel survived a massive earthquake which rocked Japan this week. The quake which hit the sports city of Kobe killed nearly 5000 people and demolished hundreds of buildings. To repeat, do not panic – Billy Joel has survived the earthquake.

    2. Jimmy Carter has written a collection of poetry. It includes his latest poem entitled: “Ode to a country full of stupid ungrateful bastards.”

    3. Here’s an amazing story! Twins born 95 (!!) days apart. Even more amazing, they were born to different mothers and they don’t even look alike!

    4. A blind man felt Princess Diana’s face last week and said she is the prettiest woman that he had ever seen. He then picked up a toilet plunger and said thank you for this royal scepter. I shall treasure it always.

    5. Officials in Disney World have ordered their ride The Extraterrorestrial to be shut down until it can be made scarier. When the attraction re-opens in two weeks, it will be exactly the same but missing 6 bolts and the brakes.

    d. Hoping officials can find Punxsutawney Phil’s hole let alone if can make it of said hole. Good luck to all across the mid-west and across all of Canada with the cold snap. Stay warm!

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante Galic: You must wait until Monday! A. Plus, Al Capone’s propensity for hiding bottles of liquor in his walls B. Yup! C. 3. Ha

      • Ante Galic says:
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        @Grey: Grey!

        Thanks man. Will wait patiently and I will like it.

        Also, have a nice weekend. Stay safe and warm.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Oh, I’m warm in LA, we good!

          • Ante Galic says:
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            @Grey: Grey!

            It’s rainy here today and tomorrow. And fyi we still haven’t watched neither Cold War nor Roma.

            As an aside, I saw that Raging Bull was on TV. I love Raging Bull and asked if she wanted to watch. Then she saw it was in black and white and said forget it!! Just like that, one of the best movies EVER made, dismissed because it’s in black and white!!! #Firstworldproblems.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Too bad Ted Turner never colorized it… Darn…

              • Ante Galic says:
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                @Grey: Grey!!

                Lol! I wouldn’t watch it if it were colorized!

                Cheers,
                Ante

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Use your imagination, Ante!

    • LenFuego says:
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      @Ante Galic: I just laughed so freakin’ hard at that Billy Joel earthquake blurb.

  3. Bbboston says:
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    Grey,

    Help me understand your ranking intent….

    Not to drone on Heaney, but your projection is superior to pretty much all the guys above him, so why is he below them in rankings?

    • Cram It says:
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      @Bbboston: Grey might have a disclaimer somewhere about this reasoning. If not, he should, because this question gets asked 100 times in the preseason.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Bbboston: Rankings aren’t just on #s, risk/health/track record etc

      • bigbear says:
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        @Grey: What he said…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha

    • bigbear says:
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      @Bbboston: I believe it has to do with risk. Heaney hasn’t quite put it together for some counting stats year/year yet. He’s in the fizzy drink tier where you could fly with him or get sloppy fall-down drunk… Early on you want no risk. The mid/late rounds he’s going for upside while adding in more risk. Even if his projections are better, he’s accounting for track record, ballpark, etc… There are some stats that have a tighter bell curve of probable outcomes. And some stats that have longer statistical tails (wider/riskier) on the bell curve.

  4. Johnnyhobbes says:
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    The Gray blurb got lolz from me this morning. Your mother’s a lovely lady, treat her well!

  5. jonny says:
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    Hey!! Thanks for all that you do.

    I need to keep 20 in my league. was wondering if you could help. or maybe offer who I should be trading away.

    League stats: R 2B 3B HR RBI SB BB AVG- W SV HR K ERA WHIP K/9 QS

    Votto- Abreu
    Merrifield- DoZier- Torres
    C. Seager- Anderson
    Andujar- Moose
    Betts-Benintendi-Springer-Cruz- Conforto- Peralta

    Paxton- Carrasco- Corbin-Madbum- Cole- Morton-Ray-Stroman
    Diaz- Chapman- Jansen

    my first thought is to release Tim Anderson- Moose-Peralta-Dozier-Ray-Stroman-Morton that leaves me with 19 so i can keep one of these if i choose too.

    What are your thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @jonny: Do you have time to wait to see if Moose signs somewhere good?

      • jonny says:
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        @Grey: Yes March 1st is deadline to confirm keepers.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Then you got time

  6. Cram It says:
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    Points league, keep (forever) 6:
    Acuna
    Bregman
    Hoskins
    Scherzer
    Bauer

    Last spot, who ya got?
    Springer
    Robles
    Devers

    • Peacecoast says:
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      @Cram It: springer or robles depending if you need speed. I lean Springer, he has to do better than last year in that lineup.

      • Peacecoast says:
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        @Peacecoast: wait keep forever? Robles

      • Cram It says:
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        @Peacecoast: It’s a points league and speed isn’t a huge impact. OBP/Total bases/low K’s are paramount. I don’t have a read on what type of player Robles will become, but I’ve been waning on Springer. Thanks!

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      @Cram It: Robles

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cram It: It is between Springer and Robles, think you have to keep Springer

      • LenFuego says:
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        @Grey: Yeah, when you only keep 6, it does not generally pay to wait around for prospects to blossom. For all you know, Robles will be the next Byron Buxton, or have a season like Lewis Bronson did last year. Unless you are super confident that Robles is going to play every day and make a big impact (and you probably shouldn’t be), I’d keep Springer.

        • Cram It says:
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          @Grey: @LenFuego: Yeah I’ve been burned by that before. And I don’t like buying into the next big thing. I don’t know if he’s going to be the next McCutchen or cap out as a Marte at best. I’ll probably stick with Springer.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Yeah, exactly

  7. Cram It says:
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    I would have bet you’d have Gausman in the top 40, now that he’s in the NL. You wouldn’t listen to me the last 4 years that he’d never break out as long as he was on the Orioles, so I understand the contempt at this point. They finally set that bird free! I’m planning on getting a share.

    • knucks says:
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      @Cram It: Interesting. And I see he is around SP50 or so in the NFBC ADP.

    • Dave D says:
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      @Cram It:
      So, should we ignore his 6.6 k/9 IP after the trade. His era and whip were very solid but I think Grey may be a bit optimistic on K’s even. What accounts for the low k’s? 10 GS is a good sample size. Maybe pitching more to contact?

      • knucks says:
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        @Dave D: That’s a good point there Dave, def don’t ignore the 60 IP after the move last year. But numbers aside (not my forte) I’m kinda with Cram and ambitiously thinking about the positive effect that the move from the worst team in the AL East (hell, the worst team in baseball) to the team that is prob the fav to win the NL East again could have on him.

        Would love to hear OTS break Gausman down even deeper before my drafts get underway.

        • The Great Knoche says:
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          @knucks: I think the Ks are what they are now, as he was certainly pitching more to contact after the trade. He changed over to throwing more sinkers vs four-seamers after the trade.

          Batting average against fell from the .280s down to .233. He could get to an 8K/9, but I dont see much beyond that. I can see a sub 4 ERA with decent wins on Atlanta though, but right around 50th SP off the board feels right.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            True, but not going back in

            • Dave D says:
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              @Grey:

              I’d pull the trigger on Gausman after 200 probably if I missed out on some other guys. I like him somewhat but I also am not totally sold either. He’s moved up lately and is 191 ADP since 1/15. I’ve done two DCs already and they were very different for SP ADP’s. First one (before any ADPs released) I got my Glasnow at 189 as my 3rd SP (Heaney was 188). I shoulda taken Lucchesi next but there was a SP run after my pick. My second draft all the sleepers were gone by 169 so I reached for Lucchesi as my 3rd. I’m fine with that. Actual picks can vary pretty widely compared with ADP. Ideally Id like Lucchesi as my 4th. Maybe in a subsequent draft I can get my ideal picks near where Im targeting them ADP-wise. Id probably rather get OF/offense sleepers at 200-300 and grab some guys I think have some upside like F. Peralta and even Urena who was great after beaning Tildaddy. He will likely put up similar numbers as Gausman but 150 picks later.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                I’d pull the trigger on Gausman way later than he’d ever go — like 250 or something — I like Urena too, and agree he could be as good as Gausman… Could vs. likely is the problem for Urena… That’s one good thing about those early drafts if you know who to target…

                • Dave D says:
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                  @Grey:
                  The guy throws gas, and as Tildaddy knows, he can locate. He’s the kind of guy who could morph into an ace by adding a good new pitch to his reportoire. Low WHP guys with good control but otherwise average numbers are frequently good guys to target. I watched him a few times in September after the suspension and he seemed impressive. Maybe he upped his game and thrived after all the bad press. Thats character in my book, even if the beaning was sketchy.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Yup, don’t disagree… Urena will be on my NFBC team if I can get him after 250

                    • Dave D says:
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                      @Grey:

                      How about 412?

                      Got lucky there which made up for a couple other questionable pucks earlier (as is often the case).

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      412?! Yeah, I’m all over that price… I’d be psyched if I got him after 300, tbh

                    • Cram It says:
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                      @Grey: Urena was a godsend for my NFBC team last year down the stretch.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, I think he could be a crazy sneaky late pick… Not for RCLs tho, I mean, but after drafts as a waiver guy…

                  • knucks says:
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                    @Dave D: Great stuff Dave! I mentioned before that I’ll be doing some of the cheap NFBC drafts starting next week. Fully anticipate picking your brain in mid Feb about things like this. Your’s too Grey, as is tradition.

                    • Dave D says:
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                      @knucks: My baseball (and real life?) IQ is lower than Grey’s but I do win more than I spend by a pretty stretch in NFBC so Id be glad to give a second or third opinion if I feel well informed enough to do so.

                    • Packers says:
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                      @knucks: Knucks, I’ll chime in also. I’m doing my 6th $50 draft and hold now. To me its better than mocking because everyone is trying and they finish the draft.

      • Cram It says:
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        @Dave D: I’m not saying hes a SP3, but I think the 6.6 k/9 is a small sample size considering he’s at 8 his whole career. I think Grey’s K projection is a little high, but I’m feeling a mid-3 ERA/1.20ish WHIP and certainly more wins than usual. Solid SP4.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cram It: Haha, I just can’t go back in on him… He wasn’t great in the NL to get me excited about him again — Mets aren’t bad, Nats aren’t bad, Phils are good… Not the easiest NL division… I’m still out

  8. Chris says:
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    10 team H2H points league – keep forever league

    I may be able to pull off a preseason trade to acquire Ozzie Albies. If I can…..would you keep him and have to draft a 1B after the 10th round or just forget the deal and keep Bellinger and have to draft a 2B after the 10th round. Basically would you keep Bellinger or Albies in a keep forever league? Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Chris: Albies is above him a little

  9. James says:
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    Would anyone trade 1st round keeper trout for 5th round keeper Acuna? Points league. Would you trade 12th round Nola for 28th round buehler? Is mondesi going to lose value in a league that gives -1 for strikeouts?

    • knucks says:
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      @James: Yea it def sounds like that would hurt Mondessi a fair amount.

      But points leagues make no sense and are hard for me to evaluate. Keeping the leagues I’m playing in this year to be as Standard Roto as possible and haven’t felt this good in a Fake Baseball pre-season in a while. So much easier to set rankings and import this way.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @James: Acuna in the 5th round sounds great… Mondesi gets dinged there, yes

  10. Peacecoast says:
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    I don’t like anyone in that whole group I think except Pivetta and Heaney.

    Watched Jack Ryan ep 1 last night. Garbage.

    Can’t get Escape from Danemora without a Showtime subscription fucks sake. So no show to watch right now.

    • Justin says:
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      @Peacecoast:

      Jack Ryan is fun frivolity. Not winning awards but entertaining enough.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Agreed, Justin

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Peacecoast: Whaaaat? Jack Ryan is decent popcorn fluff, agree with Justin… You’re being too hard on it… It’s not Gomarrah but it’s not bad

      • Peacecoast says:
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        @Grey: Man I dunno. Why the fuck would they need a analyst to fly the fuck out to Yemen to interrogate a dude just because it was his idea to lock a bank account. These things drive me crazy. I like realism in my TV. Homeland felt realistic. I will watch a couple more episodes though.

        • FrankGrimes says:
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          @Peacecoast:

          Dude you need to torrent then you can watch season 3 of Gomorrah too.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Yeah, how has this not happened yet? You need to watch season 3!

          • Peacecoast says:
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            @FrankGrimes: I need this. Didn’t think of Torrent. No other way to get it now? How did you guys get it?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Season 3 was (prolly is) on Pirate Bay

              • FrankGrimes says:
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                @Peacecoast: @Grey:

                Email me I’ll walk you thru it if you can’t figure it out.

                • Peacecoast says:
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                  @FrankGrimes: ok thanks!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Grimey stepping up with much needed assistance!

                  • Peacecoast says:
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                    @Grey: waiting on Grey to hook our emails up

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I sent you Grimey’s

                • Malicious Phenoms says:
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                  @FrankGrimes: is pirate bay a free site on the computer or??

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Grimes might have a better way, that was just how I went about it

                  • FrankGrimes says:
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                    @Malicious Phenoms:

                    Well yes. It’s sorta sketchy to use but you just need to get used to it’s trickyness (if that’s a word ha). I actually use another site.

                    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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                      @FrankGrimes: Thanks.what is the other site?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Bc he’s the star of the show, I’m not saying it’s a docu-drama… It’s fine tho, you have to suspend some disbelief, PC

          • Justin says:
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            @Grey:

            Exactly, Jack Ryan needs to be there because otherwise there is no premise for the show. Suspend reality and just enjoy. Also, John K. as a top flight badass seems far-fetched…but dude is ripped. Not sure who his personal trainer is but they deserve a pay hike.