Honestly, I don’t know how much of a sleeper Masahiro Tanaka is going to be in 2018. I’m writing these posts without a ton of draft data. You down with ADP? No, actually, I’m not, and you know me. My guess is Tanaka will be drafted between 100-130 overall. There’s value to be had with that draft spot. If people start hyping him and his splits (which I’ll get to), then Tanaka’s going to zoom past the point of sleeper. I imagine in a lot of friendly leagues where people show up the day of the draft because it’s the only time they get away from their families, who they not-so-secretly despise, Tanaka will be a relative bargain. And by ‘relative bargain’ I don’t mean the cousin who is living with you who you tried to sell on the Darknet. Tanaka will have the Yankee inflation even in those leagues, so he’s not going to be as cheap as his last year 4.74 ERA should have him. Then, in quote-unquote smarter leagues, Tanaka might be drafted in the top 90 overall because in those leagues people want to prove how much more they know than their leaguemates so they push up a guy like Tanaka on draft boards. In most leagues, however, people will know Tanaka has a tendon issue, they’ll know he had a wretched first half last year (I promise I’ll get to the 2nd half), and they’ll know there’s safer guys while not wanting to prove anything to anyone by drafting Tanaka early. In those leagues, Tanaka should come at a relative bargain. Again, not the cousin you put on Darknet’s eBay. So, what can we expect from Masahiro Tanaka for 2018 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?
Please, blog, may I have some more?