This is not the only reason I think Josh Donaldson is overrated, but this is a fun one.  Surrounding Donaldson in the Jays lineup is–Sorry, I just started giggling uncontrollably.  Okay, okay, OKAY!  Get it together, Grey!  Surrounding–*giggle* Damn, it’s tough for me to get through this.  Okay…*talking fast*  Curtis Granderson, Justin Smoak, Kendrys Morales, Tulo, Yangervis, Devon Travis, Randal Grichuk and sometimes Y.  The Y in this case is spelled why and it’s Steve Pearce.  Yo, the Jays getting the Giants’ leftovers?  Brian Sabean would even shudder at this hodgepodge of harsh-my-mallows and be like, “Nah, kid, they’re on the wrong side of ugly.”  The Jays would be better off promoting every minor leaguer in their system whose last name starts with Guerr– and be done with it.  (There’s three of them, by the way.  I’m thinking the Jays might draft alphabetically.)  Their minor lea-Guerrs, so to speak.  Anyway, why is Josh Donaldson overrated for 2018 fantasy baseball?

Everyone know the expression ‘dead cat bounce?’  If not, I will explain after this unnecessary sentence explaining how I will explain.  It’s when a stock temporarily bounces back, then disappears into oblivion.  Tarantino seems to love to attempt to make an actor dead cat bounce, likely because he had so much success doing it with John Travolta in Pulp Fiction.  Jackie Brown was one giant dead cat bounce with Pam Grier and Robert Forster.  There was Daryl Hannah and David Carradine in Kill Bill; Michael Madsen in an array of Tarantino joints and so on.  I contend (for the featherweight belt) that Josh Donaldson’s 2017 was a dead cat bounce.  He’s done, and last year’s apparent bounce back in the 2nd half is hiding it.  His K-rate went up to 22.4% from 17% the year before.  Um, not good.  Percentage of balls he hit in the strike zone went down; swinging strike rate went up and total contact went down.  His HR/FB% was up to 25.6 and his career mark is 18.1%, so problems there.  His 2nd half HR/FB% of 27.6% is goofy, especially while his hard contact was falling.  His Hard Contact fell last year to its lowest mark since he was on the A’s.  This is funny (not funny), his month of August saw a 31.6% HR/FB for 12 homers, while his Hard Contact rate was similar to that of Derek Dietrich and Ben Zobrist.  Haha, yeah, no.  This is all assuming he stays completely healthy too.  Oh… *counts to the 487th decimal place of pi*  …Kay.  Donaldson still hits a ton of fly balls, so maybe he can get into some power, but counting stats are gonna be poor; he’s losing his plate discipline; he would be ranked 40 spots later than he’s currently going if not for an obscene August and his health is a question mark.  At his current price tag of the 2nd round, you’re betting Donaldson is gonna be Travolta after Pulp Fiction vs. Daryl Hannah after Kill Bill?  I’m not.

  1. foul balls says:
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    Great work, This is a classic version of draft this player Suarez ranked 169 by you 552ab 83r 21hr 90 rbi 5 sb .262ba, not this player Donaldson ranked 55 by you 524ab 78r 29hr 87rbi 3sb .266ba. On a side note last year you wrote sleeper posts on d Travis and r grichuk, that will come to tuition just one year too early. I can see them both having career years this upcoming season.

    • Rufus T. Firefly says:
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      @foul balls: Tuition?

      • Bro Pat says:
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        @Rufus T. Firefly: you gots to pay tuition at the school of Grey

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Bro Pat: Go see the financial aid office, snitches!

      • foul balls says:
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        @Rufus T. Firefly: tuition as in a synonym, schooling teaching lesson. I’m learning from gray all the time

  2. Fanciful Basesball says:
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    “But Grey” they say, clutching their pearls. “I think he’s the white version of Beltre and Cabrera. I think he can make Toronto Canadian again!”

    Donaldson is my favorite “feed the bot” draft pick. Sometimes will forget to log in for the draft, and they get Donaldson in the third round instead of the guy you’re targeting.

  3. Harry says:
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    Can only keep 3 of the following milbers. 16 team, ops/QS league:

    K. Lewis, Trammell, A. Hays, Luzardo, I. Diaz, C. Adams

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Harry: You should ask Ralph

    • The Vaporizers says:
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      @Harry:

      Hayes and Trammell for sure, and then Lewis

  4. Rabbit says:
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    So it’s interesting: I went to imdb.com to see what the career of David Carradine looks like, and it is pretty much just Kung Fu, Kill Bill, and a bunch of absolute shite. And not fun or campy shite, like a Danny Trejo, but just stuff you’ve never ever heard of or one-off bit parts on lame TV shows (Hello, Matlock!). I think he may be one of the most recognizable actors who has done almost nothing good, and one of the good things he did was when I was four years old (and I’m old). So I am not sure Kill Bill was a dead cat bounce for Carradine, because that assumes he was a live cat in the first place.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Rabbit: “I think he may be one of the most recognizable actors who has done almost nothing good” That’s a great point! One’s mileage may vary on Kill Bill too, I didn’t love it

  5. Justin says:
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    Agree on Donaldson. Think Grichuk is very underrated this year, not quite sure why he is in the 250-300 range most places.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Justin: Cause he was terrible last year

      • Justin says:
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        @Grey:

        Slugged .473 had big second half. Compared to where you drafted him last year he may have disappointed but he’s going after melky Cabrera. Melky!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Who, Josh Donaldson? Someone’s ranking Melky in the top 25?

          • Justin says:
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            @Grey:
            we are talking about grichuk….

  6. Crime Dog says:
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    When are you drafting your first RP

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Crime Dog: Usually in the 110-125 range

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        @Grey: I am going to start calling you Pinocchio Grey.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha, why?

          • The Great Knoche says:
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            @Grey: You just took Rivero at 84.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Oh, yeah, I said I wasn’t excited about it, but alas… There’s no waivers, so you need saves

              • Crime Dog says:
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                @The Great Knoche: [email protected]Grey: technically TECHNICALLY… He said usually.

                ESPN keeps bumping up all their RP it sucks. But also funny at the same time when someone will draft kenley 25 overall. Just sucks I have to hope and pray to get colome or hand at 120 before there’s no one left.

  7. Cram It says:
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    I have one SP through 6 rounds. I have a queue of 10 SP’s I’m comfortable with as my #2, so hopefully one of them comes back. Just took Trevor Story at 79. Not seeing another pick until 102.

    • knucks says:
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      @Cram It: Hows the squad look so far? Who else is in your NFBC?

      • Cram It says:
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        @knucks: Loving my offense. I only know Rudy, and maybe Son…if his first name is Stan.

      • Cram It says:
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        @knucks: Oh and this guy Eric Salfino, who supposedly is an expert. His offense so far is Altuve, Andrus and Posey. Yep.

        • knucks says:
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          @Cram It: Hah wait the Breakfast Table Pod guy? Michael Salfino? I think he writes for WSJ. Dood if its him, you will crush him and it should feel great. He is a “pert” but has been straying far from knowledge the past few years.

          • Cram It says:
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            @knucks: Oh right, it’s Michael. I’m not hip to fantasy sports writers so I don’t know him. But his team is balls so far.

        • The Great Knoche says:
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          @Cram It: Broke down and went Jansen/Paxton in rounds 4/5. Jansen was pick 58. Gonna be a few bats coming back around for rounds 6/7.

          • Gigorilla says:
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            ditto that — I took 2 starters back-back. Hard to pass up.

            hope the guys wake up and get to it today. No telling how the weekend will be.

            • The Great Knoche says:
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              @Cram It: Yes. Keep the shoulder together!

              • Cram It says:
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                @The Great Knoche: Ha. Oh boy. I’m realizing there’s only like 12 good pitchers that you can feel comfortable pitching a full season anyway.

                • The Great Knoche says:
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                  @Cram It: Actually why I took Jansen. Never had a #1 closer before, but at the end of round 4 I figured he’d balance out my starters, and seemed like a value there.

                  • Cram It says:
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                    @The Great Knoche: He went Rd 3 in mine so, good value.

        • The Great Knoche says:
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          @Cram It: We have a guy through round 6 has Bryant and Turner. Yup 2 third baseman.

      • Cram It says:
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        @knucks: Do you have a full plate of leagues? I’m looking for a 12th for my hometown league. Auction, roto. $100 entry. Any interest?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cram It: I was talking to Ralph about this the other day how there’s some rounds when you just don’t want anyone, then the next round you love the players… This is weird, bc the next round guys are all there during that round you don’t love…

      • Cram It says:
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        @Grey: Yup, I’m like I could definitely USE one of these bunch of pitchers, but I don’t really LIKE any of them enough. But I do like the Story potential, so I better take him now. And watch, they’ll mostly all be there next time around! Banking on the fact that most teams are pitching heavy already.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, if you like someone, why not? Kinda how I feel about Acuna…

  8. knucks says:
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    Yesterday it was a picture of a woman sucking the teet of a cow. Today its… “Does smoking weed make you more creative?” This thing really has me pegged. How do I NOT click that??

    • Peacecoast says:
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      @knucks: I have an ad for grindr.com on mine. next to a pic of giancarlo. right above a grey daquiri donation!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @knucks: It’s almost like my ad server is rummaging through your trash, finding clues about you

  9. HAL says:
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    12-team 5×5 league with 9 hitters, 7 pitchers, 5 bench, and 3 DL.

    Should I take 4 starters and 7 relievers/closers (plus 1 bench hitter)? If so, how does that change your advice in the pairing article?

    Archer
    Bauer
    Tanaka
    Wacha

    Rivero
    Iglesias
    Hader
    +4 high upside RPs?

    Is that too much of an investment in mid round picks? Looks like it’d be Rounds 1-5 hitters and Rounds 6-12 mostly pitchers.

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @HAL: Whoa, why are you taking 7 closers?

  10. Hot Rod

    Hot Rod says:
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    When is the downloadable war room coming out?


    Just kidding…it is out already! In fact we just updated to Version 3 with new features!

    To anyone who hasn’t seen it in action lately, Version 3 adds some improvements including bench slots, sortable OBP/OPS rankings and improved functionality for Points league managers…if you are a keener who downloaded an earlier version and haven’t been back since, I encourage you to update to Version 3 for bug fixes and most recent data. The latest version is always posted at https://razzball.com/2018-fantasy-baseball-war-room/

    • knucks says:
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      @Hot Rod: Incredible HR. The only thing I was wishing was there was the OBP/OPS stuff but I wansn’t going to get greedy and ask for it. Invaluable tool here. Mutha truckers need to know!

      I’ll hit you up mid-Feb next year with Grey’s tiers and save you that time with the initial tier formatting/input and what not if you end up doing this again for us.

    • Another Dan says:
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      @Hot Rod:

      It’s an excellent tool Rod.

      If I started inputting data (have put in keepers in a keeper league etc) into an earlier version is ther an easy way to transfer it over. No worries if not.

      Best wishes,

      Another Dan

      • Hot Rod

        Hot Rod says:
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        @Another Dan: Hi Dan – sorry no there is no easy copy-paste for keepers (well, there might be a way to do a formula version if you brought the data in as values….would take some work but doable somehow….but I don’t have it set up!) I personally try to wait til V2 or V3 if possible to put keepers in, at least for all the other teams, so as to wait for the inevitable kinks to be ironed out each year…and that’s me, who is updating the sheet!

  11. Buster Moon says:
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    When can we expect the next video? It’s been awhile!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Buster Moon: First week of season prolly, then weekly…

      • Peacecoast says:
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        @Grey: how do you make the cartoon Grey’s mouth match the words it is like magic

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          A magician never reveals his secrets

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
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            @Grey:
            What I notice about cartoon Greymation, is he is kinda of orange. Does cartoon Grey hang out with D Trump?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Ha

          • Hal_Incandenza says:
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            @Grey: The mouth movement is off the shelf, Grey speaks to that. One take.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha

  12. PHIL says:
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    Help! Need to keep 5.
    Hoskins, Arenado, Sano, Schoop, Hamilton, Michael Taylor, Yelich, Donaldson, Kershaw?

    • Cram It says:
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      @PHIL: First 4 and Kershaw for me.

    • VottomanEmpire says:
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      @PHIL: assuming no strings attached, Arenado and Kershaw are locks. Then it’s 3 of Schoop, Hoskins, Yelich and Donaldson, I’d say. If you don’t want to fill both 3B and CI, you could use having Arenado as an excuse to dump Donaldson (also if you’re considering re-keeping them beyond 2018, Donaldson is worst on the aging curve). I’d probably throw Schoop back personally for 2018 only, but Grey does love him.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @PHIL: Agree w/ Cram

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @PHIL: Arenado, Kershaw, Yelich and Hoskins would be my top four. Last spot is between Schoop and Donaldson. Probably a slight lean towards Schoop due to age. Kick Sano to the curb.

      • Vottoman Empire says:
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        @Big Magoo: Yeah Magoo, I can’t imagine keeping Sano with a possible 50-game suspension looming. His ADP is 50+ picks below all of the other players we’re discussing, because of the market’s valuation of his suspension risk.

  13. Bucktail30 says:
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    Dynasty keep forever league – categories are R, HR, RBI, Total bases, SB, OBP

    Need to drop one of my bench players, who gets the axe?

    Daniel Murphy- aging, coming off knee surgery, best hitter of the three

    Nick Castellanos- youngest, on upswing, 3b and of elig, short track record

    Starling Marte- SB upside, comeback ?’s

      • Peacecoast says:
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        @Grey: not murphy??

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Can get back Castellanos is my thought

  14. cmutimmah says:
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    I still don’t think he’s as dead as you believe Grey, but he’s definitely over valued.

    After Donaldson hurt his thumb in 2016, his 2016 numbers plummeted post all star break, and he started 2017 off like dog shit. After about a full year removed from his thumb injury, the “dead cat bounce” happened. But maybe the cat isn’t dead. Maybe it just lacked the opposable thumb it so desperately needed…

    He’s not a .300 hitter. I didn’t ever think of him as one. But he’s a .265/30/90 guy. and has the streakiness to improve upon those numbers

    He’s getting drafted high, but I don’t think every team that drafts him high is doomed immediately, by any stretch.

    All that being said, I’m not drafting him. LOL

  15. DetroitTrade says:
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    H2H Pts League Keeper question

    Mookie for 1 year
    or marcell ozuna for 3 Years

    • You Know Nothing, J.T. Snow says:
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      @DetroitTrade:

      H2H points guy here. Depends. Do you think you have a good shot of winning this year? If so, keep Betts. If not, I’d try to trade him. I might look into moving him anyhow if I can get two solid points players for him. Remember, all that matters in a points league is points so take whatever is going to maximize them for your team.

  16. MakeLoveLikeWar says:
    (link)

    12-team 5×5. Can you give some advice on this mock draft? In hindsights the RPs were a bit early. What would you change? Is it likely that I’d be able to get this team or is the mock draft system just broken?

    C Flowers (19)
    1B Mancini (12)
    2B Ramirez (3)
    SS Bergman (4)
    3B Machado (2)
    OF Trout (1)
    OF Acuna (11)
    OF DeShields (14)
    UTIL DeJong (15)
    BN Toma’s (18)

    SP Severino (5)
    SP Quintana (6)
    SP Tanaka (7)
    RP Rivero (8)
    RP Iglesias (9)
    P Miller (10)
    P Bauer (13)
    BN Wacha (16)
    BN Harder (17)
    BN Reyes (20)
    BN Gohara (21)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @MakeLoveLikeWar: Harder? I’d get more RPs and less SPs, but the ones you have are solid… Hitting looks great, pretty balanced

      • MakeLoveLikeWar says:
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        @Grey: *Hader (autocorrect)

        I’d do Reyes to DL and pick up an RP. Which other RPs are you targeting in the final rounds?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Anyone with a job?

  17. Another Dan says:
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    Hi Grey / All,

    Good stuff as usual. Love the scmohawk posts. Do you review then at season’s end? Would be interesting to see how you did last year, but I’m either a) not good at searching b) having (what my wife would call) a man look or c) there is no C.

    Anyhoo, I am in a 12 team H2H (8×8) in which we keep 12 year on year. We have CI, MI, RF, LF, CF, OF and 1 x Ut spots.

    Trout, TreaTurner, Judge, Hoskins, Bellinger, Rizzo, Gordon, Bregman all seem obvious.

    Ranked by your player rankings I would then need 4 from:-
    Ray, Sano, McCullers, Paxton, Story, Hill, Happ, Moncada, Seager, Mazara.

    Do I just take the first 4 ? Does the keep 12 forever matter ? Is a 9-3 split for my 12 keepers about right ?

    Thanks again,

    Another Dan

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Another Dan: I review everything at season’s end, it’s what I do in October… 1st four looks decent

      • Another Dan says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        My wife says : told you it was b). Just look properly !!

        Thanks,

        Dan

  18. Brian says:
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    It seems like Donaldson is the same player as Miguel Sano, who is getting drafted around pick 100.

      • CrazyJ says:
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        @Grey:

        At least Donaldson has proven he can hit over 30 HRs in 415 AB

  19. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
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    It’s been a long ass wait, but my first draft is a little over eight hours away. Pretty pumped. How’s your draft going?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Big Magoo: Going solid, hasn’t changed since yesterday’s pick of Segura… Giancarlo, Cody, Yelich, Yu, Segura…

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        @Grey: That’s a solid core. You looking at 3B soon? I think Seager’s a nice buy low option this year. Shaw and Devers might still be in play for you too.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          They’re all there for 3B. It’s a stacked position from around 90-140 overall.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Oh, and yes, that’s my thought, I have the 3B position open in the draft room… Steamer hates Shaw, I don’t mind him, Sano comes with weird risk this year and might be overvalued, I love Castellanos and Moose (but he needs to sign soon) and I’m not as enthused about Devers as I thought I would be… Any thoughts on these guys?

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Miller Park is awesome for power and Shaw chips in a few steals, so he should be solid again this year. Just a bit of question on the average.

            I’m out on Sano. Could be looking at a suspension, coming off of an injury, reported to camp overweight, super high K-rate. No thanks.

            Castellanos is interesting. Lots of line drives and hard contact. Been slowly cutting his K-rate. Comerica is brutal on power though. Could hit 30, but I think he falls short. Probably a mid .270s hitter too. Decent option, but going a bit too high for me.

            I see Devers as kind of like Castellanos with more upside. Mid 20s power, .280ish average, and should chip in a few steals.

            Seager hit everything in the air last year (51.6% FB%). Think that hurt his bottom line a bit. If he goes back to his old approach, think that .275/30/100 is in play.

          • BJFOHOHL says:
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            @Grey: One thing I like about Shaw besides the obvious is he gets two speedy table setters in front of him now (Yelich and Cain) should provide more RBI opps than earlier projections factored. I’m buying the Shaw

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              He’s gone, just went in front of me…

              • BJFOHOHL says:
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                @Grey: Those bastards read my comment and sniped you. I’ll text you my fantasy opinions while this draft is going on and leave this section for shitz and gigglez

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha, yup

                  • The Great Knoche says:
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                    @Grey: It’s funny, I was planning on Story and he was being talked about earlier and poof gone! Castellanos was maybe a round 7 target, but you guys talked him up for me into round 6.

                    Can you maybe start talking about how you are taking Matt Kemp next?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, I’m really loving Daniel Descalso this spring!

      • Willy Mo says:
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        @Grey: is this a 15 teamer or 12?

        • Willy Mo says:
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          @Willy Mo: nevermind i see 15…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          15

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Is yours also slow and 15 team?

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Fast and 12 team. Got a 3 pack of teams in the online championship. $350 buy-in, payouts to the top 2 league finishers, all teams are eligible for an overall prize pool.

        I pick 2nd tonight. Pretty happy about that. There are 24 players that I love this year, so I have a good shot at getting three of them. Makes early round draft strategy easy too.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Who you taking two? Altuve?

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Definitely (unless Trout falls). He’s been a top four overall player in this format in three out of the last four years. Avg, steals, and pitching ratios factor in heavily to the overall prize calculations.

            At the 2/3 turn, I’m probably looking at one of Freeman/Lindor/JDM/Rizzo/J-Ram and one of Stras/Syndergaard. Pretty low stress. I just get to let the draft fall to me.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              A sensei of drafting, Magoo-san. Rudy and I have been talking about this, it’s crazy the guys who are there in the 2nd round. Giancarlo/Lindor, for instance, shouldn’t be legal…

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
                (link)

                @Grey: The second round has been full of landmines in recent years. On paper, this is the strongest that I can ever remember it being.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Agreed… I just took Felipe Rivero with my 84th pick, skipping 3B entirely

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: Probably a good move. That’s usually the area of the draft where a massive closer run occurs. Should still be a few 3Bs on the board for your next pick.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, that’s what I’m thinking

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: I know I’m getting cabin fever when I’m debating between Molina and Ramos as the #6 catcher at the last minute

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Ha, yeah… Plus, Ramos definitely!

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: Yeah, I had Ramos there. Just doing some last minute tweaking. Figured you liked him more than Molina.

  20. Old School Brother says:
    (link)

    *Mr White walks into the room with a straight razor*

    Granderson to the left of me, Smoak to the right. Here i am, stuck in the middle with you.

    By Allstar break Donaldson is hitting .230 with 6 home runs and you’re missing your left ear.

      • BJFOHOHL says:
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        @Old School Brother: that was my nickname given to me by my London native friends when I lived there in 97. I miss them

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, totally

  21. BJFOHOHL says:
    (link)

    A Shmohawk post on Donaldson? That’s like writing that water is wet or Schilling is going to say something idiotic

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He was taken in the 2nd round of two drafts I’ve done so far

      • Gigorilla says:
        (link)

        Your up Grey

        • Gigorilla says:
          (link)

          Europe

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            My favorite drafting continent!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          About time!

      • BJFOHOHL says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I truey believe half the writers out there are shitty fantasy players. Their motto should be “do as I say, not as I do

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Agreed… Look at this: http://www.toutwars.com/?p=5658 Then click on leaderboard after reading the paragraph what it’s about… Everyone that people look to for advice is bottom third of list…. Ray Flowers is 178 out of 178!

          • BJFOHOHL says:
            (link)

            @Grey: HAHAHA…Tristan…near the top! I remember meeting Colton in AZ with you. He was kinda a dick…

            Thinking about that makes me miss sky, except for his smells

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Look at that bottom tho! (Not Cockcroft’s)…

              • Oppo Taco says:
                (link)

                @Grey: Ray Flowers is quite possibly one of the more condescending people in the fantasy industry. Even when he answers people’s twitter questions he’s a huge turd about it.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  He’s ranked as the worst out of 178 people! That’s really low…

              • BJFOHOHL says:
                (link)

                @Grey: Sorry, I see Cockcroft and all I see is sky rockets for ten minutes. Colton and Wolfman have a show and they suck at this

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Ray Flowers has a show and is the worst out of 178!

                  • BJFOHOHL says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: Flowers is so bad some of your writers could beat him… oh did I just say that

  22. Gigorilla says:
    (link)

    Indeed ol’ Grey one, that’s what it’s about.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yup, I know what I have to do, just don’t want to…

      • Gigorilla says:
        (link)

        another starter

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nah

          • Gigorilla says:
            (link)

            I thought LC had your name all over him

  23. Chris says:
    (link)

    I need to chose to keep 2 out of these guys (no cost 12 team h2h 5×5)

    Ronald Acuna
    Rafael Devers
    Rhys Hoskins
    Ender Inciarte
    Tommy Pham
    Jon Gray

    Hoskins is a no-brainer, but Devers/Pham/Inciarte and my lust for Acuna are tearing me apart.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Acuna

      • @Grey: It’s bold but I love it! And there’s a Braves fan in the league so he’d likely go higher than I’d think.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I love him too!

        • Steve Anus says:
          (link)

          @Chris R: picking ANYBODY else would be “bold” or crazy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d love to…but…

      • Peacecoast says:
        (link)

        @Grey: seriously, grey will you join my fan club while you’re at it?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Is there fees?

          • Peacecoast says:
            (link)

            @Grey: signed copy of the upcoming sequel to ‘Who is Grey Albright?’

            I ain’t even joking, I need some of that shit this Summer

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              I will be signing copies at the local online bookseller!

  24. ERad says:
    (link)

    Acuna just ropped one deep off Tanaka – dead center field

    Yes, I’m streaming spring training games at work.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, awesome!

  25. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    BUT THE EMAILS! (counterargument made by Donaldson apologists who still see him as a top 25 player)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      HA! Very funny… Donaldson killed his old attorney!

  26. Steve says:
    (link)

    Need help deciding on 9th keeper in 14-team keep forever H2H OBP league.

    Keuchel or Quintana in 6th round
    Puig in 7th
    Segura in 9th
    T Beckham in 21st

    Other keepers

    Kershaw
    Harper
    Stanton
    Arenado
    Abreu
    Treat
    Thor
    Benintendi

    Leaning Quintana but would love your take, Puig could also be a very solid contributor across the board. Then there’s Beckham as a super value…

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Puig

  27. Willy Mo says:
    (link)

    Acuna just went deep to dead center on a 2 run bomb off a tanaka hanger. Tanaka already in mid-season form…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I need him in all my leagues!

      • Willy Mo says:
        (link)

        @Grey: where u taking him?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Everywhere!

          • Willy Mo says:
            (link)

            @Grey: i know its march but tanaka really laboring. About as bad an outing as possible he had nothing just got pulled 4 runs on 4 hits. He got 4 outs on i think 40 pitches

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No reason to risk it, just skip him

              • Willy Mo says:
                (link)

                @Grey: yea im just letting you know caus i just watched every pitch. Hes a huge underdog to have under a 4 era imo. Like 1 out of 10 chance. Hes got a better chance to have over a 5 era than under a 4 imo. Yankees gona sign arrieta over tanaka concerns watch. Tanaka was unstartable for stretches for the Yankees last year.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Yeah, I don’t think I’ll have any shares this year

                  • Willy Mo says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: agree. Any thought of lowering him? You have him ranked as totally draftbale and u have a sleeper post on him.

                    • Willy Mo says:
                      (link)

                      @Willy Mo: draftable*

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      I’m not lowering him due to a spring training start

  28. Oppo Taco says:
    (link)

    Keeper league 5×5 roto, would you trade Justin Upton for Chris Archer? Currently only keeping 1 arm. Thanks

    Keepers : Goldy, Trea, Freeman, Rizzo, Bregman, Upton, Hoskins, Bumgarner

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nah

  29. Peacecoast says:
    (link)

    sorta can’t believe how low Odor is going in ADP. You grab him anywhere yet? I might have to.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haven’t yet, but looking at him in every draft so far

      • Peacecoast says:
        (link)

        @Grey: my SP1 pick is coming up. ARcher may be available. Also Keuchel, Paxton, Quintana. I know ARcher is ranked the highest….but I hesitate.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Go Quintana then… Bit safer, but lower K upside

          • Peacecoast says:
            (link)

            @Grey: deep breath, ok.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Get some, Peacecoast! Get some!

              • Peacecoast says:
                (link)

                @Grey: I think Quintana is the best choice, esp since I plan on taking some risk later on guys like Bauer, Richards, Price.

                • Peacecoast says:
                  (link)

                  @Peacecoast: meant gausman not richards

                • Cram It says:
                  (link)

                  @Peacecoast: He’s my SP1, FWIW

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Are you able to get into NFBC draft room?

                    • Cram It says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: Yes, but I tell you what. On my home laptop, and sometimes on my phone, when I go in I get a YOU ARE NOT CONNECTED message at the bottom. You?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, I’m not connected, can’t get in… Oh well, people will have to wait if it gets back to me

                    • Cram It says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: Ah, so it’s not just me. I contacted Admin when I first saw it was a problem. And he just said “Ok”.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Ha, yeah, I don’t know what the problem was, but I was able to get in now… Looks like I held everyone up 2 hours, oh well…

      • The Great Knoche says:
        (link)

        @Grey: he’s not getting back to you.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nah, I figured he wouldn’t

          • Peacecoast says:
            (link)

            @Grey: it was more about the risk of Archer not performing again in ERA and shitty team

            • Peacecoast says:
              (link)

              @Peacecoast: fuck I meant to reply to him

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Meh, wouldn’t worry about the team, but he can get wonky, Quintana is just safer

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Meh, wouldn’t worry about the team, but he can get wonky, Quintana is just safer

  30. DozierTheDozierian says:
    (link)

    10-team keeper league, 8 guys kept per team. It’s effectively a keep-forever. Top available in the draft are guys like deGrom, Cruz, Hosmer, Cutch, etc.

    In this kind of league, do you advise grabbing a stud prospect like Acuna in the first round if he’s available?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sure

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Gorgeous!

  31. Cram It says:
    (link)

    Salfino and this other guy Connolly (don’t know if he’s a writer) were playing this “who ya taking/see if I can guess game” with great drama when Salfino takes Gallo at 93. He says Rudy took him at 97 in our Yahoo draft yesterday so it can’t be that stupid. They’re adorable.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He’s so clueless that I took him yesterday in our Yahoo draft

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        He can’t even cheatsheet correctly!

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Haha. I feel like he’s a crusty old guy who’s fantasy glory days have passed and he’s just trying to stay hip with the youngins.

    • i didn’t take gallo in yahoo…but an Altuve/SP/SP first 3 pick team needs Gallo bad…

  32. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    It was me who took Shaw. You may remember me from such comments as “Got sniped on Yelich, you dirty bastard.” Revenge is a dish best served Brewer.

    Jack and Magoo will remember maybe I’ve liked Shaw since he was on the Sawks. You could see the power was going to come. Miller Park great for lefties. Great change to his approach. Lowered his FB% but actually hit more total fly balls because of the improved contact rates. He’s improved basically every year as a pro. Age 27 prime season. Double digit bags. As Jack points out, great position hitting 3rd. Really like him this year.

    Shaw is another guy steamer is going to miss. Steamer is the best tool out there for baselining guys, for keeping you from overdrafting players who were lucky, from following hunches without foundation. But it has no way of knowing when there was an underlying change that led to improvement.

    Finally, my kids think cartoon Grey is effing hilarious. They watched like 15 clips while I was ringing up groceries last night. They were cracking up.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, that’s awesome about anime Grey…Lowering my demographic! Are you able to get on NFBC?

      re: Shaw — Well played, yeah, I was looking at him, but couldn’t pull the trigger…Can’t argue with you taking him, I had no reason really to not take him. My least favorite pick of my draft so far was Rivero… Kind of pick that you just need to do and get it over with… And, yeah, Shaw likely would’ve been mine if Steamer was higher on him; he’s ranked so low by Steamer that I just couldn’t convince myself…

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        I mean they were like milk out the nose cracking up…

        I’m in the draft room. Realmuto, Odor, Domingo just went so maybe the roll is starting up again.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            ODOR!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          That’s awesome, happy to hear it! Sucks, I can’t get in… Page times out, and I have internet… Will give it an hour or so and see if it jars itself loose, otherwise I will email Greg Ambrosius…

  33. henncoop says:
    (link)

    Asking my 1st of I am sure many questions for this year. I need 5 keepers for a 14 team roto league with hitting cats of : Runs ; doubles; triples; HRs; RBIs; SBs; & Avg & Pitching cats of: Wins; Saves; K’s; Holds: ERA; WHIP: & QS. I managed to come in 6th last year as an expansion team thanks to Razzball.
    We can keep 5 forever 2 rounds earlier then drafted the previous year. 26th round for waiver wire pickup who were undrafted.
    My best options seem to be (round pick for this year)
    C- Ramos (26)
    CF. LF- Marte (8)
    RF – Judge (13)
    LF, CF – Benintendi (25)
    3B – Devers (26)
    RF – D Santana (17)
    SP – Darvish (9)
    SP – Berrios (26)
    SP – S Gray (10)
    SP – Snell (14)
    SP – Morton (26)
    While my team was competitive last season & should be this year as well. Some of the teams are pretty amazing & I lean towards keeping some of the younger guys.
    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      So which 5? Judge, Benintendi, Devers, Domingo, Marte — sweet keepers! I could see Berrios over Marte if you really wanted young, but Marte’s not that old…

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        There were some bad signs with Marte last year. I’m off him for sure.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Agreed, something about the price of a top 30 player and grabbing Marte, just doesn’t compute

  34. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    Albondigas, were you going to take Acuna? He gone…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Oh well! He is so damn sexy too…

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        You are on the clock, too. Email Tom Kessinich too. One of them will get back super fast.

        • OaktownSteve says:
          (link)

          @OaktownSteve:

          Tom popped into the draft room when I hit the panic button and said you can contact him. If you know who you want to pick they can also force it through,

          • BJFOHOHL says:
            (link)

            @OaktownSteve: That panic button drove me nuts last year. The same guys kept using it and conveniently when their clock was running low, and get this they all made the right pick for their team. That draft took 5 fucking plus hours. They rolled back multiple picks 3 times and paused god knows how many. I had some pretty choice words with the NFBC guy in the room. I’m surprised I wasn’t kicked out. I insinuated he was a pussy and was getting played. Others in the room who have been doing this for a long time agreed this was a very odd draft. I wont give those fuckers another dime of my money ever again.

            • The Great Knoche says:
              (link)

              @BJFOHOHL: So Much HATE!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Sorry, it was between not being able to get in and just going to lunch… I picked now…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Damn, sorry, back now and drafted… Must’ve just been a bug…

  35. Alan O'Connor says:
    (link)

    Keeper league, $5 salary increase per year, which side do you like:
    $30 Mookie Betts
    $0 Willie Calhoun
    for:
    $5 Alex Bregman

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Bregman

  36. Packers says:
    (link)

    Grey, it’s fun to read about everyone’s NFBC draft. Kind of feels like I’m drafting.
    Trade question in a 12 team Roto dynasty keep all.
    My Kershaw, Didi and Gurriel.
    His Hosmer, Bregman, L. Castillo and Treinen.
    I have plenty of aces, Carrasco, Ray, Archer….
    I won the league last year but need a 2nd 1bm, steals and saves. I thought now is the time to unload a top SP. What do you think?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d take Bregman and Hosmer

  37. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    You motherf**ker.

    Sincerely, Steve

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, there’s always Austin Barnes at 2B

  38. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    After looking at recent ADP and comparing it to my rankings, it looks like there’s a decent chance that I’ll be pulling the trigger on Ozuna at the 4/5 turn. I’m a bit nervous that last year was something of an outlier, but I have his ’18 projections as being very similar to Schoop’s ’17. Pretty high up on the avg HR distance and fly ball leaderboards. Raised his walk rate, solid contact rate, age 27 season. Why do I feel nervous about him?

    Also, I’m targeting one of Diaz/Osuna/Rivero as my RP1, but there’s a scenario in which I’d have to decide between Neris and Morrow (or Doolittle, but i’d prefer him if available) if I get caught on the wrong end of a run. Who do you like more?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      If he makes it that deep… I’ve looked at him in the 3rd, and he’s gone by 4…. Neris

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Ozuna’s been the 54th player off of the board on average in 12 teamers in the past week. My 4/5 picks are #s 47 and 50. Decent chance. Hoskins is the 49th player off of the board in that same period.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Oh, 12 teamer…Sorry, was thinking 3rd/4th in 15 teamer…Yeah, same diff, we’re both right!

  39. jackflorida says:
    (link)

    took over a team in a h2h 16 team, keep 16 players

    i will not contend this year

    i have first pick in the draft, these are the best available players, looking for your opinion

    severino, dee gordon, acuna, buxton, odor

    thanks for all the help and great writing all the time

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Acuna

  40. Gigorilla says:
    (link)

    Oaktown Europe

    • OaktownSteve says:
      (link)

      @Gigorilla:

      I had to pick up my son and deliver a bunch of groceries to my kids school for an event. I was ready to pick all day when Albinos was at his 3 hour lunch and manicure.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        What, I like to go to Eatly on Friday for lunch! I need my rice ball and focaccia!

  41. Gigorilla says:
    (link)

    Grey — I’m in an NFBC slow draft, and was wondering – should I take M. Franco or D. Deshields right before the guy drafting next to me?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You see the comment I made to you further up the page? DeShields is a bit more interesting as a UTIL

      • Gigorilla says:
        (link)

        Missed the comment above – just tweeking you, as I have followed both post hypers for a while. Including the smelly one.

        And btw, thanks for the c-mart link. Saw that on MLB.com and thought — oh no, my 1st SP pick is being arrested for what??? Oh yah, personal reasons like he beat up his girlfriend in front of his wife while doing bongs.

        Why cant these cats be happy w/ $7M+ a year???????

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha, I know! I just drafted him as my ace yesterday… I hate when crap like this ruins a perfectly good draft!

          • Gigorilla says:
            (link)

            Just like Juriyles Familia whatever last year.

            With the $$ they make, all should have drivers and full time folks to keep them in line. Un fing believable.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Seriously, for that $$ I’d agree to be in a giant plastic bubble for all time spent off field

            • Gigorilla says:
              (link)

              Off topic — you have commented about other sites w/ weak/bad/shitttty rankings. Thoughts on rotochamp. seems to me several NFBCers are using them as a back up to RB. I do too.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                I’ve never looked at them, I know they have good SEO, other than that I can’t attest to them…

  42. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    That Albies pick shook me up so much I took a pitcher.

    My son is following along and he said, “stupid Razzball is taking your team.”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Smart kid you got there! Yeah, I hadn’t drafted Albies yet, and figured I wanted a share, and wasn’t sure when I’d get another chance. Plus, he made sense for my team…

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        He makes sense on a lot of teams. He’s like an Altuve 2.0. I had him queued and ready to go.

        Stanton I knew would never get past you. Yelich you had ranked in the 60’s so I was a little surprised on that one.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yelich just felt right with Cody and Stanton, if I had Lindor and Bryant or something like that I wouldn’t have taken Yelich… Just about building the best team, and so far it’s all going according to plan…muahahahahaha–*coughs* Excuse me. I wanted to take Shaw instead of Felipe, and will likely regret that, don’t know why I didn’t, had too much of Rudy in my ear saying I need a decent closer… Meantime, no one in this league is drafting closers…

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            @OaktownSteve: @Grey: Where did Acuna go in your league? Trying to decide if he’s worth the gamble at the current going rate.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Right after I took Rivero, so around 88 overall… his adp seems to be climbing by the day…

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
                (link)

                @Grey: Yeah, got him in the 9th (98th overall). See below.

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
              (link)

              @Big Magoo: Just rolled the dice on him in the 9th. Here’s how my team looks so far:

              1B: Encarnacion
              2B: Altuve
              SS: C. Seager
              OF: JDM, Yelich, Acuna
              SP: Stras, Castillo
              RP: Diaz

              Didn’t expect to draft Seager, but he fell to the 5th. Don’t like the SS position much this year, so I decided to lock it up. Pretty happy so far.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Such a Magoo team! You’re all floor all the time, though Castillo surprises me… Not because I don’t like him, I love him, but doesn’t feel like a Magoo player…

                • Big Magoo

                  Big Magoo says:
                  (link)

                  @Grey: I always like a high floor core (and I later drafted guys like Cueto, K. Seager, Beltre, and Molina), but I wouldn’t apply that label to some of my other picks like Castillo, Acuna, Albies, Neris, Snell, Wacha, Haniger, J. Montgomery, and Gohara.

                  Outside of Strasburg and Cueto, it actually feels like a Greyish pitching staff. Sexy and upsidey but risky. I’m betting heavily on the Braves youngsters too (Acuna and Albies).

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Yeah, I think you’re leaning heavily on Grey here, I’m blushing! Magoo, I didn’t know you cared!

                    • Big Magoo

                      Big Magoo says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: This couldn’t be a Grey team. It has the Seagers, EE, Beltre, Cueto, and Molina on it, haha.

                      I love Castillo, Acuna, Albies, and Snell. Not as high on Wacha as you are, but I’m hoping for some improvement. Montgomery and Gohara are likely to be fluid spots. I’m simultaneously excited and concerned!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      You’re gonna love Wacha this year, been Grey approved!

      • BJFOHOHL says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Albies the value Segura! I’m on the crazy train for Ozzie

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
          (link)

          @BJFOHOHL: I hear ya. I’m on the train too. Took him in the 10th in the above draft.

          • BJFOHOHL says:
            (link)

            @Big Magoo: I broke him down for a commenter back in December and I was really impressed.

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
              (link)

              @BJFOHOHL: Made a bunch of notes on him on Oct. 17th right next to Tommy Pham, haha. They’re both awesome.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Might be my only share of him this year, but I figured I needed to taste the sweet nectar at least once…

  43. Gigorilla says:
    (link)

    Different approach than RB. Info to you as FYI.

    Out this eve–Miller and dinner time w/ my baby cougs.

    BTW, thanks for a very nice interactive site. Hope the industry is recognizing you.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I know the site, I just have never used it, doesn’t mean it’s good or bad…

  44. Gigorilla says:
    (link)

    G – please — stick with us–Europe again in 30-60 minutes

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  45. BallLivesMatter says:
    (link)

    Who to keep (keep 3, needs to be at least 1 pitcher 1 hitter)?

    Joey Gallo – give up 24th round pick
    Ozuna – give up 13th round pick
    Rhys Hoskins – give up 24th round pick
    Bellinger – give up 24th round pick
    Robbie Ray – give up 14th round pick
    Alex Wood – give up 24th round pick
    McCullers – give up 9th round pick

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @BallLivesMatter: Hoskins, Bellinger, Ray. Nice keepers.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hoskins, Bellinger, Robbie Ray

      • BallLivesMatter says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        A little surprised about Hoskins/24th over Ozuna/13th. What makes you lean toward RH

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          More upside

  46. David Niven says:
    (link)

    Herr Greyness,

    Keeper league 6X6 OPS 10 team, pick a package for me if you could be so kind sir:

    A. Trout, Altuve, Stanton, Nola
    B. Trout, Altuve, Stanton, Iglesias, Hill

    Thanks chief, much appreciated.

      • David Niven says:
        (link)

        Cheers bud.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      A

      • Davey McNivs says:
        (link)

        Thanks guv!

  47. Peacecoast says:
    (link)

    What is Happ’s playing time gonna be this year? He is tearing the cover off the ball this Spring and I see his ADP in the 130’s but no idea what crazy Maddon is gonna do. If he is only going to get 450 AB I’m not sure I want him at this ADP, although his keeper potential is high. Acuna is also going around there (120’s) but won’t likely come up until late April and damn he is so young.

    So anyway, what am I even asking? Um, ok does Happ/Acuna have value at their ADP. WHo gets more PT? ARe either/both worth a reach a round or two early (get it? reach around?)?

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      @Peacecoast: Acuna will play everyday when he comes up. I think Happ will be primary CF, although he will lose some ABs to Almora and Zobrist. Guessing his bat will make it tough to keep him out of lineup too much. I think both will Perform for their ADP although Acuna keeps moving up draft boards so I likely won’t own him, and he could be overvalued if he gets into that 70-80ish spot.

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      @Peacecoast: Acuna will play everyday when he comes up. I think Happ will be primary CF, although he will lose some ABs to Almora and Zobrist. Guessing his bat will make it tough to keep him out of lineup too much. I think both will Perform for their ADP although Acuna keeps moving up draft boards so I likely won’t own him, and he could be overvalued if he gets into that 70-80ish spot.

  48. Oppo Taco says:
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    Hey Grey, our keepers are due tomorrow. We’re allowed to keep 8 with no cost. It’s a 5×5 12 team roto league. I’ve got Goldy, Trea, Freeman, Bregman, Rizzo, Hoskins, Upton, Bumgarner and Archer to pick from. Which one would you throw back? Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Archer

      • Oppo Taco says:
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        @Grey: Thats who I figured too, Thanks! That being said would you flip Archer/Upton to get back one of Springer or Strasburg? Just trying to maximize my keepers before the deadline.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Definitely

          • Oppo Taco says:
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            @Grey: Would you flip both Archer/Upton to get Degrom? Again, just trying to maximize my keepers. Thanks!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Nope

  49. Bill Lumbergh says:
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    @Grey: How does Yuli’s surgery change your projection for him? You had him projected at 62/17/71/3/.284 in 441 ABs… Also, what about change to Derek Fisher’s projections? You had him projected at 41/4/30/14/.236 in 278 ABs… Yuli still on board at pick 245 in my 27 team league. Also looking at Fisher as a SAGNOF option in the next couple of rounds… Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’ll update everyone

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Just realized these are old news items, I updated all rankings days ago on Yuli

  50. Asking for a friend says:
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    Grey/Ralph:

    1) do you still consider Tapia a potential breakout candidate? Not hearing much about him this spring?

    Also for impact this year, how would you rank the following?

    Dahl
    Tapia
    W Calhoun
    Senzel
    Mcmahon (Rockies)
    Kingery

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      My rankings are on the site

  51. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
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    Forgot to mention above that I got Suarez super late for my utility slot. Got Maybin and Adam Frazier at the end of the draft for some cheap speed. I think Maybin in particular will be useful. He’ll play everyday (as long as he’s healthy) and should have the green light.

    How’s your draft going? Didn’t you grab Albies too?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I did! And I just took Bauer and Desmond…

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        @Grey: I’m buying a bounceback for Desmond. The dual 1B/OF eligibility is nice too. Bauer should be a passable SP3 in a 15 teamer.

        • The Great Knoche says:
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          @Big Magoo: or in Greys case a SP2

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
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            @The Great Knoche: That’s fine if you grab a couple more SP3/4 types. He should be an asset in Ks and wins. Just not buying solid ratios from a guy whose career best marks in ERA and WHIP are 4.18 and 1.31 respectively.

            • The Great Knoche says:
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              @Big Magoo: agree, I’m on other side I need some Ks after takin Hendriks as my SP2, but my ratios look good.

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
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                @The Great Knoche: Nice. That’s how I usually like to build a staff too. WHIP is like batting average. It goes the wrong way quickly as you get deeper into a draft.

                Just missed on Hendricks as my SP3 last night. It was a heartbreaker. Got Cueto a bit later to complement Stras/Castillo though. Think he bounces back this year.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Look at Bauer’s 2nd half

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
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                @Grey: 87.1% LOB%, 1.18 HR/9, 1.31 WHIP, 3.68 FIP. Once that strand rate normalizes, he’s likely the same guy he’s ever been.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Get out of here!

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
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                    @Grey: If you think that number’s sustainable, I’ve got a Gio Gonzalez to sell you

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, how dare you! C’mon, you’re not looking at the underlying pitch changes…

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I think Bauer’s an SP1 but we’ll see

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, that’s my thought on Desmond… just couldn’t pull the trigger on Braun…

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        @Grey: Forgot to mention – I drafted your boy Max Kepler! Using him as a placeholder until Conforto returns. Hope that he does something. Anything.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Damn, you’re like my protege!

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
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            @Grey: Just need about six decent weeks from him. Is that too much to ask?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I don’t think so

              • BJFOHOHL says:
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                @Grey: He means 6 weeks in a row, not 6 weeks out of 6 months

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Oh, ha

  52. Cohen says:
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    Grey, draft strat question, 12 team , i got 9th pick. Ive stayed true to your rankings and end up usually with Goldy/Lindor or Goldy/ Machado but when i come back for rd 3 pick 33 the top 10 OFs are gone and im looking at Ozuna is my OF #1.I know u said hes more of a #2. Should i grab a Martinez or Springer at rd 2 pick 16 or stick with your rankings ie Lindor/Machado or pull up one of the OFs i mentioned?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Goldy, Machado and Ozuna is not a bad start at all… I’d like another OF before Ozuna, but you have two great corner men…

      • Cohen says:
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        @Grey: thanks Grey

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  53. OBP says:
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    My league uses OBP and SLG instead of AVG and HR… in that format who do you prefer Machado or Jose Ramirez?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Machado

  54. FrankGrimes says:
    (link)

    “ (Editor’s note: we don’t edit Grey. Nor do we edit his annual finish.) “
    You gotta win it this year bae.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, I will try!

  55. Wilson says:
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    Hi Grey, who is better (also safer) in a QS/ERA/WHIP (no W) league?
    Berrios or Wacha ?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Wacha

  56. Zeke says:
    (link)

    In a keeper league – 12 teams – 6×6 – OBP, SLG, R, HR, RBI, SB and IP, QS, ERA, WHIP, K, SV+HD

    We can keep 4 players. Below are the players I’m considering, the round I get to keep them in, and for how many years I can keep them for. I feel like these 3 are locks:

    *Carlos Correa – 26th Round – 2018

    *Alex Bregman – 25th Round – 2018 and 2019

    *Cody Bellinger – 24th Round – 2018, 2019, 2020

    Then I could choose one of the following 5 players to keep:

    *Ronald Acuna – 24th Round – 2018, 2019, 2020

    *Rafael Devers – 24th Round – 2018, 2019, 2020

    *Byron Buxton – 15th Round – 2018, 2019, 2020

    *Yoan Moncada – 24th Round – 2018 and 2019

    *Robbie Ray – 15th Round – 2018, 2019, 2020

    You previously said to take Acuna. I’m leaning that way, but also really tempted to take Buxton because of his upside this season. The deadline to select my keepers is tonight at midnight. Would you still recommend keeping Acuna over Buxton/Devers/Ray/Moncada?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Acuna til 2020

      • nick the smooth dick says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Acuna 93′ Til Infinty

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          He’s going around in a ‘77 Infiniti now

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha, I’m gonna go ahead and leave that comment there but that was Siri messing up what I was saying

  57. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    I now have Odor and Deshizz. I hope they have the seasons you’ve always dreamed about for them.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You should change your team name to Grey’s Wishful Thinking

      • The Great Knoche says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Gyorko is still on the board.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Go for my personal-wish-fecta!

  58. Smoooth jimmy says:
    (link)

    Nola or lo Cain?

    A sad Blue Jays fan til 2020…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Apples oranges

  59. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    Curious, we’re moving pretty good I think. What round are Rudy and Cram in?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not sure, my guess is we’re past them

  60. Gigorilla says:
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    Europe going on an hour

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Gotcha

  61. Better Call Limehouse says:
    (link)

    12 team yahoo h2h dynasty where the NA slots have been upped to 7 from 5. year to year we will have 7 player max list (but HAVE to have NA early as shit like last night, in yahoo, every year the draft is crazy early such as march 3rd). but it being yahoo of course a whole lot of prospects aren’t even draftable
    C kraken
    1B E5
    2B scooter (3B/LF
    3B ? (used to be franco, could be again)
    SS c.taylor (2B/LF/
    LF upton
    CF cain sugar
    RF brocktune (LF)
    util k.davis (LF)
    willie C (boooo URNS that he only has LF now), fisher (LF/RF), thames (1B/RF if he’s really a bench bat now i’ll drop him)
    NA acuna (CF)
    kingery (2B)
    bradley (1B)
    r.lewis (SS)
    chavis (3B)
    javier (SS)
    and a bunch of pitchers, not relevant here. (keller is the only prospect slotted stash). i intentionally targeted the best MI i could get and got lucky as shit at 1.9. then later all that was left and useful were:
    j.jones
    y.alvarez LF (doesn’t yet have 1B in yahoo, but i’d guess would later)
    c.stewart LF
    s.heredia LF
    j.ortiz RF
    marsh RF
    shed long
    out of your top 100. i was about to nab duplantier (highest pitcher both available and in yahoo) but he went 2 picks ahead of me.

    drop junis (SP #11) or thames or fisher for a 3B (andujar or franco).

    2. hold javier or grab one of those other prospects for stashing with this roster.

  62. Yr Never Too Old for Balloons says:
    (link)

    16 team roto keep 4 at previous season’s ADP’s. deep rosters and lots of other stats. hits, total bases, OPS, slugging, steals % for hitting added and QS, holds, K/9, K/BB and net saves and holds added for pitching. options: (start 5-6 RP, 1800 innings cap)
    mookie (1st)
    ray (14)
    ceager (2)
    bregman (6)
    devers (28, last round)
    dejong (28)
    carrasco (4)
    weaver (23)
    rivero (28)
    gotta think mookie for sure, probably devers, who’s best last 2.

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