While casually scrolling through pitchers from last year who should be better this year, I saw Andrew Heaney.  My first thought was, “RIP Bobby ‘The Brain’ Heenan.”  Then, I Googled “professional wrestlers who have prematurely died,” and, five weeks later, when I was done reading the results, I returned to Andrew Heaney.  Am I suddenly more optimistic about the Angels now that they have the new manager, Brad Ausmus?  Well, no, not necessarily.  He is devilishly handsome — between Ausmus and Gabe Kapler, can a Jewish grandmother get some grandkids up in here?! — and Ausmus can’t be worse than The Sciosciapath.  At least he won’t have to make out the lineup card with a pencil in his mouth, because he’s wearing a straitjacket.  How much will Ausmus do for the Angels’ starters?  Meh, he finished under .500 as the Tigers’ manager after four seasons, and seems to fail sideways.  His bullpen management was goofy at best, and he thinks catchers, who are pitch framers, should go work at Aaron Brothers, the national chain of picture framers, not Rex Brothers’ brother (stutterer!).  Luckily, I don’t think Ausmus has any bearing on Heaney, there’s too much going in his favor, which I will now tackle, after this clunky segue:  So, what can we expect from Andrew Heaney for 2019 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

There’s three starters who finished last year with a sub-3.70 xFIP and a 4+ ERA — Nick Pivetta, Marco Gonzales and Heaney.  That’s about as good of a place to look for value as any.  Pivetta I’ve touched on already in another sleeper post (Nick Pivetta sleeper — see?), here we are with Heaney, and Gonzales lacks something the other two have — Ks. Gonzales’s command does make him somewhat attractive though, but for another day.  Heaney had a 9 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9, that just misses a seven point difference, and where I think aces mostly inhabit.  If he gets to 9.3+ K/9 with a 2.3 BB/9 or 9 K/9 and an even 2 BB/9, he will need to be wildly unlucky to not return major value this year.  His percentage of pitches seen inside the strike zone was 42.7%, which is 35th best in the league.  Wait there’s more!  The number of pitches a batter swung at outside the zone for him was 33.5%, that was top 14 in the league.  So, to clarify for the guy picking his nose in the back of the room, if a pitcher throws mostly pitches inside the strike zone, but then throws a few outside the zone that a hitter swings at?  That’s good.  He was 12th best for first pitch strikes, 21st best for swinging strike rates and his velocity went up a tick, while throwing 180 innings.  That puts him on pace to throw 200 IP for the first time in a season when he’s entering it at 27 years old.  All this with newfound command of his changeup that went from a negative pitch, to the sixth best changeup in the major leagues.  Health, obviously, has been an issue for him, but, if he stays on the field, I will guarantee you he’s a top 30 starter with a chance to be a top 15 starter.  Seriously.  For 2019, I will give him the projections for 14-7/3.58/1.16/192 in 194 IP with a chance for more.

  1. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!!!!

    Great yet again SleeperS report!!!!!

    a. Heaney! Unbelievable how good he’ll be! So, yeah go for good hitters in the first 10 picks, pitching will take care of itself.

    b. I took a similar circuitous route to get from top 10 most beautiful p*rnstars to Mike Tyson 50 best punches (including the one where he floored Buster Douglas) and Razor Ruddock at least 10 times in the two fights! Best punches were when he whipped all the stupid white boys who thought they had a chance against 1986 Iron Mike Tyson (including McNeely twice and after Tyson was released from prison!!)! That’s like the dumbest idea ever in human history! Their promoter was racist, period!

    Promoter: ‘Hey guys, wanna fight?’

    White boy boxer: ‘Sure!’

    Promoter: ‘Ok, you’ll be done within 3 rounds – that’s 9 minutes in total! Not sure if you’ll have permanent brain damage!’

    White boy boxer: ‘It’s worth the risk.’

    Cheers,
    Ante

  2. Not the real Hubie Brooks says:
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    How….much….long…errr until January Grey ranks things, Grey, ? Can’t wait. In the meantime, which side is better in a 15 team ML 5×5 keeper league: Giancarlo or Bellinger and Correa?

      • Stunt Dusty says:
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        @Grey: Let me clue you in on something: I cannot wait until January 14!!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Stunt Dusty!

  3. bbboston says:
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    Loved article

  4. bbboston says:
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    Loved article

    I wonder how his arm will hold up after a huge IP increase

  5. Fanciful Basesball says:
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    Dear Grey,

    What are your thoughts on Scott Kingery 2019? Post-hype sleeper or *fart sound*?

    • knucks says:
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      @Fanciful Basesball: Until they make another move, you can’t be expecting much for 2019, since he doesn’t exactly have a spot in the lineup right now.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Fanciful Basesball: Unless he gets traded to a team that will give him another 150 games, I don’t see it happening with Segura in town

  6. Bbboston says:
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    Grey,

    A few levity comments, based upon reading other articles on Heaney:

    – much worse out of the stretch
    – much worse during away games
    – huge increase in innings, regardless of what year you
    look at.

    That said, damn the first two points seem like things that can be improved upon somewhat easily.. the stretch issue almost assuredly ties to one or two pitches losing efficacy, so one would think he can take steps to improve those… maybe?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Bbboston: Innings increase isn’t a big deal at his age, he could get hurt again… Away games doesn’t matter to me… Stretch might be an issue, but seems fixable

  7. Bbboston says:
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    Levity=> level-headed

  8. Ace of Spades says:
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    January Grey

    Your readers have taken the little blue pills and are now happily erect and awaiting your rankings. Problem is, for most of us, we are fast approaching the ‘ If erection lasts more than 4 hours seek medical attention ‘ time. We are on the verge of having blue baseballs. Please January Grey, help us out here. Let us know that the rankings will be cumming sooner than later. I don’t want to limp into the emergency room in this condition. As always, thanks in advance and apologies for the impatience.

    • knucks says:
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      @Ace of Spades: I’m pretty sure he has been saying they start next week. Could be wrong. But I’ve been planning for Monday the 14th.

  9. Slappy Jack says:
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    Heaney feels like the sleeper I scoff at because he’s burned me so many times in the past and I want nothing to do with him.
    But then goes all Bauer/Corbin on the league and I regret not drafting him anywhere.
    So, this year I will ignore myself and blindly follow the Fantasy Master Lothario’s advice and wisdom on pitching sleepers.
    thx in advance Grey

  10. Vacation says:
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    Grey:
    1. Can’t wait for you to roll out the rankings. Any ETA?
    2. Keeper league (keep forever), standard 5×5 scoring, can only keep six year to year. My choices are: Freeman, Albies. Machado, Jose Ramirez, Just Dong, Snell, Kluber, and Rizzo. My guts tell me to keep the first 6 I listed and toss Klubot and Rizzo back. Agree?
    3. (yes, I’m getting greedy here, but at least it isn’t a catcher question) I have flip Machado and Kluber for Betts. I do this, right, even though it leaves me a hole at SS? (I’m planning on grabbing Villar at draft if I make the trade).
    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Vacation: 1. 14th

      2. Tough call… I’d prolly lose last two too

      3. I’d take Betts

  11. Dynasty leaguer says:
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    G

    Who you taking in a dynasty forever league obp

    K Bryant or Benintendi??

  12. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Hey Grey! Keeper trade season has officially started in one of my leagues. A few questions for ya:

    1. For his $8 Vlad (keep forever, +$3 each additional year), would you offer up your $25 Gerrit Cole or $15 Kris Bryant?

    2. $4 Dahl or $11 Clevinger?

    3. $5 Villar, $29 Blackmon, or $4 Dahl?

    Thanks!

  13. Dave D says:
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    Good stuff. Yeah, if Heaney can excel under the Sciosciapath we know he is resilient. I like him a lot at his ADP. My 1st draft he went 1 pick before Glasnow. Its kind of a toss up for me there with slight edge to Heaney. Pivetta seems to be climbing lately, so maybe Heaney is a better call a round or two later if Pivetta goes too high. I’ve got another DC going now. So far, so good. 80 picks in.

      • Dave D says:
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        @Grey:

        12th dradt position

        Baez
        Story
        Albies
        Rendon
        Pham
        Berrios

        Almost up again in round 7

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Okay on Pham, but love the rest of it!

          • Dave D says:
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            @Grey:

            Thanks. Yeah, I know you’re not big on Pham but he scores over 90 runs with 20 hr and 10 plus steals. Can’t find that too many places. I feel like some managers and advice givers ( not necessarily you) sometimes overlook runs scored as a category . I don’t love the guy either but I cannot argue with his numbers the last two years. He seems a bit like Hendricks as SP, boring but gets the job done.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, he’s fine, and don’t hate him this year as much, but if he goes 17/12/.275 it’s a high price for him…

        • Dave D says:
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          @Dave D:

          Two more pics until me. My top three choices are Upton, Aguilar, Conforto. I’m leaning Upton even though his legs are now 31 years old. They’ll all likely put up similar power numbers I believe but hitting behind Trout and getting a few steals are advantage in my book.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Wow, sexy names at that pick… Upton is not bad for that price at all, I like all three though…

  14. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Hey Grey! (apologies if this submitted twice – not appearing on my end so resending jic!)

    In a keep forever league (+$3 for each additional year kept) , what are your thoughts on the below?

    1. His $8 Vlad for my . . . $22 Gerrit Cole or $15 Bryant

    2. His $4 Dahl for my . . . $11 Clevinger, $4 Matt Chapman or $5 Tim Anderson

    3. Pick 1 as your final keeper: $4 Dahl, $5 Villar, $29 Blackmon

    Thanks!

  15. Marti Harris says:
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    10 Team National League only keeper Roto League five by five standard categories period who would you rather have an $11 Corey knebel or and $11 Paul dejong

  16. Biff says:
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    Now ya done it A-Aron…. last $1 keeper… Heaney, Lex Reyes, Zack Wheeler.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Biff: Wheeler, but league size might matter

  17. Natty Boh says:
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    Now that the Ravens are done playing football, I’m ready to re-unite myself w/ January Grey. The most handsome of all Grey’s!

    • knucks says:
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      @Natty Boh: Sorry about your Ravens.

      Signed,
      A lifelong Bolts fan

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Let’s go Rams! (Are they still alive?)

        • knucks says:
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          @Grey: They are. But you are pretending to root for the wrong LA team. At least for Jay’s sake, join us in rooting on the Chargers.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I’m root for the Chargers too, when do they play next and against who?

            • knucks says:
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              @Grey: Patriots on Sunday. The morning game for you, like 10ish

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Wow, big game!

  18. knucks says:
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    Thoughts for a post from the Razz fam… SPs to target in QS leagues. Has one of those been done in previous years? Its a cat with a lot of randomness, of course. But could make for an interesting read.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’ll send it up the chain to see if someone will cover it…

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Grey: That would be a great post, esp with so many 5.1 IP games. Would love to know about the ~4.00-4.50 ERA guys who will get you those 6 IP for 3 runs.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’ll see if our top 100 starters guy will do it…

          • knucks says:
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            @Grey: Yea that would be clutch. If only for a few obvious nugs like “take a flyer on Jimmy Nelson at that ADP, but not in a QS league”.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              What’s latest on Jimmy Nelson?

              • knucks says:
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                @Grey: Last i had heard he is supposed to be healthy. I just don’t see the Brewers letting him pitch deep into games with the bullpen they have. But he could pitch well and get a good amount of 5 IP Wins. So i’ll take him in a league that makes sense, whereas I’ll let him fall a bit more in a QS league.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  “Supposed to be healthy” is going to be on my tombstone

          • The Dude says:
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            @Grey: I’d be interested in this too, especially with “bullpenning” and “opening” becoming more common, further degrading the frequency of the coveted QS.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Cool, I ran it by our top 100 SP writer

  19. cmutimmah says:
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    I was a year ahead with most of the sleepers (drafting Heaney, CarMart, Conforto, Bader, and making Senzel my minor leaguer) maybe I need to take a step back and reevaluate what I consider my “Age of ascent”.

    That being said, I got statutory on Acuna, and he carried me through the playoffs last year.

    So, I would like to think I could do the same with Vlad this year, but I doubt I get that 9th rounder discount I got on Acuna due to name recognition.

    So where we looking to draft the likes of Vlad if he starts the year in AAA (which is 100% will)? 8th round? earlier?

    Is Heaney a 9-10th rounder at this point? (I know… I know… rankings next week :-P)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Vlad’s unlikely to be on my teams this year, I don’t mind him in the 8th or 9th of a 12-teamer, but seems unlikely to be there… Heaney’s not a 9-10th rounder

      • Mex says:
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        @Grey:

        What round you thinking for Heaney in a 12 team standard Roto?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I need him in my veins around 120 overall

  20. Matty says:
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    I like the way things look for Heaney. Hopefully he lands on my roster in a few leagues.

    What are your quick thoughts on Whit Merrifield? I’m assessing a trade offer right now and am not sure how much of his 2017/2018 is repeatable. I’m assuming he’ll land somewhere near your top 50?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Just outside top 50, getting old, not repeatable

  21. Peacecoast says:
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    who do you like better to keep? Taillon in 13th round or DPeralta in 20?

  22. Crime Dog says:
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    Another great sleeper, Heaney has mostly been off my radar until now.

    What are your thoughts on Vlad/Eloy in a keeper league? if I draft one this year I could have them for 4 years. I’d likely have to take one in the first round though since 42 players will already be off the board. So essentially I’d be taking one of them at overall pick 43-55. Worth it? and I’m assuming you’d go Vlad over Eloy if given the choice.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nice! Vlad over Eloy

      • Crime Dog says:
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        @Grey: Would you take them that high (43-55 overall) knowing you could keep them for 4 years?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I would take either, Vlad first

  23. Jor says:
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    What about heaneys homerun issues last year, will he revert back to league average? I noticed other pitchers who have great peripherals like Heaney but terrible HR/FB rates that seem to kill their seasons.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      His home runs should come back to league average, yes

  24. FrankGrimes says:
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    Are we getting a Breyvic Valera sleeper post?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      The Croatian president?

  25. Jwil says:
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    Third pick in a start up dynasty league. Assuming trout and betts go one and two who would you go with at three?

  26. matt says:
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    22 team 5&5 standard roto league 1$ touki or 8 $ A Simmons…..which do you prefer

  27. J-FOH says:
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    “So, to clarify for the guy picking his nose in the back of the room” – how did you know I would be here?

    Loved the Oaktown comments last week. Good to see him still grace the comments with his Oaktowny ramblings.

    Reading above about the QS article request and I have two cents to throw in on that from prior experience. You draft your core pitching (High K arms for best results) and use your fluid spots to stream Quality Starts that hopefully don’t become Quality Sharts. The best ways to do that would be to A) use Rudy’s tools for good matchups B) watch for teams that got blown up the day before that taxed a pen and play the probability that the leash will be longer for the next days starter C) there is never C, unless you have a cold D) keep close watch to teams that do bullpen games and hope to sweet baby Hey Zeus that the next days arm is available E) something I did a lot of in the early 00’s F) reverse your thinking and don’t look at the starter but the opponent. If the opponent is a free swinging hack squad that struggles vs. lefties and a groundball lefty is on the hill then go for it. Do things like this. QS arms aren’t always sexy and don’t always get a ton of K’s ( because K’s take pitches and kill pitch counts). G) stands for Grey the G of G’s H) Be patient. Wait til June to stream heavily, not to say you can’t before but be conservative with your choices. By June guys are stretched out and as we all know the predictions get easier when the sample size increases.

    ….oh and Hey Culligan Man

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @J-FOH:

      Hey Culligan Man

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      JFOH, that’s good stuff! I agree, there’s a lot of pitchers available that are good for QS. Usually vets, a guy like Clayton Richard can get QS against weak opponents, and they’re always available… There are some QS pitchers who get a bump bc of their ability to go deeper, who are drafted too… Like Happ maybe over Castillo, for unstints…

      • OaktownSteve says:
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        @Grey:

        The first thing that came to my mind when I read Jack’s post was “Clayton Richard at home against the Dodgers”

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: Thanks! I guess my whole point here is a QS article is more of a strategy guide that uses examples of pitchers that could return good QS but ultimately its how you optimize daily matchups more than anything else.

        Do writing these things make me miss playing fantasy baseball? No way but I love tinkering with strategy

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That’s true, papa… Strategy will always remain, no matter who the players are…

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: I could totally write that article

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Write it up, we’ll take it!

              • BJFOHOHL says:
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                @Grey: I’ll give you a hard maybe. You really fluffed me up today

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha… You know what I literally just realized in the last two weeks? What FOH means on the internet…

                  • BJFOHOHL says:
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                    @Grey: front of house?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      F*** outta here

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      But front of house works too!

                    • BJFOHOHL says:
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                      I know it means F#@K Outta Here but I think front of house is funny. Full of Hate is still the OG meaning….copycats on the net

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I had no idea… I like Full of Hate the best…

                    • J-FOH says:
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                      Stop I’m going to blush

  28. OaktownSteve says:
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    Been laid up with a bad back so had a chance to start some offseason prep. I looked at Lucchesi over the weekend. Did Heaney this morning. Cut to the chase, I do kind of like him, especially at his current price. The change I like to the Angels pitching outlook this year is the Lucroy signing. I think he gave the A’s staff a big lift. Here are some thoughts on Heaney.

    Funky, loose delivery. I always like that in a left hander. Three pitches are two seam fastball, change, curve. However he throws the change exclusively to right handers. Threw only two to lefties all year. The fastball tops at 95 and sits mostly 93. Has some good arm side run, especially when he moves it away from righties. Gets slightly more of a cutting action when he goes in on RHB, which he definitely tries to establish. There’s no sink to the two seamer and it only generates 37% ground balls.

    The change the curve compliment each other well. The curve is a tight roller that he’ll throw anywhere from 82 to 76. The change looks similar coming out of his hand but it has some late fade that provides deception. Change usually right at 80-81.

    Overall he’s more of a fly ball pitcher and probably his biggest weakness is the HR ball. Was in the top 15 among starters for home runs per 9 with 1.35. The home run ball is reflective of his extreme splits. For his career he’s given up like 60 HRs to RHB and only two to lefties.

    Although he’s a two pitch pitcher to lefties, they have no chance. Overall lefties slugged .288 against him last year and against the curve ball it was .164 with an .060 ISO. The whiff rate for lefties against the curve went up to the low 30% range by the end of the year and I expect it can sit there.

    His main problem is mistake fastballs to RHB. Righties slugged .467 against him over all and a terrifying .511 against the fastball. When he’s successful, he’s getting the ball in off the plate inside and then hitting his spots just off the black away and also going up the ladder.

    I think last year is a pretty good reflection of who he is. The inability to get RHB means he’s going to see a lot of stacked line ups which takes some of the dominance of LHB away. I think he’d do well to throw even more change ups to RHB as it’s his best pitch for generating ground balls as well at just over 50%.

    I could see owning him this year.

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @OaktownSteve:

      I took a look at Lucchesi. Pretty interesting. Looks like a big dude, kind of herky jerky mechanics, big leg kick. Everything seems to repeat pretty well tho. Hides the ball a bit on his back hip which I think helps both his pitches.
      Strictly a two pitch pitcher. He threw about 20 or so curveballs last year per Brooks, all in one month when it looked like he experimented with one. I looked for them on tape and I saw a few, though I’m not totally convinced the weren’t just change ups he got around on a little. At any rate he abandoned it and I would think he’d want to try to work up a third pitch.
      The fastball tops I saw was 94. Mostly comfortable at 91. Locates it well. Brooks calls his fastball a four seamer but Padres announcer Mark Grant said it’s a two seamer that he throws up in the zone. It really looks like a four seamer. No sinking action at all. There’s a little bit of ride to the glove side and he commands it well. Will work the top of the zone to the bottom. Works towards the outside as much as he can against righties. He will come in and challenge in the zone and that’s where he normally gets hurt when he leaves it centered. Will pitch in a little against lefties. The lack of an off speed moving horizontally glove side suggests a little slider or cutter might be in the mix for that third pitch. Especially if he could back foot it to righties to move inside.
      The change is easily his best pitch. It’s legit. There’s no fade to it at all. No horizontal. Just a downward flight. He actually calls it a “churve” and it will dive like an overhand curveball. But, in August and September he lost a ton of the drop on the pitch. Like an 80% reduction per Brooks. Perhaps counter-intuitively, though, it made it a better swing and miss pitch, particularly against lefties. Overall, he went from a 15%ish swing and miss to 25% on that pitch and that would seem to be the cause of that spike to an 11+ k/9 those last two months.
      I actually have a theory as to why the k rate spiked. What makes his change effective seems to be how late hitters recognize it. Ton of front foot off balance swings. He definitely disguises the change well out of his hand. Because there’s no horizontal movement, it stays on the same plane as the fastball a little longer before that late drop and hitters just aren’t picking it up. But I think it’s possible the pitch was dropping so much earlier in the season that hitters were sometimes able to read breaking ball based on the vertical drop. As that pitch tightened up, it may have delayed the recognition even a bit more and made the pitch better and many of the swings and misses were on balls at the bottom of the strike zone rather than the shoe tops. Anyway, just a theory.
      I think there’s really good pitchability here and he’s pretty composed for a guy who skipped right to MLB. I think he was the first pitcher from the 2016 draft to throw an inning in the majors. The lack of a third pitch worries me. So does the thing I talk about every off season with somebody. Last year it was Godley I talked about. A pitcher who relies really, really heavily on a breaking pitch often loses some of the effectiveness of that pitch as hitters get second, third games against him under their belts. That being said, the change up looks like a really good one. Over all, I like him, but there are those two yellow flags that keep me thinking. I can’t say I’ll target him. There are a few pitchers around his ADP I prefer. But that being said, I do think the change is a very good pitch and if I kick pitching down the road early and end up owning him, I won’t freak. There’s chance he comes back with a bender and there’s some development there.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Great stuff, I think Lucchesi is going to shock people, and it’s going to be one of these scenarios…”How did I not see a high K guy on the Padres? He’s facing terrible teams in a great park and he’s K’ing everyone, what was I thinking not drafting him?” He’s going to shoot up rankings next year, and this will be the year to own him…

        • OaktownSteve says:
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          @Grey:

          I hope for your sake you’re right. It’s not impossible, but can’t quite get behind him quite to that extent.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Hope I’m right too!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      And Anaheim Stadium to be named later is good for suppressing homers, yeah, can see that… Also, I think attacking just one set of hitters becomes easier after a little success, anecdotal, but if you have figured out what you need to do (vs. righties) then you just need to activate the kill switch… Plus, his xFIP in 2nd half was terrific, and his 2nd half ERA was awful…All because of homers. If he can rein in homers, I think he could be a guy that seemingly comes out of nowhere.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Great comment as always! Hope your back feels better…

      • Dave D says:
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        @Grey:

        Since the Angels are building their rotation from scrap metal, it looks like he will indeed have to pitch as a bona fide #1 for them to have a chance. That and Barria builds off last year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Agreed, and think he can be

    • The Dude says:
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      @OaktownSteve: How much does Grey have to pay you to post all of your pitcher analysis?

  29. RoarOf84 says:
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    Looking at taking over a team in my buddy’s keeper league and I have a choice of two different rosters. Was wondering which team you think is better to take over. 10-team roto league where each team keeps 5 guys. Each year, a player moves up two rounds in value. Example: Lindor counted as a 3rd round pick last year and will become a 1st round pick if he were kept again. After this year though, Lindor would have to go back into the draft pool.

    See below for the two different teams that I’m choosing from. The round that they’d count against me for 2019 is in parenthesis by their name.

    Team 1:
    Willson Contreras (16th)
    Aaron Judge (17th)
    Eddie Rosario (18th)
    Eugenio Suarez (24th)
    Scooter Gennett (26th)

    Team 2:
    Francisco Lindor (1st)
    Nick Castellanos (8th)
    Andrew Benintendi (14th)
    Tommy Pham (16th)
    Mike Clevinger (19th)
    Jonathan Villar (22nd)
    Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (24th)

    I listed more players for Team 2 because I’m not sure who my top 5 would be. If you prefer Team 2 to Team 1, please give insight on who your 5 would be.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Team 2, Vlad, Clevinger, Lindor, Benintendi, Villar… can’t go wrong with Pham either from that team

      • RoarOf84 says:
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        @Grey:

        Would you say Lindor is a must keep? Keeping Pham instead of him would allow me to keep my 1st round pick too.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I like Lindor a lot, but who would be thrown back in for a 1st round pick?

          • RoarOf84 says:
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            @Grey:

            Aside from a handful of players that were drafted low before breaking out, most top talent will be available. Just on these two teams alone, guys like Trout, Kluber, Goldschmidt, and Sale have to be thrown back because they were counted as 1st or 2nd round draft picks last year.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Oh, then throw back Lindor for Pham

      • RoarOf84 says:
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        @Grey:

        Brantley as a keeper in the 21st round is an option too.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Forget Brantley

  30. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    [DJ Khalid voice] Another one for ya! Keep forever, +$3 annually

    A. $9 Turner for my $15 Bryant + one of $25 Cole or $11 Clevinger?

    B. $12 Lindor for my [same as A]

    C. $26 Machado for my Bryant?

    D. $6 Albies for my $25 Cole or $11 Clevinger?

    I can’t shake the feeling that if I trade Bryant, he’ll return to MVP form, but if I keep him, he’ll be injured half the season…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha… a. Nah B. That works for me C. Sounds fine D. Works for me with Cole

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Grey: Thanks again! You like the $11 Clev over $25 Cole?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem…. I prefer Clevinger…

  31. los locos says:
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    Grey, how you feel about Tyler White this season?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’ll go over him in the rankings

  32. Mr W says:
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    Hey Grey,
    Im debating trading for either Jimmy Nelson or Andrew Heaney in a full keeper points league. They are priced the same, but i likely cant afford both. I assume with Nelson’s shoulder injury and your Heaney projections that you would go for Heaney first. Also since Nelson doesnt have a sleeper post i imagine you dont see him returning to his 2017 form? Or is the risk too high?

    i know your SP rankings are coming but I would appreciate a quick opinion since i dont want to miss this trade opportunity. i know other teams are targeting these players. Thanks as always

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d prefer Heaney

  33. DonnieB says:
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    End of round 1: take deGrom or Sale or both? Turn pick Story,Harper or Goldy? Thanks. On the clock now in DC.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I would not draft an SP in the 1st or 2nd rounds… Harper/Story works for me

  34. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    Grey – Rebuilding in a 12tm keeper AL Only

    I give: George Springer $17 can only be kept this year

    I get: Andrew Heaney $7 for 3 years
    Jorge Polanco $2 for 5 years
    Danny Jansen $4 for 5 years

    Deal?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Meh, it’s not terrible I guess… You’re keeping them all?

      • The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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        @Grey: yeah I would keep them all. I’ve shopped Springer around to a few other teams and have literally gotten crap offers.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’d try for more, but it’s not bad in a deep league to get 3 usable pieces back

  35. bbboston says:
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    Grey,

    Here’s my tentative keeper list in a AL only, 10 team, Auction League with 8 keepers allowed, as well as a list of guys I might add to the list. Do you agree with my present keeper list, or would you make changes? If you would make a change, who would you add/drop?

    KEEPER LIST:
    Gallo $6
    Profar $10
    Merrifield $10
    J. Polanco $10
    Hicks $7
    Betts $30
    Clevinger $13
    Heaney $5

    POSSIBLE REPLACEMENTS:
    Tulowitzki $3
    White $10
    Calhoun $10
    May $8

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Prolly White over Polanco

      • Bbboston says:
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        @Grey:

        Thanks! Only reason I had picked Polanco is that he’s batting 1st in BO.

      • Bbboston says:
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        @Bbboston: @Grey:

        White slated for sleeper write-up?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Not before the rankings

  36. S. Bananas says:
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    Grey,

    Looking at the possibility of moving Andrew Heaney for Mitch Hanniger in a Stratomati Dynasty replay league (yes… I know.) Anyhow, both are about the same age, and both are trending upwards. I could use a 3rd OF upgrade in Hanigar, with Buxton and Broxton are my bench bats, and have Archer that can slide into his spot in the rotation. I only really need Hanigar for one season, as Eloy Jimenez is (hopefully) coming up this year and I’ll have him to use next year. Heaney I could use for many more years in the rotation if he continues his trajectory from last year. The question is, who do you think has a better 5-year window?

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