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Masyn Winn, 2024 Fantasy Outlook

November 23, 2023 | Fantasy Baseball Rookies, Featured | 32 Comments

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Masyn Winn hit 2 homers and stole two bags in 122 ABs in the majors, while hitting .172. Welp, what are we doing here? Are we now covering stinkers? The Diabolical Voice In My Head, “Hey, if we’re going to cover stinkers, we should cover you, Grey!” That’s not cool. “May not be cool, but at least it doesn’t stink, like you!” Damn, way harsh. So, there’s a case to be made Masyn Winn is a stinker like that Diabolical Voice In My Head said. “It’s you, man, you’re the diabolical voice!”

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Grey

Ricky Tiedemann, 2024 Fantasy Outlook

November 20, 2023 | Fantasy Baseball Rookies, Featured | 22 Comments

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Most of the 2024 fantasy rookie outlook posts will be hitters. That’s not by accident. Hitters are easier to predict, especially rookies. Also, I like guys who have tasted the majors. If a player has seen time in the majors, then they’re more likely to be guaranteed a spot on the major league team next year. Unfortch, this doesn’t work for pitchers for one obvious reason. If hitters are looking good in Triple-A, then they can be called up for that delicious cup of coffee in the majors, if it’s not too latte.

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Grey

Pete Crow-Armstrong, 2024 Fantasy Outlook

November 19, 2023 | Fantasy Baseball Rookies, Featured | 36 Comments

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Aptronyms fascinate me. It’s when one’s name fits perfectly to their occupation. Like if my name were Grey Albrightaboutfantasy. Nominative determinism says there’s a causal relationship between a person being attracted to areas of work that fit their name. For unstints, Usain Bolt runs fast, Thomas Crapper worked with toilets, and Prince and Cecil Fielder were fielders. Think about this before naming your kid, Dumbass. Or Dumbass Jr., if your name is already Dumbass. Though, just naming your kid, Presidentoftheworld, isn’t going to be all they need. With all that said, Pete Crow-Armstrong does a crow hop and combines both solid arm strength and accuracy. Overall, his fielding is excellent. Let’s see an example:

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Grey

Kyle Harrison, 2024 Fantasy Outlook

November 16, 2023 | Fantasy Baseball Rookies, Featured | 20 Comments

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First off, what have we said about Kyle Harrison in the past, here’s Itch, “No secret I don’t like this pitcher as much as other sites, who have frequently pushed him up around the top-20 range because he can be dominant when he’s in rhythm. Remains on the list despite a 1.56 WHIP because he could be a front-line starter if he ever finds a delivery he can repeat.

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Grey

Heston Kjerstad, 2024 Fantasy Outlook

November 13, 2023 | Fantasy Baseball Rookies, Featured | 16 Comments

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Up until now I’ve been saying this guy or that guy can be the top prospect for 2024 fantasy baseball. Welp, don’t think that’s the case here. Oh, I could be wrong. That’s happened before to me (once). When he was called up, I said, “Was much more excited about Kjerstad before this call up. When I thought he was the capital of Aruba? No, not that far back. Back when I thought the O’s might play him and he had time to actually play. Not sure why the O’s took so long to call him up, but it’s deflated my enthusiasm. He looks like he could have some power, and might hit .250 with little speed.” And that’s me quoting me! That doesn’t even sound like a profile that’s worth going over in a full post, huh? Well, the thing is, it was the 2nd week in September, and a guy like, say, Matt Olson isn’t that interesting if he were just called up. I don’t just randomly bring up Matt Olson, wait until you see Kjerstad’s power. It’ll be gorgeous in the clip after the: So, what can we expect from Heston Kjerstad for 2024 fantasy baseball?

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Grey

Ronny Mauricio, 2024 Fantasy Outlook

November 10, 2023 | Fantasy Baseball Rookies, Featured | 19 Comments

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First, let’s reacquaint ourselves with what I said last year, “Welcome back to the Mets’ Future Stars Game! Arriving any moment will be Brett Baty, Mark Vientos and Ronny Mauricio. There’s nothing that could go wrong–What’s that? Hmm, this is still a breaking story, but we’re hearing the actor who played the pilot in Lost and the actor who played the pilot in Yellowjackets were flying the young stars to this game. This is a developing story. We can return to discussing the Mets’ offseason trade of Pete Alonso for Jarred Kelenic…” So, Ronny Mauricio seems as surefire as surefire comes. There doesn’t seem a miss in this bat. Been a bit surprised that it seems like the majority of people are interested in Jasson Dominguez and not as much in Ronny Mauricio. I get it; the first at-bat homer helps Jasson’s appeal for right now. I agree, but Ronny Mauricio has better eligibility and, for just this year, he could easily be better. Will he? I’m not a part of the Psychic Friends Network. He could be though, as soon as we locate that plane!” And that’s me quoting me! Geez, remember Jasson Dominguez? I do. Barely! Let’s see what Itch’s previously said, “A 6’3″ switch hitter with natural power and back-to-back 20/20 seasons, Mauricio is a wide awake fantasy sleeper for redraft leagues, and I’d like to put asleep Grey with my fist.” Okay, not cool! So, what can we expect from Ronny Mauricio for 2024 fantasy baseball?

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Grey

Ceddanne Rafaela, 2024 Fantasy Outlook

November 6, 2023 | Fantasy Baseball Rookies, Featured | 31 Comments

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If it’s not obvious, I’ve been trying to focus on players who were already called up. Sure, I went over a few guys who haven’t been called up yet — hello, Wyatt Langford fantasy — but if a player is called up already, then they’re in better position to start the year with the big league club. For redraft leagues, this is the most important thing. Are at-bats more important than actually being good? Well, no, but all of these rookies are good. The difference between a great rookie and great rookie with playing time is everything. It’s the difference between hundreds of spots in ADP. And well it should be! In a redraft league, I don’t want a rookie that I have to sit on for weeks or months. It’s why you might’ve detected some pessimism while getting my Jacks-off like Michael Hutchence in the Jackson Chourio fantasy and  Jackson Holliday fantasy. Oh, they can be great, but for 2024 fantasy baseball: A Jackson or Ceddanne Rafaela? Well, it’s not quite that easy. Do you have bench spots to stash a Jackson? Because when they’re called up, they should be better. Holliday, specifically, will have six weeks of at-bats — and stats! — to make up for overall 2024 fantasy baseball value when it comes to him or Ceddanne Rafaela. Last year, Rafaela was called up and saw 83 ABs with a 2 HRs, 3 SBs and .241 line. His strikeout rate was also 31.5%, but, honestly, the only thing that matters there is that he was called up. So, what can we expect from Ceddanne Rafaela for 2024 fantasy baseball?

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Grey

Noelvi Marte, 2024 Fantasy Outlook

November 2, 2023 | Fantasy Baseball Rookies, Featured | 17 Comments

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Every year, around this time, I do a google to see what the MLB rookie eligibility is, because that’s how I decide if a guy is eligible for one of these posts. I can remember where I was when I learned Peter Sellers died in 1980 — on the Jersey shore, walking on the hot sand, sobbing my eyes out that Inspector Clouseau passed away, but I can’t remember the MLB rookie eligibility, that I learn every year. Is that long-term or short-term memory that’s ruined? I can’t remember that either! Any hoo! I bring this up, because, by my very thin calculations, Noelvi Marte is still a rookie, so Frank Voila! Here he is! Last year, in 35 games in the majors or 114 ABs, he hit three homers, stole six bags and hit .316. Hey, a 20/40/.300 hitter! Great! That works for me! As I said the other day in my Evan Carter 2024 fantasy outlook, and said again in each rookie outlook post since, there is no giant, flashing lights, behemoth top rookie this year, but there’s a lot of “Could be the 2nd best rookie in a year with a Corbin Carroll,” and Noelvi Marte is yet another one of those. He could be the best rookie in 2024 fantasy, but, if there were an actual best rookie, he wouldn’t be it. Or at least, it’s not readily obvious he’s that guy. So, what can we expect from Noelvi Marte for 2024 fantasy baseball?

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Grey

Jackson Chourio, 2024 Fantasy Outlook

October 30, 2023 | Fantasy Baseball Rookies, Featured | 49 Comments

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Here’s the good thing about not having a top prospect for 2024 fantasy baseball in the traditional sense: There’s instead ten guys who could be the top prospect and this class could be better than any of the previous few. Jackson Chourio could be Ronald Acuña Jr. or not be up until September, and be lined up to be the top prospect for next year. Jackson Chourio was bursting from the seams in Double-A this year with 22/43/.280 line and an 18.4% strikeout rate. That’s wacko, Jacko. They are absolutely not making hitters like they used to make them. They used to be in the Create A Player Factory and make a guy like Pedro Alvarez, and be like, “He hit 24 homers and .210, that’s a success.” And you’d be like, “Are you sure?” And they’d be like, “He won Player of the Week once, how much do you want?” Now the players are like, “I wonder if he can go 25/50 his first season and hit 60 homers and steal 90 bags by year three.” Yeah, things are nuts in the world of baseball prospects. Exciting times. No, I didn’t say Jackson Chourio could be Acuña as a goof. Of course, not in 2024, or, dramatic pause, can he? Or rather: So, what can we expect from Jackson Chourio for 2024 fantasy baseball?

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Grey

Wyatt Langford, 2024 Fantasy Outlook

October 29, 2023 | Fantasy Baseball Rookies, Featured | 14 Comments

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So far in my 2024 fantasy baseball rookie outlook posts, two Rangers players Oreo’d Jackson Holliday. Is this ideal for their outlooks? Here’s a better question for you, what is ideal? Does it matter where the rookies come from? Adley and Gunnar in the Orioles’ lineup this past year meant what for them? Good things for real and fantasy baseball. Don’t try to find narratives where there are none. Just because the Rangers have two rookies don’t put on it, “Well, they both can’t be good.” That’s wrong. They can and, with that lineup around them, they have a good chance of being good. Here’s another way to look at it: Prefer two rookies in a stacked Rangers’ lineup or one rookie in the not-so-good Nats’ lineup? Trick question! A rookie in the Nats’ lineup can be good too. Don’t get wrapped up in non-stories. Am I currently arguing with a strawman? Yeah, maybe. Remember the other day, when I said people I asked were split about who the top prospect would be in 2024 fantasy baseball? Our one-time fantasy baseball prospect guy, Geoff, who now works at Baseball America, voted for Wyatt Langford. Yes, I made sure, double-checked honestly, because I know some of you might be wondering, “Isn’t Wyatt Langford the kid from Ozark with the cougar problem?” He’s not, from what I can tell. So, what can we expect from Wyatt Langford for 2024 fantasy baseball?

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Grey

Jackson Holliday, 2024 Fantasy Outlook

October 26, 2023 | Fantasy Baseball Rookies, Featured | 24 Comments

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As I said the other day in my Evan Carter 2024 fantasy outlook thingie-ma-whosies, there wasn’t a consensus for who would be the top rookie in 2024 fantasy redraft leagues. There was a consensus about who would be the top rookie if they started the year with the club in April. You guessed it: Jackson Holliday. Itch gave me a list of the top redraft 2024 fantasy rookies for me to discuss — ooh, homework! — and he said that Jackson Holliday would start the year with the Orioles in April or July. So, that’s Jackson Holliday’s caveat up front. We have no idea when he will be up with the Orioles. If past is prologue, and I am using ‘past is prologue’ correctly, we only have to look at how the Orioles promoted Adley Rutschman two years ago. Adley reached Triple-A in 2021 for 43 games, then they pretended he needed Triple-A in 2022, until he was called up. Last year, Jackson Holliday reached Triple-A, spent 18 games there, doesn’t need to be there, but the Orioles are going to pretend that he has to spend another six weeks there and call him up on May 21st, thereabouts. The game plan has been revealed by my mind. Sorry, for those of you who think Jackson Holliday will start the year in the majors. He won’t. The Orioles just had the best record in the AL without him, so it’s not like they need him. They need someone like Merrill Kelly more than they need him, tee be aitch. For full disclosure, if I thought Jackson Holliday would start the year with the Orioles, he’d be the top rookie. Of course, if the Orioles surprise me in the spring, and Holliday does break camp, he will fly up draft boards like Jordan Walker last year. The Walker bump! So, what can we expect from Jackson Holliday for 2024 fantasy baseball?

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Grey

Evan Carter, 2024 Fantasy Outlook

October 23, 2023 | Fantasy Baseball Rookies, Featured | 55 Comments

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There’s no top rookie for 2024 fantasy baseball, if I’m reading the tea leaves correctly, and, let’s hope I did, because I’ve already drank the tea so I can’t re-read them. Asked a few people their general take on who the top rookie would be in redraft leagues for 2024 fantasy baseball, and I got a bunch of names. A bunch of names that I will go over in the upcoming weeks. That’s right! Welcome to our 2024 fantasy baseball rookie outlook series where I will cover all the 2024 rookies who will be worthwhile for 2024 fantasy baseball redraft leagues. I am not the dynasty guy. That is Itch. I am not the keeper guy, that’s Jakkers. I’m just your redraft guy. The top rookie for 2024 fantasy baseball is only important, because that’s how I usually kick off this series. Starting ten or so years ago with Mike Trout, I would start with the top rookie each year. If you want to make money in Vegas, I’d bet the field or a long shot this year, because there’s no clearcut guy. I asked a bunch of people who this year’s Corbin Carroll would be and the one name that returned the most votes (two of ten) was Evan Carter. Well, technically, the odds-on favorite was Yoshinobu Yamamoto, but I won’t go over him until he signs somewhere. This is the most divided that people have been on who the top rookie will be for an upcoming year. Last year, there were two possible top prospects with Carroll and Gunnar, and this year there’s, like, a ten-way tie for the top rookie. There is a chance in the spring we see a Jordan Walker-like bump that we saw last year when he started hitting so well in Spring Training, and someone else will emerge, traveling up the draft boards, but there doesn’t seem like there will be a top 75 rookie drafted this year in redraft leagues as of right now, like Gunnar or Corbin last year (barring, again, Yamamoto). This leaves us, brings us really, to Evan Carter, our top rookie because he received 20% of the vote for top rookie! Evan Carter spent time in the three-hole in the stacked Rangers’ lineup in the lineup, so we know what they think of him. So, what can we expect from Evan Carter for 2024 fantasy baseball?

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