More guys this year than any other year just fell below 130 ABs, the Rookie of the Year threshold that I use for these fantasy baseball rookie outlook post-ma-whosies.  Dansby Swanson, Josh Bell, A.J. Reed, dot dot dot, well, I guess that’s it, but still that’s a lot from what I remember, though, to be fair, it’s not like ‘how many guys just fell short of losing rookie eligibility’ is something I’d remember from past years.  Though, there might be something to a guy being on a team for 45 games and losing rookie eligibility which could be Dansby and Reed, but that’s not the criteria I use.  This is more pedantic than an employee meeting at the Apple Store to tell employees that they are now to call the store “Apple” and not “Apple Store.”  (The preceding was an actual Apple employee discussion from what I heard.  I’d tell you who told me but then that Apple employee would be killed.  They don’t play.)  So, onto Josh Bell.  Why does he sound so familiar?  His name rings a…what’s the word for one of those clangy things?  I’m having a brain… What’s it called when you poop air?  Oh, I know, he’s one of the top Pirate hitter prospects who came up this year and hit a grand slam in his 2nd career at-bat as a pinch hitter.  A pinch hitter because C*nt Hurdle kept going with John Jaso Jingleheimer Schmidt at 1st base.  Why call up Bell when they had no intention of playing him?  Will Bell play?  Let’s segue this bizzatch into the 2nd paragraph… Anyway, what can we expect from Josh Bell for 2017 fantasy baseball?

I’m happy to be the InnnnnFORMer that the white man, dreadlocked John Ja-Snow won’t be the primary 1st baseman next year.  Though, neither may be Bell — Maybe Bell also sounds like a grammy who makes a mean shoofly pie and jam cake — sorry, I’m in the middle of a Justified marathon.  Bell could play all over the field along with Ja-Snow.  Yay, more options for Hurdle.  If “jumping Hurdle’s logic and reasoning” were an Olympic event it would be impossible to train for and the winner would the fantasy owner who slammed their head against a wall the most while somehow David Freese wins a bronze.  Bell’s going to be 25 in August of 2017, so, I’m gonna say if Hurdle doesn’t play Bell this year, he’s never playing him.  Weird when four of five guys on the pitching staff are only 24 years old and Bell can’t get into the lineup.  Or is it weird?  Why exactly would I say it’s weird when it’s not?  Okay, maybe it’s not weird because Bell is making it hard for Hurdle to play him?  Why would he be making it hard to play him?  Do I have any statements or only questions?  Bell could be making it hard to play him because he doesn’t have a 1st baseman-type profile.  You know who his stats kinda look like?  This is gonna hurt to say:  John Jaso.  Last year, in 114 games in Triple-A, Bell hit 14 homers, stole 3 bags and hit .295.  Bell’s power did spike up last year after doing next to nothing previously — 7 HRs in 2015 between Double and Triple-A.  He has always been able to maintain a strong contact rate and if he can continue to grow into power, he could be Joey Votto or Todd Helton.  Those both seem like pie-in-the-sky, an-ant-can’t-lift-a-rubber-tree-plant-but-he’s-got-high-hopes-type projections.  Obviously, the realistic and floor projection is Jaso.  For 2017, I’ll give Josh Bell the projections of 54/15/52/.281/3 in 407 ABs with, sadly, more downside than upside due to his likely constant movement around the lineup and field and low ceiling on power.

  1. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!

    Great write-up, as usual. Wouldn’t expect any less.

    a. Had Bell at times this season, shows you more of how desperate I was for a 1B than anything else. One thing you forgot to mention which will also take away from his potential PT (or PPT on the west coast)……his lack of defensive skills! He will most likely play himself out of a job at 1B if he continues to amass so many blunders. So if C*nt Hurdle has to choose safe Jaso or error-prone Jaso…that’s easy. Safe Jaso. Again, my model is probably too simplistic.

    b. More SNAFU at the office. Now the American Ambassador is officially not coming to visit Farchana. The AU (African Union) Ambassador will replace her but that’s like replacing a top end Lamborghini with a low end Tata tuktuk. AU doesn’t have any money but they have political clout. Too bad political clout can’t be converted into US$.

    c. On an election 2016 note, do you know that most African Muslims would vote for Trump over Hillary just because they believe that a woman should not or could not be a president? That’s a scary thought. Am glad they can’t vote in the election.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante GALIC: A. I’m gonna point to you any time someone asks if they need a top 1B B. Haha… You know you’ve been in Africa too long when you drop: a Tata tuktuk C. Prolly quite a few Americans who aren’t voting for Hillary for the same reason

      • Ante GALIC says:
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        @Grey: Grey!

        a. Am on it, any time! Twice on Sunday. I’ll start up the 1B carousel with Gonzo in April/May. I can do better than that, but I’m still in off-season mode.

        b. On the visit, now the AU delegate has dropped out. I heard it from a friend (had to drop this in….

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QxaD8R8JqDQ……

        I heard it from a friend that the AU Ambassador was only coming to drop off their resume for a job in the US Embassy but as the American Ambassador dropped out of the visit, the AU Ambassador said ‘F it, no need to go any more.’ So NOW there will be only eight visitors – 3 from the Turkish Embassy (including the Ambassador himself) and the German Ambassador – along with colleagues from N’Djamena. Piece of cake.

        c. Hopefully Bill Clinton won’t do anything scandalous before the election to detract yet again from Hillary’s road to the White House. Bill, don’t kiss anybody! No babies, no women (NONE!!) and for sure no girls! You can survive for 48 hours.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          A. Ha, no more A-Gon, friend B. N’Djamena sounds like a word Lionel Richie would use in one of his songs’ choruses C. I’m kinda excited to see how long it takes for Bill Clinton to do something that has everyone shaking their heads

          • Ante GALIC says:
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            @Grey: Grey!

            a. A-Gone? Ah, what a shame. Everyone was buzzing about how hot he was during the NLCS. Like he would be a really great addition in (add a park that features a short porch in LF). Except by June 15, most would be like why did we sign this chump?

            b. Ditto on N’Djamena – ‘We going to, party, fiesta, carramba, N’Djamena, forever, come on and sing along.’

            c. Ditto on Bill. He is such a smart man with great vision to make the economy grow. Unfortch, he can’t keep it in his pants for very long.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Ante GALIC says:
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              @Ante GALIC: Oops! make that RF, obviously still in mid-season form.

              Cheers,
              Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              A. I only like A-Gon if he finds himself in Coors B. Yes! C. One of the smartest, and with one of the largest, most obvious blind spots

  2. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Morning GA,

    So who won the World Series. So I am watching game 7 on my laptop and where I was I only had my broadband stick to use to watch the game. Bottom of the 8th, just as Rajai Davis is coming up, I receive the dreaded message from eMobile, your data allowance has run out. So now I need to top up my stick again, only thing is I have no internet to do this and it is THREE am Irish time and of course there is no one to call at the service desk to do this for me.

    So I miss the end of what was prolly the best ending of a 7th game in my life time! Reading it online after the fact is NOT the same as seeing it live..I am still so pissed off!!!

    To add insult to injury, we missed the Irish Rugby team’s historic win over New Zealand the other night, The first time Ireland has beaten New Zealand in their history, which goes back 111 years!!!! The cool thing about the win, is it happened in CHICAGO in the same week that the Cubs won the WS!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Malicious Phenoms: Damn, that sucks… It happened in Chicago? Why was it in Chicago?

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Grey:
        YES it sucks..Anyway, I need to move on..LOL

        I have tried to find out why they played in Chicago and I can’t not find any info on why..

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha…It is odd that this YUUGE rugby match took place in a city where no one cares

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
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            @Grey:
            Exactly..Must be a world Rugby tour, cause the Irish are headed to Canada next..

            And it was YUUGE, like Yugo huge..

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha… It’s cool they’re touring, but they might want to focus on places where the game is appreciated

              • Malicious Phenoms says:
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                @Grey:
                agreed..

                Hey it took me moving to Ireland and following the Irish team, before I even realized we had a rugby team in America!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  We have a rugby team in America?!

                  • Malicious Phenoms says:
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                    @Grey:
                    HAHA, we do..

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Wow, news to me

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Are we any good?

                  • Malicious Phenoms says:
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                    @Grey:

                    Good, NO

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha

  3. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    The Chosen People has waited less time for a messiah than Pirates fans have waited for Bell. Too bad there’s no DH in the NL to save his awkward in the field azz. :)

    The walk and K rates are gorgeous, but he makes far too much weak contact (48% GB rate), and 12 of his 17 homers were just over the fence. He’s a 240 LBS Punching Judy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ralph Lifshitz: Haha… So, when I say he’s similar to Jaso, you agree, huh?

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Grey: I think he’s got more power than that but the final statlin might not be that far off.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Statlin sounds like a little kid who wears cowboy boots

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @Grey: Oh Statlin he’s so daper in his snake skins.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              One day he’s gonna be a Marine or a stripper who starts dressed as a Marine

    • Professor PoP says:
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      @Ralph Lifshitz:

      While I agree with the venerable Mr. Lifshitz that his power is something to be desired, I would hesitate to pigeonhole him as a “punching Judy” just yet. A simple change of swing plane a la Daniel Murphy or Jose Altuve would correct that indictment.

      The pirates farm system universally preaches contact over power, thereby developing their players to “see the ball better”. Then, once that baseline is established, you begin to see them shift their approaches depending on the game situation. Unforeseen power spikes by Polanco, Marte, and McCutcheon should give one hope that Bell could produce 25+ HR seasons if given the opportunity by the field generals.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        That’s interesting, I could see that potentially, but when he makes that adjustment, or if he makes it, is hard to say

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Professor PoP: He could make an adjustment, but I’m not sure it’s that easy. He’s a good hitter, and my punching judy line was a bit of fooling. That said he’s going to be 25 in August it’s time to start fulfilling on his raw tools.

  4. Big Odio says:
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    “Welcome to Apple” saves two words per customer than “Welcome to the Apple store” That’s a lot of words when you add it up. Efficency! OR they are going bonkers and each apple is a space ship they use to save all those dedicated apple drones when the aliens come. “You have been rewarded for your allegiance and we will now take you to apple…the planet” On another hand this could be some cruel joke like the “Eagles” whose name is not “the Eagles” but just “Eagles”.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Efficiency like the Third Reich… Is it not The Eagles?

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: I’ve had a lot of presentations on cost cutting and it’s always about efficiency. In your mind the whole world would be the third Reich if you knew. The concept of stealing time is very old.

        And yes it’s just “Eagles” go look at any album cover of that very over rated band

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I wonder how many people thought the Eagles were overrated prior to The Big Lebowski, feels like something people started saying after that

          • Big Odio says:
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            @Grey: hhhhhhhmmmm. Good question. I liked Joe Walsh, but he had a successful career before joining them. And who doesn’t love that Miami Vice/Glenn Frey thing

            https://youtu.be/M8IAqatjQVk

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Remember, The H is O

              • Big Odio says:
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                @Grey: fuptcha

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Hey!

                  • Big Odio says:
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                    @Grey: its the new yuptcha….now with more middle finger

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Aw man

  5. Freddyfreeman says:
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    I think he’s gonna hit 45 homeruns. I have no basis for that argument, other than he’s on my dynasty team so I hope it’s so.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He could (across three seasons).

  6. Garrsh says:
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    Grey,

    Wanted to thank you for all your help this season, between your projections, podcasts and preseason write ups you really helped give me a competitive advantage in abusing value in players. As it’s now the offseason in my keeper pool i have some decisons to make an can franchise 1 of these 2 players. who would you rather have for 1 year the below price tag :

    JD Martinez – $22
    Will Myers – $35

    Thanks again for all your help.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      No problem, Garrsh! JD Martinez

  7. JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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    Muah!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Muah you! You helping JB with basketball questions?

      • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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        @Grey: LOL I’m too white

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Oh, really? I thought basketball was your jam…

  8. Tweak says:
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    I had Bell on my roster a couple of times this season and owned him as a prospect in several others. I felt it was best to move him as a chip this year to upgrade in other places.

    He looks fine at the plate and my impression has been a poor man’s Hosmer. He’s Hosmer with less power upside and clanky hands in the field. I think he ends up more like Yonder Alonso than the KC 1B. I know the Pirates need a 1B badly, but they should move Bell and Cutch for pitching and drop the cash on Justin Turner rather than muddle through the season with some combo of Bell/Freese/Cervelli and whoever they really sign (Valbuena? Pearce? Moreland? Lind?).

    It’s sad to finally see so much talent in Pittsburgh after so long be middling without the proper support of their FO and ownership.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agreed, the Pirates are one of those teams that should be spending right now for pieces to go with their prospects, but isn’t, and the prospects are going to eventually move on without any real success

  9. Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
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    A double digit homerun total out of the Pirates 1B spot would be sweet.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha! Always the optimist… Are you driving around with robot Ubers?

      • Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
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        @Grey: Nah, actually just found out Friday afternoon I didn’t get it. Pretty bummed but at least I’m not out of work and looking.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That sucks, sorry, bro… Once Trump gets in office, jobs will come back to your town and you can coal mine

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          If it makes you feel any better, I haven’t ever been hired for a job I applied for… In my life

          • Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
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            @Grey: Haha. It’s going to be great! My job will be great! My pay will be great!

            Maybe I should remove “frequent commenter on fantasy baseball site” from my skills and abilities.

            No lie….my girl is so worried about Drumpf winning that I may seriously have to look for jobs in Canada anyway.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              My special skills: I vape a lot

              I read an interesting NY Times article (liberal media!) about how the jobs Trump is talking about bringing back in the country no longer exist… Ford laid off thousands b/c they have computers to do jobs that used to be done by people

              • Big Odio says:
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                @Grey: the truth media (non liberal bias) says that the jobs left will be filled in Mexico by Mexicans. My thinking is its a lot cheaper to live in Mexico and it cant be any worse than Detroit, so the laid off workers should move to Mexico…their resumes should get them the job

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Then they can campaign to make English the first language of Mexico

                  • Big Odio says:
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                    @Grey: Spanglish!

                    Viva THE Mexico!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Your marijuana may be legal after tomorrow, are you psyched?

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      I shall not confirm nor deny my excitement for the passing of a ballot measure while I type this at work

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha… I’d be shocked if it doesn’t pass… I hope some of the people who have had to serve time due to marijuana get released and/or records scrubbed

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      It has its positives and negatives for sure. If it goes way corporate like many fear you get a homogenized product that takes out all the variation of effect from strand to strand. I really hope a craft industry booms and respect for quality, proper care and a clean product is the result. Too much of the “medicinal” is dirty already filled with chemicals, manipulation growing techniques, over fertilization and improper curing.

                      I vape mostly CBD, which is not really illegal anyway and has no THC in it.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      It took beer a long time to get to a craft industry, which then was mostly gobbled up by corporations… But I bet marijuana doesn’t take as long to get there b/c people have already needed to ‘make’ it themselves to get it to market… So the craft industry is already in place… It’s likely like vape in that craft is there, and then corporations are going to need to fight to get in it

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      @Big Odio: My buddy is starting a CBD flavored vape company….oh, wait, you and sky went with me to his birthday party that one time

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Big bald muscular guy or big bald fat guy?

                  • Ralph Lifshitz

                    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                    @Big Odio: @Grey: It’s going to pass here too, and yes there’s already a craft industry in place. The venture capitalists have spent the last several years setting up the mechanisms to make sure the industry hits the ground running from the jump.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Are you talking about Ashton Kutcher? My friend was busted by the federal gov for working at a dispensary (serious fines and multiple years of probation) which is total BS when it’s supposed to be legal at dispensaries…

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      @Ralph Lifshitz: a true craft industry hasn’t been done. There are some oit there with a concise that only sell organics but as a whole the industry is total bullshit

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      Your buddy was probably working for someone not playing by the rules. BUT the feds trump the state

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      The owner of the shop didn’t get in trouble, only the guys that were working there at the time… Honestly, don’t know the specifics, but he got screwed from what I’ve heard

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      He got rain delayed screwed!…Too soon?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Damn, why couldn’t that have been around for my wedding!

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Grey: Not joking I tried to talk my wife into having a faux-German pop band called “Porsches on the Autobahn” perform at our engagement party. She said no.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          HAHA…We sound eerily similar, Rappin’ Ralph

  10. Big Odio says:
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    I usually don’t pay attention to the awards for baseball but since I suckered myself into watching the playoffs I might as well go full retard this year. BRITTON isn’t even a finalist? FFS!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I know, it’s stupid

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: humor my logic for a minute. So last year Arrieta won it for having a great second half and Kluber is a finalist because he had an amazing second half. Then by that logic shouldnt Kershaw be a finalist because he pitched to what amounted to a ridiculous half of baseball? No he shouldn’t, but the logic isn’t that far off. My other theory is that Verlander is only there because of Kates boobs. I think the bbwa wants to get near them.

        And I’ll be honest. Why is Seager a finalist for NL MVP? I get that he was the best player on a division winning team but why does that make him an mvp? Was the NL that bad for individual hitters?

  11. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:
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    What do you expect from Bud Black managing the Rockies hitters?

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