So, I’m going to do something a little different today.  I’m just gonna throw out the reason why right off the bat: I’m selfish and lazy.  That’s what mid-August baseball talk is all about!

As part of my rebuilding efforts in the REL – well, I should say, my main anchor in my rebuilding efforts – I got Alex Reyes to hopefully be my staff stopper.  I mean, have you SEEN the Brewers rotation?!  Yikes.  With some control issues and a pretty bad ERA in AAA, I wasn’t too surprised to see a fantastic arm like Reyes get the call-up anyway as a bullpener.  This had been speculated upon all season – the Cards did this with their major prospects in Adam Wainwright and Carlos Martinez – so we’re not getting a big shock.  And with Reyes called up at the same time as Luke Weaver, it appears they might piggyback each other for the foreseeable future.  But Reyes clearly, CLEARLY looks like a dominant starter that’s about ready.  After seeing his debut inning last Thursday night where he hit 101 twice, I’ve been eagerly awaiting an encore.  Here’s how Reyes looked in his 2nd-4th career MLB innings Saturday afternoon at Wrigley:

Fifth Inning: After 4 innings of 2-run ball from Weaver, Reyes takes over and his first pitch is a sinking 95 MPH two-seamer tailing just low to Dexter Fowler, 1-0.  96 four-seamer is fouled off, love this clean and easy delivery, then drops this 78 MPH curveball to make it 1-2.

Reyes-CurveballWhewwwww.  Then 97 on the hands is dribbled to the right side of the infield, and squirts through first and second for a single.  Wow, that was crazy unlucky – getting BABIPed early!  Fastball on the outer black at 96 is fouled off his foot by Kris Bryant, 98 absolutely paints the outside corner 0-2, then holy crap!  88 MPH change-up that has a whiffle ball wrinkle to it:

Reyes-Changeup-13-pitch strikeout, two heaters then that?!  97 is low and in to Anthony Rizzo, 97 on the outside edge fouled off, 97 again on the outer third is fouled again, then an 87 MPH change-up has Rizzo digging down and reaching for it with a soft liner, with Jedd Gyorko nabbing it on a dive for the second out.  It wasn’t hit too hard, but credit Gyorko for the help there.  97 a little inside to Ben Zobrist, 97 a little outside, 97 low and in dribbled foul, 96 in the upper third fouled back, hanging change-up at 87 stays high, but Fowler was running and is gunned down by Yadier Molina for the third out.  An unlucky hit is all that reaches, but thank that Cards D!

Sixth Inning: So Zobrist is back up, and takes a hanging curve outside 0-1.  97 paints the inside corner 1-1, 99 (!!!) is inside 2-1, 97 paints the low outside black, then 100 barely misses low, 3-2.

Reyes-Fastball-1Yup, 100 MPH and barely missed!  Then 97 at the letters is hit to center, but right to Randall Grichuk for the first out.  99 barely misses the outside corner to Addison Russell and Yadi has a few words for the ump, 98 is well outside 2-0, 98 on the outside black fouled off, 99 a little high and outside 3-1, then 98 sails high for a walk.  All pitches 98-99 though, dayum.  98 well inside to Jason Heyward, 96 right in there, 96 on the outside black is poked foul to left, 98 climbs the ladder high, then 96 MPH is lined to third on the shift, and Russell got too far from first and is doubled up to end the inning.

Seventh Inning: Back out for the 7th and Reyes starts Willson Contreras with a 98 MPH fastball in there, 0-1.  Fastball misses outside, 98 on the outer black barely misses and Contreras barely holds up, 98 a little further out 3-1, 96 just blows Contreras away taking a home run swing, 99 up high gets barely fouled back, Reyes hits 100 again on the low outside black but it’s spoiled, 98 again out there fouled away, then an 89 MPH change-up baffles Contreras for his second strikeout:

Reyes-Changeup-2Pedro Baez takes a 99 MPH fastball for a strike, 99 bareeeeeely misses, 98 misses again, 99 gets a huge hack and it’s fouled back, then 100 tails right into the zone for a clear strike 3 taking.  100 MPH!  And since I was lazy and didn’t pick a “real” starter, let’s link a 5th GIF:

Reyes-Fastball-2Matt Szczur fouls off a 99 MPH fastball, huge curveball at 77 drops into the top of the zone 0-2, 100 MPH misses a little high and outside, 99 climbs the ladder high 2-2, then a 97 MPH fastball is bounced routinely to short, and another scoreless inning from Reyes.  And through those 3 innings, the Cardinals would take the lead, and give Reyes his first Major League win.

Final Line:  W  3.0 IP  51 Pitches (30 Strikes)  0 ER  1 Hit  1 Walk  3 K  Gamescore: n/a   Gamescore+: n/a

Final Analysis: “Ohhhhhh, Alex Reyes, I’m in love!”  Man, this guy looks absolutely unbelievable.  He’s got a nice smooth and compact delivery, and I think we see the control improve leaps and bounds from what we’ve seen in the Minors.  It reminds me a little bit of Matt Harvey who had meh control in the PCL, only to come up and have great control in a pitcher’s park.

If you’ve followed Alex Reyes at all, you’ve heard all about the fastball.  He hit 101 in the Futures Game and looked dominant in that display, and has had unreal K rates all through the Minors.  He was anywhere from 96-100 in this outing, loosening up to mainly 98-100 as his outing went on.  But with epic heat comes epic responsibility.  And unlike someone like Nathan Eovaldi or Yordano Ventura, Reyes has two plus, consistent off-speed pitches.  The hammer curve at 78ish MPH we only saw as a pitch for strikes, which is crazy to see for a 21-year-old.  He didn’t really use it as his out pitch, but from the scouting report, he can bury it to try and get chases.  But I was really impressed with the change-up.  87-89 MPH with a nasty wrinkle to it to keep hitters honest.  And to stay honest on a 100 MPH fastball?!  Cue the excitement.

Since I play in a dyno NL-only, I kinda have let my biases go to the wayside.  I have to embrace the 14 other teams and not hate all the Cardinals like I used to.  But hey, even the Cardinals fans hate the Cardinals!  Despite feeling dirty about it, I crawled some of the Cardinals beat, and I don’t see many rumors or outcry that it should be Reyes starting over Weaver.  So I left him out of my ranks for now, but I wanted to put everyone on Reyes high-alert.  Should the Cards have another injury or make that swap with Weaver, I’d almost venture Reyes is must-own.  He got banned for smoking ganja the first 50 games, but that might be a blessing as it has kept his innings down to only 69.1 across AAA and 4 in the MLB.  There’s absolutely no reason why he wouldn’t be able to be in the rotation the rest of the season if they want to go that route.  Flag him where you can.

Razzball Baseball

Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto, green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, TEAM
1 Madison Bumgarner, SF
2 Max Scherzer, WAS
3 Jake Arrieta, CHC
4 Jose Fernandez, MIA
5 Chris Sale, CWS
6 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
7 Corey Kluber, CLE
8 Jacob deGrom, NYM
9 Johnny Cueto, SF
10 Jon Lester, CHC
11 Justin Verlander, DET
12 Yu Darvish, TEX
13 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
14 Danny Duffy, KC
15 Cole Hamels, TEX
16 Noah Syndergaard, NYM
17 Zack Greinke, ARI
18 Gerrit Cole, PIT
19 David Price, BOS
20 Jose Quintana, CWS
21 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
22 Kenta Maeda, LAD
23 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
24 Carlos Martinez, STL
25 Chris Archer, TB
26 Drew Pomeranz, BOS
27 Tanner Roark, WAS
28 Jason Hammel, CHC
29 Steven Matz, NYM
30 J.A. Happ, TOR
31 Adam Wainwright, STL
32 Michael Fulmer, DET
33 Danny Salazar, CLE
34 Anthony DeSclafani, CIN
35 Dylan Bundy, BAL
36 John Lackey, CHC
37 Joe Musgrove, HOU
38 Zachary Davies, MIL
39 Jameson Taillon, PIT
40 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
41 Matt Shoemaker, LAA
42 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
43 Sean Manaea, OAK
44 Marco Estrada, TOR
45 Michael Pineda, NYY
46 Chris Tillman, BAL
47 Marcus Stroman, TOR
48 Rick Porcello, BOS
49 Jake Odorizzi, TB
50 Julio Teheran, ATL
51 Aaron Sanchez, TOR
52 Blake Snell, TB
53 Rich Hill, LAD
54 Tyler Skaggs, LAA
55 James Paxton, SEA
56 Junior Guerra, MIL
57 Felix Hernandez, SEA
58 Ian Kennedy, KC
59 Jon Gray, COL
60 Matt Moore, SF
61 Kevin Gausman, BAL
62 Ervin Santana, MIN
63 Steven Wright, BOS
64 Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA
65 Collin McHugh, HOU
66 Carlos Rodon, CWS
67 Trevor Bauer, CLE
68 Jeremy Hellickson, PHI
69 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
70 Andrew Cashner, MIA
71 Scott Kazmir, LAD
72 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
73 Jeff Samardzija, SF
74 Vincent Velasquez, PHI
75 Drew Smyly, TB
76 Archie Bradley, ARI
77 Jerad Eickhoff, PHI
78 Robbie Ray, ARI
79 Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS
80 Jaime Garcia, STL
81 Homer Bailey, CIN
82 Dan Straily, CIN
83 Bartolo Colon, NYM
84 Bud Norris, LAD
85 Francisco Liriano, TOR
86 Mike Leake, STL
87 Mike Foltynewicz, ATL
88 Josh Tomlin, CLE
89 Jose Berrios, MIN
90 CC Sabathia, NYY
91 Luis Severino, NYY
92 Mike Fiers, HOU
93 Matt Boyd, DET
94 Tom Koehler, MIA
95 Jose De Leon, LAD
96 Matt Andriese, TB
97 Yordano Ventura, KC
98 Ryan Vogelsong, PIT
99 Ivan Nova, PIT
100 Tyler Anderson, COL

Dropped Out: Michael Wacha, STL (DL, shoulde with that scap issue, hope he can get that sorted out), Taijuan Walker, SEA (awful in his first start getting demoted, I just don’t think you can rely on anything from him this year), Adam Conley, MIA (DL, finger, it’s probably only a minimum stay, but with only 1.5 months left, it’s too big a chunk of time.  No more celebrating teammate HRs for you, Adam!), Brandon McCarthy, LAD (DL, hip), James Shields, CHW (yeah, yeah, yeah, he was like 97 last week, so not like that was a terrible rank)

  • Ugh, well while Reyes looks like the Cards ace sooner than later, I just have no clue what to do with Waino or C-Mart.  Both are still pitching decently (well, not so much for Waino, his last two have been dreadful), but I’m hard-pressed to move them down too much.  I just had to a little though…
  • Things seem to be going a lot better than I expected for Clayton Kershaw, who is throwing again without issue.  If he’s back by September, he could have a huge finish for those who were able to stash.
  • Former boyfriend of mine Carlos Rodon is looking a little better after his short Dl stint with the wrist issue, so I would give him a look in good streaming opportunities the next few turns, and if all goes well the next 2-3 start, maybe he can finish 2016 strong like he did 2015.
  • A little light on the additional notes, but it felt like most of the moves this week were fairly self-explanatory.  Or maybe I’m going insane in my own head like the dude from Pi!

 

You guys as excited for Reyes as I am?  And what parts of my ranks are a “travesty” this week?  Shoot your thoughts below, and happy pitching Razzball Nation!

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My Thread Count Is High
My Thread Count Is High
6 years ago

Whats good J to the B? I couldn’t let a week go by without chiming in, although I guess since it’s Saturday I am pushing it lol. So just made a trade Jay Bruce(who disappears every August) and RP Diaz(who has hit a rough patch and has Cishek back from the DL waiting in the wings) for George Springer. Thoughts?

So my starting lineup will look like this now:
ESPN 12 team HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS daily moves and 4 keepers per season

C Posey
1B Cabrera
2B Daniel Murphy
3B Seager
SS A. Russell
OF Trout
OF Springer
OF Polanco
UTIL OF Dahl
UTIL 2B/SS/3B Baez
Bench OF/3B/DH Sano

SP Bundy
SP Shoemaker
RP Jansen
RP Melancon
P Price
P Rodon
P DeSclafani
P Salazar
Bench RP Kimbrel
Bench Phelps
Bench ?
DL SP Guerra
DL SP Paxton

So I have an open bench spot, probably want to fill it with a SP. My choices are : E-Rod, Homer Bailey, Snell, Skaggs, Manaea, or Pineda. Also it may be a temporary fill as I have K-Pax and Guerra on my DL.

My Thread Count Is High
My Thread Count Is High
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: No worries, appreciate your time man. Sounds like you need a hobby lol, but seriously I appreciate the advice. Streamed Green today, so makes sense to stream Bailey tomorrow.I hear Walker may be called back up for Tuesdays start for the M’s. It would be nice if he returns to form, but not sure I should bypass bailey for him. Thoughts?

Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Montezuma's Revenge... right now
6 years ago

we don’t hate the cardinals, we do hate matheny though. that 2nd article was really good, and true.

Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Reply to  Montezuma's Revenge... right now
6 years ago

@Montezuma’s Revenge… right now: often we’re (and i’m saying “we’re” to mean STL’ians that like baseball and arent’ stupid, so not gonna argue about how many of “us” there are) just fans of bad baseball, which matheny does day in and out. he recently just tried to spin the fact that the cardinals now HAVE to play grichuk by saying “we’re gonna let him “free to be himself””as if him being sent down twice wasn’t done DIRECTLY due to matheny benching him and the GM knowing he needs at bats. those articles hint that mozeliak might be tiring of this shit (or at least should be). now he wants to try to in advance take credit in case it goes well. same bullshit with diaz hitting 8th for 6 weeks when he was completely tearing MLB’s ass. and holliday hitting 3rd or 4th when we have clearly better hitters for important spots (so holliday getting hit in the hand saved us from matheny there)

Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Reply to  Montezuma's Revenge... right now
6 years ago

@Montezuma’s Revenge… right now: should read “not fans of bad baseball”

Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: oh we’re certainly spoiled (from winning all the time), but no small part of that is mozeliak just doesn’t make bad trades very often. he never would’ve given up the crazy amounts like CUBS and TEX did just recently. we got gyorko/moss/duke for about nothing useful at all. we did actually offer heyward too much money (about 15 or so more than CUBS did, heyward just wanted to be on a better team future-wise). we barely missed price’s completely ridiculous offer, refused to overpay pujols (but only like 30 million total over life of contract less than he took).

the point of that article is that mozeliak seemingly sort of is, and certainly SHOULD BE, getting tired of matheny’s shitty managing. i’m not speaking for all STL fans, just the type that write those pretty good articles. average STL’ians are NOT generally smart baseball minds.

Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Montezuma's Revenge... right now
Reply to  Montezuma's Revenge... right now
6 years ago

@Montezuma’s Revenge… right now: i can’t believe however, that Oh wasn’t overbid by CUBS over us. that has to speak to our international scouts being better than CUBS. CUBS came into season with a weak bullpen on paper and should’ve just stolen Oh the way they did Lackey (with more money)

knucks
knucks
6 years ago

Not about pitching at all (and not asking for a fantasy take, just a take as a Brewers fan). What’s your take on Villar’s base running lately.

I know its not like they are playing for much right now. And there was that situation a few weeks back where Counsell sat him down for a game. I’m not watching the games and actually traded him away in fantasy. The guy seems to be getting CS or PO a lot lately. Prob trying to pad some stats? Does this bother you, as its prob hurting the teams chance to score at least a few times a week.

740
740
6 years ago

hey JB!

10team h2h

Manaea over Snell or Smyly?
also, hold Manaea ROS?

thanks!

Slimcompoop
Slimcompoop
6 years ago

What’s good JB? Reyes was floating on the wire in my 10-team keeper league until I saw him pitch in the Futures game and picked him up. Traded him away at the deadline for some hitting, but only cause he won’t be kept in our league (you can only keep six total players). Definitely a target early in drafts next season.

I saw that write-up you did on Musgrove a little ways back, what’s your comfort level with him going forward into next year? I have Sale and Carrasco to keep as my two pitchers, but could definitely move one (i.e., Carrasco) for a bat and hold onto Musgrove. Like top-30ish for 2017?

Slimcompoop
Slimcompoop
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: iFetch (i.e., from last week’s podcast)? Sounds kind of lazy, although could be good for my two labs, Hall & Oates, while I’m gone at work. How’s it working out for you?

JoeG414
JoeG414
6 years ago

You think Skaggs has a bounce back start tomorrow vs Sea?

Luvdarooks
Luvdarooks
6 years ago

Will Velasquez or Eickhoff be shut down because of innings ?
I FAAB’ed L weaver and have an option to drop one of the above or dump AJ Ramos (DL can be dropped in this league) since I need the K’s way more than saves.
In fact I am thinking of dropping Eikhiff for weaver and picking up Koehler is pitching well from Miami in ramos’s sopt.
WHO TO DROP?
Pick up Koehler as well?
What do u think?

Bye Felica
Bye Felica
6 years ago

Not JBJ

iifish
iifish
6 years ago

If you could keep four, who would you leave out for 017: Polanco, JBradleyJ, Yelich, Dahl, or Benintendi?

Russell
Russell
6 years ago

Hey there JB,

12 Team H2H Categories
Who would you rather have rest of season
Shoemaker or Musgrove?

Thanks!

Martin
Martin
6 years ago

Appreciate the “travesty” shoutout! But Davies ten spots ahead of porcello?! I know you’re a Milwakee homer but c’mon!!

Martin
Martin
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Pitcher A because I’m assuming it’s Porcello!

Scott
Scott
6 years ago

Not cool with Kuhl?

Rags
Rags
6 years ago

NL only roto league that discourages streaming.

What order would you put Weaver, David Phelps (his velo is up!), Reynaldo Lopez, Koehler and Jake Thompson?

Geoff
Ralph Lifshitz
6 years ago

Chris Sale sucks! I hate him! Get off my team Chris Sale!!!

Geoff
Ralph Lifshitz
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Put down those sun chips! Who still eats sun chips…..wait…..

Grey
Admin
Reply to  Ralph Lifshitz
6 years ago

Prospector Ralph’s on one today!

Geoff
Ralph Lifshitz
Reply to  Grey
6 years ago

@Grey: Yeah I’m mad at myself for spending an inordinate amount of time doing something I’m not good at.

Grey
Admin
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

Sale didn’t take kindly to the post-game interviewer motioning to a tag on his shirt, asking if anyone had scissors…

Grey
Admin
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

“Made in China, must be a Trump product.”

Grey
Admin
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

Haha

Oranje
Oranje
6 years ago

Two start Shark or eithr one start Matz or Musgrove. I could also sit Rodney for one of the starters but teams have been starting 3 rps in my league recently. Thoughts and thanks

Oranje
Oranje
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: thanks. I have DRob and Betances for saves but not sure which way to go for starters. It’s 5×5 h2h against all teams in the league each week. Still going Matz and Musgrove? Should I take the 2 starts and start one of the others over Rodney?

Brian
Brian
6 years ago

Any sleepers you’d recommend picking up that are out there?

Will
Will
6 years ago

keeper / ROS question. Is Reyes worth adding for the ROS if I’m not going to keep him? I have to keep 1 rookie and right now my options are.

Dahl, Contreras, Bregman or Taillon

Thoughts? I would probably have to drop DeSalafini or Paxton to add Reyes for this year. Unless I dropped Ozuna, Eaton or Bregman right now. they are currently on my bench rotating with Polanco.

Jedimasters
Jedimasters
6 years ago

If Reyes is inserted in rotation where does he fall on your rankings?

Ross Watson
Ross Watson
6 years ago

Love your weekly ranking JB, just need an explanation how you can justify Zack Greinke at #17? I’m a Greinke owner so I need your words to give myself confidence in playing this guy going forward.

Ross Watson
Ross Watson
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

True, think he’s got SD and ATL next two so something has gotta give.

Fungazi
Fungazi
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: Read Grey’s post today, he warned us about you cherrypickers!

PED Inc
PED Inc
6 years ago

Very nice JB!
I’m with you on Reyes, that delivery looks absolutely effortless and the stuff to go with the heat is filthy. Exciting to see what he may be capable of the the next couple years.

How do you see the rest of Taillion’s season going forward as far as innings left. I think a lot of it is going to have to do with how close the Pirates stay within the wild card race but do you see them just ciutting him off at some point?

With Salazar coming off the DL I need to drop one, and it’s not easy. I already made the playoffs so I don’t need anything from these guys the next couple weeks.
Taillon
Skaggs
Wainwright
Desclafini

Thanks buddy!!

PED Inc
PED Inc
Reply to  PED Inc
6 years ago

@PED Inc: Sorry I forgot, I need to start one this week and I think I’ve switched them back and fourth 4 times already today.

Hendricks @ Col
Desclafini vs MIA and vs LAD

H2H points league

PED Inc
PED Inc
Reply to  JB Gilpin
6 years ago

@JB Gilpin: I really don’t particularly like either for the week, I could go with Musgrove @ Bal as well, first time against a lineup that strikes out a lot, has good potential.