Grey beat me with the parallel to the other Aaron Sanchez, so I’ve got to cook up something different!  …dammit.

As I mentioned in my first in-season re-ranks last week, I mentioned I always liked [the real] Aaron Sanchez‘s stuff and had some of my worst early-season regret not ranking him higher.  But after that sizzling (…crap) debut, 5 K and 3 BB against the Yankees in his second course (…ahhhh!).  It was still a quality start, but if he keeps walking guys, he’ll be a recipe for disaster (…OK, I’m done).

While it’s still too early to make blanket judgment calls, it’s nice to start having 3-game samples on starters as we head into week 3.  Sanchez is likely owned in most mixed leagues, but in the RCLs where the name of the game is streaming, I wanted to see how “must-hold” he is in formats where starting pitchers are cycled in-and-out more than sex jokes in Two Broke Girls.  Oh my god, have you seen that show?!  Wife loves it, but it’s written by 12-yr-olds who giggle during sex ed class in middle school!  Speaking of: “boobies”.  Tee-hee!  Wow, this got way off track.  One of the more interesting starters going on Sunday afternoon, I decided to break down Sanchez’s third start on the young season to see how his command is maturing (hopefully maturing faster than I am…):

First Inning: Sanchez picks up an early two runs of support before stepping on the rubber, and barely nips the high-outside black for strike one to Mookie Betts.  Another fastball is check swing nipped foul, then Mookie takes 96 all the way that had plenty of the zone for a 3-pitch strikeout on all fastballs to open it up.  Wow.  Sanchez keeps attacking with a 95 MPH fastball on the hands to Xander Bogaerts that’s tipped foul, then another fastball inside is grounded weakly to short for a quick two outs.  96 MPH paints the outside corner perfectly for strike one to David Ortiz, his first curveball is hung way outside, he tries curve again and it’s much better but barely dips low, 2-1.  Change-up at 90 MPH stays outside and Ortiz holds up, then 97 is a little too low and outside for a walk.  Yeesh, 3-pitch strikeout, an easy out, then a walk to the lefty.  Don’t like seeing that.  Hanley Ramirez takes 96 on the outside black for strike one – a lot of paint going on, but looking like perfect strikes – then a fastball is dribbled weakly to third and the play is made to get Hanley by a microsecond.  2007 Marlins Hanley Ramirez is easily safe…  But a nice first inning!

Second Inning: First pitch fastball strike is in there to Travis Shaw, bending 76 MPH curve has Shaw out in front for a weak grounder foul, then 0-2 is perfectly placed on the high, inside black for Sanchez’s second K.

Aaron-Sanchez-Fastball-197 MPH!  Both Ks looking at fastballs dotted perfectly too!  Some umps won’t give you that one, but credit Sanchez for that location on 0-2.  97 MPH is in there to Chris Young, 97 again barely outside, and this velocity is insane!  97 perfectly paints the outside black 1-2, then a front door curveball at 79 MPH catches the inside black for yet another K looking.  It didn’t have the strongest bite, but it works!  97 is barely low to Jackie Bradley Jr., 95 in there to even it up, 95 low, 95 in the zone gets a whiff, 2-2 is a 97 MPH fastball that sails high, but the 3-2 pitch is a 98 MPH fastball in the zone that gets a pretty routine grounder to first to end the inning.

Third Inning: Fastball sails high to Ryan Hanigan for ball one, fastball is in there 1-1, another heater is called low, but it looks good, 2-1.  Fastball again is definitely low, fastball again on the hands chipped foul, 96 down the middle fouled away, then 96 MPH just out of the zone high is chased for Sanchez’s 4th K and his first swinging.  Mmmm.  Making his Major League debut, Marco Hernandez foolishly chases 96 dotted on the outside black.

Aaron-Sanchez-Fastball-2Welcome to the bigs, son!  Fastball is just outside, fastball again out there is poked foul on a late swing, 97 sails high, 2-2 is again high at 95 MPH, then 96 MPH is barely inside in the higher portion of the zone for a walk.  Yikes, I hatttteeee that walk right there.  Sanchez should’ve just blown this kid away.  Well, into the stretch and back to the top with Betts hacking on a fastball right down the middle and it’s lined hard to left, but a loud out.  First solid contact of the day.  But it’s two outs, and Bogaerts takes 95 barely outside – close one there – 1-0 is way inside, 94 sails high, and quickly 3-0.  Sanchez takes a tick off and gets 93 MPH in there, 94 on the upper black is tapped back foul, and the payoff pitch is a 95 MPH fastball chopped to third and Sanchez battles back to get out of the inning.  Nice moxie there.

Fourth Inning: Still protecting a 2-0 lead, Sanchez is high and outside to Papi, stays high with the fastball, and yet again is high 3-0.  Seems skiddish of Ortiz, then the 3-0 fastball is an inch low for a leadoff walk.  Bleh.  94 catches the outside black to Hanley, fastball on the hands pulled foul, huge slurvey curveball sweeps well outside 1-2, then 94 MPH on the hands with a little bit of sink gets Hanley to swing over the fastball for Sanchez’s 5th K.  One down, and 93 is just outside to Shaw, 94 again is outside, and man that velo at 97 to 98 is long gone…  Where’s the beef?!  2-0 is swung through an missed at 95 MPH, 94 is in there, then 95 high and on the hands saws off Shaw for a lazy fly to left, two outs.  Then a first-pitch fastball is rolled over for an easy groundout to third off the bat of Krispie Young to get Sanchez out of the inning easily after the leadoff 4-pitch walk.

Fifth Inning: Sanchez working on the no-hitter gets a strike in there to Bradley Jr., 95 on the outer third is rocketed foul, then 95 again out there is grounded right to Tulo for an easy first out.  94 high to Hanigan, 94 outside, 2-0 with neither close.  94 right down the middle 2-1, 94 that looked high gets the call 2-2, 96 on the hands fouled off, still 2-2 and Sanchez is still relying on a heavy diet of fastballs.  Dammit, I did the same thing from the open again!  Fastball again fouled away, then – you guessed it – fastball is blooped to center, but it’s caught by Kevin Pillar on the slide for the second out.  Still only one hard hit thus far.  Hernandez slashes a fastball foul, then fastball again breaks his bat, but it bloops into shallow left for a single.  Some beginner’s luck right there from the rook!  Breaks up the no-no, and fastball gets strike one to Betts, rolling curveball at 76 spins into the top of the zone just barely for strike two, fastball high at 96 makes it 1-2, then fastball outside is taken for ball 2, and Hernandez steals second with the ball ending up in center and moving Hernandez to third.  Yeesh.  Close play had Ryan Goins been able to secure the ball and make the tag.  Then wouldn’t you know it, 2-2 fastball in the zone is pounded right up the middle for an RBI single and now Sanchez’s shutout is broken.  So still two outs, Betts at first, and fastball is in there to Bogaerts at 94, then 94 on the outer third is tapped to Tulo for an easy groundout and gets Sanchez out of the inning.

Sixth Inning: The game remains 2-1 Blue Jays, and fastball is barely inside to Ortiz;  Sanchez just won’t attack him.  Fastball again is inside, then a 2-0 fastball is hammered to center, but Pillar jumping right in front of the wall makes the great play for a loud first out.  You can see why Sanchez was avoiding Papi!  Fastball nips the high black to Hanley for strike one, then Sanchez’s best curve on the day at 76 bends in the zone for strike two:

Aaron-Sanchez-Curveball-1Then curve again bending in the zone at 78 gets Hanley to roll over it for an easy nubber that Sanchez fields himself and makes the toss to first, two down.  94 on the hands to Shaw is flared back foul, 92 gets the high black 0-2, and Shaw is whining.  Hey, Sanchez has been getting the calls on the high black all day, at least the zone has been consistent.  Fastball is taken outside, then Sanchez’s best wipeout curve on the day gets Shaw swinging way over it at 78 MPH for Sanchez’s 6th K

Aaron-Sanchez-Curveball-2Seventh Inning: At 89 pitches, Sanchez is back out there with another pair of runs of support, and gets strike one on Young at 92 MPH.  93 on the outside edge gets strike two, but still a pretty big difference in velo.  That said, 94 is in there for a taken strike 3 and Sanchez’s 7th K.  Gotta swing at that!  Bradley Jr. fouls back yet another fastball, then a nasty 77 MPH curve sweeps across the zone and gets the inner edge, 0-2.  Curve hangs outside 1-2, then curve again outside is poked to left for a routine flyout, two down.  Sailing fastball is way high to Hanigan, 93 is outside, and another 2-0 count with neither close.  Seen this a few times.  93 is in there, 93 low, and Sanchez is kicking the mound in a little frustration.  92 MPH is in there, and man that velo really dropping as he struggles with his command, and 93 MPH is well low and inside for his 4th BB.  Gibbons sticks with Sanchez though and he’s way outside and low to Hernandez 1-0, 92 is perfect paint in the low black at the knees 1-1, then fastball again down there is skied to center, but it’s an easy routine play to end the inning.  And at 105 pitches, Sanchez leaves the game, and the Jays hold on to give him his first W on the year.

Final Line:  W  7.0 IP  105 Pitches (66 Strikes)  1 ER  2 Hits  4 Walks  7 K  Gamescore: 72  Gamescore+: 71.6

Final Analysis: Consistency, consistency, consistency!  Pure results wise, this was a great outing.  Sub-1.00 WHIP, 9 K per P, but other factors had him all over the map.  Even though I scored him with favorable contact metrics, I found it interesting his Gamescore+ came out lower than his Gamescore…

It all starts, continues, and ends with the fastball for Sanchez.  And hey, while I may kinda be knocking his lack of secondary stuff in this analysis, it did befuddle the Red Sox hitters.  But back to consistency, it rode up there to 97 multiple times and all the way to 98 MPH in the second inning, only to die off to 93ish by the end of the outing.  I really didn’t like seeing the wide range in velocities.  Really the only secondary pitch we saw the whole outing was the curveball, ranging from 76-79 with varied results.  Some were sharp, but even that GIF for strike two to Hanley above was a little “rolly”.

I’m a little out of sorts watching this start.  As mentioned in the 7th, Sanchez had some really wild-looking 2-0 counts, and umpire Lance Barksdale – right after cornering the Baltimore drug market – was calling a lot of strikes high and just out of the zone.  He wasn’t inconsistent with the calls, but you always like to see your younguns be able to spot pitches down, not get calls high in the zone.  And of the 7 Ks, 4 were looking and oddly enough, all 4 on fastballs.  That’s got to be pretty uncommon to get 4 backwards Ks on heaters in one start…  While the early returns on Sanchez have been awesome, I’m still worried about the 23-year-old’s consistency, not only with overall control, but consistent velocity and ability to keep the ball down in the zone.  I’d probably ride him while hot in mixed leagues, and in deeper leagues with pitching scarcer, I would try some sell-high offers.  That’s for redraft though, I still really like his pure stuff and outlook in keepers/dynasties.

Razzball Baseball

Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto, green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, TEAM
1 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
2 Jake Arrieta, CHC
3 Chris Sale, CWS
4 Max Scherzer, WAS
5 David Price, BOS
6 Noah Syndergaard, NYM
7 Jose Fernandez, MIA
8 Madison Bumgarner, SF
9 Corey Kluber, CLE
10 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
11 Gerrit Cole, PIT
12 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
13 Matt Harvey, NYM
14 Chris Archer, TB
15 Jon Lester, CHC
16 Felix Hernandez, SEA
17 Zack Greinke, ARI
18 Carlos Martinez, STL
19 Danny Salazar, CLE
20 Carlos Rodon, CWS
21 Jacob deGrom, NYM
22 Cole Hamels, TEX
23 Francisco Liriano, PIT
24 Joe Ross, WAS
25 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
26 Raisel Iglesias, CIN
27 Marcus Stroman, TOR
28 Jeff Samardzija, SF
29 Patrick Corbin, ARI
30 Taijuan Walker, SEA
31 Johnny Cueto, SF
32 Sonny Gray, OAK
33 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
34 Vincent Velasquez, PHI
35 Justin Verlander, DET
36 Yordano Ventura, KC
37 Drew Smyly, TB
38 Adam Wainwright, STL
39 Michael Wacha, STL
40 Jason Hammel, CHC
41 Ian Kennedy, KC
42 Garrett Richards, LAA
43 Luis Severino, NYY
44 Steven Matz, NYM
45 Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA
46 Jose Quintana, CWS
47 Michael Pineda, NYY
48 Wei-Yin Chen, MIA
49 Jake Odorizzi, TB
50 Jordan Zimmermann, DET
51 Juan Nicasio, PIT
52 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
53 Mike Fiers, HOU
54 James Shields, SD
55 John Lackey, STL
56 Kenta Maeda, LAD
57 Andrew Cashner, SD
58 Aaron Nola, PHI
59 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
60 Anthony DeSclafani, CIN
61 Aaron Sanchez, TOR
62 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
63 Jaime Garcia, STL
64 Robbie Ray, ARI
65 Jerad Eickhoff, PHI
66 Matt Moore, TB
67 Adam Conley, MIA
68 Collin McHugh, HOU
69 Yu Darvish, TEX
70 Lance McCullers, HOU
71 Julio Teheran, ATL
72 Tyler Glasnow, PIT
73 Edinson Volquez, KC
74 Tyson Ross, SD
75 Kevin Gausman, BAL
76 Nate Karns, SEA
77 Scott Kazmir, LAD
78 Blake Snell, TB
79 Ervin Santana, MIN
80 Jose Berrios, MIN
81 Rich Hill, OAK
82 Shelby Miller, ARI
83 Jake Peavy, SF
84 Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS
85 Nathan Eovaldi, NYY
86 J.A. Happ, TOR
87 Mike Leake, STL
88 Derek Holland, TEX
89 Jon Niese, PIT
90 Rick Porcello, BOS
91 Taylor Jungmann, MIL
92 Bud Norris, ATL
93 Josh Tomlin, CLE
94 Kris Medlen, KC
95 Marco Estrada, TOR
96 Lucas Giolito, WAS
97 Hector Santiago, LAA
98 Shane Greene, DET
99 Brandon Finnegan, CIN
100 Chris Tillman, BAL

Dropped Out: Clay Buchholz, BOS (Ugh, why did I even rank him, I didn’t like him at all!)

  • So some early jostling up top, which has less to do with major concerns about Matt Harvey and Chris Archer, and more to do with just how close it is in that main glut through the top 17 or 18 or so.  Any little knock and it moves you down a few.
  • While it may have been embracing to have Noah Syndergaard 13 last week, call me greedy but I wanted to see a little more.  Well, I saw it.  Nice bump up for Thor.
  • It sucks having to do ranks with players going through real-life trauma, but after seeing Jean Segura have to go through family tragedy and struggling last year, I’m a little worried about Jacob deGrom‘s 2016.  Obviously everyone’s wishes go to his family.
  • I heard a lot of debate if Vincent Velasquez was a top-50 pitcher after that utterly dominant start against the Padres.  My response?  I already had him top 50 last Monday, muahahahahaha!  Sure it was the Padres and he’s on a bad team…  And he’s not going 200 innings…  But camon, he looks amazing!
  • Ian Kennedy with a nice start makes me feel warm and fuzzy inside.
  • Garrett Richards is looking better than I thought, I mean I know he has electric stuff, but I like the 6:1 K:BB in each of his last two outings.
  • Great to hear Yu Darvish is nearing rehab stints starting next week, and he’ll continue to climb as we approach his 2016 debut.

Thoughts on Aaron Sanchez?  Am I too worried about the control?  And what else is “embracing” in these re-ranks?  Shoot your thoughts below and may your ERAs stay low, Razzball Nation!

  1. griff says:
    (link)

    What’s the deal with klubot?!? Is it repairable?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @griff: His problem is he refuses to not attack hitters! He need to “learn” to throw some friggin’ balls! Everything is in the zone. I watched the start, and his slider was still filthy and he bounced back after giving up all 6 ER I think it was in first two innings. Fastball was just hittable and he didn’t go to slider early enough

      • Raindoggg says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: …..also hoping/thinking that he just doesn’t like the cooler weather…..he started exactly like this (even worse I believe) last year and slowly everything normalized as the weather warmed…..

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Raindoggg: Yup, maybe the arm still needs a little waking up, to get that 95 MPH fastball when he needs it. And he was awesome in the Trop until one bad pitch at the end!

  2. Noam says:
    (link)

    Wow I wish I owned Sanchez somewhere…

    How do you feel about Samardzija going forward?

    And are you rolling with Brandon Finnegan against the Cubs this week?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Noam: Oh for sure, Sanchez looks pretty flashy right now, still worry about that consistency though! I’m encouraged, I ranked him high, we saw good stuff last night even if the 3:3 K:BB isn’t great, and he’s pitched @MIL (Brewers will hit well at home) @COL and @LAD and hasn’t blown up in those 3 tough matchups. Let’s get him throwing at home finally! And nah, I know he near no-hit them last time, but I bet they adjust

      • Noam says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:

        Thanks for your thoughts. I like Shark’s velocity uptick, but his lack of slider usage worries me…

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Noam: I’m not worried at all, it’s early and he’s used the cutter a lot more, which is basically a faster slider, so it doesn’t bother me

  3. Zeus says:
    (link)

    Garett still too low. Will end up a top 25 starter. Oh and i own Rodon a bunch of places but do you really think the walks won’t continue to haunt him? Ray searage should just declare himself a free agent and teams should send these types of pitchers to him for a fee.

    I should be Ray’s agent

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Zeus: Aight, if he’s not I’m coming back to this comment!

      Haha yeah Searage could just video conference to every pitcher for $10K per pitcher a night. It’d be worth it! Man my Brewers need him… Nah Rodon is just so unhittable that I think he can be effectively wild. Walk rate still better than last year for Rodon! Haha

  4. Alex C says:
    (link)

    Haha, the correct word was “embarrassing” from my original comment below … but I’m glad you are a bit less embarrassing this week! But you are still off, he is top 3 now- Kershaw- Arrieta(could get bumped)- Noah… now EMBRACE that!

    “Honestly it’s a bit embracing that you still have Syndergaard at 13 overall. Unless he has arm problems, he is a top 5 pitcher. The guy was throwing 95mph sliders to people, and avg 99 on a sinker… I’m not even sure I’d move him for anybody outside of Kershaw.. he’s that good.”

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Alex C: Haha glad you took that as just humor, was pretty funny :) Hah I do think he’s right there with those guys, but gonna lean on track record a little more!

  5. Matt says:
    (link)

    Do you drop any of these pitchers when Yu Darvish comes off the DL?

    Velasquez, Matz, Walker

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Matt: Uggghhhhh. That question sucks. I refuse to answer your comment. I guess you might have to, but I plead the fifth until that day happens to pick which one

  6. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Supergreene!!!! I was honestly expecting another Ruby Rhod-centric pitcher profile. He actually looked pretty great after the first inning! I streamed him in my keeper league and was planning to hold him for the 2-start week, but somehow managed to flip him and another meh piece for Ozuna (who I desperately needed after trading my OF4 and OF5 for Story).

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Hah Supergreene indeed! Grey makes fun, but he refuses to see a streamable guy when one comes along! Nice trade tho!

  7. IV says:
    (link)

    Hey JB,
    What do you think of Sean Manaea? Do you think he makes an impact this year?

    I assume you don’t like him more as an NA slot guy in a 12 team QS league over someone like Blake Snell at 78.

    • Jack says:
      (link)

      @IV: I’ll throw in Urias here too…?

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Jack: Yeah def like Snell and Glasnow more, think both are up way sooner. By impact, yeah both could be usable in September, but I don’t see them having big post-ASB runs by being called up by then.

        • IV says:
          (link)

          @JB Gilpin: alright thanks. Already have Snell stashed and will continue to keep him.
          1)I noticed you moved Declafani up and he hasn’t pitched yet, you buying into last year’s improvements?

          2) you think Adam Conley is legit?

          3) would you start Hughes tonight v MIL in a QS league?

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
            (link)

            @IV: Cool 1 – Yeah he’s moving up since he’s almost healthy and getting close to where I had him pre-injury. 2 – Yup, I had him ranked well coming into the year, what does legit mean though? Maybe 7.5-8 K/9 with decent ERA WHIP? Sure. 3. Nope! Although I got an unfair preview of giving up a run haha

            • IV says:
              (link)

              @JB Gilpin: thanks for answering everything!
              By legit, I should have said the improvements he made were real, increased fast ball velocity. I’ve seen comps to Chris Sale out there, which are definitely a stretch, but it’s possible they are on to something.

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
                (link)

                @IV: Any time! Sure yeah def agree improvements are real, and in my initial ranks, here is my Conley blurb: “A guy I thought I’d be huge on in 2016, I ended up having to pump the breaks a little on Conley. Ever since a nice K-rate in 2013 mainly in AA, it’s been middling since in the Minors, despite a nice 7.93/9 run in 67 big league innings last year. I watched a few of his starts and saw a few fastballs hit 95+, but his average was only 91.3 MPH. I was hoping this was due to a slower 2-seamer, but it was mainly fatigue. I watched him pitch against my Brewers on 9/8/2015, then again v. Philly on 9/23, and he averaged 93 MPH on the fastball in those starts, but it dropped to 90.9 his final two starts, after being 91ish overall his first 10 starts. So he got a little extra juice in the ones I watched, but it wore him out (given he pitched a long season across AAA and the Majors). He’s a lefty that relies a lot on that fastball, so if he can improve on consistent velocity, this will end up working out as your final pitcher, but for now he’s just outside the fringe and on my watch list to see how that velo looks.” So if he becomes must-own through a few more starts, I would likely try to sell high. Chris Sale comp is kinda nuts though, agree haha

  8. Raindoggg says:
    (link)

    Pretty solid list in my opinion….only question mark is Bud Norris…..what am I missing? Just curious as to why he makes the top 100 list?……he’s the only pitcher on your list available in my real deep league so if there is something about him that I just can’t see it would be great to be enlightened……

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Raindoggg: Thanks man! Yea he nudged his way in kinda on a sneaky suspicion that his metrics were soooooo unlucky last year, still has velo and a good slider, and is a flyball pitcher moving to a great pitchers park. He def hasn’t been good, and yes one road start was @MIA, but he can be usable in home games. Early returns have not been good though, and the velo is down. I’ll probably give him another week or two to see if the velo can climb up a little

  9. Cheese says:
    (link)

    Thoughts on Drew Pomeranz? I figure he’s gotta be better than some of those late names, even if only for the ball park he plays in.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Cheese: I just don’t really like he’s basically a two-pitch guy, and Petco isn’t the pitcher’s park is used to be. Been neutral the past few years

      • Raindoggg says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: ….as referred to above that’s one guy I would have on the list before Norris…..with that said the two pitch thing does worry me as well but if his control can get sharpened I think he has some upside…..

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Raindoggg: Sure, but as referred above Braves have a better park. It’s like 95th vs 105-110, not exactly feeling great about one over the other

  10. Scott says:
    (link)

    Giolito on the list? What do you know that I don’t, JB?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Scott: I think he’s up by August, and has the K upside to bring back top 100 $ in even a small stint. He had been sitting at 101-105 in my first few guys out these first few weeks, and as the season gets shorter every week, he made his way in for a ROS context

  11. CMUTimmah says:
    (link)

    OK – Sanchez was a nice pickup for me (early draft) when announced he earned a starting spot.

    Based on your rankings you would trade him straight up for Nicasio? Yikes.

    I agree, he’s erratic and on an innings count. I’m going to sell high, but I’m going to wait a week or two hopefully get another gem in there and realllly sell high.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @CMUTimmah: Yup I would in redraft. Why yikes? Sanchez is still walking guys and lost sooo much velo, Nicasio has Searage, better park, better division, and stayed at 95-96 with a good slider yesterday. But I would be totally good with milking it and trying to sell higher

      • CMUTimmah says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Nicasio scares me because it’s likely will lose his spot to Glasnow at some point in the season, that’s my main concern. Also, Nicasio has a long track record of missing the strike zone, even if his short term numbers have been good. It’s OK to be wild if you’re not getting hit.

        If you’re going to bump Giolito for his value once called up, you should probably be hedging Nicasio for his likely demotion. That’s all I was getting at.

        • Raindoggg says:
          (link)

          @CMUTimmah: ……there is no way Nicasio loses his spot before Locke…..maybe they both lose a spot for Glasgow and Taillon but I cannot see a scenario where there is upside of having Locke pitch every fifth had ahead of Nicasio whether he misses some spots or not…..

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
            (link)

            @CMUTimmah: @Raindoggg: Yeah def agree, Locke and Vogelsong are wayyyyy more likely to lose roles than Nicasio to me. That’s two fairly likely options so I don’t think I need to hedge.

  12. Oranje says:
    (link)

    Take two of the following to start:

    Samardzija MIA
    Odorizzi @ BOS
    Matz @ ATL
    WY Chen WAS

    Thanks…

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Oranje: Def Matz and Shark for me. Any time!

  13. Sing Us a Vogelsong You're the Pineda Man says:
    (link)

    Harvey is stressing me out. I can trade Stanton and Harvey for Mookie and Noah. Do the deal? It’s a points league where K’s are valuable (plus one for pitchers, minus one for batters). Ten team keeper.

    C- Ramos
    1B- Abreu
    2B- Odor
    3B- Arenado
    CI-Miggy
    MI- Castro
    OF- Stanton
    OF- Springer
    OF- HanRam
    OF- Mazara
    OF-Ellsbury
    UTIL- Domingo

    SP-Arrieta
    SP- Harvey
    SP- Salazar
    SP- Rodon
    SP- Velasquez
    SP- Ventura
    SP- Richards (impatient owner)
    SP- Pineda (impatient owner)
    SP- Matz
    SP- Joe Ross (thank you)
    RP- Osuna
    RP- Gregerson

    DL- Darvish

    My rotation actually improved last week because of some newbs.

      • Sing Us a Vogelsong You're the Pineda Man says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Thanks JB! By the way I’m a big Carolina Panthers fan. I went to Auburn when Cam was there. He touched my wife in the hallway when his aux cord accidentally hit her. I wasn’t even jealous. Or at least I was jealous he touched my wife and not me.

        I’m gonna do the deal. My team has enough power. I want doubles and triples, yo!

  14. BravesfanintheUK says:
    (link)

    Thanks for the list!

    Chase Anderson – i’m guessing his impressive start hasn’t impressed you….? So leave him on the bench at twins tonight?

    And if you had to guess when Berrios gets a call up…?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @BravesfanintheUK: I obviously watch all the Brewers, and he’s looked OK. With how we’re getting pummeled, I just get antsy thinking he’s next. It’s in a good park tho and Twins are bad v. righties, I would play him. Ummm, June for Berrios? Maybe late May?

      • BravesfanintheUK says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Fab, thanks. Will (try) not to remind you if it goes wrong for the Brew Crew, hope not!

        Thanks re Berrios, will leave him on the ww for now.

        • Raindoggg says:
          (link)

          @BravesfanintheUK: ……I literally missed out on picking up Anderson by 3 mins in my league…..here’s the thing with him I was checking when I lost out on him…..if the rotation stays the same and he stays on the same 5th day he is on right now he doesn’t have what I would call a scary matchup until at least the end of June…..I think he could have very sneaky value for the next couple of months and its killing me today that I missed out on him……

          With that said Erasmo is available…..any thoughts on him ROS?…..

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
            (link)

            @Raindoggg: Hah well so good so far! Damn sucks you missed him. Hmmm interesting on schedule, only thing with that is possible rainouts shuffling it up. Mehhhh never been an Erasmo guy, one bad start and Snell could be up.

        • Swfcdan says:
          (link)

          @BravesfanintheUK: Good to see another baseball fan from the UK here!

      • Swfcdan says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Just wanna add I pitched Chase last night, looks like JB was right thinking he’s next to be punished!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @BravesfanintheUK: @Raindoggg: @Swfcdan: Good thing you missed Anderson, Raindoggg! Ugh yeah, 89 MPH fastball, maybe touched 90 once, he didn’t have command of the change-up, and just looks so boring out there. Man, Sano and Park are bigggggg boys. And it doesn’t help the Brewers defense is atrocious. Jimmy Nelson will likely be the only Brewers pitcher I have ranked by next week.

  15. Tyrell says:
    (link)

    Joe Ross was dropped a couples weeks ago in my league cause of the bullpen issue news . I was out waiver prioritized smh. Hurts more every week that I was so close to getting him for free. Not much love for Matz how come? Id like him more of a top 30 pitcher.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Tyrell: Oh damn! Yeah Ross for free would feel amazing! Meh, I dunno what it is about Matz, youth, innings concern, some injuries in his past… I just don’t have a great feeling on him, and got rocked that first start… Looked great against the Indians tho I watched some of that one. I think he could be like Salazar 2 years ago, flashy at times, hit hard in others

  16. E says:
    (link)

    Thoughts on Archie Bradley?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @E: I liked him last year but after watching him, not enough mixing of speeds for me and seems to be a low K groundballer if he sticks in the majors. Very bleh to me

      • The Harrow says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: sucks cause when he was coming up he wasn’t a low K guy at all.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @E: @The Harrow: Yeah I know… Something has changed, and nothing looks explosive to me. I dunno what happened…

  17. Jose says:
    (link)

    JB would you trade starlin castro, santiago casillas and michael wacha for gerrit cole? 3 x 1?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jose: Hmmmmm, what’s the format? I prob would in most situations

      • Jose says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: mixed league head to head

      • Jose says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: or would you trade jason heyward and severino for jonny cueto?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Jose: Definitely prefer that original deal, and yeah I’d do it in that format

  18. Wywyz says:
    (link)

    Would you drop Evoldi or Daniel Norris for Giolotto at this point?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Wywyz: In standard 10 or 12er, I would be streaming those spots, in a deep mixed I prob would rather have Giolito than Norris

  19. Ciwa says:
    (link)

    Dropping Fiers for one between Kennedy Eickhoff Moore?And who will you prefer?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ciwa: Yup! I would get Kennedy, was high on him preseason and started well

  20. Jensen says:
    (link)

    How worried are you about Severino? Thinking about benching him.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jensen: A little worried, hmmm hosting Oakland… Man, having trouble deciding, I would say if your IL or starts limit is strict I wouldn’t

  21. They Might Be Giants says:
    (link)

    Do you think Aaron Sanchez will struggle as the season goes on since he has not thrown starter innings for a full year? Also could Velasquez face an innings cap that would warrant either of these guys as sell highs now?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @They Might Be Giants: Yes and yes. But for Velasquez, I think that’s so distant that I would at least try to give it another 4-5 starts as I think he stays strong and get a really big asset than sell right now

  22. They Might Be Giants says:
    (link)

    I have not been impressed with Pineda so far. What makes you think a guy that is resurging like Matt More won’t be better than him?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @They Might Be Giants: Oh I haven’t either, but Moore’s large sample of inability to limit the walks still scares me. We’re only 3 starts in, I’m not drastically changing my preseason thoughts on that

  23. TheTinDoor says:
    (link)

    Yet again, your list is nearly invalidated for me by Shark > Cueto. Summary of what I said in week 1: Cueto is younger, has been better than Samardzija EVERY YEAR, and they have the same ballpark/defense. There is just no logical reason.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @TheTinDoor: INVALIDATED I SAY! Elbow concern and Shark has thrown a lot more innings, and as I said last time, Samardzija didn’t throw much until out of college so his arm doesn’t have the mileage.

  24. Greg says:
    (link)

    Who’s the first pitcher called up? Rate my staff, 14 teams, h2h, yahoo 5×5:

    Madbum, SGray, MStroman, CRodon, SMatz, JRoss, Velasquez,

    Closers: Rosenthal, KRod, Chapman
    DL: Darvish, Gausman, Boxberger

    Who do I mover what can I get? I think it’s ridiculously good staff for 14 team league. What should Chapman/Velasquez get me?

    Oh, my hitting doesn’t suck either, 1b, Freeman 2b: schoop, ss: segura, 3b: Franco, of: jup, betts, cargo, UT piscotty, haze

    What to get Posey in obvious buy low time (slumping)?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Greg: Looks really solid to me, oodles of upside! Rodon tonight tho, ugghhhh. What you mean first pitcher called up?

      Chapman/Velasquez should def bring in an ace but I wouldn’t shop that pair right now. I think VV can maintain and be strong and selling Chapman before he’s back on the mound I think would be a mistake. If those 2 got you posey tho, $$$$$$!

      • Greg says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:

        OMG, Rodon killed me….I made a bad trade….maybe….it’s a long season: Arenado for Rodon and Franco….doh. But there was a reason….I’m co-commish and we are doing buy in this year, the dude was disgruntled cuz our draft was 8pm pacific and he’s east coast, and he ended up with Pollack on autodraft…..it could still work out…Arenado might get hurt. LOL. Anyway, I didn’t want to risk him bitching about the buy-in and whining….and I love Franco. Sadly, Arenado went from awesome to all world since I finalized….

        Yeah, doubt I could get Posey. But I want him. V V is great, but his value never higher and he will be capped for sure, right? Innings.

        Predictions on Guasman? Is he break-out candidate as many pubs said?

        Finally, what I meant was, which stud prospect pitcher will be first call, Glasnow, Berrios, etc…peace, keep it up.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Greg: Ugh yeahhhhh I don’t think I woulda made that trade, even as a big Rodon fan :(

          I think VV could stay hot another 3-4 starts, so I def think his value could be even greater. Obviously depends on how quick your league is to react to numbers. But yes, his innings are likely capped.

          Mehhhh, never been too huge on gausman, the Orioles really jacked him up.

          Ah, I think Snell is probably the biggest name that’s closest. He seemed almost ready this year to start with the team, but is in AAA.

        • Bye Felica says:
          (link)

          @Greg: horrible trade, don’t worry I’ve been there, done that. Next time ask for an opinion before trading a top 10 stud

  25. Cram It says:
    (link)

    I’m really worried about Harvey, as a Mets fan. I’m not going to break down what I’m seeing because it’s only been 3 starts. But if I see the same thing with the same results next time I’m officially throwing up the red flag.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Cram It: He started that last start so strong though, issues pitching from the stretch I heard. Looked fine in the debut but I haven’t seen these last two. Def on the monitor board this week

  26. WillisReid says:
    (link)

    Tale of two starts for Rodon in the BB department. Do you see him cutting down the walks this year?

    Also do you like his match up vs LAA better than TEX this week?

    Thanks for all the work.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @WillisReid: Too late to say I HATE the LAA matchup?! Haha. I’m still bullish on him though, even with TEX a little scary

  27. Mike says:
    (link)

    Would you give up Joe Ross (14th) and Velasquez (18th)for David Price in a keeper league?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Mike: Whewwwwwwwwww. What is Price’s keeper value? If he’s basically unkeepable, I dunno if I would

      • Matt says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: He was drafted in the 3rd so I don’t think I would be considering him.

        Way my league works is we only keep 3 players from year to year and you lose the round they were drafted or undrafted pickups start at round 18… Ross is probably my strongest candidate, but there are other players out there, and I want to win this year.

        I’m trying to do more of a Ross/Shark situation. This is a bundle trade with Miggy/Familia/Ross/Shark on my side for Stanton/Castilla/Price on his, so it may even out a little…

        • Matt says:
          (link)

          @Matt: Thanks for the help… my total staff is Carassco (kept, unavailable next year), Rodon (8th), Shark (9th), Odorizzi (10th), Severino (14th), Ross (15th) Velasquez (18th)

          It’s a H2H league.

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
            (link)

            @Matt: Yeahhh, that’s two rocks of your future for a rental, and both Ross and Velasquez could be pretty good. Ohhhohohoh nvm, only 3 keepers. Yeah I’d take Price then. I dunno if any of those pitchers would crack 3 hitter keepers.

  28. Pouss-Pouss says:
    (link)

    Why do you hate Maeda?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Pouss-Pouss: Wow, “hate”?! I don’t think his stuff is very explosive, bad K numbers in Japan, and as I’ve said in all my writing/Pods when I mentioned him, I think he’ll start strong and really fade off

  29. Scooter G says:
    (link)

    I was surprised to see maeda so low as well. A few people in my league have been inquiring about trading for him. Which of the following players would you rather have than a story and maeda package in 10 team h2h obp redraft?

    A jones, C Gomez, b belt, C Dickerson, yelich, Eaton, D peralta

    Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Scooter G: So Story+Maeda? Def Jones, Uggghhhh Gomez is a little scary. Belt… Close. Yelich close too. Jones is the only one I feel great about

  30. noseeum says:
    (link)

    Do you think Homer Bailey and/or Alex Cobb would make your top 100 if/when they return?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @noseeum: Cobb definitely. I’ve never been a big fan of Bailey, bad park, bad team, off injury… I dunno if I’ll rank him until I see his first start or some glowing stuff in rehab

  31. malamoney

    malamoney says:
    (link)

    I think Manaea is up sooner than you think and is going to make a Somoan splash. He’s wheeling and dealing in AAA.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @malamoney: I’m all for a Somoan splash! You might be right I’ll look into it some more this week

  32. Chris says:
    (link)

    Hey JB!

    I just had to bitch at yeah I’ll read the article and comment in a minute. Great call on Rodon! 135.00 era and a 24.oo whip right now against the Angles! LOL LOL. I have him in two leagues I liked him too!!! Can only get better. I hope!!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Chris: Hah but you DIDN’T comment after 12 Ks and a 1.38 ERA in his first two starts?! I get it, I only get comments when people are mad… :(

      • Chris says:
        (link)

        O contrar my friend I did say thanks! ?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Chris: Haha sorry I couldn’t remember, the Rodon struggle was REAL last night!

  33. John says:
    (link)

    Hoping Rodon bounces back like Matz did. 1/3 of an inning, really??

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @John: Ugh yeah… No bueno. Trust me I felt it everywhere!

      • Chris says:
        (link)

        Oh well hopefully he comes back, with a vengence his next start,just glad they got him out. What do you think about Fiers for the rest of the year. I’ve seen him twice and seems too hittable. Got him for $4 so I wasn’t complaining. 53 seems just a touch generous right now. I hope he returns better than $4 value, I certainly thought he would and still think he will.

        Great write up by the way. I think someone stole him (Sanchez in our league. )

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Chris: Yeah I’m not completely panicking or anything. Fiers is such an enigma, seems hittable but can rack up Ks when on. I’m keeping the rank high due to K rates we’ve seen earlier and hope he can right the ship. Thank for reading!

    • Chris says:
      (link)

      Glad they had the sense to get him out there!

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Chris: Yeah for sure, it coulda been worse…

  34. Sherm says:
    (link)

    Hey, JB, Thanks for the knowledge drop on Sanchez. He was a sonuvabench for me on this game, partly because of the park. How risky do you think Fenway is going to be this year? They’ve got Bogaerts, Betts, and Ortiz is still gonna hit, and maybe Hanley too, but am I being overly cautious with the park factor?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Sherm: Well after control looked to be an issue in that Yanks game, def can’t blame sitting him vs BoSox. Ummm, it’s kinda a case by case basis, would depend a lot on who the pitcher is, it’s not a definite risk like Rogers Centre to me

      • Sherm says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Thanks, yeah, Toronto is a real risk.

  35. I picked up Kennedy last week to stream and am holding based on your rankings.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Elijah: I commend you good sir! I think he’s being really overlooked!

      • Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: not around here, magoo had the post on him, rudy drafted him to like all his teams, player rater loved him this year compared to ADP, i have him in probably half or more leagues.

        • @Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey: lol, i think i got him in one or two leagues. he seems to be on a couple of my teams a year (i know Tout Wars Mixed). burned me a bit last year b/c of the crazy HR/9 in Petco (the atrocious defense didn’t help but that was known going into season). So far so good this year.

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
            (link)

            @Elijah: @Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey: @Rudy Gamble: Overlooked = by everyone dumb enough to not be in Razzball Nation! I hear a lot of “meh” and “bleh” on other Podcasts/writeups on other sites. Why I even go to them, I don’t know!!!!!

  36. Chris says:
    (link)

    Who do you like JB (all opinions welcome)

    Corbin home against Pit or Robbie Ray for two starts Home against Pit and @ SF.

    14 team league, h2h 5×5. I’m already up 1 closer I have Krod and Street he has Osuna and I’m up 4 starts for the week.
    Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Chris: The control has been a little annoying, but I’ll take the 2 of Ray

  37. Rondo says:
    (link)

    I’m in a points league where Iwakuma and Severino were just dropped for Moore and Eickhoff. I have 1 open roster spot. The short version is we get points for innings pitched, K’s, Wins and get docked for BB, ER and Losses.

    Worth picking one up Iwakuma/Severino or just leave them there? If I should pick one up, based on my points setup who should I grab?

    Porcello, Niese, Latos, Morton, Greene, Tomlin are all on the wire too. Would you grab one of these guys instead to fill that open spot I have?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Rondo: I’d definitely nab Iwakuma. I’m not huge on him, but he should be owned and I’d love getting him for free! Severino gets docked in Pts leagues since I dunno how deep he’ll go into games a lot of the time…

  38. Scott says:
    (link)

    Tomorrow, SON likes Alex Wood @ atl better than Ervin Santana vs. Mil, but i don’t know. What do you think?

    • Scott says:
      (link)

      @Scott: ha, nevermind. Jimmy was on the wire and he has the twins next. Scoop!

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Scott: Scoop me! Yup def like Jimmy, he’s the only Brewers pitcher who looks any good

  39. Eric B says:
    (link)

    Whats going on JB? Im surprised you didnt move Nicasio down, he hasnt looked that hot since week 1 and I’m not sure he’s as good as I hoped he’d be. However I did indeed add Kennedy and I’ve been pleased thus far. I dumped Moore earlier in the season, he’s been pretty good and I see you’ve moved him up. Moore is owned now, so he’s not an option. I wa speculating on stashin Giolito before someone else does. Do you think he gets the call before June though? And how good can he be this season? I also have E Rod on the DL, so Nicasio would probably be my cut.

    • Eric B says:
      (link)

      @Eric B: P.s. what in the hell happened to Rodon tonight, is he injured, that line is gonna kill me in my match up this week smh.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Eric B: Whats up man?! Nah def disagree, he looked great against the Brewers, I watched the whole start. He had one bad inning, which was after about a 45 minute top of the inning where he was on base and the Pirates batted around. Kennedy is looking good for sure! Mehhhh, before June would be too aggressive, def holding Nicasio. Ughhhh, yeah I dunno about Rodon, I def wouldn’t speculate injury though, but did seem his fastball was a little slower and he couldn’t locate. Hopefully just a blip

        • Eric B says:
          (link)

          @JB Gilpin: Ok thanks for the insight. Maybe I need to reconsider Nicasio then, definitely trust you on arms. Take a look at my roster, if you wouldnt mind, I recently stashed Tre Turner, hoping he gets the call soon, smart move for this roster as constructed iyo or meh? Also Parra was dropped, would you add him over Nicasio or the Turner stash or hold tight? A few arms out there but none rated as high on your list as Nicasio…mainly Berrios, Giolito, Jimmy Nelson and Haap. So just curious if you see any moves to be made for Parra or any of those arms? Lastly will E-Rod make Nicasio expendable iyo if he returns and stays healthy?

          ESPN 12 team HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS and 4 keepers per season

          C J.T. Realmuto
          1B Cabrera
          2B Daniel Murphy
          3B Seager
          SS A. Russell
          OF Stanton
          OF Springer
          OF Polanco
          UTIL Burns
          UTIL Sano
          Bench 2B/SS Castro
          Bench 2B Trea Turner
          DL Pollock

          SP Salazar
          SP Corbin
          RP Kimbrel
          RP McGee
          P T. Walker
          P Odorizzi
          P C.Rodon
          P Nicasio
          Bench P Kennedy
          Bench RP Vizcaino
          Bench RP Tolleson
          DL SP E-Rod

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
            (link)

            @Eric B: Smart move! Just added him in a league myself. Oh man, Parra available?! deffff need to get him. Hah I’m sure I’ve asked this like 4 times, weekly lock or daily moves? Mannnnn, I’m at an absolute loss. I think you’ll have too many MI once Turner is up, so if that happens I would try to trade someone. I think you gotta lose Nicasio for Parrs, just too much upside to me for him to be avail

            • Eric B says:
              (link)

              @JB Gilpin: Ha, no worries, for your advice I’ll gladly respond to any questions no matter how many times you ask. We have daily moves, so I can indeed drop Nicasio for Parra and would still have E-Rod on the DL. I agree Turner gives me too many MI’s but my hope is that I can flip either Russell or Castro(If Turner is the real deal) for something useful.

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
                (link)

                @Eric B: Hah appreciate it! Yeah if weekly lock I woulda said you could lose closers, but yeah in daily they’re useful. Cool all sounds like a plan! If Turner hits a HR his first game, he might be the one to sell for a massive haul too haha

                • Eric B says:
                  (link)

                  @JB Gilpin: Ha, they’re all for sale, so yeah I’m with ya on that JB!

  40. Scott says:
    (link)

    That’s more like it, JoFer!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Scott: Not a big fan of the walks, but the rest looks dynamite!

  41. Ken says:
    (link)

    When do you see trea turner being called up? Tempted to use his roster spot for gausman

    • Regan says:
      (link)

      @Ken: Ralph says he’s up next week. Good enough for me. GiddyUp!

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Ken: @Regan: Yeah Ralph seems pretty bullish, I nabbed Turner in an RSL as well, I would make that swap

  42. Regan says:
    (link)

    Is this the Carlos Rodon support group?

    • Regan says:
      (link)

      @Regan: I only have him on half my teams so it could be worse. Young pitchers! Can’t all be Joe Boss Ross’s

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Regan: Haha it should be! I need some support myself! Nah I think he’s fine… And yeah, Ross as my other young SP lover is working out!

  43. Max says:
    (link)

    In a H2H Keeper leauge, just got a trade offer Maeda for Corbin, Zobrist and Jake McGee.
    Should I strike while the iron is hot on Maeda?
    Also got an offer Cain for Severino. I want to buy low on Severino with the lack of pitching depth but don’t really want to move Cain just yet. Thoughts.

    C Matt Wieters, Bal C
    1B Miguel Cabrera, Det 1B
    2B Brian Dozier, Min 2B
    3B Josh Donaldson, Tor 3B
    SS Trevor Story, Col SS
    OF J.D. Martinez, Det OF
    OF Lorenzo Cain, KC OF
    OF Nomar Mazara, Tex OF
    UTIL Miguel Sano, Min DH, OF

    RP Zach Britton, Bal RP
    RP Andrew Miller, NYY RP
    RP Drew Storen, Tor RP
    Bench Jacob deGrom, NYM SP
    Bench Chris Archer, TB SP
    Bench Jose Fernandez, Mia SP
    Bench Corey Seager, LAD SS
    Bench Steven Matz, NYM SP
    Bench Kyle Hendricks, ChC SP
    Bench Kenta Maeda, LAD SP
    Bench Jake Odorizzi, TB SP
    Bench Joe Ross, Wsh SP
    Bench Kevin Pillar, Tor OF
    Bench Aaron Nola, Phi SP
    Bench Bartolo Colon, NYM SP
    Bench Jorge Soler, ChC OF
    DL Charlie Blackmon*, Col OF
    DL Ben Revere*, Wsh OF
    DL Lance McCullers*, Hou SP
    DL Alex Cobb*, TB SP
    DL Hyun-Jin Ryu*, LAD SP
    DL Homer Bailey*, Cin SP

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Max: Oh definitely! I think Maeda really falls off in the second half as hitters see him more. I would take only Corbin! So love that deal.

      Yeah I would hold giving up Lorenzo for Severino though

      • Max says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:
        Thanks for the reply! I just got an offer for Story and Madea where I’d get Corbin, Zobrist, Jake McGee, A.J. Pollock, and either Adam Conley or Jerad Eickoff.
        It’s a really intriguing offer but not sure If i’m selling too early on Story.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Max: Any time! Do you have DL spots? It’s a nice buy low on Pollock thinking long term. Wow ignore the DL question, you have a ton! Is DL unlimited? Plus you have Seager… I kinda like that deal

          • Max says:
            (link)

            @JB Gilpin:
            I do have D.L spots open, in fact we have 6 spots believe it or not.
            I love Pollock and really wanted him in the draft as a buy low keeper.
            I hate to make a trade early especially with the reigning league champ but it does fill some holes I got on the roster. Gonna sound crazy but not sure if I couldn’t get more of an elite player in return for Maeda and Story.
            Was considering offering up a package including Maeda and Story to another team in the league to see if I could get Mad Bum. I’m over complicating this haha but I do like the initial deal overall.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
              (link)

              @Max: Oh sweet! Yeah I think those are two of my top sell-highs right now. Story has already really cooled off. I dunno, I still like getting Pollock with all that DL room if it’s still there I would take it!

  44. Regan says:
    (link)

    Can we please put Jeff Samardzija at 101 so i don’t have to see his stupid f*****k name? I hate this guy if it’s not already clear. He can join Archer and Rodon in my imaginary fantasy baseball doghouse. SIT BOY SIT! BAD DOOGIE!!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Regan: He’s throwing 96 and doesn’t look bad, what’s the hate for?!?!

  45. Regan says:
    (link)

    I’m consoling myself with a six pack of Rainer tall boys and copious amounts of Seattle’s finest sticky icky. It’s gonna be ok! There’s more games tomorrow. One man support group out.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Regan: Hah sorry my grandpa ass didn’t stay up to drink with ya!

  46. thorbs says:
    (link)

    With one more iffy start, would it be time for alarm bells to ring on King Felix? His starts all seem to involve him tip-toeing out of danger in the 3rd or 4th inning, but always being one bloop single from a 4ER, 4BB, 5K sort of statline.

    • Regan says:
      (link)

      Hey [email protected]thorbs: Grey told you not to draft him. I think JB had him ranked pretty low too. FB at 89. Yah.. be worried. And this is from a lifelong Ms fan. Fastball vel dropped more this year than last 5 combined. Hate to say it but my boys arm is bout to fall off. Still got the curve and and change but were on the cliff here. DANGER AHEAD. Trade em.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @thorbs: @Regan: I dunno about alarm bells, but def in the concern range. His other stuff is so good though, that he could be OK even without a great fastball. Still wanna give hima good 4-5 more starts before declaring his FB utterly dead

      • jal179 says:
        (link)

        @Regan:

        He looks WAY off agree. Physically, it look like he’s lost a bunch weight in his core (aka the gut) and can no longer overpower hitters.

        Deal him high because his fastball will get rocked and he knows it… just watch the BB skyrocket

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Regan: @jal179: Hmmm interesting. I’ve only seen a few innings in Spring, haven’t watched a start yet this year. Sounds like I need to watch his next one!

  47. Manley Ramirez says:
    (link)

    Awesome write up. Generally like your rankings too, but glad I didn’t buy in on the Rodon kool-aid you be selling.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Manley Ramirez: Thanks man! And yes, but 2 good starts and one bad one, I don’t think we can declare kool-aid sold or unsold until like August haha

  48. Fister Furbush says:
    (link)

    Is Chris Sale your front runner for winning(Charlie Sheen) the Cy Young?

    You can call me crazy, but I believe he can throw 300 strikeouts this season.
    It’s not many more than his 274 k’s last year in 208 innings.
    I may be butchering his stat line last year, but you know what I’m saying.
    Thanks JB, as always

  49. Swfcdan says:
    (link)

    Richards guy here, yeah nice K/BB start so far and he’s trusting the new changeup which is promising, agree the fastball does get hit around a bit which is pretty crazy as it’s 95+mph- guess it shows location and movement are key!

    Any worries about Bumgarner? I traded for him a week ago in my dynasty, but he’s looked pretty hittable so far (2 HRs to Kike?? C’mon!), and velocity seems a bit down. Know he’s usually a slow starter, think it’s just that or is the foot neuroma causing him issues? Still couldn’t pass up a 26 yr old ace right in his prime, sure he’ll be back to form soon.

    Oh and think Rodon will be dropping in your ranks again after that catastrophe haha.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Swfcdan: What’s up man?! Yup Richards got a nice little bump, pretty good his last 2 starts! Haha Kike hits lefties well, and nah, he kinda started slow-ish last yr and was fine. I think he’ll be solid.

      Nah, I mean unless his next start over the weekend is another catastrophe, I try to not let 1-2 bad starts from a guy I like in April swing my ROS outlook :)

      And how about that Leicester/West Ham game, CRAZY!

      • Swfcdan says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:
        Hey I’m good man, good you’re optimistic about Bum, didn’t wanna find I’ve just dealt for damaged goods here! He has often started slow in the past yeah, I have heard some talk that the neuroma is on his push off foot so could affect velocity but hopefully it will clear up soon. Read a nice piece on fangraphs last week about early velocity drops due to the cold, conclusion was almost a 1mph drop is expected, so something to bear in mind if you see pitchers velo down more than that in the early going- Felix comes to mind! (luckily I don’t own him, ha)

        Oh god yeah, what a crazy game. I didn’t think any of those given should’ve been penalties! You can see how tough it is for refs (umps) over here eh, with all the ‘diving’ that goes on nowadays with players looking for fouls, who can say whether a player fell over or is actually fouled…football’s becoming corrupt here! Ha… Vardy getting sent off and suspended could have an effect on the championship race yet still!

      • Swfcdan says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Oh and what about doing a piece on Conley for next week? He looked really good last start I saw, think he’s going today too. Big lefty fastball and solid changeup- even looks a bit like Sale with that wind-up! Grabbed him in my 16 team dynasty and I’m thinking there’s definately something there with this guy.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Swfcdan: Nah he’ll be OK, MadBum always is :) I think it was just one minor blip and people searching for answers but I think it will be fine. Yeah Felix is scary indeed! A lot of pitchers have lower velo to start…

          Well the thing was, that first penalty was iffy, but when Huth got dragged down, it was just as bad. So the last one seemed like a make-up call.

          Yeah Vardy a red was INSANE! Right call tho.

          Wow, def love him in a 16 dynasty! I ranked him as a decent sleeper, I still wanna see year-long sustained velo tho, fell off at the end of last yr

  50. G says:
    (link)

    Hey JB. I’m in a league that counts K/9 instead of Ks. Considering that, would your rankings be the same for the following pitchers of mine: stroman, joe Ross, Nola, kennedy, Corbin.

    I am looking to make a trade for a closer from a team and considering packaging one of these above pitchers with Pujols for Familia and Belt. So my second question is which of the above pitcher would you insert into this trade? Just so you know I have Noah, Lester, and Rodon in addition to the above guys. Thanks JB.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @G: Is there any innings or starts limits? If so, yeah Stroman and Nola probably go down a little. But barely. Kennedy maybe up a tad.

      I’d start low and go higher so i would start with Nola. Any time!

  51. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Hey JB – what do you think of Santiago for the season? I haven’t owned him at all, but I’ve streamed every start of his and have been really happy with it (esp since my league tracks W and QS, and he’s a QS machine). I’ve been holding T-Ross on my bench since the injury (Darvish has the DL) – wondering if it’s time to drop him for streamers and hold Santiago instead…

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Ummm, he started OK last year and really tailed off, def think he’s fine as a streamer for now. I’d still hold Ross and Darvish over him long term…

  52. Steve says:
    (link)

    Would you hold Glasnow over Pomerantz? I’m already holding Manaea.

    Thanks JB

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Steve: How deep is the league? I need to look more into Manaea, I thought he wuld be mid-summer at earliest, but buzz seems to make it sound like he’s closer. Tough to hold 2 prospects in a shallower league though… I would try holding Glasnow

      • Steve says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: 14-team h2h keeper. Very competitive.

        Manaea looks like a Samoan Randy Johnson! Check him out, would live to hear your thoughts.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Steve: Sounds like I might have to do a Manaea pitcher profile next! From a AAA start!!! I’ll def try and catch his next outing, looks like ever since he got to the A’s he’s taken off. I thought he was younger than 24 as well…

  53. BJO says:
    (link)

    I can trade Darvish and Corey Seager for Joe Ross and A.J. Reed. I have Trevor Story so I’m set at SS. I think AJ Reed is going to be a monster when he gets called up in June (or sooner). Worried that Seager might struggle this year, needs work against southpaws. Darvish is probably going to be awesome when he returns but Ross looks great, only concern is an innings limit, probably around 180. I’m torn – come fantasy playoff time Ross may be done meanwhile the Rangers are planning to hold back Darvish early so he’s good to go the rest of the season.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @BJO: Man, that’s close. So it’s H2H league, keeper league or redraft? I love Ross, but in H2H I think you’re right – Darvish will be pitching and Ross might not. And I think Seager still has promise. I’m likely holding there

      • BJO says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Thanks JB. It’s redraft – I’ll probably hold off for now. Plus as much as I like Ross, he’s only faced Miami and Philly so far (although a lot of his games will be against putrid NL East teams), so I would be trading at his peak value right now. Maybe if I can get him to throw in Snell as well I’ll do it.

        I read somewhere that AJ Reed has Goldschmidt type potential and he’s definitely getting the call by June so I want really want to get him (I stupidly dropped him last week before he blew up, didn’t think anyone else was tracking him).

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @BJO: Cool, yeah in redraft I think you hold, keeper I prob would too though. I do think Ross is this legit though, so if it maintains through like July, he’ll have some great value then too. Well if Tyler White keeps playing this well, it could delay Reed a little…

  54. Pumped in the 6ix says:
    (link)

    10-tm H2H keeper (keep 12)
    Been weak on pitching so I’m punting RP’s and picking up a could extra SP’s, looking for the best chance down the stretch.

    This is my Pitching situation:
    SP – Sale
    SP – MadBum
    SP – Carrasco
    RP – B. Finnegan (SP)
    RP – empty
    P – Salazar
    P – Arrieta
    BN – Aaron Nola
    BN – M. Leake,
    BN – J. Eichkhoff
    BN – Rich Hill

    These guys are on the wire (you see anybody worth swapping out?):
    J. Nelson, A. Colome, A. Cobb (stash), R. Stripling, Erasmo Ramirez, P Hughes, C. TillmanH. Santiago, J.A. Happ, M. Latos

    thanks in advance

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Pumped in the 6ix: I would swap out Nelson for Mike Leake. I’ve never been a big Leake guy, and he’s started slow. Nelson looks strong, I watch virtually every Brewers game and he looks better than last year

  55. jal179 says:
    (link)

    A healthy ERod would fall where in the top 100?

    He’s like a young, brown Cliff Lee.

    Love the ERod other than the park, division, and lack of a track record… so maybe not top 100? lol

    • jal179 says:
      (link)

      @jal179:

      nvm… 84. Hoping he ends up higher.

      Fiers just dropped in a deep h2h redraft 10 teamer… prefer him over Eickhoff?

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @jal179: Yeah he’ll creep up a few when he’s on the mound, I had him top-50 pre-injury. There was talk he was adding a cutter, and when a lefty can throw 97 then have a cutter, it’s mad interesting.

        Eesh. I know I have em ranked that way, but sounds like I need to readress, I think I would rather eickhoff short and long term haha

  56. DzChronic says:
    (link)

    JB,

    A few quick questions on possible innings limits. I drafted Iglesias as a part of my core rotation. I see he only pitched ~130 innings last year. Does that mean they may limit him towards the end of the year?

    Same question for Nicasio who I took a late as a possible sleeper. He only pitched 60 innings last year.

    Thanks as always!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @DzChronic: Ummm, possibly, but not by too much, I think it would be more about the Reds being a bad team than Iglesias caution – remember he’s older and had pitched pro in Cuba. Nicasio, since he’s older and has started before (and on a playoff team) I don’t think so…

      Any ime!

  57. los locos says:
    (link)

    JB

    How are feeling about Pomeranz, he’s a strikeout machine in a great ballpark. However, I do own Nisasio. I have Berrios on my bench and if I drop him he will be picked up, this league holds minor league guys.

    Our league is K/9, WHIP, ERA, SV & QS.

    My staff is solid
    Kershaw
    Strausburg
    Salazar
    Hammels
    Odorizzi

    Betances
    Kimbrel

    Bench
    Berrios
    Nicasio
    Pineda

    DL – E-Rod

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @los locos: Yes he’s started hot, but I dunno if we can call him a strikeout machine just yet still in mid-April. Also Petco is a lot more neutral now. Yeah I’m not seeing a clear move to get him, I could see losing Odorizzi who I’m iffy on and a terrible start today or losing Berrios, but both are short-term moves for me, long term I like your guys more

      • los locos says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Its a keeper league. So Berrios could get me some trade value in the off season or during the season… Yeah saw Odorizzi start but Price played worse.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @los locos: Hah yeah at the time Price has only given up 1. Yeesh. Yeah keeper league, as long as you keep a good chunk, you prob gotta hold Berrios

  58. Charles says:
    (link)

    JB
    Wondering your thoughts on Severino after yesterday’s start? In a 12 team 5×5 roto league with 2000 max innings limit. My closers are KRod, Jeanmar G, and Jepsen. I have Gausman coming off DL Monday and ERod coming soon after. My SP are Harvey, KZar, JRoss, Rodon, Kennedy, Ventura, R Ray, Hill and Severino. Trying to trade SP for a closer sense all closers in shaky situations. One team has offered AVizcaino for Severino? Thanks in advance!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Charles: Definitely a step up. Wow, 2000?! Definitely makes starters still valuable. Issue with Vizcaino is that team man! It’s sooooo bad! And I kinda like Severino’s upside. i would counter with Ray

  59. Charles says:
    (link)

    Ok will do…Ray out of the gate seems to be getting more swing and misses and Severino seems to be getting squared up a bit compared to last year. Ray to me still needs to cut down on the walks like you’ve explained. Hopefully the k’s will come with Severino when the weather warms up. Thanks again!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Charles: Yeah don’t get me wrong, I like Ray a lot. He just loses the zone at times. He’s sadly my #2 starter in our ridiculous 30-teamer (where you manage a roster of mostly from a parent team, and the Brewers blow at SP haha). And Severino has always had great control and a nice rebound that last outing, even it wasn’t phenomenal. Any time!

  60. Charles says:
    (link)

    With Snell getting getting the call tomorrow would you take a flyer on Snell over Ray, Hill or Severino? Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Charles: Whewwwww. Thing is, it’s very possible it’s just a “get your feet wet” spot start. Vs. Ray is soooooooooooo close. I honestly can’t decide… coin flip me!

  61. Charles says:
    (link)

    Researching he’s kind of same caliber pitcher…meaning good k rate but also a walk rate around 4. Think I’ll stay put with an established NL pitcher instead of a flyer AL East kid on a limit.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Charles: Sounds like a plan. I do really like Snell, but yeah, I question if this is a set-him-in-the-rotation-for-sure kinda callup

  62. Primetime says:
    (link)

    JB, great stuff!

    Gausman comes back next week where is he likely gonna place? Thinking of dropping nisciasco for him. Thoughts ?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Primetime: Thanks man! I just did my re-ranks and still didn’t move him much. I’m still worried the O’s messed with him too much. I’d prob hold Nicasio, but they’re not too far apart

  63. January says:
    (link)

    In a 10 man 5×5 league

    I have a ton of pitching . Which sp is the most droppable?
    Odorizzi, hammel, Nicasio, Liriano, Nola, matz, Felix, t walker, shields, Chen, sale, Garcia

    A lot of people stream and I end up losing wins and Ks (depending on opponent )

    I’m debating trying to keep one slot to stream

    thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @January: Man, that is a ton of pitching! I’d probably say Nola, but he and Odorizzi/Chen/Shields are all in the same range for me. I know people like Shields but I’m pretty low on him

Comments are closed.