Yup, I’m going for the stars of schmohawks this year.  What fun is it pussyfooting around saying some guys are overrated whom no one is drafting?  By the by, there’s millennials right now squinting at my use of pussyfooting, thinking, “That’s not a very woke word.  Can’t we make that word more cisgender, non-binary?  How about codpiecefooting?  Ken Doll’s groinfooting? An innie-on-the-no-no-touch-area-footing?”  However you want to get to that word is on you.  Or is it “howmever?”  Never the hoo!  Carlos Correa is the latest guy to get clowned and frowned on.  To get the sour candy face.  To get the head nod, then when I pass them, I fart.  All that’s left to draft in the first two rounds is Mike Trout and Jose Altuve.  Mea culpa, my Latin friends.  Ain’t how I drew it up originally, but the more I dug into the numbers it was where I ended up and…*bangs phone*  Why did Waze take me down a dead end?!  So, what can we expect from Carlos Correa for 2018 fantasy baseball and what makes him overrated?

Can we just throw everything that we think we know and instead focus on facts?  Thanks.  First little factoid, the Astros won the World Series last year.  I know, shocker!  Sorry for the spoiler for those of you who had the series on your DVR.  I still have election night of 2016 on my DVR, please don’t tell me how it turns out.  Since the Astros won the World Series (no longer a spoiler, I already told you), do you think they’re going to change their game plan drastically in 2018?  My guess is they’re going to try to repeat by doing what worked last year.  Ya know, when they ran Correa for a total of three steal attempts.  Sure, he can steal more bags, but why are we so convinced he will?  If he steals eight bags, it will be four times as many steals as last year, and on par with how many steals most projections systems are giving Correa for 2018.  Seems like a big jump for me, but let’s just say they’re right, and my five steals projections is too low.  Fine, eight steals.  Second little factoid, he had the 15th highest BABIP, but only the 92nd best line drive rate.  Doesn’t quite compute his .315 average last year.  He’s a career .288 hitter with a .326 BABIP, and that doesn’t seem too far from reality.  So TBD/TBD/TBD/.288/8.  Third little factoid, hitting behind him are Josh Reddick, Yuli Gurriel and Marwin Gonzalez.  Sure, last year, they were all terrific, but the Astros had one of those dream seasons where Reddick, Marwin and Gurriel performed above-and-beyond, if you’re picking up what I’m putting down.  I.e., in the big picture, Marwin, Yuli and Reddick and a cluster of crap.  A crapluster.  People are projecting Correa for 95 runs, but I could see that trifecta behind him quickly becoming a crapfecta and he gets 80-85 runs, but let’s give the Astros the benefit of the doubt.  So, 95/TBD/TBD/.288/8.  Next up on our journey for the truth, power.  He’s never hit more than 24 homers in a season.  Yes, he looks like a 35-homer hitter.  Sure, he passes the eye test.  So, great, throw out his contacts, but we’re sure asking for a lot projecting him for 30 homers, but eff it in the eff hole, let’s give it to him!  So, 95/30/TBD/.288/8.  Last factoid, he’s gonna drive in a lot of runs, and rack up those ribbies like he’s on Man vs. Food.  I can’t argue with this.  The guys in front of him will give him opportunities.  Correa may knock in 115 RBIs.  So, 95/30/115/.288/8.  Bunch of best case scenarios there, but let’s just give him that.  That line looks to me like Yoenis Cespedes minus ten runs and fifteen RBIs.  Look less than what Cody Bellinger did last year, and is projected for this year.  Looks less than what Yasiel Puig is projected for this year.  Looks less than Justin Upton minus some average.  Looks less than Ryan Braun is projected for.  Looks way less than Machado, who I see being drafted after Correa.  I don’t mind Correa, but y’all crazy drafting him in the top 12 overall, and that’s why he was stamped schmohawk.  Now get out of my drafts!  Speaking of drafts (segue!), you’ll see Razzball writers are going to start to appear in RCL leagues, so if you haven’t signed up yet, you should because once the names start to appear the leagues could fill fast.  I hear even Tehol’s name could appear in one, or a dozen so leagues.

  1. Earl says:
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    Interesting article about correa.

    Just completed 5×5 draft with 12 teams and wondering about thoughts of team
    Cat Yadier molina
    Cat Jorge Alfaro
    1b Freddie Freeman
    2b Jonathan schoop
    Ss Trevor story
    3b Rafael devers
    Ci Evan longoria
    Mi Ozzie Albies
    Util ryon Healy
    Of Bryce Harper
    Of marcel Ozuna
    Of Gregory Polanco
    Of Michael Taylor
    Of Randal grichuk
    Bench Ryan McMahon
    Bench Ronald acuna
    Bench Jorge Polanco
    Bench Ben gamel
    Sp Noah syndergaard
    So Robbie Ray
    Sp Alex wood
    Sp Blake snell
    Sp Patrick Corbin
    Sp Mike Clevinger
    Rp Corey Knebel
    Rp brad hand
    Rp Blake Treinan
    Bench Luis Gohara
    Bench Trevor Williams
    Bench Josh Hader

    Thanks for input

    • Packers says:
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      @Earl: Nice team overall. However, it looks light on SB and Avg. Pitchers are a nice combo of floor and upside IMO.

      • Earl says:
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        @Packers: Thanks. I agree about the stolen bases but think my average is fine. Using Grey’s projections, I estimated my average to be around .270 from starters.

        • Packers says:
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          @Earl: Earl, most of the 12 team roto leagues I play in (12-14) I shoot for .275 on up. It doesn’t seem like much in real life baseball but in fantasy .005 can make a difference of 2-4 SGP’s.
          It amazes me how 10 HR’s or SB’s, a couple of saves or a few runs or RBI’s can affect the standings in a league.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Earl: Your pitching is insane, I think too much… That’s hurt your hitting, it’s not as good as it should be for 12 teams

      • Earl says:
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        @Grey: not sure what I could have really done differently other than perhaps not take syndergaard in end of 3rd round and perhaps taken pitcher in 5th but that would have only gotten me 1 better bat. Or maybe not taken Ray in 5th but again only result in one better bat.

        According to your projections, I think my hrs are over 300 and rbis were like around 1100 plus. I feel I am maybe little deficient in runs but not a lot and maybe stolen bases. Still feel average around 270 or so is pretty good but maybe I am kidding myself.

        Trying to maybe learn for other email draft and upcoming rcls.

        If you think my pitching is too much, you should see 2 or 3 other teams staffs. Obviously people do not follow you. I did try following your top 500 fairly closely but will see how next draft does.

    • @Earl: boom shakalaka made in Correa Shmohawk?

      Omg thing id add to this is that if the guys behind Correa regress as projected, they might run him more. It might be that they didn’t have to run Carlos that much, since the Craptacar Trio was so en Fuego.

      But one can’t project 12-15 SB, so HELL YES give me Machado over this Schmohawk.

      Signed,

      2017 Correa Owner who named his team “Made in “Correa”.

      Also, sup bro – sweet ‘stache.

  2. HAL says:
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    I’m in a 14-team 5×5 league, 9 hitters, 7 pitchers (3 SP, 2 RP, 2 P), and 5 bench This is my first season. How do you recommend to allocate the flex and bench spots?

    You mentioned in a previous article that you try to take a high upside bat for your utility spot so I assume that’s the answer there. Do you try to take 5 bench pitchers so you end up with 9 hitters and 12 pitchers? What’s the target breakdown from SP to RP? 8 starters to 4 relievers?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @HAL: 5 bench pitchers in a 14 team league seems a bit much, maybe 3 or 4 pitchers, and 1 or 2 hitters, depending on how the team shapes up — You should aim for 2 1/2 closers, 3-4 relievers

      • HAL says:
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        @Grey: Is that “two and a half closers” So something like 3-4 starts, 3-4 relievers, and 2-3 closers (10-11 total)? That leaves 9 starting hitters and 1-2 on the bench.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yup

  3. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Along the same lines…any concern that Altuve stole 13 bags in about 200 PA hitting 1st or 2nd last year (1 SB per 16.6 PA) but only 19 bags in 445 PA hitting in his current 3rd slot (1 SB per 23.4 PA). Not a huge difference across a full season (we’re talking 28 sb pace vs 39 sb pace), but any concerns that he runs even less from the #3 spot in 2018?

    I find myself not feeling as confident about taking him 2 as others…

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @OaktownSteve: I hear ya. Problem is, is Turner really #2 overall? (I love him, but def some risk there)

        • Malicious Phenoms says:
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          @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?:
          I’d take Harper at 2. He is the 2nd best player in baseball, IMHO, and he is only 25 and cud be hitting in Yankee stadium or Wrigley starting next season.

          • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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            @Malicious Phenoms: Yeah, I like Harper too. Thinking more for redraft leagues . . . Turner and Harper both carry a little more risk than I’d like to take at pick 2, but I feel like it’s down to Turner, Harper, Betts, or Arenado for me (if I took Arenado I’d probably look for Dee in round 2).

            • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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              @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Posted too early . . . but yea, in snakes I’m hoping for either pick 1 or somewhere in the middle-to-back of the first round . . . saw Goldy go at #14 in a yahoo 12 team mock! (i didn’t draft him intentionally to see where he went).

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        @OaktownSteve: Shhhh!!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: I’ve been thinking if I had the 2nd pick would I take Altuve or Trea… And I haven’t always answered Altuve…

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Grey: Makes sense – thanks! Especially with guys like Rizzo, Freeman, Machado etc. available in the second round, I could see going upside with Turner in round 1. You don’t want to miss on your first pick, but this year there are a lot of first round caliber bats available in the second round to help guard against that risk (meanwhile, everyone else is taking Chris Sale and Kluber there).

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Treat and Rizzo or Freeman or Machado would be magically…

      • Justin says:
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        @Grey:

        Sometimes you go with Altuve but then sometimes Trea? Does it depend upon the time of day? General mood?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Nah, I’d go Altuve, but Trea is enticing AF

          • Justin says:
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            @Grey:

            Trea is enticing Al Franken….got it

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Who isn’t?

  4. kingforaday151 says:
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    Grey, need to decide on a handful of mediocre options to fill out my keeper list….

    Gallo @ $3
    Lamb @ $5
    Castellanos @ $7
    Big Willie Calhoun @ $3
    Dahl @ $6
    Ian Happ @ $3
    Josh Bell @ $5

    Which 2 would you cut from the list? Other guys I’m planning to keep are Albies, Bregman, Baez, Springer, and Luke Weaver.

    • Justin says:
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      @kingforaday151:

      Definitely Dahl and prob Big Willie

    • DozierTheDozierian says:
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      @kingforaday151: Gallo if your league doesn’t count average. Definitely agree with Justin on Willie, other one could be Lamb at 3B/CI if you’re playing Bregman at SS, but you could make a case for Happ and his 2B/OF eligibility too. He’ll find his way into plate appearances. I think those guys are actually much better than mediocre at those prices.

  5. The Great Knoche says:
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    Ironic that you want to throw the contacts away on Correa, but don’t want to take Pham’s into account.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @The Great Knoche: I’m a contradiction wrapped in a riddle inside an elevator in the Sphinx’s nose

  6. Bad Ash says:
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    G’day sir. Standard 12 team 5×5 keeper (keep 5). I’m keeping Altuve, Arenado and Bellinger. I know, boner. Other keeper options are: Correa (7th round), Severino (last round) and Judge (last round). Leaning Severino and Judge. What say you?

    I want to NOT keep the guy who would most likely fall to me in the second round. That might be Severino. But two schmohawk posts in a row to kerfluffle me! If I don’t keep Correa, someone like Votto probably falls to me in second round. Not terrible.

    • Pager24 says:
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      @Bad Ash: You have to keep Judge in the last round- that’s just too good of value. The schmohawk post was only because he is being drafted around top 20 overall. I think I would keep Judge and Correa and hope Severino falls to you. Or, maybe see what you could trade Correa for?

      Just some random dudes 2 cents tho?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Bad Ash: I’d saying no Correa in first 15 picks, in 7th rounds is fine

  7. Justin says:
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    How dare thee bring up Marwin Gonzalez!! Keep his name out of your mouth!!!! Dude’s a saint!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Justin: Ya know the W in Marwin is a typo, right?

      • Justin says:
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        @Grey:

        Obviously it’s supposed to be Marbin. And when he gets married to Cameron Maybin, he’ll be Marbin Maybin.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Maybe Marbin Maybin, depends if he takes his name

          • Justin says:
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            @Grey:

            He definitely would. Cameron is alpha in this relationship, no doubt

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Marbin is total beta too

  8. Nick says:
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    12 team, 5 categories, head to head roto keeper decision to make. I get to keep 2 of these guys, do you have an opinion as to who you like best here:

    K. Bryant (Round 1)
    G. Sanchez (Round 6)
    T. Turner (Round 19)
    M. Ozuna (Round 21)
    A. Bregman (Round 24)
    W. Merrifield (Round 24)
    M. Olsen (Round 24)
    C. Knebel (Round 24)

    Initially, it was Turner/Bryant but I’m starting to warm up to Turner/Bregman.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Nick: Can’t go wrong with either, I’d prolly go Bryant/Turner

    • LenFuego says:
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      @Nick: Doesn’t it kind of depend on where you draft in the 1st round? If you are picking near the top of the round, you might end up with your pick of, say, Bryant, Betts and Goldschmidt. If you are picking last in the 1st round, then Bryant starts making more sense. (I think I would be going Bregman regardless with a 24th round valuation.)

  9. The Great Knoche says:
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    Hey any idea why our name and email no longer remain in the field when we comment for the next time. Changed on both my laptop and my mobil yesterday.

    Not that I mind typing it in every time I post, but I do.

    • knucks says:
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      @The Great Knoche: This has happened to me everyday for the past year or so. And all my posts with my real email don’t appear until approved by the Mod (Grey I think?). So weird. I miss being able to see my grav.

      Grey, I just tried to login to gravatar using that [email protected] account that I use now to post and it still says I need to click the activate link. Any chance you can try clicking that again?

      “This account hasn’t been activated yet — check your email for a message from WordPress.com and click the activation link. You’ll be able to log in after that.”

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @knucks: I’ve been having the same issue as Knucks today

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        @knucks: Let me check your gravatar thing in a few

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @The Great Knoche: I think bc to speed up our server (has been faster right?) we’re clearing cache constantly (or holding cache and not clearing it? Something about cache)…

      • knucks says:
        (link)

        @Grey: You guys def do whatever you need to do. Nothing gonna stop me from Razzin.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I think I activated your account, check it

          • knucks says:
            (link)

            @Grey: test

          • knucks says:
            (link)

            @Grey: I’m in there and uploaded a picture so I think it works. Prob just needs a sec. Thanks for doing that brutha.

          • knuckss says:
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            @Grey: another test

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              This needed moderation bc you added an extra S

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        @Grey: Kind of seems faster I guess?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I think it does… We were crashing all weekend and on Monday, and haven’t since…

          • Peacecoast says:
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            @Grey: yes def faster today and yesterday, same problem with no name pre-loaded.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Sucks, take good good, take bad, take both?

              • Peacecoast says:
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                @Grey: I’ll take the speed. cuz it sucks to have to wait when I spam refresh waiting to see if you replied to a post. *fanboy mode on*

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha, agreed, reentering stuff sucks, but speed conquers all, hopefully we can keep it moving this well

  10. Foul balls says:
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    Just have one word to say today”………..survivor

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        @Grey: This isn’t sarcasm, btw

  11. kingforaday151 says:
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    Is anybody else out there concerned about Severino’s health this season? Almost all ranks have him in the Top 10, but his innings increased by 130+ last season compared to 2016 and he throws hard….historically the most risky pitchers have been hard throwing guys who had serious jumps in innings pitched. Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @kingforaday151: There’s other guys to draft if you’re concerned… I’m not

  12. Shane-o-mac says:
    (link)

    He’s a career .288 hitter with a .326 BABIP, and that doesn’t seem too far from reality. So TBD/TBD/TBD/.288/8

    LOL at career numbers for a 22 year old…

  13. InferiorHippo says:
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    I’m in a keep 15 players dynasty league (you can keep a player for up to 5 years.) We have to submit our keepers on Saturday.

    Im getting nervous about Domingo Santana possibly staying in Milwaukee, for my 15th keeper would you go with Domingo (4 years left), Ryan Zimmerman (4) or Tim Anderson (4)?

    Below are my keepers:
    C Sal Perez
    1B Wil Myers
    2B Dee Gordon
    2B Schoop
    SS Lindor
    3B Shaw
    OF Trout
    OF JD Martinez
    OF Khris Davis

    SP Verlander
    SP Gerrit Cole
    SP Wacha
    RP Kimbrel
    RP Osuna

    Thanks Grey!

    • InferiorHippo says:
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      @InferiorHippo: A person just offered me Trey Mancini for Domingo Santana as well…

    • MattTruss

      MattTruss says:
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      Hippos gotta stick together. I’d keep Anderson personally. Can you play all these guys though? Does your league have a MI slot? I see you’re already keeping 3 MIs, so if Anderson will just sit on the bench, maybe a UTIL player like Trey might be a better option.

      • InferiorHippo says:
        (link)

        @MattTruss: Hippos do stick together. No MI slot,
        but we have 3 Util spots so we can play any position player there. So right now Ill have Schoop and the last keeper there.

        • MattTruss

          MattTruss says:
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          Gotchya, Anderson or Trey for me, kinda needs dependent, SB vs HR/AVG. Also based on what you have left for time on your other keepers, but one of those two for sure.

          • InferiorHippo says:
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            @MattTruss: Thanks guys. I traded for Trey straight up, sot that’s who I’m going with

  14. FrankGrimes says:
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    I love Thomas Pham dammit!
    Oh wait that was yesterday.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @FrankGrimes: You still powering through Gomorra?

      • FrankGrimes says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Ciro, The Immortal

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          The best!

      • FrankGrimes says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        You finished? I’m starting S2 this week.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I finished and downloaded 3rd season from worldwide web and finished that too… It’s so good!

          • FrankGrimes says:
            (link)

            @Grey:

            Wut? A third season? And you know how to do that too.
            So many emotions…

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              I feel like an old person…Is it a good surprise or bad surprise?

              • FrankGrimes says:
                (link)

                @Grey:
                Ha it’s good.
                Where you find it?
                Shoot me an email if you don’t want to say here.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Name starts with McCutchen’s last team, end rhymes with Bey

                  • FranksGrimes says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey:
                    Gotcha. Thanks!

                  • Malicious Phenoms says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey:
                    I want to watch as well, but I guees I am bot as smar as Grimey, I get the first part, but not the 2nd…lol

                    • Malicious Phenoms says:
                      (link)

                      @Malicious Phenoms: I don’t even type as well as Grimey..LOL

      • Peacecoast says:
        (link)

        @Grey: hey I watched my first episode last night! Already hooked.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          It’s so good!

          • Peacecoast says:
            (link)

            @Grey: yes, raw, foreign, well shot. those are 3 words that jump to mind. is it popular in italy? looked it up yes it was italy’s most popular show in 2016.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, it was most popular show ever there

              • Peacecoast says:
                (link)

                @Grey: kinda stereotypical for a mafia show to be the most popular tv show ever in italy?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Better than “Guy Fieri Goes To Italy” — I was trying to describe it, and I said The Wire meets Sopranos, and I was like damn, that is really high compliment…

                  • Peacecoast says:
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                    @Grey: ONLY TWO OF TEH BEST SHOWS EVER!!11!11!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      I know!

  15. Slippin Jimmy says:
    (link)

    New guy here. The league is H2H points, 40 man rosters, 12 team, dynasty, daily moves. What do you guys think?

    HITTERS – STARTERS
    C – Perez, Salvador
    1B – Myers, Wil
    2B – Odor, Rougned
    3B – Shaw, Travis
    SS – Bregman, Alex
    OF – Blackmon, Charlie
    OF – Buxton, Byron
    OF – Harper, Bryce
    U – Braun, Ryan

    HITTERS – BENCH
    Mancini, Trey
    Villar, Jonathan
    Franco, Maikel
    Arcia, Orlando
    Russell, Addison
    Heyward, Jason
    Margot, Manuel
    Pederson, Joc
    Smith, Mallex
    Ramiel Tapia
    Zimmer, Bradley
    Mondesi, Adalberto
    Profar, Jurickson
    Mateo, Jorge
    Soler, Jorge
    Trammell, Taylor

    PITCHERS – STARTERS
    SP – Archer, Chris
    SP – Gray, Sonny
    SP – Hamels, Cole
    SP – Cueto Johnny
    RP – Hand, Brad
    RP – Peacock, Brad

    PITCHERS – BENCH
    Richards, Garrett
    Snell, Blake
    Taillon, Jameson
    Walker, Taijuan
    Cobb, Alex
    Glasnow, Tyler
    Harvey, Matt
    Matz, Steven
    Velasquez, Vince

    Pineda, Michael – DL
    Ross, Joe – DL

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Slippin Jimmy: Your hitting looks prone to slumps, which isn’t great in H2H and your pitching has a few guys I’m not crazy about as I go over in my rankings

      • Slippin Jimmy says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Never thought about a lineup being slump prone, but I see where you are coming from, good thing I have some decent bench bats.

        My pitching is a work in progress, I took Harvey with my last pick, I see he din’t pitch so great today, I guess he will never be the same.

        Thanks for your critique. Love the site by the way, loads of info and great rankings, much better than these so called major sites.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Thanks for the kind words!

  16. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    With Gurriel getting hamate bone surgery, does this change your feelings about Derek Fisher? If Marwin moves to 1B, I’m thinking that maybe Fisher could secure a starting OF spot with a strong spring (but still be at reserve round prices). Sort of makes me like him more than playing the Dahl/Tapia game for the second year in a row. . .

    • OaktownSteve says:
      (link)

      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: I heard some Houston insider reporter a couple weeks ago saying the Astros might prefer to give more ABs to Tyler White than Fisher. Would mean Marwin stays in left and White gets most of the 1b. White’s bat looks ready to me.

      • The Great Knoche says:
        (link)

        @OaktownSteve: I think White plays 1B, Fisher plays LF everyday, and Marwin moves all around and still gets 5+ starts a week. They’ll split up the ABs. Honestly I think Yuli ends up on the bench when he gets back unless someone under performs.

        • OaktownSteve says:
          (link)

          @The Great Knoche: Here are a couple things on Fisher. He looked over matched last year. His big league k rate was ugly. Maybe more of a concern is he was only 15-25 is steals in aaa last year and only 3-6 with the Astros. Astros completely shut down Springer’s run game for poor %. I would not be surprised to see Fisher go down and marinate a little more even with gurriel going down. Marisnick can play left too.

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
            (link)

            @OaktownSteve:
            White wud be the guy to get then?

            • OaktownSteve says:
              (link)

              @Malicious Phenoms:

              I’d keep eyes and ears open in the spring.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        @OaktownSteve: Yeah, the Astros seem like they enjoy playing 6 guys in 4 positions, so Fisher won’t be only benefactor

      • Geoff

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
        (link)

        @OaktownSteve: I think JD Davis could be in the mix too. They have options, and of course the always popular AJ Reed.

        The thing with Fisher, he’s steadily improved his plate discipline throughout the minors and didn’t chase a ton in his debut. I really do love Fisher’s skills and think he’s still fantasy relevant regardless of how much he runs (though the steals would be nice of course). That said, I’d be shocked if he saw the field in more than 50% of the games while Yuli is out.

        • OaktownSteve says:
          (link)

          @Ralph Lifshitz:

          To me, he didn’t look MLB ready last year. Not a real precise word I’m using, but what I saw was “overmatched.” He wouldn’t be the first guy to get a weak cup of coffee and come back strong the next year though.

          • Geoff

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
            (link)

            @OaktownSteve: That’s the thing, and he did look bad, but he has a track record of making adjustments. That said I don’t think the Astros just roll him out there, not with Marisnick still in the mix, Fisher’s glove is not good.

  17. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    Are you effin serious? Now you have the gall to write a schmohawk post on… kidding! Correa is a phenomenal talent, but he won’t be on any of my teams this year either.

    • OaktownSteve says:
      (link)

      @Big Magoo:

      How do you feel about Bergman this year, Magoo?

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        @OaktownSteve: I like Bregman, but he’s being priced like a .285/25/20 player. I think he’s more of a .275/20/15 guy. Not sure about the steals either. He had never stolen double digit bags at any level prior to last year. Should score a boatload of runs if he stays in the two hole though.

        • Geoff

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
          (link)

          @Big Magoo: I had this conversation with Grey about his steals. He’s always run, it’s part of his game.

          He never played a full season in the minors, and he stole 20 in 146 minor league games. He also stole 38 his junior year at LSU, though i know “Ha college”, it’s SEC so we shouldn’t just dismiss it.

          That said it wouldn’t shock me if he stole 12-15 or less, the Astros are funny. He seems to be focused more on making power gains.

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            @Ralph Lifshitz: He has pretty good speed, but I don’t really count the college steals or the ones below AA ball. I could probably run on some of those catchers (maybe). In 80 minor league games between double and triple A, he has 7 steals. Think that’s a realistic pace for him.

            That being said, I wouldn’t be surprised if he stole 8 bags or 20 this year. Hard to say right now, like you mentioned.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Big Magoo: Finally, we’re simpatico once again!

      • BJFOHOHL says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Good to see, I hated watching the Million Dollar Man and The Mouth of the South (Jersey) fighting

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          More north Jersey, but understood!

          • Geoff

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Jack doesn’t know how offended you are by being called South Jersey. Like calling Jack Norcal.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha, exactly! South Jersey? May as well say I’m from Philly!

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
                (link)

                @Grey: Hey! Don’t diss Philly like that!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Philly fans do have a lot of Jersey in them, but north Jersey vs. south Jersey is NY vs. Philly, big difference…

  18. Big Ballin says:
    (link)

    OBP keep forever. Which side do you like better?

    Bellinger and Baez vs. Acuna and Hoskins

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
      (link)

      @Big Ballin:
      Bellinger side.

  19. Jose says:
    (link)

    So I saw Kyle Schwarber stole 2nd and 3rd in a game the other day. Now that he’s in… the best shape of his life…don’t you think he’ll flirt with a 30/30 season…..just kidding!

    Another WAR Room draft against Fantrax ADP last night! I’ve started to notice some ADP changes. I’d imagine things will start changing drastically in the next week or two.

    Drafted from the 3rd slot yesterday and drafted the Treat Urner himself!

    C Hedges (267)
    1B Bellinger (22)
    2B Schoop (51)
    3B J Turner (70)
    SS Turner (3)
    MI Anderson (147)
    CI Shaw (75)
    OF Springer (27)
    OF Marte (46)
    OF Enciarte (142)
    OF Conforto (190)
    OF A Hicks
    UTIL Owings (243)
    P Berrios (94)
    P Bauer (99)
    P Hand (118)
    P McCullers (123)
    P Bradley (166)
    P Bundy (171)
    P Herrera (195)
    P Corbin (214)
    P Roark (238)
    B Velasquez (262)
    B T Williams (286)
    B T Glasnow (291)

    Tried to overdraft Saves after waiting for the big names to be taken. Probably wouldn’t go that route in my draft, but wanted to see what it cost me. Could be worse.

    Hedges brought the average way down, but there are other options available at that point depending on need.

    Team was pretty well balanced according to WAR Room: R: 102%, HR 113%, RBI 97%, SB 101%, AVG 97% (Hedges), W, 86% (Over drafting Early closers?), K 97%, ERA 96%, WHIP 100%, SV 104%

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Jose: Too many Turners now! Kidding. I like this team better than yesterday’s, but your pitching is a bit risky

      • Jose says:
        (link)

        @Grey:
        I’d agree about the pitching. Probably not the draft day choices I would make, but I also tried in this draft to avoid even making picks that fell within 5 ADP spots of the draft slot I was drafting for.

        First time I’ve drafted Owings. Nice little gem.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I like Owings a lot, and no one else seems to

          • Jose says:
            (link)

            @Grey: SLG was a good bit over career norm. Maybe he only hits 9-11 HRs?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah, I hear ya

  20. Cram It says:
    (link)

    I didn’t see any NFBC preferences to receive notifications. I hope we’ll get emails when picks are made.

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
      (link)

      @Cram It:

      I am in an NFBC (invite from Scott Greene of prospects 1500) and we get an email when we are on deck to pick and than an email when we are up to draft. Hope that helps.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Cram It: Think MP’s right, I’d guess you get an email, if not multiple

      • Packers says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Click on the setting tab, then you can choose when you want emails. This is also for auto picks.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Cool

  21. Dom says:
    (link)

    10-team, 5×5 Roto, 10-player keeper league. I have 9 and need help on the 10th keeper.

    Keepers: Bellinger, Odor, Rendon, Devers, Springer, Darvis, Jansen, Gile, Hand

    In the first two rounds I should be able to land Lindor/Correa and Sherzer/Sale

    My final options to keep are: Salvador Perez, Trevor Story, Ozzie Albies, Gerrit Cole, and Alex Wood.

    I’m leaning Ozzie for the steals.

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
      (link)

      @Dom:
      Do you really need to keep 3 closers? I wud throw Hand back and keep Story and Albies.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Dom: Agree with MP on closers, but would keep Wood and Albies (or Story, your call)

      • Dom says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks for the input. A lot of closers will be kept this year, Hand would be the 2nd best closer on the board and will go before any of those other guys. Weird I know.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem, remember you know your league best

  22. Alan says:
    (link)

    In a $100 NL only keeper league. What side you like better, Chase Anderson at $2 or Travis Shaw at $9.50?

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
      (link)

      @Alan:
      Shaw

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Alan: Agree with MP

  23. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Survey for the group! 12 team keep 7 forever, +$3 annually.

    Trade my $18 Goldy for his $21 Harper?

    FWIW, my other 6 keepers are $3 Bellinger (would slot at 1B not CI now), $13 JDM, $26 Blackmon, $11 Devers, $10 Ray, $4 Godley (obviously I’m thinking humidor will have an impact, at least a little).

    Seems like a question of humidor risk v. injury risk.

    Going by Grey’s top 500, seems like it’s an easy Harper call ($21 cheaper than his $42 tag, plus 5 years younger) over Goldy ($19 cheaper than his $37 tag, and older) . . . but it makes me hesitant to trade for someone with injury risk.

    What say you?!

      • Another Dan says:
        (link)

        @Malicious Phenoms:
        Another perspective what will they cost over the next 4 years, which will you be happier paying for in 2021 ? (And yes I know a lot can happen!).

        2018 Goldy $18 aged 30
        2019 Goldy $21 aged 31
        2020 Goldy $24 aged 32
        2021 Goldy $27 aged 33

        2018 Bryce $21 aged 25
        2019 Bryce $24 aged 26
        2020 Bryce $27 aged 27
        2021 Bryce $30 aged 28

        Another question is how many OF spots do you have ? You have 3 with Bryce – does that make a difference ?

        • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
          (link)

          @Another Dan: Thanks – seems pretty marginal for getting Harper in his prime, presumably in a sweet destination 2019 and on.

          5 OF spots, so I’d still have 2 openings there + 1 CI spot to fill.

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks, all!

        Injury concerns probably unfounded . . . his style of play just lends itself to fluke-y “Harper goes EXTREME” type injuries. I think he’s calmed down and will continue to do so as he matures (last year’s injury was truly flukey due to that rain delay).

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I wouldn’t worry about that

        • Malicious Phenoms says:
          (link)

          @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?:

          Bryce Harper was scratched from the Nationals’ Grapefruit League lineup on Wednesday due to an ingrown toenail.

          It could sideline him for a couple of days, but this is nothing to worry about. Harper slashed .319/.413/.595 with 29 home runs and 87 RBI over 111 games last year and will be gunning for a record contract in free agency next winter. He’s a sure-fire first-round fantasy commodity for the 2018 season.

          • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
            (link)

            @Malicious Phenoms: hahah. an EXTREME ingrown toenail.

  24. Jerrod says:
    (link)

    Keeper league trade question: My Sale(2nd) and JD (4th) for Hoskins(30th), Robbie Ray(13th), Carlos Martinez(6th).

    My other keepers are Goldy(1st), Arenado(2nd), Cruz(6th), Segura(22nd) Knebel(29th).
    Some other thoughts are it’s a points league and I only have one starter to keep in Sale, and most other teams are keeping multiple starters so I might be in a whole there. Also with the trade I would open up picks in rounds 3-5 because of the better keeper round value I’d be getting back. Thoughts?
    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Jerrod: Hoskins side

  25. Chris says:
    (link)

    10 team H2H points league

    I can keep 6 players. This league is 10 years old and we can usually keep 10 players so I’ve been able to accumulate a really good stack of players to choose from. My first 5 are no-brainers:
    Arenado
    Bryant
    Stanton
    Correa
    Bellinger
    When I start drafting in the 7th round I’m sure all the #1 starters will be off the board so I’m thinking of keeping a pitcher with my sixth keeper which would be Severino over Bumgarner.

    Problem is I still have players like Rendon, Encarnacion, Bregman, Benintendi, Cabrera and pitchers like Robbie Ray, Paxton, Archer and Bumgarner that I’m throwing back.

    Am I making the right choice on my last keeper?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Chris: @Chris: One SP to keep is fine, yes Severino

  26. COJason says:
    (link)

    10-team, H2H keeper…Inciarte/Gregorius or Braun/Segura? OF’s would fall in my UT or bench spot, SS’s would be my starter.

  27. knucks says:
    (link)

    Site is def faster.

    Also, looks like my grav is working! Thanks again. There was a reason I added that extra “s” but it doesn’t really matter at this point.

    ETA on Rudy’s tools by any chance? Time to pay Razz back for all the hard work. Didn’t play in any $ leagues last year. But its def daqs all around this year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I think Rudy’s releasing them on Monday, not 100% sure tho

  28. Justin says:
    (link)

    Is Nick Markakis alive?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I saw him at gyro place talking about Greece’s economy

  29. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    I’m super excited…sometime in the next 1 to 32 hours I’ll be making my first pick of 2018

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d say me too, but that has connotations now… I am also excited!

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve: So far, there’s 5 people in the draft room and 4 of them pick before you. Good sign!

  30. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    30 Minutes.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Let’s get it, fellas!

  31. Gigorilla says:
    (link)

    2 minute warning

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Aw sookie!

      • Gigorilla says:
        (link)

        Is there an auto pick option, so if gone, you don’t have to waste 4 hours for everyone before the pick to go in?

        • The Great Knoche says:
          (link)

          @Gigorilla: There used to be. Not seeing it though.

          • Gigorilla says:
            (link)

            I just sent them that question – don’t see it either.

            • Cram It says:
              (link)

              @Gigorilla: Below the clock or through the settings gear in the top right.

              • The Great Knoche says:
                (link)

                @Cram It: What pick you guys on. We’ve made it to #2!

                • Cram It says:
                  (link)

                  @The Great Knoche: We’re on 7. Everyone is in the room except that guy.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Just drafted Giancarlo at 7, couldn’t pull trigger on Goldy

                    • Cram It says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: I hear ya. Giancarlo is titillating. I don’t like any guys at 12! I don’t want Freeman or Lindor in the first round. I’ve got a somewhat reach I’m going with if no one drops to me.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Freeman/Lindor isn’t a bad 1/2 combo though if you can get them… Rudy’s much lower on Freeman, fwiw

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Rudy’s league is on 7

                  • Cram It says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: I’m not that high on Freeman. Worried about counting stats in that lineup. Not sold on Lindor’s power and I perfer my 1st rounder to fill R/HR/RBI. I got Bryant at 12.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, Rudy told me you took Bryant, it was between Sale and Bryant for him… I have Bryant above Freeman too in my rankings

            • Gigorilla says:
              (link)

              What browser are you using Cram? No option on my IE.

              • Gigorilla says:
                (link)

                Got it — Thanks.

                Should be a helpful tool for all…..

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Maybe an ad blocker?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I’m sure

  32. Yankee My Wanky! says:
    (link)

    Grey,
    Here we go again – another season underway. Great stuff from you as usual.

    I am in a Yahoo 12 Team 6×6 H2H Keeper League (OPS and Holds) and my 2 Keepers are Bellinger in the 11th and Hoskins in the 12th. They obviously qualify for 1B and OF in Yahoo. My question is at my first pick (#9), there is an insane chance that Goldy will be there. For some reason, Yahoo has him ranked #11. Anyway, if it comes to me and he is there, do I grab him and fill my Util and/or OF with Bellinger and Hoskins? I would probably go Lindor or Machado with my next pick. Your assistance would be greatly appreciated.

    Thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Good to see you! I’d draft Goldy

  33. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    6 Minutes in and no 1st pick, and 2nd picker isn’t in draft room. I love these things!

    • Gigorilla says:
      (link)

      Last year was 8 hour windows. Painful.

      I was hoping the 4 hour would be much better. TGK – you mentioned 3 hours after R30 — then Ambrosius would adjust ours to match?

      • The Great Knoche says:
        (link)

        @Gigorilla: No, we are starting a day early so it will be 4 hours all the way through. 1st pick on the board.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Already sick of it! (Kidding)

  34. Peacecoast says:
    (link)

    btw I am gonna go all in and saw Deshizz is dashit this year.
    Leading off. 260/15/30

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I like that DeShizz better than batting 9th and platooning DeShizz… Could see it changing by May tho

  35. Vrugg says:
    (link)

    Grey, first things first, I want to thank you and all the Razzballers out there for your advice last season. You helped me to a 2nd consecutive league championship. Now to the task at hand, the league is a 12 team H2h with hitting categories of R, H, HR, RBI, AVG, OPS, SB and pitching categories of W, S, H, K, ERA, WHIP and QS and I can keep three of the following players.

    Eric Hosmer SD – 1B
    Ian Desmond Col – 1B,OF
    Carlos Correa Hou – SS
    Trea Turner Was – SS
    Alex Bregman Hou – 3B,SS
    Kris Bryant ChC – 3B,OF
    Christian Yelich Mil – OF
    Tommy Pham StL – OF
    Aaron Nola Phi – SP
    Alex Wood LAD – SP
    Carlos Carrasco Cle – SP
    Charlie Morton Hou – SP
    Collin McHugh Hou – SP
    James Paxton Sea – SP
    Patrick Corbin Ari – SP
    Robbie Ray Ari – SP
    Yu Darvish ChC – SP

    Who do you like?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Trea, Bryant, Carrasco — See why you won, nice set to choose from

  36. Bill Brooks says:
    (link)

    Which of these do you think has the best keeper value? $260 limit, Basic stats.

    Tiajuan Walker $7 2years
    Stroman $9 2 years
    Wade Davis $10 1 year
    Colome $9 2years
    Hanley $6 1 year

    Or should I just not bother with any of them and keep one less guy?
    As usual, thanks for the opinion.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      How many teams? Walker at $7 is great in a 20 team league, not so much in a 10 team league

      • Bill Brooks says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Yeah, 10 team

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      They’re not keepers

      • Bill Brooks says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  37. Sweatpants Nation says:
    (link)

    Nice write up. Good guy to have at short but not for the price. How about Stroman? Wait and see at this point? I know you were somewhat low on him anyway. I hate ptchers with bad shoulders.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I wasn’t drafting Stroman to begin with, nothing’s changed

      • Sweatpants Nation says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I didn’t mind him for the right price, but now I’m off him.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yup

  38. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    Soler hit two homers yesterday.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Someone mentioned it yesterday… Heat’s died down on him tho… Feels that way… He peaked at 275 overall, and plateaued…

  39. Burt says:
    (link)

    Grey!
    need help with my last keeper, 12tm 6×6 OPS x QS
    10 keepers allowed, already picked 9 (6 offensive $84 and 3 starters $48 – $132 so far of my budget)

    who should i keep as my 10th keeper? I was leaning towards another pitcher to have 6×4 but maybe I’m being a bonehead lol

    Danny Duffy $6
    J Gray $9
    Lamet $1
    Cespedes $27

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Meh, I’d likely go Lamet and save $$$ for elsewhere…

      • Burt says:
        (link)

        That’s kinda what I was thinking, Thanks and Cheers

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  40. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    Giancarlo! Saw that coming.

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve: I still though he’s go Goldy. I think more worried about the humidor than he’s staying publicly.

  41. herschel says:
    (link)

    @Grey: weekly roto keeper. debating between moncada (can keep in 19th round for 3 years) or story (can keep in 21st for 2 years) for my last keeper. tomato/tomahto? this year and beyond?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Tomato-tomahto…I’d likely go Moncada

      • herschel says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Gracias. Any good TV recs of late? Need something new…..

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Gomorra on Netflix

          • herschel says:
            (link)

            @Grey: been sitting in my queue. havent started it yet. much appreciated….

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem

  42. Jorge says:
    (link)

    Why are you saying Correa’s projections are less than Braun is projected for? Braun looks like he has worse/lower projections that what you projected for Correa in everything except SB.

  43. IntendedSteb says:
    (link)

    In a league that counts K/BB/OBP/SLG fot hitters, how would you move Yelich and Buxton in your OF rankings?

  44. DonnieB says:
    (link)

    I completed a 12 team draft against Jeff Erickson and some top NFBC players. Here’s my team:
    C D’Arnaud an Avila
    1B Goldschmidt
    2B Happ with Jose Reyes in reserve
    SS DeJong
    3B Machado
    MI T. Beckham
    CI Devers
    OF Bellinger,Hamilton,Puig,C Dickerson,Grichuk, and Renfroe in reserve
    DH Moustakas with Pujols and Hanley in reserve

    SP C. Martinez, Paxton, Weaver, Bauer, Wacha and Corbin with Blake Snell, Alex Reyes and Trevor “the real deal”
    Williams in reserve
    RP Giles,Bradley and Kelvin Herrera

    I would love your thoughts on this team. Thanks for all your insights!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I like the team a lot, maybe a bit of risk with your hitting, but your pitching is kickass… Solid team!

      • DonnieB says:
        (link)

        I was shocked to get Goldschmidt, Machado and Bellinger in first three picks from the 8 spot. I know the OF has some risk and needs a little FAAB work—maybe. I hope Machado does play SS and gives me some MI flexibility.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I hear ya

  45. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    The other owner officially made that keep forever offer of $21 Harper for my $18 Goldy . . . gulp, here we go!

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
        (link)

        @Cram It:
        Cram, thoughts on Steven Matz this year. draft as a last pick or I cud do better?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      NOOOOO!!! Kidding, nice trade

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        @Grey: bahahah

  46. Malicious Phenoms says:
    (link)

    Take It, take it..take it..lol

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
      (link)

      @Malicious Phenoms: [liam neeson voice]: he’s been taken.

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
        (link)

        @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?:

        AWESOME. I think you will be very happy with your decision!

        Now, you realize, if you hadn’t done that deal, I would have had to look for you, and I would have found you… and I would have had to kill you.

        • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
          (link)

          @Malicious Phenoms: Haha – sounds like you have a particular set of skills!

  47. Malicious Phenoms says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    Hey where do I find Gomarra on the web, to download?

    We do not have it on netflix here in blizzard country, Ireland, storm Emma, worst winter storm here in 36 years! Over a foot of snow in places today already and she is a stayin thru the week..

    Global warming, yeah right, it is minus 8! Damn, I miss Cali!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not sure, I have it on Netflix

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Are there any downloading sites u use?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          See my comment to Frank Grimes

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
            (link)

            @Grey: I didn’t understand it, I am bad at riddles and puzzles..lol

            • Malicious Phenoms says:
              (link)

              @Malicious Phenoms:
              email me, if you have time, this way I’ll have it written down.

              • The Harrow says:
                (link)

                @Malicious Phenoms: you’d understand the idea of what team mcclutchen in his knee used to play on , the 2nd word is bay

  48. D Landis says:
    (link)

    Grey, was just offered his Gallo,Cespedes, and Austin Hays for my Dozier ..

    12 team Roto.. forever keep 10 + 10 farm/stash

    I gotta do this right?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Take it

  49. Mike says:
    (link)

    Could you rank the following in a points league

    Pollack at $13
    Domingo Santana at $5
    Eaton at $4

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      That order

  50. Kevin says:
    (link)

    Awesome article.

    First time making a comment. I need help with a tough decision. I’m in a 14 team full keeper. I lost last year in the championship by home field advantage in a head to head matchup.
    I want to win now… and was recently offered Aaron Judge and I will need to give up Kerston Hiura…..Victor Robles….Keibert Ruiz……and Patrick Corbin.

    Is Judge the real deal?

    Thank you in advance.

  51. The Great Knoche says:
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    Well, on the bright side with the 4 hour clock we will get through round 1 today.

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      @The Great Knoche: Looks like all I had to do was say something!

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
      (link)

      @The Great Knoche:

      I am in a 8 hour one, been going on for weeks and we are only in round 28 of 50…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Fingers crossed!

  52. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    Saw that you got Giancarlo at 7. Very nice. Did OTS go yet?

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      @Big Magoo: He took Blackmon

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        @The Great Knoche: Nice. Are you in that league too, Knoche?

        • The Great Knoche says:
          (link)

          @Big Magoo: Yup. Turner at 3.

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            @The Great Knoche: You’re in the same boat as Rudy with his LABR pick. Could challenge Trout for the top fantasy player this year. I’d probably wuss out and take Arenado there, but I’m more of a floor guy early on. Could pay off huge for you though.

            • The Great Knoche says:
              (link)

              @Big Magoo: Yeah, Was actually debating him and Betts. Just looking at what may or may not be available coming back at pick 28, I think Turner give me the most options to pair up with my 2nd and 3rd round picks. Only Gordon is potential speed option to pair w/ straight power guy. And I dont like taking him that early.

              • Big Magoo says:
                (link)

                @The Great Knoche: If Turner plays 150 games, you’re set. He’ll be a monster. Just has to stay on the field. I agree on Gordon. Wouldn’t take him that early.

    • OaktownSteve says:
      (link)

      @Big Magoo:

      see below for spirited defense of the Blackmon pick. Machado was other player I considered but I like Blackmon’s avg upside. Never considered a pitcher. Not crazy about Bryant though I’m pretty sure his floor is high and he’ll produce good numbers.

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        @OaktownSteve: I’d take Bryant or Freeman over Machado, but Blackmon over all of them. Think you made the right choice. The only negative about Bryant is his potential RBI opps with the revolving door that is the Cubs leadoff spot.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Went Blackmon, see above convo

  53. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    By the way, Albright, I pretty sure based on your rankings that you didn’t care for my Blackmon pick. I think you may have a slight misread on Chuck. First of all, I’ll bet dimes to dollars he hits third or fourth this year. He’s become a different kind of hitter. They’re not going to hit Desmond or Story there. Black has already talked to him about moving out of lead off. The launch angle is up, the Ks have gone up but not so much that it hurts him. The BB rate has gone up and the steals have gone down. His HR/FB rate last year was very reasonable. I think he’s going to destroy your 79 RBI projection. One of the things steamer does poorly is pick up on changes on field that drive statistical changes in the box score.

    I think his floor this year is something like 100/25/80/5/.290. I’d make my mean projection 110/30/110/8/.300 and I’ll hope for something like 35/120/120/10/.310. I feel like he’s now one of the most complete hitters in the game hitting middle of the order in Coors. Hope so anyway.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve: That’s a great pick at 9. He’s been one of the top 4 fantasy hitters over the last 4 years (Trout, Altuve, Goldy). Half of his games at Coors. Great contact rate, power, still swipes a few bags. .300/30/12 with loads of counting stats.

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Big Magoo: Goldy went right before and I wasn’t going to pick him if Blackmon had gone 8. I was going to go Machado. Also considered JDM there (with a big middle finger to ADP).

        Good to see you, dude.

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
          (link)

          @OaktownSteve: Yeah, I dropped Goldy down to #13 in my rankings. Agree on JDM. Think he has another huge year.

          You might be able to get Rizzo with your next pick. People seem to be lukewarm on him this year. Votto or one of Kluber/Sale could fall in a razz group too.

          Good to see you too, brother.

          • OaktownSteve says:
            (link)

            @Big Magoo:

            The big 4 SPs all went first round. Very unrazzy. Three picks to my next and Lindor, Freeman, Bellinger, Rizzo and Ramirez all still in the pool.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, wasn’t surprised SPs went, but that many that early was a little surprising…

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
              (link)

              @OaktownSteve: Sweet. I like all of those guys outside of Bellinger. Blackmon/Freeman would be a sexy start. Lindor or Rizzo would pair well too.

              • OaktownSteve says:
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                @Big Magoo:

                I suspect Lindor goes before I pick. I’m also off Bellinger. He’s not in play. I’ll leave him for Grey.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Leave Bellinger for me, please, I will gobble him up…

                • Big Magoo

                  Big Magoo says:
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                  @OaktownSteve: Yeah, I wouldn’t give him a second look with any of those other players on the board

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                I love Bellinger!

                • Big Magoo

                  Big Magoo says:
                  (link)

                  @Grey: I know you do. Stanton/Bellinger would be a nice power start, but you’d have to play catch-up in avg and speed.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    It’s okay, when Dee Gordon falls to me in the 3rd I’ll have the best 15 team team one has ever seen (in my own eyes)…. Emoji…

                    • Big Magoo

                      Big Magoo says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: Beauty is in the eye of the beholder

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, true

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve:

      I am with you there, that is how II feel Blackmon season will go as well.

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Malicious Phenoms:

        Hope so. I’ve been watching his stock fall in the ADP since the start of draft season. It’s easy to see the steals declining and I think that scares people off. People seem reluctant to buy into the power even though the analytics seem to support it.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          The positive on Blackmon is how bad can one be in Coors? He doesn’t have Story or CarGo type warning signs…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Rudy and I were talking about your Blackmon pick, it was our least favorite pick (one love!)… Felt like a reach to me, but I know he’s going there… My floor for Blackmon is way lower than that, but I think my rankings have what I think his floor is, so, yeah, I’m not a fan when I’m showing the floor… All of this is to say, I could be misreading him completely, and you’re not making unreasonable points…

      • OaktownSteve says:
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        @Grey:

        I love that you hate the pick. Tell Rudy I made a gesture at him too.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha, yeah, I know it won’t bother you so brutally honest… My least favorite 1st round pick… I would’ve went Goldy over him…

          • OaktownSteve says:
            (link)

            @Grey:

            I hope there is a Blackmon schmohawk post coming. Honestly when I first started looking at 2018 I had him on an early don’t draft list, but the more I looked into the numbers the more I liked him. Just took a frame shift to realize he’s a different but very very good hitter now.

            And yeah…Coors.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Nah, no Blackmon schmohawk post coming bc I thought he was being drafted in the 2nd round, not the 1st! Ha, yeah, I didn’t write it bc Coors scare me to go fully against, which means I don’t think his floor is that egregious, I just don’t buy the ceiling, if that makes sense…

              • OaktownSteve says:
                (link)

                @Grey:

                Here’s what’s a headscratcher for me. How did you arrive at projecting more home runs for Lindor (previous career best 15) and Ramirez (previous career best 11) than Blackmon, who hit 37 and 29 the last two years and plays at Coors?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  I see graph pointed up for those guys, and pointed down for Blackmon…

                  • OaktownSteve says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey:

                    Seems a little arbitrary. Looks like the clock has started up again!

                    • The Great Knoche says:
                      (link)

                      @OaktownSteve: No Freeman for you

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      His steals are falling, his BABIP was crazy last year, his runs last year were, like, top ten of the century, his power looks baselined at 27 HRs, but benefit of the doubt…105/30/115/.300/12, which isn’t terrible, about that of Goldy… I just don’t know if I buy ‘benefit of the doubt’ statline, if you do, then I can see it… Bummed to see Lindor gone, but I shouldn’t have expected him to make it back to me…

  54. Shitwolf says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey! I really like these schmohawk posts! I drafted Correa in my first fantasy season with my 9th pick and was super disappointed! since then I always felt he was over rated for the production he actually generates.

    anyway my own personal bias aside I’m playing in a keeper league for the first time… We can keep 2 hitters and 2 pitchers

    my obvious keepers are Treat my meat Turner and Cmart.

    my other hitter I am going to take is Rhys Hoskins but figured I would ask because I also own Buxton, Myers, Pham, Acuna and Gallo.. I’m assuming Rhysus and Turner is the way to go?

    as for pitchers it’s more bleak I was thinking I should keep Alex Reyes with cmart, my other options are Brent honey, blister aaron Sanchez, gausman and snell

    we can keep for up to 3 years. THANKS Friend. Keep fit and have much fun

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, my meat! Take Hoskins — Meh, I’d go Reyes for upside — thanks!

  55. Cheese says:
    (link)

    Ahh I don’t know how to feel about this article… you had him ranked 13th last year and said “Correa averaged 404 feet per homer last year. Machado hit 37 homers and also averaged 404 feet. Correa only had 7 Just Enough homers; Betts hit 15. Correa had a down year last year and still hit 20 HRs and stole 13 bags with a .274 average, at the age of 21. Correa also had injuries. At one point, he didn’t attempt a steal for a month due to a sprained ankle. He had 14 steals in only 99 games in 2015, and 13 steals in 153 games last year. You’re telling me that sprained ankle didn’t play into it? You’re not telling me that, because if you are, I have a pfft with your name on it. He hit 22 homers in 2015 in that truncated season, but 20 homers last year. Let’s see, he only hit one home run in September, his worst power month. Any specific reason? He hurt his shoulder. He doesn’t hit a ton of fly balls, but neither does Au Shizz. Steamer has Correa down for 23 HRs and 14 SBs in a full season of ABs. I’m gonna go out on a very sturdy limb and say, he’d have to get hurt again to only get 23 HRs and 14 SBs. That feels like the absolute baseline, though with Correa maybe that should be called the Military Demarcation Line. 2017 Projections: 98/26/104/.275/20 in 575 ABs”. And that’s me quoting you! You added some homers, lost some steals, added to average and RBIs. What’s changed? Is it really the steals that has you hating? BTW he averaged 400 ft in 2017. Jay Bruce average 400 and hit 36 bombs, Mous averaged 395 and hit 38.

    Next question, how does your strategy change in a 12 team 5×5 roto with weekly line ups (no max IP or starts)?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d make sure I had a top 15 SP — preferably from around SP 10-15, so not much wiggle room… Also, I’d lean more safe SPs vs. upside picks, so Sonny Gray maybe vs. Luis Castillo, that sorta thing… Not much changes though, you’ll still have a ton of waivers for changing on Sunday…

      • Cheese says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Totally ignoring my Correa comment!?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Not sure what to make of that comment, it’s what I said last year?

          • Cheese says:
            (link)

            @Grey: The ending of the paragraph:

            You added some homers, lost some steals, added to average and RBIs. What’s changed? Is it really the steals that has you hating? BTW he averaged 400 ft in 2017. Jay Bruce average 400 and hit 36 bombs, Mous averaged 395 and hit 38.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Another year and not moving on steals, not staying healthy, getting drafted way too high…

  56. Random Collmenter says:
    (link)

    5×5 NL only roto league with OPS. Can keep 4 guys forever. Do you prefer:

    Wil Myers in the 7th rd
    OR
    Ozzie Albies in the 22nd

    Other keepers are: Stanton, Blackmon, Luis Castillo.

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Albies

  57. Scuffy McGee says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey! Am I right in your eyes for keeping Bellinger, Jose Ramirez, Correa, and Yu over Segura, Buxton, Hoskins, Severino, Strasburg, and Carrasco? 11 tm keeper.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hoskins over Yu

      • Scuffy McGee says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Dig it. Thanks, man. Looking forward to another season. Can’t wait to read your work! Cheers!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Thanks!

  58. Cram It says:
    (link)

    Rudy tagged me back. Took Lindor right before me in 2nd.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, nice… I grabbed Bellinger with 2nd pick…I got boffo power!

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Yeah you do! I was considering him, but sticking to my “don’t come away with a projected BA in the toilet”

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha, I hear that, I put myself in a little BA hole, but Jose Peraza in 8 rounds can fix everything

  59. Scott says:
    (link)

    In a dynasty league, would you prefer (A) Luiz Gohara, Ryan Mountcastle and Derek Fisher or (B) Kenley Jansen?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Jansen

  60. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    I had a feeling Bellinger would find you. Giancarlo and Cody. You must be all aflutter.

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve: Not gonna lie. Was really glad he took Cody. I don’t like him so didnt want the option.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Yeah, who likes a 22-year-old who went 39/10?

        • The Great Knoche says:
          (link)

          @Grey: The guy who already has Turner and thinks it might be prudent to not have 2 upsidey guys in 1 & 2. (albeit awesome upside) Also I think pitchers found something in the last month of the year to exploit.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Yeah, Cody has more risk than a lot of 2nd round picks, but I couldn’t turn down sexy

            • The Great Knoche says:
              (link)

              @Grey: Was gonna take Springer, but didnt want to follow in Rudy’s footsteps, and I don’t like Donaldson. Abreu seemed like end of that tier for 1B, figured better not take chance he doesn’t come back in 6 picks (although he porbably would of.)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      C’mon, that’s not crazy sexy? I’m floating around my house like a butterfly right now

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Dom Deluise sexy. Outside shot at 100 homers.

        • OaktownSteve says:
          (link)

          @OaktownSteve:

          Blackmon hit 3rd today. You want to take some over/under action on 79 RBIs?

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Over/under May 1st and he’s batting leadoff?

            • OaktownSteve says:
              (link)

              @Grey:

              .240 O/U on Bellinger’s May 1 batten’ avidge?

              O/U on number of picks in this draft by the end of the night 4?

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Haha, I hope Over! Night 4? I say we get through 8 rounds by then… Move pretty decently… Ralph’s still in 1st round of his, started same time

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Dom Deluise in the Silent Movie, when looking suave sexy!

          • OaktownSteve says:
            (link)

            @Grey: I prefer Cannonball Run Dom, but you really can’t go wrong.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Nope, no ‘Downside Dom’ is what they called him…

  61. Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
    (link)

    20 team h2h dynasty. 25 man active rosters but we can protected list up to 10 players that are either NA in yahoo right now (unsigned guys or prospects with little to no chance of being up right now), guys who fit standard prospect at bats/innings (130/50) or are likely to start year in minors from best depth chart (rosterresource). i’m TEX and need at all times at least 9 of them in either DL or active slots . extra stats like defensive stuff (putouts/assists/outfield assists/double plays) and pitcher stuff like QS/holds, K/9, relief wins, complete games, shutouts, double plays, relief appearances, OBPA. also OPS, BB’s hits. from rules intended to prevent pitcher hoarding at MOST one of our 4 BN slots can be a pitcher, but of course optimally that’s your 6th SP slot. right now i cannot do that it appears. i have some sicko prospects stashed that it sure appears i need to move for either draft pick (to stash more prospects) or SP, or maybe holds guy, but that last seems too low for dahl or brinson. 5 DL. during season we also have 10 NA slots.
    C chirinos
    1B gallo (3B/LF)
    2B odor
    SS andrus
    3B beltre (i thought he’d be retired by now, gotta be soonish)
    LF desmond (1B)
    CF blackman
    RF stanton
    util (1) calhoun (LF)
    BN choo (RF), mazara (LF/RF)

    SP (5 slots) archer/darvish/morton/ryu/j.urias (gets DL’d later)
    RP (7 slots, for the first time in years i am good at closer with maybe too many): morrow/giles/claudio/kela/peacock (he’s worth holding even while being a RP)

    obvious drops: cargo 2 (TB), e.escobar (he’s maybe a better version of similar MI types in FA from time to time), j.mccann,

    possibly protected guys: cobb (unless signs by the 3rd),
    -brinson LF/CF (under at bats, but when year starts will need to come up as he will be in real life),
    -dahl (over at bats, but rosterresource shows in minors so he could be stashed for now at least)
    -napoli (could have trade value to the CLE guy if not easy drop)
    – eloy jim (possibly insane trade value to WSOX), mejia (same on the CLE trade value), leody taveras, puk, y.mendez

    – other possible RP keepers (i have room for at most 2 of these assuming peacock is kept 3 if i hold only 3 BN hitters and move peacock into being my 6th SP): mcgee/alexander/phelps/hildenberger/leclerc

    1. right now i have room for picking 3 prospects (active keepers at 22/25th) if everybody putdownable is put down. do that or hold any/which of those RP?

    2. trade which of brinson/dahl first for either draft pick(s) or RP?

    3. got a trade offer of dahl for merrifield. do this or no? i am super OF deep and need to get value from probably one of dahl or brinson (or just drop choo and have maybe minimum 9 TEX guys but he’s leading off so value)

  62. Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
    (link)

    20 team h2h dynasty. 25 man active rosters but we can protected list up to 10 players that are either NA in yahoo right now (unsigned guys or prospects with little to no chance of being up right now), guys who fit standard prospect at bats/innings (130/50) or are likely to start year in minors from best depth chart (rosterresource). i’m TEX and need at all times at least 9 of them in either DL or active slots . extra stats like defensive stuff (putouts/assists/outfield assists/double plays) and pitcher stuff like QS/holds, K/9, relief wins, complete games, shutouts, double plays, relief appearances, OBPA. also OPS, BB’s hits. from rules intended to prevent pitcher hoarding at MOST one of our 4 BN slots can be a pitcher, but of course optimally that’s your 6th SP slot. right now i cannot do that it appears. i have some sicko prospects stashed that it sure appears i need to move for either draft pick (to stash more prospects) or SP, or maybe holds guy, but that last seems too low for dahl or brinson. 5 DL. during season we also have 10 NA slots.
    C chirinos
    1B gallo (3B/LF)
    2B odor
    SS andrus
    3B beltre (i thought he’d be retired by now, gotta be soonish)
    LF desmond (1B)
    CF blackman
    RF stanton
    util (1) calhoun (LF)
    BN choo (RF), mazara (LF/RF)

    SP (5 slots) archer/darvish/morton/ryu/j.urias (gets DL’d later)
    RP (7 slots, for the first time in years i am good at closer with maybe too many): morrow/giles/claudio/kela/peacock (he’s worth holding even while being a RP)

    obvious drops: cargo 2 (TB), e.escobar (he’s maybe a better version of similar MI types in FA from time to time), j.mccann,

    possibly protected guys: cobb (unless signs by the 3rd),
    -brinson LF/CF (under at bats, but when year starts will need to come up as he will be in real life),
    -dahl (over at bats, but rosterresource shows in minors so he could be stashed for now at least)
    -napoli (could have trade value to the CLE guy if not easy drop)
    – eloy jim (possibly insane trade value to WSOX), mejia (same on the CLE trade value), leody taveras, puk, y.mendez

    – other possible RP keepers (i have room for at most 2 of these assuming peacock is kept 3 if i hold only 3 BN hitters and move peacock into being my 6th SP): mcgee/alexander/phelps/hildenberger/leclerc

    1. right now i have room for picking 3 prospects (active keepers at 22/25th) if everybody putdownable is put down. do that or hold any/which of those RP?

    2. trade which of brinson/dahl first for either draft pick(s) or RP?

    3. got a trade offer of dahl for merrifield. do this or no? i am super OF deep and need to get value from probably one of dahl or brinson (or just drop choo and have maybe minimum 9 TEX guys but he’s leading off so value) doop doop doop.

  63. Matt says:
    (link)

    Sorry Grey, but this one makes you a Fantasy Schmohawk! I love Correa and I’ll draft him high two or three times this year and prove you wrong! Watch his steals come back. The Astros won’t just try and do the same thing, they’ll try and be better. That’s what all teams do. You should know better! Schmohawk!

    Hey at least you haven’t called one of my dynasty players a Schmohawk yet! But I wouldn’t care if you did call Chris Davis one. I’ve got him and he stinks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      How dare you! Kidding, to each his own…All good to disagree…

  64. Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
    (link)

    1. what’s best order of these for dynasty league (with holds, K/9, relief wins, relief appearances) mcgee/alexander/phelps/hildenberger/leclerc

    2. trade which first if i have to of brinson/dahl? (other hitting categories above)

    3. trade dahl for merrifield even if i already have odor?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1. phelps/hildenberger/Alexander 2. Brinson 3. Sure

Comments are closed.