As many of you know, I’m in the NL-Only Tout Wars and LABR, so every year I take part in an industry NL-Only league with the CBS peeps to try to find my footing before I go off this Friday to Florida to take on the heavyweights, and Mike Gianella, who appears to have a healthy BMI. Some might mock, some might mock draft, but this is my draft prep, and am happy to take part in this league. Until about 25 minutes into the draft, and players go for way too much, and I start getting hungry and I just want the whole thing to be over and ermahgerd! But, for those first twenty-five minutes of the five-hour draft, I’m laser focused. For this league, I once again use Rudy’s NL-Only rankings, and his War Room (it’s free with a subscription). I won’t try to get you to buy it anymore. You can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make the horse put a cape down so I can walk over the water without getting wet. (If you want a shallower league, play against me and hundreds others for prizes –> Razzball Commenter Leagues.)  Anyway, here’s my 12-team NL-Only team and some thoughts:

C: Manny Pina $2
C: Dom Nunez $1
1B: Christian Walker $13
2B: Mike Moustakas $24
3B: Nolan Arenado $35
SS: Jean Segura $20
MI: Dansby Swanson $15
CI: Colin Moran $5
OF: Yasiel Puig $15
OF: Marcell Ozuna $25
OF: Lorenzo Cain $19
OF: Aristides Aquino $8
OF: Austin Riley $6
U: Dexter Fowler $5
Bench (free): Raimel Tapia, Phillip Ervin, Monte Harrison

P: Kirby Yates $20
P: Kevin Gausman $9
P: Sean Doolittle $12
P: Steven Matz $9
P: Zach Eflin $3
P: Sandy Alcantara $7
P: Johnny Cueto $2
P: Joe Ross $2
P: Rick Porcello $3
Bench : Freddy Peralta, Eric Lauer, Daniel Ponce de Leon, Ryne Stanek

I ALREADY KNOW IT’S COMING — THAT’S WHAT SHE SAID — SO JUST TELL ME WHAT THE HELL WERE YOU THINKING WITH THIS PITCHING STAFF AND GIVE ME YOUR HALF-BAKED RATIONALIZATIONS.

Fine:

Before basking in the glory that is my offense, we will take a small detour through Shizzville, population:  my pitching staff. Not a whole lot of 20 game winners on this staff, unless Joe Ross tattoos “20 game winner” on his penis. How about all of the 200-strikeout pitchers on the team raise your hand? Don’t see any hands? You’re not alone! Unless Freddy Peralta throws 180 innings. Unlikely with a front-end splash of nope. To get micro on the macro, I don’t even want to own Rick Porcello, and, well, what do you know, there he is on my team. Well, funnily enough, this is more or less what I said last year, when I had this pitching staff:

P: Josh Hader $12
P: Raisel Iglesias $15
P:  Jose Quintana $10
P: Jose Urena $4
P: Brandon Woodruff $4
P: Ross Stripling $8
P: Joey Lucchesi $7
P: Dan Straily $1
P: Derek Holland $1
Bench: Max FriedWei-Yin ChenAndrew Suarez

At the time, pitching was clearly my biggest weakness. Guess what, over-the-internet homey? I won this league last year. Yeah, in hindsight, it’s clear that my pitching wasn’t that bad because I drafted Woodruff for $4; Lucchesi for $7 and Fried in the free (!) rounds. Well, not to insult your intelligence, but you only think my pitching is bad, as of right now, because you don’t know any better. Wait until September and Cueto has a 3.80 ERA like he always does; Gausman is a fantasy #3; Joe Ross puts together a solid 140 IP; Eflin finally breaks out as I’ve been saying for two years; Porcello gets back to his Cy Young caliber self–Okay, I don’t even believe that.

EXCUSE ME, I DON’T KNOW ANY BETTER? THAT’S RICH COMING FROM SOMEONE WHO DRAFTED YAISEL PUIG IN AN NL-ONLY LEAGUE!

So, allow me to set the stage. The draft started at 9 AM PST on Friday, and, at 8:55 AM PST, it was announced Puig was in talks with the Rockies. That makes him an easy $25 player in this league. Maybe a bit more, but if he goes to the AL, he’s worth zero. He needs to be dropped. But the vibe, man, the vibe! Everyone was excited about Puig going to the Rockies.

So, I figured that’s worth an easy $15, but more like $20. Let’s stick someone else with him! That’s what was screaming in my head! Though, if he’s really going to the Rockies, that’s interesting too. I’m intrigued, y’all! The bid opened at $8, but I ain’t got time for bird sex, and definitely don’t have time for us to go up by a dollar into the 20s, so I jumped the bid to $15 and, suddenly, I was in the great outdoors, hearing nothing but crickets. Oops! I didn’t even want Puig, but don’t bid on a guy if you’re not all right winning him. To avoid giving you a lying-ass screenshot of a team I don’t definitely have, the War Room totals in the pic above don’t include Puig. If he really does sign with the Rockies, all of my hitting goes even higher, but, as you can see, I’m fine without him. Though…Well, let’s have Mr. Al Caps shout it at you:

YOUR OUTFIELD WITHOUT PUIG IS A PIG EATING ITS OWN FECES, THEN VOMITING IT INTO A PIGPEN, THEN ANOTHER PIG EATING THE VOMITED POOP, THEN THAT 2ND PIG GETTING RUN OVER BY A TRACTOR DRIVEN BY THE 1ST FECES-EATING PIG.

Okay, yeah, there’s some issues with my outfield without Puig. I don’t love Lorenzo Cain, and, actually after the draft, I said to Rudy he might want to look at his Brewers’ outfield values, because they were all very high, and, remember, the whole point of this is to prep me for this Friday’s NL LABR draft, and Tout Wars, which is in two weeks. If Puig isn’t on an NL team until pigs fly; Austin Riley doesn’t make the Braves’ opening day roster and Aristides Aquino is less the GGOATOAT and more ticketed for the minors, then I’ll have one guy I don’t want all that much (Cain…Sugar!) and OZUNA. Lowercase yay! This is also why I grabbed Tapia and Dr. J Phillip Ervin in the free rounds. Those guys will definitely fix all my problems. *insert the wide grin of a really dopey person*

OKAY, LET’S DISCUSS THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM. NO, PABLO SANDOVAL IS NOT STANDING BEHIND YOU. I’M TALKING ABOUT YOU SPENDING $32 ON SAVES.

You know what’s interesting?

THE MOM FROM THE ‘PARENTS JUST DON’T UNDERSTAND’ MUSIC VIDEO DOESN’T LOOK LIKE SHE’D OWN A PORSCHE?

Um, no, that is interesting though. I was gonna say how I spent $27 on saves last year. Not quite $32, but same sorta game plan, which I didn’t mean to do at all. My NL-Only auction values say Yates is $20 and Doolittle is $12, so that’s what I bid. That no one else in the room is ovulating evaluating similarly isn’t my issue. I trust the values in front of me. That’s most important. Apparently, no one in this league last year wanted good values on saves last year either, which is why I owned Hader and Raisel and won the league. Natch!

 

Before we cut out, there’s still a couple spots left in this year’s Razzball NFBC leagues. If you want to play against us for real cash money, put your email in the signup sheet below. It is $150 to play, but you can win $150,000 (I think, check their site for rules and prizes). In fact, last year’s overall winner of, like, $150,000 was one of our commenters. I’ve placed in the top 20 overall and won around $3500. You can also become a thousandaire if you win just your league. Plus, it’s fun (okay, no one’s here for fun. Fun’s on vacation! Wait, then fun would be having fun…Hmm… Moving on!). Leagues should start in about one week, and it’s a slow draft, so you don’t need to be available to draft at any set time. Any hoo! Join us by putting your email below, then Rudy will reach out to the peeps.

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TarmanGotHim
TarmanGotHim
2 years ago

Grey!

Salutations. First post of the year. It’s about that time again.

Hope all is well.

2 leagues, one is in its 4th year, keeper, this year keep 5.

I made some dumb choices and some dumb draft choices and mixed with bad luck I took 1st in 2017, 2nd in 2018, and essentially last in 2019.

I kept Hoskins over Bellinger along with Stanton, Benintendi, and Juan Soto (I traded Kris Bryant for Soto and Bellinger at the deadline the year before).

My keeper backfired.

This is what I got and I’m not thrilled what so ever as I don’t really know who to keep. I will name the guys that are keepable lol.

Keep 5

Obvious
-Juan Soto*

The rest
-Yordan Alvarez*
-Ozzie Albies*
-Jack Flahtery*
-Shane Bieber*
-Luis Castillo
-Victor Robles
-Rhys Hoskins
-Giancarlo Stanton
-Tim Anderson
-Marcus Semien

* is who I plan to keep. I don’t want to keep 2 pitchers but I think Soto, Albies, Alvarez which is OF, OF, 2B going into the draft and 2 SP I can really focus on bats in the first half of the draft.

It’s a shit show. I have one top 15 guy. I’m
Overblowing it because I know my guys are solid and I’ll draft well this year, but some of the choices I made and not keeping Bellinger came back to bite me now that we’re keeping more than 3 players.

Thanks Grey!

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
2 years ago

Grey,

Someone offered me: Max Muncy ($22), and Buster Posey ($33) and I give up Salvador Perez ($11) and Nick Markakis ($19). Would you make that deal?

Eli Man Penguin Boy
Eli Man Penguin Boy
2 years ago

15 team roto dynasty with net saves and holds over saves, QS and OPS added. 3 year contract cycles (we can drop at no cost, the pricing is only for predraft and online draft budgets). keep max 18 predraft (25 active max, 10 NA’s, max DL’s (5)), finish draft with max 25. max predraft budget is 257, max in draft budget is 343 (predraft budget is 75% of in draft budget). in season adds for FAAB 10 or less had been 10 (and they start year 1 as soon as you add them, unless prospects, those don’t start their year 1 till they go over 130/50) now it’ll be exactly what the FAAB winning price is. if anybody is drafted/kept predraft their contract remains even if dropped that season and added by somebody else.

C
1B
2B hiura (10, year 2)
SS baez (25, year 2)
3B bregman (30, 2)
LF alvarez (10,2)
CF laureano (RF, 10, 2)
RF judge (30, 1, if i match his arb bid, which i will)
util mcneil (2B/3B/LF/RF 4, 2)
util kingery (2B/SS/3B/LF/RF 10, 2)
BN lux (10, 0)
BN

SP (want 7 or 18, small innings cap of only 1250, might go up to 1400, either is easily makable, i have to bench some guys to only get to 1250)
– verlander (30, 2)
– ryu (10, 2)
– luzardo (10, 0)
– maeda (9, 2)

RP (room for 5 max):
– hand (10, but he could be bid up to 30, i don’t think he will though, 1)
– robles (10, 2)
NA (10): patino (10, 0)
– brujan (10, 0)
also we have a draft coming up, i have the 13th pick in both rounds. ONLY those drafted in 2019 MLB draft can be bid on here. but their prices will be in the 4 to 1 range if i draft anybody, but that player counts towards the max 18 pre-main-online draft and his cost too towards the max 257 predraft budget. it used to be any 1st rounder was 10 and 2nd rounders were 5. now 1.1 is 10 but it slowly tapers downward towards 1 by early in round 2. i should probably leave 1 spot open here for a player i might get at 1.13 for 4.

so far the above makes my budget 228/17 players.

other keeper options:
x.edwards (5,0)
cron (5, 2)
stanton (51, 2)
n.lowe (10, 2)
lucchesi (9,2)
yarbrough (10, 2)
paxton (30, 2)
m.barnes, buttrey (10, 2)
paxton i’ll go after to try to save money. stanton too. from injuries they will both probably be cheaper than this, certainly stanton will be. cron can be replaced or gotten back similarly cheap. what you think any changes?

Eli Man Penguin Boy
Eli Man Penguin Boy
Reply to  Eli Man Penguin Boy
2 years ago

forgot about the players i can bid on, those being (due by the 28th), but if i win any of these (i can say “only bid on the first one i win that’s not matched”) i’d either have to drop one of the 17 i have listed or not draft a prospect from 2019’s draft (only these 5 from itch’s top 200 are higher than patino: abrams, vaughn, carroll, rutchsman, witt):
– bellinger (max 30 bid, about certain to be matched)
– moncada (all of these are max 30 bids)
– m.chapman
– olson
– albies
– hoskins
– devers
– puig
– mostsuckass
– berrios
there are others but these are the best

Leon
Leon
2 years ago

16 man 8×8.. obp slg ops… no avg…. keeper league .. keep 4.
Who should i keep between these guys.
Tatis jr, Rendon, Altuve, Meadows, Snell, Paddack, senzel, lazardo are the best options.

leon
leon
Reply to  Leon
2 years ago

hits and total bases are a stat instead of avg.

Tbone
Tbone
2 years ago

Giolito for Soler and Archie Bradley?

Which side?

SwaggerJackers
SwaggerJackers
2 years ago

G Man Choi:

ESPN has Villar currently sitting at 58 for their roto rankings. I know you’re not a huge fan based on your blurbs but still have him at 38 overall which would make him a Thank You to use your lingo from the ESPN comparison article. So my question: In an auction league if Mondesi gets bid up like crazy, is Villar a decent backup plan to get speed up the middle?

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
2 years ago

Castillo, Fried, and Manaea (among others) got roughed up today. Doesn’t mean anything except that maybe the juiced ball lives! If it didn’t make him look so bad, I might think that Manfred was using the Astros situation to deflect attention.

J-FOH
J-FOH
Reply to  Big Magoo
2 years ago

Probably working on new grips or whatever. But moving on. What are your thoughts on Mike Tauchman for a deep league option. anything in the numbers besides the 110 points loss in batting average vs Right Handers? HR/FB is a little above league average but considering he’s a lefty in NY that should be expected. Goes all field, doesn’t chase out of the zone, BABIP isn’t unreasonable. I’m sure there is a term for old minor league guys who breakout in the glossary but I’m too lazy to look. Also I’v read nothing that Grey has written on him, if anything.

J-FOH
J-FOH
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Juiced Balls Lives Matter!

The Great Knoche
2 years ago

Just a reminder to set your KDS this time, I believe you missed that step in November.

Changed mine up a little skewing towards top 8. Went 1,2,3,4,8,7,6,5,15,14,13,12,11,10,9

I’ll end up at 15 or 14 with my luck.

Primetime
Primetime
2 years ago

Grey, what is this years stats needed to win fantasy league? 10 team 5×5 OBP, QS K/9 for pitching

ozone ranger
ozone ranger
2 years ago

THIS… is what I wait for. NL-only auctions. Next will be LABR. That’s the one I want to observe, but this is a good start. I think my big auction is the same day as NL Tout.

$3 total for two catchers. Talk about overspending. Next time you need to punt catchers better. I do like Dom Nunez. Any Colorado catcher not named Tony Wolters has a chance to be productive.

As a “pay for closer” disliker, I am intrigued by a possible undervaluation of closers. Might break my trend if they are not being bid on to par value.

Your o-fence will rock, and you can always find starting pitching on the waiver / FAAB wire.

What The Power
What The Power
2 years ago

Grey

Dynasty OBP league

Alonso and C Seager for Begman and Mountcastle

Which side and how close

TC
TC
2 years ago

Would you trade Clevinger in the 7th and Castellanos in the 22nd to get Meadows in the 13th or Rizzo in the 9th? The trade would also free me up to keep Conforto in the 14th. Would still have Cole, Scherzer, and Corbin as keeper starters. 10 team league, keep 15, keep forever with rounds locked.

Mr Baseball
Mr Baseball
2 years ago

shohei the bodyi ohtani – do you now see some extra power

Josh James – if he gets into the rotation so you like – too much risk het gets the 5th spot

Strat O
Strat O
2 years ago

In case you miss the reply above the restaurant is Bacoms chop house . Coffee nothing close besides a Starbucks, couple good places in downtown St Pete,

Strat O
Strat O
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Edison is pretty good , -unique take . I’m a little more traditional , in Tampa i’m a fan of Mise en Place . Dont know King State

Strat O
Strat O
Reply to  Strat O
2 years ago

Union by Commune at Armature Works is a good coffee spot on the Tampa side as well. The whole Armature works thing is pretty cool

Graeme
Graeme
2 years ago

Had my first yahoo pro league draft last night. I always like to get in a few super early ones before yahoo corrects flaws in the rankings. Doubt I’ll be able to draft this offense again.

1. (1) Ronald Acuña Jr. (Atl – OF)
2. (24) Pete Alonso (NYM – 1B)
3. (25) Rafael Devers (Bos – 3B)
4. (48) Adalberto Mondesi (KC – SS)
5. (49) Ketel Marte (Ari – 2B,SS,OF)
6. (72) Brandon Woodruff (Mil – SP)
7. (73) Max Muncy (LAD – 1B,2B,3B)
8. (96) Trevor Bauer (Cin – SP)
9. (97) Ramón Laureano (Oak – OF)
10. (120) Hyun-Jin Ryu (Tor – SP)
11. (121) Brandon Workman (Bos – RP)
12. (144) Tommy Edman (StL – 2B,3B,OF)
13. (145) Eduardo Rodriguez (Bos – SP)
14. (168) Kenta Maeda (Min – SP,RP)
15. (169) Keone Kela (Pit – RP)
16. (192) Wade Davis (Col – RP)
17. (193) Andrew Heaney (LAA – SP)
18. (216) Griffin Canning (LAA – SP)
19. (217) A.J. Pollock (LAD – OF)
20. (240) Mychal Givens (Bal – RP)
21. (241) Josh James (Hou – RP)
22. (264) Shogo Akiyama (Cin – OF)
23. (265) Domingo Santana (Cle – OF)

Graeme
Graeme
Reply to  Graeme
2 years ago

Here’s how that looks on an organized roster

https://baseball.fantasysports.yahoo.com/b1/61541/11

gargamel04
gargamel04
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Sure, that makes sense. Any thoughts?

C None
1B Pete Alonso (NYM – 1B)
2B Ketel Marte (Ari – 2B,SS,OF)
3B Rafael Devers (Bos – 3B)
SS Adalberto Mondesi (KC – SS)
OF Ronald Acuña Jr. (Atl – OF)
OF Ramón Laureano (Oak – OF)
OF Tommy Edman (StL – 2B,3B,OF)
UT Max Muncy (LAD – 1B,2B,3B)
UT A.J. Pollock (LAD – OF)
BN Shogo Akiyama (Cin – OF)
BN Domingo Santana (Cle – OF)

SP Brandon Woodruff (Mil – SP)
SP Trevor Bauer (Cin – SP)
SP Hyun-Jin Ryu (Tor – SP)
SP Eduardo Rodriguez (Bos – SP)
SP Kenta Maeda (Min – SP,RP)
SP Andrew Heaney (LAA – SP)
SP Griffin Canning (LAA – SP)
SP Josh James (Hou – RP)
RP Brandon Workman (Bos – RP)
RP Keone Kela (Pit – RP)
RP Wade Davis (Col – RP)
RP Mychal Givens (Bal – RP)

gargamel04
gargamel04
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Excellent, thank you for the feedback!

Yeah, Pollock never makes it long on my roster, but I always seem to grab him later in drafts when he’s healthy. Should be looking for young guys that late.

JamesBit
2 years ago

@Grey thank you as always for your fantasy Buddha wisdom! With SS top heavy and 2B not, are there any high end SS’s that could gain eligibility at 2B this year? Also what happened to the ending jingle of your podcast?

Srat O
Srat O
2 years ago

Good luck in the LABR and Enjoy Florida this weekend, you guys will be in my neck of the woods (or beach I guess) . Not sure if you’re a Carnivore being from Hollywood …but good chophouse close by the hotel and its not a Hooters – but of course there is one not too far away !

Strat O
Strat O
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Bacoms chop house . Coffee nothing close besides a Starbucks, couple good places in downtown St Pete,

uncle ernie
uncle ernie
2 years ago

Happy Monday. I know Turner is top 10 player but outside of sb’s would you value Bregman more especially if you weren’t in need of stolen bases. Bregman’s other stats would blow Turner away. Plus his dual position eligibility is a plus. I have a few sb guys so trading My Turner for Bregman might be best for me. Do you see turner as a huge upgrade? Thanks

uncle ernie
uncle ernie
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Yeah I read that article the other day so I know your general feelings on him. I’m more concerned with Turner I guess. He seems to be overvalued unless he can put it all together this year and stay off the injured list

Ace of Spades
Ace of Spades
Reply to  uncle ernie
2 years ago

I would keep Trea. I don’t believe Bregman will blow Turner away with the other stats that aren’t SBs . Trea should have more Runs and a higher Batting average than Bregman. Bregman is a shmohawk this year according to Grey. I can see Treat Urner competing for NL MVP this season, especially if they bat him third.

uncle ernie
uncle ernie
Reply to  Ace of Spades
2 years ago

True batting 3rd does increase his value. Thanks

asdfasdf
asdfasdf
2 years ago

Hi Grey! Have to make a keeper decision. I can KEEP TWO of these guys. All of them will cost me a 10th round pick.

I won’t keep any of them next year, so I only care about this year.

Points league, by the way (NL-only).

Keston Hiura
Gavin Lux
Yu Darvish
Chris Paddack

Any thoughts? Thanks!

ROTO OVERLORD
ROTO OVERLORD
2 years ago

Grey!! Back for more. I have won my keeper league 2 straight seasons. Have some tough Keeper questions but for now, put me down in the RCL Frequent commenter League. the Wed 10 PM one!!! Welcome back

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Ha. Don’t forget to draft for him!

ROTO OVERLORD
ROTO OVERLORD
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

yessir

Rob
Rob
2 years ago

Great stuff Grey! By chance are you able to post the full auction results for this league?

Pine Tar Incident
Pine Tar Incident
2 years ago

Every year you go less in on pitching… and it keeps working. Inspiring for those of us who hate pitchers.

I’m starting to get nervous about Arenado… which pains me to say.

Marti Harris
Marti Harris
2 years ago

How much did acuna go for?

Cram It
Cram It
2 years ago

DT, you drew the unfortunate straw of having me in your NFBC league.

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Nope. Move some sh*t around if you want a piece.

The email I got, said if I wait, I’d be in the next league with Rudy. But I was in his last year.

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Cram It
2 years ago

No Rudy was 2 years ago, Truss was last year.

Hernan
Hernan
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

There’s another “expert” infiltrated in Donkey‘s league…., lol

Hernan
Hernan
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

The Great Walter from Friends With Fantasy Benefits…., very sneaky, guess he Benefits from Squeezing Some Donkey Friend…, yikes, lol, Great Player!!, The Better Burrito Boyz will Rule, anyways

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

He’s no Great Knoche. Also he stole my first name.

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Hernan
2 years ago

Is that a dig at me? Because I have a sharp response at the ready if it is. Let me know!

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Cram It
2 years ago

As long as we don’t have a Marquis De Slow

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
Reply to  The Great Knoche
2 years ago

They’re the absolute worst

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  The Great Knoche
2 years ago

Are you in DT’s too?

Man, that guy was the absolute worst.

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Cram It
2 years ago

Yup.

oppo taco
oppo taco
2 years ago

Hey Grey, I know they’re close in your ranks but do you have a strong preference one way or another on Giolito vs Corbin in a Keeper league? I know Gio is younger and ranked 1 spot ahead of this year. I’ve been offered Pete Alonso for Meadows/Giolito but I am trying to see if he’ll take Meadows/Corbin for Alonso. We keep 8 with not costs associated. Would you do either deal to get Pete? Thanks!

Keepers : Trea, Bregman, Baez, Freeman, Alvarez, JDM, Bieber and 1 of : Giolito/Corbin/Meadows at the moment. I’m leaning keeping Giolito at the moment of those 3

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  oppo taco
2 years ago

I’d much rather have Gio in a keeper. Corbin is 30 already.

oppo taco
oppo taco
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Thnaks! So I’m assuming you would move Meadows and Corbin to get Alonso but Not Meadows and Gio then?

Chris
Chris
2 years ago

Grey,

Took alot of your advice last year and ended up winning a championship. Which paid for a trip to Vegas. Thank you!

Need some advice. It’s 16 Team Yahoo H2H, Traditional 5×5, plus HLDS, OPS. Keep Forever.

Keep 6: Bregman, Gleyber Torres, Goldschmidt, Realmuto, Bo Bichette, Joey Gallo, Patrick Corbin

I’m leaning toward dropping one of Realmuto, Bichette, Gallo, Corbin. I tend not to value pitching but Corbin is a nice anchor and most upper tier starters be gone by pick 16. So that leaves young Bichette or question mark Gallo. I have been getting offers of Blackmon or Benintendi for Gallo but that seems a lateral move. Thoughts?

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Chris
2 years ago

I would cut Realmuto

Ryan
Ryan
2 years ago

in my 14 team h2h dynasty league I’m looking to make some tweaks. There are 2 potential trades I can do. Which one is more ideal for my team? Team is below

I trade meadows robbie ray logan gilbert edward cabrera gurriel and my 1st round pick for next years rookie/fa draft for ketel marte muncy and josh james

or

I trade robbie ray edward cabrera logan gilbert my 1st round pick for clevinger

Oh forgot another trade option would be Kepler Ray Cabrera Gilbert my 1st round pick for Muncy Clevinger Josh James

c gary sanchez

1b yuli gurriel
2b ozzie albies
3b rafael devers
ss bo bichette
lf juan soto
cf ronald acuna
rf austin meadows
Util max kepler

na robert puason
na corbin carroll
na jeter downs
na julio rodriquez

sp brandon woodruff
sp julio urias
sp max scherzer
Sp robbie ray
rp ty buttery
rp ryan pressly
P Mike fiers
p zach efflin
p jon lester
Bn shun yamaguchi
bn deivi garcia
bn sixto sanchez
na logan gilbert
na luis patino
na casey mize

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Ryan
2 years ago

Not crazy about any of them as mostly they are really hard to read. Allow me to introduce you to my friend,,,,,,, the comma.

I guess the one for Clevinger.

Ryan
Ryan
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

The trade for just clevinger or the one for both muncy and clevinger?

MrBaseball
MrBaseball
2 years ago

I Know nobody around but I am drafting will smith over Willson Contreras in a keeper league
is this madness

Why I made this move – Grey you had predicted that Smith average will be a bit better than Contreras and I know Smith in minor league had a .243 average so you think he is becoming a better hitter

The Great Knoche
Reply to  MrBaseball
2 years ago

I’d still want Wilson

Lufty531
Lufty531
2 years ago

12 team keeper league with NFL draft format drafting

Keep 5 with OBP instead of AVG:

S Bieber
G Cole
M Chapman
A Bregman
A Rendon
A Rizzo
T Anderson
T Glasnow

Thank you!

The Great Knoche
2 years ago

Love the reliever angle again, but your starters are so Woof. At least there was some potential Sexy, Sexy last year with Woodruff and Lucchesi.

Eflin year 3 breakout…no. Gausman’s fastball held last year, but is about to dip under that magic 93.5 MPH fastball I think this year so he’s toast. I can see the Cueto comeback, so you got that going for you. Porcello…yeah.

So anyways, I think you are close to same spot as last year, but not quite as sexy with potential. More like 40 year old Tijuana stripper sexy.

Lufty531
Lufty531
2 years ago

12 team keeper league with NFL draft format drafting

Keep 5 with OBP instead of AVG with no picks lost:

A Rizzo
S Bieber
G Cole
M Chapman
A Rendon
A Bregman
T Anderson
T Glasnow
A Benindenti

Thanks!

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Lufty531
2 years ago

These are my five.
S Bieber
G Cole
M Chapman
A Rendon
A Bregman

Adam
Adam
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I assume he means its not a snake draft? Which if correct- what the trout.

Lufty531
Lufty531
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Yes. Pick 1 has pick 13 and so on… Does that change your 5?

Great stuff as always

DonnieB
DonnieB
2 years ago

Hi guys…a while back I thought I saw a colored draft grid by position with Grey’s rankings. It seems to show up each year. Can you direct to where it might be at this time? Thanks. It is a great live draft tool. Thanks and will be sending more questions later today. You guys are the best.

motown_magic
motown_magic
2 years ago

Grey-

Been a consistent lurker each of the last 3 years, Really appreciate your work- Rudy, Donks and the whole team as well. Waited on pitching last year and followed your visions and took home the ‘ship!
This same league is now a first year 10 team Roto Auction, $260 budget unlimited keeper league. OBP replacing BA and QS replacing Ws. A 4.5 hour auction commenced last night, and I would appreciate your opinion.

C: Omar Navarez $1
1B: Matt Olson $20
2B: Muncy $20
3B: JoRam $28
SS: Xander $21
MI: Cavan $11
CI: Christian Walker $1
OF: Sexy Dr. Pepper $38
OF: Ramon Laureano $15
OF: Mercado $9
OF: Lourdes JR $1
OF: Holy crap, Hunter Dozier! $1
UTIL: DJ Lemahieu- $15 (Overpaid IMO)
UTIL: Moncada $10
Bench Kyle Tucker ($7,mixed feelings on this), Dansby $1, Pollock $1, Julio Rodriguez $1

P: Castillo $26 (slight overpay maybe)
P: Nola $17
P: Max Fried $10
P: Montas $2, favorite pick of draft
P: Keuchel $1
P: Canning $1
P: Bundy $1
P: Hansel Robles $1
P: Ian Kennedy $1
P: Joe Jimenez $1

Closers are meh, OF is thin if Gurriel JR and Dozier were 1 year wonders, and I need Fried/Montas to step up. Overall I am happy with this team. Thoughts?

motown_magic
motown_magic
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Appreciate it! I agree 100%, pretty fixable issue though. Definitely some shades of *Grey* on this team. Hoping your wisdom prevails once again. Cheers to another fun year sir.

David
David
2 years ago

oh…

Marcel
Marcel
2 years ago

Hey Grey, I have a dynasty trade question. The league has 12 teams and is H2H points

Side A: Mike Clevinger and Zac Gallen
Side B: Lucas Giolito and Julio Urias

Thanks!

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Marcel
2 years ago

Close with the Clevinger injury. I think I’d want Giolito side with Urias now being in the rotation.

LOLmets
LOLmets
2 years ago

What ever happened to that guy jb gilpin who loved Joe Ross?

Donkey Teeth
Admin
Reply to  LOLmets
2 years ago

We lost him at the Joe Ross dance party

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Donkey Teeth
2 years ago

He Tattooed Joe Ross on his penis.

Tom
Tom
2 years ago

Gurriel and Woodruff

Ace of Spades
Ace of Spades
2 years ago

Grey and Razzbros.

some league mates seemed to have awoken from the offseason slumber.
14 team mixed 5×5 auction ( $260 ) keep up to 11.

Was just offered Biggio $10 and Gallen $10 for my Meadows $9 and Yarbrough $10.
Another team offered me L Gurriel Jr. $9 and Woodruff $8 for my Meadows $9 and Y Molina $5

I wasn’t keeping Molina or Yarbrough anyways, so its sort of a two for one on each offer.

You like either of these deals? You like one better than the other? Should I just keep Meadows?

As always , thanks in advance.

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Ace of Spades
2 years ago

Id do this trade

L Gurriel Jr. $9 and Woodruff $8 for my Meadows $9 and Y Molina $5

packers2018
packers2018
Reply to  Ace of Spades
2 years ago

Woodruff and Gurriel JR.
Only lose a handful of SB’s and counting stats but gain a solid #2 or #3 SP for cheap cost.

Donkey Teeth
Admin
Reply to  Ace of Spades
2 years ago

I’d just keep Meadows

Snacks Zillion
Snacks Zillion
Reply to  Donkey Teeth
2 years ago

Yup, keep Meadows.

ny swallows
ny swallows
Reply to  Ace of Spades
2 years ago

No, Meadows is best player mentioned. Keep him and trade only the others. You’re welcome.

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
2 years ago

Welcome to the Lo Cain club. Glad to have you aboard. I get that aging players coming off of down seasons aren’t that appealing, but he battled through knee, ankle, and thumb injuries last season, and he recently said he finally feels completely healthy again (BSOHL!). Don’t think that a .270/15/20 season with 90ish runs is an unreasonable projection. For those bearish on Yelich’s health (raises hand), an injury there would likely just give him more of a green light on the basepaths. Definite zombino potential.

Alcantara looks like your upside play on the pitching side. Needs to throw more strikes and figure out what his out pitch is, since he should be missing more bats with the stuff that he has. Tweaking his pitch mix and changing speeds more often would help since practically everything he throws is hard. Even his change is 89+. Kind of reminds me of Thor in that regard. Could easily see him taking a step forward though.

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I just look for production wherever I can find it. Through mid June (before he got hurt), Pence had a 44/15/48/3/.294 line in 55 games. Not bad for a $1 player or FA pickup (or a late DC draft pick, as was the case with my team). So, yeah. I remember!

I like Alcantara and Cueto (as a matchup guy). Not so much Matz, Ross, or Gausman at his price. What did pitchers ever do to earn such disdain from you? Profess their undying love for Matthew Berry?

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I’ve always liked Cueto, but it’s hard to trust him for volume, Ks, or in road matchups at this point. Kind of leaves him as a start at home and hope the Giants score three runs type of SP.

Don’t you bump SPs up a bit in the DC format? I remember you drafting Buehler in our league last year, but don’t remember who else.

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

It’s funny how different your drafting style is from Rudy’s. I can only imagine what those conversations were like when you co-owned teams.

J-FOH
J-FOH
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

magoo has hung out with both of you. This isn’t rocket science

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I know how that goes. OTS tends to construct rosters similar to you, and my style is more like Rudy’s, but there’s not quite as big of a gap, I think. That’s why it tends to work more often than not.

I remember that one league where it was OTS, Rudy, JFOH, and I co-managing one team. It was basically a series of short discussions that went like this:

“I kind of like this player.”
“Sure, let’s take him.”

And so a middle of the pack team was born.

J-FOH
J-FOH
Reply to  Big Magoo
2 years ago

That was 3 teams and it was a little more in depth than that.Those were some long email chats. But yes on many guys it was like sure he looks good or collectively we don’t hate him.
Maybe I was so good because Magoo and Grey are my two dads. The combination of the two births the golden god I was

J-FOH
J-FOH
Reply to  Big Magoo
2 years ago

your hips have never been the same

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

One of your writers (I think it was Pat) had an interesting article on that subject recently. You kind of have to decide if you want to prioritize winning your league or going for the overall cash. I usually put the league first and hope things fall into place for the overall. But you usually have to take more risks than usual to try to move to the top of the overall.

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I’m saying that you need to take more risks on players with high ceilings who might have durability, past performance, or playing time issues. Hampson, Darvish, Stanton, Adell, Castillo, Weaver, Robert, etc. Need a few of those types of guys to go nuts since you’re competing against all other teams in the overall rather than just the ones in your league.

Rudy Gamble
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

yup. we aren’t really that far off on specific players but grey gravitates towards the same roster construction that has worked well for him (don’t draft pitchers early). i’m more fluid in that sense.

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
Reply to  Rudy Gamble
2 years ago

Yeah, that’s how I try to be too. It can get tricky when certain players fall unexpectedly though. Had a draft over the weekend where I got Springer at 55, Suarez at 103, and Kepler at 175. Didn’t even have them as potential targets at those spots since I thought they’d be long gone. Just have to have plans B and C ready to go.

J-FOH
J-FOH
Reply to  Big Magoo
2 years ago

We need to find an ace pitcher who went to college in the Los Angeles area to connect these ace hating dots. Probably stole a girlfriend or took the last cinnamon babka at the bakery. The truth is out there

J-FOH
J-FOH
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

you looked at you with his weird crazy eye and it was done

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
Reply to  J-FOH
2 years ago

Maybe it was a marble rye

galica
galica
2 years ago

Grey!!!

Awesome NL-only report.

a. I think it’s important to know first the league context (how many teams etc.,), historical context (thanks for showing us that too with your pitching from last year’s draft) and the war room context (the reality of how your offense if you keep it as is will be over-the-top the best so 12*5=60, and your pitching will be under-achieving maybe 4.5*5=22.5 for a total of 82.5, which will win the league. This context has grown beyond its capacity.). But of course, having that surplus in hitting will give you an advantage and then you can organize a trade that will maintain your offensive surplus but also address the need in your pitching if other owners will be so stupid.

b. As you say, even your pitching may be surprisingly ok and go middle of the pack which is a guarantee to win with your killer offense. So good job on the draft.

c. MLB quote of the day for April 24, 1956

‘The most luxurious possession, the richest treasure anybody has, is his personal dignity.’

Jack Roosevelt ‘Jackie’ Robinson, the first professional athlete IN ANY SPORT to have his uniform number retired across all teams (in MLB).

Cheers,
Ante