Shades of Lionel Richie, you wake up, and suddenly…the season is almost over. Congratulations to all the fanbases that have the playoffs to look forward to. Incredibly that includes the Houston Astros, who currently sit at 25-26 and are currently the 6th seed in the AL. What a year. For a team that has been reviled and looked down on you have to appreciate their moxie. They’re motivated and fighting for a playoff spot. One of the reasons for that is young Christian Javier ($7,500). He won’t go deep, but he went 5 innings two outings ago, then only 2 innings in a relief role his last time. Of course, that was no ordinary 2 innings. He stuck out 5 Dodgers with no runs, not easy against that lineup. Today he goes against the Diamondbacks at home, where he has a 1.80 ERA. It doesn’t hurt that the struggling Diamondbacks struggle even more on the road. Javier is the best value starter on the main slate at FanDuel today, and we have some spots to put that extra cash, although it won’t be as Dodger and Rockie focused as you might think despite that Coors matchup.

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Rays starter Tyler Glasnow ($10,100) is the top starting pitcher option in GPP tournaments because of his enormous strikeout upside. He’s got a ridiculous 37.4% K-rate and has struck out seven or more batters in six consecutive starts. Glasnow isn’t an ideal cash play because of his volatility, but he has slate-breaking potential in tournaments. Go ahead and smash Glasnow in your lineups.

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Alright, I admit, my title doesn’t quite have the same pomp as some of the other pitcher-named days, but that is not to discount Framber Valdez ($9,100) and what he could potentially do tonight.  The biggest reason for this is his opponent.  I mean, the title could have been “Happy Pitcher Who Is Facing The Rangers Day”, but that’s a mouthful.  Just look at what Jose Urquidy (7 IP, 7Ks, 1 ER, 3 Hits) did to them the other day.  Sure, Bieber will likely dominate, but I’d prefer to take a discount and roll with Framber.  His near 9 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 are more than enough to pay the bills.  Framber has also been a tad unlucky as suggested by his 3.34 FIP vs. 4.08 ERA.  Add in the Rangers second to last team OPS and we have a recipe for success, be it in GPPs or a pivot in cash games.  Save some money with Framber and load up on juicy offense to win the day.

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Here we go, back again for some more DFS at Razzball. Not too many chances left in what has been a weird, wild, fun season. So let’s get down to business. Not the first name that comes to mind for an outfield option, but don’t forget Kevin Pillar (OF: $3,300) was traded to Coors where everyone can smash. Really any Rockies (or A’s) outfielder is a worthy consideration but let’s focus on the guy who might otherwise get overlooked. The power should go up and he’s chipping some speed. He has a great projection from the bot, making him one of your best bets today.

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Welcome to the home stretch. One silver lining of this shortened season, with expanded rosters from the beginning, is fewer question marks at this point. We aren’t worried about teams resting players for the playoffs, or how expanded rosters will juggle playing time. It’s pretty much business as usual. We start pitchers against the worst offenses and we start visiting hitters at Coors. Tonight is no different. The pitcher lucky enough to grab a start against one of those worst offenses tonight is rookie Jose Urquidy, P: $6,300, who is our top value play of the day. Urquidy is just getting started this season, but threw nearly 90 pitches in his most recent start, so he shouldn’t be restrained much by a pitch count. He is facing the Rangers, the worst offense of the slate by wOBA. We are hoping for a repeat of his performance against the Rangers last season, when he threw 7 innings of two hit ball with 9 strikeouts and no walks. Any performance even approaching that will see Urquidy return exceptional value.

For additional reading material, including our other top pitching choice for FanDuel Main Slate contests, keep on keeping on, and read below.

 

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Good Afternoon MLB DFS’rs, and welcome today’s FanDuel analysis.

Before we dive into the today’s slate, I want to spend a few short moments talking about mental illness. With it being Suicide Awareness month and recent news about Dak Prescott I thought it would be good to share some personal info about myself. About a year ago my brother took his own life. He had everything you could ask for in life. Beautiful family, super successful business, married his high school sweetheart. But he suffered in silence. In the end it was just too much to bear. Please, if you’re ever feeling down, SEEK HELP. Talk to friends, talk to family. Just know, someone loves you. And someone will be beyond crushed if you’re gone.

If you’re still with me, let’s dive into today’s action. We have a small three game main slate that I’ll focus on. I’ll be honest, I’m not a huge fan of anything where there’s less than four games. The game that I’ll be focusing most of my attention on is the Braves/Orioles game. In this game you have two pitchers who are both below average. This should, in my and Vegas’ opinion, be the highest scoring game of the day. If you’re going to win all the money, tonight’s a night where you may need to get a a little crazy. Pick a batter opposing the pitcher you’re using, stack the bottom of the lineup. When it’s this small, go crazy! Let’s look at some individual plays!

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I know I am only talking to the most hardcore of hardcore MLB DFS players today.  Why?  The NFL kicks things off with their first DFS day of the year and the degens will be hitting the NFL en force.  That means that only the strongest and most dedicated MLB DFS players will be playing today.  Expect sites to have slightly reduced MLB slates today as everyone turns their eyes to football.  So, let’s up our game today and make sure we can take down those sharks.  We’re going to need to roll the dice a bit in GPPs and that’s why I’m looking at Frankie Montas ($6,800).  Montas has been all over the map lately, but in his defense, three of his last five contests have been against the Astros.  I wouldn’t like anyone’s chances with those odds.  Today, he gets to face the Texas Rangers and their second to last team OPS.  The Rangers and Pirates are in a fight for the bottom and it’s not really close.  I love Montas for a bounce back here and I think a lot of people will be avoiding him due to his recent hiccups.  Reap those rewards my friends.

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Sometimes things just make sense, even in 2020. Today Julio Urias ($7,400) pitches for the 32-13 Dodgers against the 22-23 Astros in Dodgers Stadium. The Astros have been struggling with injuries the whole season, and their best hitter this year Kyle Tucker only hits .231 against left handed pitching. Urias has settled into a pattern of 6 or more innings every other start. Last time he only went 4.1 against the Rockies, so the pendulum should swing back to 6+ today. He’s also averaging around a strikeout an inning. The reason to search for value in the starter of course is to pile into players playing in Coors field without restriction. When it’s the Angels and Mike Trout is hot there’s more than enough reason to go there. The other thing to keep in mind is the Twins are looking good against young Zach Plesac according to our calculations. This is definitely a place to mine for profit while others jump on the Plesac train. Now onto that and other picks for today’s Main Slate on FanDuel.

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While Matt Olson ($3,300) appears to be having a rough year with a .193 batting average, he’s got a career high walk-rate at 15.7% to keep his head above water with a .320 OBP. He’s still hitting for a lot of power, with 12 home runs on the year and a 93rd percentile exit velocity. Olson and the A’s should tee off on Rangers starter Jordan Lyles, who has a 1.77 HR/9 and an 8.07 ERA. Tommy La Stella, Ramon Laureano, and other Athletics hitters are very affordable to be easily paired with Olson in a stack.

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There are only 2 Thursdays left in this weird season where life feels a little Groundhog Day-ish (doesn’t it?). So here we are on another Thursday, another day in which the pitching options seem somewhat on the “meh” side for our DFS slates on FanDuel. It’s pay up for Gerrit Cole, or take a risk and go cheaper and spend on hitting instead. Because I’ll admit to needing a little excitement in my life these days, I’m going to build a lineup around Aaron Civale ($9,200) versus the Royals. Civale could make for a good match-up versus the poor, last-in-their-division, Royals. He may earn some runs. He’s not going to be a strikeout machine. He’s more risky than Cole, but less than Paddack (more on the below). But he should go deep enough into the game and he could get a win. That’s a VictoriaB Ringing Endorsement™.  Let’s take a look at who else is out there, after the jump.

New to FanDuel? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well, be sure to read our content and subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays. Just remember to sign up through us before jumping into the fray. It’s how we know you care!

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