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Yesterday, I went over the top 20 catchers for 2017 fantasy baseball, and, today, you guessed it (if you didn’t read the title and just fell here from outer space), it’s the top 20 1st baseman for 2017 fantasy baseball.  Something weird happened last year — okay, a lot weird happened last year, but I’m going to focus on fantasy baseball.  Middle infield got deep and 1st base got shallow.  I have some theories why this happened.  First theory, a lot of kids who are playing now grew up watching Bret Boone and Alex Rodriguez and their frosted hair and, like a moth to a flame, or peroxide to a hairstyle, kids became middle infielders.  Second theory, it happened just cuz.  So, I don’t have a lot of theories on it, per se, but offense is deep this year, but not 1st basemen.  My projections are included, and here’s all of our fantasy baseball rankings.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 1st basemen for 2017 fantasy baseball:

1. Paul Goldschmidt – Went over him in the top 10 for 2017 fantasy baseball.

2. Anthony Rizzo – Went over him in the top 10 for 2017 fantasy baseball.

3. Miguel Cabrera – Went over him in the top 20 for 2017 fantasy baseball.

4. Freddie Freeman – Went over him in the top 20 for 2017 fantasy baseball.

5. Edwin Encarnacion – Went over him in the top 20 for 2017 fantasy baseball.

6. Joey Votto –  This is a new tier.  This tier goes here until Hanley.  I call this tier, “*blows dust off a leather bound book*”  By the tier name I mean, these guys have been great in the past, but, as is the problem with the current 1st base position, the best guys feel old and dusty.  Can’t we get some Kindles in here?  Right now, I’m reading the book that put David Simon, The Wire creator, on the map.  It’s an old book, but it’s on Kindle and I don’t need to blow dust off my electronic device.  Do you see what I mean?  Or should I belabor this point for another 400 words?  In the end, I’d draft from this tier, but I hope I have a 1st baseman already.  He spams you about dead aunt inheritances and hits .320.  Know why?  Votto’s a bot.  Call him Robotto.  Seriously, put all of this in a closet and have it jump out at you and it will freak you out it’s so scary accurate.  And that’s all true of Robotto, until it’s not and he hits .250 for three months last year or hits 14 homers in 2012 or hits .255 in 2014 or gets injured because he’s 33 years old and too old for this shizz Danny Glover-style.  Like Lionel Richie recapitulating, it’s karamu, fiesta, forever, until it’s not.  2017 Projections: 84/25/91/.308/7 in 530 ABs

7. Jose Abreu – Not quite as old as some of the AARP cover boys in this tier, but Abreu feels like one of their contemporaries, right?  Like him, Hanley and Edwin sit on the stoop talking about the good old days before these kids ruined Apache by The Incredible Bongo Band with their endless remixing.  Maybe Abreu’s a Latin 30, which would make him as old as Edwin and Hanley.  Whatever Abreu’s real age, the White Sox have depleted their major league roster.  Unlike the Padres, it was an intentional move, but it will still cost Abreu some runs/RBIs and that’s about the only thing he was good for last year.  2017 Projections: 73/28/92/.306 in 603 ABs

8. Hanley Ramirez – Guess how old he is.  Go ahead, I’ll wait.  *scratches chin, accidentally kills a Lilliputian that was living on chin, Lilliputian detective attempts to investigate but the system is corrupt and there’s Lilliputians in City Hall who don’t want to see the crime solved*  Okay, any guesses on Hanley’s age?  33, younger than Edwin.  Yeah, I’m surprised too.  Hanley strikes me as a slightly less talented and slightly more insouciant Miggy.  I.e., Hanley doesn’t need to try to be solid, and, most days, he doesn’t try.  2017 Projections: 84/25/89/.278/6 in 518 ABs

9. Wil Myers – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Hosmer.  I call this tier, “Gary Glitter’s Rock & Roll, Part 2.”  By the tier name I mean, was there a Part 1?  There must’ve been, but all anyone knows is Part 2.  (And they know Gary Glitter is a pedophile, they know that too.)  Myers, Santana and Hosmer feel like they’re about to have their Part 2, and everyone will be like, “Wow, no lead up to that Part 2,” but there was a lead up, people just didn’t notice it.  As for Myers, last year, he had a better season than Bryce Harper.  Okay, Bryce had a down year, fair point.  Myers also had a more valuable season than Miguel Cabrera, who had a great season.  Where’s your fair points now?  I didn’t think so.  I’m like Phil Donahue, sticking my microphone in your face for a comment, then ignoring your answer.  By the way, I had an epiphany the other day, Donahue was the first social media site.  He’d shove a question at you, give you a microphone, you’d answer and then people would cheer or boo.  Back to Myers, would it surprise you to know he went 28/28 last year.  Has any 1st baseman ever gone 30/30?  Not to ruminate, but to answer.  Seriously, has anyone?  If we thought Myers would repeat, he should be drafted in the top 10 overall.  If he does repeat, Wil will (stutterer!) be drafted there next year.  2017 Projections:  81/25/91/.264/15 in 567 ABs

10. Carlos Santana – He surprised me a lot when I looked at his stats.  Sure, that might’ve been because I was writing this in the dark while a ghoulish man played an organ.  Santana appears to have come into his own this past year.  Every conceivable stat went in a positive direction and he became the man he was always meant to be.  Kinda like if you watch Keeping up with the Kardashians, the Bruce Jenner years, in reverse.  His Ks went down, his fly balls went up, he hit the ball more square with a round bat, hexagon, okay, now I’m just naming shapes.  He had the 23rd highest ISO, and, among those 23, he had the 2nd highest walk rate behind Donaldson.  Pegging guys like Bautista and Edwin, who break out later in their careers is hard, but Santana strikes me as a guy that can now be a force for the next five years.  Him in the leadoff slot kinda annoys me, but after Tito Francona had success with it last year, I think we’re going to get it again.  2017 Projections: 95/31/79/.266/5 in 572 ABs

11. Eric Hosmer – His lead up to this year is admittedly less linear.  Last year, he hit 25 homers and knocked in 104 RBIs, both career highs.  Sadly, they came with a .266 average as his line drive rate dipped way down.  So, is he a 25-homer guy with a .266 average or a .290+ hitter with 17 homers.  He’s 27 years old, why can’t he be both?  I know, ‘both’ wasn’t one of the original choices.  I backdoored you.  That sounds weird.  How about — Grey goes in through the doggie door!  Hmm, that’s not much better.  2017 Projections:  82/24/94/.288/7 in 589 ABs

12. Daniel Murphy – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Davis.  I call this tier, “‘See, corner’s not that shallow,’ said the Blind Man, as he walked into the wall.”  By the tier name I mean, these guys make 1st base appear to be deeper than it actually is for a couple reasons.  One reason, these guys are either dealing with age or declining skills or both.  Landmines that even The Ghost of Princess Di would have trouble navigating.  Another reason, two of these guys (Murphy, Posey) will be artificially inflated at drafts due to eligibility at different positions.  As for Murphy, he’s like the polar opposite of Carlos Santana.  I will call him Sarlos Cantana.  All the gains Murphy made last year, I don’t buy.  You don’t have a career high of 14 homers into your 30s, then hit 25 homers without expecting regression the following year.  For the hundred and eleven guys who hit 20 homers last year, he averaged the 89th longest distance (396 feet, equal to Salvador Perez).  His steals have almost become moot, which isn’t surprising for a guy in his 30s, but that means if he hits 15 homers, he’s not going to boost his value with 10+ steals.  Last year, he stole five bases in eight attempts.  Um, bleh.  The one positive that should buoy his fantasy value, he should hit third in a good lineup.  2017 Projections: 82/15/85/.296/5 in 510 ABs

13. Albert Pujols – You know who Pujols has become?  Your standard 1980s slugger.  Check out Gorman Thomas with that 32 homer, .254 season!  Whoa, nice year, Reggie Jackson, with your 32 homers and .254 season!  Damn, solid year of 32 homers and .254 from Tom Brunansky!  2017 Projections:  73/32/94/.254/2 in 563 ABs

14. Buster Posey – Went over him in the top 20 catchers for 2017 fantasy baseball.

15. Chris Davis – Guys and five girl readers, skills that Chris Davis exhibits do not age well.  He’s like the baseball player equivalent of Kate Bosworth or Meg Ryan.  “Your beauty is so ethereal, my syntax is now Yoda-ish.  Like a nymph from heaven, you are.”  Five years later, “Why does your button nose only have one nostril?”  Davis could hit 35+ homers, but he’s really not much more than Chris Carter.  2017 Projections:  79/36/95/.218/2 in 554 ABs

16. Brad Miller – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Bird.  I call this tier, “The Low End Theory’s A side.”  A Tribe Called Quest’s The Low End Theory had arguably one of the best sides in the history of rap, its B side.  The B side had one hit after another, Check the Rhime thru Scenario.  The A side wasn’t as catchy.  However, the more you listened to the whole album you began to appreciate the A side and ended up liking some A side songs even more.  This tier is that A side.  You may not fully trust these guys as much as the next tier, but I think you’re going to enjoy them more in the (low) end.  As for Miller, I’m still weighing whether to write a sleeper post on him, but it feels kinda silly to do that for a guy that hit 30 homers and stole six bases last year.  Yes, 30/6, and he will be hitting cleanup this year (granted, for a less than stellar team).  Miller’s homers went further than Kris Bryant’s on average.  He pulls everything, and had more hard contact than, say, Ryan Braun.  Maybe a few less homers, but I expect more speed and a better average.  I’m in on Miller this year bigly.  2017 Projections: 76/25/93/.251/10 in 531 ABs

17. Mitch Moreland – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Moreland) signed with the Red Sox to play 1st.  Last season’s Sawx 1st baseman Hanley phoned in to reporters, “I’m bummed I won’t get to play first in 2017.” As he said that, he touched one foot against his couch and reached for the remote his daughter tossed him.  Unfortunately, Hanley pulled his foot off the couch, collapsed to the ground and lost his sofa spot to the family dog.  I think Moreland can be one of those signings that doesn’t trend on Twitter and pretty much is forgotten about by most, but can actually have huge fantasy repercussions.  Moreland is slated to bat fifth for at least 80% of the time, and will find out he enjoys hitting balls around the Pesky Pole in right.  2017 Projections: 61/25/75/.259/1 in 465 ABs

18. Tommy Joseph – Another name for this tier is “How have I not written a sleeper post on all of these guys yet?”  I have a bet with myself that I intend on welching on that says ToJo will be more valuable than Chris Davis this year.  2017 Projections:  64/30/79/.253/1 in 488 ABs

19. Greg Bird – Already gave you the Greg Bird sleeper.  I wrote it while riding an elevator with Solange Knowles.  2017 Projections:  59/24/69/.257/2 in 412 ABs

20. Matt Carpenter – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Duda.  I call this tier, “Old movies are better until you’re watching a Mickey Rooney marathon.”  By the tier name I mean, these guys seem like a good idea.  They even might give you the nostalgic feels.  Then you get to May, your team is in last, Carter is hitting .185 and Mickey Rooney is doing a cringe-worthy Asian portrayal.  There’s a lot of negatives with this tier, but there’s one huge positive, you don’t have to draft a 1st baseman when these guys are being drafted.  “Hello, starting pitchers, I think it’s time we became acquainted.”  That’s you talking into your bag of Cheetos as these first basemen are being drafted.  As for Carpenter, he’s good for 20-ish homers, .270-ish, 80-ish runs, 70-ish RBIs, i.e., Carpenter is very workman-like.  2017 Projections:  84/20/72/.274/2 in 502 ABs

21. Mike Napoli – This tier could also be called, “My team is struggling, I wanna upgrade 1st base.”  This possible tier name goes back to what I was saying about Carter.  You’re in June, and your young middle infielder is struggling but you’re willing to give him more rope, because he has upside.  Your struggling ace will get better, you convince yourself.  Your catcher, well, it’s your catcher.  But if you look at Napoli, or any of the guys in this tier, you’ll want to upgrade them.  UPDATE:  Napoli signed with the Rangers.  The last time he went to the Rangers he was coming from an Angels team that undervalued him.  What does this mean for Napoli?  Not a whole lot, but can the Rangers trade for C.J. Cron?  Asking for C.J. Cron (who else would I be asking for?).  This move doesn’t change Napoli’s value much, he’s the kind of player that is who he is no matter where he’s playing.  2017 Projections: 68/25/83/.232/3 in 462 ABs

22. Adrian Gonzalez – When A-Gon finally retires, and it may not be for another six years (he’s only 34!), he’s gonna need a serious hobby.  My moms semi-retired and threw herself into dog shows.  Now everything is about her Westie.  Last year, I even went to Westminster Dog Show to see my dogbro.  That’s right, my moms is now Jane Lynch from Best in Show.  A-Gon might need a Great Dane or something, because he’s going to go stir crazy in retirement after playing 155+ games every season for the past eleven years.  If he wanted, he prolly could’ve challenged Ripken (not at floor wrasslin’), and, like Ripken, there’s been some serious lag on A-Gon’s stats in his thirties.  2017 Projections: 75/20/91/.272 in 570 ABs

23. Brandon Belt – Feels like a poor man’s Carpenter.  So, instead of Belt, call him One Of Those Home Depot Aprons.  2017 Projections:  72/18/77/.271/3 in 521 ABs

24. Matt Holliday – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Holliday) signed with the Yankees. In the past month, I’ve compared the Yankees to your dad right after the divorce from mom. They were done with A-Rod and Te(i)x and ready to date some players twenty years their junior. Then, on dad’s way to the coffee shop to meet you, he hears Cat’s in the Cradle, and by the time you get there, he’s found all these women his own age who he’s swiped right on, and is talking about making a real connection.  Holliday is the right-swipe after Cat’s in the Cradle.”  And that’s me copying and pasting me!  2017 Projections: 64/22/74/.261/2 in 422 ABs

25. Jedd Gyorko – Last year Gyorko hit 30 HRs in only 400 ABs having a platoon year like you’d expect from someone who just moved to the Rockies, but Gyorko called the 22nd worst hitters’ park home.  So, Jedd’s ranking comes down to whether you think he will repeat or not.  This ranking is not optimistic.  Like a well traveled road or Edward James Olmos’ face, I predict rough patches.  2017 Projections: 59/25/68/.239/2 in 447 ABs

26. Lucas Duda – There’s more upside and downside with Duda than with the other guys in this tier.  Duda likely belongs in another tier and he’s a buttress with the next tier.  Duda also sounds like what you might get on a buttress, which, besides its primary definition, is also a sheet of fabric that hangs on your butt that acts as a dress.  Duda could be a platoon guy, he could be a break out guy, he could hit 30+ homers or he could hit under ten homers and not even play.  Lots of possibilities here, and, if Duda falls very late, I could see drafting him.  I’m not excited about Duda as a corner infidel, but as a utility guy, it’s a little more digestible.  More than likely, I won’t be owning Duda.  Upside doesn’t seem to cover downside, which sounds like the drawback of a buttress.  2017 Projections:  68/29/82/.246 in 494 ABs

27. C.J. Cron – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Bell.  I call this tier, “Upside isn’t just a city in Italy, or pronounced You-pea-said-eee.”  I like this tier of guys, I do, so don’t take it the wrong way when I say, you may find yourself grabbing their upside in March, and then wanting a guy that is actually playing well in April.  As for Cron, there will be at least five stretches this season when I tell you to pick him up.  If those five stretches are within close proximity of each other, you may own Cron for an entire half a season.  2017 Projections:  62/25/72/.270/2 in 497 ABs

28. Justin Bour – He reminds me a bit of Ryan Zimmerman, and now I’d like to formally apologize to Bour. 2017 Projections:  54/17/64/.267 in 417 ABs

29. Travis Shaw – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Shaw) went to the Brewers.  Brewers have serious problems locking down a 3rd baseman, huh?  I’m not counting Villar, who was always more of a middle infielder. Casey McGehee and Aramis manned the hot corner dating back about six years; an era that butted its ass into Bill “Mother’s Day Ain’t Just For Mothers” Hall.  The Brewers even recently considered another Red Sox cast-off, Will Middlebrooks.  Better results to come with Shaw?  Pshaw, as a scoffer might say.  Miller Park is a good stadium, but it’s not like Fenway is miserable, and Shaw hit .242 with 16 homers in 145 games last year.”  And that’s me–Meh, you know.   2017 Projections:  51/18/64/.247/3 in 435 ABs

30. Eric Thames – This offseason I said, “Within hours of the Brewers releasing Chris Carter, the NL home run king, they signed Thames, the Korean home run champ.  In alcoholic terms, Miller Lite to Soju & Hite.  To say this is puzzling is an understatement.  Thames was signed for $15 million over three years and they could’ve had Carter for $8 million.  Was Carter great?  Well, compared to Thames, I’d say, yeah, he was great.  As we’ve seen over the last few years, Korean power numbers translate about as well as kimchi to an Iowan with a bleeding ulcer.  “My doctor says I need to lay off the bibimbap I’m getting the bibimpoops.”  That’s the Iowan now.  Jung Ho Kang hit 40 HRs in KBO, 15 here; Byung-Ho Park went from 53 HRs to 12 HRs and Hyun Soo Kim went 28 HRs to six.  So, the bridge from 40 homers in Korea maybe too far for Thames to cross.”  And that’s me being more negative on Thames than anyone else I’ve seen!  2017 Projections:  58/17/64/.225/5 in 435 ABs

31. Danny Valencia – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Valencia was) traded to the Mariners.  After his fight with Billy Butler, Valencia was no longer welcome in Oakland, but he was welcome in the WWE, UFC and any buffet where Butler is at to get him the hell out of there.  If Valencia is used in the LLAMAS context, he has no value — no Value’ncia?”  And that’s me– You know!  2017 Projections:  51/15/59/.281/2 in 454 ABs

32. Josh Bell – Already gave you my Josh Bell fantasy.  I wrote it while trying to love Illmatic as much as the critics.  2017 Projections:  54/15/52/.281/3 in 407 ABs

33. Ryan Zimmerman – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Plouffe.  I call this tier, “Who else is on waivers?”  This tier derives its name from what my question will be to you when you ask me if you should pick up one of these guys.  For example, “Grey, I love your feathered hair so much I’ve combed my Siamese cat to look like you.  Also, should I pick up Ryan Zimmerman?”  “Who else is on waivers?”  2017 Projections:  54/17/59/.231/3 in 444 ABs

34. Chris Carter – He needs to hit 40+ homers to be worth owning even with his .220 average.  He can do that, as last year shows, but imagine you’re three months into the season, Carter has a .220 average and 15 homers, are you really waiting for him to hit the other 25 homers or are you dropping him before he completely tanks your team?  Tanks, pal!  Update:  Carter signed with the Yankees to platoon with Greg Bird.  Carter will likely have McGwire-like HR/AB numbers but with only maybe 350 ABs headed his way, he takes a hit on value.  Too bad Carter didn’t sign in Korea, he could’ve hit 80 homers in a season over there then returned with much hype and a well-manicured beard a’la Thames.  2017 Projections: 46/24/66/.232/2 in 330 ABs

35. Joe Mauer – To think, only a few years ago Rotoworld ranked Mauer in the top ten overall for fantasy.  Speaking of which, where’s Jonathan Lucroy ranked this year?  Oy.  2017 Projections:  65/10/59/.272/2 in 489 ABs

36. Howie Kendrick – Here’s what I said this offseason, “(Kendrick was) traded to the Phillies.  Who’d the Dodgers let him out for?  Ruf!  Ruf!  Ruf!  BLAAAAW, Howie like me now?!  The ripper will not allow!  Sorry, I just mashed up terrible with wonderful — terrerful?  I don’t mind this move for Kendrick for an NL-Only league.  As long as he stays on the field, he will get at-bats.  For mixed leagues, he’s pretty meh.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2017 Projections:  71/10/55/.262/10 in 475 ABs

37. Justin Smoak – Yes, he has power.  He’s also 30 years old and his high in homers and RBIs is 20 and 50, so there’s Smoak, but little fire.  2017 Projections: 42/19/44/.220 in 403 ABs

38. Dan Vogelbach – Already gave you my Dan Vogelbach fantasy.  It was written on Spirit Airlines, a commercial airline that is trying to reach a millennial audience by also giving zero f*cks.  UPDATE:  Vogelbach was optioned to the minors.  The Jelly Donut of Swat will be back at some point, referring to the majors and an AYCE buffet.  2017 Projections:  32/16/41/.251/1 in 340 ABs

39. Brandon Moss – Is currently a free agent.  Moss hopes to catch onto a team or rolling stones.  UPDATE:  Moss signed with the Royals.  He will DH and platoon with Cheslor Cuthbert and Paulo Orlando, a platoon everyone will call, “Cheslo Morlandoss.”  Well, anyone that matters at least!  I could think of better places for Moss.  Say, the north side of a tree.  I can also think of worse places for him *cough* Padres *cough*  2017 Projections:  57/24/64/.235/2 in 426 ABs

40. Trevor Plouffe – Signed with the A’s this offseason, which is appropriate since Plouffe is French for the sound poop makes when it hits the toilet water.  Now the A’s can showcase its Plouffe.  2017 Projections: 55/18/62/.245/1 in 487 ABs

41. Wilmer Flores – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until the end of the list.  I call this tier, “Platoon and Two and a Half Men (vying for same lineup spot), you have to be Charlie Sheen-crazy to draft these guys as a starter.”  The tier name is pretty straight forward.  As for Flores, I contend that the Mets would be better with Flores over Wright and I also contend you can’t contend with Flores as long as the Mets insist on playing Wright.  I’m also the contending champion of using the word contend!  2017 Projections:  46/18/56/.255/1 in 353 ABs

42. Mark Reynolds – With Ian Desmond’s broken hand, Mini Donkey will get the at-bats at first base for the first part of the year.  Still early to say how long Desmond will be out, but if tears are hand bones, I have plenty to get Desmond back on the field.  2017 Projections:  32/16/47/.247/4 in 354 ABs

43. Ryan Rua – Someone is going to DH on the Rangers.  I don’t see Gallo having 1st base eligibility, so I didn’t rank him, but if he were ranked for 1st base, Gallo would be above Rua.   Also, says a bit about Rua that I’m talking more about Gallo in his blurb.  2017 Projections:  50/14/61/.241/9 in 390 ABs

44. David Freese – Gentlemen’s Bet:  if Mike Scioscia managed every major league team with all players currently rostered still remaining on a team, Freese would be starting somewhere and be one of the worst everyday players in the league.  2017 Projections:  46/15/54/.255 in 424 ABs

45. A.J. Reed – I already gave you my A.J. Reed fantasy.  It was written, then covered with a Top Chef-inspired foam.  2017 Projections:  47/15/54/.235 in 384 ABs

46. Gerardo Parra – I picture myself wanting to rank Parra for outfielders, and he has 1st base eligibility, so I’m covering my ass.  Hey, I need a buttress!  Call back!  2017 Projections:  52/11/44/.267/8 in 375 ABs

47. Derek Dietrich – I’m all about Dietrich (in deep leagues if I’m able to platoon him for the three days a week he actually plays; this parenthetical kinda kills the ‘I’m all about Dietrich’ huh?).  2017 Projections: 47/13/52/.272/2 in 370 ABs

48. Jurickson Profar – I’ll keep this brief:  Hanes.  Brief but on topic:  I don’t think Profar plays anywhere close to every day.  2017 Projections:  51/7/48/.251/8 in 370 ABs

49. Tyler Austin – I’m a fan of Austin.  Keep it weird!  As for Tyler Austin, he’s all right, but I need him to lose time for Bird to stay the word at 1st in New York.  UPDATE:  Austin fractured his foot and will miss six weeks.  His foot fracture happened when he tried to see if his foot was divisible by two.   2017 Projections: 21/8/34/.225/5 in 245 ABs

49. Byung Ho Park – Fun fact!  Byung Ho Park is the Washington Square Park of Korea.  UPDATE:  Twins and Park split ways.  Twins didn’t like his conditioning, and Park didn’t like that Twins wasn’t really short for Twinkies.  Update II:  Twins re-signed him to a minor league deal and he’s hitting well in the spring.  If he makes the team, it’ll prove once again never to trust spring stats.  2017 Projections:  44/15/51/.221/1 in 307 ABs

50. Yonder Alonso – ‘Somewhere over Yonder’ is an English lit term for every 1st baseman in fantasy except Yonder Alonso.  2017 Projections: 55/7/57/.278/3 in 460 ABs

 
  1. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    ah i love baseball sesaon and razzball

  2. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!!

    Great write-up. Masterful, just like a Masterson immaculate inning against the Red Sox.

    a. I will be the umpteenth person to say this. This is more than the top 10 for 1B, what gives? Have I died and gone to heaven!!!

    b. True story from the DR, part 1. I saw a guy (like your pockmarked cabby) that I was sure was from Nicaragua. [Funny aside, my wife (and my family as an extension) hate it when I try to make small talk with random people I’ve never met.] So, I ask him in Spanish. ‘Hey, man! De donde eres? Nicaragua?’ He says…’Nicaragua, por supuesto!’ We hit it off like we were two peas in a pod, sharing Erasmo Ramirez and Dennis Martinez stories!!

    c. This is a great list but it does prove a very important point. If you’re not drafting one of the first two 1B in this list, you had better be drafting one of the top 2 either 2B or 3B because if you have to drop down for the E5 list their will be fantasy repercussions.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante GALIC: Thanks! A. Haha B. Was it Joe Maddon? C. Yeah, you gotta draft something top

      • Ante GALIC says:
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        @Grey: Grey!!

        a. Haha on Joe Maddon!!! He must have Nicaraguan ancestry!!

        b. My draft strategy will be #1, show up for the draft from the beginning of the draft!

        c. Flying to Farchana, USA tomorrow. My boss flies OUT of Farchana, USA tomorrow. We briefly meet on the tarmac before he embarks and Frank Voila – I’m acting again!!

        d. I still have to find a way to get Tracy Morgan on the podcast. Thinking about it.

        e. A US government colleague (from DC) is visiting on Monday! I get to chaperone him on Monday and Tuesday! Really looking forward to it!

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          A. I would not put it past him C. It’s kinda like the Obama/Trump transition D. Please do! E. Ben Carson?

          • Ante GALIC says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Grey!

            It’s a real person from the US Bureau for Population, Refugees and Migration (US BPRM) who works in the US BPRM office in DC! He has a name and surname but I will protect his identity.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              So it is Ben Carson!

              • Ante GALIC says:
                (link)

                @Grey: Grey!!

                Dah! I guess I kind of let the cat out of the bag by saying ‘his’ identity!!! I am so daft, the anti-agent 007 – aka agent 700.

                Cheers,
                Ante

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Haha

  3. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Great writeup! Case and point on not drafting catchers early: CJ Cron and Dan Vogelbach could produce Gary Sanchez’s stats.

    Around what tier would you be targeting CIs here? Pujols-ish?

    Thanks!

  4. PB&J says:
    (link)

    Grey! Correct me if I’m wrong but it looks like the 2017 Guide to not Screwing Up 1B on Draft Day goes like 1) Grab a top 4 fella, 2) Grab a CI from the Glitter Part 2 or B Side tier, 3) There is no 3.

    • Curtis says:
      (link)

      @PB&J: I was going to ask a similar question, so I’ll leave it here: tough to tell whether you like the Myers tier from the above, but I’m thinking yes?

      I like to highlight the tiers based on whether you like them or not (green for like, nothing for meh, red for dislike) – it’s a beautiful thing.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @PB&J: Yeah, pretty much PB&J

      • PB&J says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I do the exact same thing with the colors on my spreadsheet, Curtis.

        You rock, Grey.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha

  5. Michael says:
    (link)

    Does anyone know if kris bryant will have 1b eligibility in yahoo? If i remember correctly he ended last season with it.

    • Fungazi says:
      (link)

      @Michael: Looks like he will be 1B, 3B, OF

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Michael: I used a ten game played cut off, he started 6 there, played 9

  6. Cram It says:
    (link)

    Although 1B is light up top, I don’t feel the need to scramble to get a “good one”. I’d be perfectly content having any one of the top 15 (minus Posey and Miller) as my starting 1B.

    • Damon says:
      (link)

      @Cram It:

      I think vets like Carlos Santana are likely to be good value in the mid rounds come draft day as everyone goes for the shiny new toys.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Cram It: You’re gonna be holding Kendrys in May hoping he gets 1B eligibility

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Or holding Cron again, waiting for him to break out.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          My 2015 fantasy team is laughing tears of sadness now

  7. Curious George Springer says:
    (link)

    I’m curious. What do you think about Chris Davis in an OBP and SLG league where average isn’t a category? I know it helps him, but how much?

    • Curious George Springer says:
      (link)

      @Curious George Springer: I guess phrased differently, in a keep forever league with OBP and SLG instead of AVG, who would you keep (pick 1) among Santana, Chris Davis, and Segura. I see Santana is much higher, and I hadn’t really considered keeping him until I saw this. He’s also helped by this format.

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        @Curious George Springer: Definitely Santana over Davis in OBP format. Probably over Segura too, as I don’t think he replicates last season.

        • Curious George Springer says:
          (link)

          @Grey: Gah. I just can’t do it. It’s a ten team league and I need to go for the upside. Davis at his best is so far beyond Santana, yes? You’ll tell me not to, but I’m also keeping Matt Harvey!

          Okay, now it’s off to the museum with my friend!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            HA… Be careful of scaffolding!

  8. RePete says:
    (link)

    Interesting take on Thames. The hype and projections for him have been all over the place since he signed. At least one thing he has going for him compared to Kang, Kim, and Park is he’s played here before. He’ll most likely fail to reach expectations but imagine the open doors for other MLB players that went overseas if he has a big year.

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
      (link)

      @RePete: Agreed. I don’t think he’ll meet the wild 30/15 .270 projections he’s getting (though MIL will definitely let him try to swipe bags) . . . but to me he’s absolutely worth a $1 or reserve grab in any league just to watch him in the first month in case he turns into Todd Frazier with AVG (that reference was for you, Grey!).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @RePete: Yeah, but he wasn’t very good here and why he went to Korea… Pedro Alvarez should go to Korea immediately and come back in 2 years

  9. captainpyper says:
    (link)

    I’m still kind of bummed that Stanton didn’t make the top 20…speaking of bums, seems like the cure for making yoga pants modest in public (ya know, the mall, school…church….) is wearing a buttress.

    What do you call it when your 15 year old ditches her sweater behind the bushes? Flying Buttress!

    What about a stiff breeze on the behind of two soccer moms? Flying Buttress!

    When Duda breaks out and hits 30 HRs exceeding all expectations? Flying Buttress!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @captainpyper: Ha! Flying buttress has a bunch of definitions, huh?

  10. Tweak says:
    (link)

    With so few top-notch options at 1B, I’m almost considering punting there unless I get a top-half pick. Honestly, the way things seem to be shaking out, it is looking like a #11 or 12 pick in a 12-teamer is going to be a hot spot to have. No need to reach for Hanley in the 2nd round if Santana could well be there in the 4th. With OF looking so whacky, I’m thinking of stocking up on reliable OF early and maybe try some combo of Pujols/Reed/Bell/Miller at 1B in later rounds.

    I’ll be very interested to see what sort of draft strategies start trickling out this year. Seems like a year for changing some things up. Besides, I’m terrible at this whole thing anyway.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Tweak: Haha, you don’t sound terrible

      • Tweak says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Ehh my dead last finish in my particular RCL last year begs to differ. Things are only looking up from there.

        Maybe I’m just a year ahead of the curve. Yeah, that’s it! The team had Trea Turner, Mazara, Goldy, JDong, Lamb, Stroman, Hamels, Taillon.

        Her’es hoping for 10th place!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Must’ve been a tough league, that’s not a bad group of guys… You need to stream pitchers better

  11. Test Kitchen says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    Myers is better than Cesp, right?

    Thanks

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      @Test Kitchen: No way. And I’m saying that as a biased Mets fan.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Test Kitchen: They’re close, wouldn’t say better as different

      • Test Kitchen says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Currently I am keeping:

        Odor
        Manny
        Donaldson
        Correa
        Springer
        Cespedes
        Sale
        Synder

        Think swapping Cesp for Wil Myers helps me at all or kind of a wash? OBP/SLG league

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I’d keep Yoenis

          • Test Kitchen says:
            (link)

            @Grey: much appreciated!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem

  12. Coors Canaveral says:
    (link)

    Quick question not pertaining to 1B’s. I have just enough cap space to keep one of these three: Buxton, Tulo or T Anderson. Already have Story, so SS not a necessity. Whatcha think?

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
        (link)

        @Grey:
        Nice, my first ‘agree with MP’ of 2017!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha

  13. Is there a reason Desmond isn’t here? Are you thinking that the Rox will bring in Trumbo for 1B? And, if so, where’s Trumbo?

    Curiouser and curiouser.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Grey Tube Sox: I use eligibility for what a player has, not for what they will get

  14. Damon says:
    (link)

    Where are the Nationals going to use Murphy primarily? 2B with Turner at SS and Zimmerman at 1B? Just thinking about 2018 eligibility.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Damon: Turner is SS, Murphy is 2B, Zimm is 1B

  15. Michael Utzig says:
    (link)

    Would you keep Pujols or Alex Reyes as your final keeper?

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
      (link)

      @Michael Utzig:
      yearly league or keeper or 4 ever keeper?

      If just for this year I go Albert.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Michael Utzig: Depends on other factors, apples and oranges, prolly Pujols

  16. Copperhead Road says:
    (link)

    I have a morality question. My wife is usually my moral compass (as is true of most married men) but she is of no use when it comes to fantasy baseball (again, the case with most married men).
    In evaluating my keepers (with Grey’s much appreciated help, obviousy) for this coming year I believe if I take what I have now and put the vast majority of available resources ($ at the draft) into my hitting I can manipulate the pitching enough to win my league. The plan would be to use 3 closers (the max in the league) and only use SPs who are only in the minors (no specific rule prohibits it). This way I’d win saves, WHIP and ERA, and punt innings, K’s and Wins-1 point only for each.
    Moral question: Is that a legit way to win or is it against the spirit of what makes fantasy BB great?
    Would love to hear opinions.

    PS- I know I would be a significant douce if I try it and it works. Is it worth it too win?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Copperhead Road: If there’s no rule against you using only closers, I see no problem with it… If your leaguemates didn’t want you to do it, there would be a 25 IP minimum

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      @Copperhead Road: It’s not a moral issue, it’s a strategy issue. Nothing wrong with this!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        It’s actually your moral obligation to win the league, no matter how within the rules, which this is

        • Cram It says:
          (link)

          @Grey: It sure is. The only category I punt is catcher!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Agreed, punting SPs lasts until about April 7th and you’re like, “Damn, if I would’ve drafted an SP, I could actually beat this team in Ks. What was I thinking?”

            • Cram It says:
              (link)

              @Grey: With my other Razzball team last year, I tried actually drafting pitching for once and it didn’t work, so I’m probably never doing it again. I like digging deep for keen SP picks on draft day. It’s half the fun.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Agreed, I do get chicken every year though… I think I can punt SPs until after the top 100, but always take a guy like Archer who I regret immediately

                • Cram It says:
                  (link)

                  @Grey: I identify a guy or two in the 2nd tier I like to take that next step and be MY ace. I let the draft dictate when I should take him. Archer is a perfect example..unfortunately, that was 2015 Archer, not 2016.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Yeah, same same… I had Archer both years, shouldn’t have went back for him this past one…

                    • Cram It says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: Yeah, that’s kind of what your rankings are all about at the heart of it.

                      You can’t double dip. Hit it and quit it.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Totes

              • Big Odio says:
                (link)

                @Cram It: just because something doesnt work doesnt mean it wont work. I can see almost any strategy working if you make wise/lucky draft picks and hit on the waivers.

                • Cram It says:
                  (link)

                  @Big Odio: Sure, luck plays a significant part. I mean that guy last season who drafted all pitching and a couple of speedsters did really well. I’m used to a proven approach, I’m not trying a contrarian method when there’s money on the line. In a rec league, sure, anything goes.

            • Copperhead Road says:
              (link)

              @Grey: In this league top starters go for $30 or more and to be competitve you need 2 of the top names. Your sleepers are usually kept so it’s hard to find good value at the draft.
              But thanks to all for weighing in. Gives me some things to think about.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                No problem

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
      (link)

      @Copperhead Road: This doesn’t seem any different to me than someone who punts saves and goes for Wins (putting RP-elig starters in their RP spots) or who sort of punts ERA/WHIP by streaming. Plus, punting 3 categories is a lot and definitely risky . . . lets say you win all 3 RP categories and place last in the others . . . that’s still only getting 50% of the available pitching points.

      That said, can you really guarantee a win in Saves if other players will also presumably be fielding the max 3 closers? Can you play solid SP-eligible relievers who will get saves occasionally instead of just minor league pitchers (David Phelps-types)?

      • Copperhead Road says:
        (link)

        @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Thanks for weighing in. I know it’s risky and I would have to win all hitting (hard to do). We aren’t allowed to use SP eligibles who are relieving. Can only use pitchers in their current role- in fact I have Iglasias whom I could keep who would fit in nicely there if I could do it. I have to play 4 starters, 2 relievers and one other that can be either SP or RP. Very rarely in the league do owners play 3 closers because it results in so few IP, K, W points. It usually only happens the last few weeks if there are possibe points to get.
        We had a guy manipulate the rules one year where toward the end he “played” SP that were on the DL so he could preserve categories like WHIP and ERA.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I do agree that punting is strategy I don’t use in drafts… If it’s H2H, and you’re punting ERA from Thursday thru Sunday due to a pitcher getting hit on Wednesday, then that’s fine… If you’re punting in March with September in mind, it’s not going to work unless very lucky

    • Damon says:
      (link)

      @Copperhead Road:

      I don’t think it is morally wrong, but I do think it is bad strategy. It’s one thing to punt one category like saves or steals (I personally don’t even like to do that), but 3 categories is too many to punt. You’d basically have to win every single other category. Plus I don’t like hanging my hat on closers- there is so much volitility at that position.

  17. Strolg says:
    (link)

    My guess is Bour will not accept said apology, some things just can’t be taken back!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I am hurtful, at times

  18. Curtis says:
    (link)

    I’m old enough to remember when you loved Brandon Belt. Such a fleeting thing, love.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Such a fleeting thing, Belt

  19. Warren says:
    (link)

    Grey, this shizz is my crack. Already itching for those 2B rankings….thanks Holmes, this is the real Space Program for fantasy baseball

    Otherwise, I’m just happy I have Rizzo as a keeper, and I like Carlos with Edwin and Brantley adding more thump to Cleveland

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, thanks!

  20. boomer19 says:
    (link)

    Morning Grey. Thanks for the write-ups. I think I’m most interested in your Starting pitcher ranks this year. Lots of potential aces waiting to break out. For a 14 team 5×5 roto league I have the following trade to consider. Corey Seager & Carrasco for Story and Starling Marte. Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Story/Marte

  21. ERad says:
    (link)

    After a couple months I’m still spinning Tribe’s “We Got it From Here…”

    And the ultimate B side track for today – The Donald.

    You still diggin it after the initial release?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I ended up liking it more than I did originally… I can even overlook Jairobi on most days

  22. ChiCitySox23 says:
    (link)

    I can stash Tim Anderson on my minor league roster till opening day (free keeper essentially) and can be kept for 4 years after that. In doing so I would need to drop AJ Reed who could also be kept for 4 years. Who ya got long term? Ill hang up and listen.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d go Anderson

  23. Matt says:
    (link)

    Hey grey, I was wondering what you think about Stephen piscotty, I noticed he was not in the 1B rankings.

    Just inquiring because I am in a 12 team 20 man keeper league and I have him as my starting first baseman.

    What do you think of my roster, these are my 20 keepers. Where should I look to improve in the draft??

    C Jt realmuto
    1B. Stephen piscotty
    2b. Jose altuve
    3b. Kyle Seager
    SS. Xander Bogaerts
    Of. Giancarlo Stanton
    Of. Ryan Braun
    Of. Jackie Bradley jr
    Utility. Jay Bruce
    Bench. Bradley zimmer
    Bench. Gleyber Torres

    Sp. Stephen strasburg
    Sp. Sonny gray
    Sp. Blake snell
    Sp. Jameson taillon
    Sp. Collin mchugh
    Sp. Adam Conley
    Sp. Trevor Bauer
    Rp. Raisel Iglesias
    Rp. Kelvin Herrera

    On the outside of my top 20 I could choose to keep 1B aj reed, 2b Jose peraza, SP Daniel Norris,

    Looking forward to what you think!
    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He only played one game at 1st last year, he’s not a 1st base according to my rankings… I will go over Piscotty in the OF rankings…. Your pitching looks wonky for a 12 team league… Your hitting looks solid though

      • Matt says:
        (link)

        Damn I got wonkeyd, alright to the trade block we go! Lol

        Thanks

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha, no problem

  24. CMUTimmah says:
    (link)

    Tommy Joseph is the value pick for 1Bs of this years draft: True or False?

    He’ll give you Pujols-ian numbers on the days he plays. A platoon is the fear… I think that’s why you have low counting stats… but if you draft a multi-eligibility guy like Myers (Should be 1B/OF in Yahoo) and Joseph gets 80+% of the starts at 1B… you just ended up with a 7-8th rounder very very late in the draft, no?

    I’m thinking Joseph is an 70-30-85 guy and hovers around .260. That’s in the 1B 8-9 range for a guy that you could plug in at UTIL, CI, or capitalize on a multi-eligible 1B…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I have him down for 64/30/79/.253/1 in 488 ABs — think we’re saying the same thing

      • CMUTimmah says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Ahhh… nm… I must have gotten scrolly tunnel vision or something and was looking at Greg Bird’s projection. I was thinking you had his counters in the 50s/60s.

        So, yeah, comment stands tall.. this is my sleeper of the year award winner (assuming his ADP doesn’t skyrocket by March)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I doubt it will skyrocket

  25. Joe says:
    (link)

    Kendrys qualifies at 1B in my league. Where would you put him on your list?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Just in front of Miller

  26. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
    (link)

    Wil Myers is my boy right now. My big question with him is not “Is he this good”, it’s “Can he stay healthy?”

    He made huge improvements as a hitter last year, hitting more line drives (15: 16.9% to 16:21.4%), going to the opposite field more (15: 18.2% to 16: 23.9%), and his swinging strike rate went down by nearly 2%. He stopped swinging at as many pitches in and out of the zone but made contact with more of the pitches he did swing at in an out of the zone. His HR/FB was a little high at 18.7%, but so what maybe it stabilizes and he hits 25. With the batted ball improvements he could also hit for a better average in 2017, which would help to maintain his value even if the homers and steals go down.

    He was also asked to run more and was very efficient only getting caught 6 times in 34 attempts. Will he steal 28 again? Probably not, but it’s not like he’s got Murderer’s Row behind him to drive him in. The Padres like to run, and due to the weak nature of the lineup need more of their baserunners o take second base in order to score more runs.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Think we’re on the same page… How you liking Tommy Joseph?

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Yes we’re totally on the same page with Myers this year. I’ve just been getting super into batted ball profiles cause I’m nerdy AF.

        Joseph will hit for power, and he’ll swing and miss a lot, but I don’t see any reason he can’t hit 30. He plays his home games in a top 5 park for righty power with most of his homers going to his pull side. He only hit 1 of his 27 homers between MLB/AAA to right field.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          30 homers is gonna be so surprising from him that next year he’s not going to be ranked much higher either

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
            (link)

            @Grey: So you expect him to hit 30, but for nobody to trust it in 2018 Pre-season?

        • The Great Knoche says:
          (link)

          @Ralph Lifshitz: For Myers, I Actually think the rest of his counting stats will be better this year as well. Margot in front of him and Healthy Solarte and Renfroe (Who I really like) behind him, should provide more than scoring a few times when Matt Kemp decided to hit.

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
            (link)

            @The Great Knoche: Yeah I 100% agree the lineup will improve.

            • Copperhead Road says:
              (link)

              @Ralph Lifshitz: The Myers love reminds me of Tehol and D. Brown.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Assuming Ralph is not wearing pants, I understand the comparison

                  • Ralph Lifshitz

                    Ralph Lifshitz says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: Here I am doing research and I end up being comped to Tehol and his Dom Brown. I’m feeling like Rodney.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, I tried to make light rather than just let you get comp’d… Sorry, man, it wasn’t me!

                  • Ralph Lifshitz

                    Ralph Lifshitz says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: I wasn’t serious.

              • Ralph Lifshitz

                Ralph Lifshitz says:
                (link)

                @Copperhead Road: I love Tehol, but did he ever look at Dom Brown’s batted ball profile? I think he just liked that he was a black dude that hit homers.

                • Copperhead Road says:
                  (link)

                  @Ralph Lifshitz: It’s all good. Tehol made a general “body of work” analysis on Brown. Which meant he wanted to work on his body. I’m on board with Myers- I have him as a cheap keeper. But then again I got swayed by Tehol’s love of Brown and still haven’t recovered.

  27. SwaggerJackers says:
    (link)

    A guy that hit 24 homers last season being the #1 ranked 1B for 2017 really sets the tone of a concerning 1B crop.

    This feels like a position full of frustration this season when guys we draft underperform while our leaguemates get surprisingly solid stats out of guys we pass on.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Saying Goldy only hit 24 homers leaves out a lot of what else he did

      • SwaggerJackers says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Of course, but it feels different that a position traditionally known for power has a guy at the top with 24 bombs. It’s nothing against you or Goldy (everyone has him ranked as the #1 1B) but looking at the position as a whole has a weird feel to it, as you acknowledged in the intro.

        As an owner of Goldy last year in a H2H league, I would have gladly accepted another 10 bombs in favor of 10 less steals.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          In a H2H league maybe you needed a steal here or there instead of a home run…

          • SwaggerJackers says:
            (link)

            @Grey: It certainly doesn’t hurt!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Nope!

          • SwaggerJackers says:
            (link)

            @Grey: But with Stanton hurt, Story hurt, and Abreu slumping in the power department, I could have used that thump.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah, you individually last year, but that’s not to say everyone who owned him needed it, or you might not need it this year

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      @SwaggerJackers: The second part of your second statement is what wins/loses fantasy seasons. Some players will underperform, some will overperform. It’s the nature of the game. Reliabilite expectation is the most you can ask for and Goldy is as reliable as they come.

      • SwaggerJackers says:
        (link)

        @Cram It: Sort of. The AVG, R, RBI numbers are reliable but I thought for sure I’d get 30 bombs from him last season. Setting a career high in steals was a bonus but was also was a surprise.

    • Big Odio says:
      (link)

      @SwaggerJackers: this is why you adapt and make adjustments in the season. If you are a set it and forget it player then you will lose, unless you play weak competition, which then I guess you could be a do nothing. If you whiff on draft day you find another player or make a trade or shift strategy. FBB is a fluid thing, its not rigid.

      • SwaggerJackers says:
        (link)

        @Big Odio: No kidding. I picked up Napoli last season and ended up playing him over my seemingly surefire Abreu keeper.

  28. Ron "Rondell" Dell says:
    (link)

    1st Baseman who have ever had 30/30 seasons??

    Jeff Bagwell, twice. ’97 and ’99

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ah…Nice! Thanks! I still think he was on roids and it’s ridiculous Bonds isn’t in the HOF

      • Big Odio says:
        (link)

        @Grey: they need a “hall of fame with shame” for all these clowns. Bagwell is in but Steve Garvey isn’t?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Garvey wasn’t better than Bagwell

          • The Great Knoche says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Garvey .294/272/1308. Not quite Cooperstown

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Nah, JFOH is a LA homer

              • Big Odio says:
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                @Grey: I disregard 99% of what the “great” says

                • The Great Knoche says:
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                  @Big Odio: Sometimes you just have to be right 1% of the time.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I think 99% disagree with you

                  • Big Odio says:
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                    @Grey: thats the 99% that follow you blindly, and thats a good thing. If they would of listened to me they would of won their league, unlike you

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha

          • Big Odio says:
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            @Grey: I’m from the belief that players need to considered by era not total numbers. I also believe jack Morris, dale murphy, and Edgar Martinez needs to be in too as well as mussina. Moose pitched in a tough era in the toughest division. In the 70’s and 80’s a lot of the parks were huge compared to the little league parks they started building in the 90’s. All in all its kinda a joke at this point and I’m glad I don’t have a son to explain this too. Numbers as well as impact need to be viewed relative to when they played.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              You’re talking apples and oranges with Mussina and Garvey

              • Big Odio says:
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                @Grey: wow, that was your takeaway.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Your argument for Garvey consisted of you name dropping other 80s players… My takeaway is you have no real reason for Garvey

                  • Ralph Lifshitz

                    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                    @Big Odio: @Grey: Gary Sheffield was better than every hitter you named. Steve Garvey is your Beni, only less chain workouts.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Sheffield was a beast, Garvey was A-Gon with five extra games a year

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      @Ralph Lifshitz: hey Fisk was my man crush from the 70’s. Don’t forget that. My point was 25 and 100 was a bigger deal then than it is now. Players need to be viewed in the contect of when they played. Sheff was a beast and should be in but he was an asshole and sportswriters remind me of fantasy bloggers

  29. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Hey Grey – I know you’re not a big studs and duds drafting fan . . . BUT:

    In a league converting to keepers this year (keep 5 at minimal inflation, standard 12 team H2H) – where there are very shallow rosters (only 9 bats and 5 bench spots) – could you see grabbing 3-5 young stud bats at key positions to forever lock up the best of the best and use the #RazzballWay to find gems and values elsewhere?

    Other relevant elements . . . unlimited waiver grabs during the season (so, very easy to find pitching and fill underperformers), and in this league it’s very easy to be the “fastest finger” to new waiver closers, callups, and breakouts.

    With this format, it’s hard not to want to spend ~50% of your budget on something like Trout, Harper, Rizzo, Correa, Villar then round them out with one of many dirt cheap upside OFs, a Jake Lamb type 3B, a $1 catcher, and perfectly acceptable UTL.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      With five keepers and 12 teams, I’d try to win every year… There will be so many guys who just appear on waivers and in late draft picks for keepers… Grabbing 3-5 young stud bats though? Bryant is a young stud, I’d obviously draft him… Most of the top 20 is young barring Miggy and Donaldson….

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Grey: Yeah, agreed. Figured I’d keep a close eye on the top 20 and go where the value is.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yup

  30. Bill Lumbergh says:
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    @Grey: What are the shallowest positions this year that I should try to address early in the draft for a 30 team dynasty league. Doesn’t have MI, CI, or UTIL and only 3 OF. Scoring is 5×5 roto. Thanks!

    P.S. This is the deepest league I’ve ever played in, we’re talking Morgana’s cleavage deep! ;-)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, catchers are always the shallowest… I wouldn’t draft shallow, I’d draft good players

      • Bill Lumbergh says:
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        @Grey: Thanks. Just leery of taking an OF in either of the first 2 rounds given that only 90 will be started across the league vs 30 starting 1B. Agree that OF would be a good position to “punt” until later rounds?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Nope, not at all… OF isn’t that deep… If anything’s deep it will be MIs

          • Bill Lumbergh says:
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            @Grey: Thanks for tip. Then I’ll see if Harper falls to me in the teens…

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              No problem

  31. Noam says:
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    Hey Grey! Love these rankings.

    I am in a 16 Team Dynasty CBS, Roto 6×6 (R, HR, RBI, SB, BA, OPS – IP, SO, ERA, WHIP, Net Wins, SV+HD) — Weekly Lineup Lock —

    Where should I focus on upgrading my team?

    Team:
    C: C. Rupp
    1B: M. Cabrera
    2B: J. Schoop
    3B: J. Donaldson
    SS: J. Villar
    MI: S. Castro
    CI: T. Frazier
    OF: C. Beltran
    OF: G. Polanco
    OF: G. Springer
    OF: J. Upton
    U: B. Belt
    U: L. Duda
    Bench: J. Heyward
    Bench: T. Shaw
    Bench: D. Span
    Bench: S. Souza

    Minors: Chase Vallot (C), Ryan O’Hearn (1B), Willie Calhoun (2B), Miguel Andujar (3B), Wladimir Galindo (3B), Daz Cameron (OF), Tyler Hill (OF), Jordan Patterson (OF), Magneuris Sierra (OF), Leody Taveras (OF)
    Pitchers, I can start 9 pitchers per week (no designation between SP and RP)
    SP: C. Archer, K. Hendricks, D. Salazar, C. Carrasco, G. Cole, JA Happ, J. Hellickson, S. Lugo, T. Roark, C. Kuhl, C. Buchholz, H. Ryu, R. Nolasco
    RP: J. Familia, K. Herrera

    Minors: Domingo Acevedo, Vicente Campos, Harol Gonzalez, Chris Paddack, David Paulino, Roniel Roudes, Justus Sheffield, Max Wotell, Jason Wheeler

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Damn, your team is pretty stacked… You must’ve had some nice keepers along the way… You have five potential aces, so I can’t imagine pitching will be a problem… Oddly enough, you do have all number one SPs and no real #2-4… Happ and Hellickson are kinda meh, but all right with the rest of your SPs…. Your hitting is nearly as good, you look like you’re going to have AVG concerns

      • Noam says:
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        @Grey:

        Awesome! I had some nice trades last year. Should I try to trade a #1 pitcher for a high avg. hitter and a #2-3 pitcher?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Maybe… Like Hendricks for Votto?

      • Noam says:
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        @Noam: @Grey:

        Like Danny Salazar for Segura or Eduardo Nunez?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Nah, not this Salazar one

  32. Matt says:
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    So Joseph is like Trumbo lite? Or just like Trumbo 2011?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Hopefully better than Trumbo ’11

  33. Son

    Son says:
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    Excellent as always Grey. Lets grab lunch in K-town. All the kimchipoop, bibimpoop, and kalbipoop you can excrete.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I wanna excrete with you so bad!

  34. Doc says:
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    “Like a well traveled road or Edward James Olmos’ face, I predict rough patches.”
    HA!

    His rough face was testament to his rough life —>
    “We have to be more Mexican than the Mexicans and more American than the Americans, both at the same time! It’s exhausting!”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha

  35. Richard Davis says:
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    I have the chance to have 2 of the 3 moving forward: Moncada, Swanson, and Maitan. I’m leaning towards Moncada and Maitain, since they both have Higher upsides IMO. However, Dansby helps right now, I just don’t see him being a fantasy stud like Moncada and Maitan MIGHT. Which 2 would you choose? Thanks…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Moncada, Swanson

  36. nick the dick says:
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    It Was Written is the superior album in this critic’s eyes and ears

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agreed, Illmatic is so overrated

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      BTW, how do you not come by and give Shirley props after he last week?

      • nick the dick says:
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        @Grey: Yyyeah I know. I’ve been here, just haven’t said it. I mean they team up Shirl, Shel and Big Hait the other teams had no shot. We will look like a couple of sly foxes when our peeps face off for the coveted title!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I understand, you didn’t know the proper way to congratulate me for my girl Shirl beating your guy when the playing field couldn’t be anymore level than them both on the same team… It’s cool… I’m best Top Chef ranker ever!

          • nick the dick says:
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            @Grey: I got to stick to my negativity. I’ll never admit defeat! If Shirley wins the whole thing I might have to quit razzball altogether out of pure shame

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Please, you know it’s going to come down to Sheldon and Shirley in the finals and you’re gonna find a way to justify the winner no matter what… I know I already have in my back pocket “I wanted to choose Sheldon first, but you took him!”

              • nick the dick says:
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                @Grey: Oh i’ll Justify alright. Loke Raylan, i’m Givens zero fucks! I like your strategy tho, procrastinate on picking and then when I finally do, claim you wanted my guy too. Crafty lil backup plan. Just remember when the judges can’t stand anymore bowls of hugs and happiness and it’s Sheldon and Big Hait, I gave you the early chance to switch. Riiiide Shirleyyy riiiide

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha… speaking of zero fucks, does anyone care what Padma has to say? I’d like to give her a bowl of dicks

                  • nick the dick says:
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                    @Grey: I can’t even with Padma. Why are you so stank all the time? Why are you even part of the judging process? Padma forgot to eat a dick and shut the eff up, gargle and swallow a nut up, shut up, give out some cash (furnished by Pelligrino)

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Hahahaha… as our judge today, the best chef of Charlotte ever, and I’m going to walk around with him, eat stuff too and give my own opinion

                  • nick the dick says:
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                    @Grey: Haha it’s ridonk. Put that arm scar any closer to her face and she doesn’t have a job

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha… Did you want it to be cold? Yes, Padma, otherwise I WOULD’VE HEATED IT UP!

  37. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey,

    Would you trade Lorenzo Cain and Danny Duffy for Sonny Gray and Andrew Miller?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nope

      • Cram It says:
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        @Grey: This is going to be my favorite segment of the year. I’ll call it “Kimmel Kan’t Get Right”.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha

          • Cram It says:
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            @Grey: I didn’t realize this was yesterday’s post. Thought it was a follow up to his thread from today after you already said Gray’s garbage. That would’ve been better. But maybe this is, that he won’t read it and get his panties in a bunch.

  38. MB says:
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    If I need a 3B, is semien for solarte okay? Dynasty 5×5 15 team roto.

    Or should I aim higher at 3B?

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Higher

  39. Matt says:
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    Would you even consider a trade of Goldschmidt for Abreau, a 2nd round and a 7th round pick, if u only had a 2nd round pick in the first 7 rounds of the draft?

  40. Saints says:
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    Hay grey thanks for your rankings. I’m in a dynasty Keep all League and I’m a little bit concerned about my 1B Roster. Last Year i had Ortiz ,Pujols,Carpenter. This year it looks like Brad Miller is moving to 1B so I’m good for this year but I’m a little bit worried for the next few years i have only Profar stashed in the minors. which young 1B would you try to target in a trade who could possibly deliver in 2-3 years ?

    • Tweak says:
      (link)

      @Saints: Ralph usually does a top prospects list in the spring. That’s a great resource.

      Also, if I were you, I’d look at:

      Cody Bellinger (Dodgers)
      Rhys Hoskins (Phillies)
      Rowdy Tellez (Blue Jays)
      Jake Bauers (Rays)

      … and maybe Josh Bell with Pittsburgh, though his value should increase significantly this season as he should play all year with the big club (i.e., get him while you can). Maybe AJ Reed too, if you still believe.

  41. Jason says:
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    Lucroy started 5 games at 1b last year, he’ll be eligible there in yahoo leagues. Where would you rank him in your top 20 1B? I have the option of keeping him in the 12th round in a 12 team head to head. Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Right by Posey

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