I’m back baby!  Returned henceforth from thy vacation, and I have no idea if that attempt at Ol’ English made any sense.  Now I wanna drink a 40!  Which is something Julio Urias can’t do!

So much happens in baseball when you’re gone for two weeks!  Well, I was just on vacation for one week, but most of it was without internet.  Yeah – rough!  First time I’ve done a big vacation like that during the baseball season.  Not gonna lie though – kinda worth it for a little break.  But alas – we have a lot to catch up on!  Like Urias getting a very surprising (to me) call up this early.  Sure he was mowing down AAA, but he’s 19 and the Dodgers seemed to go into the year with a lot of pitching options.  Then Alex Wood went from scratched (giving Urias his debut in a “spot-start” that went poorly against the Mets) to the DL, so Urias has a shot to stick in the rotation for a bit.  With that little bit of extra leash, how would Urias respond in a tough matchup at Wrigley?  Here’s how the MLB’s youngest cub fared last Thursday afternoon:

First Inning: Urias’s first pitch of his second career start is a strike on a fastball in there to Dexter Fowler at 90 MPH Then another fastball is a broken bat flare single that barely gets over Chase Utley at second for an unlucky leadoff single.  Argh.  92 MPH is inside to Jason Heyward, 92 again fouled off, then his first off-speed pitch is a 77 MPH curveball that does this:

Urias-CurveballFastball inside 2-2, nice power curveball is fouled off, then 94 on the hands gets a double-play ground ball opportunity, but Heyward barely beats it at first.  So only one out and a fastball is ripped down the third base like by Kris Bryant but it’s foul, then a gorgeous change-up at 83 drops in the zone, 0-2.

Urias-ChangeupWhew.  Then fastball in the zone is another double-play ball, but the Dodgers turn this one to get Urias through a quick first inning.

Second Inning: Urias goes inside curveball to Anthony Rizzo to get ahead 0-1, fastball misses inside, change-up flutters low and away, 93 MPH on the hands eats him up for a foul back, nice curve down in the zone gets a half-swing flare back, then 93 absolutely paints the outside black, but the ump is gonna be a dick to the youngun:

Urias-FastballNasty, but it’s 3-2.  Fastball fouled off, then paint again at 94 is called ball four.  That one was a little further outside and lower than that last GIF, but I bet Urias at age 25 gets both of those.  So a tough leadoff walk and Jorge Soler barely nips a fastball that somehow chops through first and second base for another unlucky single.  BABIP-ped to death!  Addison Russell show bunt but pulls back on a first pitch curveball, high and tight fastball is taken, 2-0 change-up on the outside black fouled off – nice moxie there – fastball way off low and inside, outside fastball fouled to right, then 87 MPH slider gets Russell to lose his bat for his first K:

Urias-SliderI’m out of GIFs already, through only 4 outs!  I knew Urias was special even though the numbers haven’t bared that out, but mannnnn.  Inside fastball is taken by Javier Baez, change-up stays outside but gets Baez unable to hold a check swing, fastball misses, then a change gets a flare bloop single to center that it looked like Joc Pederson had a chance a, but it lands in front of him for an RBI single.  Pederson then bobbles it, letting the runners get to second and third.  Some shoddy CF play there, and the 3rd hit that wasn’t well-struck at all.  Miguel Montero foul tips a first pitch fastball 0-1, foul tip again on a fastball at 93, fastball again stays high, then rolling curveball in the zone is a routine grounder to second, one down.  So runner at third and two outs with opposing pitcher Kyle Hendricks slashing a first pitch fastball foul, fastball again fouled back, then fastball at 93 on the outside black gets the call for Urias’s 2nd K and gets him out of the inning.

Third Inning: First pitch change-up stays outside to Fowler as we go back to the top of the order, change again is perfect and in there, fastball skips in low, then a fastball on the hands absolutely eats Fowler up for about a 5-foot groundball out made by A.J. Ellis.  Fastball at 94 is in there to Heyward, saw a little bit of Urias losing his balance there, then fastball again is barely past short for a single.  Still nothing hit all that hard.  Urias again having full faith in that change-up and it’s a taken strike one on the outside edge to Bryant, then a high fastball on the outside part of the plate gets a loud, long flyball to the warning track for the second out.  Had Bryant reaching a little too much to get homer contact.  Fastball in there to Rizzo, fastball again at 93 in a perfect low and inside spot for a foul back, then I’m pretty sure a slider at 86 gets a flare to left for the final out of the inning.

Fourth Inning: Again pounding the zone, Urias is in there Soler, but an 89 MPH slider or cutter didn’t do much on the outside edge and Soler dumps a single the opposite way to right.  First “legit” hit to me.  Russell swings and misses for strike one, then 92 MPH on the hands is a soft flare to first for the first out.  Change-up again on the first pitch to a righty is in there for strike one, then after a check at first, Urias tries a change-up again, and even though it was outside and nice and low at the knees, Baez golfs the poop out of it for a 2-run homer.  Yeah – legit hit there!  But a nice bounce back with a tight slider that gets a whiff from Montero, fastball is in there, change-up in the dirt, then a 1-2 fastball paints that inside corner for his 3rd K.  At least Urias is showing he can brush off when things don’t go his way.  Nasty fastball in there to Hendricks for strike one, that big curveball like that first GIF is in there 0-2, change-up low, then a 1-2 fastball is hit pretty hard by the oppo SP to right, but right to Trayce Thompson for the third out.

Fifth Inning: Third time through the order and a change-up is in there to Fowler, change again drops low, and man these righties have got to be focused on change-ups early in the count by now…  Fastball low, change outside, change yet again is dribbled foul, then a payoff fastball on the outside edge gets a routine grounder to short, one down.  94 in there to Heyward 0-1 – Urias again had a little bit of a footing issue and lost his balance a bit – curve drops in the dirt low, slider also in the dirt low, then 92 MPH on the inside part of the plate is crushed to right, and the power-anemic Jason Heyward gets a homer.  Bad misses on both off-speed pitches and Heyward was laser-eyed on a fastball.  Then on the very next pitch, Urias hangs a curveball and Bryant hits it like 700 feet off the left field scoreboard.  MURD-ERED.  Wow, actually I think that was a hanging change-up.  I swear this is all stream of consciousness – I just said that righties are gonna focus on first-pitch change-ups with how Urias is having his pitches called.  Been like 6 or 7 sequences to righties that have started with first-pitch change-ups – sure that one hung up in Bryant’s wheelhouse, but it’s not like it wasn’t expected.  94 MPH is in there to Rizzo, then slider gets a chop to second for a routine second out.  FINALLY Urias starts a righty with something different and it’s a fastball that Soler fouls off, slider in the dirt low, then a nasssssty change-up at 82 that broke away and low from Soler gets a huge whiff, then a slider that didn’t do too much gets a swinging strike 3 mostly due to the speed, so thankfully Urias can end his outing on a high note.  Hendricks ended up pitching a lot better and Urias is hung with his first career loss.

Final Line:  L  5.0 IP  79 Pitches (57 Strikes)  5 ER  8 Hits  1 Walk  4 K  Gamescore: 32   Gamescore+: 40.8

Final Analysis: Head-scratching…  Urias has some beautiful mechanics, 4 plus pitches, and looks as composed as any vet out there on the mound, but it just hasn’t gone his way.  It really wasn’t going his way early with some very weak contact and some umpire squeezing on that one walk, but then he made some mistakes and got launched on.  Not surprisingly for a shorter outing – his Gamescore+ came out higher than his Gamescore, but that’s one of the wider margins we’ve seen.  You can thank some unlucky singles in the first 3 innings for that.

As mentioned – Urias has 4 plus pitches, which is unbelievable for a 19-year-old lefty.  The fastball sat right at 92ish most of the outing, but he ramped it up to 94 on a few occasions.  He averaged 94.0 MPH in his debut against the Mets that fell to 92.4 in this one, but I don’t think that’s anything but small sample noise.  I think his main off-speed pitch – at least what we saw in this start – was a change-up that he could throw for strikes and get whiffs on.  Unfortunately, the Dodgers stubbornly kept Urias on the same game plan through the whole start, and the force-feeding of change-ups early in counts to righties got him burnt.  It’s just really frustrating to see a vet catcher and a coaching staff have a stud 19-year-old out there with 4 plus pitches and make him have cookie cutter sequences.  Wow – have I ranted yet?  Anyway, the curveball out-classes the slider, with heavy break in the 77 MPH range.  It’s a big, easily-discernible bender – not that hitters could lock on it, but has a very sexy look from a lefty.  Then his slider was pretty solid, but it didn’t consistently feature a sharp break.  I may have called a few sliders change-ups earlier in the game as the two both have similar break, just the slider is a few ticks faster on the radar gun.  A few had that heavy, sharp break though like the 4th GIF.  I was surprised to see he went from throwing only 4.9% change-ups in his debut to 13.9% in this encore start.  It seems like in any given outing, any of his 3 of his off-speed pitches could be the most utilized.

I usually don’t delve too much into mechanics, but I do want to mention Urias lost his balance on the follow through a few times, I’m pretty sure all on fastballs.  If he was still doing this in the Minors, they probably wouldn’t have called him up.  Now, this isn’t any sort of comparison to the player himself, but it reminds me a lot of Jimmy Nelson.  He was the Minor League’s hottest pitcher for a lot of 2014, then in the Majors he kept almost falling over on his follow through on several occasions.  Nelson has subsequently ironed that all out and been a much more consistent pitcher (his last start notwithstanding), but gives me this slight glimmer of concern for Urias’s 2016 output.

The hype is certainly for real – this is a perennial Cy Young candidate in the making.  4 plus pitches, smooth mechanics, ahead-of-his-years composure…  I might have trouble keeping him out of the top-20 next year.  It’s just soooooo tough to weigh his ROS impact against starters who we know are in the rotation the rest of the year.  If Alex Wood comes back faster than we think it could pull Urias back out, Urias is likely on an innings cap anyway, then to top it off he’s a lefty, which could be beneficial for 1 or 2 inning relief stints down the stretch.  But for now, I have enough confidence to rank him right in that streaming class even though the results haven’t been there yet and my nagging concern on his balance issues, mechanics-wise.  I’m hoping the Dodgers learn from their mistakes in his pitch calling this last outing and he can build on what was a pretty solid start until that 5th inning home run derby.

Razzball Baseball

Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto, green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, TEAM
1 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
2 Jake Arrieta, CHC
3 Chris Sale, CWS
4 Max Scherzer, WAS
5 Noah Syndergaard, NYM
6 Jose Fernandez, MIA
7 Madison Bumgarner, SF
8 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
9 Corey Kluber, CLE
10 Jacob deGrom, NYM
11 Jon Lester, CHC
12 Yu Darvish, TEX
13 Danny Salazar, CLE
14 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
15 Gerrit Cole, PIT
16 David Price, BOS
17 Johnny Cueto, SF
18 Taijuan Walker, SEA
19 Chris Archer, TB
20 Jeff Samardzija, SF
21 Carlos Martinez, STL
22 Aaron Nola, PHI
23 Joe Ross, WAS
24 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
25 Steven Matz, NYM
26 Zack Greinke, ARI
27 Cole Hamels, TEX
28 Justin Verlander, DET
29 Rich Hill, OAK
30 Jose Quintana, CWS
31 Matt Harvey, NYM
32 Carlos Rodon, CWS
33 Drew Pomeranz, SD
34 Vincent Velasquez, PHI
35 Jason Hammel, CHC
36 Jordan Zimmermann, DET
37 Drew Smyly, TB
38 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
39 John Lackey, STL
40 Aaron Sanchez, TOR
41 Felix Hernandez, SEA
42 Ian Kennedy, KC
43 Wei-Yin Chen, MIA
44 Kenta Maeda, LAD
45 Julio Teheran, ATL
46 Sonny Gray, OAK
47 Lance McCullers, HOU
48 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
49 Marcus Stroman, TOR
50 Michael Wacha, STL
51 Anthony DeSclafani, CIN
52 Francisco Liriano, PIT
53 Patrick Corbin, ARI
54 Kevin Gausman, BAL
55 Julio Urias, LAD
56 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
57 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
58 Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA
59 Tyler Glasnow, PIT
60 J.A. Happ, TOR
61 Jameson Taillon, PIT
62 Marco Estrada, TOR
63 Jaime Garcia, STL
64 Jake Odorizzi, TB
65 Nate Karns, SEA
66 Michael Fulmer, DET
67 Rick Porcello, BOS
68 Tyler Duffey, MIN
69 Tanner Roark, WAS
70 James Shields, CWS
71 Adam Conley, MIA
72 Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS
73 Junior Guerra, MIL
74 Blake Snell, TB
75 Steven Wright, BOS
76 Nathan Eovaldi, NYY
77 Chris Tillman, BAL
78 Matt Moore, TB
79 Jon Gray, COL
80 Robbie Ray, ARI
81 Adam Wainwright, STL
82 Scott Kazmir, LAD
83 Mike Leake, STL
84 Matt Shoemaker, LAA
85 Michael Pineda, NYY
86 Mike Fiers, HOU
87 Collin McHugh, HOU
88 Edinson Volquez, KC
89 Hector Santiago, LAA
90 Jerad Eickhoff, PHI
91 Sean Manaea, OAK
92 Josh Tomlin, CLE
93 Yordano Ventura, KC
94 Matt Andriese, TB
95 CC Sabathia, NYY
96 Andrew Cashner, SD
97 Derek Holland, TEX
98 Colby Lewis, TEX
99 Ervin Santana, MIN
100 Zachary Davies, MIL

Dropped Out: Rubby De La Rosa, ARI (DL – UCL damage, uggghhhh.  Especially rough after he had groin and triceps issues earlier, I think he was compensating for the upcoming TJ, sadly…) Alex Wood, LAD (DL – triceps, but I saw elbow lumped in there too, so I scurred), Juan Nicasio, PIT (yeah, it wasn’t a disaster, but it hasn’t been good enough to hold off the prospects – likely heading to RP soon), Raisel Iglesias, CIN (wow – heading to the bullpen…), Shelby Miller, ARI (I bet Miller’s fantasy owners have a finger that’s in need of a DL stint)

  • David Price is slowly lowering that ERA, but at the cost of the crazy K rate he started with.  And my main concern for a slightly lower-than-consensus Gerrit Cole rank was he was a sub-9 K/9 guy amongst all the high K-rate aces.  Both get some knocks this week due to weakened K upside.
  • Wow, did Yu Darvish impress since I’ve been gone!  Now all of you are humming Kelly Clarkson, aren’t ya?!  Well, maybe only Grey would do that…  I don’t like to rank guys in the pre-season very high who are hurt – especially off a major surgery like TJ – but yeah I obviously am regretting the low initial rank now…
  • I know Carlos Carrasco disappointed in his return off the DL, but as long as he’s only shaking off some rust, I feel pretty confident he can be a top-15 guy ROS with his K-upside.
  • I’m getting more and more on the Aaron Nola bangwagon.  That typo was too funny to erase.  His velo is creeping up a smidge and he looked unreal yesterday in some of the first action I’ve watched since I’ve been back from vacay.
  • I wish Joe Ross was good…  Oh wait…
  • Yikes, what happened to Drew Smyly?!  Insert appropriate emoji here…
  • I’m really surprised Aaron Sanchez has been this good.  Always liked the stuff, but maybe he’s settling into some consistency earlier than I thought in his career.
  • I’m taking a big leap of faith with Anthony DeSclafani this week.  He’s set to debut on Friday, and in some leagues where I’ve been streaming some crap pitching the past few weeks, I went ahead and nabbed him where I could.
  • While he gets a huge bump up, I’m still not 100% sold in ROS terms on Michael Fulmer.  Definitely riding him while this hot though.
  • Could Matt Shoemaker be ANY MORE of an enigma?!  Ugh.
  • Lord help me, did I just rank CC Sabathia?!
  • I’m very tepidly excited, but Zach Davies‘ cutter last outing against the Cards (8.0 IP 9 K 0 ER) was WORK-ING.  He had been throwing his scrubby 89ish MPH 4-seamer nearly 60% of the time until that start, but he dropped it down to 36.2% of the time in that game while mixing in his plus off-speed offerings.  Keep cutting, baby!  Sounds like an emo lyric…
  • Dude – what are you doing to me James Paxton?!  I call out your nice-ish AAA numbers and you get slaughtered in your 2016 debut by the PADRES?!  Ahhhhhhhhhhhh!

Missing the Profile for a week and missing nearly all of baseball for a week certainly puts you behind the eight ball!  So definitely let me know if I’m missing anything big in the ranks, and what you think of Urias moving forward.  Happy to be back, Razzball Nation!

  1. Chud says:
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    No Archie???!!!!

    Ha- good stuff as always

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Chud: Mehhhhh yeah I kinda thought about that one all day catching up on some stuff, and decided to wait it out one more week. Just seemed so hittable before – obviously didn’t see these last 2 starts tho. One against the Pads? Meh. Rays K a lot too for his next start, and in an NL park, so even a good one there I might still be iffy, btu he’ll make it in with another nice K showing. Thanks for reading!

  2. peacecoast says:
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    dude I seriously cannot believe you got married again wtf

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @peacecoast: Hah yeah, I still can’t believe my immature ass is married either!

      • Scott says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Maybe she’ll make you respectable. Stranger things have happened. ;)

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @peacecoast: @Scott: This would be up there in strangeland!

      • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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        @JB Gilpin: wait, you’ve been married and divorced and married again since last year? or was this just part of that joke.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @peacecoast: @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: Hah, still just married the one time and still happily married haha. I think peace was saying “he couldn’t believe i was married”. Did I make a joke in the article about re-marriage?!

  3. ASAP says:
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    Seems like pretty high rankings for both Walker and Smyly after 2 and 3 bad starts respectively…still have faith they’ll turn it around?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @ASAP: Well Smyly did take quite a tumble. I do think Walker can turn it around though. I think the HR rate is a little fluky high and @TEX is a tough matchup most of the time, I’d def buy there if I could

  4. Gonzo_The_Great says:
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    Did you really expect better from Paxton? I feel like we’ve all fallen for this trick before.

    What do we do with a problem like Liriano? It’s getting to the point where you can’t even roll him out anymore. While he’s going to get you some nice k’s, god only knows how many runs he’s going to let up. Do you see any hope of him regaining his form and remembering how to keep the runs down?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Gonzo_The_Great: Hah, ummmmm, well I didn’t even rank him yet, so there’s that :) AL only I’d def scoop him up, but yeah, not even in 16ers yet probably… I just love him so much!

      Yeah, Liriano’s been falling consistently, 52 is definitely in the streaming and not “must-own” class. He’s always teetered on team-killing bad control, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he can get back to 3.5ish BB/9 rather than 5.55 so far this year. The biggie is his absurd HR rate at 22.6%, double his career average. So I think there’s some hope yet

      • Raindoggg says:
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        @JB Gilpin: It won’t be long before Pax is ranked…he looks good….first start he looked very nervous out there…..his fastball is ridiculous and if he ever gets on a roll and gets confdent with his secondary stuff he is finally gonna live up to his potential….I think his biggest concern may be dealing with injuries as I ain’t a doctor but his arm delivery looks pretty violent and he hasn’t had the best injury track record….hope I’m wrong with that though…

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Gonzo_The_Great: @Raindoggg: I got someone else in my Pax fan club! Yeah health has always been a big issue with the big fellah – but totally agree – big fastball and secondary stuff has been there, it just hasn’t come together yet

          • Chucky says:
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            LHP take time to develop. That 101 mph fastball could be deadly. A power LHP? Sign me up. I’m in. The AL West is a bonus.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Gonzo_The_Great: @Raindoggg: @Chucky: Well, i dunno if it’s “one size fits all” for lefties, as Urias is in the majors at 19… But man is that velocity some nonsense…

  5. Ben says:
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    Why is Taijuan Walker so high? He has been terrible lately. I have been thinking about dropping him in my 12 team h2h pts league. Should I continue to hold out?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Ben: I still think there’s enough there, HR rate has been unlucky and a bad start @TEX didn’t have me take him down yet. I would def hold

      • Ben says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Will hold for another start or two. Hope he picks it up.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Ben: Cool, yeah I hadn’t thought about losing him yet. Next start vs. CLE, he was good against them earlier in the year, it’s at home… It should turn around

  6. ashtray says:
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    Walker still in the top 20? That’s bold.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @ashtray: Hah yeah this is looking like the theme of the comments! You can see some thoughts on him above, maybe I did need to take a closer look and bring him down some, he’s def on thin ice

  7. JVanSlyke says:
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    Are you advocating starting Urias tomorrow? SON really likes him but I’m scared

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @JVanSlyke: Yup! I’d play him, it’s at home and Rockies have a lot of lefties. I think we finally see that potential

  8. Matt says:
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    Rodon’s 6 starts before the All-Star Break: WAS, DET, @BOS, TOR, @HOU, NYY. Could you make a less favorable schedule?

  9. Scott says:
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    Welcome back JB!

    Hey, I noticed you missed out on the Archie Bradley bandwagon, m’man.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Scott: Thanks man! Yeah I knew he had one good start, but didn’t realize it was two to be totally honest. But seeing him last year, just nothing good off-speed wise… I do see velo is up though… I dunno, one vs. Pads and the Cubs when off can be awful K-wise (remember Junior Guerra with 11 Ks?!)… I wanna see one or two more, but if he’s decent this week, he’ll make it

  10. PetFed says:
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    Pick 2 for ROS
    Ian Kennedy
    Jamie Garcia
    Rodon
    Jon Gray
    Mike Leake
    Eovaldi

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @PetFed: I’m sticking with my preseason picks which woulda been Kennedy and Rodon, but Kennedy isn’t that much more exciting than streaming if all those guys are avail. Any time!

  11. Scott says:
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    I’m actually reciting the meeting at the Kung Fu school from Rush Hour 3.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Scott: Hahaha Rush Hour 3?! Went over my head right there haha

      • Scott says:
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        @JB Gilpin: 1st Kung Fu Master “I am Yu” Chris Tucker “You are me?” 2nd Kung Fu Master “No, I am Mi, that is Yu”

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Scott: Didn’t Austin Powers have an Asian twins scene that went something like that?

          • Scott says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Probably
            #SixDegreesToAustinPowers

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Scott: Hah good point

  12. Maver1ck says:
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    Interesting seeing Patty Corbin staying at #53 – do you think the best is yet to come for him, this season?

    Great work as always and thank you.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Maver1ck: Yeah I do – I think he’s always had good stuff, but would have definitely re-considered if his last start was bad. Also, last start he was by far his fastest with fastball, at 92.8 – previous high in a game was 92.2. Keep climbing, Patty!

  13. Rodger Dorn says:
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    Is Smyly someone I should pick up even though he’s been so bad of late? He was just dropped today

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Rodger Dorn: Yeah I think so, as long as it’s a 12er and you can afford to bench him. I dunno how confident I would be starting him next game v. HOU

  14. We're Out Of Room says:
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    Finally the Rock has returned (Que music)…no but seriously welcome back JB. We’ve had a few preliminary discussions but lets jump right into it. But be forewarned I have lots of questions, you left me alone for far too long lol.First my current roster:

    ESPN 12 team HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS daily moves and 4 keepers per season

    C Molina
    1B Cabrera
    2B Daniel Murphy
    3B Seager
    SS A. Russell
    OF Stanton
    OF Springer
    OF Polanco
    UTIL OF Burns
    UTIL OF Maybin
    Bench Buxton
    Bench 2B/SS Castro
    DL Sano
    DL Pollock

    SP Salazar
    SP Gausman
    RP Kimbrel
    RP Melancon
    P T. Walker
    P Odorizzi
    P C.Rodon
    P Pomeranz
    Bench SP Chen
    Bench SP Kennedy
    Bench RP McGee

    So a few changes in your absence. I dropped ERod for Buxton, that wasnt easy, Buxton has been a disappointment and I had high hopes for ERod. But my O needed some upside with Sano on the DL and no timetable on a Pollock return(in hindsight should have kept Betts over Pollock in the offseason…sigh). I’ve been getting decent production from Maybin but Im hoping maybe Buxton can out produce him and make him expendable eventually.

    I still have hot and cold production form my SS combo of Russell and Castro. Just when I think about dropping one, the other warms just a little and vice versa. I do like to have the depth that having both provides but with Semien and Cozart on the wire I wonder if I should make a change. Not sure I trust Cozart tbh, but both Semien have slightly outproduced Castro in the last 30 days, most notably in OBP but I feel like Semien has more power potential than Castro ROS. Wondering if I make a move or just remain patient until Bregman, Arcia, or one of the young studs get the call.

    Also my C situation, like most peoples sucks. Grandal is out there, he had a good day yesterday but I dont know if I can trust him, Molina was serviceable for much of April and May with a great OBP and very few 0-fers, however lately that hasnt been the case. If I drop him, he will be added just due to the lack of C options. Hundley and Norris are the only other waiver C’s of note after Grandal.

    Finally with my staff, see any immediate upgrades that should be made? For instance I see you still have Corbin ranked pretty high(but below Chen), he pitched well yesterday. Would you try to reacquire him, and if so at whose expense?Can I really trust Buxton enough to drop Maybin who has been producing Rs and a decent OBP(although the steals havent materialized) and is Corbin worth that risk? Also Shoemaker is available too but he’s on waivers and with all the articles recently written professing their love for his high Ks he’ll likely get claimed tomorrow. I have the 1st waiver spot but man Im not sure I can use it on Shoemaker lol. Ok I’ll hang up and listen…

    • We're Out Of Room says:
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      @We’re Out Of Room: Side not to the staff question regarding reacquiring Corbin…DeSclafani is available too but Im wary because ERod did not repay my faith lol.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @We’re Out Of Room: Haha thanks man, glad to be back! Def down with the Buxton add.

      Ugh at SS. All are like #8-#14ish SS. I might just chase hot streaks, but still feel like Russell is the for-sure hold.

      Ugh at C too haha. I’d prob just hold Molina, I was surprised to see that since his rookie year, Grandal hasn’t hit above .234. Wowzer.

      I have Buxton and Maybin on a team, and I def would lose Maybin first, really screaming flash in the pan. While he’s been decent the past 4-5 days, last 9 games – .294 5 R 2 RBI 0 HR 0 SB. Pretty meh.

      tough call on Shoemaker, my low rank is more about non-believing for a full ROS output. I might ride out the waiver and see if you can get Shoe, but if it falls through and someone waivers him, lose Maybin for Corbin

      • We're Out Of Room says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Thanks for the advice, pretty much how I was viewing it, but I sure do like having you as a sounding board…you’re the real MVP JB lol.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @We’re Out Of Room: Thanks man, any MVP saying they don’t like hearing the chant is LYING!

          • We're Out Of Room says:
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            @JB Gilpin: So Shoemaker though, I mean it’s the Yankees but still… I mean should I burn a waiver priority on the guy or just add Corbin?

            • We're Out Of Room says:
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              @We’re Out Of Room: Or maybe not lol…he started awfully well but gave up 4 runs…

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
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                @We’re Out Of Room: Verrrrrry unlucky those last two runs. I think a single, then what looked like a flare Mike Trout coulda caught, Trout pulled up on it and let it land to be safe. Then they pull Shoemaker, and the reliever gives up a 3 run shot. I’m holding Shoemaker where I have him, but the difference isn’t big between he and Corbin short term, I would be fine owning either

                • We're Out Of Room says:
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                  @JB Gilpin: Yeah and he cleared waivers so I could drop Maybin for either Shoe or Corbin. Whats your preference based on my current roster? Only other options are DeSclafani,stash of Snell or the Cards Reyes.

                  • JB Gilpin

                    JB Gilpin says:
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                    @We’re Out Of Room: I think I might go Corbin, use his next start, if it’s really good hold, if shaky or only OK, then move to Shoe for his start after that

                    • We're Out Of Room says:
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                      @JB Gilpin: Thanks JB…so while I’ve got ya, whats your thoughts on Carlos Gomez, seems to be heating up a bit, HRs in 2 of last 3 games since returning from the DL. Do you like him better as an upside play or would you still go Corbin at Maybins expense?

                  • JB Gilpin

                    JB Gilpin says:
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                    @We’re Out Of Room: Out of room again! Haha. I’d take the shot on Gomez if available, rather him over Corbin/Maybin

                    • We're Out Of Room says:
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                      @JB Gilpin: Consistency lol…yeah I dropped Maybin for Gomez yesterday. Still would like to add Corbin but I’d likely have to drop Buxton, he went 0-4 and Ked 3 times yesterday, may see how he trends between now and Corbins next start.

                      Also had a guy offer me Buster Posey and two fillers Dyson and Kiermaier for Yadier Molina, Castro and Gomez right after I added him. I just dont have any use for anyone but Posey(and his nerve/thumb issue concerns me…thoughts?

                      He obviously wants Gomez and Castro I thought about trying to offer Molina, Castro,RP McGee and Buxton or Gomez for say Posey and RP Jansen. Still not sure if I like it or not though.

                    • JB Gilpin

                      JB Gilpin says:
                      (link)

                      Well, before that Buxton had been pretty good – a few doubles and triples, so not like nothing but singles like Maybin. Someone is def worried about Posey making that offer… I think you take that and run though, especially after mentioning annoyance with you C blah-ness. I do like trying to squeeze out a RP upgrade too, but I would negotiate lightly and quickly and try to make the deal, I think Posey will be ok. If anything, we’ve seen Ryan Braun have the “cryotherapy” that was a short-term fix and it worked on a nerve-thumb issue

  15. Jeff says:
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    Hi there –

    I’m in a league that scores as follows – QS, IP, ERA, K/9, SV+HD, WHIP.
    I’m working this week with this pitching staff:
    Sale, Strasburg, Hendricks, Walker, Karns, Bradley, Snell, Taillon, DeSclafani,
    Papelbon, Phelps, Dyson
    I’m playing against a guy who stacks relievers, so playing three RPs seems silly. I’m thinking of benching Papelbon (or even dropping him since his stats aren’t as useful as those of the other RPs I have so far). If I take DeSclafani off the DL and pitch him, I have to drop someone. Should I do that, and if so, which one should I drop?

    Thanks for the help.
    Jeff

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jeff: Hmmm, well can you just keep DeSclafani on the DL? I might do that, indeed bench Papelbon (prob wouldn’t drop him though), and play the rest of the starters and re-assess through this week

  16. Ross Watson says:
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    I honestly know nothing about Desclafani. I’m in a points league that mostly revolves around Ks for pitching. What’s this guys ceiling when it comes to strikeouts?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ross Watson: He has a really nice slider that’s his bread and butter, throws decently hard averaging 92.5 on fastball, plus has a change-up and curveball. He has good walk rates too. I think he could be a good WHIP, 8.2 or 8.3 K/9. ERA and wins upside might be rough though

  17. Shark says:
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    Watched Urias’ start vs. Mets. Ron Darling said on some, not all, of Urias’ off speed pitches, he saw a slight slowdown in Urias’ arm motion. (maybe you can check out that game to confirm/deny) Also, Eno Sarris of Fangraphs says that using some sort of proprietary injury score indicator thingamajig (invented by some geek who got scooped up to work for the Rays), Wacha is flashing all kinds of big warning signs. The one point that stood out was the release point being all over the place (like King Felix! pre-injury).

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Shark: Hmmmm interesting. I didn’t notice it this start, all I noticed was the footwork. Maybe he fixed the arm slowdown but at the cost of messing up his footwork a tad? I dunno…. Something I’ll watch for tomo if I catch some of his start.

      I wouldn’t be surprised about Wacha, who had that broken shoulder thing just from normal usage. I wasn’t big on him coming into the year, but re-thinking it, 50th seems a little high still, might need to keep moving him down next wk

  18. Cram It says:
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    Cy Young, eh? You rather him than K-Zar in a keep forever?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Cram It: Hmmmmmmm. Yeah, gimme Urias. Salazar is already 26. Sure, if you were in win-now mode that might be a tough move to make, but I would do it for most teams

      • Cram It says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Yeah, win now, or even next year, I wouldn’t do it, but I don’t have a read on Urias. So thanks duder.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Cram It: Damn I had this in my mind to ask Grey during the Pod. But we uhhhhh, got derailed… Shocker!

          • Cram It says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Ask him what? Salazar or Urias?

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Cram It: Yeah the same question you asked, Urias or Salazar in no penalty keep forever

              • Cram It says:
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                @JB Gilpin: He said Salazar. But he tends not to give too much weight to the keeper factor. I’m just not well read on Urias. Idk what/who he projects to comp to.

                • JB Gilpin

                  JB Gilpin says:
                  (link)

                  @Cram It: Yeah it’s tough, the lazy overblown one is Kershaw since they’re both huge prospects who are Dodgers lefties. I’m not going near that comp yet, but he is above most pitching prospects we’ve seen for a while, especially considering he’s 19

  19. Sing Us a Vogelsong You're the Pineda Man says:
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    Trade Abreu for Carrasco?

    Abreu is my CI and I have Valencia/HanRam/AJ Reed as replacements.

  20. Jedimasters says:
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    Missed ya last Monday JB. Good to see a new Pitcher Profile! A disgruntled owner dropped Chris Archer in my 10 team points league. This is that pitchers rule league with 50 points per win. Is he worth a pickup over any of these bench SPs?

    C. Mart
    C. Rodon (I know he’s your boy but bad matchups and I’m losing patience)
    J. Ross

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jedimasters: Missed you too man! Love the baseball talk in the comments, helps get me straight on some ranks I get wrong :)

      Oh yeah, definitely need to add Archer. Indeed would lose Rodon… He’s a pretty clear tier below those other 2 and Archer

  21. Big Mike says:
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    In a keep 3 winters (no cost) league, which of Matz and Urias would you keep along with Scherzer and Klubot?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Big Mike: I’m def taking Urias. Matz’s elbow scares me and I think we could see a big year starting next season for Urias

  22. Mike Devereaux says:
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    great job! whats your opinion on colin mchugh?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Mike Devereaux: Thanks man! Mehhhhh, still has a smidge of Ks upside and that’s about all that’s keeping him in the ranks. His BABIP is a little high and LOB% a little low, so he could be a 4.25ish ERA guy with 8 Ks per 9 ROS

  23. knucks says:
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    Hows that Alaskan tan working out for you?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @knucks: Hah it’s looking good! No seriously though, in Skagway it was like 65-70 and sunny – just gorgeous – but we did gold panning and stood outside for a while and I was thinkin “I better not get sunburnt in mother F Alaska!”

  24. primetime says:
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    JB, start

    Porcell vs Giants and Twins
    Roark vs Phillies

    Also, drop Roark for Desclafani?

    Kershaw
    Strausburg
    Salazar
    Hammel
    Roark

    Taillon
    Bradley
    Odorizzi

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @primetime: Gimme the Porcello starts. Yup! I’ll take DeScladani.

  25. Josh-NYC says:
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    Hey JB,

    No love for Bartolo colon? He’s been pretty consistent in my 12 team standard 5×5. Fiers has been pretty streaky.

    Can you rank my bottom end guys? Colon, shoemaker, fiers

    Would you drop one or more for Duffy? Rodon and Liriano are really killing me, but at least Harvey has improved.

    My staff:
    Joe Ross, kzar, colon, fiers, shoemaker, Liriano, rodon, Harvey, Darvish , Hendricks , taillon, Glasnow

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Josh-NYC: Yeah Fiers at 86 isn’t too differnet than Colon who is like 110ish maybe, I am still weighing (hah – ironic word) how much his second half is gonna impact his ROS numbers. I’d go Shoe, Fiers, Colon.

      Sure, yeah I would prob ride a hot Duffy over over Colon or Fiers. Duffy didn’t get a rank bc I’m not sure he’s in the rotation ROS. Any time!

  26. Andre says:
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    Is it crazy to entertain trading Carlos Correa for Francisco Lindor and a 2nd round pick? I’m in a H2H keeper league, keep forever format, that allows us to keep 5 max. Counting stats are H, HR, Average, RBI, Walks, Stolen Bases, and Runs.

    I thought I would be set with Correa, Machado, Kershaw, Posey, and Betts…..but Lindor has looked just so much better and morecomfortable than Correa.

    Reply

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Andre: Hmmmm. Crazy? Nah, but I still wouldn’t do it. Lindor has def looked great though, I just think Correa has that 30/30 upside still. If it was a first round pick… Man that would be close

  27. Swfcdan says:
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    Who knows, I’m English and I don’t understand a word of old English either!

    Trade conundrum for ya, own ailing Donaldson and would like a fill in with fairly shallow rosters (though 16 teams) at 3B. Currently play Calhoun at Util, would you consider trading him for Beltre to give me a better 3B option for now (then later Util) even in a dynasty? Would do it obviously in a redraft, just not sure if it’s crazy getting a 37 yr old for a guy in his prime.

    Oh and my team Sheffield Wednesday lost in the playoff final at Wembley, don’t know if you saw the result. Didn’t play well so pretty gutting, but hey was a good fun drunken weekend overall! We’ll be back year with automatic promotion in our sights! (unlikely but a man can dream haha).

    • Swfcdan says:
      (link)

      @Swfcdan: And think it’s time to believe in Nola more eh! :) What a riddonkulously good season so far, I have Cole, Hamels and C-Mart in one league and Nola’s been my best starter! I see you are reacting by bumping him up your rankings at last haha, we know his curve’s awesome but I’ve been really impressed by the movement on his fastball getting a lot of whiffs too.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Swfcdan: Hahaha, yeah old Enligsh is insane!

        Meh, yeah I would prob make that Beltre deal. I don’t think Calhoun has much dynasty upside anymore, even though he’s been solid lately.

        Ugghhh yeah I saw the score, but couldn’t watch as I was traveling. Glad you had a good weekend though!

        And yup! I will say that his velo seems to be ticking up a smidge, and he indeed looks awesome. Agree- that two seamer was mowing down my Brewers… I was def wrong to not buy in there!

  28. John says:
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    Hey man,
    Rotation is as follows (12 team league):

    Kluber, Salazar, Keuchel, Rodon, Nelson, Kennedy, Hendricks, Stashing Snell, and have E-Rod coming off the DL and need to make a move with that.

    Should I drop snell in favor of having E-Rod iron out his issues on the bench? Also, can I count on Nelson given my role for him in the rotation? Really just need him to be serviceable.

    I’m deep in OF (Braun and Marte two of the four). Guy in the league is floundering a bit and seems interest in a Braun for either Arrieta or Fernandez but keeps wavering. Worth throwing in one of my bottom of the rotation guys just to juice the deal a little or hold?

    Sorry for the lengthy question, but I appreciate the insight. Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @John: Never too lengthy! Starting with Nelson – yeah I think he can be serviceable as a backend guy. I think this last start was just a blip. I’d prob just hold Snell, I’m kinda out on E-Rod.

      Oh for sure I’d make that move! Looks like you could use another good starter, I wouldn’t hesitate for Arrieta, it would have to be just Kennedy or something for Fernandez just due to innings limit concern. Any time!

  29. regan says:
    (link)

    Your love for Mariner pitchers knows no bounds! Hard to believe Walker is still at 18. I just cut him in one league. Maybe a mistake but he is really lost right now. He’s throwing way to many FB and not enough cutters/sliders and is getting rocked by hitters sitting on the FB. My 2cents.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @regan: Hah, well it’s only those two! Haven’t liked Iwakuma for a while! I need to take a deeper look, but I think he gets it back together this week. I def am holding him where I have him, but I have his next start starred to watch

      • regan says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: I know, just giving you shit. Paxton looking like a champ tonight. Ringing 100 on the gun every inning, even after 100 pitches. xFIP over 2 games is 1.24. Looking filthy.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @regan: Hah I know all good :) Damn if I wasn’t catching up from jet lag I woulda watched this game, sounds like I missed out!

  30. Scooter G says:
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    Still don’t think much of S Wright? Could he have one magic RA Dickey season in him for this year before it falls apart? Who has the most upside to finish as a top 20 starter from this day forward between Wright, descalfini, Chen, glasnow, or taillon?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Scooter G: Mehhhhh yeah not really. Big difference is Dickey had a great K:BB in his magic season, while Wright is walking a lot. Hmmmm, of those I’m gonna gamble on Glasnow. While Taillon has been great too, I think Glasnow’s K upside could push him to there more than those others

  31. moobs says:
    (link)

    Alex Reyes or Snell as NA stash? Who likely gets called up first?

    Lastly, Fulmer or ERod ROS? I’ve got Leonys Martin and David Peralta coming off the DL soon and need an SP drop.

    I’ve got Nunez at SS and can’t decide if he’s legit. I’ve got Trea Turner on my bench and need to decide who in my NA… first world problems…

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @moobs: ohhhh good one. I think I’ll lean Snell since I think he has a better shot at more starts/innings. Def taking Fulmer over Erod though.

      Hah yeah those ARE some first world problems! Grey kinda talked me into thinking Trae Turner isn’t gonna be up again too soon. I’d keep rolling the hot Nunez

      • moobs says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:

        Thx JB. My staff is reasonable with Max, Thor, Carrasco, Matz, Maeda, Fulmer, Steven Wright, Erod, Wei Yin Chen.

        I need Trea more than Snell– agree on riding the Nunez express just not sold he’s doing the same come the 3rd week of August…

        I may need to dump Snell to NA Turner then cyclops Reyes over the next few weeks.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @moobs: Totally agree there on Nunez, but that is a good distance out, and no guarantee Turner is playing every day by then either. But that rotation is pretty nasty – yeah I dunno how important Snell is, I’m good with swapping out that NA spot

  32. Man vs fantasy says:
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    Yo JB

    What your feeling for pomeranz ros and as a sleeper keeper next year?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Man vs fantasy: Well if he keeps this up, he def won’t be a sleeper next year! I’m slowly buying more and more, I still worry he’s fastball/curveball and not much else. Walks are a little high too. I could see some bumps upcoming but def a must start right now

  33. Chris says:
    (link)

    No love for chatwood? I realize you just start him on road or vs Padres. Points league so always looking for two starts and wins.

    Pick two. Fires, desclafani, Bradley, chatwood

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Chris: Haha yeah, you got my thoughts on Chatwood in a nutshell there! I rank in ROS terms with the mindset you would have to play Chatwood every start ROS, so the bad ones I think will hurt him overall. Of those I’ll take DeSclafani and Bradley, which means I prob shoulda ranked Bradley and moved Fiers near out

  34. coacher says:
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    Tuesday-Tuesday 5×5 ROTO (QS, K, WHIP, ERA, Svs+holds) and I have three pitchers for two spots and a bench spot. Who should be on the bench next week? Rich Hill off injury (possibly next wknd @CIN) Marcus Stroman (vs BAL) and Trevor Bauer (@LAA)

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @coacher: Eesh. Hill is risky, but if he misses the start, I think his risk of a 0 is less scary than another Stroman awful start. I gotta sit Stroman

  35. Josh says:
    (link)

    JD Martinez and G.Cole
    For
    Carrasco and Mazara?

    • Josh says:
      (link)

      @Josh: points league. Nice write up by the way JB

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Josh: I’ll stick with Martinez and Cole, I would probably have Cole 1 or 2 higher in a points league. Thanks man, appreciate it!

  36. Knucks says:
    (link)

    Anyone else gonna clamor for a fulmer pitcher profile next week?

    Sounds like JB wants to document the Cobblers start against CLE instead?

    Only 3 or 4 innings in atm for each. But my interest level is pretty high for both.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Knucks: Ohhhhh good one! I think Fulmer is more interesting, but yeah Grey and I had a Shoemaker vs. Fulmer discussion at the top of the Pod for tomo A.M. I got Shoemaker in one league, and that makes me enough happy with a nice start so far tonight!

      • Knucks says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Good stuff, looking forward to the pod.

        I have overnight waivers in my home league. All unowned players are on the wire, then waivers run around 4am each day. Had a batty call/streamer spot but used it to add fulmer over shoemaker last week. Kinda wish I went shoe, but can’t complain. Was gonna sit fulmer tonight but got excited and threw him in the lineup anyway.

        Can we get this over 100 comments or what? S’go guys. Anyone have anything nice to say about J-Ross!?!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Knucks: Shoemaker got unlucky with the reliever letting two inherited runners score, but yeah I think I am taking Fulmer. Great play to start him last night! Hah, 100+ comments it is! And who could say anything bad about Joe ross?!!?! Only grey….

          • The Harrow says:
            (link)

            @JB Gilpin: me no likey my side of this, the epitome of you vs Grey in preseason, when i traded ross for delino in a dynasty league (do have NA slots to slot delino), and then delino gets screwed over same as leonys was by TEX.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
              (link)

              @The Harrow: Hah yeah I always lean hitter so I admittedly woulda been on the fence of that one… I don’t think anyone say how hard Delino would fall…

  37. Steve says:
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    I’m in a 10 team keeper points league and I have been offered Carrasco and Herrera for my Chris Davis and Vince Velazquez. At pitcher I currently have Bumgarner, Salazar, Harvey, Matz, Guerra, and Ross and in the outfield/first I have Rizzo, Marte, Polanco and Cain. I have four keeper slots currently occupied by Bumgarner (7), Rizzo (11), Polanco (3), and Marte (1) with Carrasco being a 3rd rounder and Herrera a 20th. Should I pull the trigger or hold off?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Steve: I’m probably holding for the power of Chris Davis, looks like an upgrade at pitcher isn’t a huge need

  38. Balls In Play says:
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    Velasquez just landed on the waiver wire in my league after a few rough starts. Would you drop Vizcaino (the hopeless ATL closer) for him?

    • moobs says:
      (link)

      @Balls In Play:

      Hells yes. Innings cap aside, VV is lucious.

      • Balls In Play says:
        (link)

        @moobs: His last couple outings had me a little gun shy. He hasn’t pitched into the 5th inning since May 17.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @moobs: @Balls In Play: Yeah it’s close, but I dunno if Vizcaino has much value, I like upside of Velasquez, and if it doesn’t work through the next 2-3 starts, you won’t miss Vizcaino and can add another hot pitcher

  39. 9 Men on Grass says:
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    Hey JB you watching any of Seattle game tonight? My love child Paxton is pitching. They were talking about changing his arm angle, He has hit 100 on his fastball!! He does not look perfect BUT he looks a lot better!! Progress.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @9 Men on Grass: Nah I was asleep already, but HOLY CRAP! JUst watched highlights, he hit 100 a few times! Slider/cutter was nasty at 91ish. Oh man, cue the hype!

  40. Chad says:
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    Damn JB, last week was rough without you.
    What are your thoughts, berrios or giolito is 12 team H2H dynasty with only 5 Minor slots with pitch categories: K, W, ERA, WHIP, SV/HLD, K/9, BS?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Chad: Hah appreciate that man, glad to be back! 5 minor spots is a pretty big chunk, there’s no way I could see either not being owned, but long term I’m def taking Giolito

  41. B the Esq. says:
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    Welcome back…missed the write up last week for sure.

    Rank em RoS and moving forward as late round keepers…..Urias, E-Rod, Taillon, Alex Reyes.

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @B the Esq.: Thanks man, happy to be back! ROS I like them as I have ranked above, pretty sure it’s Urias, Taillon, ERod, Reyes. As keepers I’d go Urias, pretty big gap, Reyes, Taillon, another big gap then Erod

  42. HelpMoiBBGod says:
    (link)

    redraft H2H W SV K ERA WHIP K/BB

    Which 2 would you rather own ROS?

    Tillman, Gausman, Velasquez or Taillon

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @HelpMoiBBGod: I’m sticking with Gausman and Velasquez, Taillon is getting close, but with an uncertain call up date, he’s not quite up with those 2 yet

  43. assy says:
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    why is Taijuan still top-20?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @assy: Answered a few comments up top as well, I just think these last two were bad starts and I don’t think he’s falling apart. Velo still there, just his change-up has been hit hard past two starts, I think he gets it back together tomo

  44. Five-On-One says:
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    Hey JB – Thanks for the Urias analysis. You think Glasnow and/or Taillon will suffer similar slow starts, or bust down the doors from the get go?

    Also, would like your advice for my weekly league (SON values in parens):

    Nola @WAS ($2.4)
    Hendricks @WAS (-$8.3)
    Karns v CLE ($9.9)
    Odorizzi @ARI ($6.6)
    Fulmer @NYY (-$5.5)
    2-start Rodon vWAS ($2.0), @TB (-$9.7)
    2-start Bradley vTB ($4.0), vLAD (-$4.6)
    2-start Dickey @DET (-14.2) vPHI (9.7)
    2-start Chacin @NYY (-9.0), vMIN (6.7)
    2-start Koehler @MIN (-20.9), @SD (-6.4)

    I need to start 4 or 5 of these guys. Nola and Hendricks have been every-week guys for me, but SON seems down on them this week, especially Hendricks. Fulmer has been awesome, and the Yankees have not exactly been tearing the cover off the all, so I am inclined to use him as well. And I am a sucker for a 2-start week (chasing wins and K’s), so inclined to use Bradley (I know you love Rodon, but he has blown up my ERA/WHIP too many times this year). What say you? Please give me your top 5 of these thoroughly mediocre pitchers for the week.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Five-On-One: Thanks for reading! Ummmm, I mean it’s so tough to know, I would lean that both will likely not come out 100% gangbusters, but I do think both could be good.

      Yeah I like the 2 start weeks as well, I think it’s worth the Rodon risk there. I’ll take Rodon, Bradley, Fulmer, Nola anddddd yeah I’ll stick with Hendricks despite SON hating him

  45. Jake DuBois says:
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    After his last start, should I drop Guerra for Paxton?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Jake DuBois: Oh yes, definitely making that swap

  46. G-OZ says:
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    Currently holding Glasnow but have a shot at Wacha or Urias on waivers , should I take a shot on either of them?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @G-OZ: Yes definitely, nab Urias.

  47. I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor, and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
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    man, these umps are just shit. “25 and he gets pitches” what do these SP have a quota of payoffs or something and they need to “build up levels” of the ponzi scheme. yet another reason to get lazers in there to get rid of their outdated asses.

  48. Greg says:
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    When can I move on from Rodon? Davies, Duffy, Snell are waiting. ;) Greg

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Greg: Ugh. I might not be the best source since I’m biased and still think there’s goodness left from Rodon, so I’m holding. But Duffy is looking compelling

  49. We're Out Of Room says:
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    Chapter 2: So the Posey trade evaporated, we were originally talking about dropping Maybin for Corbin. Well I did drop Maybin but I picked up Carlos Gomez since Corbins start was a ways off. My staff has been pretty meh, Chen with another blah performance tonight, Pom iffy, and Odorrizzi wasnt too shaby Ks were up and he got a W but the following arms are out there: DeSclafani,Corbin, Shoemaker, and Paxton.

    So any changes to my roster below to be made iyo, any significant upgrades to be had by dropping Gomez, Buxton or any underperforming arm I may already own?

    ESPN 12 team HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS daily moves and 4 keepers per season

    C Molina
    1B Cabrera
    2B Daniel Murphy
    3B Seager
    SS A. Russell
    OF Stanton
    OF Springer
    OF Polanco
    UTIL OF Burns
    UTIL OF C.Gomez
    Bench OF Buxton
    Bench 2B/SS Castro
    DL Sano
    DL Pollock

    SP Salazar
    SP Gausman
    RP Kimbrel
    RP Melancon
    P T. Walker
    P Odorizzi
    P C.Rodon
    P Pomeranz
    Bench SP Chen
    Bench SP Kennedy
    Bench RP McGee

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @We’re Out Of Room: Well Walker got a nice start! I think 3-4 comments are slamming me keeping Walker high, and would you look at that last night line :)

      Upside of Paxton stands out to me. Shoemaker in QS too. They just seem so status quo with the arms you have in your rotation tho. I do think I’d still lose one of Castro or Russell or address SS to upgrade there and only have 1.

      • We're Out Of Room says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Walkers start last night was a thing of beauty, really helped me out in my matchu, after a few meh starts, the QS start thing can be helpful but lately I’ve had quite a few guys get yanked after 5, or they’ve given up 4 runs, etc.

        I did wake up this morning to an accepted Posey trade believe it or not. It’s posey straight up for Yadier Molina, Starlin Castro and Buxton. I wish I could have gotten it done without Buxton but I still think thats a relatively good deal for me…what are your thoughts?

        I’ll have 2 open spots once the trade clears tomorrow I’ll likely need to add a bench bat because I wont have one and then an arm. Lots of candidates obviously you know how I like to have a back up at SS so there’s SS Marte(speed intrigues me), SS Peralta, 1B Zimmerman(who’s been hot lately), OF Choo, Corbin, Shoemaker, Declafanin, and Paxton. Who’s your 2?

        And lastly should I be looking to add 3 players instead of 2, with Chen being a drop, he’s been so meh lately and I wonder if I should add 2 arms and a bat from the list above?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @We’re Out Of Room: Whoa, love that deal in a shallow league like yours – awesome work!

          Uggghhhh I can’t get over Paxton! I know you want bench bats but I would nab Paxton and I think Corbin starts tomo. See how Corbin does – if bad move to Shoe.

          Ah yeah Chen can prob go too. So yeah a bench bat can take that one, I’d just ride hot hands. Prob Peralta for me…

          • We're Out Of Room says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Thanks for the kudos, wasnt hard to part with the package, with maybe the exception of Buxton, but his o-7 the last two days made it palatable. I love me some Paxton too, you think he sticks though? Definitely looking at adding 2 of Corbin, Shoe, or Pax. Also interested to see what DeSclafani does tomorrow. Cant make any moves until the trade processes tomorrow AM around 7, but I want to be ready lol!

            • We're Out Of Room says:
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              @We’re Out Of Room: Oh I forgot Matt Adams at 1st base is available too…Grey suggested him, I like getting both of your thoughts though.

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
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                @We’re Out Of Room: Yeah Buxton def seems like he’ll be hot and cold. I think Paxton easily has the upside hitting 100 MPH multiple times. He’s gonna get ranked SAUCY if he has a good start v. TEX. I’d def get Corbin first since it’s a good matchup and the soonest one I think.

                Ummmm, well if power/RBI was a need for this matchup, I could see adding Adams and playing him over Burns, but prob would get the pitchers otherwise

                • We're Out Of Room says:
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                  @JB Gilpin: Yeah I agree, I think I’m gonna go SP’s, I want to love Pax, lets hope he proves worthy of the sauce lol. Gomez could prove expendable too, he’s my 6th OFer and maybe SS Peralta and Adams would prove more worthwhile than Gomez and Chen? ThenI could use the two open spots created by the Posey trade for 2 of Pax, Shoe and Corbin? Or am I being hasty on Gomez, he was rated so high going into the season, sucked big time, and then has shown a flash or two since coming off the DL…but he went 0-fer yesterday and is 0-2 so far today.

                  • We're Out Of Room says:
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                    @We’re Out Of Room: Oh and I forgot L. Martin is out there too, he was absolutely scorching prior to the DL stint…so let me re-phrase my question somewhat lol. If I add two pitchers to fill my 2 openings once the Posey trade processes tomorrow(between Corbin, Pax and Shoe). Would you then look to drop Gomez and Chen, and if so, for which 2 bats out of L.Martin,Jhonny Peralta or Matt Adams?

                    • We're Out Of Room says:
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                      @We’re Out Of Room: Sorry for all the comments before you could even reply . Jhonny Peralta got snagged before my trade cleared…all the above still applies though.Still wouldnt mind a backup SS as Russell has been pretty meh lately. Best available now are Marte,Cozart, Semien. Since I lack speed outside of Burns, should I go Marte or do you like one of the others better ROS?

                      Realistically Ill have to open spots from the trade, and I can drop Chen and C.Gomez. I feel like I need atleast 1 bench bat . As mentioned above I can add a SS and L.Martin(off DL today)and one of Pax, Shoe, or Corbin. Or I could add all 3 arms and a SS or L. Martin…ok I’ll stop posting now lol.

  50. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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    you crazy having moore over shoemaker.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: Yeah that’ll change by next week, when I left for vacation, Shoe had the one good start vs. BAL and I thought it was fluky, but he is looking legit-ish. But we’ve seen him show flashes then be awful ever since the rookie year. Regardless, he’s pushing 50ish at this point

  51. Chad says:
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    What do you think JB, Walker or Carrasco ROS? both of them frighten me a little. this is in a 12 team h2h with k/9 as a sixth pitching category

    • Chad says:
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      @Chad: Also, whats this silliness with Velasquez? How do you think this effects him?

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Chad: Whew that’s close, I’ll lean Carrasco for K/9, although I did get a lot of flack for keeping Walker high and look what happened last night :)

        Ugh – yeah no bueno for Velasquez, I’m pretty worried. I don’t see ANY way this isn’t a DL stint

        • Chad says:
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          @JB Gilpin: This is a trade situation where I own Walker. Do you think I should be wary of Carrasco’s health after the shoulder issue he had at end of the season last year and now his recent DL stint?

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @Chad: Well Walker had all sorts of shoulder stuff going into last year too… I’m a little worried, I might need to readdress that in my ranks, but the K/9 part of it makes me wanna stick with Carrasco, even tho Walker has good K stuff too

  52. Ryan741 says:
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    JB, need a trade opinion in a H2H points keeper league, it’s a monster deal. I would be trading Noah (11th round value next year) and DeGrom (2nd) for Goldy (6th) and Bryant (11th). We get to keep 4 guys and I ALWAYS lean pitching in this league. I do still have Harvey (10th) and Stras (7th) I can keep as well as Urias as a 12th. I really want to roll with Stras, Noah and 2 of either DeGrom, Harvey and Urias next year and use all my early picks on hitters. What are your thoughts?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Ryan741: Sheesh that’s a tough one! Goldy in the 6th is such a good value… But yeah in a Pts keeper, Noah in the 11th I think is the most upside, I’d prob hold

  53. We're Out Of Room says:
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    Not sure if you’ll see this today or not JB. I ended up adding Paxton and Shoemaker, and was rewarded handsomely yesterday. Duffy is also out there and has been just as good, would you drop one of Gausman, Rodon, or Kennedy for him? I know all are ranked much higher in your rankings, Gausman and Rodon have been decent lately, Kennedy, not so much.

    • We're Out Of Room says:
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      @We’re Out Of Room: Also Snell is getting recalled, worth an add?

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @We’re Out Of Room: @We’re Out Of Room: Sooooooooooo out of room! Haha. Aight let’s see, I think I like Cozart the best if you’re dead set on a backup SS. Glad Paxton worked out! I’d still hold Rodon he was OK today at least… Kennedy has been so meh, I like swapping to his teammate Duffy who is hot right now. Then nah, I don’t think Snell is quite in this same range of the guys you added, pretty close though!

        • We're Out Of Room says:
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          @JB Gilpin: Guilty as charged lmao. Pax looked good, hope he sticks. Shoemaker also solid again, definitely like the idea of adding Duffy, hope he keeps it up. Snell was snagged anyway, so no biggie there.My biggest concern is losing my 3rd closer in McGee, I nabbed Estevez because he was rumored to be the guy after getting Motte out of trouble last night and then Boone Logan gets the S tonight At SS I added Tim Anderson, he was sharp the 1st night and 0-fer since, not sure if hes legit or not, any thoughts there? Bregman and AJ Reed are also still out there as stashes.

          • We're Out Of Room says:
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            @We’re Out Of Room: Forgot Jon Gray is also out there. If I do Duffy for Kennedy, would you dump Gausman for Gray or hold on that one?

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @We’re Out Of Room: Haha, yeah I hope Pax does too, looks great. Yeah I think I like upside of Anderson the most for some steals, but he’s still in the “blah” class. I don’t think I’d burn a roster spot for stashing yet. Def nabbing Duffy for Kennedy then mehhhh I think Gausman is safer. Next start for Gray is at home against Marlins… I could coin flip there short term, long term i still have Gausman high because I’m worried about a prolonged Coors slump

  54. Scott says:
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    Do you trust Gio Gonzalez this week vs. CHC and @SD enough to play him over Kyle Hendricks vs. PIT, @ WAS and Aaon Nola vs. TOR? Quality Start league. Gio’s peripherals are there, but the past few starts have been less than spectacular.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Scott: “Trust” might not be my word, but yeah I would pick him of the 3 for those matchups, obviously salivating at the @Sd!

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