Updating things is often a struggle in Kelder Land. For work, I have been wearing polos and khakis now for over 20 years. My phone, no reason to get a new one unless the battery has gone bad. My truck is a 2008 Silverado.
My marriage is 20 years old, but that’s a good thing to not update!
So with time comes data, and data comes opinions and projections. The table below shows the top 50 1B and 3B combined on one giant super list. The first column is mine, which are the ones there shall be comments upon. The middle is the mathematical Razzball rest of season player rater. The third came from the Yahoo Friends and Family Draft, which I kinda maybe think I got invited to play next season. They ran this draft earlier in the week, and I thought it was interesting to see where these guys went.
The Ranks:
Kelder’s 100% Accurate Rankings | Razzball ROS Player Rater | Yahoo Friends and Family Draft Position |
1.Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Jose Ramirez | Jose Ramirez |
2. Jose Ramirez | Vladito | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. |
3. Freddie Freeman | Freeman | Bryce Harper |
4. Bryce Harper | Harper | Freddie Freeman |
5. Rafael Devers | Devers | Manny Machado |
6. Manny Machado | Machado | Alex Bregman |
7. Pete Alonso | Bregman | Pete Alonso |
8. Austin Riley | Big Belly Bellinger | Austin Riley |
9. Matt Olson | Austin Riley | Rafael Devers |
10. Alex Bregman | Polar Bear Alonso | Matt Olson |
11. Cody Bellinger | Goldie | Cody Bellinger |
12. Mark Vientos | Matt Olson | Josh Naylor |
13. Luis Arraez | Luis Arraez | Spencer Torkelson |
14. Josh Naylor | Yandy Diaz | Junior Caminero |
15. Vinnie Pasquantino | Junior Caminero | Jazz Chisholm |
16. Isaac Paredes | Isaac Paredes | Brendan Donavon |
17. Alec Bohm | Josh Naylor | Vinnie Pasquantino |
18. Tyler Soderstrom | Vinnie Pasquantino | Matt Chapman |
19. Junior Caminero | Nolan Schanuel | Mark Vientos |
20. Eugenio Suarez | Christian Walker | Christian Walker |
21. Jon Aranda | Jazz Chisholm | Maikel Garcia |
22. Josh Jung | Josh Jung | Paul Goldschmidt |
23. Yandy Diaz | Jonathan India | Tyler Soderstrom |
24. Jazz Chisholm | Maikel Garcia | Alec Bohm |
25. Colt Keith | Eugenio Suarez | Michael Busch |
26. Kyle Manzardo | Mark Vientos | Isaac Paredes |
27. Rhys Hoskins | Andrew Vaughn | Jon Aranda |
28. Matt Chapman | Matt Chapman | Royce Lewis |
29. Spencer Torkelson | Jordan Westburg | Yandy Diaz |
30. Michael Busch | Ben Rice | Josh Jung |
31. Jonathan India | Nolan Arenado | Spenccer Steer |
32. Jake Burger | Willi Castro | Jordan Westburg |
33. Brendan Donovan | Alec Bohm | Colt Keith |
34. Jordan Westburg | Kyle Manzardo | Nick Kurtz |
35. Spencer Steer | Spencer Steer | Luis Arraez |
36. Ben Rice | Spencer Torkelson | Kyle Manzardo |
37. Ryan Mountcastle | Carlos Santana | Ben Rice |
38. Maikel Garcia | Rhys Hoskins | Nolan Arenado |
39. Jordan Westburg | Ryan McMahon | Jake Burger |
40. Christian Walker | Luis Rengifo | Matt Shaw |
41. Noelvi Marte | Royce Lewis | Max Muncy |
42. Nolan Arenado | Michael Busch | Nate Lowe |
43. Matt Shaw | Nathaniel Lowe | Rhys Hoskins |
44. Nick Kurtz | Tyler Soderstrom | Josh Smith |
45. Max Muncy | Ty France | Willi Castro |
46. Royce Lewis | Ryan O’Hearn | Noelvi Marte |
47. Willi Castro | Michael Toglia | Cam Smith |
48. Miguel Vargas | Miguel Vargas | Javier Baez |
49. Cam Smith
|
Josh Smith | Brooks Lee |
The Comments:
Mark Vientos: 12 overall is not what anyone expected. He’s not been what he was at the end of last year. I’m gambling here that he’s a second half player, and quite honestly, can’t get his postseason out of my head. He’s either going to make me look brilliant or foolish, with nothing in between. Blind faith is the best faith!
Luis Arraez: The industry continues to flail around with Arraez and his value. I keep coming back to this: he’s got an elite batting average in a batting average depressed economy. The current average average is .244 and Arraez as of this writing was .307. According to the Player Rater, his batting average is more valuable than Matt Olson’s HR, Bryce Harper’s RBI, and Maikel Garcia’s SB. In short, this is a very valuable category. That’s why I have him so highly rated despite his obvious power flaws.
Brendan Donovan: He’s having a great season, but he’s going to lose 50 points off that batting average. Guy hasn’t ever cleared .283 and now he’s in the .320s? Nah, not gonna stick. With middling power and speed, Donavon is best served as a great bench option.
The Top Four: It’s very, very comforting to have such a consensus across the industry. Peace and love and harmony.
Age vs. Upside: This author is always going to go for the upside over players in their 30s (Freddie Freeman excluded, he must have gotten cyborg implants in that ankle). Guys in their mid 30s just aren’t as exciting as the breakouts. So Tyler Soderstrom, who got hammered in projections, is much higher in ranks and the draft. The algorithm can be slow to buy into changes for young players. Kyle Manzardo has ten HR already? Imagine what will happen when the average comes up? You’ll never convince me it’s fun to own Carlos Santana over any of these young guns.
Brand Players:
Vlad: Always him every year.
Bryce Harper: Favorite player in baseball, second favorite to own.
Cody Bellinger: Love the steals potential and ability to get hot and carry a team
Colt Keith: I don’t know why either. It’s probably because I get interested in guys who get pre-arbitration extensions. The Tigers have become smart!
Nick Kurtz: Give me all of the bat first prospects. We need them for the corners
Return To Sender:
Christian Walker: 34, fading numbers, no bounce back indicators. His season numbers are already toast; is he?
Max Muncy: Try to never own a guy who has the potential to hit below .200 even if he’s on the best offense in baseball.
Junior Caminero: I know that he has the highest bat speed in the league right now. Can he control it? Or is this another Christopher Morel?
Maikel Garcia: There should be enough steals around that you don’t have to tank every other category.
Maybe my truck is old, and my wife 20 years older than when we dated, but fantasy sports aren’t a marriage. Give me the flashy new truck every time in my drafts.
So Goldschmidt is 11th on the player rater, but not in your top 50?
Think there is anything positive with Muncy and his new glasses? Actually being able to see the ball better?
I’ll reassess Vientos after this 3 game set in Coors. Hoping this spring boards him into a heater
Also, it’s not like there’s a ton of options to replace him!
I own Vientos, and Westburg returns from IL soon. Surprised that you would prefer dropping Westburg instead of Vientos.
I guess I don’t see power or great plate approach with Westburg. Vientos at least has shown pop
Playing around the edges ina very deep league. -lease rank Josh Bell, Nolan Gor,an and Santiago Espinal. Thanks
Seems you’re still pretty high on Soderstrom in light of the on-going dip in production. What do you see that still gives you hope?
Also, I’m suffering from a Bregman outage right now. Who are 2-3 3B that are closest to Riley Greene in terms of value/production? 12 team OBP h2h if that helps at all.
Thanks!
Ooh I’m gonna have to adjust on Soderstom in a couple weeks u less he gets hot again.
Our Player Rater has Eugenio Suarez rated right with Green, same with The
Paredes