Here’s a prospect post that even a redraft leaguer can love. At Razzball there are a lot of great tools, but the one I use the most when looking at potential trades or player acquisitions is the player rater. It’s basically a way to evaluate players based on Steamer’s projections for the rest of the year. What makes it particularly useful is the fact that it’s also updated daily by Rudy to account for playing time changes, lineup changes, injuries, etc. I thought it would be fun to look at how our rookies are faring in the machine. I found 54 players in the rater who were under the 130 AB/50 IP cutoff to start the year. Then I sorted into three subcategories for the hell of it. I’m sure I’ve forgotten a couple of names (hopefully no big ones) and there’s probably nothing incredibly enlightening to glean from this (Correa is good at baseball and projects to be good at baseball in the second half…thanks Mike!). But…there were some surprises for me when I gathered it together. At any rate, hopefully it spurs some discussion and provides a snapshot for the massive wave of quality prospects we’re seeing reach the majors in 2015.

2015 Rookies: Highest Rest-of-Season (ROS) Value
This first table is pretty simple. Which rookies have the most value going forward? This is the top 20+ sorted by $ROS.

Player Pos Team $ROS
Kris Bryant 3B CHC 27.7
Miguel Sano 3B MIN 16.6
Carlos Correa SS HOU 14.3
Joc Pederson OF LAD 12.3
Maikel Franco 3B PHI 12.2
Yasmany Tomas OF ARI 10.6
Jorge Soler OF CHC 8
Randal Grichuk OF STL 7.3
Kyle Schwarber C CHC 6.5
Roberto Osuna RP TOR 6.3
Noah Syndergaard SP NYM 5.9
Billy Burns OF OAK 4.6
Matt Duffy 3B SF 3.7
Francisco Lindor SS CLE 1.4
Lance McCullers SP HOU 1.3
Michael Taylor OF WAS 0.7
Aaron Nola SP PHI 0.5
Vincent Velasquez SP HOU -1.5
Byron Buxton OF MIN -2.1
Carson Smith RP SEA -2.2
Jake Lamb 3B ARI -2.6
Jung Ho Kang INF PIT -2.6

Bryant, Sano, and Correa are no surprise, but I’m pretty happy to see Franco up there. Soler has been disappointing but still projects to be solid in the second half. A name that jumps out at me on this list is Grichuk. I ranked him 4th on the pre-season Cardinals Top 10, but I didn’t see this coming. He’s already surpassed his preseason projection for homers! Magoo did a great job breaking him down yesterday. I guess the big question marks for me are still his strikeout rate and playing time, but that power has been tasty. Oh, and I see you Jake Lamb.

Largest Difference (DIF) Between Preseason (PRE) and Rest-of-Season (ROS) Values
This table is more quirky than the first. I went back to the preseason player rater and then ranked by the difference between each player’s projections prior to the season and their projections for the remainder of it. 

Player Pos Team $PRE $ROS $DIF
Miguel Sano 3B MIN -26.4 16.6 43
Matt Duffy 3B SF -33.8 3.7 37.5
Randal Grichuk OF STL -26.5 7.3 33.8
Billy Burns OF OAK -26.2 4.6 30.8
Francisco Lindor SS CLE -24.2 1.4 25.6
Delino DeShields 2B/OF TEX -27.7 -3.7 24
Maikel Franco 3B PHI -11.2 12.2 23.4
Byron Buxton OF MIN -25.3 -2.1 23.2
Michael Taylor OF WAS -19.4 0.7 20.1
Noah Syndergaard SP NYM -12.7 5.9 18.6
Yasmany Tomas OF ARI -4.2 10.6 14.8
Jace Peterson 2B ATL -19.7 -5.6 14.1
Jake Lamb 3B ARI -16.3 -2.6 13.7
Joc Pederson OF LAD 1.5 12.3 10.8
Andrew Heaney SP LAA -12.5 -3.2 9.3
Chris Heston SP SF -20.2 -11 9.2
Alex Meyer RP MIN -13.7 -5.5 8.2
Matt Wisler SP ATL -20.7 -12.9 7.8
Kris Bryant 3B CHC 20.7 27.7 7
Carson Smith RP SEA -8.7 -2.2 6.5
Taylor Jungmann SP MIL -21.8 -15.9 5.9
Michael Lorenzen SP CIN -22.2 -16.6 5.6
Odubel Herrera OF PHI -20.4 -16.9 3.5

Even with a -11 projection for the rest of the season, Heston has been a really nice surprise. I had to double-check that he was even eligible. An interesting tidbit from this table is the fact that Bryant is pretty much matching the high expectations set for him at the beginning of the season (20.1 value season-to-date) and the projection seems to think he’ll keep it up and then some in the second half. Jungmann and Wisler aren’t flashy, but they’re getting the job done and have proven valuable as streamers and deep-league starters. My personal fave from this table though is DeShields. The Rangers got him off the scrap heap in the Rule 5 draft and he’s basically an everyday outfielder (and leadoff hitter!) now. He’s been a godsend to a lot of fantasy teams, especially where he still carries middle infield eligibility. There’s Grichuk again!

2015 Rookies Not In Preseason Rater
This table is fun. These are the names I couldn’t find in the preseason rater, but who have come up in the bigs and are contributing value of some kind. I guess you could say it’s a list of the biggest “surprises”. They’re ranked by their ROS value.

Player Pos Team $PRE $ROS
Carlos Correa SS HOU 14.3
Kyle Schwarber C CHC 6.5
Roberto Osuna RP TOR 6.3
Lance McCullers SP HOU 1.3
Aaron Nola SP PHI 0.5
Vincent Velasquez SP HOU -1.5
Jung Ho Kang INF PIT -2.6
Raisel Iglesias SP CIN -3.2
Preston Tucker OF HOU -3.8
Carlos Rodon SP CWS -7.7
Eduardo Rodriguez SP BOS -8.8
Addison Russell SS CHC -9.1
Giovanny Urshela 3B CLE -11.3
Manny Banuelos SP ATL -13.4
Steven Matz SP NYM -13.8
Joe Ross SP WAS -14.4
Brian Johnson SP BOS -14.7
Kevin Plawecki C NYM -22.2
Stephen Piscotty OF STL -24.1
Austin Hedges C SD -32.5

Many interesting names on this list like McCullers, Tucker, Ross, and Johnson – players I didn’t even have on my radar for the prospect lists let alone contributing this much value in 2015. I was surprised to see Russell with such a low ROS projection compared to Lindor, but when you consider their positions in their respective lineups it makes sense. Osuna is another fun one. He was a prospect with #3 starter upside but now finds himself getting saves for the Blue Jays and fantasy owners…just like we drew it up!

 
  1. Mark says:
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    Think Sano has top 50 value in 2016 in 7×7 obp slg (10 hitters/1350 inn limit)?

    Thank you, good stuff

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      thanks! I could see him flirting with that. Getting elig other than DH would really give him a boost IMO

  2. fastfrog says:
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    with schwarber, does the player rating factor in his playing time projection? 6.5 seems a little low otherwise.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      hmmm…It looks like he’s 14 now. Either it jumped with an update or I goofed and listed his per game rate by accident. Only Gattis, Posey, and Lucroy are higher

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      yup I’m guessing it was an update, since Correa, Sano, and Bryant all crept up as well. Huge gain for Schwarber though and puts him in the same tier as Sano and Correa in terms of value. Thanks!

  3. Clint says:
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    In a head to head points keeper league, do you see Franco & Tomas both having more long term value than Springer or which 2 are the best for that format? I can’t recall if your anyone else on Razzball saw Springer’s strikeout rate improving much over time and in this league, that kills guys’ values quite a bit.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I guess it depends how much it kills him, but I would still want Springer of the three.

  4. Scott says:
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    Interesting to see Iglesias in there above the likes of Rodon, Rodriguez, Matz and Ross. He doesn’t get a lot of notice like the others.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Yeah I thought that was interesting too. He’s just outside the top 20 in the first table. Lorenzen and DeSclafani have been quiet but steady in that rotation as well.

  5. Funny Name says:
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    Trade/Keeper queation. 12 team, we can keep our best 7 players for as long as we want. I have Rizzo, Machado and Arenado. Someone who is out of contention for the playoffs offered me a bunch of players for 1 of the 3. Who would you rather trade? Pujols would be coming back in the trade, so I would have a 1b if I traded Rizzo.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Without knowing the exact return, I’d have a hard time parting with any of those three in a keeper

      • Funny Name says:
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        @Mike: Pujols, Braun, Shelby, Krod and Hammel. Basically depth for the playoff run. I would be giving back 1 or those 3 and my 4 worst players. He just wants young guys that’ll be good for yrs to come and I don’t know who to part with.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Gotcha….man, tough one. I guess Rizzo

          • Rhaoul Duke says:
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            @Mike: I’ll say it. Don’t do it.

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              lol, it seems like he feels he has to trade one. It’s like Sophie’s Choice

    • stumanji says:
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      @Funny Name: Hold all 3.

      • Mike

        Mike says:
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        yeah, I understand wanting to go for it but those are three top keepers.

  6. Pouss-Pouss says:
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    Awesome article! I’d love to hear your thoughts on what round some of these guys might go in 2016 drafts. For us keeper-leaguers, it’s getting to that point where we need to start thinking about how much value the rooks will have next season. I have Bryant, Sano, Pederson, and Tomas rostered in my keeper league–any way-too-early forecasts on their ADP next season?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks! it’s pretty early…but off the top of my head I could see the first three flirting with top 60 and Tomas in the top 100. I might even be undervaluing Tomas if the power shows up more in the second half.

      • Baezaworldseries says:
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        @Mike: Tomas would need 28 second half homers to justify the drat pick I used on him.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          it happens

  7. Pouss-Pouss says:
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    Also, Mike, I didn’t realize that your Player Rater used Steamer Projections. I use Steamer projections for my own value calculations in a wonky 7×7 league.

    Do you guys take feedback on ways to organized the Player Rater interface? It would be great if it were more customizable. I love that you have buttons for different formats (e.g., “6×6 OPS”, “16” teams), but it would be great to be able to toggle these options to fit one’s own league. Some site called Ziguana (previously free, now paid) provides this level of customizability, but they use some crazy projection system that causes guys like Chris Parmelee to be in the top-10 overall. It’d be awesome to be able to customize player values to a league using Steamer projections.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      yup, I would ping Rudy in the comments of the rater itself at the bottom. That’s his wheelhouse

  8. Birdmann says:
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    Even if Sano losses a position keeping him @ 23 pick would be solid don’t you think

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      23rd overall? hmmm, that seems a little high but there’s a lot of season left

      • Birdmann says:
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        @Mike: 23 round

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          oh word…for sure

  9. Eric B says:
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    Whats up Mike, saw a few names from your list that I’ve been toying with adding. So I wanted to get your take. DeShields is available in my league and my team could use a little speed after losing Springer. Just cant figure out if I should drop Avisial for him…thoughts?

    The 2nd player I’m intrigued by is Kang now that Mercer is on the shelf. Would you rather have Kang or Semien ROS?

    And finally I’m debating my last 2 SP spots which are occupied by Kyle Hendricks and Jungman. Trying to decide if adding Velasquez is an upgrade over either, not sure if Jungman sticks in the rotation. My entire roster is below for reference, any feedback is welcomed!
    5×5 12 Team HTH w/ OBP
    Bats
    C McCann
    1B Y. Grandal
    2B Kipnis
    3B Santana
    SS Aybar
    OF Pollock
    OF Calhoun
    OF Cepesedes
    OF Betts
    Util Avisail Garcia
    Util Soler
    Util Sano
    Bench 2B/SS/3B Semien
    DL Freeman
    DL Springer
    DL Stanton

    Staff
    P Kluber
    P Cole
    P Bauer
    P Salazar
    P T. Walker
    SP Odorizzi
    SP Hendricks
    RP Chapman
    RP Britton
    Bench RP Melancon
    Bench RP Miller
    Bench SP Lackey
    Bench SP Jungman

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Probably better to hold Avisail over DeShields unless you’re desperate for speed. I do like the idea of gambling on Kang though.

      I’d hold Hendricks and Jungmann for now. I think the Astros will be careful with VV ‘s innings in the second half.

      • Eric B says:
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        @Mike: Thanks Mike, Im getting by on speed but it’s a collective effort lol. Avisial has been ice cold but I know he has talent and Semien has been pretty meh as well but it’s nice having a back up thats eligible at 2nd, ss and 3rd. Hence why I’ve been so hesitant to make changes, always appreciate someone eles take though. The pitchers are the hardest for me. My staff isnt awful but they’ve hit a rough patch. Ive been tempted to make some changes(especially after Hendricks got blown up today)theres some decent names on the wire like Corbin, VV, Gausman and Cingrani but I dont want to be too hasty lol.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          word. yeah with the arms you sometimes end up spinning your wheels in a 12-teamer. all those names have nice upside but also some risk.

        • What's a Drexl? says:
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          @Eric B: cingrani and gausman haven’t been decent yet, VV has. Corbin too early probably to say.

  10. ashtray says:
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    It’s starting to look like Pederson isn’t able to make the adjustments now that the league has caught on. What are your thoughts?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      totally normal, and how he adjusts back will be really telling. Even if he settles in as a .260 hitter with some strikeouts in his game, there’s enough power and speed to be a solid fantasy player. It reminds me of Springer

      • What's a Drexl? says:
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        @Mike: brings up a great point, springer was never supposed to hit for average, but he was till getting hurt. finally traded for him the day he got hurt, only cost hamels and byrd. dynasty, so who cares about the 6-10 weeks after that trade.

  11. RePete says:
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    Do you think Seager or Gallo will be up any time soon if at all this year? Do you think Gallo will have the same value as Sano next year in an OBP league?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I think Sano will be more valuable than Gallo since I think he’ll offer more in teh batting average department. Seager I’ve been saying could be early August al la Machado with the Orioles a few years back, but they may choose to let him cook all year in AAA if they can get by. Gallo coming up in Sept would be my guess. Probably needs another injury to make it happen sooner. He’s showing power in AAA, but still a lot of Ks and low AVG

  12. Wild Thing says:
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    Hi Mike,

    A little help please… In my salary cap league, hold or sell Polanco $16 for 2 more years? I have Puig $18 for 2 years, Dickerson $16 for 3 years and Betts $24 for 2 years. With Dickerson coming back if I don’t trade an OF, I will have to cut one of the following minor leaguers… Moncada, Devers, Giolito, Seager, Urias, Mazara, and Josh Bell. I am hesitant to cut any of those guys because they can be kept at $1 next year and won’t need to be signed until 2017.

    I guess the questions are…

    1) is a $16 Polanco better than any of my minor league guys? If so, who to cut?

    2) And if not, should I trade him for a Taijuan Walker who is $21 for 3 more years.

    Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I don’t think you want to cut one of those specs for a $16 Polanco, but I’m also not keen on the $21 Walker. See if you can shop him around to a rebuilding team?

      • Wild Thing says:
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        @Mike:

        Thanks Mike. So who should I cut? I’m a sox fan so probably overvaluing them. My 1B is Hosmer so maybe Bell? Or Mazara because with Polanco I’m set at OF? 3B and 2B are needs for my team

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          what’s the minimum salary? I was saying don’t cut any specs. Can you flip Polanco for a guy like Travis or Odor at 2B?

          • Wild Thing says:
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            @Mike:

            Ah I see. I will try to flip Polanco for another position, maybe pitcher too as our league emphasizes pitchers more than is typical. Thanks!

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              yup no problem…I’d hate to see you release one of those guys. That’s a nice farm.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          I guess Devers would be the odd man out since he’s the furthest away. I don’t see why you can’t just ride out Polanco and release him after the season. Maybe get him back at a lower price.

          • Wild Thing says:
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            @Mike: Polanco is locked into a 3 year contract at $16 per year. Not terrible but I’m worried heat never hit a home run again…

            When Dickerson comes back I will need to cut a bench player or move Polanco per roster constraints.

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              ah gotcha…I forgot about Dickerson!

              • Wild Thing says:
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                @Mike:

                Yeah. And the worst part about that is when he gets hurts again next week…

                • Mike

                  Mike says:
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                  exactly

            • Wild Thing says:
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              @Wild Thing:

              Heat = he will

              Haha

  13. Warren says:
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    Ive been trying to get Rizzo
    If I am sitting with machado moustakas devon travis hosmer and rendon

    Is it worth giving rendon up to get rizzo?
    I also have Schwarber who he wants really badly and vogt- I suspect I shouldnt give up my shiny new schwarbling toy should I

    Life after trading Goldschmidt and Rizzo in the offseason after their rookie call up is proving aggravating

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’d move Schwarber for Rizzo, sure

      • Warren says:
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        @Mike:
        Long term you dont think he is the next great catcher? I don’t need Rizzo to win anything different this year, its more that I am like we all are trying to build a dynasty

        Ive got stanton harper braun in the OF, Kershaw Sale at pitcher. We can keep 12
        the other 7 would be
        machado boegarts moose rendon vogt hosmer travis schwarber – its all one too many. I think I need to find the best fist baseman and sit on him because I am about to give up on hosmer or moustakas ever being what they were hyped up to be. Im curious why you think dealing Schwarber is a no brainer

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Schwarber’s great and all, but if you’re saying you want to find the best first baseman and sit on him…the 25 year old Rizzo who’s basically already a top-25 player is your boy. He’s only 3 years older than Schwarber

  14. toppleprone says:
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    No Souza Jr.? Thoughts on him going forward?

    He takes walks and has a .200 ISO. It’s also so weird that his K-rate is 36% but his swinging strike rate isn’t crazy above avg. So he’s striking out looking a lot. I have no clue what to do with this guy going forward. Do you think he has room for improvement or this is who he is as a 26yo rookie?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’m still buying in long term leagues if the price is right…holding if you own him. Power/speed combo and the average should improve as he makes adjustments.

      His ROS is 1.9, which I was kind of surprised by (didn’t make the cut for the first table). He was rated preseason at 10.6, so he’d actually be -8ish in the “difference” column.

      • What's a Drexl? says:
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        @Mike: he’s higher in OPS/OBP rater by a lot (at least preseason he was). nice to know that a good chunk of his K’s are looking, as that can be easily improved as his strikezone awareness greatens.

  15. JamesSImp says:
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    In a keeper league, 12 team 5×5 h2h

    my pitching feels wafer thin with mccullers, nola, v vasquez, ubaldo, gio, liriano with the recent addition of cingrani, but i was just offered sano and wilson for liriano.

    however, i currently have arrenado and maikel franco.

    what should I do?! gut says pull the trigger and stream pitchers and pack for the future?

    my current team now is
    gattis
    abreu
    d. travis
    reyes
    arrenado
    blackmon
    soler
    cain
    braun
    yelich
    rendon(DL)

    I’ve asked you a couple times about who to keep because i can only keep 6 and it’s been, blackmon 6th rd
    cain(17th round value)
    soler(5th rd)
    liriano 10th
    arrenado 2nd
    and franco 22nd round value.

    how would that affect my keepers, should i try to pull the trigger on another trade if it results in me having way too many third base keepers?

    HALP

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      if Sano would be a cheap keeper, I’d swap Liriano for him sure

      • JamesSImp says:
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        @Mike: In a keeper league, 12 team 5×5 h2h

        would cost me a 21st or 22nd round pick depending if i keep franco (which i probably will so 21st)
        what do I do going forward with 3 potential 3B? or does Sano not play third?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Sano is UTIL/DH I believe going into next year, unless he gets enough games to qualify. You can never have too many good hitters, especially in keepers

  16. Phil says:
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    Hello Mike,

    3 questions for you:

    Do you think power will come for Boegarts? Next year you think he will be a top _ SS in a 5×5 Roto league?

    Do you think Schwarber stays at catcher? If not, what does him going to the OF do to his long term value?

    What do you think of Rendon as a keeper? We can keep 10 and the last spot would come down between Joc, Xander, Schwarber, Rendon, and Thor for the last spot. I am keeping Cole as my only other pitcher. Rendon’s injury history is starting to make me cool on him.

    Thanks for the help!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’ll go top 5 but with top 3 upside

      I think they’ll give him every opportunity to stay behind the dish, yeah. I don’t think it changes his value all that much, but obviously having C eligibility is ideal compared to just OF

      I still love Rendon as a keeper…he’s starting to feel like Hanley in that when he’s on the field he’s great but you’re probably going to get at least one DL stint a year. You’ve got some great choices there though.

      no problem! thanks for reading!

  17. Steve says:
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    Who has the better 2nd half, Soler or Sano?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      great question…if you go by the rater mentioned above it’s Sano. I can’t say I disagree with it, and I love Soler

  18. Dub. says:
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    16 team h2h keeper, you like Heaney (6 yrs) and Fiers (1 yr) for Addison Russell ( 6yrs)and Prince Fielder (1 yr)?

    Love the rater…really cool. I dealt Schwarber earlier this year for Joc. Opps!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      nice…you’ll be okay with Joc ;)

      Russell and Fielder all day

  19. stumanji says:
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    I will preface this with the fact that I’m in 2nd place and still trying to win this year:
    10 team, keep 5 players. My top 4 keepers are Goldy, Rizzo, Correa, Harvey, and then toss up between Puig and Sano (all are cheap cheap to keep keep). I could use an upgrade at OF but there aren’t really any expensive rentals to swap Puig or Sano for (Stanton and Miggy are hurt…the $50 Harpers, Bautistas, and McCutch are all owned by teams in contention).

    My question is–since I don’t see any trade matches with rentals–should I hold Puig and Sano ROS and keep one for next year, or try to swap the two of them for a keeper with even higher upside, even if it’s negligible. Say, Kris Bryant? Little Seager?

    I can also just hold and try to win with what I’ve got. Starting bats are Schwarber, Goldy, Wong, Correa, Arenado, Travis, Rizzo, Hanley, Cargo, Adam Jones, Burns, Puig, and Sano (Grichuk as sole bench bat).

    TIA!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      hold for sure…they’ll still give you good ROS value and you’re stacked for next year

      • stumanji says:
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        @Mike: Keep Puig ($4) or Sano ($3)? I want to keep 4 bats and 1 arm, so despite Harvey’s recent struggles he’s pretty juicy keeper for $2, no?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          oof, I think I’d take Puig but it’s awfully close. Yeah Harvey at $2 is solid

  20. MB says:
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    Hello, if you need steals and avg in dynasty and had this year and MAYBE next to go after the money, cool to trade my Moss and Starlin for his Holliday and Segura?

    Gracias

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      sure, that makes sense

  21. Mike, Myth, Legend. says:
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    Mike, in a dynasty league where I seemingly have the title wrapped up for the next couple seasons….would you trade the 30 yo, Adam Jones + some additional assets I can afford to part with…..for the 22 year old Joc Pederson?

    Can Joc be a consistent 25+ HR guy from here on out?

    Also…..got any more uber deep (500+) prospect tips for me? heh.

  22. Malicious Phenom says:
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    Hey, me again..lol..Your thoughts on this guy:

    Touki Toussaint ATL – SP

  23. pipa says:
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    Where do you think I need to improve? I’ve been looking to add an OF for a SP, but not sure it’s necessary with Dickerson coming back, even though I know he’s not cured. I currently have a trade pending for Jungmann, and I am giving up Duffy. And have a trade offer for Reddick, giving up Salazar.

    12 team league, 9×9 categories. R, RBI, HR, SB, K, 2B, 3B, AVG, OBP/ W, L, ERA, WHIP, CG, SV, HLD, K/9, QS.

    C. Vogt SP. Hammel
    1B. Abreu SP. Salazar
    2B. Altuve RP. Boxberger
    SS. HanRam RP. Gregerson
    3B. Frazier P. McGee
    OF. JD Martinez P. Capps
    OF. Yelich P. Montgomery
    OF. Soler B. Teheran
    UT. Ortiz B. A Wood
    UT. Parra B. Iwakuma
    B. Dickerson B. C Young
    B. Jimenez
    B. J Ross
    B. C Anderson

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      offense looks solid. I’d actually hold Salazar since your SP needs him

  24. Q says:
    (link)

    Ok I’m stuck and I need some help.

    I’m out of it this year and have been selling off my expensive guys or guys whose contracts are up. We can keep guys for two years, then we have to sign them for a certain number of years to keep them. When those years are up, the guy is back in the auction pool. There is a penalty for dropping contract players.

    To make a long story short (too late), I have Arrieta. To keep him for 1 year, it’s $8 per year, 2 years would be 13 per yr, 3 years is 18 per, etc.

    I was offered Corey Seager and Lucas Giolito for him by a team in the hunt. Seager would be $1 next year, and then would need a contract. Giolito can stay in the minors until he’s called up, then he’s $1 for two years before contract time.

    On one hand, Arrieta is a borderline ace at a tremendous price. A bird in the hand.

    But on the other hand….its Corey Seager. And Giolito could be an ace, though far away.

    What do you think? (Sorry for writing an epic…I’m so confused.)

    Thanks Mike!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      no problem…I like Arrieta but I’d cash him in for those two

  25. Q says:
    (link)

    Keeper league where I’m out of it. Auction league where you keep up to 10. Can keep guy for 2 years at his auction price then price escalates $5 every year.

    So offer is this:

    I give Arrieta ($8 next year, then 13 in 2017, etc)

    I get Corey Seager ($1next year, then 6,11, etc) and Giolito (can keep in minors as long as he has rookie eligibility; then I get for 2 years at $1, then price goes up)

    Having a hard time. Arrieta is here now and pitching great. Certainly at a keepable price. But it’s hard to turn down Corey Effing Seager, not to mention arguably the highest upside pitcher in the whole minor leagues.

    What do you think? (Sorry so long)

    • Q says:
      (link)

      @Q: sorry lag in post.

      • Mike

        Mike says:
        (link)

        no prob, I’d go for it

  26. Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
    (link)

    16 team roto dynasty with K/BB, QS over wins,net saves and holds over saves, total bases added, OBP over AVG and net steals over steals. Team was drafted may 5th, which i love, since preseason pitching rankings are gone and it’s easier to know what’s going on with pitchers in general. i’ve been in 1st all year till lately in 3 way tie for top 3.
    salvy
    rizzo
    kipnis (only time i’ve ever owned him, going well)
    bryant (drafted in 2nd round, over arenado, tulo and others)
    alcides
    LF jew don (when i drafted i felt silly i went so much earlier on him than avisail, not so much now)
    CF maybin (free agent who did well right after i was forced to add him when ellsbury got hurt first day of our league’s stats)
    RF souza
    util ellsbury/lind (got this guy SUPER late, best value on team)
    BN jaso/jace P
    NA tapia/dahl/j.p. crawford
    SP liriano/burnett/cole/chavez/nola/pineda/fiers
    RP britton/a.miller
    P romo/giles/watson/j.smith
    DL buchholez/walden/ryu/wheeler
    NA vince V (stashed there since i wanted to play nola more yesterday)/stephenson

    who’s the drop for vince V (or is it him?) with our prorated innings, i have about 63 per week i need to get, which should work with 7 SP and 6 RP.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      hmmm, maybe Jace if you want to carry an extra arm? otherwise not really seeing a spot for him

      • Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
        (link)

        @Mike: i’m trying to waiver cron tonight, but i don’t want to use any free agent budget (16 out of 100 left, saving it for mazara’s entrance into yahoo), dropping jaso. I’m likely more in need of an extra corner OF backup than jaso. Jew don can play either, souza only RF. Best 2B backup other than jace is scooter. drop jace for scooter or try to waiver sandoval?
        2. which of these corner OF you like best if i don’t get cron, c.gillespie (i just had him), rasmus/krispy young/coghlan/

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          I’d stick with Jace…Coghlan if you don’t land Cron

  27. Scott says:
    (link)

    So Seattle manager, I’ve got this crazy idea. Let’s put Cruz on DH in AL parks and OF in NL parks. I swear this has nothing to do with my fantasy team. *crosses fingers*

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      ha…I like it!

  28. Scott says:
    (link)

    Will Walker be back with Pearce going on DL?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      makes sense unless they are just going to roll with Flaherty

      • Mike

        Mike says:
        (link)

        Parmalee too

  29. Double H says:
    (link)

    Mike, great write up – in a toto vacuum, who do you like more ROS: Chris Carter or Alex Wood? Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! hmmm…I usually lean bat, so Carter

  30. Bobby's World says:
    (link)

    Hey mister mike!

    In a h2h points / weekly lock league / it’s also redraft would you add any of these for depth ; Michael conforto (heard with cuddyers injury they may call him up soon), Kyle schwarber(my catcher is Vogt)Corey seager, or Aaron Nola

    Thanks man!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Schwarber

      • Bobby's World says:
        (link)

        @Mike:

        Would you be starting schwarber anytime soon or continue to ride with Vogt?

        Gracias again

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          I’d start him. Maybe shop Vogt, or at least have them fill in for each other on off days.

          • Bobby's World says:
            (link)

            @Mike:

            That’s what I’m thinking about , the problem about playing one on off days & the other the roster is locked up for the week so I’m locked in with that player for that week’s matchup

            • Mike

              Mike says:
              (link)

              ah that sucks, I’d just roll with one catcher then…Schwarber’s actually ranked higher than Vogt on the rater FWIW

  31. Davies says:
    (link)

    Drop soler, deshields, or Odor Leaning soler.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      De Shields unless you need speed badly

  32. JoeMorgan'sMustache says:
    (link)

    Mike, have a trade question for you. 15 team keeper…can keep up to 15. $4 yearly inflation. .OPB and TB replace AVG. and HR. So, I am frustrated with Abreu as this point…his cost is $28. I want to think he will get going but as a Sox fan I watch him regularly and he just doesn’t look good. Lots of ground balls and just not driving the ball. Currently, my 2b is Peterson who I am just tired of…for obvious reasons. Very thin free agent list. So, would Wong $9 for Abreu $28 be enough? I do like Wong yet want to believe Abreu will get back to mashing….but it’s getting harder to by the day. This is my lineup…

    C Martin
    C Jason
    1B Abreu
    2B Peterson
    3B Frazier
    SS Bogaerts
    MI Escobar
    CI Franco
    OF Bautista
    OF Polanco
    OF Belt
    OF Maybin
    OF Bruce
    UTIL Plouffe
    BN Pagan and Judge

    As always appreciate what you do man! Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      anytime Joe

      who’s replacing Abreu at 1B? I like Wong at that price, but with thin free agency I’m worried you’d get zapped at first

      • JoeMorgan'sMustache says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Both Frazier and Belt have 1b so prob just slide Frazier over there.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          okay, I think if you’re on the fence about keeping Abreu but Wong’s a no-brainer keeper, I’d make the swap.

  33. Mike says:
    (link)

    Keep 2, trade 1 of Abreu, Donaldson, Frazier. In trading one, does a return of say cespedes or brantley or prince plus keuchel sound reasonable?

    • Gio says:
      (link)

      @Mike:

      Follow up question. If you prefer to hang on to all three corner infielders, which three of the four players would you prefer to keep heading into next season?

      Abreu, Donaldson, Frazier, Marte.

      • Mike

        Mike says:
        (link)

        I would prefer to keep them..I’d probably lose Marte of those four

        This is why it kills me when leagues only let you keep like four or five guys on your team ;)

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Brantley/Keuchel for Abreu seems fine

  34. Mike says:
    (link)

    Lindor or Tucker ROS?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Lindor

  35. Patrick says:
    (link)

    what is Conforto’s impact if and when he is called up prior to September?

    just stashed him, fingers crossed.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      he can hit and hit for some power, but he’ll be making a pretty big jump…I wouldn’t expect him to save your fantasy season, but he should be up.

  36. Chrisjen17 says:
    (link)

    Mike,
    Surprised there is no reference of Matt Duffy. He meets the criteria, and has been pretty solid since coming up.
    In a dynasty league (with three WW moves left ROS) where I need a better SS than Elvis, he is available and Kang was dropped a while back. Who would you look to pick up?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      crap…I forgot him…thank you! It’s updated now and he’s a big one.

      • Chrisjen17 says:
        (link)

        @Mike:
        Sweet, that helps me a lot in not feeling like I was overvaluing him for some reason. So which one of those two would you want in a dynasty league, and is that the same for ROS?
        Kang will have SS/3B eligibility next year, but Duffy (3B/2B) is rated higher in my league’s format.
        I do have a logjam at 3B, need help at SS and 2B until Peraza comes up.
        Thanks!

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          that’s a tough one…I’d probably want Kang in a dynasty even though he’s older…there’s just more pop plus you get the SS elig at times. I’d take him ROS too with Harrison and Mercer hurting

          • Chrisjen17 says:
            (link)

            @Mike:
            Thanks, Mike! I grabbed Kang, and was immediately sent a terrible trade offer from another owner!
            I may still grab Duffy later depending on how Peraza progresses. I hear he is starting to heat back up after going cold for about a month.

            • Mike

              Mike says:
              (link)

              anytime…haha that’s great!

              yeah, Peraza is a solid prospect and if he ends up in the MI he should be even better for fantasy

  37. RotoLance

    RotoLance says:
    (link)

    I really like this. Next time out I think it would be useful to see $/G listed as well.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks Lance! good suggestion

  38. Baezaworldseries says:
    (link)

    On the 20th I read Alen Henson shifted over to 3rd in AAA. Hope we see him in the bigs soon.
    Joey Bats or JDMart ros? thanks

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      yup that’s good stuff! tough one…I thinkg I’d take JDMart though

  39. T Beckman says:
    (link)

    Should I drop Pereza for Trea Turner in a dynasty?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      nah, I’d stick with Peraza. I’m not sure there’s that big a difference between them outside of position

  40. Who Dat Ninja! says:
    (link)

    Hey Mike!

    Looks like Zach Lee getting a spot start saturday against the Mets.. I have Berrios stashed in my 12 team keeper H2H, thoughts on dropping Berrios for Lee?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      hmmm, nah I’d hold Berrios

  41. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    ok, got a top 3rd 3rd rounder, about 10th in that round,for bolsinger and my later than middle (about 18-22nd) 4th rounder. It wasn’t getting done if i added a 5th instead of the 4th. Now i have 3 tags for next year to give to some mix of beltre/chavez/c.anderson/coghlan/alcides

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      nice!

  42. Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
    (link)

    @Mike: in that same 20 teamer dynasty with D stats the same twit who took over the best team over a month ago (and immediately dropped shark and rusney, claiming he’s new to dynasty baseball, and clearly doesn’t read prospect stuff at ALL) just dropped yes….many, but i’m guessing i should hold my now #4 waiver here for mazara’s hopeful entrance into yahoo (by this point i’m gonna be pissed if i don’t get somebody great with a waiver this high)? Main reason being look how little space yes…. many would have
    chrinos (stream hitter)
    fielder
    forsythe
    andrus
    beltre
    LF choo
    CF hicks
    RF lomo
    util tucker
    BN franco/zunino/leonys
    DL stanton/profar
    NA gallo/n.williams/tapia/t.anderson
    I don’t see any room for a 3B/RF type, and not only that, franco or beltre would get bumped from util if i did have him. Also, please tell me mazara isn’t exactly a RF!

    • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
      (link)

      @Aubrey Plaza’s Pillow: this team has fallen from it’s apex of about 8th or so down to 13th without stanton. already lost darvish preseason, but gained heaney, and i added him back when he was doing AWFUL in the minors, and couldn’t even get Kela out of LAA owner (the worst team in the league) not 2 weeks before Heaney was called up. Later LAA came calling for Heaney but i got Kela for the much lower price of Jeffress, on the fact that he could be closing soon.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I’d go after Tomas. Maz could be 1B down the road, but probably not anytime soon.

      • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
        (link)

        @Mike: it’s more likely a low waiver might get maz anyway, and obviously a 4th would be needed to get yes…many, and even that high might not work.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          go for it

          • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
            (link)

            @Mike: got yes…. many, now i gotta hope the low waiver works on maz. or he doesn’t get the sept call up, either one.

            • Mike

              Mike says:
              (link)

              nice!

  43. The Talent Show says:
    (link)

    Dyno style obviously lol. Victor Robles or Lewis Brinson? Unfortunately only 12tm but I love me specs :)

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I’d take Brinson

      • The Talent Show says:
        (link)

        @Mike: who’s the man!? U the man!! Thx Mike. Whats ur overall thoughts on Robles? Much talent jus at too low level and small of sample size ta go bonkers??

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          haha no problem. I like Robles, just a little further away like you said, and Brinson has a pretty high ceiling too.

  44. Mike,
    I’m in a 16-team H2H keeper league. I’ve been offered Soler for Wade Davis (RP). On the surface this looks like a no-brainer…of course you make the deal. However, our league counts holds as a scoring category as well app/sv/era/whip/k-9, so Davis is a beast.

    Plus, I have a glut of talented OF, Dickerson/Grichuk/Braun/Bautista. The way our rosters are set I would have to drop/trade an OF to add Soler.

    I’m totally in the playoff hunt and can’t really afford to hang with a struggling (but keeper talented) rookie at this point in the season. I would also have to pick up another middle reliever.

    Soler is being offered to me on a keeper silver platter, but an immediate playoff-birth/potential championship is at stake as well. Do the deal? If so what OF should I drop/trade?

    Thanks

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I like Soler over Grichuk, but not at the expense of Davis in that format. Plus, you don’t want to tinker if you’re in line to place.

  45. Malicious Phenom says:
    (link)

    Hey Mike, hope you are enjoying your Saturday.

    Quick question.

    I was just able to pick up Lance McCullers in my keep forever league. (not sure why he was dropped, not my problem, hehe)

    Which of these SP’s do you like best long term:

    I have these young guns:
    Lance McCullers
    Trevor Bauer
    Michael Pineda
    Masahiro Tanaka
    Stephen Strasburg

    These are available:
    Jimmy Nelson
    Kevin Gausman
    Carlos Rodon
    Yordano Ventura
    Danny Hultzen
    Marcus Stroman
    Zack Wheeler
    Touki Toussaint
    Dylan Bundy

    Also any others you can recommend and I can see if they are available..I love keep forever, so much more fun than redrafts.

    Here is my entire staff:

    STARTING PITCHERS:
    Félix Hernández SEA – SP
    Stephen Strasburg WAS – SP (DL)
    Johnny Cueto CIN – SP
    Masahiro Tanaka NYY – P
    Kenley Jansen LAD – RP
    David Robertson CWS – RP
    Justin Verlander DET- JUST IN CASE HE CAN RIGHT THE SHIP
    Matt Cain SF – P – SEE VERLANDER
    Scott Kazmir Oak – P
    Michael Pineda NYY – P

    BENCH:
    Trevor Bauer CLE – SP
    Mat Latos MIA – SP – STREAMER FOR NOW, SEE WHERE HE IS TRADED TO AT THE DEADLINE
    Lance McCullers HOU – SP
    Lucas Giolito WAS – SP (NA)

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I like Rodon, Gausman, and Wheeler long term. I still have faith in Ventura too.

      • Malicious Phenom says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Ok,, Who would you drop to pick up those 3..I could lose 1 bat, but no more, I love my offense.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          for right now, I’d just swap Latos for Rodon and put the others on watch. Can you stash Wheeler and Stroman on your DL? That would be solid.

          • Malicious Phenom says:
            (link)

            @Mike: I have Ryan Zimmerman and D’Arnaud on DL.. Either of those worth anything for this season? Yadier is my C, but not sure how many more decent years he has left..C is very thing on waivers..

            • Mike

              Mike says:
              (link)

              I’d lose Zimm and stash Wheeler

              • Malicious Phenom says:
                (link)

                @Mike: Cool, hey Mike, thanks for all your help.

                • Mike

                  Mike says:
                  (link)

                  anytime

  46. Malicious Phenom says:
    (link)

    Hey, I forgot one, Would you start Johnny Cueto in Colorado tonight?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      sure

      • Malicious Phenom says:
        (link)

        @Mike: That’s what I thought, until next time, have a great weekend.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          you too!

          • Malicious Phenom says:
            (link)

            @Mike: THANK YOU MIKE & thank you Johnny Cueto!!

            • Mike

              Mike says:
              (link)

              no problem

  47. Bull in a Chinese Restaurant says:
    (link)

    16 team H2H with OPS, hits, holds, and QS starts added. 6 keepers
    OBP wolf
    goldy
    jace P
    suarez
    arenado
    OF grichuk/soler/pollock
    util sano/tucker
    BN upton
    NA peraza
    SP thor/carmart/liriano/keuchel/hendricks/chavez/j.ross
    RP watson/mcgee/c.smith/axford/street
    A guy who’s out of it is shopping degrom for a pick. with my keepers being for sure arenado/goldy/upton, likely 2 out of grichuk/sano/pollock/soler and one of the pitchers. i just recently traded carrasco for both thor and carmart. am i better off keeping the draft pick and going with one of carmart/keuchel/liriano/thor or is degrom that much more of an upgrade?

    • Bull in a Chinese Restaurant says:
      (link)

      @Bull in a Chinese Restaurant: or holt? i forgot i dropped him when pedroia came back due to playing time.

      • Bull in a Chinese Restaurant says:
        (link)

        @Bull in a Chinese Restaurant: the holt part was meant for the Grey post, forget that part.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I would take deGrom over Liriano

      • Bull in a Chinese Restaurant says:
        (link)

        @Mike: but if that trade is too expensive you’d keep liriano over carmart/keuchel/thor?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          hmmm, no probably not

  48. Malicious Phenom says:
    (link)

    Hey man, I am thinking of dropping Carlos Rodon (for now) for Roberto Osuna, he got a save tonight and I have just 2 closers, Jansen and Robertson..good move?

    • I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor, and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
      (link)

      @Malicious Phenom: dynasty or redraft or keeper? redraft of course.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I would hold until Osuna’s role is clear. The deadline could change things for him.

      • Malicious Phenom says:
        (link)

        @Mike: I did and thanks again as he was brilliant today!

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          no problem…stud potential in Rodon if his control improves

          • Malicious Phenom says:
            (link)

            @Mike: ZERO walks yesterday is a nice start.

  49. Phil says:
    (link)

    Thoughts on Erik Johnson this year?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I’m intrigued by the strikeouts and the control bouncing back. 25 isn’t ancient either.

  50. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
    (link)

    12 team roto redraft league with OPS, hits, XBH and net steals over steals with this roster:
    c-santana
    hosmer
    altuve
    sandoval
    alcides
    IF lind/zobrist
    OF trout/clutchin’/harper/pence
    Util ortiz/tucker/bogaerts
    BN franco
    do i have a drop for joc, somebody recently dropped him.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Tucker if anybody

  51. Malicious Phenom says:
    (link)

    Mike, we liking this guy in my keep forever league:

    Michael Foltynewicz

    where do you have him ranked, or is he good, just not a Carling.

Comments are closed.