The sexy prospects are finally making it baby!

It’s good to be back to the Pitcher Profile, with so many hot options out there to break down as we head into the ASB.  While Lucas Giolito (who I was always spell wrong with two T’s the first time I type his name) has more “overall” prospect buzz, I think I might have been more excited that we finally got the Tyler Glasnow callup.  I had continually been ranking him very favorably in my ranks in the 60s, and I’m not gonna lie, when I saw Steven Brault got the call before him (and this is even after Chad Kuhl too), I was dismayed.  But alas!  Glasnow made his debut last Thursday afternoon against the Cardinals with a lot of encouraging stuff coming out of it.  Not too surprisingly, he was sent back down as he wasn’t needed for another start before the All-Star Break, but will he be back soon sooner or later?  Well, here’s how he looked in his MLB debut, and an analysis on if you should be holding onto him on redraft rosters:

First Inning: Glasnow’s first MLB pitch is a 93 MPH fastball just outside to Greg Garcia, 1-0.  There was a brief rain delay before this game started, so hopefully that doesn’t impact the big kid’s nerves.  94 in the zone fouled off, 92 way outside, 92 paints the outside corner and looked a smidge out – has Garcia talkin’ with the ump – 96 way low and inside, 3-2 with fastballs a little all over the place.  95 at the knees fouled off, then 95 again down there is too low for a leadoff walk.  Well, this is what the knock was against him!  94 inside to Aledmys Diaz, then Glasnow’s first curve is almost a slurve at 78 for strike one, 1-1:

Glasnow-Curveball-1Man, look at that break!  93 on the hands fouled down the line, big curve again breaks low and outside, curve again hangs a little inside and is pulled deep to left but foul, 95 on the outside corner fouled away, then curveball breaking down is foul tipped into the mitt for Glasnow’s first K with Garcia stealing second.

Glasnow-Curveball-2Pirates broadcast makes a good point that could’ve been hitter’s interference on the steal, but no one says anything.  We need Glasnow more efficient!  Took 14 pitches for his first out, and 92 MPH fastball is a little up and in on Matt Holliday, 1-0.  Again up and in at 91, and fastball speeds have been 91-96.  I don’t love that.  Then that nasty curve break in the zone at 77 2-1 (2-0- curveball!), 94 in the zone fouled off, then that curve in the zone is grounded routinely to short, two down.  Beautiful 94 MPH fastball paints the outside black to Stephen Piscotty 0-1, curveball in the dirt barely has Piscotty hold his swing, then 1-1 curveball is dribbled to third, but Jung Ho Kang charges in and makes a great play to get him by a half step to end the inning and give Glasnow a scoreless first.

Second Inning: The Pirates quickly pick up a run off Adam Wainwright, and Glasnow just misses to start the second to Matt Adams, 1-0.  Outside fastball fouled off, inside fastball roped foul, curveball hangs outside, curve again stays outside, then 95 on the outside corner is hit well oppo field, but caught in front of the track, one down.  Curveball hits the outside of the zone to Yadier Molina 0-1, 96 is well low and outside, 95 on the inside black fouled off, curveball drops low, then 96 dotting the outside black gets Molina to whiff through it on a protective swing, two down.

Glasnow-FastballYeah, that’s nasty.  And watch out for that bird!  Better near the camera than in front of home plate, right Randy Johnson?!  95 outside to Randal Grichuk, 94 on the hands popped up out of play, curve tipped foul, inside curve again popped back foul, 96 well low and outside, curve in the zone fouled, 95 on the inside third fouled, this is becoming a battle.  But another curve right at the knees is dribbled up the middle, the shift gobbles it up, and Glasnow keeps the Cards off the board.

Third Inning: Glasnow comes in strong with a heater to Kolten Wong, 0-1, 92 MPH fastball well low and inside, then 90 MPH (???) on the outside edge is flied pretty hard to center, but Cutch is there, one down.  Man, 90 MPH fastball?!  94 high fastball blows Wainwright away whiffing, 94 right down the middle taken, 96 low and in the dirt, whoa 78 MPH curveball hangs way inside and almost hits Wainwright 2-2, then curveball again inside buckles Waino’s knees and gets the inside black this time for a backwards K.  96 on the outside edge fouled off by Garcia back to the top, 96 again out there fouled off, these are some great heat now, 94 high and away, curve low and inside, then 95 just below the black is grounded routinely to first for an easy third out.  A nice, quicker inning for the big fellah.

Fourth Inning: Glasnow still pitching a hitless game goes curveball to start the 3rd and it’s in there to Diaz, 94 paints the outside corner 0-2, then curve again that didn’t have a very sharp break on the hands and is crushed to left, and it somehow hits the top of the wall and bounces back into play giving Diaz a triple.  Missed a HR there by a literal inch.  So runner at third, no more no-hitter talk, and Holliday fouls off a first-pitch fastball, 0-1.  94 paints the inside black 0-2, 95 right on the letters doesn’t get the call 1-2 (it was easily in the zone), but curve gets grounded to third and Glasnow gets the first out without letting Diaz score.  Piscotty whiffs on a first pitch high fastball, 93 is a little chin music up and in, curve breaking in the zone gets a waving swing that tips it back, curve in the dirt at 80 MPH bareeeeeely has Piscotty holding, curve again dribbled foul, 94 a bit high and outside, then 80 MPH curveball breaking off the outside of the zone gets the whiff for a huge 1-out strikeout with a runner on third.

Glasnow-Curveball-3So two down, and first pitch fastball is way low and inside and rolls to the backstop and Diaz scores easily.  Definitely a wild pitch.  Sad emoji.  Then 93 on the outside of the zone is ripped hard to left, but Matt Joyce has it on the run for a hard hit third out.

Fifth Inning: Still a 1-1 game (Glasnow got a hit in the top of the inning too!) and 94 paints the inside black to Molina, 94 again inside gets a whiff, 93 a little high, then a nasty curveball gets a weak little pop to first, one down.  But the first-pitch curveball to Grichuk is a hanger on the inside third that he cranks to deep left for a homer.  I haven’t mentioned it yet in the pitch-by-pitch, but this is the peril of being a two-pitch pitcher.  Your curveballs have to be perfect, and they’re only 75% perfect or so thus far.  So 2-1 game, and first pitch fastball to Wong is grounded to second for a quick second out.  Fastball at 92 gets a foul tip from Wainwright, 94 on the inside third blows him away 0-2, then 94 blows him away again for a big 3-pitch K.  Yay for pitching in the NL!

Sixth Inning: At 79 pitches, Glasnow is back out there and gets a curve on the outside edge to Garcia in there 0-1, but fastball on the outside edge is ripped to left center and gets in the gap for a leadoff double.  Yeesh.  Curse of the third time through the order already!  Ray Searage comes out and hopes to spread his pixie dust on him, but the first pitch out of the meeting is a 91 MPH way high to Diaz, 1-0.  Then the Cardinals foolishly give Glasnow an out by bunting Garcia to third, one out.  You have a young pitcher who had some hard contact against him the last inning then a leadoff double, and you BUNT?!  Wow.  Fastball misses to Holliday, 92 again misses way inside, 91 even further inside and almost hits Holliday, then 3-0 fastball at 92 barely misses inside for a 4-pitch walk.  So maybe the bunt was a good idea, and getting Glasnow to have to field can get in his head.  And then just to be an absolute double-whammy, reliever Arquimedes Caminero, who I just raved about being able to pick up in the REL for SV+HLD, promptly gives up a 3-run shot on the first pitch to Piscotty.  Are you friggin’ kidding me?!  Both stranded runners obviously score and murder Glasnow’s ERA despite a really good showing.

Final Line:  L  5.1 IP  87 Pitches (54 Strikes)  4 ER  3 Hits  2 Walks  5 K  Gamescore: 49   Gamescore+: 50.0

Final Analysis: Mannnnnn…  I think I’m going to come out of this analysis more picky and negative than I wanted to.  It was still a really good outing against a good offense – the ERA is really misleading – but it’s time for me to be nit-picky.  The Gamescore+ and Gamescore came out about even, which is about what you’d expect given that line.

As you may have remembered, I linked a Glasnow video I shot showing a strikeout in the Minors in AAA Durham earlier this year (man iPhones can take good video! [Apple paid me nothing for this promotion]), my complete and utter love was based on seeing him live in that game.  He went 6 innings with 11 Ks and 1 BB, only allowing two fluky singles.  What’s disappointing in that start vs. his MLB debut was he was 94-98 with the fastball then vs. this start he was 90-96.  Maybe I shouldn’t be too dissuaded, but I hate seeing fastball variance like that.  Could be some nerves and some overthrows in there, and I should mention this was a concern I had with Aaron Sanchez in his Pitcher Profile earlier in the year, and Sanchez has been unreal.  Glasnow’s fastball is also pretty redonkulous, with a little deception in the big kid’s delivery and he only gave up one hit on it.  Then to obviously the curveball, which danced all over the place with both vertical and horizontal movement.  It’s easily a plus-MLB pitch, but he did hang a few which gave up the near-HR triple and the Grichuk no-doubter blast.  Unfortunately, that’s really it to break down.  All fastballs and curveballs (Fangraphs listed one change-up at 91.1 MPH, but that must’ve been a fastball) which really scares me.  We’ve seen time and time again pitchers with two great pitches struggle without a third pitch, so I was disappointed we didn’t see any change-ups.  If you Google “Tyler Glasnow Change-up”, you’ll see pages and pages of results about how the Pirates want/need him to develop it for Major League success.  Apparently it didn’t come along in AAA like we had hoped…

So to the crux of the article: Glasnow or later?  Should you be holding him, or letting him go while he’s back in the Minors?  I’m sadly leaning towards the latter, and dropping the kid a little in my ranks.  Sure this outing was better than the box score, but the fastball variability and lack of a third pitch really scares me.  It was great to see “only” two walks from a guy who has had BB rates in AAA in the high 4s the past two years (maybe trying to force himself to throw change-ups has been part of that), but there was still a lack of fastball control that I wanted to see.  Then to the issue if there’s actually a spot – Gerrit Cole is almost ready to return, even though he’s been terrible I highly doubt Francisco Liriano loses his spot, Jeff Locke is shockingly not going anywhere, I think Chad Kuhl has locked up (no pun there) a spot despite a bad encore, then you have Jon Niese who will stay in unless traded and Jameson Taillon who sounds like is closer to returning than not off his shoulder fatigue.  At 101.1 IP already in AAA/MLB for Glasnow, the innings for the 22-year-old are a little bit of a factor here too.  I absolutely love this guy in fantasy for dynasty (and not just fantasy baseball, he’s a good looking guy!  I mean, ummmm…), but in 10 team redraft without N/A spots, I can’t see holding him.  In 12 team redraft like RCLs, it’s really on the fence if you need an upside stash, but I’m likely cutting there too.

Razzball Baseball

Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto, green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, TEAM
1 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
2 Madison Bumgarner, SF
3 Max Scherzer, WAS
4 Jake Arrieta, CHC
5 Chris Sale, CWS
6 Jose Fernandez, MIA
7 Jacob deGrom, NYM
8 Johnny Cueto, SF
9 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
10 Corey Kluber, CLE
11 Jon Lester, CHC
12 Noah Syndergaard, NYM
13 Carlos Martinez, STL
14 David Price, BOS
15 Danny Salazar, CLE
16 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
17 Cole Hamels, TEX
18 Zack Greinke, ARI
19 Drew Pomeranz, SD
20 Justin Verlander, DET
21 Gerrit Cole, PIT
22 Yu Darvish, TEX
23 Adam Wainwright, STL
24 Rich Hill, OAK
25 Kenta Maeda, LAD
26 Jose Quintana, CWS
27 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
28 John Lackey, CHC
29 Jeff Samardzija, SF
30 Julio Teheran, ATL
31 Aaron Sanchez, TOR
32 Chris Archer, TB
33 Danny Duffy, KC
34 Matt Shoemaker, LAA
35 Jason Hammel, CHC
36 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
37 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
38 Steven Matz, NYM
39 Michael Fulmer, DET
40 Tanner Roark, WAS
41 Anthony DeSclafani, CIN
42 Aaron Nola, PHI
43 Trevor Bauer, CLE
44 Felix Hernandez, SEA
45 Michael Wacha, STL
46 Lance McCullers, HOU
47 Kevin Gausman, BAL
48 Taijuan Walker, SEA
49 Chris Tillman, BAL
50 Michael Pineda, NYY
51 Vincent Velasquez, PHI
52 Adam Conley, MIA
53 Junior Guerra, MIL
54 Sonny Gray, OAK
55 Jerad Eickhoff, PHI
56 Ian Kennedy, KC
57 Archie Bradley, ARI
58 James Paxton, SEA
59 Marco Estrada, TOR
60 Zachary Davies, MIL
61 Blake Snell, TB
62 Marcus Stroman, TOR
63 Drew Smyly, TB
64 Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA
65 Joe Ross, WAS
66 Jake Odorizzi, TB
67 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
68 Jeremy Hellickson, PHI
69 Steven Wright, BOS
70 Rick Porcello, BOS
71 J.A. Happ, TOR
72 Jon Gray, COL
73 Brandon McCarthy, LAD
74 Jordan Zimmermann, DET
75 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
76 Scott Kazmir, LAD
77 Carlos Rodon, CWS
78 Tyler Glasnow, PIT
79 Mike Leake, STL
80 Bud Norris, LAD
81 Robbie Ray, ARI
82 Jaime Garcia, STL
83 Josh Tomlin, CLE
84 Jameson Taillon, PIT
85 Bartolo Colon, NYM
86 Francisco Liriano, PIT
87 Matt Moore, TB
88 Tyler Duffey, MIN
89 Mike Fiers, HOU
90 Sean Manaea, OAK
91 Collin McHugh, HOU
92 James Shields, CWS
93 Kendall Graveman, OAK
94 Wei-Yin Chen, MIA
95 A.J. Griffin, TEX
96 CC Sabathia, NYY
97 Ervin Santana, MIN
98 Mike Foltynewicz, ATL
99 Lucas Giolito, WAS
100 Daniel Mengden, OAK

Dropped Out: Matt Harvey, NYM (Thoracic Outlet UGGGHHHHH!!!), Julio Urias, LAD (likely done pitching as an MLB starter this season), Nate Karns, SEA (stupidly moved out of the rotation), Cody Reed, CIN (been terrible, barely made the ranks anyway), Tim Lincecum, LAA (ditto), Patrick Corbin, ARI (Yikkkkkkkes, this didn’t end well.  He’s pretty unusable in almost all formats now, so decided I was just done with him), Nathan Eovaldi, NYY (Never was a big fan, felt like I had to make a few comments defending his low rank earlier in the year), Shelby Miller, ARI (was only #100 last week)

  • Whew, what a terrible time for me to have missed a week!  Tons of players moving in my ranks, top guys pitching iffy, #1 pitcher on the DL….  Ah!
  • Despite the back thing, I think you have to keep Clayton Kershaw #1 ROS…
  • I might be crazy, but I’m hopping Madison Bumgarner to #2 all the way from #7.  That’s one of my most drastic changes at the top I’ve done this late in the season since doing these… Tired of the inconsistencies and injuries/innings limit concerns with the others.  (Ughghghghghg, dude I totally wrote this Sunday afternoon before his start last night, I swear!)
  • Not only did the Matt Harvey season-ending injury hurt for him, but I think it hurts Noah Syndergaard too.  Yet another issue for Thor his last start, and no way the Mets repeat pushing a starter after Harvey last year…  I’m going to lump Steven Matz in there as well…
  • Huge rise for Adam Wainwright, who realized he needed to really strengthen his Achilles-injured leg.  Results have been pretty dominant since that bad start.  Guess what he should have said is “don’t draft me in the 5th round, but buy me low and I’ll turn into a 5th rounder!”
  • I was hesitant to move up Danny Duffy, but he’s still at only 81.2 innings and has shown a trend to pitch deeper into games now.  With his innings that far under 100 by the ASB, I see no reason why the Royals would yo-yo him in-and-out of the rotation anymore…
  • Sad, sad last few weeks for Joe Ross
  • Yeesh, same for Carlos Rodon.  At least Ross was pretty solid until his shoulder blew up, I kinda wish Rodon went on the DL 2 months ago…  Would’ve saved my WHIP!  Would’ve saved my nae nae…
  • I got a little flack for initially ranking Bud Norris in the pre-season top 100, and while it failed spectacularly for a month+, look at ol’ Bud now!  He always had velo and a good slider which why I ranked him well in a good pitcher’s park getting out of BAL, and now he’s on a better team and added a cutter.  I’m still only trusting in really deep leagues though.

 

Thoughts on Tyler Glasnow?  Am I too negative?  And missing last week was a doozy, too much going on!  Let me know what I missed in my ranks, and happy All-Star Break, Razzball Nation!

 
  1. Mike says:
    (link)

    JB,

    Would you deal Villar and G. Cole to get Kershaw?

    • Odor's Odorizzi Spray says:
      (link)

      @Mike: I’m no JB, but as long as Kershaw’s timetable hasn’t been pushed back a ton, and you can find some cheap speed on the waiver wire, I think it’s a slam dunk. Cole isn’t quite right this year despite a good looking ERA. Maybe try to get Ben Revere as a throw in? Or Denard Span? Now there’s the real quandary (that’s really how you spell that word?) here.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Mike: @Odor’s Odorizzi Spray: Agree, I would take Kershaw there. No way Villar doesn’t trend down a little and I’m not huge on Cole compared to some. His rank as high as it is is more about the crappy mid tier of pitchers this year haha.

        Hahahaha, yeah I have no idea, Span or Revere as a better throw in?!?!?!

  2. knucks says:
    (link)

    JB, great stuff as always, enjoy the derby tonight. I like Duvall to crush a bunch, then never homer again in the 2nd half. Hot take alert!!!

    What are your thought’s on Paxton sliding for the second article in a row (was #44 last time). The amt of double plays in his last start was crazy. They took him out after the 8th (just 78 Pitches), only for Cishek to BS and take a shizz on Pax’s win in the 9th.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @knucks: Thanks man, derb just started! Wow, just learned Corey Seager is from 30 min from me haha.

      Hahahaha yeah I could totally see that for Duvall…

      I don’t like that he’s not throwing much beyond fastball/cutter. Lack of Ks is starting to make that apparent. I haven’t heard this theorized, but I’ve notcied a few change-ups that looked awful and I wonder if the arm slot change made him gain fastball/cutter velo but lose curveball/change feel.

      • knucks says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Was trying to think of a good “what about Kyle” joke here, but coming up short.

        Thanks for the Paxton take. Can I possibly beg for a Taillon take as well? I see where he is at in your ranks. Steamer has him for about 60 more IP ROS, which would put him right around 150. Should be off the Disgraceful List not long after the break. I did see that you noted you prefer Glasnow over him, so that helped with some perspective.

        Reason that I ask is that I added Taillon last night in my 12 team roto (QS instead of W’s league). Currently only have Thor/Cueto/Desclafani/Paxton rostered as SPs (now with Taillon in a DL slot).

        I plan to stream my face off against the Barves in the coming months, so that I can gain back some ground in the QS dept. You think the 60 IP from Taillon will be quality? I don’t care much about a shutdown, as its not H2H. I’ll take what I can get and move on once he’s done. I feel he is def rosterable based off the upside alone. Below I listed some of the other arms/fodder available in the pool, for reference.

        Iwakuma/Nelson/Corbin/Conley/Liriano/Hellickson/Gausman

        Should I plan to add one of these arms and hold instead? Steering clear of Taillon? Its redraft btw.

        Thanks for the tips JB, hope you enjoyed the Derby.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @knucks: Hahaha yeah assumedly he’s from the same place, but I dunno about his family! Maybe they parent trapped the Seagers, I dunno!

          Hah no begging needed! I was always a little hesitant on Taillon since he hadn’t pitched in 3 yrs. I think that finally caught up to his shoulder. I think 60 IP ROS is really unlikely due to 1. injury concern 2. Pirates limiting innings due to him hurt so long 3. skipping him for playoff innings. He’s def a solid DL stash though.

          Ummmm, I mean he’s only been “OK” in the Majors, I think decent-ish for when he’s back. Maybe 3.75ish ERA. 8 K/9 or so.

          I kinda like Gausman of that group still, Conley 2nd. But I think Taillon in your DL to see what happens is the best move.

          Thanks man! Unfortunately I didn’t win, in my long time dynasty, if you own the player who wins the derby, you get a payout. I had Cano and Duvall in it… Effin Frazier

  3. Rice says:
    (link)

    Overall thoughts on Pax and Walker in Seattle the rest of the season? Are we looking at these guys just being streamers going forward?

    I assume Walker will come off the DL right after the break and I’ll need to drop one:

    Walker, Paxton, Shoe

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Rice: Gave some thoughts on Pax on comment above, I’m still holding Walker in the leagues I have him, albeit in DL spots. I’d def keep rolling Walker when he’s back and I would lose Pax

  4. My Thread Count Is High says:
    (link)

    Welcome back man, how was the vacation? Did your Brew Crew get the W for the game you attended(wasn’t sure which game you caught)?

    I feel you on Rodon, he killed my WHIP for too long as well. I have his stashed on my DL though, you think he can make a comeback and be a top 50 guy or nah? And speaking of DL’s that’s where Kimbrel is stashed too, which forced me to unload Cobb(since I only have 2 DL spots). And right before you left I flipped T.Walker for Baez, and then Walker hit the DL. Not sure how bothersome his foot will be the ROS, but I don’t feel quite as bad about the trade now.

    So Ive done a little roster tweaking and luckily I was able to acquire a few closers to offset losing Kimbrel. Snell is the highest rated arm on your board that I don’t own, curious if you’d be looking to add him or hold what I’ve got. I had 2 decent weeks that took me from 5th back to third, my WHIP and ERA are still holding me back but at least my Offense has shown signs of life(minus the fact I don’t have any speed/SB production). Roster is below…thoughts?

    ESPN 12 team HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS daily moves and 4 keepers per season

    C Posey
    1B Cabrera
    2B Daniel Murphy
    3B Seager
    SS A. Russell
    OF Stanton
    OF Springer
    OF Polanco
    UTIL OF Choo
    UTIL OF Sano
    Bench 2B/SS/3B Baez

    SP Salazar
    SP Shoemaker
    RP Uehara
    RP Melancon
    P Nola
    P Pineda
    P DeSclafani
    P Pomeranz
    Bench SP Paxton
    Bench SP Gausman
    Bench RP Clippard
    Bench RP Estevez
    DL SP Rodon
    DL Kimbrel

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @My Thread Count Is High: Hey man! It was awesome! Brewers won 1-0 on July 4th beating Scherzer – was a great time, plus got a ball! Story on the upcoming Pod Wed morning this week :)

      Cool yeah, Rodon def could easily get back in my top 50. I wanna see him get some righties out his first start or two off the DL then he’ll probably make it in.

      I liked that Snell struck out 7 I think it was against the best contact team i the Angels, so I think he might find something. That said, i think you own the right guys right now! McGee crapping the bed is only helping Estevez, if anything Ottavino might be the next closer…

      • My Thread Count Is High says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: I think on saw that pic on twitter now that you mention it…that’s awesome man. Thanks for the feedback. I still have a guy that wants Choo…I might could flip Choo and Estevez for Tim Anderson or Reyes(hes trying to move a SS in any deal) and your boy SP Guerra. Thoughts on that deal?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @My Thread Count Is High: Oh yeah, I put on there since I talked it on the radio show I do. It was awesome!

          Hmmmm, yeah I was iffy on Reyes, but I kinda doubt he would suddenly fall off if he looks OK right now. I like that for Reyes and Guerra, but not so much Tim Anderson haha

          • My Thread Count Is High says:
            (link)

            @JB Gilpin: Well it appears that has fallen through I was offered Kiermaier(who should return Friday) for Estevez and I’d still have Clippard, Uehara and Melancon closing. Thoughts on that [email protected]’s post yesterday seemed pretty glowing regarding Kiermaier 2nd half potential.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
              (link)

              @My Thread Count Is High: Mehhhh, I like Kiermaier more in real baseball terms, I think he’s kinda just a streamer in shallower leagues. I’d hold the closer for now

              • My Thread Count Is High says:
                (link)

                @JB Gilpin: Yeah the Choo deal fell through because he wanted to offer mcCullers or Guerra for Choo straight up or Reyes straight up. Did you like any of those scenarios? In an OBP league I fellt like I was selling low at that price. Id probably rather have an arm but not sure McCullers or Guerra were enough.

                • My Thread Count Is High says:
                  (link)

                  @My Thread Count Is High: With the news Bregman is getting the call…would you drop Estevez for him? Still leaves me Clippard, Uehara, and Melancon…

                  • JB Gilpin

                    JB Gilpin says:
                    (link)

                    @My Thread Count Is High: YES! Nab Bregman ASAP!

                    For the trades, yeah I think I’d stand pat for now too

                    • My Thread Count Is High says:
                      (link)

                      @JB Gilpin: Sweet dropped Estevez for Bregman, this league is closer needy so I’m sure he’ll get scooped but I still have Uehara, Clippard and Melancon so hopefully I can keep pace!

                      Also with my SP’s are you holding what I’ve got? Think Paxton can right the ship? Bradley and Snell are the only 2 arms ranked close to Paxton that are on my wire.

                      Roster looks like this now:
                      ESPN 12 team HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS daily moves and 4 keepers per season

                      C Posey
                      1B Cabrera
                      2B Daniel Murphy
                      3B Seager
                      SS A. Russell
                      OF Stanton
                      OF Springer
                      OF Polanco
                      UTIL OF Choo
                      UTIL OF Sano
                      Bench 2B/SS/3B Baez
                      Bench SS Bregman

                      SP Salazar
                      SP Shoemaker
                      RP Uehara
                      RP Melancon
                      P Nola
                      P Pineda
                      P DeSclafani
                      P Pomeranz
                      Bench SP Paxton
                      Bench SP Gausman
                      Bench RP Clippard
                      DL SP Rodon
                      DL Kimbrel

  5. Gonzo_The_Great says:
    (link)

    Any thoughts on Salazar mysteriously pulling out of the All-Star game with “discomfort”? I was offered him in a sweetheart trade a few days prior to the announcement, but now I’m gunshy about pulling the trigger.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Gonzo_The_Great: yeah I saw that and almost docked him, but this feels more like maintenance more than a huge issue. As long as the deal is still sweeeeet I would still go for it!

  6. Quintero says:
    (link)

    Great shiz as usual mate,

    Just traded your boy Zach Davies + Tyler Anderson + Iwakuma for Bud Norris…call me crazy!

    12team h2h dynasty with IP, W. K, BB, era, whip, k/9 and QS

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Quintero: thanks for reading man! Wow, in dynasty you gave up all that for Bud? Or you got all that for Bud? I’m not too huge on any of them but I def like Zach Davies the best!

  7. Vacoarrfb says:
    (link)

    Any concerns about Arrieta? He’s been very un-Arrieta-like recently…

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Vacoarrfb: yeah a littlest,I did move him from 2 to 4. I think asb will do wonders and he’s still an ace tho :)

  8. Shaggy says:
    (link)

    I feel your pain about Ross and Rodon. Still hoping better times are ahead.

    You think CMart is finally approaching ace status? Seems that a lot of people just keep looking for reasons to say no…

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Shaggy: thanks man… Rough on those guys who I bought a lot of shares of… Annoying part is they both showed potential the whole way! Yeah I def do, watched his last start at my Brewers and his stuff looked ridiculous. It’s funny you phrase it that way, I just argued Grey on him on the Pod! Will be out Wednesday early haha

  9. Jolly Rancher says:
    (link)

    HiYa JB:
    Always look forward to your Pitcher Rankings every week! Your thoughts on these SPs rest of the season: McCullers, IKennedy, Keuchel, BMcCarthy, Pineda. I will need to drop one once Greinke comes off DL. In 10-team H2H weekly points league. I also have JRoss on DL.
    Thanks much!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jolly Rancher: thanks so much man, really appreciate that! Mannnn they’re all pretty close. Def holding Keuchel in Pts since he pitches deep and I like Pineda a little more. Prob McCarthy is the first cut. Any time!

  10. Heat apologist says:
    (link)

    Tyler Glasnow is the greatest pitcher ever unqueationably, undoubtedly, indubitably. I might be biased being the Pirates REL manager. It was a decent first start against a good team. He might strike out a dozen Brewers down the road. I think the 91 and 90 mile pitchs were change ups… He’s been working on it. The problem is throwing it too hard, with only a 5-6 MPH difference from his fastball. Super excited about a Cole, Glasnow, kuhl, brault, and taillon (sigh) rotation next year

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Heat apologist: hahahaha the REL bias is real! Mehhh, fangraphs only listed one as a change up, and if they all were, then their confusion in data isn’t good either Hah. Long term I think it can just be acceptable and that’s fine. So I still love him in dyno. Hah excited about that rotation plus Harvey?

  11. Gregjeffries says:
    (link)

    I give Price to get Salazar and Lackey. Do I make the trade?
    (Desperate to shore up SPs)

    • Gregjeffries says:
      (link)

      btw, thanks for the awesome material!

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Gregjeffries: Thanks for stopping by man! Yeahhhhh, I think Salazar and Price and razor thin that it’s worth Lackey as the throw in. I like it!

  12. John says:
    (link)

    Have J Ross in DL spot. Will they keep him there until the 22nd which looks like the next time his spot comes up?

    My SPs are: Sale, Carrasco, CMart, Hill, Hammel, Bauer. Is this a good enough staff in 12 teamer to simply drop Ross and stash a DL bat like Moss? Or wait until 22nd to see what shakes out?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @John: Yeah I don’t see why they wouldn’t give him all the time they can until they need a 5th starter.

      It’s a pretty good staff, but I think I would ride out Ross since it seems short-term, unless there was a bigger name than Moss on the DL. Like Brantley I def would do, but he’s surely owned :)

  13. thorbs says:
    (link)

    At what point can you cut bait on Liriano? He’s been straight-up awful all year, and even his hot streaks haven’t been too dominant.

    I’m in a 12-team, keep-20 + 8 MiLB H2H dynasty league and I’ve got Kluber, Tanaka, Keuchel, Duffy, Guerra, Norris and Liriano with Greinke/Felix on the DL, but haven’t actually used Liriano for the better part of a month.

    FWIW I’ve got a murderers’ row of relievers (we count NS + H) of Chapman, Miller, Britton, Diaz, Cishek, Diaz and Law to accumulate IP (40 IP min/week).

    I could take a flyer on Zack Eflin or Tropeano, or could even plug in Travis Wood for ratios.

    Get rid of Frankie?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @thorbs: Yup he’s in a free fall right now, I moved him all the way to 86, so even in a league that deep, given his age I think you can cut.

      I’ll take the flier on Eflin I think give dynasty and he’s young.

  14. John says:
    (link)

    What are your thoughts on Gausman ROS? The AL East is still a beast to pitch in but he’s sitting on the waiver with the most potential for upside.

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @John: Ummmm, ya know the stuff always looks better than the numbers, and I do like his really low walk rate. At 47 in my ranks, I think that’s right on the fringe of guys that should prob be owned in most leagues, if you have a roster spot I don’t mind nabbing him

  15. Papa Jean Seugra says:
    (link)

    Damn wish I read this before I used my 8th place waiver claim on him in a 12 team league. Should I drop for giolito or look elsewhere for a a starter?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Papa Jean Seugra: Hah yeah and I probably would’ve said use it before this start too! I’d probably drop Giolito first though, seems like they want to keep Ross in the rotation if they can/he’s healthy

  16. Scott says:
    (link)

    What about Ryu, JB?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Scott: Noooooooo, no no no. I have no faith there. His velo fell wayyyy off as his first start went on, we saw how long it took Pineda to get back from labrum stuff, he was terrible in 3 AAA starts, and I thought he was a little overrated even pre-shoulder injury. Would need to see a longgggg string of success for him to make it in.

  17. Ryan says:
    (link)

    I’m in an 8-team league and this is my staff:
    bumgardner
    Lester
    Carrasco
    tanaka
    Duffy
    hill

    B- archer, Bauer, Estrada.

    Categories are QS, K/BB, whip, K, IP.

    1. Is it good enough as is? I don’t want to overthink this.
    2. Who would you move for what level of pitcher? I’ve tried to package permutations of tanaka/hill/archer for degrom, then Kluber, and was rebuffed. would you target Cole, verlander, Pomeraz, or greinke?

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ryan: 1. Yeah, Bumgarner being so reliable and good makes it solid, plus Archer could turn it around still. 2. Hill is Rich Hill? I dunno if I’d do that for any of the 3 you’re targeting. I’ve come around on Hill and still think the K upside for Archer is enough to hold there. Any time!

  18. Chucky says:
    (link)

    Time to move on from Odorizzi? Tough enough pitching in the AL E, and if your so so at best? Drop Jake for Jr? Paxton? McCarthy?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Chucky: Yeahhhhh, probably, I never was too big on him from the onset. I like Junior right now

  19. Chris says:
    (link)

    Helo JB,

    You really have Rich Hill so high, comming of injury plus 36 years old with very little success?

    Please elaborate.

    Hill is on the trade block, but owner is asking for a RD 10, in a H2h 12th team, 3 player keeper league.

    Thanks,
    Chris

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Chris: Very little success? He’s been incredible all year! I guess you mean more like he doesn’t have a long track record… But he had pretty great numbers in AAA all last year, then that phenomenal run to end 2015, so this has been going on for 1.5 yrs now. Injury was to the groin, not an arm thing, so not that worried there, and he’s been great since coming back. I actually think I was pretty slow to buy in on him.

      If you’re in the thick of things and need a SP, I def think that’s a good price to trade.

      • Chris says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Thanks for the reply… it gives me some confidence to pull the trigger if need…

        another question if I may ask… would you consider sending Junior Guerra for Stroman?

        Thanks!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Chris: Cool yeah I wouldn’t be “too” hesitant, but if he’s traded it’ll almost certainly be to a worse park. That said, he is a K guy, so that minimizes a little risk.

          Def would consider it, it’s very close. I have them 9 apart. I think Guerra is safer while Stroman has a smidge more upside. Any time!

  20. Jack florida says:
    (link)

    Great helpful stuff always
    Best three sp for a 16 team dynasty league big rosters
    Chatwood
    Guerra
    Kennedy
    Paxton
    Conley
    Foltynewicz
    Thanks for the help

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jack florida: Thanks man, thanks for reading!

      Whew, that’s a tough one! I’ll throw Chatwood out. I kinda wanna throw Kennedy out unless you’re in win now. I may be biased, but I think Junior is in, as is Conley. Pax is a little old given his inconsistency… I love the guy, but I’ll take Folty at 3. This was a tough call tho

      • Jack florida says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: thanks for the input, I found it to be a hard choice myself

  21. Birrrdy says:
    (link)

    Think you might be a little high on Robbie Ray. Just cut him loose in a 5×5 10 team NL only to cherry pick some vulture saves in AZ (Hudson). Not looking back. Hope I’m not off… Oh wait, that sounds like looking back. Doh!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Birrrdy: Wow, bold cut in NL! He’s in here for one reason, and one alone. K rate. 10.63 right now, and his BABIP is .367. Sure the BB rate still isn’t good, but if that BABIP normalizes and he’s like .250-2.60 BABIP I think the high Ks and like 4.00 ERA 1.30 WHIP is worth an 80ish rank… But if you’re doing OK in Ks, it’s OK to not look back!

  22. sactown says:
    (link)

    What do you think of giving Quintana and Fulmer for Degrom?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @sactown: Def would take deGrom, yes the velo is down a little, but Fulmer worries me for the weardown and innings concern

  23. Bye Felica says:
    (link)

    Hey bruh what’s up with Pomerantz? Is he getting shut down capped or what? There’s so much speculation I need facts….just the facts

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Bye Felica: Fact – he’s 27. Fact – he’s likely getting traded
      (I guess that wouldn’t make it a fact haha). Fact – if he’s traded, a team trading for him isn’t gonna limit his innings.

      That help?

  24. My Thread Count Is High says:
    (link)

    I had replied above but we ran out of room…go figure. AJ Hinch just squashed the reports that Bregman was getting the call this weekend, already dropped Estevez for him and I’m 11th in waiver position so not getting him back. Posted my roster above would you just hold for now?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @My Thread Count Is High: It’s not AJ Hinch’s call! Get outta here Hinch. I was relying on Ralph there, I still think it could easily be by next week.

      I don’t think you’ll miss Estevez too much… I think you’re holding your guys right now, but def keeping a keen eye on Snell. A nice start for him and a low K start from Pax may have me swap the two

      • My Thread Count Is High says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Thanks so much man, Im usually pretty solid on my trades/waiver wires adds and drops but Ive questioned my last two moves(Walker for Baeaz) and Dropping Estevez for Bregman, more than usual, maybe because Im not dominating this year, like I did last year, the top 5 spots are pretty tight lol. As always I appreciate the timely feedback.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @My Thread Count Is High: Well the Walker one was unsanctioned by me! Haha it’s still fine though. Def think you’ll enjoy the reward of Bregman sooner than later

          • My Thread Count Is High says:
            (link)

            @JB Gilpin: Ha, unsanctioned…guess I’m a rebel! Yeah I’m holding Bregman, the only angle I’m considering is trying to lower WHIP and ERA where I sit 10th out of 12, but Im top 5 in the other 8 categories and narrowly clinging to 3rd place. There are guys available like Brach, Dull, N.Jones and A.Reed available(league doesn’t count holds) but it’s so hard to want to give up an SP or a closer for one of them.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
              (link)

              @My Thread Count Is High: Haha, be a rebel man, be you! Yeahhhh in a 12er it’s not worth the lost roster spot in H2H of those guys. Mayyybe in a pinch short-term, but rarely

              • My Thread Count Is High says:
                (link)

                @JB Gilpin: Would you try to re-obtain Walker for the price of Choo? And if so would you eat the spot until he’s activated or dump Rodon from the DL?

                ESPN 12 team HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS daily moves and 4 keepers per season

                C Posey
                1B Cabrera
                2B Daniel Murphy
                3B Seager
                SS A. Russell
                OF Stanton
                OF Springer
                OF Polanco
                UTIL OF Choo
                UTIL OF Sano
                Bench 2B/SS/3B Baez
                Bench SS Bregman

                SP Salazar
                SP Shoemaker
                RP Uehara
                RP Melancon
                P Nola
                P Pineda
                P DeSclafani
                P Pomeranz
                Bench SP Paxton
                Bench SP Gausman
                Bench RP Clippard
                DL SP Rodon
                DL Kimbrel

                • My Thread Count Is High says:
                  (link)

                  @My Thread Count Is High: Me again lol…so the Stros just signed Cuban INF Gurriel,5 year 47M…Id have to think that would negatively impact Bregmans arrival no? If so should I instead hold Choo, drop Bregman, and go ahead and add Snell?

                  • JB Gilpin

                    JB Gilpin says:
                    (link)

                    @My Thread Count Is High: Mehhhh, i think I would hold Choo, he’s just gonna score so many runs, and that kinda looks like a need. Prob dropping Rodon when you have to, QS doesn’t help him…

                    Yeah that signing sucks, although they said mid-Aug is the target date, and might be later due to Visa issues. I’d keep holding true with Bregman

  25. G-OZ says:
    (link)

    Hold Glasnow or grab Gausman or Snell (Matt Moore & Jon Gray also available) off the waiver wire.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @G-OZ: I’d probably nab Gausman, but one more nice game from Snell with good Ks and good results and I might go there

  26. G-OZ says:
    (link)

    Thanks JB.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @G-OZ: Any time!

  27. Jim Wiser says:
    (link)

    What happens to Pomeranz ranking now that he goes to Red Sox?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jim Wiser: Not much of a change. He’s a K guy so the park only hurts a little, and that’s made up with how good the team is for run support

Comments are closed.