(NOTE: THIS POST WAS RELEASED EARLY THIS WEEK ON OUR PATREON. IT’S $10/MONTH OR $13/MONTH WITH AN EXTRA WEEKLY PODCAST.)
Last year, I wrote in my Leody Taveras sleeper post, “You don’t need me to Mr. Shaibel you through the ins and outs of strategy on how to move your pieces around to win your league, but let me just say the quiet part real loud: SPEED AND POWER MMM YUM. Got it, all you Normies and five Carlas? Leody Taveras is only 22 years old, so his power could be developing into more goodness. He has a 14.3 Launch Angle, which should lead to roughly a 37+% fly ball rate (it was 32.9% last year, but small samples). A 37% fly ball rate should lead to roughly 178 fly balls. Taveras is not built like a brickhouse. He’s built more like a Shed Long. But he has a 50 grade in raw power and who knows? Maybe he runs into 10% HR/FB. That would give him, you guessed it, 18 homers! I’ll be honest, that feels optimistic. Steamer projects him for 13 homers in 133 games, and that feels optimistic too, but pessimistic on his games played. When all things are equal, 13 homers feels like a solid projection, but in more games.” And that’s me quoting me! That just got my pants tent moving north to the Adirondacks for Loedy Taveras in 2022 too. If Siri is reading this to you, we’re not talking about 20222, you didn’t fall asleep for 18,200 years. If you did, your head would be reading this in a jar of formaldehyde. Just had a thought, imagine your head was being preserved in formaldehyde and it was on a shelf behind a bigger head and all you could see was the back of someone else’s head for all of eternity. Writing a note in my Last Will and Testament to not let that happen to me. Any hoo! This is for this year, and Leody has speed and power. He needs to find more contact, but if he can, he could be trouble this year or in 20222. Anyway, here’s some more players to Buy or Sell this week in fantasy baseball:
Alejandro Kirk – Just gave you my Alejandro Kirk fantasy. It was written while giggling.
Harold Castro – Imagine his contact with Leody’s power and speed and I’m moving back to the Adirondacks. Sadly, Castro has contact and that’s about it. 4020 for life.
Brad Miller – Just gave you a Brad Miller fantasy. You know homeboy’s been hot as a Hot Pocket right out of the microwave if he’s getting his own post.
Bobby Bradley – Watching him is like tuning into Swag City on BET, if there was a show named Swag City on BET. Bobby Bradley has light tower power, fastballs he will devour.
Abraham Toro – Abe Toro sounds like a guy who is so nice with his knives he makes the best sushi in the world, but he retired decades ago after losing his wife. Am I mixing How Stella Got Her Groove Back and Pixar’s Up? Maybe, maybe not. Either way, Toro is prorating out to 20/10/.270 season and I’m already mentally drafting him for 2022.
Freddy Galvis – Don’t make me write about Freddy Galvis beyond saying he’s hot. The Phils have a few guys like Galvis. Not hot like Galvis, boring like Galvis. Practically their entire lineup. “Hey, how about that Odubel Herr…” goes into a long, drawn-out yawn then, “What was I saying? Oh, yeah, about Jean Seg…” Yawns again then, “I’m sorry, what was that?”
Thairo Estrada – Building off what I said for Galvis, the Giants take boring players and make them less boring. Well, the Giants’ genie does. We will call the Giants’ genie, Gene. He’s a bearded man who dresses in jorts and makes every wish come true.
Andres Gimenez – He just turned 23. Pretty irrelevant for this year, but I forgot he was so young. He’s gonna be someone who’s hard to resist again next year. Sorry, this is about this year. He has speed, surprisingly decent contact, and has been playing.
Bobby Dalbec – Gave you a Bobby Dalbec fantasy a few weeks ago, and y’all asleep poolside with aluminum foil folded in front of your moneymaker trying to get extra tan. Bobby D. gives power and that’s it, but, if you need that, there ya go.
Jeimer Candelario – The funny/unfunny thing about Jeimer is I keep wanting to recommend him, but he’s so wildly boring, that I’ve skipped mentioning him. But since Harold Castro’s here, I couldn’t not mention Jeimer, since he’s sexy compared to Harold Castro. Call him Hard-on Castro.
Yoshi Tsutsugo – Phil Collins’s fantasy team, Just Say The Word, Tsu-tsu-go, is benefitting big time from Tsustugo’s hot streak and is slowly moving from 12th to 11th place.
Lane Thomas – Was super close to having Lane Thomas be this week’s lede, but I just couldn’t bring myself to highlight a guy who, while being hot, is really just kinda bleh. Left a ton of Dave/Lane Thomas, square burger jokes on the table by not going with him.
Lorenzo Cain – Can you tell it’s September baseball? I’m recommending Lane Thomas, Lorenzo Cain, Tsutsugo and telling you to drop guys like Cody Bellinger.
Kevin Pillar – Grabbing Pillar in a league will be for many the statue of limitations.
Anthony Alford – You google Anthony Alford and it spits back at you, “Don’t you mean Leody Taveras?” And when you click you don’t mean Leody Taveras, it says, “Are you sure?” Man, I’m going with Bing because it’s dumber.
Austin Hays – I just thought of a scenario where I want to draft three Orioles’ outfielders next year. Guess we’ll cross that orange-birded bridge when we come to it.
DJ Peters – This Buy column could be a new tool by Rudy, the Trashonator, where it skims through the trash and finds, uh, trash. DJ Peters has power but is such trash DJ would be spinning major trash like 80s hair bands and lettuce from Subway.
Jo Adell – Someone asked the other day about Adell for 2022 and I wonder if they heard my yawn through the computer screen. For right now though, he’s been hottish.
Patrick Corbin – This is a Streamonator call, like the call it makes to a vegan restaurant.
Chris Flexen – This is also a Streamonator call. “I saw your sign said you put the friendly in vegan-friendly, and I don’t eat food but could use some friends.”
Joe Barlow – As I went over in my last week’s Buy, there’s about 20 bullpens in flux so just naming a few this week since there’s so many choices. Doc Brown, I’m in flux incapacitated.
Andrew Kittredge – Has anyone seen Kittredge vs. Mountcastle? I was watching it last night on Britbox and my power cut out right as Olivia Colman was about to strike from the record everything Mountcastle put forward. Wait, sorry, that’s for a British crime drama subreddit thread.
Mychal Givens – Trying to figure out why Givens was rostered in 5% less leagues this week, and it’s hurting my brain so I’m moving on.
Adam Ottavino – Whitlock is also in Boston and he looks good, but maybe too good, so he might see earlier innings. Yes, to be a closer, you have to be good but not too good. Like the Goldilocks of pitchers. When someone gets the 9th inning, say, “They have the game Goldilocked.” Any hoo! Ottavino, Whitlock, Robles, and Barnes is back soon. This is a mess, and, as long as they don’t use the best guy, Goldie Whitlocks, it will stay a mess.
Trevor Rogers – Think he pitches tonight, so that’ll prolly be a no-hitter to make me look super foolish, which is only slightly more foolish than usual. In redraft leagues, it’s time to move on from Rogers, and really any young pitcher struggling to throw more than 60 pitches in a game. *cough* all Tigers starters *cough*
Gleyber Torres – I’ve mentioned him, like, four times all year. I admittedly fall into the trap of mentioning guys who homer more than others, but has Gleyber done anything this year? Guess you could look at the Fantasy Baseball Trade Analyzer for keeper trades, but I doubt you’re getting anything for him. Dude’s so toast, butter be trying to smear itself on him. This toast ghosted all the teams that drafted him too, like he was trying to get out of paying alimony. He’s the great Ghosting Toaster. Butter screaming into the abyss, “Come back, Torres, I want to melt on you!” Even in a keeper, I’d prolly take a VHS of a bunch of old backyard wrestling matches over Gleyber.
i keep tinkering and tinkering for next week would u start Eduardo escobar 5 games 2det and 3cubs oneil 3 mets 3 SD or Dalbec 3 at seattle and 3 vs baltimore next week..
would you start any over riley who has been a bit cold?nah right?
thanks you and hooe u had a nice weekend
I’d start Riley and O’Neill
I have 1 move left today to set up my team for the semi final match (and then 7 moves during the week).
You like Houser vs the Cubs or Jose Suarez vs Oakland?
Thank you! My first thought was Houser, but wary of that park. His last outing there was a shutout, but against the Cards, so means nothing. Suarez it is!
The 5th place team is upsetting the 3rd place team, which would make them my opponent.
Hope it works!
Nice Streamonator call on Corbin. I couldn’t pull the trigger on that move, though. Fortunately, Lauer was available in many of my leagues.
I’ve had Lauer all year in one NL Only league…Been a nice find
Between Tatis and Vlad who would you take #1 overall next year?
Forgot to mention it’s a small 6 team shallow standard roto redraft. Still Tatis over Vlad #1?
Playoffs start tomorrow, and I have two (seemingly tough) dilemnas.
1. Drop Kittredge for Givens? I lean Givens.
Kittredge has been good, but he may soon lose high leverage situations with Nick Anderson activation this morning. Givens prone for occasional melt-downs, but his closer role is solid.
2. Should I cut Franmil for either Dalbec or Swanson? I’m leaning Dalbec.
In ESPN, Reyes is DH-only. I always keep 1 bench bat; but with a team wi/odefensive flexibility, I cannot fill anyone if a team/player day-off. Swanson gives me 2B/SS coverage (Jazz plays both), and Dalbec plays 1B/3B. But Swanson really cold the past 2+ weeks, and Dalbec only starts vs Righties.
Thanks for all the advice you’ve provided this season.
1. Sure 2. Swanson
Please rank 1-3 among Lauer, Kap and Kikuchi for a win and QS.
Lauer at Cleve (Civale)
Kap home v Rangers (Hern)
Kikuchi home v Ariz ( Gilbert)
Great. I think you are right. I went Lauer cuz I think he is the best pitcher but bad road matchup. My opponent took Kap. Look for my new book:
How to lose in fantasy on Sundays.
Well, chalk one up for the old man. Lately I have been just taking who I think is best pitcher at this point on the best team. Kikuchi was fine but undone by errors. Can’t trust Kap against anyone this late in the season. Onward to the second round!!
Yup, nicely done!
I admit it. I listened and sold Soto, in a keeper league . I have been trying to make up for that mistake ever since, getting Dipoto trade happy. In an effort to consolidate assets I made two trades last night. I get Story and Franco:
1 Bregman and A. Manoah for T. Story
2. LouBob and P. Alonso for W. Franco
If someone is gonna ease my caffeine withdrawals it’s Wander, right?
I’d take Story and LouBob
It looks like I am getting Nick Anderson back and need to drop a RP. Which one of these would you drop
thats exactly who I was thinking.
I always love your honesthy!
1. I have Kyle Seager as my DH. Would you keep him or take Jonathan Schoop or Bobby Dalbec off waivers?
2. The following six pitchers are available on waivers?
Josiah Gray (wash). His next two starts are at Pitts and then home against Co
Tailan Walker (NYM). His next two starts are against NYY and PHil
Tarik Skubal (Det). His next two starts home against TB and then on the road against TB
Jon Gray (Co). His next startat Atl
Alex Mills (Cubs) His next start is at Phil
Jon Lester (Cards)) His next start is at NYM
1. Hold 2. Walker seems ok
Tied in wins, QS and losses with WHIP and ERA tight too. Incredibly close. Kap and Kikuchi been shaky. Carrasco better but Yankees can be tough.
If I have to stream one guy tomorrow, who you got?
Carrasco home vs Yanks (undecided)
Kikuchi home vs DBacks (Gilbert)
Kaprelian home vs Rangers (Hearn)
Thanks, Skubal home vs Rays (Patino) just became an option as well. Not sure why he was pulled so early last game (limits?)
Skubal won’t pitch more than 60 pitches
Need a MI replacement with wander out
Who do you like best? Villar, France, or Luis urias?
Got a trade offer – Soto for Ohtani.
Standard roto redraft.
I’m in the overall lead and looking to maintain leads in RBI and AVG.
And between tucker and Soto for RBI -and AVG?
Which one do I roll with below?
Grey hope you’re well Sir. All my h2h pitching categories are tight heading into the weekend. I see you comment above re Josiah. Do you trust Elieser? I’m considering benching both tomorrow and relying on Woodruff and Sonny Gray to not get blown up on Sunday. Thoughts?
You too! I’d wait for Woodruff and Gray
Meaning them bench Gray and Elieser
Which 2 Start pitchers are you taking in a crucial week next week:
Rich Hill Vs STL/PHI
Eduardo Rodriguez Vs @SEA/BAL
Jake Odorizzi Vs @TEX/ARI
Zac Gallen @ LAD/HOU
I know you said you wouldn’t touch Eduardo, but in those matchups? I’m so tempted Grey, I’m so tempted.
I also own Gallen and those starts are horror shows but I don’t know what to do0. In the league I own Hallen I also own Rodriguez and I may just say screw it if they get lit I’ll just show for K:9, K, QS, S+H.
I’m not sure what to do. Thank you!!
Odorizzi, Ed-Rod…I don’t like any of them after Odorizzi…gallen’s matchups seem terrible
Varsho or Le Terminator (Points league)
Should I add nick Andersen? Hes probably going to pitch this weekend.
closer or not a closer? That is the question.
Yeah, add him
He might close, unsure of that
Hey Grey, first week of playoffs and I’m looking for power. Roll with Schwindel or Jesus Sanchez?
Patrick Corbin stream call huh? We sure? Haha
Haha it’s dangerous but I didn’t see any others
Soler or Happ?
Soler or Happ?
Much better commentary Grey dawg. Nice that you are tossing in juicy fact/stat nuggets and de-emphasizing (but not truncating) the attempts at humor. Itz been a better mix lately.
I appreciate all the hard work to inform and lightly entertain us plebs out here in the internet universe who live for baseball and basketball. Thank you.
Thanks for the kind words!
Lux is back!!!
Why? He has been as bad as Bellinger. Although no one looks as out of it as Bellinger. Can’t believe he is getting through drug testing.
I just got bogaerts back. I have Adam Frazier, and edmundo sosa. Which guy would you drop? Thanks in advance.
should I drop him now or wait until tomorrow?
Wait a day if you can
i can hold until sunday if need be
Saves + holds league. I own graveman. Do you like Barlow (kc) more ros. Graveman plays on a better team but hasn’t been getting any holds. He did cough up a grand slam last week. Ugh.
Grey, I’m in a H2H (5×5 w/ QS) league with a lot of good playoff options next week. I have 4 SP spots for the following 8 choices. If ratios are my primary concern, who do you like below? Thanks!
– McCullers v. Ari
– Ynoa v. Col
– Mahle @ Pit
– Webb v. Atl
– Snell @ Stl
– Lynn @ Tex
– Manoah v. TB, v. Min
– Urquidy @ Tex, v. Ari
Not Grey obvi he prolly missed this one.
Mahle Ynoa Lynn and Snell or Manoah
Sorry I did miss it
Mahle Ynoa, McCullers and Snell — I like Lynn but he might be on a pitch count coming back from injury
What’s up Grey
Need to pick 2 starters for this weekend with best chance at a QS and W.
Pineda (v. KC), Hernandez (@ATL), Davies (v. SF), Mikolas (v. CIN), Skubal (v. TB), Happ (v. CIN), or Archer (@DET)?
Also, best chance at a save this weekend: Floro or Givens?
Pineda, Happ, none are good
Oh they seemed like terrible options but I am a little desperate. May be better off using one of my last waiver claims to chase saves.
Your help and openness is always appreciated!
1. Would you pick up the Nats’ Josiah Gray? His next two starts are at Pittsburgh and then home at Miami.
2. To pick up, then would have to waive either Luis Severino or Jameson Taillon. Who would you cut if you are going to recommend picking up Josiah Gray?
No problem — 1. I don’t trust him at all 2. You can lose Severino in general prolly
Thank you Grey.
HEYyyyyyy ol budddehhh ol pal remember that hole sap thing? Rdy for round 2 j/k I actually for sure am playing games next week haha!
I am starting 2 start Sandy duh and Nola @ mets cuz the mets are worse then Nola struggling I think!
THEN you that is right YOU get to help ME pick 2 RP and 4 more P. WOW what an amazing experience cats W/K/ERA/whip/Netsvsholds
For RP we can choose 6 game Gallagos Diego Castillo (i axed sewald cuz he been sukin) 7game kittredge or 5 game williams
for SP there is Luis Castillo LAD
Freddy P @ DET
Rodon vs LAA
stroman vs STL
Elieser Hernandez vs Pit
2 start Manoah vs TB and VS Min
Hopefully I can bug you again in the finals next week :D (Sometimes I go rogue and do my own thing even though I ask you I am such an askhole) mostly not though
Kittredge, Gallegos…Rodon, Castillo, Elieser, Alek…
I love watching Kirk just barely beat throws to first that most players would score an inside the park homer on.
But is he faster than Pujols?
Like to see Pujols, Miggy and Kirk in a race
Time them with a grandfather’s clock?
Logan Gilbert at home Monday vs Red Sox. SON is a fan $9.3. Would you go with him in a H2H playoff?
Start or sit Marquez @ Philly? In a very close matchup trying to make it to the finals! All pitching categories are tight.
@Grey: wow, so a lot of people moved on to football already, huh? anyhoo, for next week, need 3 of these guys. who do you like?
ynoa – vs col
nestor – @ bal, vs cle
ranger – vs chc
jon gray – @ atl, @ was
quantrill – @ min
Yeah…ynoa, Ranger, Nestor
1) Got the bye this week! Would you hold onto Reynaldo. Lopez/Logan Gilbert generally speaking in a 12 team league? Never know how to use my bye.
2) Is Tony gonsolin worth picking up?
3). Would you rather Leody or Amed Rosario,/Soler
1. I’d hold Lopez for now but who is your options? I’d lose Gilbert