Not usually my style, but we’re taking a break from the 2021 fantasy baseball rankings for a day because of the big trade between the Rockies and Cardinals (and a shizzton of other moves). All the 2021 fantasy baseball rankings, including pitchers, are already up on our Patreon.

So, the Rockies are trying to lose, and they’re a stupid franchise. That is a bad combination. Like burning down your house for insurance money after letting your insurance lapse. The Rockies gave away their marquee player and $50 million. If this is a rebuild, and Austin Gomber is the start of–I’m sorry. I can’t even say Austin Gomber with a straight face. The Cards got Arenado for a Gomber pile of garbage. Bud Black is actually the perfect imbecile to run that team. So, on Arenado’s fantasy value, well…*swallows*…okay, so…*collects thoughts* Yeah, I moved him down in my rankings.

Arenado was traded to the Cards, and I can’t possibly tell you he’s as safe to draft in St. Louis. I don’t think the park change is as dramatic as some are making it out to be. I don’t think he’s suddenly done. I know his road/away splits, but as said many times before, guys are better at home. Even guys who aren’t in Coors. You’re staying at home, you’re surrounded by family and friends, you’re seeing your wife–Wait, are these reasons to enjoy being at home? Right, yes, I kid! Home numbers are always better. Familiarity with the park, just being more comfortable. It’s always like this; there’s stats to back it up, don’t make me pull them out. So, Arenado might not have been great on the road when he played in Coors, but you can’t just say his new home numbers will be his old road numbers. Doesn’t work like that. Trying to see the difference between him and, say, Jose Abreu, though, has become nearly impossible and Abreu isn’t a top 20 overall pick, and neither is Arenado now. I moved Rafael Devers up to the top 20 for 2021 fantasy baseball; Arenado dropped about ten overall spots (but only one spot in the top 20 3rd basemen), and I lowered his projections a bit. His new projections: 88/32/106/.279/1 in 592 ABs.

For what it’s Wuertz, here’s out Steamer projections pre-trade: 103/35/103/.286, 4th best 3B, ~20th overall. Here’s him post-trade: 86/29/85/.256; 8th-10th 3B, ~110TH overall. Um, that’s kinda gross. And, to add fire to the inferno whooshing around the Torenado, look at projections of Austin Riley vs. Nolan Arenado:

Anyway, here’s what else I saw this offseason for fantasy baseball:

Top 20 Catchers for 2021 fantasy baseball updates

J.T. Realmuto – Re-signed with the Phils, because the Phils don’t punt top catchers. They are not, obviously, named for Dr. Phil’s fantasy team. He knows better to go after a top catcher.

Wilson Ramos – Signed with the Tigers. Imaging Miggy and Ramos on the basepaths together, and for some reason I’m picturing the 405 at a standstill. Makes sense that behind them is Goodrum, and not a “good run.” 2021 Projections: 47/13/54/.271 in 387 ABs

Kurt SuzukiSigned with the Angels to reunite him with World Series co-champion, Anthony Rendon, so they can help Mike Trout with his vision board. 2021 Projections: 31/8/36/.262/1 in 276 ABs

Jason Castro – Signed with the Astros. Love the synergy for the lineup card: C’Astro. 2021 Projections: 33/8/37/.202 in 303 ABs

Top 20 2nd Basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball updates

Enrique Hernandez – Signed with the Red Sox. I can’t imagine a year from Enrique — I don’t call him Kiké, too Enrisque — where he doesn’t go 15/4/.240, while never playing every day to make him worthwhile in mixed leagues, but the Red Sox say they’ll give him his chance for an everyday starting job. Why does this feel like a trap? 2021 Projections: 57/20/64/.236/4 in 467 ABs

Cesar Hernandez – Signed with the Indians. He will be hitting leadoff–and, damn it, this squeezes Amed Rosario and Andres Gimenez for playing time, doesn’t it? Did they both get traded from the Mets to become exactly the same fantasy-wise on a new team? 2021 Projections: 84/10/49/.277/10 in 559 ABs and I updated Rosario and Gimenez.

Garrett Hampson – So, who will the Rockies sign to take the at-bats Nolan Arenado just left on the table or will Bud Black give Josh Fuentes 550 ABs? I.e., Brian Dozier or Josh Fuentes? I’m super hesitant to give Hampson 500 ABs. It would take everything we know about Bud Black, and assume it was wrong. Against my better judgment, I did add 100 ABs to Hampson’s projections, and boosted him about ten spots on the top 20 2nd basemen. Also, I boosted Brendan Rodgers 200 ABs, and about twenty spots on the same post. Rodgers might actually be the biggest beneficiary of the trade. Ya know, all things being equal and Bud Black not being an idiot.

Hanser Alberto – Signed with the Royals, and will compete with Nicky Lopez for the 2nd base job. A duel! En garde! Maybe in 200 years they’ll make a hip hop musical about it. I’m young, crappy, and Nicky! And I’m not throwin’ away my shot at 2nd base! I bet he does throw away his shot, though. I mean Nicky, brr, it got chilly in here. Hanser is a .280+ hitter and should be the easy choice for everyday playing time, but I will take 100 at-bats off his projections just in case. 2021 Projections: 57/9/52/.284/3 in 433 ABs

Top 20 Shortstops for 2021 fantasy baseball updates

Marcus Semien – Signed with the the Jays. Was it the Jays’ turn already? This offseason’s free agent signings go:  Mets, Padres, Jays, Jays, Padres, Mets–Hmm, maybe someone yelled goose, and the Padres and Mets heard duck, and the Jays had to goose Semien when they were suppose to duck him. This is a solid landing spot for Semien as long as he’s more 2019 and less 2020. Can the entire world be more 2019 and less 2020? Please. Last year, his K% went up to early-career numbers, and he looked more like the .235 hitter he was early on in his career vs. the .280+ hitter he seemed to grow into two years ago. Guess it should’ve been expected if Semien were to grow into something, the next logical step is Semien bursting. 2021 Projections: 88/26/71/.249/12 in 573 ABs

Andrelton Simmons – Signed with the Twins. Andrelton showed up at the signing announcement wearing a Stars jersey, and when he heard he was playing for the Twins, he said, “I have twins: Nanu Nanu,” then after a beat, “That’s their names.” Andrelton is a glove first, average second, steals third, power fourth, RBIs fifth, runs sixth shortstop. To not put too fine a point on it.  2021 Projections: 59/8/64/.281/9 in 538 ABs

Didi Gregorius – Re-signed with the Phils. Phils check notes, see they were “Okay, not great” last year, then re-sign everyone like it’s a “Let’s run it back” thunder clap from above. Not fair to lay this at Didi’s feet. I do like him, and think the re-signing was smart, especially after the Phils did nothing else. If Phils are paying scouts to look at other teams, they should retrain them. The Gregorius D.I.D. is always underrated, and as long as his contract doesn’t cause mo’ money/mo’ problems, he should be near where he always is, 16-ish Launch Angle, 41% FB rate, 25-ish homers and a “won’t kill ya” average. 2021 Projections: 73/25/84/.271/6 in 512 ABs

Top 20 Outfielders for 2021 fantasy baseball updates

Michael Brantley – Re-signed with the Astros. A team other than the Mets, Padres or Jays signing someone? Ron Burgundy, “I don’t believe you.” Brantley doesn’t get a huge bump in value but he gets a silent nod and–Wait, what does a silent nod mean again? Fastball? Change? These new non-trash can signals are tough to decode.  2021 Projections: 86/21/72/.291/5 in 501 ABs

George Springer – Signed with the Jays, and finally the Jays get their big free agent. Everyone’s happy. Except people who wanted to watch Grichuk play center field. A loss of comedy with one misplaced fielder is a loss of comedy for all. That’s also what Avisail Garcia said when he saw the bed was floating two feet off the ground because Prince was trying to hide under it to catch him and his wife. Not so sneaky, Mr. Fielder! Any hoo! Springer averages 33/7/.270 every season across his career. Okay, maybe he falls off suddenly, but am I crazy to think he’s going to be just as good as always, or are the people expecting him to fall off the crazy ones? I don’t think I’m crazy, which means I am crazy, but I think those others are crazy, which means they aren’t crazy. Do you see my dilemma? Who is crazy here? Someone tell me! Then, if the Toronto Blue Jays are the Buffalo Bleu Cheese, can I shout a chef’s kiss off a high peak at how Springer could have a 40-homer season? 2021 Projections: 101/32/81/.272/5 in 524 ABs

Joc Pederson – Signed with the Cubs. Not specifically about Joc, but the Cubs team doesn’t look that bad. Dot dot dot. If you imagine Yu Darvish still in rotation or them trading him for real bats like Cronenworth or Wil Myers or even Profar, who wasn’t signed with the Padres at the time of the trade, but I’m saying a hypothetical so who cares? That kinda makes me furious, but breathe in, breathe out, got a machinehead! Any hoo! Pederson goes to the Cubs and becomes exactly what he is everywhere else he will ever play, a righty killer, which I say knowing he hit .179 vs. righties last year.  2021 Projections: 69/28/71/.233/3 in 417 ABs

Eddie Rosario – Signed with Cleveland. He does nothing but hit 27 homers and .275 every year. Cleveland could do worse. Like whoever else is in their outfield. Is there really someone named Daniel Johnson on their team or is that a filler name like John Doe? Progressive Field is a better park to hit in than Hubert H. Homerfree Dome in Minny, and I could see a career year for Rosario — career yeario? Hmm, will work on it. By the way, Cleveland plays in Progressive and it’s gonna take them a full year to change their name after announcing it. Mmkay. Progressive, yeah. 2021 Projections: 77/29/91/.276/4 in 524 ABs

Top 100 Starters for 2021 fantasy baseball updates (available on Patreon, not yet live on the site)

Garrett Richards – Signed with the Red Sox. If I were a Sawx fan, I’d love this move. Seriously. I’m not being sarcastic. Why can I not even tell when I’m being sarcastic? Am I damaged? I don’t think I’m being sarcastic. Hmm, well, anyhoo! G-Dicks, as he’s popularly known, has never pitched poorly, he just never really pitches. He’s good for a solid 50 to 85 IP with the upside hum-ma-na of a flat-out sparkling 150 IP, which will never happen. 2021 Projections: 4-4/3.78/1.29/78 in 74 IP

Alex Wood – Signed with the Giants. Put a guy who always has an alluring amount of upside in a great pitchers’ park, and *struggling to not draft him, sounding like my 15-year-old self*…must…not…grab…Wood. 2021 Projections:  7-9/4.41/1.33/101 in 121 IP

J.A. Happ – Signed with the Twins. Know what’s funny? Stop guessing, I’m trying to tell you. Tim Anderson, who hit lefties to a tune of .450 last year, saw the lefty Happ signed with frequent competitor, Twins, and liked the tweet announcing the Happ signing. That’s prolly how every AL Central hitter feels right now. 2021 Projections: 9-11/4.37/1.32/131 in 154 IP

Corey Kluber – Signed with the Yankees, after throwing 20 pitches in a scout look-see. I gotta tell ya, to trust Kluber for more than 120 innings of worthwhile pitching, I would’ve wanted the scout look-see to be about four months long and see him throw about fourteen-hundred pitches. Guess that would take the mystery out of it. Kluber’s thrown 36 2/3 IP across the last two years, so the Yankees signed James Paxton, Part 2: The Pax de Résistance to Health. If you think I’m going to be owning Kluber in any leagues, you really don’t know me as well as you thought, and that’s after hiding in the bushes outside my house for the last nine months for a glimpse. Gonna have to step up your game, I see you! 2021 Projections: 8-6/4.08/1.21/123 in 121 IP

Jameson Taillon – Traded to the Yankees for a bunch of prospects who will either be bad or be traded away by the Pirates for more prospects in a never-ending cycle. Absolutely ridiculous what’s going on in Pittsburgh. The Pirates’ payroll is, “Hey, we get those stimulus checks yet?” The Pirates’ social media team has a “Thanks for being a great teammate” tweet in the drafts for every player. The Pirates are the guy who hears they’re charging $10 at the door, so he brings his own solo cup and pretends he was inside already. I’m 100% convinced if you gave the Pirates the option to sit out a season without fans in the stadium, they would agree. Who is pitching for them this year? At least one member of the Pirates’ rotation this year is going to be a scarecrow stuffed with hay. Any hoo! I keep liking Taillon and he keeps testes’ing me. He should enter Spring Training with no restrictions following Tommy John surgery, which is what is always said prior to a clamping down of restrictions. If I had a dollar for every time a guy was due back in April who then had a setback and didn’t return until July/August, I’d be a ten-dollaire. The Yankees, honestly, might get 200 IP combined from like five of their starters. 2021 Projections: 8-3/4.21/1.29/108 in 119 IP

Joe Musgrove –  Was traded to the Padres, when the Pirates realized they had to pay Musgrove and he wouldn’t pitch for free.

Pirates, “You don’t want to be a part of what we started here?”
Musgrove, “What did you start here?”
“A tax write-off.”

So, here we Joe again. I can’t stop nomnomnom’ing his peripherals. Last year, he upped his curveball usage to 20% from 9%. Maybe it was due to the short season, and feeling like it wouldn’t cause his arm to fall off, but MAYBE — yes, caps — it was him figuring out the pitch mix for the best results. Since he exceeded all expectations last year as far as Ks and xFIP, and easily had his best “season,” I’m back in with all the usual Musgrovings. 2021 Projections: 11-9/3.81/1.23/161 in 152 IP

Steven Matz – Traded to the Jays. Will be interesting to see how the Toronto media spins Matz’s one known attribute:  That he’s from Long Island. Any hoo! A move to the AL East for one of the worst pitchers I’ve ever liked? Don’t tempt me, you bedraggled wind-up doll! I swear I’m not being dumb liking Matz every year, but he was just unlucky last year to have a 9.68 ERA. Okay, and I’m very dumb. 2021 Projections: 7-7/4.33/1.35/112 in 121 IP

Joey Lucchesi – Traded to the Mets. That’s right, Joey Lucchesi of the Rigatoni Crime Family is going to the home of the crime families. “Don’t get it twisted, Joey, there’s only one Bagel Boss.” That’s what the self-proclaimed Bagel Boss says to his reflection, not within shouting distance of Lucchesi. So, Joey Lucchesi wasn’t even ranked prior to this trade because he was odd man out. Now, he’s in a battle for his life for the 5th spot. Joey already took one guy to the Matzresses. 2021 Projections: 4-4/4.21/1.28/96 in 104 IP

Jon Lester – Signed with the Nats. This is the 2nd time a Leftosaurus has been brought to Washington this year. This one didn’t need 30+ lawsuits, but it could leave people screaming, “Stop the steal!” 2021 Projections: 8-9/4.43/1.34/121 in 154 IP

Adam Wainwright – Great signing for the Cardinals, because if he didn’t sign with the Cardinals, we would’ve been left with having to guess it was the Cardinals from the scoreboard, their uniforms or just the channel we were watching. Now we can be like, “Wainwright? Oh, it’s the Cardinals.” 2021 Projections: 9-10/4.31/1.40/132 in 159 IP

Reliever Updates

Kirby Yates – Signed with the Jays. Okay, I can’t be happy. I already drafted Jordan Romano in one league, and backed him up with Dolis, and I’m a giant dummy, ain’t I? Not to answer, but to silently judge me. Last time I wear a funny hat while drafting, and scream, “I’m quirky Romano!” Guess the good news is Yates just had elbow surgery. Well, good news for me and Romano. 2021 Projections: 2-1/3.81/1.37/71, 29 saves in 52 IP

Adam Ottavino – Traded from the Yankees to the Red Sox. Ottavino:  Forever linked to Babe Ruth. 2021 Projections: 4-4/2.98/1.37/91, 5 saves in 69 IP

Brad Hand – Signed with the Nats, or as I like to call them, the Nationals. What, I’m a completist. So, Bradley Handily slides into the closer role in Washington, after leading the majors in saves last year with 16, and I just chortled. Quite the season! Make sure to make room for your Rolaids Reliever of the Year award. 2021 Projections: 5-1/2.69/1.05/83, 33 saves in 61 IP

Liam Hendriks – Signed with the White Sox. Have you ever seen Liam Hendriks’s stuff? His stats speciifically. Woo boy, I’m a salivatin’ for a closer, must rope in the drool and remember not to draft a top closer. And, on the White Sox? Could a closer land in a better spot? No. Will I be drafting him? Also no. I’m the No Man, coo-coo-ka-choo. No relation to Shin-Soo. Obviously Bummer, specifically talking about Aaron. 2021 Projections: 4-2/2.43/1.01/99, 35 saves in 70 IP

Archie Bradley – Signed with the Phils. To that, I say woofy woof woof. The Phils bullpen is getting better for them, but more of a mess for fantasy baseballers. What you want to see? One clearcut closer, and two clearcut setup men. What you don’t want to see? No clearcut closer, the likely closer being terrible, the setup men being good, but likely Cuddle Boys. It’s such a mess. 2021 Projections: 4-3/3.71/1.16/72, 6 saves in 71 IP

Unranked Updates

Trevor Williams – Signed with the Cubs. TW yay? No, TW nay. They’re defunct, and get Williams defunct off my fantasy teams.

Carlos Rodon – Re-upped with the White Sox as they wait for Michael Kopech. Rodon could go out, and throw a 4.50-ish ERA in 160 IP or a 4.50 ERA in 50 IP. Will depend on how asleep at the wheel Tony La Russa is.

Jose Martinez – Signed with the Mets. Mets plan on doing one of those new shifts I’ve heard about where they stack four 1st basemen on each other shoulders to stop lefty line drives. Very smart. The totem shift.

Ryan Zimmerman – Signed with the Nats. Hopefully, it’s to retire as a National, like one of those one-day day jammies. Homeboy’s not actually playing for them, right?

Pedro Baez – Signed with the Astros. Baez is a sneaky addition for the Astros. Now they have time to figure out a new way to cheat — the forty minutes between Baez pitches.

Pablo Sandoval – Signed with the Braves. That gives them Camargo and Extra Wide Cargo.

 
  1. TarmanGotHim says:
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    Anthony Bass signed with the Marlins.

    I’m a Marlins fan Grey, show more love :)

    Glad to be back!! Keep up the great work!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Oh, my bad!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Is he the closer?

      • Jimmy says:
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        I am hoping Yim???

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Me too!

      • TarmanGotHim says:
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        Haha I love you Grey!! I also Post pro Marlins posts and delete them on here, but this is a serious signing for the Fish. LOL.

        Anyways, I believe it is between him and Garcia, either way I think Bass will close as Yimi can give up homers but he was great last season so we will see.

        Keep up the great content! Baseball is rapidly approaching!!

  2. WRDs says:
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    Grey — you’re the best. Was hoping you’d pause the rankings to dissect all the recent news and here you are . . . being awesome and thorough.

    question: in a vacuum, Snell or Nola? Who do you want in 2021 and beyond?

    • NUX says:
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      Its NoLa

    • Mex says:
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      Nola for me.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Nola

  3. Deviling my dog says:
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    I know how you feel about drafting aces, but I’m thinking about taking DeGrom in a 20 team league. How long would you wait to take my #2 SP? (I was thinking 11th round)

    Thanks!

    • packers2018 says:
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      I don’t think a person can go into a draft and specifically say what round you are going to take a certain player, other than the first couple rounds. Each draft is different for positional runs.
      Have a tier of SP’s you want for your 2nd SP and when it is getting depleted you better draft one out of that particular tier regardless of the round. My 2 cents.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d take deGrom in the 11th round

  4. Ante J GALIC says:
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    Grey!!!

    Awesome Torenado report!

    a. So Simmons is a 6-tool All-star, actually, All-Universe star. He’s the best damn SS to come from planet Mars, bouy! Actually on Earth-2, he’s a no-glove, power SS with speed and great plate coverage!

    b. Oh, Man! So funny on the Happ signing and Timmy Boy Anderson welcoming him to the league on the back of him hitting .450 v. LHP!!! Laughed the whole way through the Happ report!

    c. What is it about pitchers who are supposed to do better in SF doing way worse? Even MadBum did it. Seriously, Samardzija’s career was ruined by going to SF. Now Wood’s career will end!

    d. Ottavino traded to the Red Sox for the ghost of Babe Ruth and en route (actually it was in Plainville CT, exactly half-way between Boston and New York!!)), he struck out the ghost of Ruth on a high fastball!

    e. And the winner of the 2021 Rolaids Relief Man of the year is ….Karinchak! His fantasy fans go wild!

    f. MLB quote of the day for February 1, 2021

    1. Ernie Camacho, born February 1, 1955

    ‘Ernie (Camacho) needs to do one thing – let me do the thinking for him. Here is a guy who throws harder than Al Holland and all he wants to do is throw forkballs. Thinking is the reason he has been with six different organizations.’

    Manager Pat Corrales in A Baseball Winter (Terry Pluto / Jeff Neuman, 1986)

    2. Kent Mercker, born February 1, 1968

    ‘Just to see him out on the mound, seeing him compete, really gives us a lift because we’ve seen what he’s gone through. I saw him the day after the hemorrhage, and he’s gone from a wobbly guy who didn’t know whether he’d ever pitch again to getting the win in a major league game. That’s about as full circle as you can come in this game. Everyone has injuries, but you’re talking about something that threatened his life. It really puts all of this in perspective, and it’s a great thing to witness. I never thought about whether he’d pitch again. You were thinking, ‘Is this guy gonna walk again? Is he gonna live? Is he gonna survive this?’ That’s where our priorities were.’

    Manager Mike Scioscia in The Los Angeles Times (Mike DiGiovanna, 08/23/2000, ‘Mercker Picks Up a Win to Remember’, Source)

    3. Herbert Adams, died February 1, 2012

    ‘Herb (Adams) lived an abundant life and is dearly loved. He played major league baseball for the White Sox from 1948-1950 before the Army drafted him to fight in the Korean War… He loved the White Sox and never missed a game. Most of all he loved the Lord and served Him with his whole heart, touching the lives of many with his testimonies and encouragement. ‘Keep looking up!’ he would say concerning our troubles and: ‘This’ll be the best thing that ever happened to you.'”

    Herb Adams Obituary in The Napersville Sun (02/05/2012, ‘Herbert Adams Obituary’, Source)

    4. Ray Berres, died February 1, 2007

    I had good luck with a lot of pitchers. I hated to sit around the hotel lobby. I’d go to the park early and watch the pitchers loosen up and do their work for the day. Most everybody pitched in between their starts. I saw guys doing little things.’

    Ray Berres in The Journal Times (Pete Jackel, 10/13/2005, Reluctant legend)

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks!

      A. Six tools, bc he’s an alien

      B. Haha, yup

      C. Wood will rise again, I mean, uh

      D. Haha

      E. 4. Who likes to sit in a hotel lobby? Literally no one

      • Ante J GALIC says:
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        Grey!!!

        a. Literally no one!

        b. Six tools, six fingers, he’s an alien!

        c. Wood gonna tank, I’m basing this on Samardzija’s results only! Biased!

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          B. Antonio Alfonseca has had a child!

  5. packers2018 says:
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    Saw a post about MLB proposing a 154 game season starting a month late, DH for the NL, 10 team playoff, 7 inning DH’s, man on 2nd base if the game goes to extra innings, regular season going a week later, playoffs into November……

    • Cram It says:
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      I read the Player’s Union is expected to reject their proposals.

      • Jimmy says:
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        I hate the man on second for extra innings!!! I hate 7 inning Double headers! I hate Rob Manfred! The worst commissioner of any sport in history!!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, Manfred sucks

        • 183414 says:
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          Without a doubt !

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      NFL had no problems and already MLB wants to delay. Manfraud and his 30 clowns all they care about is bargaining power and the almighty dollar!

      • 183414 says:
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        yep

    • NUX says:
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      Yea saw the same thing and then also saw what Cram said.

      Most likely, we get as normal of a 2021 as possible. But 2022 is gonna be an absolute mess for CBA reasons

      • Just looked up that article. Playoffs are 14 teams and all other rules mirror last season. Each team loses 8 games but we the fans lose 20 days of baseball with the season cut from 186 days to 166.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      It’s already been turned down – players want (need) 162 games…It’s good news, I think

      • 183414 says:
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        Never going to happen.

  6. Mex says:
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    14 team, 5×5 roto. One year keeper. Need to pick 5 from the group below. I am curious how folks would rank them because I am probably gonna move one or two for a swap of draft picks(some guys in my league are short on keepers keepers this year).

    I think the 1st two are set. The next 4 have continually been reordered in my head.
    1) L. Robert
    2) Baez
    3) Rosario
    4) Castellanos
    5) Arrozarena- obviously love his upside but, don’t’ trust # of AB’s and small sample size from last year
    6) Gallen – worried about his IP cap
    7) Lowe

    Thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Robert, Baez, Arrozarena, Gallen, Castellanos — could see Lowe instead of Randy — Gallen so you have at least one SP

      • Mex says:
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        Gracias.

        Is E. Roasario close to the bottom of the group or is he a couple notches down? I was surprised to see you leave him out, especially since you spoke highly of him in today’s post.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          You have 3 OFs ranked above him

  7. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Imagine paying a team 50 million big ones to take your best player. Rockies suck

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, so bad

  8. ashtray says:
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    Keep-10-forever
    10 teams
    7×7
    R/HR/RBI/SB/Hits/BB/Avg
    W/L/SV/K/TB/ERA/WHIP
    Starting pitching seems pretty penalized with these settings in my opinion. I took the team over last year and it was loaded with decent pitching and crappy bats. I’ve been trying to reverse that trend as best as I can.

    Aynway, thought on who my 10 keepers should be:

    (Sorting by ADP)
    Bauer SP
    Nola SP
    Snell SP
    Arozarena OF
    Maeda SP
    Olson 1B
    Bohm 1B/3B
    Carrasco SP
    Chapman 3B
    Rizzo 1B
    Smith 1B/OF
    Swanson SS
    Stanton OF
    Mountcastle 1B/OF
    Corbin SP
    Brantley OF
    Cronenworth 1B/2B/SS
    Murphy C
    Madrigal 2B
    Benintendi OF
    Kelenic OF
    Riley 3B/OF
    Naylor OF
    Chisholm 2B/SS
    Rutschman C
    Vaughn 1B
    Brujan 2B

    • Jolt In Flow says:
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      Just to see how far off I am from Grey, here’s who i’d target (based on kind of punting this year but expecting much better things in 2022 and moving forward):

      Bauer
      Arozarena
      Maeda
      Olson
      Chapman
      Stanton (pray he doesn’t get hurt)
      Brantley
      Kelenic
      Rutschman (exception to the no-keep-catcher rule)
      Vaughn

      If Vaughn becomes who we think he can become, you can trade Olson for a great piece in the offseason next year.

      Just my thoughts.

      Jolt

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Bauer SP
      Nola SP
      Snell SP
      Arozarena OF
      Maeda SP
      Olson 1B
      Bohm 1B/3B
      Cronenworth
      Chapman 3B
      Rizzo 1B

      I guess Rizzo or Mountcastle for extra elig. and upside is possible, otherwise your league isn’t deep enough to be keeping rookies and prospects

      • Jolt In Flow says:
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        Ha! And this is why I do middling in baseball leagues.

        Good learning lesson.

        Jolt

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha

      • ashtray says:
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        I should have provided more context. We also use CI, MI, 4 OF, a Util, 8 bench spots, and an NA spot. Does that change your view on holding the Vaughns and Kelenics of the world in a keep 10 forever?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Does that mean it’s like you’re drafting Kelenic or Vaughn in say the 10th round of a 10 team league?

          • ashtray says:
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            I see your point. I can’t resist those sexy rookies sometimes.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Gotcha

          • Dj says:
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            I see what you did there!

  9. Dave_W says:
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    Do you think this paves the way to Brendan Rodgers getting playing time? Does he have future value or has his ship sailed?

    • NUX says:
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      For a normal team, we would be able to say that this is a clear indication that a team is moving guys to rebuild and make room for the young players to see what they have.

      I don’t see how this trade doesn’t make room for one or both of Hampson / Rodgers. But this is the Rox, so its not easy to say, YES they will play a bat under the age of 34 and give him regular ABs. They just don’t do it very often. Also, Grey did explain this in the Hampson blurb above

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He’s in the post

  10. ashtray says:
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    What is a Josh Fuentes and why would it be getting At Bats?

    • NUX says:
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      That would be… Nolan’s cousin, actually. But I can’t tell if you’re joking or not.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Bc they are the Rockies

  11. Nathan Ducharme says:
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    I know where you are, I know where you live, I will find you and say…. Thanks for an accurate assesment. .279 is more like it rather than the Austin Riley debacle. Thanks for taking the time for a second look. Thanks for taking a black and white issue on Arenado and making it more … Grey? Lol. You rock bro!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, thanks!

  12. Jayj says:
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    Do you agree with steamers projections on Arenado?

  13. Honest Joe says:
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    Rockies organization are fools. They need some post-it’s all over their office, “ONLY TRADE FOR PITCHERS”
    It needs to be a philosophical change, and I don’t know how they haven’t figured it out.
    I am not ticked off that they traded Arenado, but more about who they got in return. Libatore should have been involved, only pitchers should have been involved. Anyone can hit in Coors, and players will always signs up to hit in that lineup. Nobody is willingly signing up to pitch there. So you have to acquire controllable quality arms, in mass quantity, with all of your trades Colorado. Another epic failure, and now the Cardinals will win the Central again.

    • jayj says:
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      imo they should be looking to trade german marquez. Guy is useless in colorado, but would be a force elsewhere. should be desirable.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        German Marquez for Jake Cronenworth — woohoo!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, not sure why this is so hard for them to figure out

  14. dude says:
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    For my $39 Arenado, was offerd $28 Moncada and $10 Soroka which was pulled and replaced with $28 Moncada and $10 K. Lewis instead. Guy also has a $1 Burnes.

    My current group of 15 players/keepers.

    1B – Olson $25

    2B – Albies $17, Lux $10

    3B – Arenado $39, Torkelson $5

    SS – Lindor $33

    OF – Arozarena $10, Teoscar $2, Carlson $10

    SP – Fried $15, Berrios $20, Pearson $6, Valdez $8, Efflin $6

    RP – Jarinechak $8

    Other keep options or players to include in trades; Laureano $19, Mancini $6, JD Martinez $40, Dunning $10, Singer $10, Skubal $10, Turnbull $3, Bradley $16, Gallegos $15.

    I like Lewis but feel like he’s like other players I have in Teoscar and Laureano. And not sure I like Soroka more than any of my other keeper options at SP.

    We keep 15, with a $320 cap that only matters when we submit keepers. Players get $5 raises each year.

    Should I consider either trade or move on to something else?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d take Moncada/Lewis

      • dude says:
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        Which of the 15 keepers would you drop to keep Lewis?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Carlson

  15. batflix says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey , I noticed your Yates ratio projections are a bit on the high side. Are you assuming his arm is toast? Is it a typo (3.81/1.37) ?

    I really enjoyed this roundup, thanks for it!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yes, injury to arm

  16. Charlie says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I asked you a question earlier this weekend about Tucker v Arenado. Unfortunately, the thread removed the reply button and I didn’t get a chance to thank you. Just wanted to drop in and say thank you again for always producing the best content on the interwebs and thank you for always answering my questions!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ah, No problem!

  17. Will says:
    (link)

    No continued OF rankings today??? Dangit how can you do this to us? I already opened up Excel and just sitting down w/ a cup of coffee to read.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sorry, Will, I’m a bad person but they will resume tomorrow

      • Will says:
        (link)

        Also – I read somewhere the Jays might end up playing in Dunedin FL for a portion of the season. Let’s say they play half their games there, does that up your projections for Jays hitters (smaller park etc)?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Is it smaller? I don’t know dimensions — the weather would factor into how the stadium played too

          • Will says:
            (link)

            Somewhat smaller, in the RF alley mostly

            Dunedin:
            LF line – 328ft
            LF alley – 375ft
            CF – 400ft
            RF alley 354ft
            RF line – 327ft

            Toronto:
            LF line – 328ft
            LF alley – 375ft
            CF – 400ft
            RF alley – 375ft
            RF line – 328ft

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Looks nice for righties…

              How does it compare to Buffalo?

              • Will says:
                (link)

                The Jays AAA Buffalo park is a bit larger than Dunedin in that RF alley:

                LF line – 325ft
                LF alley – 371ft
                CF – 404ft
                RF alley – 367ft
                RF line – 325ft

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Interesting…Well, I guess we’ll see, but promising for all those sexy bats

  18. FrankGrimes says:
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    testes’ing lol

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      Testes….1…2…..3?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hehe

  19. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    I actually kind of like the rankings break with the news. I also like the fact that you included what players got projections changes in the article. Good Stuff.

    Totem Shift!

    Also laughed at Richards getting an injury pre-projected into his numbers.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha

  20. Bterry says:
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    Please tell me at least one of the guys mentioned as possibilities to go back to the rox has some potential. At least one of them.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t think so…Knowing the Rox though, well, I doubt it

  21. molina bros bbq says:
    (link)

    Hello again Grey,

    Still workin on a slow draft for a 5×5 OBP roto dynasty start up. Separate minors draft so nobody rookie eligible is able to be drafted yet. Coming up on a 14th round pick and then a long wait until my next pick. Struggling with where to go.

    1. Where would you go? I feel like most if not all will be picked before my next turn.
    SPs in my queue: Eflin, Jo-Mont, Yarbrough, E. Hernandez, G Canning, M Keller
    Bats in my queue: JD Davis,D Fletcher, S hilliard, L Taveras

    2. It’s a saves only league which sucks. All the “definite” closers are gone, but SAGNOF amirite? Saves is such a crappy category. When would you look at targeting some RPs in a format like this? I kind of like Diekman and Amir Garrett late but still tough to gauge when guys like that will go.

    My team below. Thanks in advance Grey.

    C
    1B J Abreu
    2b Biggio
    3B devers
    SS J. Polanco
    MI
    CI Sano
    OF Bellinger
    OF Grisham
    OF Laureano
    OF Robles
    OF
    Ut
    Ut
    P Ryu
    P Maeda
    P Means
    P Gausman
    P
    P
    P
    P
    P

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      How many teams are in this league? SAGNOF but you shouldn’t punt saves — Draft a closer next — I like Amir a lot

      • molina bros bbq says:
        (link)

        16 teams.

        Would you take Montero before or after Amir?

        Thanks for the help Grey.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I have Montero before Amir

          • molina bros bbq says:
            (link)

            Thanks again.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem

  22. Huffin Gas says:
    (link)

    You have the Rockies…and then you have the Angels. I’m not an Angels fan but I thought this was funny. They are supposedly not going to sign Bauer because the pitching coach (how much does he make?) for the Angels didn’t get along with him in Cleveland. The Angels, starved for SPs for years, are gonna sit back and let Alex Cobb dominate the AL West. Ok.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, yeah, they’re a mess too

  23. Racehorse says:
    (link)

    Grey

    Spot on analysis on the Rockies. What a mess!

    Ex-picher Bud Black managing the Rox in Coors is akin to Bengie Molina being a team’s base stealing coach, because the thinking seemingly is that Twinkle Toes Bengie being a catcher means he knows stealing bases inside and out.

    I want Trevor Story to be traded to the Reds so he can smash 45 bombs in that ridiculously small ballpark while stealing 30 bags — that’d be allot of fun to see.

    Grey, keep on keeping on!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, so true! Never thought about that…They have a pitching coach in Colorado, says everything

  24. Ryan741 says:
    (link)

    Grey, need a trade opinion in a points league. I would be trading Flaherty and my 2nd/4th/6th/10th round picks and would be getting Cole, Matt Olson and his 14th/16th/20th round picks. I think it’s too much even if I’m getting Coke and Olson, but I’m tempted

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You’re getting a better SP and a top 5 1B, how’s it too much?

  25. Mookie says:
    (link)

    AL only 10 team 5×5 keeper league. Can keep up to 12 guys for 23 starter roster ($260 auction budget for 23 starters and keeper salaries deducted from budget). Which side do you prefer?

    Team A: Luis Robert (4 years @ 10/10/15/20) & Jorge Polanco (3 years @1/6/11)

    Team B: Vladito (3 years @ 10/15/20), Rafael Devers (1 year @ 18), Kyle Tucker (2 years @ 15/20), Andrew Heaney (3 years @ 2/7/12)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      B

  26. Imyournerd says:
    (link)

    Hey Sir, awesome as always!!!

    Quick question, My Sale, Verdugo and Urshela for his L.Castillo

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Castillo

  27. 183414 says:
    (link)

    Projecting Riley with the same stats as Arenado is Yahoo silly.
    Surprised you’re still super high on Yates and Hand.
    Yeah I know Yates is all better . We shall see. Romano and Dolis are still very good. Can’t imagine that they won’t be babying Yates just a little bit.
    Re: Hand. I know he had 16 saves in the Year from hell, part 1, but Nat’s mgr. says that Hand may be asked yo go when needed, ala Nick Anderson, especially that he is THE lefty in their pen, and the rest of the relief core, particularly Rainey, was awesome last year.
    You may be right, and I may be crazy, but the only sure thing closers that I see are Hendriks, Iglesias, Montero, and Rodriguez, and he’s on the AAA Pirates. Perhaps Pressley, but for reasons other than my gut, I think 2021, will be another Manfred owned disaster baseball season Part II.
    Hope I’m wrong, but cardboard fans , 7 inning doubleheaders, man on 2nd to start the 10th or 8th innings, and double masks for everyone, combined with the MLB and Players Association, up to their divisive actions, don’t have my hopes up for It’s a Wonderful Life season.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, it is slightly crazy…but I’m just saying Riley or Arenado…okay still Arenado but Riley could be nice later…I think we’re gonna be fine for the season, hope I’m right…

  28. Dan says:
    (link)

    Keeper league. Freeman or eloy jiminez ?

  29. Hoops M says:
    (link)

    Great work as always, but if you really think Austin Riley will have the same batting average as Nolan Arenado, I’d advise not taking any wagers.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’m not saying that, I’m pointing out Steamer was saying that

  30. Hugman says:
    (link)

    I know I’m late to the party, but do these Archenado projections figure him batting 4th or 3rd? I’m guessing 4th. If so, if they slot him in in front of Goldy rather than behind does that give him a boost? Being a total homer, I’m willing to place a wager that he outperforms these projections if both he and Dylan Carlson remain healthy no matter if he’s 3rd or 4th. But I guess it’s easy to pick apart projections if you get to put caveats on it, now isn’t it? Anyway, sorry I made you go back in time to read my stream of consciousness. Love you, Greysies.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Think he’s gotta be their three hole hitter

      • Hugman says:
        (link)

        Yeah… You forgot to say something back to me, Greysies.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I miss you?

          • Hugman says:
            (link)

            I’ll take it!

Comments are closed.