Somehow, contact injuries are awful and non-contact injuries are even worse. It’s always something like, “Um, is that leg supposed to go in that direction?” It’s like three-quarters of someone’s body is going to get milk from the store and one leg is like, “Hey, I’m going to grab a burger.” Like most of someone’s body is headed to their friend’s house, and one random leg has the address typed into Waze for their friend’s home that they lived at in the 90’s. That happened to Gavin Lux heading to third base the other day. Gavin Lux tore his ACL and is out for the season. The good news is Miguel Vargas only has a fractured finger. I’ll be honest with you, unlike all those times I’ve lied through my teeth, I can’t get super excited for Vargas. I’ve tried. Boy George, have I tried! Now, he absolutely will get everyday at-bats though, so that moves him up in my 1st basemen rankings. Also, the top 500 for 2023 fantasy baseball was updated. Finally, the 2nd basemen rankings, which were depressing as it was, lost Lux and they really sux. Anyway, here’s what else I saw this preseason for 2023 fantasy baseball:
David Peralta – Signed with the Dodgers. Peralta is fine for real baseball. You know real baseball, it’s where they scratch themselves and aren’t yelled at by their mothers. He was updated and ranked in the top 100 outfielders, and James Outman was removed.
Jimmy Nelson – Signed with the Dodgers. Welp, he’s about to become a 15-game winner with a 2.20 ERA. Don’t ask how, I don’t know.
Tyler Glasnow – Out two months with a Grade 2 oblique strain. One grade for each month he’s gonna miss. Not really, but, sure, I guess. On one hand, Glasnow only threw six pitches before he injured himself. On the other hand that’s actually the Hamburger Helper on top of a mop, six pitches is a lot for him before an injury. Next time, spread those out. One pitch per month and he could’ve made it the whole season. So, I moved him all the way down to the top 80 starters, because there’s just no way he throws anywhere close to 100 IP, and who even knows about that, at this point. Glasnow was also adjusted in the pitchers’ pairings tool. Not sure if we can trust his offseason monkey training to lead-up into the season anymore, which is a major bummer.
I don’t want to believe Glasnow’s injury is a point against his offseason monkey training pic.twitter.com/b4WZUOz40q
— Razzball (@Razzball) February 28, 2023
Lance McCullers Jr. – Out with a muscle strain and will miss the start of the season. Writes on piece of paper, “Don’t throw 90% curveballs,” rolls up note and puts it into a Coke bottle and tosses it into the ocean. Ugh, does anyone remember if I wrote “Care of McCullers?” In my top 100 starters, I updated him, taking off 50 IP. Honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if this is a completely lost year from him. Oh, and in no way related, here’s my Hunter Brown fantasy and Kirksey’s Hunter Brown fantasy. You’ve been warned. And warned.
Taylor Trammell – Broke his hamate bone and will miss seven weeks. That means in eight weeks Taylor Trammell will look like Aaron Judge if he had more power.
Aaron Ashby – Will miss a couple of months with shoulder inflammation. That means he returns in July “as good as new” and is shutdown in August with renewed soreness. I removed him from my top 500 for 2023 fantasy baseball.
Luke Voit – Signed with the Brewers. This is the greatest landing spot for him, if he were their actual 1st baseman and not 4th man down on the depth chart, and most likely to be released by May. Otherwise, terrific! He was removed from the top 500 for 2023 fantasy baseball.
Felix Bautista – Supposedly might not be ready to start the season. This is a massive red flag. Not moving him yet in my rankings, but the O’s are saying all kinds of things that lead me to believe they don’t want Bautista to get a lot of saves and jack up his arbitration price. I hope I am wrong about Felix like Oscar when they put tape down the middle of the apartment.
Ozzie Albies – Revealed he had offseason shoulder surgery. He says he’s 100%, which makes me never want to draft him again. Won’t be changing my 2nd basemen rankings, but I’d be lying if I told you I was drafting Albies with any confidence.
Franmil Reyes – Signed with the Royals. Put some KC rub on that $54 Vending Machine Steak! Tonight we gonna eat! Imagine seeing Pasketti and a $54 Vending Machine Steak on your team, and not licking your lips. Wouldn’t be me. Wash it down with some Drew Waters. Ya know, to watch calories.
Drew Waters – Speaking of Franmil’s least favorite beverage, Waters has a strained oblique. He will miss six to 60 weeks. Fun fact! Drew Waters translates to “What a beautiful still life” when thirsty. If you’re not thirsty, can I interest you in some Nate Eaton? Royals aren’t fielding a team, they’re doing a Keto diet. I didn’t change Waters in the top 100 outfielders, because he wasn’t getting a full season anyway. Eaton isn’t ranked, but he does have some speed for deep leagues.
Garrett Whitlock – Won’t be ready for Opening Day. Real question: When was the last time a Red Sox number five actually was their number five? I haven’t moved Whitlock in my rankings, because I never expected a full season from him anyway, so this doesn’t change much. In deep leagues, I’m still very interested very late in Brayan Bello, Bryan Mata and Brandon Walter. If you’re currently wondering how late is very late, then they’re too late for your league.
Robbie Grossman – Signed with the Rangers. Perfect fit! Now when someone says Semien, you can reply, “Grossman.” He pushes Josh H. Smith to the bench, and I wonder how did the Rangers spend $750 million and still have a spot for Robbie Grossman to move right into the lineup?
Frankie Montas – Sounds out for the season as he underwent shoulder surgery. Thus it begins. What’s “it?” It is me being the one guy who ranked a pitcher later than everyone else, and told everyone to not draft him. All that is for naught though, because next to no drafts happened when Montas went down. Now it will look like everyone told you to avoid Montas when they compare rankings next year, but only one person told you to avoid him when it mattered. I’m gonna need shoulder surgery too from patting my own back. Next up for season-ending surgery will be Lance McCullers Jr. You’ve been warned (about Hunter Brown).
Elvis Andrus – Signed with the White Sox. Don’t really love him for fantasy. Unless he’s got Austin Butler playing him. Then sign me up! That kid was born to play Elvis! Shortstops rankings were updated.
Donovan Solano – Signed with the Twins. Perfect, it is after all the Season of the Pitch (clock).
Joe Musgrove – Broke his toe when he dropped a weight on it. See, this is why I don’t lift weights. Just smart thinking by your man Grey–Ow, I just hurt my bicep by typing too hard. Any hoo! I wouldn’t overreact to this Musgrove news. I lowered him in the top 40 starters, but still have him within range of drafting.
Michael Wacha – Signed with the Padres. Says a lot about Wacha that he didn’t sign until camp opened and for $7 mill. He could be the answer to the Padres’ prayers. If the prayers were, “Please give us a 120-inning guy who can team up with two other middle relief and give us a total of one 200-inning fifth starter.”
Andrew Chafin – Signed with the Diamondbacks. That gives the Dbacks a pen of Chafin and I.M. Chaffed (Melancon). Diamondbacks also have everyone in-between in their bullpen getting saves. This year the Diamondbacks are being projected to have more closers than wins. In my top 500 for 2023 fantasy baseball, I still have Ginkel as the head of the closer committee in Arizona, but I’d be lying if I said I had any faith in that.
Michael Fulmer – Signed with the Cubs. “Fulmer? I barely half her!” That’s a magician. Stop thinking dirty. JKJ updated the Bullpen Chart, and always updates it with all news. You should bookmark it. It gets updated all the time.
Seiya Suzuki – Out with an oblique injury, which means he’ll miss two weeks or two months. After his injuries last year, about to start calling him Seeya Suzuki. Have no faith in Suzuki, and he was updated to the top 60 outfielders.
Randal Grichuk – Had hernia surgery, and will miss the start of the season. Did someone say “hernia surgery” and “Miss?” *crosses legs* Oh, nuts! He was moved down in the top 100 outfielders for 2023 fantasy baseball.
JJ Bleday – Traded to the A’s. This deal was Bleday for Puk, which feels like the classic, “We don’t know what to do with this guy, you want him?” trade. Jake Jake Bleday has a ton of power and not much else, but power plays, as they say on the ice. He was added into the top 100 outfielders for 2023 fantasy baseball.
A.J. Puk – Went the other way to the Marlins in the Bleday trade. Fun fact! His full name is Aject Puk, so his first name is an onomatopoeia of his surname. Any hoo! I talked to Marlins’ beat writer, Craig Mish, and asked him who he thought was going to get the most Marlins saves this year, and he said a few interesting things. Marlins’ new manager and former-Formula One driver, Schumaker, wants to take what was done in St. Louis and use it in Miami. Just use the best guy, so maybe Puk. Finally, if you had to take a flyer in the 50th round of a crazy deep league for saves, Huascar Brazoban touches 98, and I don’t mean on the thermometer. All of this has been adjusted into the top 500 for 2023 fantasy baseball.
Rassmussen, Lodolo, Kirby, in a league with QS, not Wins…get to keep 2 of them, who is the odd arm out?
Kelenic with three bombs so far this spring. Are we going to get back on this train yet again???
The one today was oppo-taco and an easy swing. As an M’s fan, I hope he figures it out. As a fantasy player, probably staying away for…now:)
Price is cheap enough, so why not? But he has had huge springs the last three years
It’s amazing how good he is in every baseball situation except major league games that count.
dynasty H2H categories—OPS replaces avg
who is your preference
Bryan De La Cruz or Patrick Sandoval
best pitcher i have seen live in spring so far is Clarke Schmidt
Has there ever been an RCL (overall) champion crowned from a league that drafted really early (say, in the first week of RCL drafts)?
I imagine injuries have to be a big con to drafting early … then again, last season, you could have gotten JuRod really cheap if you had.
Question for Truss — https://razzball.com/razzball-commenter-leagues-pitching-strategy-2023/
Requesting hive mind keeper advise.
10 Team mixed Contracts keeper league.$260 salary
1b,3B,CI,2b,ss,MI,lf,cf,rf,of,ut,6sp,5rp,5 bench,10 farm spots
My definite keepers:
Kyle Tucker $5 through 2024
Bobby Witt $5 through 2026
Jazz Chisolm $5 through 2025
Eloy Jimenez $5 through 2023
Jose Altuve $15 through 2023
Michael Harris $10 through 2023
Freddy Peralta $1 through 2023 :(
Dustin May $1 through 2024
I can keep up to 10 total. is there any one (or two) from this list you’d also keep?
Spencer Torkelson $5 through 2026 (feel like I have to keep even if not great 2023?)
George Springer $24 through 2024
Joe Ryan $7 through 2024
Max Fried $25 through 2024
Nestor Cortes $10 through 2023
Brandon Woodruff $31 through 2023
ps can’t believe this is year 10 of me reading Razzball!
Here is a quote from an article I emailed myself in 2013 to celtrate my 10 year anniversary:
“Position scarcity is a buzzword(s) that fantasy baseballers (<–my mom’s term!) like to throw around. It’s the same as someone using ten-dollar words in conversation they don’t really understand. I’m drafting Tulo because of position scarcity! That’s you after reading an ESPN analcyst. We talk about position scarcity on our first fantasy baseball podcast of the year, too. At least I think we do under some of the jazzy music.”
HAHA, nice quote!
Think you have to keep Ryan and Woodruff and shore up your pitching…Could see see Ryan and Nestor too…No way would I keep Tork
Thanks! Breaks my heart about Tork. I traded Judge for him at trade deadline in 2022. oopsie diasy
Good Day, Grey. A bit late with my question, but curious your thoughts:
This is a dynasty, salaried ($300 cap), H2H points league.
Someone’s asking for my Ozzie Albies ($22). His team isn’t great, but I could maybe snag a package of Chris Bassitt ($4), Riley Greene ($3), and Brett Baty ($1). I’d be thin at 2B, but I should probably pursue this, yes? Or stick with Albies? Am I overthinking it?
Already stressing out over trades, and the season hasn’t even begun lol
Stick w/ Albies there
Appreciate it, Grey
At the rate we are going, I may need an IL stint after reading your next injury update.
Love the comment about Texas. Maybe they should trade for Reynolds. They do realize that they need 3 starting OF’s and a DH, right?
Grey — JP Sears on your radar at all? Thought you liked him last season.
I did like him but he was real bad last year
Hey Grey! awesome write up, i hadn’t heard of a few of these injuries!
I’m in a redraft keeper league where we get to keep 6 (no cost to keeping). who would you keep between:
Insane keepers you have
Thanks! I was lucky to get Roberts when an owner soured on him and Rodon In a trade for Mullens and Drury last year!
I am worried about 2B in the draft which is why I was considering keeping Altuve?
Diaz or him…Diaz is the bets closer in baseball and Altuve is an aging 2B and there’s other 2B to draft
HeyGrey happy hump!
If LouBob and/or Eloy are red hot and rake all spring with no injury blips, and your draft was the last week of spring training, would you (foolhardily?) draft either of them 3rd-4th round?
I think people might be sleeping a bit on Wander, he’s gonna have a huge breakout year.
Dr. Sexy will destroy the memory of last year’s difficulties and be what everyone thought he was.
VinnieP will challenge for one of the top 5 1B for 2024 draft.
(Interesting facts about Vincenzo- hit .352 against LHP last season, hit .328 in 2nd half)
Happy hump day, Kelly!
I wouldn’t draft LouBob, but Eloy is interesting, but not in the 3rd or 4th
Agree on Wander, Sexy and Pasketti
Have you been following this Noah Song situation? Even with everything else going on, this to me is one of the most interesting stories of the preseason. Potentially film-worthy.
Yeah, I’m following it…Absolutely should be a film
Grey — JP Sears on your radar at all? Thought you liked him last season.
6×6 roto w/ QS – who you got, Strider or BoBa?
I saw your top 10 rankings, so assume you’re not worried whatsoever, but how does the 1st half of last season factor in for BoBa? Complete anomaly?
He’s like a top 3 player if you combine 2021 and 2022
You’re the GOAT, Grey
Thank you, Son, you have good taste in GOATs
There is only one, although I hope these hairs stuck between my teeth are from the stache and not….oh god
Great post, seems like half these injuries weren’t even reported on. Would you trade away Semien for Lou Bob in a 6×6 OPS 12-teamer keep forever? Lou Bob has been hurt but is still much younger. Drafting a 2B does become harder without Lux and Albies healthy, too, so keeping Semien helps with that.
I’d prefer Robert in a dynasty, yeah
The Fuji splitter is real! Dude is going to strike some guys out. Three straight walks to start tge 2nd but pitched out of it. He walked a guy on the Angels named Trey Cabbage which sounds like a euphemism for “very expensive.”
My current favorite dream for the mid-summer is my 50th round Ben Joyce closing for the Angels throwing 105 and bringing Liam Hendricks psycho energy.
The split from Fuji has so much downward action I can see how he has had command issues. He needs that to be a swing and miss because even if he does manage to land it in the zone it’s a pitch umpires tend to miss at times because of the action. You see that with 12-6 curveballs a lot. Eyes kind of confirmed what I was thinking yesterday: good chance fir a lot of whiff first couple of times the league sees this guy. Could get rough if teams manage to lag off the split.
The problem as I see it is if hitters lay off *and* it’s not a strike, he’s walking a lot of guys
Seems like he has no control…Don’t mind him as a 12th SP in DC, but 4.35/1.35/150 isn’t that appealing
You see my very late Marlins closer call in the post? Seems similar to your Ben Joyce one — Huascar
Love the Huascar call. Plus you can bring back the HUASCAR logo meme!!!
Vargas plays first or second for Dodgers?
Who plays SS?
Dodgers got lots of prospects tho, so a trade seems very possible
Yes, or Profar
Profar? I don’t know, maybe Rojas…but one less body opens Vargas to more secured time
Say Hey Grey,
Piggybacking off your aforementioned Albies shoulder injury, should I (and we) have the same worry with Corbin Carroll? He had a major shoulder injury a year or two ago, although seems fine at the moment…think it will crop up and be a problem, or draft with confidence and assertiveness?
Nah, that was in 2021, he’s been fine since, no?
Yeah, you’re right, I think so too. My anxiety has been eating my face alive, especially with these recent slew of injuries already. Thanks for being my fantasy baseball valium.
Ha, No problem
I know you’re not in on Freddy Peralta this year but feel like he’s my best keeper option. Thoughts?
Context: 12 team, h2h each category (includes K/9 for pitching), each team can keep up to 5 players with their cost increasing by two rounds every season
My current keepers are:
Nola – R13
Vlad – R15
Ohtani (U only) – R16
Wander – R17
If kept, Peralta would be a R18 dude for me. My next best alternative is likely Helsley in R20. With so few keepers and in a league where no one really ever keeps them, I don’t think I want to keep Helsley, even if he is a great deal.
Ryan Helsley is much better keeper, he’s a top 3 closer
How would you treat Glasnow in dynasty? The upside is tantalizing obviously, but the distrust just continues to grow. Would you keep him over a Luzardo or Lodolo with longer view in mind?
For context, I’ll never punt a season, but I’m much more likely to win next year based on draft pick situations.
I’d hold him in dynasty, unless I was offered a great trade for him
Thank you as always for your insight!
Jurickson Profar is still out there unsigned. He’s got 130+ starts at SS in MLB, although none since he started 68 games at SS in 2018 for the Rangers. I’d be very surprised if the Dodgers aren’t looking at him as a Lux replacement for this season.
Also, what’s the over/under on Buxton’s first trip to the DL this season? I’ve got prior to April 1st in the pool.
Also – when are the Braves going to rework Ozzie Albies’ contract? This is the 5th season they are paying him $35 million….not per year, but in total over that ridiculous 7 year contract his agent talked him into prior to the 2019 season. Highway robbery, and the Braves should be ashamed at paying him just $5 million a season with the production he’s given them. They’ve extended everyone else on the team, it seems, time for them to do Albies right.
I know, they really ripped off Albies bad
how could the agent possibly be the reason somebody agrees to an under market contract? he’s the ONE person who benefits directly and only from players getting the MOST money, not the least.
Yes, I said that above too (in the comments)…April 27th for Buxton
Who becomes the he pick up if Bautista is down?
Blech, I guess Baker or Givens
Morning, Grey and all Razzballers. Keeper question in my 12-team, mixed H-2-H league that is standard 5×5 plus doubles and walks for hitters. One keeper, which costs you the round he was drafted last year. Thinking that Tatis is a no-brainer, but Carroll and a few others might be better bargains at their respective spots. I don’t have my draft slot for this year yet. Thoughts? Thanks.
Tatis – 3
Machado – 3
Carroll – 10
A.Gimenez – 10
so got me the turn picks at 12 and 13 for upcoming draft. For a 12 team, 5×5 roto.
Seems at that point that all the good 5 category OF’s will be gone and will be looking at perhaps going for good 4 category guys like Dr. Sexy, Cake Batter, Machado, etc and then making up for lack of speed later. Maybe Yordan or Dr. Sexy fall to me but if not then thinking perhaps 1B and 3B it might be??
If I am going for 3B, my heart says take like Devers or Riley over Machado but then my head and your ranks say that Machado. Just not sure I can dig Manny’s average at that point.
Also wondering if I should be really concerned about drop off at 3B at this point in draft as next picks will not be until 36 and 37.
Also wondering if you would think that good sp1 would be available to me at pick 60 so that I could use picks 36 and 37 for hitting and possibly some good speed guys.
Thanks for thoughts. Cheers!
Dr. Sexy! I like that flip…this might help: https://razzball.com/2023-fantasy-baseball-draft-prep-pairings/
Thanks man, I was looking at that also.
What would u say to the question about waiting until pick 60 or end of round 5 for my 1st starter. Might be too late? Or guess it would depend how draft is going as only other choice would be to take one at pick 37 but that seems bit early.
It’s hard to say, bc if 11 teams in your league draft pitching heavy, you have to draft a top 15-ish starter, so you can’t wait until 60…If no one drafts a starter, then you can wait forever…So kinda up to your league…In general, waiting to pick 50 is fine for a 12 team league
I hear you and I am thinking that pick 60 will likely be too late and might be forced to go with starter at pick 37 maybe along lines of Strider, McClannan, Verlander or Nola types.
Guess this is dilemna of having the bottom turn picks in 12 team.
It should be too late, but it’s impossible to say before the draft plays out
I just had the same #12 pick in a 12 teamer. Went with Alonzo and Manny. Took Nola at 36 with Schwarber at 37. I ended up sitting pretty good using the war room. Had to have one outfielder in the first 37.
Hey Grey – Looking forward to another season reading your articles. One keeper question please: I can keep 2 of Kwan, Italian Breakfast (Vinny P), Christian Walker, or Kirby as 13/14 round picks in a 13 team 5×5 roto. What’s your view? Thanks
Thanks! Italian Breakfast, Kirby…Can’t go wrong with any tho
a. I swear the atmosphere in the room was about to be poppin’ like a zit going into fever pitch a-waitin’ on this ST update. Watch out for excess pus exploding every which way!
b. After a cursory glance at recent boxscores/news…
1 I see your boy Cobb gave up 4 ER in one IP. Good job, Cobb. Though you can cry yourself to sleep, it’s better he gets those outings out of the way early, better now than when stats count and it’s just rust.
2 Berrios looking good early, so his off-season plan worked!
3 Loved how Cubs players were asked to explain their first loss of the ST and I go there’ll be a lot more ‘splainin’ required upon OD where that came from.
c. Jerry Seinfeld quote of the day for March 1, 2023
‘Men are not subtle — men are obvious. Women know what men want. Men know what men want. What do we want? We want women! It’s the only thing we know for sure: we want women! How do we get women? Oh, we don’t know that. The next step after that we have no idea. This is why you see men honking car-horns, yelling from construction sites. These are the best ideas we’ve had so far. The car-horn honk, is that a beauty? Have you seen men doing this? What is this? The man is in the car, the woman walks by the front of the car, he honks. E-eeehh, eehhh, eehhh! This man is out of ideas. How does it…? E-e-e-eeeehhhh! “I don’t think she likes me.” The amazing thing is, that we still get women, don’t we? Men, I mean, men are with women. You see men with women. How are men getting women, many people wonder. Let me tell you a little bit about our organization. Wherever women are, we have a man working on the situation right now. Now, he may not be our best man, okay, we have a lot of areas to cover, but someone from our staff is on the scene. That’s why, I think, men get frustrated, when we see women reading articles, like “Where to meet men?” We’re here, we are everywhere. We’re honking our horns to serve you better.’
The Seinfeld Chronicles (Pilot) [1.1]
A. Haha B. Don’t overreact to Spring Training C. Nice!
Imagine 1.1 was the pilot version, like the format was EVER going to fail. Such a great show.
Jerry got better as it went along tho, I mean his acting as himself
Yeah, agreed. And the whole Seinfeld apparatus. Can you imagine some Hollywood exec saying that show won’t go anywhere? Impossible.