Oh man, what a week of pitching!  Filled with intrigue, romance and murder!  Eh, a little carried away there, although poor Jarrod Parker might indeed have his MLB life cut short.  Get well soon, J-Park!

Then yesterday afternoon Michael Pineda swiss-cheesed the Orioles bats in a near-historic K-fest.  He hasn’t ever had shoulder issues, let him throw 150!  Johan Santana is like, “…not the best idea…”

Also this weekend, we finally got to see Carlos Rodon start a game, his first in his MLB career Saturday night hosting the Reds.  I bet he got all confused facing the Reds since he pitched for NC State and all…  North Carolina bias!  I didn’t see him pitch at all through Spring and only a highlight or two in his bullpen stints, so I was excited to break down his debut and see what he can bring to fantasy owners in 2015.  Here’s how he looked:

First Inning: Rodon’s first pitch as an MLB starter is a 93 MPH down and inside to Billy Hamilton, 1-0.  Fastball at 94 is low, good velocity and sink with the heater, then 94 again is low and inside.  I thought Rodon was an inch or two taller, seems shorter than I remember…  Not much to take out of that, but impressive to see the velo.  94 clips the inside corner, 94 again barely hits the high and inside corner, full count.  Then 96 (!!) is a little low and way outside for a leadoff walk to probably the worst guy in the MLB to walk.  Rodon just overthrew that one.  But he’s right back at 96 MPH and it’s in there for strike one on Marlon Byrd.  Rodon’s first off-speed is a slider in there 0-2, then whoa – a perfect 0-2 slider backdoors the outside corner but he doesn’t get the call, 1-2:

Rondon-Slider-1

Then Rodon is low and in the dirt with Hamilton stealing, and the wild pitch moves Hamilton to 3rd.  They actually call it a passed ball; either way Rodon got hosed on that bad 0-2 call.  Slider outside is tipped back foul, 95 on the outside corner fouled back, 96 is way low and outside, all the way to 3-2.  Then a slider at 89 MPH was maybe an inch or two lower than that first GIF yet still looked like it was in the zone – but it’s called ball four.  Rough zone tonight – runners on first and third.  Up is Joey Votto who takes a slider outside, and out comes catcher Geovany Soto for a chat.  And man, it was animated too, Soto was pretty dramatic with his gestures.  And on cue a 94 MPH fastball is in there, 96 MPH is low, 18 pitches now with no outs.  Yikes.  2-1 is a fastball low and in fouled off, then a 90 MPH slider sweeps across the zone and ends up in the dirt and outside and Votto still swings through it for his first K as a starter:

Rondon-Slider-2

Nasty stuff there, that slider comes as advertised.  Todd Frazier fouls back a fastball, then the 0-1 slider is popped up in the infield, and Byrd was attempting to steal and is doubled up at first.  A little bit of a lucky break – Byrd I think slid into second before realizing it was an infield pop – but then again Rodon should’ve had the K there on the bad call.  The high pitch count and walks hurt, but not a bad start.

Second Inning: Rodon opens the 2nd with a 91 MPH fastball fouled back – velo seemed slower maybe that was a cutter – then an 84 MPH slider in the same spot gets Brandon Phillips to pop out for an easy, lazy out to right, one down.  Fastball in there to Devin Mesoraco who is DHing, slider in, awesome slider bending from well off the plate and into the zone is strike two, slider again bends barely low – of course Hawk thought it was a strike but it was low – then 95 MPH on the hands is grounded weakly to first for two quick outs.  Fastball low to Brennan Boesch, fastball again tipped foul, slider fouled back and breaks his bat, 1-2 with the new bat, then that monster slider at 90 MPH that looked very similar to that GIF to Votto gets Boesch swinging and Rodon a quick inning.

Third Inning: Rodon picks up a couple runs of support and starts opposing catcher Tucker Barnhart with a fastball on the outside edge fouled off, fastball again outside, 93 paints the inside corner 1-2, heater again really missed the spot outside 2-2, but there’s no answer for the slider and it gets Barnhart swinging.  Ya know, I wish Rodon could locate that putaway fastball like he wants to – all Ks on the slider.  Zack Cozart takes a slider low, then a fastball on the fists barely bloops over second baseman Emilio Bonifacio and the Reds have their first hit.  Lucky one for sure there.  Hamilton takes ball one, 94 MPH fastball is in there, 92 is just outside – close call there K zone had it a strike – 94 on the outside corner is fouled back, then an 88 MPH slider again eats up another hitter on the hands and it floats over Bonifacio in almost the same exact bloop-hit trajectory for another single.  Man, unlucky hits there…  Slider way low to Byrd, 95 is in there, then 94 MPH somehow goes through the legs of Byrd, 2-1.  Actually went behind his legs and Soto still caught it, great save by the catcher there.  Slider goes low and in, Byrd swings at a 96 MPH heater high that was ball four and is late, but Rodon goes back to the slider and it’s low for another walk.  Afraid to trust that fastball in the zone on payoff pitches…  Votto takes 96 outside, 95 is inside, and with Rodon down 2-0, Soto comes out to chat for a second time.  95 gets a check swing foul, then a sexy, sinking 96 MPH fastball gets a swing-and-miss, 2-2:

Rondon-Fastball-1

Look at that dandy.  Even Soto motioned at the quality of that one.  But then 96 MPH that was supposed to be low and in is high and outside, and Votto inside-outs it for a 2 RBI single.  Well, the two lucky bloop singles hurt, but that one was laced.  Strike in there to Frazier, 94 again paints the inside corner, then that devastating slider that barely missed Frazier’s shoetops is swung over and missed for a huge K.  4 strikeouts now, and with 2 outs Phillips is first-pitch swinging at a slider in the zone and it gets an easy groundout.

Fourth Inning: Rodon opens the 4th with a slider in there, then bends a second one in the zone to get ahead of Mesoraco 0-2, slider dives into the dirt, then Rodon gets a big putaway strikeout with his fastball at 95 MPH high and on the outside edge for his 5th K.  Awesome to see the fastball get the K.  Boesch fouls the first one off, fastball on the hands dribbled first base side foul, then his 66th pitch is the killer slider sweeping off the plate for a swinging 6th K.  Barnhart takes a fastball outside, 93 off the outside edge is slashed foul, Rodon stays out there with 95 for a taken strike, slider is outside, 96 is defensively slashed away, 96 high and tight almost hits him, then fastball again at 95 MPH perfectly on the low outside corner is hit weakly to second for an easy groundout ending an easy inning.

Fifth Inning: Picking up another run of support and now up 3-2, Rodon starts Cozart with a 90 MPH pitch outside – maybe that cutter again – then 91 MPH gets strike one that certainly looks like a cutter. Fangraphs doesn’t list him having that pitch, but with the lower velo it seems like it’s additional fastball variant.  Good to see something else with the fastball/slider combo.  Seemingly cutter again at 92 catches the outside corner, four-seamer at 95 is low, slider bends low, then 93 on the outside corner is crushed to center, but Adam Eaton catches it on the run right on the edge of the track.  Man, I’m still scared that hitters sitting 3-2 fastball are going to get pitches to hit – first hard hit out tonight.  Fastball in there to Hamilton, slider low, fastball popped foul, 96 is just outside, 2-2 fastball fouled off, the 95 high and tight jams Hamilton and it’s a relatively easy play for Alexei Ramirez, two outs.  Great first-pitch slider to Byrd is strike one taken, fastball is just low, slider fouled back, then 97 is just a millimeter inside, 2-2.  Highest velocity of the night right there.  97 again is off the plate but slashed foul, then holy F!  98 MPH on the outside black is swung through and missed:

Rondon-Fastball-2

Perfect location as it was likely a strike anyway, and a great way to end another clean inning.

Sixth Inning: At 91 pitches, Rodon gets a slider in there to Votto 0-1, misses low, fastball is high and a bit outside, then a 94 MPH fastball is dumped to left center for a hit, Melky Cabrera got to the ball perfectly and guns Votto out trying to leg it into a double.  Surprised Votto went for it there.  Frazier takes strike one, fouls a 95 MPH heater on the outside edge off, maybe a hanging cutter high is fouled back, then 99 – yes 99 MPH (!!!!) is high in the zone and fouled back, and follows it up with an 89 MPH slider burying into the zone for his 8th K on his 100th pitch.  Nasty.  97 on the outside edge is slashed foul by Phillips, 97 again is inside – and geez look at this velo right now!  95 just blows him away upstairs 1-2, 98 is low and inside, slider low and outside, then slider again is low for Rodon’s 4th walk.  Again – that reluctance to throw 3-2 fastballs.  And with fastballs like 97 to Mesoraco on the first pitch who swings through it for strike one, I don’t see why.  Then 96 on the hands gets a lazy flyball to left, and that’ll end Rodon’s Major League debut with 6 strong innings and winds up with a W.

Final Line:  W  6.0 IP  109 Pitches (67 Strikes)  2 ER  4 Hits  4 Walk  8 K  Gamescore: 60  Gamescore+: 65.4

Final Analysis: Man, I knew Rodon threw gas and I knew his slider was legit, but topping out at 99 MPH and getting swings-and-misses like that?!  Awesome stuff.  Very glad to see him Gamescore+ come out well ahead of his Gamescore – strikeouts aplenty and two of the four hits were really unlucky bloopers that both scored.  Easily could’ve been a scoreless debut as he also battled a tight zone.

It all starts with the power fastball, which averaged 94.4 MPH this start.  Even that figure seems misleading since he seemed to throw a few cutters at 90-92 like how he opened the 5th.  Fangraphs doesn’t list him having a cutter, but maybe those get filtered out as the season presses on.  Rodon was routinely over 95, and I love seeing pitchers ramp up the velo through a start – just look at those readings in the 6th: 99, 97, 97, 98, 97, etc.  Then the bread-and-butter: a wipeout slider that can bend into the zone or sweep across it several feet and bury into the dirt.  It was slashing every which way and never hung – Rodon could still use a smidge more command with it, but that’s my only complaint.  Well above average as they are, Rodon is basically a two-pitch pitcher which scares me a bit.  He is developing a change-up with Don Cooper according to the White Sox broadcast, but it’s not ready quite yet.  We saw the issues of only two pitches in this start – hitters would sit 3-2 on fastballs and be able to make a better swing decision (lay off the slider for a walk or hack at the heater).  If Rodon even had an average change-up, he’d vault up a good bit higher.

I have a very easy comp – he’s a left-handed Chris Archer.  Dominant fastball, dominant slider, but if the command wanes at all it could be a tough night.  That was my concern with Archer when I broke him down two weeks ago, and whaddya know, he struggled with the slider and his command this past week for a couple of bad starts.  I’m not overly concerned with Archer, but I think Rodon is nearly what Archer is right now.  They’re still a little bit apart in my ranks since this is a rookie, this is his first start, and Archer does have a change-up he can sparingly sprinkle in, but Rodon is indeed in the must-own class and I’m excited to see how he holds up rest of season.

Razzball Baseball

JB’s Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings based on 12-team Roto, green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, Team
1 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
2 Felix Hernandez, SEA
3 Max Scherzer, WAS
4 Chris Sale, CWS
5 Corey Kluber, CLE
6 David Price, DET
7 Madison Bumgarner, SF
8 Matt Harvey, NYM
9 Johnny Cueto, CIN
10 Zack Greinke, LAD
11 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
12 Jake Arrieta, CHC
13 Cole Hamels, PHI
14 Gerrit Cole, PIT
15 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
16 Garrett Richards, LAA
17 Sonny Gray, OAK
18 Michael Pineda, NYY
19 Jeff Samardzija, CWS
20 Jacob deGrom, NYM
21 James Shields, SD
22 Michael Wacha, STL
23 Collin McHugh, HOU
24 Jon Lester, CHC
25 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
26 Tyson Ross, SD
27 Chris Archer, TB
28 Jordan Zimmermann, WAS
29 Scott Kazmir, OAK
30 Yordano Ventura, KC
31 Danny Salazar, CLE
32 Francisco Liriano, PIT
33 James Paxton, SEA
34 Andrew Cashner, SD
35 Julio Teheran, ATL
36 Alex Wood, ATL
37 Lance Lynn, STL
38 Phil Hughes, MIN
39 Carlos Martinez, STL
40 Trevor Bauer, CLE
41 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
42 Jesse Chavez, OAK
43 Jake Odorizzi, TB
44 Carlos Rodon, CWS
45 Anibal Sanchez, DET
46 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
47 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
48 Jason Hammel, CHC
49 J.A. Happ, SEA
50 A.J. Burnett, PIT
51 Mike Fiers, MIL
52 Jose Quintana, CWS
53 Mat Latos, MIA
54 Ian Kennedy, SD
55 Rubby De La Rosa, ARI
56 Jose Fernandez, MIA
57 Mike Leake, CIN
58 Archie Bradley, ARI
59 Danny Duffy, KC
60 Chase Anderson, ARI
61 Matt Shoemaker, LAA
62 Shelby Miller, ATL
63 Noah Syndergaard, NYM
64 Doug Fister, WAS
65 John Lackey, STL
66 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
67 Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA
68 Shane Greene, DET
69 Drew Hutchison, TOR
70 Taijuan Walker, SEA
71 Anthony DeSclafani, CIN
72 Hyun-Jin Ryu, LAD
73 Edinson Volquez, KC
74 Aaron Harang, PHI
75 Bartolo Colon, NYM
76 Drew Pomeranz, OAK
77 Rick Porcello, BOS
78 Jered Weaver, LAA
79 Jesse Hahn, OAK
80 Aaron Sanchez, TOR
81 Miguel Gonzalez, BAL
82 Tim Hudson, SF
83 R.A. Dickey, TOR
84 Chris Heston, SF
85 Jon Niese, NYM
86 Alex Colome, TB
87 Nathan Eovaldi, NYY
88 Wily Peralta, MIL
89 Jake Peavy, SF
90 Chris Tillman, BAL
91 Kevin Gausman, BAL
92 Clay Buchholz, BOS
93 Alfredo Simon, DET
94 Wei-Yin Chen, BAL
95 Tim Lincecum, SF
96 Kyle Lohse, MIL
97 Ubaldo Jimenez, BAL
98 Travis Wood, CHC
99 CC Sabathia, NYY
100 Brandon Morrow, SD

Dropped Out: Alex Cobb, TB (Tommy John – same comment with Homer Bailey last week, they couldn’t figure this out sooner?!), Drew Smyly, TB (likely a torn labrum, ugh), Mike Minor, ATL (I guess we may never get a positive update on that shoulder…)

  • Both Sonny Gray and Pineda had monster weeks.  Gray took me a while to warm up to, but I’ve had Pineda higher than most since February.  Love me some Big Mikes!
  • Velocity still isn’t coming up for Jordan Zimmermann.  Officially scared.
  • Alex Wood‘s average against was .239 last year and is an obscene .314 this year.  BABIP is not unexpectedly (double negative police!) high at .378, but he’s survived an absolute beating since he hasn’t given up many homers.  Scared here too.
  • Jarrod Parker suffering yet another catastrophic elbow injury gives the A’s less depth and more hope Jesse Chavez sticks in the rotation ROS.  He’s probably an own-and-don’t stream in all leagues at this point for me, even though he hasn’t been dominant.
  • I’m starting to get a gut feeling Rubby De La Rosa is about to go on a monster run.  The fastball velo is great, the change-up is fantastic, 38:10 K:BB so far in 37 innings, and the velo was the highest so far this year his last start…  Crossing my fingers as I’ve added him in a lot of leagues.
  • With each passing week, there’s less of a % of the season Jose Fernandez is missing…
  • Even off the nice game last night, Shane Greene is indeed looking more and more like Rick Porcello.  When he’s on, it’s a solid game with low Ks, when he’s off he’s crushed.  Better park and maybe a glimmer of upside that he finds the Ks again down the road keeps him higher than Slick Rick (who I know has looked better, but yeah…).
  • I’m still pretty anti-Shelby Miller as a lot of peripherals indicate some big luck has gone his way.  That said, he does look better than last year, so there’s that.
  • Pumped to see Noah Syndergaard‘s MLB debut tomorrow night.  Expecting some big things.
  • Kevin Gausman is finally going to be a full-time starter!  Yay!  But he’s off shoulder tendinitis…  Boo…  So can’t move him up just yet.
  • My biggest fear with Alex Colome was he wouldn’t stick when everyone was healthy, but you can throw that out the window.  I’m still not huge on him, but he’s likely a starter ROS now.
  • I want to rank Dan Haren, but he’s had one of the easiest schedules so far (TB, @ATL, @PHI, WAS, PHI, @SF).  Couldn’t do it.

Are you feeling Rodonkulous?!  I wanted to use that in my title but Grey used it in one of his posts already!  And as always, let me know your thoughts on the ranks.  Happy pitching Razzball Nation!

  1. Disco says:
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    No love for Nate Karns?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Disco: Nah, I’m just not quite there yet. My list of about 10 out has him on it with like Haren, Nick Martinez, etc. BABIP is sub-.200 and a few too many walks so far

  2. Banana says:
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    He makes throwing 98 look so easy

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Banana: Yeah his delivery is very smooth. Was a very fun start to watch, especially right at the end of the 5th and through the 6th hitting 97-99

  3. Jvanslyke says:
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    Three of your favs going tomorrow JB, Paxton/Carrasco and Arrietta. Are you Ok starting Paxton and Carrasco? I’m leaning towards rolling out all three

    Great call on Richard earlier this year. If his controls a tad better yesterday he may have put up a Pineada afternoon

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Jvanslyke: Yup I like all 3, I’d start them with no hesitation.

      Appreciate it man! Seemed like he might start a tad rusty by the arm strength was there – pumped for his upside ROS

  4. Ron says:
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    Would you trade Ortiz and Bryant for Sherzer and Cueto?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Ron: If I needed pitching I certainly would, I’d probably do that in most cases

      • Ron says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Ok so now comes the harder part. Which tandem do you prefer ROS?

        A: Kershaw and Kluber
        B: Sherzer and Cueto

        Thanks!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Ron: Still A by a pretty decent margain. Not that I don’t like B, but I think both Cys from last year turn it around

  5. randalf04 says:
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    Thoughts on Jimmy Nelson ROS?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @randalf04: Loved the Ks last time out, really only one terrible start. Will battle some inconsistencies, but end up with the Ks being ranked fairly well

  6. brian says:
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    j a haap is a little high

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @brian: Well I liked him a lot coming into the year, and he’s proved solid with good Ks. What’s not to like?

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @JB Gilpin: What’s the opposite of “name value”? ;-) You guys need a Glossary Term for under-owned players with no “red flags” other than their name. It took me weeks to pick up Happ and now that he’s on my team, I love him (as long as I don’t remind myself that JA Happ is on my team).

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Maybe like “player name roofie” As in, “I love my stats today, but I had to roofie myself when I read who my players were!”

          • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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            @JB Gilpin: haha I like it, kind of like a reverse Memento.

              • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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                @JB Gilpin: haha yes!

              • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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                @JB Gilpin: Or maybe like a Voldemort-style thing… “He-who-shall-not-be-named – 7IP, 1 ER, 6 baserunners, 6Ks”

                • JB Gilpin

                  JB Gilpin says:
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                  @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Haha, well I doubt that would fit on his jersey! He’ll just have to play for the Yankees…

  7. scott steelers says:
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    yessss!! Only reason I like Mondays is this article. So I have a trade opportunity. First of all I actually heard Zimmermann velocity was back yesterday. True? This is my OF situation.
    OF: Betts, Gardner, Reddick
    Util: Pollock
    Bn: A Guerrero
    DL: Puig, Pence, Rios
    Rotation is Scherzer, Salazar, Shelby, Carrasco, Samardzija, Rodon, Zimmerman, Hammel. (I took the deal that was Rodon, Samardzija, Gardner, d’Arnaud for Mccutch)
    My question is should I trade Zimmermann + either Pollock or Reddick for G Richards? I’m gonna end up having to drop a few people to make room for my guys coming back. Wanna try and get something outa them

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @scott steelers: Sweet, thanks man! Ack, yeah Zimmermann’s pitch value isn’t in fangraphs yet, the one earlier int he week wasn’t up though. So I’m not sure, I didn’t see it.

      Hmmm, yeah if it’s gonna be that deal or flat out dropping say Reddick, I’d do the Reddick one and grab Richards

    • NickfromtheRoc says:
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      @scott steelers: that’s one hell of a trade….. let me know if you ever have openings in your league.

  8. Bad At FBB says:
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    Would you drop Iwakuma for Rodon? H2H pts league.. Thx

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Bad At FBB: Man that’s a toughie, bc in those I like to stream so much and Rodon when not a starter might be hard to rely on. But yeah I think I am. Any time!

  9. slimbo says:
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    Which side in a 1 year

    Grandal lind and Carlos martinez
    or
    Salazar

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @slimbo: Deeper league, definitely Lind side. Really really shallow, I think Salazar is the best pitcher and best player in the deal. Most cases would take the 3, he’s not a huge upgrade

      • slimbo says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        It’s a 8 teamer. Don’t really wanna just drop lind or grandal but I need to activate yelich and syndergard so I’m trying to free up some room :)

        Thx

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @slimbo: Ugh yeah that’s a toughie… I think 8 team is extreme enough to do that if you could

  10. Blake says:
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    rodon will not get a start this week will he? I have to start 7 pitchers (15pts for a win, 1 pt for a SO and that’s it:

    C Archer
    M Pineda
    C McHugh
    T ross
    N Eovaldi
    A Wood
    D Salazar
    C Rodon

    You sit any of those for Rodon this week?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Blake: I thought he was, but unsure. Depends somewhat on Noesi who is day to day after getting hit by a comebacker. I think in a weekly until we know for sure, yeah I’d keep him benched this week

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Blake: Pretty sure Eovaldi is two start and they just said Noesi is available for the bullpen, so Rodon likely to start – benching Wood this week now

  11. los locos says:
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    Love these articles…

    Nate Karns was walking alot of people, but he been pretty good as of late.

    10 team keeper league:

    Would you drop a player like Bauer for someone like Happ or Anderson.. I missed out on DeLaRosa over the weekend.

    I am dropping Shoemaker to play Anderson this week vs Philly.

    How you feel about Paxton start this week at home vs. Padres and Red Sox?

    Current Rotation:
    Kershaw
    Strausburg
    Salazar
    Chavez
    Paxton

    Bench
    Darvish DL
    Bauer
    Shoemaker

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @los locos: Thanks man! Yeah I noted that above on Karns too, sub-.200 BABIP is crazy as well. How many are kept again? I probably wouldn’t yet, but close.

      Yup, fine with the Shoe one though. I like Paxton a lot, I think when he’s on, no one is gonna hit him too hard and he looks much better. I’m rolling him out there

      • los locos says:
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        @JB Gilpin: keep either 3 or 4 pitchers. 7 Total players.

        I liked to start Paxton, little cautious because of Padres right handed bats.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @los locos: Cool, yeah Pax has a good mix of pitches though, oddly lefties hit him a lot harder – career splits .209 v. R .276 v. L

  12. TarmanGotHim says:
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    Why is Vogt hitting 6th? And okay to drop Shoemaker, correct?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @TarmanGotHim: Hah, couldn’t tell ya on Vogt… Sure, yeah Shoe can go!

  13. Warren says:
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    Worried about the walks from G-Rich or just early season rust?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Warren: Nah, still rust and his stuff looks fantastic. I think he’ll hone in on the command as we go

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @viv_savage: Carrasco is an easy one, love that Salazar matchup but gotta go MadBum. Man those are some sick choices!

      • viv_savage says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Thanks. Would you leave the 2-starters Colome & Duffy active over Salazar?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @viv_savage: Hmmmm, nah I don’t think so, Colome hasn’t gone deep yet and Duffy struggled mightily last tim eout, I’d probably 1 start Salazar

  14. Adam says:
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    Awesome awesome post. Big thanks for it, I especially loved the Rodon break down.

    And now for a question…

    In a standard 5×5 weekly lineup league, which 1 of these 2 would you roll with this week?

    Paxton vs SD + vs BOS
    Simon vs MIN + @ STL

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Adam: Thanks for reading man! I’m going Paxton, I know he’s not a huge K guy, but I think can get more than Simon.

  15. Ante GALIC says:
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    JB!!

    Really fine article, man! Highly appreciated, keep up the good work. I have Rodon salted away in one league, but am afraid of signing him up in all 4 leagues ’cause of Ventura. Doesn’t look good for him to get a start this week.

    a. Would you start Syndergaard for his two-start in a shallow 10-team league? My other options are: Cashner at home versus Scherzer or Yordano Ventura at Texas versus Gallardo. I think it’s probably better to start Cashner. At 1-6 he can’t get any worse in the Loss column.

    b. Any idea on when Jansen will be activated from the DL? I thought it was a lock that he’d be back this week but it’s looking less and less of a possibility.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ante GALIC: Yo! Thanks for reading man, I will try!

      Well, ask and you shall receive as it just came out the team said Noesi will be available from the bullpen, although no official “Rodon is the starter.”

      a. Cash is better at home, but I like the 2 start Synd, I think he does enough with 2.
      b. I saw a positive update it’d be this week so I think maybe by the weekend.

      Any time man!

  16. peter quill says:
    (link)

    JB… Rendon for Matt Harvey straight up, keeper move, contracts are both identical and need to be extended going forward. Who you got?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @peter quill: Ugh. On the one hand Rendon is always injury prone, on the other Harvey is a pitcher… I love Matt Harvey something fierce, I might roll the dice

  17. Tom says:
    (link)

    Reddick sits on my bench and I need another closer. The following trade was proposed in my 10 team OBP H2H league. I’m a little scared about Sale’s performance. You have him ranked higher than MadBum but I fear his injury history & wonder if he’s hiding another. Should I do it?

    My Bumgarner, Soria & Reddick for his Sale, Robertson & Hector Rodon

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Tom: Sale velocity is still there and he didn’t have a Spring Training, so I think it’s just rust, I’m not worried about an injury at this point. I think I’d have to take that deal, especially since you need RP and I like Sale a good bit still

  18. Relsh says:
    (link)

    Another great analysis. In a weekly 6×6 league, who would you rather start: Drew Hutchinson @ HOU, Jonathon Niese @ CHC, CJ Wilson vs COL, or CC Sabatha @TB/@KC?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Relsh: Thanks for reading! Give me Hutchison and let’s hope he’s on for a nice K outing

  19. Scott says:
    (link)

    Carlos Rodon a pale horse.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Scott: Haha, and I had “Carlos Rodon Kulous” and was gonna write that’s his full name, but Grey used it already!

  20. too $%#&* for this says:
    (link)

    Love these man, keep up the great work. You’ve been on point these last two years, really impressive rankings.

    10 team 5×5 roto keep 7. Just got offered my Wong and Kazmir for his Gerrit Cole and Addison Russell. You likey? Kazmir is solid but you know his arm is gonna fall off in the 2nd half and I could use a boost in K’s, whip/era streamers have me at 5th in K/9 (top 2 in other pitching cats).

    Staff is Arrieta-McHugh-Pineda-Carrasco-Kazmir-Chavez. I’m tops in all hitting categories.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @too $%#&* for this: Thanks so much man! Definitely missed some things here and there, but really appreciate it.

      Whoa, me no likey me LOVEY! Cole alone is almost worth that, plus he might be the only keeper of the 4. I def do it!

  21. pistolofpete says:
    (link)

    Just traded Harvey, Heyward (who I got for Heston) and Soler for Kershaw.
    OF is now: Stanton, Harper, Puig, Myers, Melky
    SP: Kershaw, Price, Arrieta, Samardzija, whatever I stream

    Thoughts? I was personally thinking long term with Harvey’s innings caps and now being a great time to buy Kershaw cause his xfip numbers are half his ERA.

  22. too $%#&* for this says:
    (link)

    Also, are you starting Kazmir vs. BOS tonight? Sox struggle against lefties but stream-o-nator is down on it. I’m a sox fan and it looks like Napoli is heating up, Betts is hot, and with Hanley back this lineup is scary as hell again.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @too $%#&* for this: Yup Napoli does look better… Given it’s a different team, he was good against the Red Sox last year and it’s at home I think I’m rolling him out there

  23. chucky says:
    (link)

    Don’t know too much about Frias, from the land of fruits and nuts. Im seriously considering starting him with the 2 starts at home v Mia and Col. That pushes Gio to the curb v the heavy RH lineup in the desert. I know its cute but WTF. Ive been looking in the mirror all day, why not!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @chucky: Yeah in the short term he’s interesting. Not sure about long term… But yeah, I have no issue with that move in a weekly!

  24. Gonzo_The_Great says:
    (link)

    Man oh man, my pitching has just been run through the ringer this year. Lost Smyly and Cobb. Kluber and Wood continue to disappoint (though at least Kluber’s strikeouts look about right). Thank god Miller and Keuchel have been over-performing.

    In regards to the latter (Keuchel), Grey was pretty firmly in the sell high camp last week. I see his point on some of the advanced stats, but I’ve been (blissfully ignorant?) tempering the expectation of regression against the fact that he was a very solid pitcher last year, so there is some evidence for not expecting the floor is going to completely fall out (like Greene’s appears to have). Where do you fall on his likely regression? Should we be expecting his ERA to triple by the break, or are we seeing legitimate progression based on last year?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Gonzo_The_Great: I hear ya man, a few of my squads as well… Every time I watch Keuchel I love what I see. I think it’s progression based on last year, obviously not a 1,39 ERA but I could easily see it winding up mid 2s

  25. sniff test says:
    (link)

    What do you think of Grey’s latest buy recommendation, Bucholz? He’s pretty far down your list.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @sniff test: mehhhhhhh, he’s just so effing inconsistent. Sure the K:BB is nice, but he gets a lot more guys to face because all the hits he gives up haha

  26. B the Esq. says:
    (link)

    10 team h2h keeper. Better bottom of rotation guy going forward for the year….DeSclafani, Rubby, C-Mart?
    We have keeper rules for rookies, so DeSclafani gets a slight bump in my mind, but enough to get over either of the other 2?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @B the Esq.: I’d still lean C-Mart even though he’s off two blowups, but close

  27. sniff test says:
    (link)

    Any issues with dropping Carlos Martinez while Rubby goes on his monster run?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @sniff test: Hah, shallower league if you agree with my gut feeling, nope!

  28. Loudness of the Lamb says:
    (link)

    I’m looking at Fiers lone start against ChiW-Sale vs Desclafani (ATL/SFG) vs Bradley’s supposed 1st start back vs the hapless Phils (Williams) in Az.

    I’m like a judge at a seniors nudist pageant. I can’t bring myself to open my eyes to choose one. Who should it be???

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Loudness of the Lamb: Whoa, no one wants to be judge of that! Gimme DeSclafani and that 2 start

  29. stantonovation says:
    (link)

    SS help
    carrying Alexei Ramirez and Rollins
    only need one

    Danny Santana is available, as is correa

    should I drop one or both for either? (12 teams mixed)

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @stantonovation: Meh, I’d probably keep rolling Alexei and keep a very watchful eye on Correa

  30. F.K.A. Ralph says:
    (link)

    Glad to see you aren’t giving up on Carlos Martinez. I think his results are not indicative of what he’d been doing.

    He has the second highest HR/FB ratio in the league — 25%! that’s ridiculous. that’s like if the brought in the little league fences while he’s on the mound.

    Then look at his Zone%. he’s in the zone about 44% of the time, but his BB/9 is a crazy high 4.64. A lot of that might come from inexperience and inability to throw a pitch when he really needs to, but I’d expect a BB/9 much closer to 3 than 5 with a 44% Zone%. (Tyson Ross has also suffered similarly in this metric. he has a 44% zone% and a BB/9 over 5).

    You know who else has a similar Zone%? Clay Buchholz, who people are pointing to as a buy low (including Grey), and I agree with that. Buchholz’s BB/9 is 3, even though he’s in the zone the same % of the time as Martinez.

    Other pitchers with similar (or worse) Zone%s
    Gerrit Cole
    James Paxton
    Gio Gonzalez
    Danny Salazar

    Martinez has a 4.89 ERA, but a 3.64 xFIP, so the advanced statistics, primarily the HR/FB, indicate he has been very unlucky.

    I think he’s a decent hold or pickup if you can afford the spot. I’d expect him to have better results going forward than what we’ve seen so far.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @F.K.A. Ralph: Nope, yeah I agree he’s not toast or anything. Bumps in the road for a guy still figuring it out. I just hit some baseballs this weekend at a little league field, it was hilarious haha. Part of the zone issue might be the developing change-up, in that first start it was inconsistent with it’s control.

      Buchholz I worry less about walks and more about command in the zone, just gets so pounded when he’s off. I’m scared.

      Agree C-Mart is likely a hold, I think he gets it goin again

  31. Eric B says:
    (link)

    Love the updates JB. I depend heavily on your rankings and your feedback when it comes to my staff. As we previously discussed I too suffer from NC bias being born and raised here. But I bleed red not blue so I ‘m a big fan of Rodon…unfortunately though I do not own him.

    I see Colome made the rankings, I ended up streaming him and struggled with dropping him, same thing happened with Happ and both have since been picked up. Syndergaard also made a nice jump, and yep, you guessed it, missed out on him too lol.

    I’m not quite sure who the next arm up to make an impact will be. Any ideas…Heaney, Marco maybe? Seems odd that the Cards would start Garcia if he were healthy over Marco, but that’s what I’ve heard… maybe that’s just lip service. I’m looking forward to seeing Urias eventually and Glasnow, CJ Edwards, Matz could all be really good, just not sure any of them are that close.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Eric B: Thanks man! Ugh that sucks you’re in the Wolfpack but not a Rodowner… See what I did there!?

      Ugh damn sucks you missed on those guys. Ugh yeah I don’t like any of those backend Cards Garcia v. Marco. And not a big Heaney guy. Yeah I don’t think any of those guys are too close either, but I do like them in dynasty.

      • Eric B says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:Ha, rub it why dont’cha lol. Our league is only 4 keepers per year for no more than 3 years in a row, so I cant quite reach for guys until late in the season. Well unless they’re contributing. Here’s my staff after my latest moves…thoughts?

        Staff
        P Kluber
        P Odorizzi
        P Cole
        P Salazar
        P Paxton
        SP Ventura
        SP Walker
        RP Chapman
        RP Britton
        Bench RP Perkins
        Bench SP Fiers
        Bench SP Chavez
        Bench SP Duffy

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Eric B: Ugh yeah, I don’t think any of the prospects are going to vault into keeper territory any time soon. Still looks good. Love the K potential, Chavez has been a little unlucky I think he’s gonna be solid

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Eric B: Ugh Duffy can’t find the strike zone again…

          • Eric B says:
            (link)

            @JB Gilpin: I was just about to post here…he’s killing me lol. But the wire offers the likes of Hutchinson, Frias, Folty, Rubby, Hendricks or Heston…sigh.

            • Eric B says:
              (link)

              @Eric B: Wait you like Rubby though, dump duffy for Rubby?

              • Eric B says:
                (link)

                @Eric B: Im contemplating either Rubby or trying to scoop up Franco prior to his call up. Which ones the better play JB?

                • JB Gilpin

                  JB Gilpin says:
                  (link)

                  @Eric B: Yup go get Rubby! Have a feeling on him man.

                  Ohhhhh I do like Franco, what’s your 3B situation again?

                  If Rubby puts up another gem and he’s out there and you got Franco earlier, I’d def lose Walker for him at that point.

                  • Eric B says:
                    (link)

                    @JB Gilpin: here’s my complete roster:

                    (5×5 HTH OBP league)
                    Bats
                    C McCann
                    1B Freeman
                    2B Kipnis
                    3B Santana
                    SS A.Ramirez
                    OF Stanton
                    OF Calhoun
                    OF Soler
                    OF Betts
                    Util Pollock
                    Util Semien
                    Util Avisail Garcia
                    Bench Lawrie
                    DL C Yan Gomes
                    DL G. Springer
                    DL O.Arcia

                    Staff
                    P Kluber
                    P Odorizzi
                    P Cole
                    P Salazar
                    P Paxton
                    SP Ventura
                    SP Walker
                    RP Chapman
                    RP Britton
                    Bench RP Perkins
                    Bench SP Fiers
                    Bench SP Chavez
                    Bench SP Duffy

                    Not hurting at 3rd but Ive been using Semien a lot at SS with lexi’s struggling, which leaves only lawrie backing up Santana. I also currently have only one bench bat butif you think Rubby can help stabilize the back end of my staff then maybe I should stay SP heavy. Franco would be more for power and the potential to sell high; I flipped Russell for Calhoun and Salazar earlier this season.

                    • Eric B says:
                      (link)

                      @Eric B: Well mute point now as Franco just got picked up, did manage to dump Duffy for Rubby though, now as the Gambler would say ? Rubby dont take your love to town ?

                • JB Gilpin

                  JB Gilpin says:
                  (link)

                  @Eric B: Hah we gotta go new again! But yes I like me the Rubby, Rubby me all over!

  32. nightpandas says:
    (link)

    JB, need pitching in a 15 team keeper:(keep 11)

    Rizzo & Bruce too much for Salazar Lynn Chris Carter?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @nightpandas: Yeahhhhh I think so, even with it a deeper league and deep keepers, I think I’d need more to part with Rizzo

  33. Gio says:
    (link)

    Have Russell and Castro in a keeper. Advise moving castro for a gray/samardzija type pitcher or hold?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Gio: If you could use a pitcher then sure, I don’t think Starlin Castro has much upside anymore, solid player though

  34. RotoLance

    RotoLance says:
    (link)

    Is Syndergaard not expected to be up long? I’m surprised you ranked him lower than Rodon, but sort of happy because I didn’t bid enough FAAB to acquire Syndergaard but instead settled on Rodon and I had only placed a $0 bid for Rodon. I know stuff wise they may be totally different but stats wise it seems Syndergaard could be Rodon without the bad walk rate.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @RotoLance: I’m kinda surprised more people don’t like Rodon more than Syndergaard. I like them both, but yeah Gee could come back healthy and Syndergaard struggle and he goes back down. Control indeed is Rodon’s question mark, but I think he Ks more

  35. joeg414 says:
    (link)

    With Bolsinger Starting on Tues and maybe Sunday , is Frias still getting a start this week ?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @joeg414: Yeah I’m pretty sure he’s going wednesday against the Marlins

  36. tyler says:
    (link)

    Thanks JB, I loverr these posts a and def love the podcast too. I basically have 7 starters in your top 40 pitchers, and being in a 12 team 30 man roster league would think I should be killing the pitching stats (just all things being equal and even, every team would have around 3 of these guys in a 12 teamer, right?)
    Harvey
    Carrasco
    McHugh
    Ross
    Wacha
    A Wood
    nelson

    The only outlier is Bucholtz, ands I am carrying 4 relievers. Will my ratios even out? I feel like Ross/Wood/Carrasco/ have had some early season struggles that COULD prove for bad ratios. I also recently cut Taijuan, which will hopefully help, but DSL you seer these guys being any better?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @tyler: Thanks man! Nice staff! Yeah I mean Carrasco is a little slow, I think Wood is a little better and Ross should be a tad better – as you mention. I think you’re solid. I would rather stash Walker on my bench than have Buchholz, but I am not as big on Buch having a good run as Grey is

      • tyler says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: awesome! I currently have a 4.05 ERA and 1.28 Whip which is pretty concerning. I liked Walker coming in to the season, but he couldnt string together 2 quality starts. absolutely agree Bucholtz is shaky, but I was shockers to see his FiP ands xFip were much lower than his ERA. When K Jansen comes back I could drop Y Garcia for Walker again. He’s so hard to trust man!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @tyler: Hah well my dynasty with Kluber (bad) Sale (worse) and Harvey (good) should’ve been elite pitching and my ERA is last haha. Yeah well of the 2, I think Walker could go on a dominant run and I just don’t see that for Buchholz maybe past 2-3 good ones in a row for him

  37. greg says:
    (link)

    Okay…..I’m gonna be sick. Colome and DeGrom going tonight and both have lit up my pitching stats that I’ll need lightning from everyone else to survive. Colome was a flier anyway, but I’m concerned about DeGrom. What’s up? That’s three in a row where he’s come unglued. And early.

    And I dropped CMart, but maybe regretting it.

    Right now at a loss: Have—

    DeGrom, Wacha, Archer, Rodon, Colome, Karns, JNelson, JFernandez (DL)

    On wire (for now), Niese, Chavez, HSantiago, MMoore (DL), Rubby, CMart (no-one has grabbed him), MGonzalez (both of them-miguel and marco), Delgado, CAnderson, Frias, WPeralta and the usual suspects….

    What would you do with my rotation? Streaming is hard because of add limits for season, but any ROS worth it in that bunch over what I’ve got? UGH UGH UGH

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @greg: Uggghhhh well Colome I think was risky, not much you can do about deGrom. BABIP a tad high, giving up a few more homers but walks are down, I think he’s fine.

      Hah well the ranks above are for ROS, so Chavez+Rubby I think I’d add for Colome and Karns. I know I have CMart higher, but maybe we watch from afar this next start and see what happens haha

      • greg says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:

        Those were guys I know I should have picked but I guess I liked living dangerously. For some reason I have had trouble believing in Chavez despite all evidence to the contrary…sigh.

        Thanks man!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @greg: Understandable, I was the same way last year. I think if the A’s committed to him and he was in the rotation all year, he’d have good numbers with more buyers. Any time!

  38. The Chad says:
    (link)

    I have Montero at C. Should I trade Leake for Norris at C or pick up Mesoraco and wait for him?
    I have Bum, Ross, Richards, Ventura, Chavez, and Paxton at SP. I could also drop Bogaerts since I traded Pineda for Frazier at 3B. SP on wire are Hughes, Latos, Martinez, Peralta, Hutchison, Greene, Buchholz.

    • PeteRosesRevenge says:
      (link)

      @The Chad:

      I would what do you have to lose?

      I just put a low ball in for Price maybe i’ll catch the guy on the right day looks like he might have packed it in, The poor guy came out of the drafit with Price, Wainright, Cobb, Lawakuma and Zach Wheeler and has not dropped them but has lucked out he is still 4-1 on the season. He hit everyone on their down week. Go figure

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @PeteRosesRevenge: Whoa, get that guy to give you some lotto numbers!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @The Chad: I’m good with both of those, I’d probably get Norris just to get production now.

  39. PeteRosesRevenge says:
    (link)

    I just Picked Up Rodon, dropped YouArebaldo Jiminez…….

    My pitchers are
    Trevor Bauer, Liriano , Tyson Ross, Matt Shoemaker,Jason Grilli, Carlos Martinez and Samardzija

    I was offered this trade today Joc Pederson and Corey Kluber I would give up Andrew McCutchen and Carlos Gomez. Pederson is killing it but McCuthen does it every year.

    Any you guys hanging onto Rendon and Pence? I have them clogging up my bench along with a pair of Carlo’s (gomez and gonzolez) I was hoping one would go on a tear and be trade bait.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @PeteRosesRevenge: Haha nice, love the move. Nahhhhhh no way I would do that trade. Of the two, Pence would be the first out but I think you gotta hold both

      • PeteRosesRevenge says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:

        Agree I’m going to hold it is a long season so can’t drop Rendon, we should find out about Pence soon enough is what I figure. Rodon could be a score!

  40. phil says:
    (link)

    Great update. Is it time to try and buy low on Price?

    Fiers has had 3 starts where he has given up at least 4 runs each, and 3 other starts where he has given up 4 total. I have started him the wrong 3 times. I like Ks, but am I crazy to start him again tmw? Maybe he’s just not that into me.

    • PeteRosesRevenge says:
      (link)

      @phil:

      I would what do you have to lose?

      I just put a low ball in for Price maybe i’ll catch the guy on the right day looks like he might have packed it in, The poor guy came out of the drafit with Price, Wainright, Cobb, Lawakuma and Zach Wheeler and has not dropped them but has lucked out he is still 4-1 on the season. He hit everyone on their down week. Go figure

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @phil: Thanks man! Sure, if Price’s owner will bite. Hah, well Fiers will always be better on the road – flyball pitcher in homer prone Miller. Although I think I would indeed roll him out tomorrow. He just needed to feel ya out! Haha

      • phil says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Thanks, worst comes to worst, I at least get my 8Ks in 5 innings

  41. Carnac says:
    (link)

    Was hoping for a profile of last week’s Tyler Matzek start.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Carnac: Damn, yeah I thought about it, but making GIFs on how bad he missed the zone seemed counterintuitive haha. I was actually watching that game, when Goldschmidt kept striking out I was laughing my ass off

      • Carnac says:
        (link)

        Well obviously those swings/misses were out of pity, part of Goldschmidt’s campaign for Humanitarian of the Year Award.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Carnac: St. Goldschmidt does have a good ring to it…

          • Carnac says:
            (link)

            This is truly the essence of the Roberto Clemente Award.

  42. JD Hassett

    Otwins says:
    (link)

    Was offered Kluber for my Richards – it is a 4X4 league no whip.
    What say you?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Otwins: Whoa, yeah gimme the Kluber!

  43. dom says:
    (link)

    I don’t know what to make of Shoemaker…. not sure if the Angels are even a good team.

    Why are you low on Fister? Lack of K’s? He’s attractive to me in my 12 team h2h with W, L, QS, IP, K, WHIP, ERA cats. Does that make sense? Or is he about the 60th best pitcher in that format at well? If that’s the case I could definitely get something better than the 60th best pitcher in a trade.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @dom: Yeah it’s sad, love Trout and he can almost carry a team himself… Almost.

      Yeah the Ks, and these ranks are for Roto. H2H he moves up. In roto, the low K guys fill up your starts limits or innings with bad K rates and just drains that category. In H2H, especially if you can freely stream, he’s a great asset, maybe closer to 45ish if not higher

      • dom says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: I see. So what makes Keuchel rank 40 spots higher than Fister on this list?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @dom: ..that they’re completely different… Fister’s K rate of 4.06 and even lower velocity suggesting it could end up that low compared to 6.45 which I think goes to 7ish for Dallas. And Keuchel’s ERA and WHIP are massively better and will end up better

  44. bb says:
    (link)

    Start Brett Anderson vs Rockies in LA, Travis Wood vs Mets In CHC, or hutch vs astros in houston

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @bb: Of those I’m leaning Hutch, if there’s ever a chance for a nice K outburst, it’s now

  45. dave says:
    (link)

    Would you start frias vs miami is he a good streamer for this start?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @dave: Probably not, depends on starts/innings limits, but while I love his velo, 2nd and 3rd time through hitters seem to pick him up (based on watching him vs. brewers last time out)

  46. Breezy says:
    (link)

    Have fiers, nelson, anderson, would you keep streaming these guys or hold onto any one of them?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Breezy: Nelson is my biggest hold. I think his upside is worth it, with only one blow up start so far. That said, shallow league I don’t mind streaming all 3

  47. phil says:
    (link)

    I am a 3 SP plus streaming guy, but because some people were dumping pitchers, I now have:
    Zimmermann, Salazar, Samarzdija, and Syndergaard. I also have Bolsinger who I am going to give 2 starts to before I decide. If you only wanted 2 or 3 of the first 4 in a 12 team roto with a 1600 innings cap, who would you try and trade?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @phil: Zimmermann scares me, but his value is too low right now. If Syndergaard has a great first start today, I might try and sell him high but I do like him ROS

  48. Ships says:
    (link)

    I’ve been offered Braun for Carrasco and Latos. I have decent OF depth with starting 3 of Upton, Heyward, Polanco and Martin. Feel like I need a power bat in the OF. Pitchers are Cole, Pineda, Hughes, Burnett, Happ, C Anderson, Chavez and Ryu.

    Do I make the trade? Worried I’ll only be playing one of Heyward, Polanco or Martin. Too much OF depth.

    Thanks in advance.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ships: Definitely taking the deal, but yeah it might overload you. You can always take it then try another deal with another OF right after

    • PeteRosesRevenge says:
      (link)

      @Ships:

      Basically Braun for Carrasco if you have another reliever why not. I dropped Latos awhile ago you are not losing anything there.

  49. Eric B says:
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    Seems to be a recurring theme that we run out of room on are pitching discussions lol. Looking forward to Rubby pitching well today, have him Fiers and Pax on the bump. That lineup has the potential for good things or it could get scary quickly lol.

    I’m happy my Braves won last night but I own RP Chapman and he’s been touched up a bit the last two games, hopefully it’s just a bump in the road because RP’s are hard to come by in this league.

    • Eric B says:
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      @Eric B: Hey JB quick question, looks like Springer may get activated from the DL later this week. I’ll post my roster below, knowing my staff struggles of late who are you dropping to activate Springer?
      (5×5 HTH OBP league)
      Bats
      C McCann
      1B Freeman
      2B Kipnis
      3B Santana
      SS A.Ramirez
      OF Stanton
      OF Calhoun
      OF Soler
      OF Betts
      Util Pollock
      Util Semien
      Util Avisail Garcia
      Bench Lawrie
      DL C Yan Gomes
      DL G. Springer
      DL O.Arcia

      Staff
      P Kluber
      P Odorizzi
      P Cole
      P Salazar
      P Paxton
      SP Ventura
      SP Walker
      RP Chapman
      RP Britton
      Bench RP Perkins
      Bench SP Fiers
      Bench SP Chavez
      Bench SP Rubby

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Eric B: Hah, yup I’ve got Pax and Rubby going in a lot of leagues too.

        Chapman will be fine, just a rough few. When Springer is back I think first to go is Walker, but we’ll get to see him and Rubby by then and have one more game of info

        • Eric B says:
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          @JB Gilpin: I’m thinking Walker or Brett Lawrie(my bench bat). I’m gonna have a bigger dilemma when Yan Gomes returns, dont think I can just drop McCann. McCann is certainly more valuable than Lawrie, even if it is a one catcher league, so if Walker ended up being the drop for Springer, Lawrie probably would have to go for Gomes.

          Well here’s hoping Pax and Rubby(along with Fiers for me) perform admirably. Thanks as always for the knowledge; because knowledge is power!

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @Eric B: Hah appreciate it man! Fiers looked pretty good today. Let’s do this PaxRubby!

            • Eric B says:
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              @JB Gilpin: Pax had a few too many walks but didnt get blown up, Rubby’s stats seemed ok, gave up a bunch of hits but seemed solid. Would you still keep Rubby over Walker going forward?

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
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                @Eric B: Yeah Pax got 2 quick outs in the second then walked the bases loaded all on 3-2 counts. Looked pretty good. I’d keep Rubby! Hung that change-up to Harper, but otherwise solid and a pair of Ws!

                • Eric B says:
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                  @JB Gilpin: Agreed, but would you rather have Bauer than Rubby or Walker ROS? Someone just dropped him after a couple of shaky starts.

                  Ive made things complicated for myself by dropping Lawrie for Choo(who’s started to heat up). That means I have to drop Choo or one of Rubby or Walker to activate Springer. My O is struggling a little in my current match up, hence adding Choo, didnt realize Springer was going to be activated today.

                  • Eric B says:
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                    @Eric B: Also when Corbin comes back (reportedly on June 4th) who’s the odd man out in the D’Backs lineup?

                    • JB Gilpin

                      JB Gilpin says:
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                      @Eric B: Hmmmm yeah I would, def over Walker.

                      Yup like that Choo add, damn lots of guys who need to be owned. I think Choo>Bauer>Rubby>Walker, but tough.

                      I’d think Collmenter goes back to relief after getting shellacked last time out

  50. Swfcdan says:
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    Or you could say he’s the Sox’s new Chris Sale, lefty, wipeout slider and throws cheese!

    Speaking of Sale, his struggles are down to his lack of slider usage “to keep him healthy” apparently. So they want him to be healthy but not good now? Let him throw his money pitch goddamnit! Of course this is the first year I’ve owned him typically, so he’s really pissing me off right now. That Twins catastrophy was embarrasing, and I’m worried he may not be his old self again if he stays away from the slider now. Another bad start and would you look to shop?

    • Swfcdan says:
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      @Swfcdan: Oh and another struggling stud on my oh so ugly pitching staff(s) so far. Shark…. ugh. The k’s are returning but watched some highlights of that game and he’s giving up rockets too, and last night was to your crewers who lets be honest ain’t great! Haven’t owned him in quite a few years, has he always been this fly ball prone? If so it seems a massive red flag pitching in the Cell. You watch the game? Look to Cell I mean sell?

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Swfcdan: Haha not going quite there, Sale has a great change-up too, which Rodon lacks.

        Yeah I don’t like that they’re telling him he can’t throw it as much. But I think he gets it together – didn’t have a Spring training so still working off rust. I wouldn’t be a seller of Sale. A Sale sale!

        Oh man we hit Shark hard… But you’re right, GB% was 50 last year, 35 this year. He’s throwing his split finger less and less, something I’ll def be watching. If it doesn’t go up the next start or two and he pitches well, I’d Cell haha

        • Swfcdan says:
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          @JB Gilpin: Well waddaya know, what were we worried about again!? Oh baby after all the pitching disasters ive had already this season, that one sure feels good! Though hes still not Michael Pineda, only 11Ks? cmon! Haha.

          Good point about Shark, havent seen many of his games live but havent seen many splitters yet at all. Didnt that used to be his money pitch, has he abandoned it for some odd reason?

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @Swfcdan: Hah yeah I figured the Brewers would struggle, even though a lot of righties we aren’t hitting lefties this year.

            No Pineda, how about no Kluber! Whoa.

            Yeah it was pretty much his main off-speed, I don’t know why… I’ll keep an eye on it for sure

            • Swfcdan says:
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              @JB Gilpin: Cool will check back with you in later posts! Now Sharks just throwing that slider but when it hangs its yucky.

              Klubes!!

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
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                @Swfcdan: Shark needs to consult the Klubot!

                • Swfcdan says:
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                  @JB Gilpin: Sure does.

                  Finally reached the end of my patience with Desmond, dealt him for Carrasco in a keeper, your high ranking of him was my final decision maker! You still see stud potential in him then? Seems a case of Kluberitis, great K/BB just giving up a lot of hits. Maybe he’ll pull a Klube soon too!

                  • Swfcdan says:
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                    @Swfcdan: Be good to see a profile on him sometime. One for the waiting list!

                    • JB Gilpin

                      JB Gilpin says:
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                      @Swfcdan: Nice! Yup I think he will, his stuff is nasty and actually fairly Kluber-ish, great fastball/cutter/slider. Yeah man, we’ll keep him on the radar! Thinking a weekend Syndergaard for this next one, he’s gonna mow down my poor brewers…

  51. Mikey says:
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    Drop Alex Wood or Hammel for Rodon? Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Mikey: Oh man, like them both but yeah I’m fine losing Hammel for him

  52. Meet the Jets says:
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    Hey JB,

    Thanks for the update, always look forward to your rankings. I’m going to see Syndergaard’s debut in person tonight!

    Thoughts on starting Kennedy @ Seattle? Losses count against in my league. Thank you!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Meet the Jets: Thanks for reading man! That’s awesome! Give us all a first hand account when you’re back haha.

      Hmmmm, I probably wouldn’t, I’m not a big Kennedy guy. Mariners hitting for some power and Kennedy can be homer prone

  53. The Wongest Yard says:
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    @JB:

    Dungeons and Dragics from fantasy basketball here. 12 team 9 cat roto.

    I just traded Koji Uehara for Carlos Carrasco and now my pitching looks like this:

    Arrieta, Cole, Carrasco, Ross, Paxton, Nelson, Chavez

    I really only need 5 starters to get to innings limit. I don’t mind carrying 6 and playing matchups from time to time but 7 is too much. Need to pick up some SAGNOF for my hitting. I see you have Nelson and Chavez right next to each other. Who’s the drop? Or is it really more of a stream spot in your head?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @The Wongest Yard: Yo dude! Good to see ya on the baseball side!

      Nice trade! I liked your staff before, but yeah one more quality SP helps. Man, I like both of those guys… I think Chavez I’d probably hold longer than Nelson – I doubt Chavez has horrific blowup games, but Nelson might have another one or two

  54. PapaJeanSegura says:
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    What up dude? Would you trade Cespedes for Yordano? Also what is up with Alex Wood? I just dropped him along with half of my pitching staff…rough year for my starters ( Samardzjia, Tyson Ross, Wood(dropped), Hahn(dropped), Leake, Volquez, just picked up Rodon, Keuchel, my one saving grace.)

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @PapaJeanSegura: What’s good man? Ummmm if a desperate need for pitching I would, but usually I probably wouldn’t. I’m not sure with Wood, I wonder if he’s tipping pitches. Well things will turn around for those top guys, I think you def could use another arm though, if Cespedes is a bench bat or you have a good OF replacement I’d do it

      • PapaJeanSegura says:
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        @JB Gilpin: OFs are Polanco, Springer, Harper, Span, Wil Myers, and Cespedes. I’m gonna see if I can do a little better than Yordano.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @PapaJeanSegura: Yeah looks terrible again today… I’d indeed aim higher

  55. Scott says:
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    Sounds like folt in ev itch

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Scott: I just call him “The Folty in our Stars”

  56. slimbo says:
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    What’s up buddy. Need a pitcher bad

    Keeper league, what pitcher would you target with cano bautista dozier or fielder? Wanna win this year :) maybe a 2 for 1?

    Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @slimbo: What’s good man? Well Kluber is now a tough buy. Carrasco + someone for one of those studs? I think Bautista is the best sell if anyone is buying draft day value – this shoulder issue is concerning. Bautista for Carrasco+someone else good?

  57. Mike says:
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    I have a hard time continuing to believe in Alex Wood. Why should I keep him on my team over a Mat Latos, the first choice on my wires? I need a silver lining reassurance of some sort since I just don’t see it myself.

    Thanks…

    Mike.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Mike: Hmmmm, sadly they’re close. I think Wood just still has the upside, his BABIP is still crazy high, and his velo and stuff looks about the same stats-wise. I’d try to hold Wood

  58. Ryan says:
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    10 team points (6 player keeper). I’m barely hanging onto first place despite my lackluster pitching (Kluber, Samardzjia, Liriano, Hammels, Fiers, Streamers).

    Getting offered either Ross or Shields for Wil Myers.

    Yes? No? If yes… which one?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Ryan: Kluber coming back! Yeah in 10 team replacements should be out there if you don’t already have one, I would take Shields, his innings eating is great in Pts too

  59. los locos says:
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    JB, 10 Team Keeper QS/K/9, WHIP ERA & SV)

    Someone dropped Phil Hughes, can he turn his season around.

    My staff is getting killed right now, drop Shoemaker for Happ, C Anderson (I’m feeling breakout – GUT) and Phil Hughes?

    I have Pence coming back so it will free up my DL spot to put Darvish on it and get an extra pitcher…

    How long of a leash does Bauer get on my team?

    My ERA & WHIP have been through the roof, need to improve this.

    Starters
    SP Jesse Chavez RP,SP | OAK
    SP Clayton Kershaw SP | LAD
    SP James Paxton SP | SEA
    SP Danny Salazar SP | CLE
    SP Stephen Strasburg SP | WAS
    RP Brad Boxberger RP | TB
    RP Andrew Miller RP | NYY

    Bench
    SP Trevor Bauer SP | CLE
    SP Yu Darvish SP | TEX
    SP Matt Shoemaker SP | LAA

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @los locos: Hmmmm, I think he “can” but I never was a big buyer last year and not too high a ranker at first this year. Def losing Shoemaker. I’m personally taking Hughes, but all 3 are fairly close.

      Ugh, well Kershaw is going to be much better. Strasburg… So hard to sell right now but this back issue might never go away. Bauer is going to do bad in QS sometimes, so his leash doesn’t have to be that long in 10 team

  60. MIke says:
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    What are your thoughts on Patrick Corbin? They say he is back June 4th if there are no setbacks.

    Thanks…

    Mike.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @MIke: I like him, a little concern since his money pitch was the slider in his breakout, but he’s my fav TJ-return guy beyong JoFer

  61. larry says:
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    Been streaming these 3 guys nelson, frias, fiers. Which one do i drop to keep streaming the rest of the week I’m thinking nelson because he has the tigers next week -$19.9. And frias faces the giants twice next week and i like fiers in good matchups just don’t want anyone to pick him up. I don’t think anyone will pick up nelson.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @larry: Yeah I think I like Nelson the best ROS, but they’re all so so close and he didn’t bring the Ks tonight. totally fine letting him walk for now, but keeping an eye on him while he’s on the wire

  62. Eric B says:
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    Ran out of room again lol. How about Klubot…now thats the guy I’ve been looking for. Also it never fails if I drop Walker(which I did to activate Springer) he pitches well lol. We talked about Bauer being dropped above. Here’s my roster as is, you making any changes to add Bauer, or reclaim Walkerand is Ventura going to get better or what?
    Staff
    P Kluber
    P Odorizzi
    P Cole
    P Salazar
    P Paxton
    SP Ventura
    SP Fiers
    RP Chapman
    RP Britton
    Bench RP Perkins
    Bench SP Rubby
    Bench SP Chavez

    • Eric B says:
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      @Eric B: Rubby has pitched better than Bauer and Walker the last 15 plus days, I know Bauer is ranked much higher but is he that much better than Rubby? And are Walkers last two starts and upside enough to replace Rubby? I contemplated dropping one of my two bench bats to add Walker or Bauer back to my rotation but Avisial and Choo are my lowest rated bats and both have been pretty good lately.

      • Eric B says:
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        @Eric B: Heres my bats for reference

        C McCann
        1B Freeman
        2B Kipnis
        3B Santana
        SS A.Ramirez
        OF Stanton
        OF Calhoun
        OF Soler
        OF Betts
        Util Pollock
        Util Semien
        Util Springer
        Bench Avisail Garcia
        Bench Choo

        • Eric B says:
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          @Eric B: Ok JB, after having a conversation with myself lol, see above posts it basically comes down to the following. Are you dropping Fiers, Chavez or Rubby to add Bauer and/or Walker. Don’t think I want to lose Choo or Avisial so I’d have to drop arms to add arms. hung in there a long time with walker an dhis last 2 starts have shown promise and of course Bauer was dropped so…ROS who do you like the most?

          • JB Gilpin

            JB Gilpin says:
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            @Eric B: Well Ventura should def be better.

            Alexei is looking a little expendable with how good Semien is looking. Hah this fringey guys are so hard ROS, I’m still going Bauer over Walker, and Bauer over Rubby so I guess it’s Bauer ROS, but I don’t mind running out the hot hands. Chavez I’m holding, I might just turn this last pitching spot into streaming

            • Eric B says:
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              @JB Gilpin: Thanks man, gotta hold Alexi because Semien is my only back up for 2nd/3rd/SS after dropping Lawrie(2b/3b).

              Thanks for the follow up JB!

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
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                @Eric B: Shallower leagues you don’t need too much backup IMO :) But his flexibility is certainly really nice

                • Eric B says:
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                  @JB Gilpin: Yeah I’m probably putting too much emphasis on having that roster flexibility but Ive been burnt by not having it in the past.

                  • JB Gilpin

                    JB Gilpin says:
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                    @Eric B: It surely can help, but if someone comes screaming off the wire with no clear choices, I think Alexei is towards the top of the block

  63. KingMolar says:
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    Hey man, how do u feel about Heston ROS? He’s available in my league and Im thinking of picking him up. Im in a 12 team H2H 5×5 league with QS instead of W, and have the following pitching: Strasburg, deGrom, A. Miller, Soria, Grilli, K-Rod, Boxberger, J. Nelson, J. Paxton, C. Rodon, G. Richards, and T. Ross.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @KingMolar: He’s an enigma… I keep thinking he’s a flash in the pan, he has a bad start to end a week, then great starts early in weeks so I never rank him high. The only guy who is at all close is Nelson and I’m def taking him over Heston so I’m likely passing

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