Friday’s back and we’ve got another 14 game main slate on FanDuel. This is going to be a tough slate to get through, as most of the bats I like are high end. We’ll lead with a mini-discount SP in Kyle Gibson ($8,100), who faces a Detroit team who ranks 29th in wOBA vs RHPs. Detroit is only projected to have one bat in the lineup with an ISO > .200 in Niko Goodrum, and while I admit Niko is a super badass name, Niko alone does not strike fear into my heart. Saving a little money with Gibson opens the door up a little to pay up for some of the day’s big bats. Let’s take a look at the rest of Friday’s slate on FanDuel.
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Freddy Peralta, SP: $7,900 – Peralta’s been incredible vs RHBs, sporting a .084/.204/.161 triple slash. He should face 6 RHBs + the pitcher spot. If he can get past the red hot Carpenter (just intentionally walk him every time), Peralta should be in line for a really nice day.
Indians Bats: David Hess is pitching for the Orioles today……and I am absolutely stacking against him at all costs. Hess struggles against both righties and lefties and faces a studly Indians team, which unfortunately isn’t cheap. Jose Ramirez ($5,000), Francisco Lindor ($4,500), and Michael Brantley ($4,300) crush righties. Follow that up with Yonder Alonso ($3,700), Jason Kipnis ($3,500), and Melky Cabrera ($3,300), and yup, I’m still in. Whoever bats in the 9-hole will be a sneaky play too. I know there’s a chance that he’ll see less at-bats than someone at the top, but batting ahead of Lindor, Greg Allen ($2,800) should see plenty of great Hess-pitches to smash.
Nationals Bats: The Nats face Dan Straily. Straily struggles vs LHBs and the Nats lineup is chock full of them. They range from the pricey in Bryce Harper ($4,500) and Juan Soto ($4,000) to the affordable in Daniel Murphy ($3,300), Adam Eaton ($2,700), and Matt Adams ($2,500). If Adams and his .279 ISO and .380 wOBA vs RHP is in the lineup he’s my favorite play.
Rougned Odor, 2B: $3,500 – Odor’s been mashing and the Rangers face……Odrisamer Despaigne. Despaigne doesn’t have a high K-rate, so you’re telling me I can have the Rangers at home making a lot of contact? Yes please!!
Ketel Marte, 2B: $2,900 – Marte’s been really good vs LHP this year with a .257 ISO and .398 wOBA. This is a nice pay-down option to fit more expensive bats.
Shohei Ohtani, OF: $3,400 – Keep an eye on the lineup to make sure he’s playing, but it should be like hitting BP vs Huchison.
Nomar Mazara, OF: $2,500 – Fresh off the DL and super cheap. I love it!
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Summertime and there’s thunderstorms afoot. Cleveland/Baltimore might be in some danger. There are storms in the forecast all day, but they look like they should taper off towards first pitch. The following have around a 50% chance of thunderstorms as well; Cubs/Pirates, Blue Jays/Yankees, and Giants/Reds.
Doing Lines In Vegas
We’ve got two massive favorites in Nationals (-350) and Indians (-325), which adds a little bump to Scherzer and Carrasco for the W. As of this writing there is no total out for the Rangers/Angels game, but I expect this game to have the highest total on the night I’m setting the total at 10.5 (-110), sooooooooo place your bets.